Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 56421 | NA | NA | 10725.9745370370 | NA |
2 | 53152 | NA | NA | 7378.44675925926 | NA |
3 | 53536 | NA | NA | 14881.9328703704 | NA |
4 | 52408 | NA | NA | 9388.6550925926 | NA |
5 | 41454 | NA | NA | 144.335648148148 | NA |
6 | 38271 | NA | NA | 5022.94675925926 | NA |
7 | 35306 | 32660.7800925926 | 39158.125 | -6497.34490740741 | 2645.21990740741 |
8 | 26414 | 29294.6967592593 | 38528.2916666667 | -9233.5949074074 | -2880.69675925926 |
9 | 31917 | 32203.2106481481 | 37936 | -5732.78935185185 | -286.210648148146 |
10 | 38030 | 36226.2939814815 | 37374.625 | -1148.33101851852 | 1803.70601851852 |
11 | 27534 | 29058.3912037037 | 36856.6666666667 | -7798.27546296296 | -1524.39120370371 |
12 | 18387 | 19648.2106481481 | 36780.1666666667 | -17131.9560185185 | -1261.21064814815 |
13 | 50556 | 47600.6828703704 | 36874.7083333333 | 10725.9745370370 | 2955.31712962964 |
14 | 43901 | 44369.6550925926 | 36991.2083333333 | 7378.44675925926 | -468.655092592591 |
15 | 48572 | 52089.0162037037 | 37207.0833333333 | 14881.9328703704 | -3517.01620370371 |
16 | 43899 | 46893.0717592593 | 37504.4166666667 | 9388.6550925926 | -2994.07175925926 |
17 | 37532 | 37954.5856481481 | 37810.25 | 144.335648148148 | -422.585648148146 |
18 | 40357 | 43284.6967592593 | 38261.75 | 5022.94675925926 | -2927.69675925926 |
19 | 35489 | 31971.4050925926 | 38468.75 | -6497.34490740741 | 3517.59490740741 |
20 | 29027 | 29364.6134259259 | 38598.2083333333 | -9233.5949074074 | -337.613425925927 |
21 | 34485 | 33661.0856481481 | 39393.875 | -5732.78935185185 | 823.914351851854 |
22 | 42598 | 39192.2106481481 | 40340.5416666667 | -1148.33101851852 | 3405.78935185185 |
23 | 30306 | 33032.7662037037 | 40831.0416666667 | -7798.27546296296 | -2726.7662037037 |
24 | 26451 | 23927.5439814815 | 41059.5 | -17131.9560185185 | 2523.45601851852 |
25 | 47460 | 51765.8912037037 | 41039.9166666667 | 10725.9745370370 | -4305.8912037037 |
26 | 50104 | 48287.5717592593 | 40909.125 | 7378.44675925926 | 1816.42824074074 |
27 | 61465 | 55800.474537037 | 40918.5416666667 | 14881.9328703704 | 5664.52546296296 |
28 | 53726 | 50135.4884259259 | 40746.8333333333 | 9388.6550925926 | 3590.51157407408 |
29 | 39477 | 40887.7523148148 | 40743.4166666667 | 144.335648148148 | -1410.75231481481 |
30 | 43895 | 45851.3217592593 | 40828.375 | 5022.94675925926 | -1956.32175925925 |
31 | 31481 | 34440.4050925926 | 40937.75 | -6497.34490740741 | -2959.4050925926 |
32 | 29896 | 31682.1550925926 | 40915.75 | -9233.5949074074 | -1786.15509259259 |
33 | 33842 | 34622.2523148148 | 40355.0416666667 | -5732.78935185185 | -780.25231481481 |
34 | 39120 | 38618.8356481482 | 39767.1666666667 | -1148.33101851852 | 501.164351851847 |
35 | 33702 | 31848.3078703704 | 39646.5833333333 | -7798.27546296296 | 1853.69212962964 |
36 | 25094 | 22846.2106481481 | 39978.1666666667 | -17131.9560185185 | 2247.78935185185 |
37 | 51442 | 50993.974537037 | 40268 | 10725.9745370370 | 448.025462962964 |
38 | 45594 | 47844.3217592593 | 40465.875 | 7378.44675925926 | -2250.32175925925 |
39 | 52518 | 55568.0578703704 | 40686.125 | 14881.9328703704 | -3050.05787037037 |
40 | 48564 | 50062.9884259259 | 40674.3333333333 | 9388.6550925926 | -1498.98842592592 |
41 | 41745 | 40814.2106481481 | 40669.875 | 144.335648148148 | 930.789351851854 |
42 | 49585 | 45603.5300925926 | 40580.5833333333 | 5022.94675925926 | 3981.46990740741 |
43 | 32747 | 34207.7384259259 | 40705.0833333333 | -6497.34490740741 | -1460.73842592592 |
44 | 33379 | 32157.7800925926 | 41391.375 | -9233.5949074074 | 1221.21990740741 |
45 | 35645 | 36591.2106481481 | 42324 | -5732.78935185185 | -946.210648148146 |
46 | 37034 | 41843.5023148148 | 42991.8333333333 | -1148.33101851852 | -4809.50231481482 |
47 | 35681 | 35710.4745370370 | 43508.75 | -7798.27546296296 | -29.4745370370365 |
48 | 20972 | 26645.7939814815 | 43777.75 | -17131.9560185185 | -5673.79398148148 |
49 | 58552 | 54504.2662037037 | 43778.2916666667 | 10725.9745370370 | 4047.7337962963 |
50 | 54955 | 51274.6967592592 | 43896.25 | 7378.44675925926 | 3680.30324074076 |
51 | 65540 | 58754.099537037 | 43872.1666666667 | 14881.9328703704 | 6785.90046296297 |
52 | 51570 | 53435.0717592593 | 44046.4166666667 | 9388.6550925926 | -1865.07175925926 |
53 | 51145 | 44349.8356481481 | 44205.5 | 144.335648148148 | 6795.16435185185 |
54 | 46641 | 49204.3634259259 | 44181.4166666667 | 5022.94675925926 | -2563.36342592593 |
55 | 35704 | 37592.9050925926 | 44090.25 | -6497.34490740741 | -1888.90509259258 |
56 | 33253 | 34517.0717592592 | 43750.6666666667 | -9233.5949074074 | -1264.07175925925 |
57 | 35193 | 37537.0023148148 | 43269.7916666667 | -5732.78935185185 | -2344.00231481481 |
58 | 41668 | 41734.6273148148 | 42882.9583333333 | -1148.33101851852 | -66.6273148148102 |
59 | 34865 | 34787.1828703704 | 42585.4583333333 | -7798.27546296296 | 77.8171296296277 |
60 | 21210 | 25461.1273148148 | 42593.0833333333 | -17131.9560185185 | -4251.12731481482 |
61 | 56126 | NA | 42935.2083333333 | NA | NA |
62 | 49231 | NA | 43154 | NA | NA |
63 | 59723 | NA | 43260.7916666667 | NA | NA |
64 | 48103 | NA | 43525.5833333333 | NA | NA |
65 | 47472 | NA | 43792.25 | NA | NA |
66 | 50497 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
67 | 40059 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
68 | 34149 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
69 | 36860 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
70 | 46356 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
71 | 36577 | NA | NA | NA | NA |