Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.693880469628355
beta0.087046697378327
gamma0


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
31.31.290.01
41.31.297542804728850.00245719527115185
51.31.30000021917251-2.19172507698318e-07
61.31.30075246848991-0.000752468489908953
71.311.300937297598430.0090627024015666
81.311.308480069349180.00151993065081557
91.311.31088086291148-0.000880862911483815
101.311.31156258858657-0.00156258858657199
111.311.31167689777435-0.00167689777435487
121.321.311610605418200.00838939458179566
131.321.319035836189620.000964163810384111
141.321.32136707984355-0.00136707984354878
151.321.32199814742907-0.00199814742907023
161.331.322070641430760.00792935856923993
171.331.32951057124020.000489428759800514
181.331.33181764055815-0.00181764055814893
191.341.332414094038660.00758590596133701
201.341.339993673539066.32646094178568e-06
211.341.34231431297440-0.00231431297439522
221.341.34288492151731-0.00288492151731257
231.341.34288534666746-0.0028853466674561
241.341.34271120186611-0.00271120186610796
251.341.34249413613976-0.00249413613976057
261.351.342277042250590.007722957749412
271.361.349615856940690.0103841430593148
281.361.359428418417980.000571581582015757
291.361.36246675865857-0.00246675865857293
301.371.363247861715120.00675213828487942
311.371.37083360648664-0.000833606486641436
321.371.37310540127911-0.00310540127911074
331.371.37361327578671-0.00361327578671133
341.371.37355050422318-0.00355050422318159
351.371.37331683815499-0.00331683815499084
361.371.37304497137257-0.00304497137257020
371.381.372777831359990.00722216864000713
381.381.38007107829046-7.10782904578267e-05
391.381.38229939048672-0.00229939048672101
401.391.382842637176880.0071573628231234
411.41.390380045032650.00961995496734902
421.41.40020724279332-0.000207242793318629
431.41.40320302249129-0.00320302249129223
441.41.40392662659663-0.00392662659662824
451.411.403910967686310.00608903231369462
461.421.411212756455890.0087872435441092
471.431.420917530839870.0090824691601279
481.431.43137573767979-0.0013757376797916
491.431.43449410448582-0.00449410448581755
501.441.435177253542430.00482274645757341
511.451.442616477408840.00738352259116426
521.451.45227853860998-0.00227853860998461
531.461.455098660507840.00490133949216065
541.461.46319680051637-0.0031968005163725
551.471.465482712571070.00451728742893054
561.471.47339412376743-0.00339412376742532
571.471.47561095616083-0.00561095616082552
581.481.475950670081620.00404932991838014
591.491.483238047384050.0067619526159457
601.491.49281608255782-0.00281608255782362
611.491.49557801479144-0.00557801479143771
621.51.496086584078140.00391341592185745
631.511.503417442100060.00658255789994211
641.511.51299795212982-0.00299795212982357
651.511.51574965704245-0.00574965704245223
661.521.516244728353940.00375527164606027
671.521.52356190246725-0.0035619024672473
681.521.52558669344984-0.00558669344983964
691.521.52586908521197-0.00586908521196827
701.531.525601038079660.0043989619203435
711.531.53272348562799-0.00272348562799318
721.531.53473930738579-0.00473930738578709
731.531.53507013561406-0.005070135614061
741.541.534865172388330.00513482761166628
751.541.54205137744268-0.00205137744268025
761.551.544127311954850.00587268804514696
771.551.55205631112614-0.00205631112613647
781.551.55435933143005-0.00435933143005185
791.561.554801027291350.00519897270864855
801.561.56218906168580-0.00218906168579602
811.581.564318463972040.0156815360279579
821.581.579795089819600.000204910180397588
831.581.58454516383136-0.0045451638313585
841.581.58572472634685-0.0057247263468525
851.581.58574003998015-0.00574003998014727
861.581.58539802934889-0.00539802934888645
871.591.584967292224810.00503270777518838
881.591.59207821544097-0.00207821544096998
891.61.594129483697010.00587051630299285
901.61.60205080087231-0.00205080087231280
911.61.60435180238658-0.00435180238657606
921.611.604793335011190.00520666498881384
931.621.612181784049440.00781821595056109
941.621.62185455756436-0.00185455756436070
951.631.624703567167210.00529643283278647
961.631.63283441390549-0.00283441390549433


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
971.635152226281421.625303460207191.64500099235564
981.639436783109211.627100484989461.65177308122896
991.643721339937001.629005281799911.65843739807409
1001.648005896764791.630951857052661.66505993647692
1011.652290453592581.632906808644881.67167409854028
1021.656575010420371.634851144284381.67829887655635
1031.660859567248161.636773263967181.68494587052913
1041.665144124075951.638665748768191.69162249938371
1051.669428680903741.640523713347731.69833364845975
1061.673713237731531.642343887927901.70508258753515
1071.677997794559321.644124073743081.71187151537556
1081.682282351387111.645862803835691.71870189893853