Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 545688 | NA | NA | 7374.75 | NA |
2 | 544740 | NA | NA | -582.122 | NA |
3 | 543702 | NA | NA | 4128.24 | NA |
4 | 541794 | NA | NA | -3539.25 | NA |
5 | 561369 | NA | NA | 22058.6 | NA |
6 | 560421 | NA | NA | 30695.8 | NA |
7 | 545688 | 531897 | 544182 | -12284.9 | 13791.2 |
8 | 535914 | 533954 | 543897 | -9943.19 | 1960.44 |
9 | 536862 | 547422 | 543694 | 3727.85 | -10560.3 |
10 | 536862 | 535455 | 543655 | -8200.39 | 1407.39 |
11 | 537807 | 521029 | 543327 | -22298 | 16778.4 |
12 | 539808 | 532026 | 543164 | -11137.3 | 7781.57 |
13 | 544740 | 550091 | 542716 | 7374.75 | -5351.25 |
14 | 538848 | 541153 | 541735 | -582.122 | -2304.75 |
15 | 544740 | 545205 | 541077 | 4128.24 | -465.364 |
16 | 539808 | 537086 | 540625 | -3539.25 | 2721.87 |
17 | 555474 | 561908 | 539849 | 22058.6 | -6433.81 |
18 | 562407 | 569441 | 538745 | 30695.8 | -7033.67 |
19 | 532968 | 525597 | 537882 | -12284.9 | 7370.78 |
20 | 525075 | 527528 | 537471 | -9943.19 | -2452.81 |
21 | 531915 | 540788 | 537060 | 3727.85 | -8872.72 |
22 | 530967 | 528487 | 536688 | -8200.39 | 2479.76 |
23 | 525075 | 514105 | 536403 | -22298 | 10970.4 |
24 | 526035 | 524652 | 535789 | -11137.3 | 1382.94 |
25 | 537807 | 542095 | 534720 | 7374.75 | -4288.25 |
26 | 535914 | 533153 | 533735 | -582.122 | 2761.25 |
27 | 537807 | 537495 | 533367 | 4128.24 | 311.761 |
28 | 537807 | 529503 | 533042 | -3539.25 | 8303.75 |
29 | 550635 | 554286 | 532228 | 22058.6 | -3651.06 |
30 | 552528 | 562025 | 531329 | 30695.8 | -9496.92 |
31 | 517194 | 518308 | 530593 | -12284.9 | -1114.1 |
32 | 517194 | 519748 | 529691 | -9943.19 | -2553.68 |
33 | 530967 | 532232 | 528504 | 3727.85 | -1264.6 |
34 | 524127 | 518467 | 526668 | -8200.39 | 5659.64 |
35 | 512355 | 502244 | 524542 | -22298 | 10110.8 |
36 | 517194 | 511604 | 522741 | -11137.3 | 5590.19 |
37 | 528981 | 528275 | 520901 | 7374.75 | 705.622 |
38 | 523089 | 518316 | 518898 | -582.122 | 4773.25 |
39 | 522141 | 521229 | 517101 | 4128.24 | 911.511 |
40 | 509409 | 511845 | 515384 | -3539.25 | -2435.88 |
41 | 528021 | 535274 | 513215 | 22058.6 | -7252.81 |
42 | 531915 | 541584 | 510888 | 30695.8 | -9668.79 |
43 | 493635 | 496276 | 508561 | -12284.9 | -2640.85 |
44 | 492687 | 496492 | 506435 | -9943.19 | -3804.93 |
45 | 512355 | 508160 | 504432 | 3727.85 | 4194.78 |
46 | 501528 | 494063 | 502264 | -8200.39 | 7464.89 |
47 | 482901 | 478082 | 500380 | -22298 | 4818.9 |
48 | 490794 | 487443 | 498580 | -11137.3 | 3351.19 |
49 | 499527 | 503790 | 496416 | 7374.75 | -4263.38 |
50 | 501528 | 493384 | 493966 | -582.122 | 8143.87 |
51 | 495636 | 495233 | 491105 | 4128.24 | 402.511 |
52 | 483861 | 483929 | 487468 | -3539.25 | -67.7527 |
53 | 508368 | 505315 | 483257 | 22058.6 | 3052.57 |
54 | 508368 | 509576 | 478880 | 30695.8 | -1207.54 |
55 | 465234 | 462428 | 474713 | -12284.9 | 2806.28 |
56 | 462303 | 460277 | 470220 | -9943.19 | 2025.69 |
57 | 474075 | 468799 | 465071 | 3727.85 | 5276.03 |
58 | 452514 | 451432 | 459633 | -8200.39 | 1081.51 |
59 | 430848 | 431612 | 453910 | -22298 | -763.6 |
60 | 437796 | 437010 | 448147 | -11137.3 | 786.442 |
61 | 452514 | 449799 | 442424 | 7374.75 | 2715 |
62 | 440730 | 436198 | 436780 | -582.122 | 4531.62 |
63 | 432849 | 435182 | 431053 | 4128.24 | -2332.61 |
64 | 416130 | 421503 | 425042 | -3539.25 | -5372.63 |
65 | 438741 | 440764 | 418706 | 22058.6 | -2023.43 |
66 | 439689 | 443022 | 412326 | 30695.8 | -3332.67 |
67 | 396570 | 393819 | 406104 | -12284.9 | 2751.15 |
68 | 395517 | 389777 | 399720 | -9943.19 | 5740.19 |
69 | 403410 | 397191 | 393463 | 3727.85 | 6218.78 |
70 | 378903 | 379335 | 387535 | -8200.39 | -431.614 |
71 | 352395 | 359470 | 381768 | -22298 | -7075.35 |
72 | 363129 | 365153 | 376291 | -11137.3 | -2024.43 |
73 | 377850 | 378145 | 370770 | 7374.75 | -294.503 |
74 | 362184 | 364053 | 364635 | -582.122 | -1869.25 |
75 | 361236 | 362182 | 358054 | 4128.24 | -945.989 |
76 | 345462 | 347806 | 351345 | -3539.25 | -2343.63 |
77 | 371010 | 366572 | 344513 | 22058.6 | 4438.19 |
78 | 375957 | 368259 | 337563 | 30695.8 | 7697.83 |
79 | 327798 | 318329 | 330614 | -12284.9 | 9468.9 |
80 | 317064 | 313638 | 323581 | -9943.19 | 3425.94 |
81 | 323904 | 320276 | 316548 | 3727.85 | 3628.15 |
82 | 297396 | 301643 | 309844 | -8200.39 | -4247.36 |
83 | 269943 | 280965 | 303263 | -22298 | -11021.7 |
84 | 278784 | 285417 | 296554 | -11137.3 | -6633.06 |
85 | 295410 | 296690 | 289316 | 7374.75 | -1280.25 |
86 | 275838 | 281332 | 281914 | -582.122 | -5494.25 |
87 | 278784 | 279088 | 274960 | 4128.24 | -304.114 |
88 | 267012 | 264550 | 268089 | -3539.25 | 2462.37 |
89 | 291516 | 283277 | 261218 | 22058.6 | 8238.94 |
90 | 294450 | 285123 | 254428 | 30695.8 | 9326.71 |
91 | 235572 | 235557 | 247842 | -12284.9 | 14.9043 |
92 | 231663 | 231273 | 241216 | -9943.19 | 389.692 |
93 | 242397 | 237868 | 234140 | 3727.85 | 4529.28 |
94 | 213999 | 218328 | 226529 | -8200.39 | -4329.36 |
95 | 188451 | 196172 | 218470 | -22298 | -7720.97 |
96 | 197292 | 199318 | 210455 | -11137.3 | -2025.93 |
97 | 218850 | 209895 | 202520 | 7374.75 | 8955.5 |
98 | 193386 | 194082 | 194664 | -582.122 | -695.503 |
99 | 191397 | 191019 | 186891 | 4128.24 | 377.761 |
100 | 171732 | 175702 | 179241 | -3539.25 | -3969.88 |
101 | 193386 | 193812 | 171753 | 22058.6 | -425.933 |
102 | 200226 | 195127 | 164431 | 30695.8 | 5099.08 |
103 | 139344 | 145152 | 157437 | -12284.9 | -5808.35 |
104 | 139344 | 140580 | 150523 | -9943.19 | -1235.68 |
105 | 148173 | 147827 | 144100 | 3727.85 | 345.525 |
106 | 124626 | 130216 | 138416 | -8200.39 | -5589.99 |
107 | 98118 | 110720 | 133018 | -22298 | -12602 |
108 | 111891 | 116605 | 127742 | -11137.3 | -4714.06 |
109 | 136398 | 129802 | 122427 | 7374.75 | 6596.37 |
110 | 109893 | 116244 | 116826 | -582.122 | -6351.38 |
111 | 120732 | 115193 | 111064 | 4128.24 | 5539.39 |
112 | 105999 | 101802 | 105342 | -3539.25 | 4196.62 |
113 | 129558 | 122006 | 99947.2 | 22058.6 | 7552.19 |
114 | 137439 | 125328 | 94632.4 | 30695.8 | 12110.8 |
115 | 74559 | 97315.7 | 109601 | -12284.9 | -22756.7 |
116 | 69720 | NA | NA | -9943.19 | NA |
117 | 79506 | NA | NA | 3727.85 | NA |
118 | 55947 | NA | NA | -8200.39 | NA |
119 | 37332 | NA | NA | -22298 | NA |
120 | 45120 | NA | NA | -11137.3 | NA |
121 | 562407 | NA | NA | 7374.75 | NA |