Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 3207324 | NA | NA | 0.984783 | NA |
2 | 3178086 | NA | NA | 0.949773 | NA |
3 | 3148485 | NA | NA | 0.968744 | NA |
4 | 3087246 | NA | NA | 0.980369 | NA |
5 | 3693267 | NA | NA | 1.07106 | NA |
6 | 3661164 | NA | NA | 1.0755 | NA |
7 | 3207324 | 3306850 | 3162550 | 1.04563 | 0.969902 |
8 | 2905563 | 3150600 | 3161310 | 0.996612 | 0.922224 |
9 | 2934699 | 3179730 | 3163870 | 1.00501 | 0.922941 |
10 | 2934699 | 3151710 | 3180210 | 0.99104 | 0.931144 |
11 | 2967168 | 3071500 | 3215470 | 0.955228 | 0.966032 |
12 | 3025542 | 3184740 | 3262200 | 0.976254 | 0.950013 |
13 | 3207324 | 3271090 | 3321630 | 0.984783 | 0.980507 |
14 | 3148485 | 3226770 | 3397410 | 0.949773 | 0.975738 |
15 | 3239325 | 3374330 | 3483200 | 0.968744 | 0.95999 |
16 | 3388641 | 3511260 | 3581570 | 0.980369 | 0.965078 |
17 | 4238049 | 3949530 | 3687490 | 1.07106 | 1.07305 |
18 | 4238049 | 4081240 | 3794750 | 1.0755 | 1.03842 |
19 | 4056732 | 4085430 | 3907150 | 1.04563 | 0.992975 |
20 | 3874950 | 4004600 | 4018210 | 0.996612 | 0.967625 |
21 | 4024266 | 4141020 | 4120360 | 1.00501 | 0.971806 |
22 | 4205949 | 4186020 | 4223870 | 0.99104 | 1.00476 |
23 | 4238049 | 4134800 | 4328600 | 0.955228 | 1.02497 |
24 | 4328892 | 4326740 | 4431990 | 0.976254 | 1.0005 |
25 | 4601499 | 4470070 | 4539140 | 0.984783 | 1.0294 |
26 | 4419732 | 4406890 | 4639940 | 0.949773 | 1.00291 |
27 | 4419732 | 4590210 | 4738310 | 0.968744 | 0.962861 |
28 | 4692342 | 4739340 | 4834240 | 0.980369 | 0.990084 |
29 | 5448042 | 5272270 | 4922480 | 1.07106 | 1.03334 |
30 | 5509281 | 5391640 | 5013170 | 1.0755 | 1.02182 |
31 | 5357202 | 5332790 | 5100080 | 1.04563 | 1.00458 |
32 | 4993734 | 5173170 | 5190750 | 0.996612 | 0.965314 |
33 | 5266260 | 5318080 | 5291560 | 1.00501 | 0.990255 |
34 | 5266260 | 5340290 | 5388570 | 0.99104 | 0.986138 |
35 | 5295495 | 5234040 | 5479360 | 0.955228 | 1.01174 |
36 | 5448042 | 5440390 | 5572730 | 0.976254 | 1.00141 |
37 | 5568120 | 5592230 | 5678640 | 0.984783 | 0.995689 |
38 | 5629359 | 5497610 | 5788340 | 0.949773 | 1.02396 |
39 | 5629359 | 5708870 | 5893070 | 0.968744 | 0.986072 |
40 | 5811042 | 5875140 | 5992790 | 0.980369 | 0.98909 |
41 | 6508356 | 6511970 | 6079930 | 1.07106 | 0.999445 |
42 | 6689670 | 6633970 | 6168290 | 1.0755 | 1.0084 |
43 | 6718809 | 6551310 | 6265420 | 1.04563 | 1.02557 |
44 | 6264966 | 6330910 | 6352430 | 0.996612 | 0.989584 |
45 | 6508356 | 6464120 | 6431880 | 1.00501 | 1.00684 |
46 | 6417513 | 6455520 | 6513880 | 0.99104 | 0.994113 |
47 | 6235746 | 6305360 | 6600900 | 0.955228 | 0.98896 |
48 | 6628434 | 6541370 | 6700480 | 0.976254 | 1.01331 |
49 | 6718809 | 6704040 | 6807630 | 0.984783 | 1.0022 |
50 | 6566727 | 6577100 | 6924920 | 0.949773 | 0.998422 |
51 | 6598830 | 6834260 | 7054770 | 0.968744 | 0.965551 |
52 | 6809748 | 7037350 | 7178260 | 0.980369 | 0.967659 |
53 | 7597920 | 7813830 | 7295420 | 1.07106 | 0.972368 |
54 | 7990056 | 7981780 | 7421490 | 1.0755 | 1.00104 |
55 | 7990056 | 7899990 | 7555250 | 1.04563 | 1.0114 |
56 | 7808739 | 7660400 | 7686430 | 0.996612 | 1.01936 |
57 | 8080980 | 7875700 | 7836410 | 1.00501 | 1.02607 |
58 | 7808739 | 7936120 | 8007870 | 0.99104 | 0.983949 |
59 | 7656276 | 7807160 | 8173090 | 0.955228 | 0.980673 |
60 | 8233527 | 8135310 | 8333200 | 0.976254 | 1.01207 |
61 | 8323902 | 8362880 | 8492100 | 0.984783 | 0.995339 |
62 | 8110134 | 8220080 | 8654780 | 0.949773 | 0.986625 |
63 | 8654901 | 8546700 | 8822460 | 0.968744 | 1.01266 |
64 | 8868684 | 8822380 | 8999040 | 0.980369 | 1.00525 |
65 | 9504309 | 9829080 | 9176970 | 1.07106 | 0.966958 |
66 | 9926133 | 10050200 | 9344760 | 1.0755 | 0.987651 |
67 | 9867774 | 9949170 | 9515000 | 1.04563 | 0.991819 |
68 | 9835290 | 9657560 | 9690390 | 0.996612 | 1.0184 |
69 | 10078677 | 9925410 | 9875900 | 1.00501 | 1.01544 |
70 | 10049076 | 9986140 | 10076400 | 0.99104 | 1.0063 |
71 | 9686076 | 9831180 | 10292000 | 0.955228 | 0.985241 |
72 | 10230759 | 10263000 | 10512600 | 0.976254 | 0.99686 |
73 | 10412541 | 10565000 | 10728300 | 0.984783 | 0.985568 |
74 | 10230759 | 10387100 | 10936400 | 0.949773 | 0.984952 |
75 | 10986462 | 10786400 | 11134400 | 0.968744 | 1.01855 |
76 | 11349927 | 11114900 | 11337500 | 0.980369 | 1.02114 |
77 | 12196086 | 12359200 | 11539200 | 1.07106 | 0.986802 |
78 | 12529950 | 12613700 | 11728300 | 1.0755 | 0.993361 |
79 | 12439476 | 12463800 | 11919900 | 1.04563 | 0.998051 |
80 | 12257691 | 12078000 | 12119100 | 0.996612 | 1.01488 |
81 | 12409872 | 12383800 | 12322000 | 1.00501 | 1.00211 |
82 | 12591555 | 12410300 | 12522500 | 0.99104 | 1.0146 |
83 | 11985168 | 12161900 | 12731900 | 0.955228 | 0.985469 |
84 | 12468612 | 12641400 | 12948900 | 0.976254 | 0.986329 |
85 | 12773337 | 12953100 | 13153200 | 0.984783 | 0.986124 |
86 | 12650394 | 12692600 | 13363900 | 0.949773 | 0.996671 |
87 | 13438098 | 13161200 | 13585900 | 0.968744 | 1.02104 |
88 | 13710240 | 13530600 | 13801500 | 0.980369 | 1.01328 |
89 | 14861511 | 15010500 | 14014600 | 1.07106 | 0.990075 |
90 | 15072414 | 15305900 | 14231500 | 1.0755 | 0.984746 |
91 | 14800254 | 15110100 | 14450800 | 1.04563 | 0.979491 |
92 | 14952351 | 14612800 | 14662500 | 0.996612 | 1.02324 |
93 | 15043194 | 14945100 | 14870500 | 1.00501 | 1.00656 |
94 | 15134034 | 14947300 | 15082400 | 0.99104 | 1.01249 |
95 | 14556783 | 14610700 | 15295500 | 0.955228 | 0.99631 |
96 | 15101568 | 15140300 | 15508600 | 0.976254 | 0.99744 |
97 | 15403311 | 15494800 | 15734200 | 0.984783 | 0.994094 |
98 | 15101568 | 15177400 | 15980000 | 0.949773 | 0.995004 |
99 | 15980562 | 15721100 | 16228400 | 0.968744 | 1.0165 |
100 | 16252821 | 16150700 | 16474100 | 0.980369 | 1.00632 |
101 | 17433111 | 17910800 | 16722500 | 1.07106 | 0.973331 |
102 | 17614893 | 18241300 | 16960800 | 1.0755 | 0.965659 |
103 | 17673267 | 17966900 | 17182900 | 1.04563 | 0.983657 |
104 | 17977893 | 17339600 | 17398500 | 0.996612 | 1.03681 |
105 | 17977893 | 17704900 | 17616600 | 1.00501 | 1.01542 |
106 | 18097971 | 17674900 | 17834600 | 0.99104 | 1.02394 |
107 | 17553189 | 17242000 | 18050200 | 0.955228 | 1.01805 |
108 | 17825814 | 17834400 | 18268300 | 0.976254 | 0.999516 |
109 | 18007131 | 18216300 | 18497800 | 0.984783 | 0.988516 |
110 | 17673267 | 17795100 | 18736200 | 0.949773 | 0.993153 |
111 | 18642738 | 18381300 | 18974400 | 0.968744 | 1.01422 |
112 | 18824436 | 18833100 | 19210200 | 0.980369 | 0.999541 |
113 | 20034063 | 20823900 | 19442300 | 1.07106 | 0.962071 |
114 | 20247849 | 21172000 | 19685800 | 1.0755 | 0.956352 |
115 | 20549592 | NA | NA | 1.04563 | NA |
116 | 20822217 | NA | NA | 0.996612 | NA |
117 | 20851353 | NA | NA | 1.00501 | NA |
118 | 20883456 | NA | NA | 0.99104 | NA |
119 | 20338689 | NA | NA | 0.955228 | NA |
120 | 20883456 | NA | NA | 0.976254 | NA |