Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 19570 | NA | NA | 2463.8 | NA |
2 | 18845 | NA | NA | -3466.85 | NA |
3 | 19932 | NA | NA | -3970.89 | NA |
4 | 15946 | NA | NA | -7579.66 | NA |
5 | 20657 | NA | NA | -1953.1 | NA |
6 | 20294 | NA | NA | -2593.01 | NA |
7 | 21744 | 23935.8 | 21140.1 | 2795.74 | -2191.83 |
8 | 22469 | 23033.7 | 21125 | 1908.7 | -564.655 |
9 | 25006 | 20347.8 | 20989 | -641.215 | 4658.17 |
10 | 21744 | 24623 | 20898.4 | 3724.57 | -2878.99 |
11 | 20657 | 21823.8 | 20822.9 | 1000.96 | -1166.84 |
12 | 25730 | 28967.7 | 20656.7 | 8310.95 | -3237.7 |
13 | 21744 | 22984.6 | 20520.8 | 2463.8 | -1240.63 |
14 | 16308 | 16963.4 | 20430.2 | -3466.85 | -655.358 |
15 | 19207 | 16187.5 | 20158.4 | -3970.89 | 3019.51 |
16 | 14496 | 12488.1 | 20067.8 | -7579.66 | 2007.91 |
17 | 20294 | 18295.9 | 20249 | -1953.1 | 1998.14 |
18 | 16670 | 17837.2 | 20430.2 | -2593.01 | -1167.15 |
19 | 22106 | 23225.9 | 20430.2 | 2795.74 | -1119.91 |
20 | 19932 | 22278.4 | 20369.7 | 1908.7 | -2346.45 |
21 | 21019 | 19713.4 | 20354.6 | -641.215 | 1305.59 |
22 | 23556 | 24003.7 | 20279.1 | 3724.57 | -447.697 |
23 | 23194 | 21189.5 | 20188.5 | 1000.96 | 2004.5 |
24 | 27542 | 28378.7 | 20067.8 | 8310.95 | -836.702 |
25 | 19932 | 22410.8 | 19947 | 2463.8 | -2478.76 |
26 | 16670 | 16434.8 | 19901.7 | -3466.85 | 235.184 |
27 | 18482 | 15794.9 | 19765.8 | -3970.89 | 2687.1 |
28 | 13409 | 12125.8 | 19705.4 | -7579.66 | 1283.25 |
29 | 19207 | 17812.7 | 19765.8 | -1953.1 | 1394.31 |
30 | 14858 | 17097.3 | 19690.3 | -2593.01 | -2239.28 |
31 | 21019 | 22410.6 | 19614.8 | 2795.74 | -1391.58 |
32 | 19932 | 21568.9 | 19660.2 | 1908.7 | -1636.86 |
33 | 17758 | 18988.8 | 19630 | -641.215 | -1230.79 |
34 | 25368 | 23264 | 19539.4 | 3724.57 | 2104.01 |
35 | 22831 | 20480 | 19479 | 1000.96 | 2351 |
36 | 26093 | 27775 | 19464 | 8310.95 | -1681.95 |
37 | 19570 | 22003.3 | 19539.5 | 2463.8 | -2433.34 |
38 | 18120 | 16148.2 | 19615 | -3466.85 | 1971.81 |
39 | 16308 | 15704.5 | 19675.4 | -3970.89 | 603.47 |
40 | 13409 | 12065.5 | 19645.2 | -7579.66 | 1343.45 |
41 | 17758 | 17631.7 | 19584.8 | -1953.1 | 126.267 |
42 | 15946 | 17097.5 | 19690.5 | -2593.01 | -1151.53 |
43 | 21744 | 22758.1 | 19962.3 | 2795.74 | -1014.08 |
44 | 21019 | 21855.9 | 19947.3 | 1908.7 | -836.947 |
45 | 18120 | 19049.4 | 19690.6 | -641.215 | -929.368 |
46 | 24281 | 23354.8 | 19630.2 | 3724.57 | 926.22 |
47 | 22469 | 20616 | 19615.1 | 1000.96 | 1852.95 |
48 | 28992 | 27910.9 | 19599.9 | 8310.95 | 1081.13 |
49 | 23194 | 22124.1 | 19660.3 | 2463.8 | 1069.91 |
50 | 14134 | 16208.6 | 19675.4 | -3466.85 | -2074.57 |
51 | 14134 | 15704.5 | 19675.4 | -3970.89 | -1570.53 |
52 | 14134 | 12065.5 | 19645.2 | -7579.66 | 2068.45 |
53 | 16670 | 17601.5 | 19554.6 | -1953.1 | -931.525 |
54 | 16670 | 16991.8 | 19584.8 | -2593.01 | -321.822 |
55 | 22469 | 22501.4 | 19705.6 | 2795.74 | -32.3685 |
56 | 20657 | 21659.6 | 19750.9 | 1908.7 | -1002.61 |
57 | 18482 | 19139.9 | 19781.1 | -641.215 | -657.868 |
58 | 23194 | 23460.3 | 19735.8 | 3724.57 | -266.322 |
59 | 21382 | 20676.3 | 19675.4 | 1000.96 | 705.663 |
60 | 30804 | 28122.3 | 19811.3 | 8310.95 | 2681.71 |
61 | 24281 | 22486.6 | 20022.8 | 2463.8 | 1794.45 |
62 | 14134 | 16797.5 | 20264.3 | -3466.85 | -2663.48 |
63 | 14858 | 16489.8 | 20460.7 | -3970.89 | -1631.78 |
64 | 12322 | 12911.2 | 20490.9 | -7579.66 | -589.212 |
65 | 17033 | 18477.3 | 20430.4 | -1953.1 | -1444.32 |
66 | 19570 | 17716.6 | 20309.6 | -2593.01 | 1853.43 |
67 | 24643 | 22939.2 | 20143.5 | 2795.74 | 1703.8 |
68 | 24281 | 22112.5 | 20203.8 | 1908.7 | 2168.47 |
69 | 19570 | 19759 | 20400.2 | -641.215 | -188.952 |
70 | 22831 | 24154.9 | 20430.4 | 3724.57 | -1323.95 |
71 | 20294 | 21446.4 | 20445.5 | 1000.96 | -1152.42 |
72 | 28992 | 28862.1 | 20551.2 | 8310.95 | 129.882 |
73 | 22106 | 23105.6 | 20641.8 | 2463.8 | -999.592 |
74 | 17758 | 17159.9 | 20626.7 | -3466.85 | 598.142 |
75 | 15946 | 16535 | 20505.9 | -3970.89 | -588.988 |
76 | 11959 | 12926.2 | 20505.9 | -7579.66 | -967.212 |
77 | 17758 | 18613.2 | 20566.3 | -1953.1 | -855.233 |
78 | 21382 | 17988.4 | 20581.5 | -2593.01 | 3393.55 |
79 | 25006 | 23543.3 | 20747.6 | 2795.74 | 1462.67 |
80 | 23556 | 22792.2 | 20883.5 | 1908.7 | 763.803 |
81 | 17395 | 20287.5 | 20928.8 | -641.215 | -2892.54 |
82 | 25006 | 24653.3 | 20928.7 | 3724.57 | 352.72 |
83 | 19570 | 21899.5 | 20898.5 | 1000.96 | -2329.46 |
84 | 30079 | 29028.2 | 20717.3 | 8310.95 | 1050.76 |
85 | 25006 | 23030.1 | 20566.3 | 2463.8 | 1975.95 |
86 | 18120 | 17220.1 | 20687 | -3466.85 | 899.85 |
87 | 16670 | 16897.3 | 20868.2 | -3970.89 | -227.322 |
88 | 11234 | 13394.3 | 20973.9 | -7579.66 | -2160.25 |
89 | 17758 | 19005.7 | 20958.8 | -1953.1 | -1247.69 |
90 | 17033 | 18305.4 | 20898.4 | -2593.01 | -1272.36 |
91 | 25730 | 23663.9 | 20868.2 | 2795.74 | 2066.09 |
92 | 25730 | 22791.9 | 20883.2 | 1908.7 | 2938.05 |
93 | 19570 | 20151.5 | 20792.7 | -641.215 | -581.452 |
94 | 25368 | 24351.2 | 20626.6 | 3724.57 | 1016.8 |
95 | 18845 | 21627.6 | 20626.6 | 1000.96 | -2782.59 |
96 | 29354 | 29058.3 | 20747.4 | 8310.95 | 295.673 |
97 | 25006 | 23211.2 | 20747.4 | 2463.8 | 1794.82 |
98 | 18482 | 17310.8 | 20777.6 | -3466.85 | 1171.23 |
99 | 14134 | 16942.7 | 20913.5 | -3970.89 | -2808.65 |
100 | 9785 | 13288.6 | 20868.3 | -7579.66 | -3503.59 |
101 | 19207 | 18764.1 | 20717.2 | -1953.1 | 442.85 |
102 | 18482 | 18094 | 20687 | -2593.01 | 387.97 |
103 | 24281 | NA | NA | 2795.74 | NA |
104 | 27905 | NA | NA | 1908.7 | NA |
105 | 20657 | NA | NA | -641.215 | NA |
106 | 23194 | NA | NA | 3724.57 | NA |
107 | 17395 | NA | NA | 1000.96 | NA |
108 | 30079 | NA | NA | 8310.95 | NA |