Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 58896 | NA | NA | 1.13387 | NA |
2 | 57616 | NA | NA | 0.998657 | NA |
3 | 56232 | NA | NA | 0.960656 | NA |
4 | 53708 | NA | NA | 0.768845 | NA |
5 | 79784 | NA | NA | 1.03485 | NA |
6 | 78524 | NA | NA | 1.17086 | NA |
7 | 58896 | 55649.7 | 56764.7 | 0.980359 | 1.05833 |
8 | 45848 | 47735.6 | 56438.2 | 0.845804 | 0.960457 |
9 | 47112 | 51032.2 | 55842.7 | 0.913857 | 0.923181 |
10 | 47112 | 54466.7 | 55135.2 | 0.987875 | 0.864969 |
11 | 48372 | 56291.3 | 55024.2 | 1.02303 | 0.859316 |
12 | 51040 | 65838 | 55731.7 | 1.18134 | 0.775237 |
13 | 54968 | 64364.8 | 56765.7 | 1.13387 | 0.854007 |
14 | 53708 | 57722 | 57799.7 | 0.998657 | 0.930459 |
15 | 45848 | 56625.7 | 58944.8 | 0.960656 | 0.809668 |
16 | 47112 | 46285.4 | 60201.2 | 0.768845 | 1.01786 |
17 | 83716 | 63883.8 | 61732.3 | 1.03485 | 1.31044 |
18 | 91572 | 74516.6 | 63642.7 | 1.17086 | 1.22888 |
19 | 70664 | 64316.9 | 65605.5 | 0.980359 | 1.09868 |
20 | 58896 | 56640.8 | 66966.8 | 0.845804 | 1.03982 |
21 | 61548 | 62340.8 | 68217.2 | 0.913857 | 0.987283 |
22 | 62828 | 68249.8 | 69087.5 | 0.987875 | 0.920559 |
23 | 69404 | 71293.7 | 69688.8 | 1.02303 | 0.973495 |
24 | 75856 | 83940.6 | 71055.5 | 1.18134 | 0.903687 |
25 | 77260 | 81866.2 | 72200.8 | 1.13387 | 0.943735 |
26 | 64088 | 72810.4 | 72908.3 | 0.998657 | 0.880204 |
27 | 65476 | 70927.1 | 73832 | 0.960656 | 0.923144 |
28 | 48372 | 57812 | 75193.3 | 0.768845 | 0.836712 |
29 | 96888 | 79730.2 | 77045 | 1.03485 | 1.2152 |
30 | 111200 | 93019.7 | 79445.7 | 1.17086 | 1.19545 |
31 | 78524 | 80507.5 | 82120.5 | 0.980359 | 0.975362 |
32 | 68016 | 71809.2 | 84900.5 | 0.845804 | 0.947177 |
33 | 74596 | 80074.6 | 87622.7 | 0.913857 | 0.931581 |
34 | 82452 | 88765 | 89854.5 | 0.987875 | 0.928879 |
35 | 94220 | 93537.9 | 91432.3 | 1.02303 | 1.00729 |
36 | 108656 | 109621 | 92793.8 | 1.18134 | 0.991198 |
37 | 108656 | 107752 | 95030.8 | 1.13387 | 1.00839 |
38 | 99412 | 97574.4 | 97705.7 | 0.998657 | 1.01883 |
39 | 95484 | 96010.5 | 99942.7 | 0.960656 | 0.994516 |
40 | 71928 | 78474.9 | 102068 | 0.768845 | 0.916574 |
41 | 111200 | 107941 | 104306 | 1.03485 | 1.03019 |
42 | 129564 | 124871 | 106649 | 1.17086 | 1.03758 |
43 | 113848 | 106474 | 108608 | 0.980359 | 1.06925 |
44 | 96888 | 93244.8 | 110244 | 0.845804 | 1.03907 |
45 | 99412 | 102499 | 112160 | 0.913857 | 0.969887 |
46 | 108656 | 112959 | 114345 | 0.987875 | 0.961906 |
47 | 121704 | 118933 | 116256 | 1.02303 | 1.0233 |
48 | 137420 | 139207 | 117839 | 1.18134 | 0.987161 |
49 | 126896 | 135469 | 119475 | 1.13387 | 0.936718 |
50 | 120444 | 120948 | 121111 | 0.998657 | 0.995829 |
51 | 120444 | 118024 | 122858 | 0.960656 | 1.0205 |
52 | 99412 | 96260.6 | 125202 | 0.768845 | 1.03274 |
53 | 129564 | 132329 | 127873 | 1.03485 | 0.979103 |
54 | 149188 | 152532 | 130273 | 1.17086 | 0.978077 |
55 | 133492 | 129959 | 132563 | 0.980359 | 1.02718 |
56 | 116516 | 113689 | 134416 | 0.845804 | 1.02486 |
57 | 121704 | 123980 | 135667 | 0.913857 | 0.981642 |
58 | 142612 | 134669 | 136321 | 0.987875 | 1.05898 |
59 | 151856 | 139293 | 136158 | 1.02303 | 1.09019 |
60 | 164888 | 160330 | 135719 | 1.18134 | 1.02843 |
61 | 154380 | 153086 | 135012 | 1.13387 | 1.00845 |
62 | 137420 | 133850 | 134030 | 0.998657 | 1.02667 |
63 | 133492 | 128286 | 133540 | 0.960656 | 1.04058 |
64 | 102080 | 102380 | 133160 | 0.768845 | 0.997073 |
65 | 122968 | 137064 | 132448 | 1.03485 | 0.897158 |
66 | 145260 | 154565 | 132010 | 1.17086 | 0.939797 |
67 | 120444 | 129314 | 131905 | 0.980359 | 0.931407 |
68 | 106008 | 111150 | 131414 | 0.845804 | 0.953735 |
69 | 120444 | 119543 | 130812 | 0.913857 | 1.00754 |
70 | 134756 | 129174 | 130759 | 0.987875 | 1.04322 |
71 | 142612 | 133997 | 130981 | 1.02303 | 1.06429 |
72 | 163624 | 154802 | 131040 | 1.18134 | 1.05699 |
73 | 153120 | 148642 | 131092 | 1.13387 | 1.03013 |
74 | 126896 | 131132 | 131308 | 0.998657 | 0.967699 |
75 | 129564 | 126298 | 131471 | 0.960656 | 1.02586 |
76 | 104744 | 101206 | 131634 | 0.768845 | 1.03495 |
77 | 125636 | 135998 | 131418 | 1.03485 | 0.923806 |
78 | 144000 | 153613 | 131197 | 1.17086 | 0.937421 |
79 | 122968 | 129045 | 131630 | 0.980359 | 0.952911 |
80 | 108656 | 112074 | 132506 | 0.845804 | 0.9695 |
81 | 121704 | 122041 | 133545 | 0.913857 | 0.997235 |
82 | 137420 | 132785 | 134415 | 0.987875 | 1.0349 |
83 | 134756 | 138120 | 135010 | 1.02303 | 0.975647 |
84 | 166168 | 160391 | 135770 | 1.18134 | 1.03602 |
85 | 160976 | 155245 | 136916 | 1.13387 | 1.03692 |
86 | 140068 | 138040 | 138226 | 0.998657 | 1.01469 |
87 | 141332 | 134410 | 139915 | 0.960656 | 1.0515 |
88 | 113848 | 108956 | 141714 | 0.768845 | 1.0449 |
89 | 130824 | 148067 | 143081 | 1.03485 | 0.883543 |
90 | 157048 | 169319 | 144611 | 1.17086 | 0.927525 |
91 | 137420 | 143483 | 146358 | 0.980359 | 0.957743 |
92 | 125636 | 124991 | 147778 | 0.845804 | 1.00516 |
93 | 145260 | 135945 | 148760 | 0.913857 | 1.06852 |
94 | 157048 | 147494 | 149304 | 0.987875 | 1.06478 |
95 | 147928 | 153191 | 149743 | 1.02303 | 0.965643 |
96 | 189724 | 176903 | 149748 | 1.18134 | 1.07247 |
97 | 179340 | 169303 | 149315 | 1.13387 | 1.05928 |
98 | 155784 | 149171 | 149372 | 0.998657 | 1.04433 |
99 | 149188 | 144123 | 150026 | 0.960656 | 1.03514 |
100 | 119056 | 115931 | 150786 | 0.768845 | 1.02696 |
101 | 136140 | 156942 | 151656 | 1.03485 | 0.867457 |
102 | 151856 | 178908 | 152800 | 1.17086 | 0.848795 |
103 | 132212 | 151025 | 154051 | 0.980359 | 0.875432 |
104 | 132212 | 131354 | 155301 | 0.845804 | 1.00653 |
105 | 154380 | 143018 | 156499 | 0.913857 | 1.07945 |
106 | 166168 | 155571 | 157481 | 0.987875 | 1.06811 |
107 | 159696 | 161777 | 158135 | 1.02303 | 0.987139 |
108 | 205420 | 187578 | 158784 | 1.18134 | 1.09512 |
109 | 193652 | 181207 | 159813 | 1.13387 | 1.06868 |
110 | 171484 | 160627 | 160843 | 0.998657 | 1.06759 |
111 | 162240 | 155195 | 161551 | 0.960656 | 1.0454 |
112 | 129564 | 124755 | 162263 | 0.768845 | 1.03854 |
113 | 141332 | 168371 | 162701 | 1.03485 | 0.839406 |
114 | 162240 | 190247 | 162485 | 1.17086 | 0.852787 |
115 | 146524 | NA | NA | 0.980359 | NA |
116 | 142612 | NA | NA | 0.845804 | NA |
117 | 160976 | NA | NA | 0.913857 | NA |
118 | 176672 | NA | NA | 0.987875 | NA |
119 | 159696 | NA | NA | 1.02303 | NA |
120 | 200228 | NA | NA | 1.18134 | NA |