| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 125326 | NA | NA | 0.994711281227772 | NA |
| 2 | 122716 | NA | NA | 0.97173141473556 | NA |
| 3 | 116615 | NA | NA | 0.932157671859131 | NA |
| 4 | 113719 | NA | NA | 0.907899615121965 | NA |
| 5 | 110737 | NA | NA | 0.844104467813269 | NA |
| 6 | 112093 | NA | NA | 0.860296251944648 | NA |
| 7 | 143565 | 141470.749878675 | 126010 | 1.12269462644771 | 1.01480341429674 |
| 8 | 149946 | 147527.052098243 | 125168.166666667 | 1.17863076552938 | 1.01639663958137 |
| 9 | 149147 | 143035.431949032 | 124191.083333333 | 1.15173672787055 | 1.04272765123781 |
| 10 | 134339 | 130249.742396 | 123194.291666667 | 1.05727092249066 | 1.0313955139471 |
| 11 | 122683 | 121125.880735496 | 122022.958333333 | 0.992648288403347 | 1.0128553803287 |
| 12 | 115614 | 118881.204928668 | 120554.75 | 0.986117966556011 | 0.972517060786618 |
| 13 | 116566 | 118322.398968965 | 118951.5 | 0.994711281227772 | 0.985155820163636 |
| 14 | 111272 | 114009.5219205 | 117326.166666667 | 0.97173141473556 | 0.975988655382583 |
| 15 | 104609 | 107627.5073914 | 115460.625 | 0.932157671859131 | 0.971954127113406 |
| 16 | 101802 | 103140.649584809 | 113603.583333333 | 0.907899615121965 | 0.987021125131574 |
| 17 | 94542 | 94608.8466194078 | 112081.916666667 | 0.844104467813269 | 0.9992934421907 |
| 18 | 93051 | 95425.4582471097 | 110921.625 | 0.860296251944648 | 0.975117140742872 |
| 19 | 124129 | 123479.568489851 | 109985 | 1.12269462644771 | 1.00525942484325 |
| 20 | 130374 | 128562.342875107 | 109077.708333333 | 1.17863076552938 | 1.01409166233578 |
| 21 | 123946 | 124666.382876225 | 108242.083333333 | 1.15173672787055 | 0.994221514576708 |
| 22 | 114971 | 113621.029380022 | 107466.333333333 | 1.05727092249066 | 1.01188134474176 |
| 23 | 105531 | 105887.736860216 | 106671.958333333 | 0.992648288403347 | 0.996630989850247 |
| 24 | 104919 | 104530.599955616 | 106002.125 | 0.986117966556011 | 1.00371565880755 |
| 25 | 104782 | 104868.431534719 | 105426 | 0.994711281227772 | 0.99917580978895 |
| 26 | 101281 | 101704.446526895 | 104663.125 | 0.97173141473556 | 0.995836499372888 |
| 27 | 94545 | 96902.8391771459 | 103955.416666667 | 0.932157671859131 | 0.975668007282681 |
| 28 | 93248 | 93885.5965665574 | 103409.666666667 | 0.907899615121965 | 0.993208792510517 |
| 29 | 84031 | 87036.315096616 | 103110.833333333 | 0.844104467813269 | 0.965470561417038 |
| 30 | 87486 | 88735.5078265708 | 103145.291666667 | 0.860296251944648 | 0.985918739215276 |
| 31 | 115867 | 116099.769257611 | 103411.708333333 | 1.12269462644771 | 0.997995092849028 |
| 32 | 120327 | 122490.822924944 | 103926.375 | 1.17863076552938 | 0.982334816002751 |
| 33 | 117008 | 120729.746740363 | 104824.083333333 | 1.15173672787055 | 0.969172910232579 |
| 34 | 108811 | 112018.382873347 | 105950.5 | 1.05727092249066 | 0.971367352473094 |
| 35 | 104519 | 106348.367026381 | 107136 | 0.992648288403347 | 0.982798353397122 |
| 36 | 106758 | 106929.578438755 | 108434.875 | 0.986117966556011 | 0.998395407133738 |
| 37 | 109337 | 109138.60272612 | 109718.875 | 0.994711281227772 | 1.00181784692973 |
| 38 | 109078 | 107910.085296632 | 111049.291666667 | 0.97173141473556 | 1.01082303567973 |
| 39 | 108293 | 104867.738084152 | 112500 | 0.932157671859131 | 1.03266268519208 |
| 40 | 106534 | 103372.315303268 | 113858.75 | 0.907899615121965 | 1.03058541048884 |
| 41 | 99197 | 97117.1030455149 | 115053.416666667 | 0.844104467813269 | 1.02141638176244 |
| 42 | 103493 | 99991.7673697233 | 116229.458333333 | 0.860296251944648 | 1.03501520897546 |
| 43 | 130676 | 131690.442419319 | 117298.541666667 | 1.12269462644771 | 0.992296765044733 |
| 44 | 137448 | 139251.197958848 | 118146.583333333 | 1.17863076552938 | 0.987050754425966 |
| 45 | 134704 | 136715.996490297 | 118704.208333333 | 1.15173672787055 | 0.985283386421864 |
| 46 | 123725 | 125722.37614703 | 118912.166666667 | 1.05727092249066 | 0.984112803080545 |
| 47 | 118277 | 118103.059895581 | 118977.75 | 0.992648288403347 | 1.00147278236967 |
| 48 | 121225 | 117301.156328505 | 118952.458333333 | 0.986117966556011 | 1.03345102294223 |
| 49 | 120528 | 118255.71186682 | 118884.458333333 | 0.994711281227772 | 1.01921503914956 |
| 50 | 118240 | 115438.938831576 | 118797.166666667 | 0.97173141473556 | 1.02426443968365 |
| 51 | 112514 | 110580.854775171 | 118628.916666667 | 0.932157671859131 | 1.01748173523129 |
| 52 | 107304 | 107477.345583891 | 118380.208333333 | 0.907899615121965 | 0.99838714304908 |
| 53 | 100001 | 99586.6361791611 | 117979.041666667 | 0.844104467813269 | 1.00416083760569 |
| 54 | 102082 | 100864.860528416 | 117244.333333333 | 0.860296251944648 | 1.01206703172153 |
| 55 | 130455 | 130577.290697196 | 116307.041666667 | 1.12269462644771 | 0.999063461214862 |
| 56 | 135574 | 135975.144636443 | 115367.041666667 | 1.17863076552938 | 0.997049867918758 |
| 57 | 132540 | 131812.62133848 | 114446.833333333 | 1.15173672787055 | 1.00551827779566 |
| 58 | 119920 | 120140.24999401 | 113632.416666667 | 1.05727092249066 | 0.998166726022123 |
| 59 | 112454 | 112099.068083519 | 112929.291666667 | 0.992648288403347 | 1.00316623431888 |
| 60 | 109415 | 110649.33867335 | 112207 | 0.986117966556011 | 0.988844590594489 |
| 61 | 109843 | 110778.052702797 | 111367.041666667 | 0.994711281227772 | 0.991559224232752 |
| 62 | 106365 | 107438.188228351 | 110563.666666667 | 0.97173141473556 | 0.990011110145771 |
| 63 | 102304 | 102390.296031769 | 109842.25 | 0.932157671859131 | 0.999157185445173 |
| 64 | 97968 | 99185.8766904888 | 109247.625 | 0.907899615121965 | 0.987721269084618 |
| 65 | 92462 | 91857.3474224925 | 108822.25 | 0.844104467813269 | 1.00658251728875 |
| 66 | 92286 | 93330.7802563332 | 108486.791666667 | 0.860296251944648 | 0.988805619609483 |
| 67 | 120092 | 121687.280076613 | 108388.583333333 | 1.12269462644771 | 0.986890330068941 |
| 68 | 126656 | NA | NA | 1.17863076552938 | NA |
| 69 | 124144 | NA | NA | 1.15173672787055 | NA |
| 70 | 114045 | NA | NA | 1.05727092249066 | NA |
| 71 | 108120 | NA | NA | 0.992648288403347 | NA |
| 72 | 105698 | NA | NA | 0.986117966556011 | NA |
| 73 | 111203 | NA | NA | 0.994711281227772 | NA |
