Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 530.3 | NA | NA | 1.00160333338385 | NA |
2 | 527.76 | NA | NA | 0.99573322571617 | NA |
3 | 521.41 | NA | NA | 0.990467383918957 | NA |
4 | 1601.93 | NA | NA | 0.981735067903153 | NA |
5 | 1577.49 | NA | NA | 0.984973673826725 | NA |
6 | 1551.43 | NA | NA | 0.988134293444604 | NA |
7 | 1551.43 | 1339.20505654352 | 1284.74541666667 | 1.04238944087316 | 1.15847083493265 |
8 | 1516.88 | 1381.03973189035 | 1349.22833333333 | 1.0235774759328 | 1.09836086896915 |
9 | 1485.95 | 1426.55371371764 | 1410.45041666667 | 1.01141713091129 | 1.04163620739353 |
10 | 1438.22 | 1424.24256505491 | 1422.975 | 1.00089078518942 | 1.00981394271456 |
11 | 1385.06 | 1376.55033531588 | 1388.07416666667 | 0.991697971457491 | 1.00618187687424 |
12 | 1329.49 | 1336.26484614929 | 1353.34375 | 0.987380217442382 | 0.994930012438169 |
13 | 1329.49 | 1320.77049558745 | 1318.65625 | 1.00160333338385 | 1.00660183161396 |
14 | 1276.16 | 1277.84021433764 | 1283.31583333333 | 0.99573322571617 | 0.998685113898606 |
15 | 1242.34 | 1236.39465761963 | 1248.29416666667 | 0.990467383918957 | 1.0048086121561 |
16 | 1181.59 | 1193.35501574641 | 1215.55708333333 | 0.981735067903153 | 0.990141227387351 |
17 | 1160.21 | 1167.24305216836 | 1185.05 | 0.984973673826725 | 0.993974646364102 |
18 | 1135.18 | 1143.34178208382 | 1157.07125 | 0.988134293444604 | 0.99286146783778 |
19 | 1135.18 | 1178.63364975569 | 1130.70375 | 1.04238944087316 | 0.963132182960588 |
20 | 1084.96 | 1131.92144579783 | 1105.84833333333 | 1.0235774759328 | 0.958511744810414 |
21 | 1077.35 | 1095.40352376695 | 1083.03833333333 | 1.01141713091129 | 0.98351883723647 |
22 | 1061.13 | 1063.27547375462 | 1062.32916666667 | 1.00089078518942 | 0.997982203288257 |
23 | 1029.98 | 1035.10087280079 | 1043.76625 | 0.991697971457491 | 0.995052778975119 |
24 | 1013.08 | 1013.37588152552 | 1026.32791666667 | 0.987380217442382 | 0.99970802391204 |
25 | 1013.08 | 1011.05387816905 | 1009.43541666667 | 1.00160333338385 | 1.00200397018863 |
26 | 996.04 | 989.892420569657 | 994.134166666667 | 0.99573322571617 | 1.00621035104684 |
27 | 975.02 | 970.556100638983 | 979.897083333333 | 0.990467383918957 | 1.00459932131494 |
28 | 951.89 | 947.625092025136 | 965.255416666667 | 0.981735067903153 | 1.00450062794955 |
29 | 944.4 | 936.942253433959 | 951.235833333333 | 0.984973673826725 | 1.00795966511139 |
30 | 932.47 | 926.92637325029 | 938.057083333333 | 0.988134293444604 | 1.00598065489309 |
31 | 932.47 | 964.439124155733 | 925.219583333333 | 1.04238944087316 | 0.966852107763962 |
32 | 920.44 | 934.021697129133 | 912.507083333333 | 1.0235774759328 | 0.985458906178648 |
33 | 900.18 | 910.651327853818 | 900.371666666667 | 1.01141713091129 | 0.988501276467146 |
34 | 886.9 | 890.060897431912 | 889.26875 | 1.00089078518942 | 0.996448672848081 |
35 | 867.74 | 871.400875444817 | 878.695833333333 | 0.991697971457491 | 0.995798861869461 |
36 | 859.03 | 857.455791530226 | 868.415 | 0.987380217442382 | 1.00183590627683 |
37 | 859.03 | 859.853090965589 | 858.476666666667 | 1.00160333338385 | 0.999042753960837 |
38 | 844.99 | 845.326477305211 | 848.94875 | 0.99573322571617 | 0.999601955795489 |
39 | 834.82 | 832.378059382166 | 840.389166666667 | 0.990467383918957 | 1.00293369171653 |
40 | 825.62 | 817.091552115341 | 832.293333333333 | 0.981735067903153 | 1.01043756707872 |
41 | 816.92 | 812.101765144791 | 824.490833333333 | 0.984973673826725 | 1.00593304319976 |
42 | 813.21 | 807.210198095875 | 816.903333333333 | 0.988134293444604 | 1.00743276276523 |
43 | 813.21 | 843.44246681958 | 809.143333333333 | 1.04238944087316 | 0.964155863607889 |
44 | 811.03 | 820.36237472971 | 801.465833333333 | 1.0235774759328 | 0.988624082457725 |
45 | 804.16 | 802.873032688692 | 793.81 | 1.01141713091129 | 1.00160295247058 |
46 | 788.62 | 786.755623189895 | 786.055416666667 | 1.00089078518942 | 1.00236970255458 |
47 | 778.76 | 772.071580208658 | 778.535 | 0.991697971457491 | 1.00866295297326 |
48 | 765.91 | 761.758489447287 | 771.494583333333 | 0.987380217442382 | 1.00544990388716 |
49 | 765.91 | 765.888091578905 | 764.662083333333 | 1.00160333338385 | 1.000028605251 |
50 | 753.85 | 754.59899977755 | 757.8325 | 0.99573322571617 | 0.999007420129406 |
51 | 742.22 | 744.040749578894 | 751.201666666667 | 0.990467383918957 | 0.997552889972862 |
52 | 732.11 | 731.536613397808 | 745.146666666667 | 0.981735067903153 | 1.00078381121559 |
53 | 729.94 | 728.306771466772 | 739.4175 | 0.984973673826725 | 1.00224250082138 |
54 | 731.22 | 725.204933082908 | 733.913333333333 | 0.988134293444604 | 1.00829429950445 |
55 | 731.22 | 759.57702435413 | 728.688333333333 | 1.04238944087316 | 0.962667348478265 |
56 | 729.11 | 740.722502724144 | 723.660416666667 | 1.0235774759328 | 0.984322735327418 |
57 | 726.94 | 726.926141752368 | 718.720416666667 | 1.01141713091129 | 1.00001906417562 |
58 | 720.52 | 714.331165973588 | 713.695416666667 | 1.00089078518942 | 1.00866381633787 |
59 | 709.36 | 702.627516549859 | 708.509583333333 | 0.991697971457491 | 1.00958186705126 |
60 | 703.21 | 693.9427476628 | 702.812083333333 | 0.987380217442382 | 1.01335449122916 |
61 | 703.21 | 697.905099994921 | 696.787916666667 | 1.00160333338385 | 1.00760117672892 |
62 | 695.88 | 687.782396110086 | 690.729583333333 | 0.99573322571617 | 1.01177349687301 |
63 | 681.63 | 677.979876629446 | 684.505 | 0.990467383918957 | 1.00538382258291 |
64 | 672.1 | 665.831130584441 | 678.21875 | 0.981735067903153 | 1.00941510411214 |
65 | 665.49 | 662.06811271332 | 672.168333333333 | 0.984973673826725 | 1.00516848224672 |
66 | 658.93 | 658.463049122681 | 666.37 | 0.988134293444604 | 1.0007091527428 |
67 | 658.93 | NA | NA | 1.04238944087316 | NA |
68 | 656 | NA | NA | 1.0235774759328 | NA |
69 | 650.66 | NA | NA | 1.01141713091129 | NA |
70 | 645.93 | NA | NA | 1.00089078518942 | NA |
71 | 638.74 | NA | NA | 0.991697971457491 | NA |
72 | 634.67 | NA | NA | 0.987380217442382 | NA |