Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.830113043957641
beta0.00137966518934271
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
13166.19165.6349679487180.555032051282041
14166.19166.1294927272380.0605072727619813
15166.35166.363575334201-0.0135753342007945
16166.52166.5003121219280.0196878780724319
17167.17167.0884336841410.081566315858737
18167.16167.0442647608140.115735239186137
19167.16167.63109245547-0.471092455469886
20167.16167.336913961045-0.176913961044846
21167.39166.9571509230810.432849076919297
22168.46167.7007225358760.759277464124125
23168.55167.8036361946370.746363805363501
24168.58168.5725181842470.00748181575343665
25168.58168.70151253746-0.121512537460376
26169.21168.5520651481550.657934851845027
27169.29169.2718283628660.018171637134401
28169.24169.442939920719-0.202939920718791
29169.53169.858882821146-0.328882821146379
30169.57169.4814447297880.0885552702122823
31169.57169.947629638378-0.377629638377755
32169.67169.782734008892-0.112734008891749
33170.04169.5616329490840.478367050916091
34170.39170.40029225792-0.0102922579203835
35170.57169.8631475256970.706852474303219
36170.48170.4746243161570.00537568384277165
37170.48170.580873555916-0.100873555915854
38170.48170.581918108272-0.101918108272116
39170.49170.562301110736-0.0723011107362197
40170.72170.6207135410670.0992864589325393
41171.11171.266456028845-0.156456028845241
42171.07171.103580013567-0.0335800135668762
43171.07171.389551276015-0.319551276015318
44171.07171.318307261859-0.24830726185931
45171.05171.085367864041-0.0353678640409214
46172.28171.4142463349090.86575366509129
47172.74171.726849660861.01315033914022
48172.86172.4744647185970.385535281402923
49172.86172.879722598607-0.0197225986067906
50173.24172.9495306632020.290469336798395
51173.2173.262697036265-0.0626970362651491
52173.38173.3602693159340.0197306840657916
53172.89173.898469982948-1.00846998294796
54172.98173.050171088499-0.0701710884985118
55172.98173.258112913662-0.278112913662426
56172.69173.234346390366-0.544346390366286
57172.77172.792473166497-0.022473166496809
58172.65173.285795745544-0.635795745544186
59172.3172.375915658196-0.0759156581956688
60172.17172.1105434970160.0594565029842045
61172.17172.173581934109-0.00358193410875174
62173.07172.3068154561390.763184543861115
63173.27172.9502612365280.31973876347152
64173.05173.377610559833-0.32761055983292
65173.41173.45071174905-0.0407117490498194
66173.37173.564185584263-0.194185584262499
67173.37173.63273197733-0.262731977329537
68173.08173.575398612595-0.495398612594499
69173.97173.2617679274220.708232072577516
70175.23174.2572507078260.972749292173717
71174.9174.7793911503640.120608849635602
72174.83174.7020095746930.12799042530736


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
73174.813163060571174.011952388146175.614373732996
74175.081571272178174.039692243727176.123450300629
75175.017215551853173.780159207387176.25427189632
76175.069866759007173.664046822458176.475686695555
77175.464734726223173.907950387345177.021519065101
78175.587049952229173.892336573886177.281763330571
79175.806488829727173.983919421205177.629058238249
80175.929368217224173.98702514654177.871711287907
81176.233665442019174.178217270743178.289113613295
82176.687572349815174.524640849606178.850503850024
83176.257738085813173.992144398138178.523331773489
84176.081638148891173.717574884525178.445701413258