| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 1 |
| beta | 0 |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 3 | 1.04 | 1.03 | 0.01 |
| 4 | 1.06 | 1.05 | 0.01 |
| 5 | 1.06 | 1.07 | -0.01 |
| 6 | 1.06 | 1.07 | -0.01 |
| 7 | 1.06 | 1.07 | -0.01 |
| 8 | 1.06 | 1.07 | -0.01 |
| 9 | 1.02 | 1.07 | -0.05 |
| 10 | 0.98 | 1.03 | -0.05 |
| 11 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 0 |
| 12 | 0.99 | 1 | -0.01 |
| 13 | 0.94 | 1 | -0.0600000000000001 |
| 14 | 0.96 | 0.95 | 0.01 |
| 15 | 0.98 | 0.97 | 0.01 |
| 16 | 1.01 | 0.99 | 0.02 |
| 17 | 1.01 | 1.02 | -0.01 |
| 18 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 0 |
| 19 | 1.04 | 1.03 | 0.01 |
| 20 | 1.03 | 1.05 | -0.02 |
| 21 | 1.05 | 1.04 | 0.01 |
| 22 | 1.08 | 1.06 | 0.02 |
| 23 | 1.17 | 1.09 | 0.0799999999999998 |
| 24 | 1.11 | 1.18 | -0.0699999999999998 |
| 25 | 1.11 | 1.12 | -0.01 |
| 26 | 1.11 | 1.12 | -0.01 |
| 27 | 1.2 | 1.12 | 0.0799999999999998 |
| 28 | 1.21 | 1.21 | 0 |
| 29 | 1.31 | 1.22 | 0.0900000000000001 |
| 30 | 1.37 | 1.32 | 0.05 |
| 31 | 1.37 | 1.38 | -0.01 |
| 32 | 1.26 | 1.38 | -0.12 |
| 33 | 1.23 | 1.27 | -0.04 |
| 34 | 1.17 | 1.24 | -0.0700000000000001 |
| 35 | 1.06 | 1.18 | -0.12 |
| 36 | 0.95 | 1.07 | -0.12 |
| 37 | 0.92 | 0.96 | -0.0399999999999999 |
| 38 | 0.92 | 0.93 | -0.01 |
| 39 | 0.9 | 0.93 | -0.03 |
| 40 | 0.93 | 0.91 | 0.02 |
| 41 | 0.93 | 0.94 | -0.01 |
| 42 | 0.97 | 0.94 | 0.0299999999999999 |
| 43 | 0.96 | 0.98 | -0.02 |
| 44 | 0.99 | 0.97 | 0.02 |
| 45 | 0.98 | 1 | -0.02 |
| 46 | 0.96 | 0.99 | -0.03 |
| 47 | 1 | 0.97 | 0.03 |
| 48 | 0.99 | 1.01 | -0.02 |
| 49 | 1.03 | 1 | 0.03 |
| 50 | 1.02 | 1.04 | -0.02 |
| 51 | 1.07 | 1.03 | 0.04 |
| 52 | 1.13 | 1.08 | 0.0499999999999998 |
| 53 | 1.15 | 1.14 | 0.01 |
| 54 | 1.16 | 1.16 | 0 |
| 55 | 1.14 | 1.17 | -0.03 |
| 56 | 1.15 | 1.15 | 0 |
| 57 | 1.15 | 1.16 | -0.01 |
| 58 | 1.16 | 1.16 | 0 |
| 59 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 0 |
| 60 | 1.22 | 1.18 | 0.04 |
| 61 | 1.26 | 1.23 | 0.03 |
| 62 | 1.29 | 1.27 | 0.02 |
| 63 | 1.36 | 1.3 | 0.0600000000000001 |
| 64 | 1.38 | 1.37 | 0.00999999999999979 |
| 65 | 1.37 | 1.39 | -0.0199999999999998 |
| 66 | 1.37 | 1.38 | -0.01 |
| 67 | 1.37 | 1.38 | -0.01 |
| 68 | 1.36 | 1.38 | -0.02 |
| 69 | 1.38 | 1.37 | 0.00999999999999979 |
| 70 | 1.4 | 1.39 | 0.01 |
| 71 | 1.44 | 1.41 | 0.03 |
| 72 | 1.42 | 1.45 | -0.03 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 73 | 1.43 | 1.35120678903569 | 1.50879321096431 |
| 74 | 1.44 | 1.32856957243135 | 1.55143042756865 |
| 75 | 1.45 | 1.31352615531833 | 1.58647384468167 |
| 76 | 1.46 | 1.30241357807138 | 1.61758642192862 |
| 77 | 1.47 | 1.29381302411833 | 1.64618697588167 |
| 78 | 1.48 | 1.28699683794198 | 1.67300316205802 |
| 79 | 1.49 | 1.28153275878819 | 1.69846724121181 |
| 80 | 1.5 | 1.2771391448627 | 1.7228608551373 |
| 81 | 1.51 | 1.27362036710708 | 1.74637963289292 |
| 82 | 1.52 | 1.27083398919464 | 1.76916601080536 |
| 83 | 1.53 | 1.26867248320407 | 1.79132751679593 |
| 84 | 1.54 | 1.26705231063665 | 1.81294768936335 |
