Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.999954828396838
betaFALSE
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
20.50.51-0.01
30.470.500000451716032-0.0300004517160316
40.470.4700013551685-1.35516849958384e-06
50.440.470000000061215-0.0300000000612151
60.430.440001355148098-0.0100013551480976
70.450.4300004517772460.0199995482227542
80.460.4499990965883440.0100009034116558
90.460.459999548243164.51756840158524e-07
100.450.459999999979593-0.00999999997959344
110.450.450000451716031-4.51716030691607e-07
120.450.450000000020405-2.04047334584345e-11
130.440.450000000000001-0.010000000000001
140.430.440000451716032-0.0100004517160316
150.450.4300004517364360.0199995482635636
160.450.4499990965883429.03411657593445e-07
170.440.449999999959191-0.00999999995919143
180.470.440000451716030.0299995482839702
190.460.46999864487231-0.00999864487230984
200.480.4600004516548180.0199995483451816
210.490.4799990965883390.0100009034116613
220.520.489999548243160.0300004517568402
230.560.5199986448314990.0400013551685015
240.580.5599981930746580.0200018069253415
250.580.5799990964863159.03513684979984e-07
260.550.579999999959187-0.0299999999591868
270.550.550001355148093-1.35514809307402e-06
280.530.550000000061214-0.0200000000612143
290.560.5300009034320660.029999096567934
300.570.5599986448927150.0100013551072853
310.610.5699995482227560.040000451777244
320.570.609998193115466-0.039998193115466
330.590.5700018067825070.0199981932174934
340.530.589999096649552-0.0599990966495519
350.430.530002710255384-0.100002710255384
360.380.430004517282743-0.0500045172827428
370.40.3800022587842110.019997741215789
380.450.399999096669970.0500009033300303
390.40.449997741379037-0.049997741379037
400.370.400002258478133-0.0300022584781326
410.370.370001355250114-1.35525011396576e-06
420.40.3700000000612190.0299999999387812
430.410.3999986448519080.010001355148092
440.430.4099995482227540.0200004517772459
450.450.4299990965475290.0200009034524707
460.440.449999096527126-0.00999909652712638
470.470.440000451675220.0299995483247797
480.470.4699986448723081.35512769194879e-06
490.520.4699999999387870.0500000000612134
500.550.5199977414198390.0300022585801609
510.540.549998644749881-0.00999864474988144
520.540.540000451654813-4.51654812771984e-07
530.530.540000000020402-0.010000000020402
540.520.530000451716033-0.0100004517160326
550.50.520000451736436-0.0200004517364364
560.50.500000903452469-9.03452468947741e-07
570.530.500000000040810.0299999999591897
580.540.5299986448519070.0100013551480931
590.590.5399995482227540.0500004517772458
600.660.5899977413994340.0700022586005656
610.670.6599968378857540.010003162114246
620.610.669999548141131-0.0599995481411306
630.620.6100027102757790.00999728972422143
640.650.6199995484063960.0300004515936041
650.630.649998644831506-0.0199986448315059
660.580.630000903370848-0.0500009033708482
670.60.5800022586209650.0199977413790352
680.60.5999990966699629.0333003766041e-07
690.610.5999999999591950.0100000000408049
700.610.6099995482839674.51716033467164e-07
710.590.609999999979595-0.0199999999795952
720.60.5900009034320620.00999909656793774


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
730.5999995483247780.5427195441329910.657279552516565
740.5999995483247780.5189952191123320.681003877537224
750.5999995483247780.5007906584907230.699208438158832
760.5999995483247780.4854434210637150.71455567558584
770.5999995483247780.4719221937143710.728076902935185
780.5999995483247780.4596980471391270.740301049510428
790.5999995483247780.4484567698564710.751542326793085
800.5999995483247780.4379936343066730.762005462342882
810.5999995483247780.4281664355444160.77183266110514
820.5999995483247780.4188716346318970.781127462017659
830.5999995483247780.4100310678084480.789968028841107
840.5999995483247780.4015840094659720.798415087183584