Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 102.89 | NA | NA | 0.998235277017077 | NA |
2 | 102.64 | NA | NA | 0.998175897607331 | NA |
3 | 103.33 | NA | NA | 0.999872477356396 | NA |
4 | 103.56 | NA | NA | 0.998774937155425 | NA |
5 | 103.6 | NA | NA | 1.00063815660022 | NA |
6 | 104.24 | NA | NA | 1.00028858214185 | NA |
7 | 105.31 | 104.663746584551 | 104.672083333333 | 0.999920353655754 | 1.00617456795249 |
8 | 105.4 | 104.912171182141 | 104.94125 | 0.999722903835628 | 1.00464987820157 |
9 | 105.89 | 105.375299169588 | 105.1975 | 1.00169014633987 | 1.00488445427408 |
10 | 105.89 | 105.713055973215 | 105.442916666667 | 1.00256194835166 | 1.00167381431893 |
11 | 105.54 | 105.714496321067 | 105.7 | 1.00013714589468 | 0.998349362413483 |
12 | 106.15 | 105.927695037254 | 105.929583333333 | 0.999982174044113 | 1.00209864816437 |
13 | 106.14 | 105.914010685608 | 106.10125 | 0.998235277017077 | 1.00213370556859 |
14 | 105.85 | 106.066586786379 | 106.260416666667 | 0.998175897607331 | 0.997958011161279 |
15 | 106.27 | 106.389764498978 | 106.403333333333 | 0.999872477356396 | 0.998874285514755 |
16 | 106.51 | 106.401158680063 | 106.531666666667 | 0.998774937155425 | 1.00102293359666 |
17 | 106.82 | 106.746410815851 | 106.678333333333 | 1.00063815660022 | 1.00068938321754 |
18 | 106.53 | 106.874999985128 | 106.844166666667 | 1.00028858214185 | 0.996771929963268 |
19 | 107.14 | 107.011476248239 | 107.02 | 0.999920353655754 | 1.0012010277427 |
20 | 107.39 | 107.206951797653 | 107.236666666667 | 0.999722903835628 | 1.00170742847621 |
21 | 107.33 | 107.678351764381 | 107.496666666667 | 1.00169014633987 | 0.996764885804126 |
22 | 107.53 | 108.033569149504 | 107.7575 | 1.00256194835166 | 0.995338771518261 |
23 | 107.42 | 108.023146232841 | 108.008333333333 | 1.00013714589468 | 0.994416509295695 |
24 | 108.25 | 108.277653146257 | 108.279583333333 | 0.999982174044113 | 0.999744608924798 |
25 | 108.26 | 108.363430496589 | 108.555 | 0.998235277017077 | 0.999045522127577 |
26 | 108.93 | 108.609439885534 | 108.807916666667 | 0.998175897607331 | 1.0029514940396 |
27 | 109.43 | 109.083587598389 | 109.0975 | 0.999872477356396 | 1.00317566014501 |
28 | 109.61 | 109.347960900895 | 109.482083333333 | 0.998774937155425 | 1.00239637846875 |
29 | 109.74 | 109.997234027106 | 109.927083333333 | 1.00063815660022 | 0.997661450041166 |
30 | 110.12 | 110.381428252444 | 110.349583333333 | 1.00028858214185 | 0.997631592047837 |
31 | 110.16 | 110.729096796435 | 110.737916666667 | 0.999920353655754 | 0.994860458426018 |
32 | 110.44 | 111.101705610513 | 111.1325 | 0.999722903835628 | 0.994044145345233 |
33 | 111.23 | 111.728936293643 | 111.540416666667 | 1.00169014633987 | 0.995534403976319 |
34 | 112.86 | 112.275241659321 | 111.988333333333 | 1.00256194835166 | 1.00520825724386 |
35 | 112.77 | 112.542099237042 | 112.526666666667 | 1.00013714589468 | 1.00202502676335 |
36 | 113.04 | 113.100067180585 | 113.102083333333 | 0.999982174044113 | 0.999468902343894 |
37 | 112.79 | 113.447359576164 | 113.647916666667 | 0.998235277017077 | 0.994205598273776 |
38 | 113.87 | 113.973387615301 | 114.181666666667 | 0.998175897607331 | 0.999092879333814 |
39 | 114.28 | 114.688289447504 | 114.702916666667 | 0.999872477356396 | 0.996440007524124 |
40 | 115.51 | 114.977306140437 | 115.118333333333 | 0.998774937155425 | 1.00463303479134 |
41 | 116.76 | 115.553277391629 | 115.479583333333 | 1.00063815660022 | 1.01044299768566 |
42 | 116.91 | 115.878847585132 | 115.845416666667 | 1.00028858214185 | 1.00889853874419 |
43 | 116.47 | 116.194078162644 | 116.203333333333 | 0.999920353655754 | 1.00237466350884 |
44 | 116.94 | 116.521869954142 | 116.554166666667 | 0.999722903835628 | 1.00358842546917 |
45 | 117.24 | 117.084639609407 | 116.887083333333 | 1.00169014633987 | 1.00132690668145 |
46 | 116.82 | 117.457651464009 | 117.1575 | 1.00256194835166 | 0.994571222427306 |
47 | 117.48 | 117.330255823012 | 117.314166666667 | 1.00013714589468 | 1.00127626225595 |
48 | 117.11 | 117.414990261585 | 117.417083333333 | 0.999982174044113 | 0.997402458911712 |
49 | 117.31 | 117.310114166854 | 117.5175 | 0.998235277017077 | 0.999999026794448 |
50 | 117.77 | 117.395051410974 | 117.609583333333 | 0.998175897607331 | 1.00319390455151 |
51 | 118.37 | 117.692489628428 | 117.7075 | 0.999872477356396 | 1.00575661517325 |
52 | 117.91 | 117.709787906005 | 117.854166666667 | 0.998774937155425 | 1.00170089588603 |
53 | 118.12 | 118.062794501869 | 117.9875 | 1.00063815660022 | 1.00048453450871 |
54 | 118.02 | 118.11407577931 | 118.08 | 1.00028858214185 | 0.999203517627436 |
55 | 117.77 | 118.1605881915 | 118.17 | 0.999920353655754 | 0.996694429187612 |
56 | 117.85 | 118.167247233371 | 118.2 | 0.999722903835628 | 0.997315269325479 |
57 | 118.68 | 118.349273419161 | 118.149583333333 | 1.00169014633987 | 1.00279449608168 |
58 | 118.9 | 118.365805495558 | 118.063333333333 | 1.00256194835166 | 1.0045130813093 |
59 | 118.6 | 117.982011863087 | 117.965833333333 | 1.00013714589468 | 1.00523798608919 |
60 | 118.21 | 117.904564867628 | 117.906666666667 | 0.999982174044113 | 1.00259052847288 |
61 | 118.37 | 117.673222248869 | 117.88125 | 0.998235277017077 | 1.00592129405326 |
62 | 117.43 | 117.652497611232 | 117.8675 | 0.998175897607331 | 0.998108857731459 |
63 | 117.5 | 117.846636635354 | 117.861666666667 | 0.999872477356396 | 0.997058578460527 |
64 | 116.71 | 117.704377875095 | 117.84875 | 0.998774937155425 | 0.99155190407488 |
65 | 116.98 | 117.920203564553 | 117.845 | 1.00063815660022 | 0.99202678136458 |
66 | 117.74 | 117.881508683962 | 117.8475 | 1.00028858214185 | 0.998799568434933 |
67 | 117.44 | NA | NA | 0.999920353655754 | NA |
68 | 117.85 | NA | NA | 0.999722903835628 | NA |
69 | 118.54 | NA | NA | 1.00169014633987 | NA |
70 | 118.73 | NA | NA | 1.00256194835166 | NA |
71 | 118.68 | NA | NA | 1.00013714589468 | NA |
72 | 118.19 | NA | NA | 0.999982174044113 | NA |