| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 14544 | NA | NA | 1.01723828144572 | NA |
| 2 | 14931 | NA | NA | 1.04860598243148 | NA |
| 3 | 14886 | NA | NA | 1.02837551267981 | NA |
| 4 | 16005 | NA | NA | 0.996842500751492 | NA |
| 5 | 17064 | NA | NA | 1.00637983785653 | NA |
| 6 | 15168 | NA | NA | 0.99847879521782 | NA |
| 7 | 16050 | 15366.0420704159 | 15504.0416666667 | 0.991099121169966 | 1.04451100201664 |
| 8 | 15839 | 15076.943798417 | 15606.2083333333 | 0.96608628286822 | 1.05054447451499 |
| 9 | 15137 | 15225.2331662445 | 15708.6666666667 | 0.969225045595502 | 0.994204806896477 |
| 10 | 14954 | 15400.1098614314 | 15759 | 0.977226338056437 | 0.971032033833171 |
| 11 | 15648 | 15695.1593134624 | 15718.9583333333 | 0.998485967112688 | 0.996995295650046 |
| 12 | 15305 | 15725.4124376467 | 15694.7083333333 | 1.00195633481434 | 0.973265411046377 |
| 13 | 15579 | 15969.0303914188 | 15698.4166666667 | 1.01723828144572 | 0.975575825090271 |
| 14 | 16348 | 16434.7141788167 | 15672.9166666667 | 1.04860598243148 | 0.994723718473394 |
| 15 | 15928 | 16166.705794022 | 15720.625 | 1.02837551267981 | 0.985234728888909 |
| 16 | 16171 | 15811.3342554614 | 15861.4166666667 | 0.996842500751492 | 1.022747336735 |
| 17 | 15937 | 16135.6234002998 | 16033.3333333333 | 1.00637983785653 | 0.987690379517901 |
| 18 | 15713 | 16195.6588846981 | 16220.3333333333 | 0.99847879521782 | 0.970198255709489 |
| 19 | 15594 | 16334.2633202055 | 16480.9583333333 | 0.991099121169966 | 0.954680336315517 |
| 20 | 15683 | 16228.5589011911 | 16798.25 | 0.96608628286822 | 0.966382788236913 |
| 21 | 16438 | 16603.5519498352 | 17130.75 | 0.969225045595502 | 0.990029124470756 |
| 22 | 17032 | 17009.0723092772 | 17405.4583333333 | 0.977226338056437 | 1.00134796832572 |
| 23 | 17696 | 17583.6707095101 | 17610.3333333333 | 0.998485967112688 | 1.00638827309414 |
| 24 | 17745 | 17861.124113484 | 17826.25 | 1.00195633481434 | 0.993498499156815 |
| 25 | 19394 | 18398.9583362222 | 18087.1666666667 | 1.01723828144572 | 1.05408141295797 |
| 26 | 20148 | 19227.5888291911 | 18336.3333333333 | 1.04860598243148 | 1.04786929754871 |
| 27 | 20108 | 19046.92851116 | 18521.375 | 1.02837551267981 | 1.05570827276526 |
| 28 | 18584 | 18656.3227526061 | 18715.4166666667 | 0.996842500751492 | 0.99612341866266 |
| 29 | 18441 | 19007.2024701436 | 18886.7083333333 | 1.00637983785653 | 0.970211162266881 |
| 30 | 18391 | 18999.5953580854 | 19028.5416666667 | 0.99847879521782 | 0.967967983179893 |
| 31 | 19178 | 18997.1401798056 | 19167.75 | 0.991099121169966 | 1.00952037088123 |
| 32 | 18079 | 18714.2586534159 | 19371.2083333333 | 0.96608628286822 | 0.966054832030446 |
| 33 | 18483 | 19028.5126295382 | 19632.7083333333 | 0.969225045595502 | 0.971331830282342 |
| 34 | 19644 | 19432.3086033086 | 19885.1666666667 | 0.977226338056437 | 1.01089378524255 |
| 35 | 19195 | 20134.5111304093 | 20165.0416666667 | 0.998485967112688 | 0.953338269584784 |
| 36 | 19650 | 20491.4264850942 | 20451.4166666667 | 1.00195633481434 | 0.958937632491998 |
| 37 | 20830 | 21040.9380777787 | 20684.375 | 1.01723828144572 | 0.989974872935846 |
| 38 | 23595 | 21934.1282536787 | 20917.4166666667 | 1.04860598243148 | 1.07572089153089 |
| 39 | 22937 | 21809.0594402585 | 21207.2916666667 | 1.02837551267981 | 1.05171889979168 |
| 40 | 21814 | 21414.6690223939 | 21482.5 | 0.996842500751492 | 1.01864754375557 |
| 41 | 21928 | 21961.7659441175 | 21822.5416666667 | 1.00637983785653 | 0.998462512340612 |
| 42 | 21777 | 22224.1826272414 | 22258.0416666667 | 0.99847879521782 | 0.979878556852155 |
| 43 | 21383 | 22460.5360587341 | 22662.25 | 0.991099121169966 | 0.952025363245279 |
| 44 | 21467 | 22156.0617969193 | 22933.8333333333 | 0.96608628286822 | 0.968899626511464 |
| 45 | 22052 | 22455.8539282715 | 23168.875 | 0.969225045595502 | 0.982015650370657 |
| 46 | 22680 | 23016.1640448383 | 23552.5416666667 | 0.977226338056437 | 0.985394436528023 |
| 47 | 24320 | 24119.2190036643 | 24155.7916666667 | 0.998485967112688 | 1.00832452312429 |
| 48 | 24977 | 25014.048639543 | 24965.2083333333 | 1.00195633481434 | 0.998518886723343 |
| 49 | 25204 | 26219.3590891917 | 25775.0416666667 | 1.01723828144572 | 0.961274450464722 |
| 50 | 25739 | 27794.4812460767 | 26506.125 | 1.04860598243148 | 0.926047144831429 |
| 51 | 26434 | 28029.9600103368 | 27256.5416666667 | 1.02837551267981 | 0.943062351507163 |
| 52 | 27525 | 27903.0753246812 | 27991.4583333333 | 0.996842500751492 | 0.986450406620708 |
| 53 | 30695 | 28853.6647362252 | 28670.75 | 1.00637983785653 | 1.06381633947049 |
| 54 | 32436 | 29325.821454945 | 29370.5 | 0.99847879521782 | 1.10605597356696 |
| 55 | 30160 | 29790.2096093466 | 30057.75 | 0.991099121169966 | 1.0124131516865 |
| 56 | 30236 | 29606.3179424234 | 30645.625 | 0.96608628286822 | 1.02126850285136 |
| 57 | 31293 | 30218.1753965614 | 31177.6666666667 | 0.969225045595502 | 1.03556881212493 |
| 58 | 31077 | 30938.3343786414 | 31659.3333333333 | 0.977226338056437 | 1.0044820002157 |
| 59 | 32226 | 31966.9442729323 | 32015.4166666667 | 0.998485967112688 | 1.00810386269191 |
| 60 | 33865 | 32285.2875094712 | 32222.25 | 1.00195633481434 | 1.04892979472663 |
| 61 | 32810 | 33066.4747314596 | 32506.125 | 1.01723828144572 | 0.992243662696356 |
| 62 | 32242 | 34714.0136645623 | 33104.9166666667 | 1.04860598243148 | 0.928789171760744 |
| 63 | 32700 | 34882.7544839772 | 33920.25 | 1.02837551267981 | 0.93742597119216 |
| 64 | 32819 | 34576.1051651285 | 34685.625 | 0.996842500751492 | 0.949181518371231 |
| 65 | 33947 | 35622.3239306888 | 35396.5 | 1.00637983785653 | 0.952969830549278 |
| 66 | 34148 | 35981.2650710356 | 36036.0833333333 | 0.99847879521782 | 0.949049454836668 |
| 67 | 35261 | NA | NA | 0.991099121169966 | NA |
| 68 | 39506 | NA | NA | 0.96608628286822 | NA |
| 69 | 41591 | NA | NA | 0.969225045595502 | NA |
| 70 | 39148 | NA | NA | 0.977226338056437 | NA |
| 71 | 41216 | NA | NA | 0.998485967112688 | NA |
| 72 | 40225 | NA | NA | 1.00195633481434 | NA |
