Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.880391676888377
beta0.129542012995612
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
395.9195.790.11999999999999
495.8695.04933272643250.810667273567546
595.795.00917791817480.690822081825232
695.5794.94229907707530.627700922924689
795.5794.89143674589930.678563254100723
895.5794.96274177301110.607258226988861
994.8795.0405268579297-0.17052685792973
1095.0794.41410823002940.655891769970594
1195.1394.5900646381630.539935361837038
1295.4894.72551238128570.754487618714307
1395.3895.13589773079530.244102269204731
1495.3895.12478337141130.25521662858867
1595.4895.15256087357980.32743912642016
1695.7795.28126614427190.488733855728142
1794.7895.6077129292416-0.827712929241642
1892.5194.6807721574999-2.17077215749985
1992.1792.3238416260311-0.153841626031081
2091.7591.72505466217050.0249453378295499
2190.4391.2865152118847-0.856515211884698
2290.5589.97426163158780.575738368412246
2390.3789.98861382508240.381386174917594
2490.489.8753561849330.524643815067051
2590.4189.94805580452140.461944195478623
2690.4190.01823887854470.391761121455303
2790.4190.07131281712750.338687182872462
2889.7790.1162873995518-0.346287399551812
2989.7789.51872277579210.251277224207939
3089.7789.47590666520160.294093334798362
3189.3789.5043261733861-0.134326173386086
3289.8189.14024911987410.669750880125946
3389.0789.5604583660324-0.490458366032428
3489.8488.90329339490380.936706605096219
3589.7389.60942182920220.120578170797828
3690.0289.61078924693370.409210753066333
3788.3989.9129359370877-1.52293593708765
3890.1388.34034940652691.78965059347306
3990.1389.88824203841730.241757961582678
4090.3790.10095482237910.269045177620882
4189.7390.3683750306337-0.638375030633696
4289.7389.7641048297046-0.0341048297045887
4389.7389.68793950653570.0420604934642768
4489.7389.68362640291540.0463735970846386
4589.689.6883993223781-0.0883993223781516
4689.6389.56443754498890.0655624550111327
4786.4289.5834996828312-3.16349968283123
4886.886.39893249579510.401067504204889
4986.5186.39832142236450.111678577635502
5086.4186.15567143263940.254328567360616
5186.3986.06761489728390.322385102716083
5286.6286.07624205193180.543757948068162
5385.8586.3417783659148-0.491778365914783
5487.3685.63955093146741.7204490685326
5587.2887.08116339421320.198836605786809
5687.3587.20583776887180.144162231128192
5787.3587.29881865147760.0511813485224195
5887.3587.31577705452370.0342229454763299
5987.3887.32170846923740.0582915307626308
6088.1787.35547768171030.81452231828969
6188.3788.14792059051330.222079409486682
6287.4488.4441093414756-1.00410934147556
6387.4487.5462553507627-0.10625535076268
6487.4787.42674636109950.043253638900481
6587.4787.44379682002370.0262031799763207
6687.4887.44882460949620.031175390503833
6787.1187.4617853736297-0.351785373629667
6887.1187.09747035215410.0125296478458807
6986.2687.0553242209956-0.795324220995582
7086.2886.21124536141610.0687546385838544
7186.2886.13573564707140.144264352928644
7286.2886.14315707585310.136842924146876


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
7386.159651362640184.754019555349787.5652831699305
7486.055670277967184.073325877846488.0380146780879
7585.951689193294183.430292364466688.4730860221216
7685.847708108621182.796404005657988.8990122115843
7785.743727023948282.160414086231989.3270399616644
7885.639745939275281.516899274790189.7625926037602
7985.535764854602280.862965504703790.2085642045006
8085.431783769929280.196987016074190.6665805237843
8185.327802685256279.51803569371291.1375696768003
8285.223821600583278.825592306637691.6220508945288
8385.119840515910278.119388254257992.1202927775625
8485.015859431237277.399313507181892.6324053552926