Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 86.86 | NA | NA | 0.971306092151964 | NA |
2 | 86.79 | NA | NA | 0.970944063466711 | NA |
3 | 82.52 | NA | NA | 0.989389397054856 | NA |
4 | 86.87 | NA | NA | 1.00679317465585 | NA |
5 | 81.62 | NA | NA | 0.958751254685406 | NA |
6 | 82.66 | NA | NA | 0.95433970850223 | NA |
7 | 89.87 | 88.9391004755589 | 83.02375 | 1.07124889535294 | 1.01046670721273 |
8 | 92.04 | 89.6688850631358 | 82.1470833333333 | 1.09156504923347 | 1.02644300679321 |
9 | 79.74 | 80.5569494247696 | 81.5679166666666 | 0.987605822445749 | 0.989858734341318 |
10 | 77.75 | 80.8960434317816 | 81.15625 | 0.996793758112057 | 0.961110045704094 |
11 | 79.12 | 80.5473317769333 | 80.72625 | 0.997783642581358 | 0.98227958958484 |
12 | 76.37 | 80.4597938187275 | 80.1808333333333 | 1.00347914175741 | 0.949169720370629 |
13 | 75.01 | 77.3386287441132 | 79.6233333333333 | 0.971306092151964 | 0.969890483165691 |
14 | 77.6 | 76.8744962249768 | 79.175 | 0.970944063466711 | 1.00943750932559 |
15 | 77.81 | 77.7548759777948 | 78.58875 | 0.989389397054856 | 1.00070894617877 |
16 | 81.7 | 78.6582337529245 | 78.1275 | 1.00679317465585 | 1.03867066551011 |
17 | 76.47 | 74.6132184771339 | 77.8233333333333 | 0.958751254685406 | 1.02488542326364 |
18 | 74.72 | 73.9497958041117 | 77.4879166666667 | 0.95433970850223 | 1.01041523086728 |
19 | 84.43 | 82.736123017759 | 77.2333333333333 | 1.07124889535294 | 1.02047324578984 |
20 | 86.72 | 83.7880783603905 | 76.7595833333333 | 1.09156504923347 | 1.03499210982019 |
21 | 70.99 | 75.3139970148608 | 76.2591666666667 | 0.987605822445749 | 0.942587072971209 |
22 | 75.43 | 75.6416943343335 | 75.885 | 0.996793758112057 | 0.997201353880338 |
23 | 74.14 | 75.3214399489135 | 75.48875 | 0.997783642581358 | 0.984314692473819 |
24 | 73.3 | 75.4658126232481 | 75.2041666666667 | 1.00347914175741 | 0.971300744695341 |
25 | 71.97 | 73.0774279756682 | 75.23625 | 0.971306092151964 | 0.984845827140537 |
26 | 69.27 | 73.3855705569198 | 75.5816666666667 | 0.970944063466711 | 0.943918531590244 |
27 | 74.13 | 75.4640272780307 | 76.2733333333333 | 0.989389397054856 | 0.982322341834265 |
28 | 76.4 | 77.715623643153 | 77.19125 | 1.00679317465585 | 0.983071310741918 |
29 | 72.26 | 74.9284079521118 | 78.1520833333333 | 0.958751254685406 | 0.96438723275934 |
30 | 72.1 | 75.8767667321958 | 79.5070833333333 | 0.95433970850223 | 0.950224991194923 |
31 | 87.82 | 86.5801211372504 | 80.8216666666667 | 1.07124889535294 | 1.0143205951489 |
32 | 91.62 | 89.4492075969775 | 81.9458333333333 | 1.09156504923347 | 1.02426843637121 |
33 | 82.69 | 82.1013180296192 | 83.1316666666667 | 0.987605822445749 | 1.00717018903604 |
34 | 85.76 | 83.9437403472092 | 84.21375 | 0.996793758112057 | 1.0216366300248 |
35 | 86.87 | 85.0111663479317 | 85.2 | 0.997783642581358 | 1.02186575872234 |
36 | 93.09 | 86.4417838525289 | 86.1420833333333 | 1.00347914175741 | 1.076909751872 |
37 | 83.73 | 84.3797884904715 | 86.8725 | 0.971306092151964 | 0.992299240113112 |
38 | 84.49 | 84.6448806528956 | 87.1779166666666 | 0.970944063466711 | 0.99817023012259 |
39 | 87.37 | 86.5567314013441 | 87.485 | 0.989389397054856 | 1.00939578684973 |
40 | 89.13 | 88.4157376039641 | 87.8191666666667 | 1.00679317465585 | 1.00807845317352 |
41 | 83.2 | 84.3221728495815 | 87.95 | 0.958751254685406 | 0.98669184140234 |
42 | 83.77 | 83.8272117871098 | 87.8379166666667 | 0.95433970850223 | 0.999317503399074 |
43 | 93.68 | 94.1717049756516 | 87.9083333333333 | 1.07124889535294 | 0.994778633605723 |
44 | 93.09 | 96.4347690933012 | 88.3454166666667 | 1.09156504923347 | 0.965315734928912 |
45 | 88.59 | 87.5771808126548 | 88.67625 | 0.987605822445749 | 1.01156487543841 |
46 | 87.88 | 88.6062431507784 | 88.89125 | 0.996793758112057 | 0.991803702256707 |
47 | 87.89 | 89.1162145507852 | 89.3141666666667 | 0.997783642581358 | 0.986240275611276 |
48 | 89.38 | 90.3009973852043 | 89.9879166666666 | 1.00347914175741 | 0.989800806061139 |
49 | 89.13 | 87.8991542310355 | 90.4958333333333 | 0.971306092151964 | 1.01400293074185 |
50 | 89.58 | 88.2665020096264 | 90.9079166666667 | 0.970944063466711 | 1.01488104728825 |
51 | 90.22 | 90.6622851535396 | 91.6345833333333 | 0.989389397054856 | 0.995121619173942 |
52 | 91.44 | 93.2307259617557 | 92.6016666666667 | 1.00679317465585 | 0.980792534400191 |
53 | 91.04 | 89.7403158776224 | 93.60125 | 0.958751254685406 | 1.01448272283942 |
54 | 92.1 | 90.2304335896146 | 94.5475 | 0.95433970850223 | 1.02071990941425 |
55 | 97.54 | 102.222140424229 | 95.4233333333333 | 1.07124889535294 | 0.954196415719747 |
56 | 99.12 | 105.087241383559 | 96.2720833333333 | 1.09156504923347 | 0.943216309563417 |
57 | 100 | 95.8722467163471 | 97.0754166666667 | 0.987605822445749 | 1.04305472568996 |
58 | 99.68 | 97.4880908662894 | 97.8016666666667 | 0.996793758112057 | 1.022483865611 |
59 | 100.08 | 98.1623705003384 | 98.3804166666667 | 0.997783642581358 | 1.01953528108467 |
60 | 99.9 | 99.2001849073563 | 98.85625 | 1.00347914175741 | 1.00705457447783 |
61 | 99.63 | 96.4288405636166 | 99.2775 | 0.971306092151964 | 1.03319711631575 |
62 | 99.45 | 96.7574078446428 | 99.6529166666667 | 0.970944063466711 | 1.02782827915027 |
63 | 99.63 | 98.9682091418152 | 100.029583333333 | 0.989389397054856 | 1.00668690344024 |
64 | 99.46 | 101.116014005091 | 100.43375 | 1.00679317465585 | 0.983622633651203 |
65 | 96.91 | 96.5442539483732 | 100.697916666667 | 0.958751254685406 | 1.0037883772122 |
66 | 97.65 | 96.3437747056618 | 100.953333333333 | 0.95433970850223 | 1.01355796260141 |
67 | 102.1 | NA | NA | 1.07124889535294 | NA |
68 | 103.57 | NA | NA | 1.09156504923347 | NA |
69 | 104.59 | NA | NA | 0.987605822445749 | NA |
70 | 104.79 | NA | NA | 0.996793758112057 | NA |
71 | 101.31 | NA | NA | 0.997783642581358 | NA |
72 | 104.8 | NA | NA | 1.00347914175741 | NA |