Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 434.49 | NA | NA | -0.272131944444443 | NA |
2 | 434.43 | NA | NA | -0.669131944444423 | NA |
3 | 434.07 | NA | NA | 0.075701388888847 | NA |
4 | 434.52 | NA | NA | 0.37995138888886 | NA |
5 | 433.52 | NA | NA | 0.376618055555519 | NA |
6 | 433.52 | NA | NA | -0.381798611111123 | NA |
7 | 433.52 | 433.072701388889 | 433.66625 | -0.593548611111107 | 0.447298611111137 |
8 | 433.26 | 432.867118055556 | 433.435416666667 | -0.568298611111102 | 0.392881944444468 |
9 | 433.63 | 433.230701388889 | 433.18625 | 0.0444513888889266 | 0.399298611111078 |
10 | 434.67 | 433.969868055556 | 433.050833333333 | 0.919034722222243 | 0.700131944444422 |
11 | 432.87 | 433.672868055556 | 433.05625 | 0.616618055555596 | -0.802868055555564 |
12 | 432.49 | 433.204201388889 | 433.131666666667 | 0.072534722222206 | -0.714201388888853 |
13 | 432.5 | 432.952868055556 | 433.225 | -0.272131944444443 | -0.452868055555598 |
14 | 430.88 | 432.698368055556 | 433.3675 | -0.669131944444423 | -1.8183680555556 |
15 | 431.64 | 433.600701388889 | 433.525 | 0.075701388888847 | -1.96070138888888 |
16 | 433.7 | 434.058284722222 | 433.678333333333 | 0.37995138888886 | -0.358284722222152 |
17 | 434.47 | 434.269534722222 | 433.892916666667 | 0.376618055555519 | 0.20046527777788 |
18 | 434.38 | 433.794451388889 | 434.17625 | -0.381798611111123 | 0.585548611111221 |
19 | 434.9 | 433.881451388889 | 434.475 | -0.593548611111107 | 1.01854861111116 |
20 | 435.3 | 434.268784722222 | 434.837083333333 | -0.568298611111102 | 1.0312152777779 |
21 | 435.37 | 435.347784722222 | 435.303333333333 | 0.0444513888889266 | 0.0222152777777751 |
22 | 436.61 | 436.685284722222 | 435.76625 | 0.919034722222243 | -0.0752847222221931 |
23 | 436.08 | 436.727034722222 | 436.110416666667 | 0.616618055555596 | -0.647034722222202 |
24 | 436.08 | 436.473784722222 | 436.40125 | 0.072534722222206 | -0.393784722222165 |
25 | 436.08 | 436.419951388889 | 436.692083333333 | -0.272131944444443 | -0.339951388888835 |
26 | 435.99 | 436.282951388889 | 436.952083333333 | -0.669131944444423 | -0.29295138888881 |
27 | 437.72 | 437.332368055555 | 437.256666666667 | 0.075701388888847 | 0.387631944444593 |
28 | 438.73 | 438.040368055555 | 437.660416666667 | 0.37995138888886 | 0.689631944444557 |
29 | 437.7 | 438.533701388889 | 438.157083333333 | 0.376618055555519 | -0.833701388888812 |
30 | 438.13 | 438.305284722222 | 438.687083333333 | -0.381798611111123 | -0.175284722222159 |
31 | 438.13 | 438.609368055556 | 439.202916666667 | -0.593548611111107 | -0.479368055555597 |
32 | 438.31 | 439.214618055556 | 439.782916666667 | -0.568298611111102 | -0.904618055555602 |
33 | 439.67 | 440.404034722222 | 440.359583333333 | 0.0444513888889266 | -0.734034722222248 |
34 | 442 | 441.753201388889 | 440.834166666667 | 0.919034722222243 | 0.246798611111103 |
35 | 442.61 | 441.975368055556 | 441.35875 | 0.616618055555596 | 0.634631944444493 |
36 | 442.27 | 442.017951388889 | 441.945416666667 | 0.072534722222206 | 0.252048611111206 |
37 | 442.27 | 442.235784722222 | 442.507916666667 | -0.272131944444443 | 0.0342152777778324 |
38 | 443.72 | 442.412951388889 | 443.082083333333 | -0.669131944444423 | 1.30704861111116 |
39 | 443.83 | 443.798201388889 | 443.7225 | 0.075701388888847 | 0.0317986111111281 |
40 | 444.01 | 444.744118055556 | 444.364166666667 | 0.37995138888886 | -0.734118055555598 |
41 | 445.01 | 445.287868055556 | 444.91125 | 0.376618055555519 | -0.277868055555587 |
42 | 444.9 | 445.005701388889 | 445.3875 | -0.381798611111123 | -0.10570138888886 |
43 | 444.86 | 445.243951388889 | 445.8375 | -0.593548611111107 | -0.383951388888875 |
44 | 445.36 | 445.680451388889 | 446.24875 | -0.568298611111102 | -0.320451388888841 |
45 | 447.99 | 446.761534722222 | 446.717083333333 | 0.0444513888889266 | 1.22846527777784 |
46 | 449.08 | 448.184451388889 | 447.265416666667 | 0.919034722222243 | 0.895548611111167 |
47 | 448.66 | 448.321201388889 | 447.704583333333 | 0.616618055555596 | 0.338798611111145 |
48 | 447.65 | 448.110451388889 | 448.037916666667 | 0.072534722222206 | -0.460451388888941 |
49 | 447.69 | 448.086618055556 | 448.35875 | -0.272131944444443 | -0.396618055555564 |
50 | 448.17 | 448.025451388889 | 448.694583333333 | -0.669131944444423 | 0.144548611111134 |
51 | 450.62 | 449.016534722222 | 448.940833333333 | 0.075701388888847 | 1.60346527777779 |
52 | 450.38 | 449.427868055556 | 449.047916666667 | 0.37995138888886 | 0.952131944444432 |
53 | 449.18 | 449.608701388889 | 449.232083333333 | 0.376618055555519 | -0.428701388888896 |
54 | 448.73 | 449.221118055556 | 449.602916666667 | -0.381798611111123 | -0.491118055555546 |
55 | 448.73 | 449.447701388889 | 450.04125 | -0.593548611111107 | -0.717701388888884 |
56 | 449.55 | 449.864201388889 | 450.4325 | -0.568298611111102 | -0.314201388888819 |
57 | 449.71 | 450.741118055555 | 450.696666666667 | 0.0444513888889266 | -1.03111805555551 |
58 | 449.93 | 451.812368055556 | 450.893333333333 | 0.919034722222243 | -1.8823680555555 |
59 | 452.23 | 451.868701388889 | 451.252083333333 | 0.616618055555596 | 0.361298611111181 |
60 | 452.98 | 451.778784722222 | 451.70625 | 0.072534722222206 | 1.20121527777781 |
61 | 452.88 | 451.839951388889 | 452.112083333333 | -0.272131944444443 | 1.0400486111111 |
62 | 452.37 | 451.825451388889 | 452.494583333333 | -0.669131944444423 | 0.544548611111111 |
63 | 452.76 | 452.937368055556 | 452.861666666667 | 0.075701388888847 | -0.177368055555519 |
64 | 452.96 | 453.624534722222 | 453.244583333333 | 0.37995138888886 | -0.664534722222186 |
65 | 455.21 | 453.985368055556 | 453.60875 | 0.376618055555519 | 1.22463194444441 |
66 | 453.6 | 453.528618055556 | 453.910416666667 | -0.381798611111123 | 0.0713819444445107 |
67 | 453.6 | NA | NA | -0.593548611111107 | NA |
68 | 453.86 | NA | NA | -0.568298611111102 | NA |
69 | 454.21 | NA | NA | 0.0444513888889266 | NA |
70 | 454.62 | NA | NA | 0.919034722222243 | NA |
71 | 456.28 | NA | NA | 0.616618055555596 | NA |
72 | 456.17 | NA | NA | 0.072534722222206 | NA |