Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 1 |
beta | 1 |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
3 | 73.97 | 73.97 | 0 |
4 | 73.97 | 73.97 | 0 |
5 | 73.97 | 73.97 | 0 |
6 | 73.97 | 73.97 | 0 |
7 | 73.96 | 73.97 | -0.0100000000000051 |
8 | 74.44 | 73.95 | 0.490000000000009 |
9 | 75.43 | 74.92 | 0.510000000000005 |
10 | 75.77 | 76.42 | -0.65000000000002 |
11 | 75.82 | 76.11 | -0.289999999999992 |
12 | 75.85 | 75.87 | -0.019999999999996 |
13 | 75.85 | 75.88 | -0.0300000000000011 |
14 | 75.85 | 75.85 | 0 |
15 | 77.95 | 75.85 | 2.10000000000001 |
16 | 82.07 | 80.05 | 2.01999999999998 |
17 | 84.82 | 86.19 | -1.36999999999999 |
18 | 85.08 | 87.57 | -2.48999999999999 |
19 | 85.34 | 85.34 | 0 |
20 | 85.65 | 85.6 | 0.0499999999999972 |
21 | 85.65 | 85.96 | -0.310000000000002 |
22 | 85.72 | 85.65 | 0.0699999999999932 |
23 | 85.73 | 85.79 | -0.0599999999999881 |
24 | 85.73 | 85.74 | -0.0100000000000051 |
25 | 85.73 | 85.73 | 0 |
26 | 85.73 | 85.73 | 0 |
27 | 85.74 | 85.73 | 0.00999999999999091 |
28 | 86.32 | 85.75 | 0.570000000000007 |
29 | 87.59 | 86.9 | 0.690000000000012 |
30 | 87.81 | 88.86 | -1.05000000000001 |
31 | 87.87 | 88.03 | -0.159999999999997 |
32 | 87.94 | 87.93 | 0.00999999999999091 |
33 | 87.96 | 88.01 | -0.0499999999999972 |
34 | 88.01 | 87.98 | 0.0300000000000153 |
35 | 88.01 | 88.06 | -0.0500000000000114 |
36 | 88.01 | 88.01 | 0 |
37 | 88.01 | 88.01 | 0 |
38 | 88.01 | 88.01 | 0 |
39 | 88.59 | 88.01 | 0.579999999999998 |
40 | 89.43 | 89.17 | 0.260000000000005 |
41 | 89.63 | 90.27 | -0.640000000000015 |
42 | 89.73 | 89.83 | -0.0999999999999801 |
43 | 89.88 | 89.83 | 0.0499999999999829 |
44 | 89.89 | 90.03 | -0.139999999999986 |
45 | 89.9 | 89.9 | 0 |
46 | 89.91 | 89.91 | -1.4210854715202e-14 |
47 | 89.86 | 89.92 | -0.0599999999999881 |
48 | 90.07 | 89.81 | 0.259999999999991 |
49 | 90.17 | 90.28 | -0.109999999999985 |
50 | 90.17 | 90.27 | -0.100000000000009 |
51 | 90.28 | 90.17 | 0.109999999999999 |
52 | 90.87 | 90.39 | 0.480000000000004 |
53 | 92.05 | 91.46 | 0.589999999999989 |
54 | 92.1 | 93.23 | -1.13 |
55 | 92.16 | 92.15 | 0.0100000000000051 |
56 | 92.22 | 92.22 | 0 |
57 | 92.25 | 92.28 | -0.0300000000000011 |
58 | 92.29 | 92.28 | 0.0100000000000051 |
59 | 92.29 | 92.33 | -0.0400000000000063 |
60 | 92.29 | 92.29 | 0 |
61 | 92.29 | 92.29 | 0 |
62 | 92.29 | 92.29 | 0 |
63 | 91.95 | 92.29 | -0.340000000000003 |
64 | 91.82 | 91.61 | 0.209999999999994 |
65 | 92.16 | 91.69 | 0.470000000000013 |
66 | 92.31 | 92.5 | -0.189999999999998 |
67 | 92.33 | 92.46 | -0.13000000000001 |
68 | 92.4 | 92.35 | 0.0500000000000114 |
69 | 92.54 | 92.47 | 0.0699999999999932 |
70 | 92.49 | 92.68 | -0.190000000000012 |
71 | 92.54 | 92.44 | 0.100000000000023 |
72 | 92.58 | 92.59 | -0.0100000000000193 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
73 | 92.62 | 91.4905225256069 | 93.7494774743931 |
74 | 92.66 | 90.1344115882022 | 95.1855884117978 |
75 | 92.7 | 88.4738822647422 | 96.9261177352578 |
76 | 92.74 | 86.5535970908092 | 98.9264029091907 |
77 | 92.78 | 84.4035708631971 | 101.156429136803 |
78 | 92.82 | 82.04547160059 | 103.59452839941 |
79 | 92.8599999999999 | 79.4958422965529 | 106.224157703447 |
80 | 92.8999999999999 | 76.7678349099404 | 109.03216509006 |
81 | 92.9399999999999 | 73.8722256392882 | 112.007774360712 |
82 | 92.9799999999999 | 70.8180516292641 | 115.141948370736 |
83 | 93.0199999999999 | 67.6130324758798 | 118.42696752412 |
84 | 93.0599999999999 | 64.2638615895299 | 121.85613841047 |