| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.999933893038648 |
| beta | FALSE |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 2 | 6.2 | 6.3 | -0.0999999999999996 |
| 3 | 6.2 | 6.20000661069614 | -6.61069613538956e-06 |
| 4 | 6.3 | 6.20000000043701 | 0.0999999995629866 |
| 5 | 6.5 | 6.29999338930389 | 0.200006610696106 |
| 6 | 6.5 | 6.49998677817072 | 1.32218292829833e-05 |
| 7 | 6.2 | 6.49999999912595 | -0.299999999125945 |
| 8 | 6.2 | 6.20001983208835 | -1.98320883475489e-05 |
| 9 | 6.2 | 6.20000000131104 | -1.31103927714094e-09 |
| 10 | 6.1 | 6.20000000000009 | -0.100000000000088 |
| 11 | 6.1 | 6.10000661069614 | -6.61069613538956e-06 |
| 12 | 6.2 | 6.10000000043701 | 0.0999999995629874 |
| 13 | 6.1 | 6.19999338930389 | -0.0999933893038945 |
| 14 | 6.1 | 6.10000661025912 | -6.61025912229718e-06 |
| 15 | 6.2 | 6.10000000043698 | 0.0999999995630168 |
| 16 | 6.2 | 6.19999338930389 | 6.61069610607967e-06 |
| 17 | 6.4 | 6.19999999956299 | 0.200000000437013 |
| 18 | 6.2 | 6.3999867786077 | -0.199986778607701 |
| 19 | 5.7 | 6.20001322051824 | -0.500013220518245 |
| 20 | 5.7 | 5.70003305435464 | -3.30543546445128e-05 |
| 21 | 5.7 | 5.70000000218512 | -2.18512319349884e-09 |
| 22 | 5.9 | 5.70000000000014 | 0.199999999999855 |
| 23 | 6 | 5.89998677860773 | 0.10001322139227 |
| 24 | 6.3 | 5.99999338842984 | 0.300006611570161 |
| 25 | 6.4 | 6.29998016747452 | 0.100019832525477 |
| 26 | 6.5 | 6.3999933879928 | 0.100006612007203 |
| 27 | 6.8 | 6.49999338886677 | 0.300006611133234 |
| 28 | 7 | 6.79998016747455 | 0.200019832525448 |
| 29 | 7.3 | 6.99998677729666 | 0.300013222703338 |
| 30 | 7.4 | 7.29998016703748 | 0.100019832962519 |
| 31 | 6.9 | 7.39999338799277 | -0.499993387992768 |
| 32 | 6.9 | 6.90003305304358 | -3.30530435759258e-05 |
| 33 | 7 | 6.90000000218504 | 0.0999999978149635 |
| 34 | 7.1 | 6.99999338930401 | 0.10000661069599 |
| 35 | 7.2 | 7.09999338886685 | 0.100006611133149 |
| 36 | 7.1 | 7.19999338886682 | -0.0999933888668236 |
| 37 | 6.8 | 7.10000661025909 | -0.300006610259093 |
| 38 | 6.5 | 6.80001983252539 | -0.30001983252539 |
| 39 | 6.4 | 6.50001983339947 | -0.100019833399474 |
| 40 | 6.5 | 6.40000661200726 | 0.0999933879927388 |
| 41 | 6.7 | 6.49999338974096 | 0.200006610259035 |
| 42 | 6.6 | 6.69998677817075 | -0.099986778170746 |
| 43 | 6.2 | 6.60000660982208 | -0.400006609822079 |
| 44 | 6.2 | 6.2000264432215 | -2.64432214960308e-05 |
| 45 | 6.5 | 6.20000000174808 | 0.299999998251919 |
| 46 | 6.8 | 6.49998016791171 | 0.30001983208829 |
| 47 | 6.8 | 6.79998016660056 | 1.98333994445576e-05 |
| 48 | 6.5 | 6.79999999868887 | -0.299999998688874 |
| 49 | 5.9 | 6.50001983208832 | -0.600019832088319 |
| 50 | 5.5 | 5.90003966548785 | -0.40003966548785 |
| 51 | 5.6 | 5.50002644540671 | 0.0999735545932943 |
| 52 | 6 | 5.59999339105209 | 0.40000660894791 |
| 53 | 6.3 | 5.99997355677856 | 0.300026443221438 |
| 54 | 6.2 | 6.29998016616351 | -0.0999801661635127 |
| 55 | 5.6 | 6.20000660938498 | -0.600006609384981 |
| 56 | 5.4 | 5.60003966461374 | -0.200039664613737 |
| 57 | 5.7 | 5.40001322401438 | 0.299986775985622 |
| 58 | 5.9 | 5.69998016878579 | 0.200019831214206 |
| 59 | 6.2 | 5.89998677729675 | 0.300013222703251 |
| 60 | 6.3 | 6.19998016703748 | 0.100019832962518 |
| 61 | 6.1 | 6.29999338799277 | -0.199993387992768 |
| 62 | 5.9 | 6.10001322095517 | -0.20001322095517 |
| 63 | 5.9 | 5.90001322226627 | -1.3222266267654e-05 |
| 64 | 5.7 | 5.90000000087408 | -0.200000000874084 |
| 65 | 5.9 | 5.70001322139233 | 0.199986778607672 |
| 66 | 6.1 | 5.89998677948176 | 0.200013220518244 |
| 67 | 6.1 | 6.09998677773376 | 1.32222662383441e-05 |
| 68 | 6.5 | 6.09999999912592 | 0.400000000874084 |
| 69 | 6.8 | 6.4999735572154 | 0.300026442784598 |
| 70 | 6.8 | 6.79998016616354 | 1.983383645765e-05 |
| 71 | 6.9 | 6.79999999868885 | 0.100000001311155 |
| 72 | 6.9 | 6.89999338930378 | 6.61069622154287e-06 |
| 73 | 6.8 | 6.89999999956299 | -0.0999999995629874 |
| 74 | 6.6 | 6.80000661069611 | -0.200006610696106 |
| 75 | 6.5 | 6.60001322182928 | -0.100013221829283 |
| 76 | 6.5 | 6.50000661157019 | -6.61157018999603e-06 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 77 | 6.50000000043707 | 6.05470779812764 | 6.9452922027465 |
| 78 | 6.50000000043707 | 5.87028254340987 | 7.12971745746427 |
| 79 | 6.50000000043707 | 5.7287652722693 | 7.27123472860484 |
| 80 | 6.50000000043707 | 5.60945975082494 | 7.3905402500492 |
| 81 | 6.50000000043707 | 5.50434902422781 | 7.49565097664633 |
| 82 | 6.50000000043707 | 5.40932140585768 | 7.59067859501646 |
| 83 | 6.50000000043707 | 5.32193432870188 | 7.67806567217226 |
| 84 | 6.50000000043707 | 5.24059630933238 | 7.75940369154176 |
| 85 | 6.50000000043707 | 5.1642018916589 | 7.83579810921524 |
| 86 | 6.50000000043707 | 5.09194619547699 | 7.90805380539715 |
| 87 | 6.50000000043707 | 5.02322159867539 | 7.97677840219875 |
| 88 | 6.50000000043707 | 4.95755603770877 | 8.04244396316537 |
