Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.834027115207509
beta0.247194022449966
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1340.237.59104789580162.60895210419838
1440.8541.0029262831071-0.152926283107107
1541.4542.06678435509-0.616784355090026
1641.742.2694827899412-0.569482789941183
1741.9242.3630542643891-0.443054264389104
1841.9742.3001928493455-0.330192849345551
1942.3142.8347503388802-0.52475033888016
2042.6143.2645019286457-0.654501928645729
2142.8242.65134158904640.168658410953604
2243.0742.85851797901040.211482020989571
2343.5143.28327311013590.226726889864096
2443.5743.605633503924-0.0356335039239752
2543.8644.2199046661201-0.359904666120087
2644.4944.05329403871810.43670596128193
2745.9945.03800855559410.951991444405913
2848.2246.3628826429881.85711735701201
2949.4648.80275287491440.657247125085625
3050.3950.1699798062560.220020193744034
3150.451.8399843627171-1.43998436271706
3250.5952.0422689734211-1.45226897342106
3351.3251.16776032687350.152239673126459
3451.8651.62412215954390.235877840456084
3552.4752.35811129590950.111888704090482
3652.7352.759753512525-0.0297535125249908
3752.7353.6509063878024-0.920906387802418
3853.5953.30584705132210.284152948677857
3954.1154.4435774743805-0.33357747438054
4054.854.71892487034580.0810751296541738
4155.7254.94109229622530.778907703774649
4256.0655.82346883668230.236531163317728
4356.6656.7654578670947-0.105457867094664
4457.0557.9442388953289-0.894238895328854
4557.3157.7248117121663-0.414811712166312
4657.8957.49474574229740.395254257702646
4758.3258.16226270296610.157737297033911
4858.7258.38304680956690.336953190433064
4959.0259.3638439240689-0.343843924068914
5059.5459.7586869146912-0.21868691469124
5161.4960.34025748321461.14974251678536
5262.2662.18560747169470.0743925283052818
5363.4962.72877150604890.761228493951087
5464.3663.67355261149780.68644738850216
5565.9365.26236963758420.667630362415849
5666.8267.5199238104174-0.699923810417445
5768.8568.09509275521310.754907244786892
5871.2769.71713457247561.55286542752435
5972.2772.2778369810459-0.00783698104588382
6073.473.26468988697440.135310113025639
6173.5874.8928848610081-1.31288486100813
6274.8475.2780188086805-0.438018808680468
6375.7476.7254927219573-0.985492721957257
6477.8176.86116887010960.948831129890408
6578.7478.64405443943810.0959455605619155
6679.0679.1717790457798-0.111779045779784
6779.4880.2147494884722-0.73474948847219
6881.1980.97385986132110.216140138678853
6985.1182.65749254688532.45250745311473
7086.6486.18296258133730.457037418662651
7188.4887.61185188512740.868148114872653
7289.289.573961044603-0.37396104460295


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
7390.701799921609789.120782460067692.2828173831518
7492.907209794320190.619405280956495.1950143076838
7595.348675225817492.310021895098998.3873285565359
7697.5001082951893.669911420549101.330305169811
7798.867700603818794.2296656277651103.505735579872
7899.658782934674794.2029527653948105.114613103955
79101.25485144247494.9036102576775107.60609262727
80103.67995004296.3373968376879111.022503246313
81106.48197796347798.069025038499114.894930888456
82107.73145578866398.3253267061435117.137584871183
83108.82633674740198.4114947601382119.241178734663
84109.60938859998498.2639523103787120.954824889588