Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.999933083789849 |
beta | FALSE |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
2 | 1050293 | 1045620 | 4673 |
3 | 1030185 | 1050292.68730055 | -20107.6873005501 |
4 | 1015746 | 1030186.34553023 | -14440.345530229 |
5 | 999514 | 1015746.9662932 | -16232.9662931962 |
6 | 990204 | 999515.086248584 | -9311.08624858386 |
7 | 962206 | 990204.623062604 | -27998.6230626041 |
8 | 947314 | 962207.873561745 | -14893.8735617448 |
9 | 958768 | 947314.996641573 | 11453.0033584267 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
10 | 958767.23360842 | 933333.455473689 | 984201.011743151 |
11 | 958767.23360842 | 922799.643055451 | 994734.82416139 |
12 | 958767.23360842 | 914716.60285056 | 1002817.86436628 |
13 | 958767.23360842 | 907902.230215668 | 1009632.23700117 |
14 | 958767.23360842 | 901898.621262733 | 1015635.84595411 |
15 | 958767.23360842 | 896470.928982035 | 1021063.53823481 |
16 | 958767.23360842 | 891479.641363767 | 1026054.82585307 |
17 | 958767.23360842 | 886833.857696664 | 1030700.60952018 |
18 | 958767.23360842 | 882470.437672802 | 1035064.02954404 |
19 | 958767.23360842 | 878343.408966584 | 1039191.05825026 |
20 | 958767.23360842 | 874418.066036949 | 1043116.40117989 |
21 | 958767.23360842 | 870667.446037851 | 1046867.02117899 |