Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.335904170899142
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
30.74920.70090.0483
40.78040.7224241714544280.0579758285455715
50.76780.773098494074219-0.00529849407421945
60.75730.758718707815205-0.00141870781520481
70.73370.74774215794279-0.0140421579427902
80.71360.719425338521383-0.00582533852138256
90.71070.6973685830151510.0133314169848493
100.70150.6989466615843570.00255333841564276
110.68740.690604338607889-0.0032043386078886
120.67540.675427987904526-2.79879045257392e-05
130.67130.6634185866506610.00788141334933923
140.68490.6619659862672840.022934013732716
150.70030.6832696171355610.0170303828644386
160.73090.7043901937717360.0265098062282643
170.73640.743894948253538-0.00749494825353758
180.74390.746877363874501-0.0029773638745012
190.79280.7533772549307720.0394227450692282
200.81880.8155195194278190.00328048057218089
210.7840.842621446534568-0.0586214465345682
220.77460.788130258139466-0.0135302581394658
230.76770.774185387997077-0.0064853879970771
240.71970.76510691911896-0.0454069191189598
250.73040.7018545455992210.0285454544007788
260.75670.7221430827926540.034556917207346
270.7490.760050895416018-0.0110508954160179
280.73280.748638853553607-0.0158388535536073
290.71420.72711851658269-0.0129185165826899
300.69270.704179132980735-0.0114791329807346
310.69740.67882324433420.0185767556658001
320.69530.6897632540441170.00553674595588349
330.6990.6895230701039070.00947692989609317
340.69710.6964064103833230.000693589616676871
350.72460.6947393900284570.0298606099715427
360.73010.732269693463491-0.00216969346349105
370.7360.737040884379532-0.00104088437953176
380.75850.7425912469750230.0159087530249767
390.77560.7704350634699170.00516493653008276
400.75640.789269987192801-0.0328699871928014
410.75680.759028821397338-0.00222882139733793
420.75930.7586801509937830.000619849006217033
430.7790.7613883608602990.0176116391397011
440.79780.7870041839036950.0107958160963049
450.81250.8094305435587040.00306945644129608
460.80750.825161586779729-0.0176615867797286
470.77810.814228986115721-0.0361289861157206
480.7710.772693108989093-0.00169310898909292
490.77960.765024386617870.0145756133821302
500.7630.778520395946341-0.0155203959463406
510.75310.756707030213959-0.0036070302139587
520.74730.7455954137205310.00170458627946923
530.77070.7403679913614620.0303320086385381
540.76840.773956639574896-0.00555663957489572
550.77020.7697901411655050.000409858834495069
560.7590.771727814457492-0.0127278144574917
570.76490.756252488494790.00864751150521015
580.75080.765057223677288-0.0142572236772882
590.74940.7461681627786450.00323183722135478
600.73340.745853750380965-0.0124537503809652


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
610.7256704836846620.6851308980083870.766210069360938
620.7179409673693250.650291585789140.785590348949509
630.7102114510539870.614452323569730.805970578538244
640.7024819347386490.5768059981226340.828157871354664
650.6947524184233120.5372049700025420.852299866844081
660.6870229021079740.4956568891701810.878388915045767
670.6792933857926360.4522150594641110.906371712121161
680.6715638694772990.4069454410228930.936182297931704
690.6638343531619610.3599151893886520.96775351693527
700.6561048368466230.3111885127714321.00102116092181
710.6483753205312860.2608253002439451.03592534081863
720.6406458042159480.2088808577756311.07241075065627