Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 338881 | NA | NA | -2781.18 | NA |
2 | 339105 | NA | NA | -648.498 | NA |
3 | 342435 | NA | NA | -2036.9 | NA |
4 | 354980 | NA | NA | 17040.6 | NA |
5 | 339890 | NA | NA | -3978.67 | NA |
6 | 339890 | NA | NA | -8547.13 | NA |
7 | 340471 | 338744 | 343953 | -5209.47 | 1727.39 |
8 | 343833 | 342613 | 344198 | -1585.68 | 1220.22 |
9 | 346109 | 343679 | 344406 | -727.112 | 2429.99 |
10 | 345455 | 346847 | 344648 | 2199.21 | -1392.5 |
11 | 350419 | 351738 | 344994 | 6744.01 | -1319.09 |
12 | 344660 | 344816 | 345285 | -469.135 | -156.24 |
13 | 341499 | 342957 | 345738 | -2781.18 | -1458.2 |
14 | 342376 | 345678 | 346326 | -648.498 | -3302 |
15 | 344148 | 344838 | 346875 | -2036.9 | -690.438 |
16 | 359079 | 364655 | 347614 | 17040.6 | -5575.68 |
17 | 344090 | 344638 | 348617 | -3978.67 | -547.993 |
18 | 342681 | 341224 | 349771 | -8547.13 | 1456.75 |
19 | 348552 | 345912 | 351121 | -5209.47 | 2640.39 |
20 | 349867 | 351088 | 352674 | -1585.68 | -1220.9 |
21 | 353247 | 353538 | 354265 | -727.112 | -290.846 |
22 | 356048 | 358685 | 356486 | 2199.21 | -2637.12 |
23 | 363887 | 365577 | 358833 | 6744.01 | -1689.67 |
24 | 358905 | 360165 | 360634 | -469.135 | -1259.78 |
25 | 359647 | 359468 | 362249 | -2781.18 | 178.929 |
26 | 361488 | 363285 | 363934 | -648.498 | -1797.21 |
27 | 363229 | 363619 | 365656 | -2036.9 | -389.604 |
28 | 393301 | 384229 | 367188 | 17040.6 | 9071.94 |
29 | 366190 | 364546 | 368524 | -3978.67 | 1644.34 |
30 | 363811 | 361150 | 369697 | -8547.13 | 2661.42 |
31 | 366190 | 365660 | 370869 | -5209.47 | 530.095 |
32 | 372656 | 370322 | 371908 | -1585.68 | 2333.51 |
33 | 371781 | 372019 | 372746 | -727.112 | -237.638 |
34 | 374306 | 375190 | 372991 | 2199.21 | -884.415 |
35 | 377689 | 379895 | 373151 | 6744.01 | -2205.97 |
36 | 373240 | 373250 | 373719 | -469.135 | -9.74048 |
37 | 373456 | 371395 | 374177 | -2781.18 | 2060.55 |
38 | 372610 | 373700 | 374348 | -648.498 | -1089.63 |
39 | 372209 | 372211 | 374248 | -2036.9 | -1.89604 |
40 | 390212 | 390967 | 373926 | 17040.6 | -754.849 |
41 | 373113 | 369268 | 373247 | -3978.67 | 3844.59 |
42 | 370518 | 363532 | 372079 | -8547.13 | 6985.8 |
43 | 370469 | 365014 | 370223 | -5209.47 | 5455.22 |
44 | 372493 | 365882 | 367468 | -1585.68 | 6610.89 |
45 | 369536 | 362841 | 363568 | -727.112 | 6695.4 |
46 | 368835 | 359135 | 356936 | 2199.21 | 9699.83 |
47 | 366859 | 357941 | 351197 | 6744.01 | 8917.58 |
48 | 356044 | 346741 | 347210 | -469.135 | 9302.63 |
49 | 346106 | 339278 | 342059 | -2781.18 | 6828.1 |
50 | 333829 | 336303 | 336952 | -648.498 | -2474.08 |
51 | 317388 | 330281 | 332318 | -2036.9 | -12892.7 |
52 | 285871 | 345625 | 328584 | 17040.6 | -59753.7 |
53 | 339729 | 321830 | 325809 | -3978.67 | 17899 |
54 | 308216 | 315565 | 324112 | -8547.13 | -7348.91 |
55 | 309137 | 318366 | 323576 | -5209.47 | -9229.32 |
56 | 311245 | 322921 | 324506 | -1585.68 | -11675.7 |
57 | 319568 | 326481 | 327208 | -727.112 | -6913.05 |
58 | 329201 | 335676 | 333477 | 2199.21 | -6475.25 |
59 | 339880 | 345198 | 338454 | 6744.01 | -5318.3 |
60 | 342305 | 340578 | 341047 | -469.135 | 1726.76 |
61 | 346975 | 342689 | 345470 | -2781.18 | 4286.01 |
62 | 355294 | 349979 | 350628 | -648.498 | 5314.92 |
63 | 360766 | 354092 | 356129 | -2036.9 | 6673.73 |
64 | 392946 | 378451 | 361410 | 17040.6 | 14495.4 |
65 | 352108 | 362675 | 366654 | -3978.67 | -10567.4 |
66 | 358071 | 363335 | 371883 | -8547.13 | -5264.5 |
67 | 365429 | 371727 | 376936 | -5209.47 | -6297.61 |
68 | 378731 | 380200 | 381786 | -1585.68 | -1469.49 |
69 | 384120 | 385867 | 386594 | -727.112 | -1747.1 |
70 | 391390 | 393628 | 391429 | 2199.21 | -2238 |
71 | 403547 | 403818 | 397074 | 6744.01 | -271.382 |
72 | 404124 | 402992 | 403461 | -469.135 | 1131.68 |
73 | 406439 | 406925 | 409706 | -2781.18 | -486.279 |
74 | 412232 | 415140 | 415789 | -648.498 | -2908.38 |
75 | 419221 | 419861 | 421898 | -2036.9 | -640.479 |
76 | 450521 | 445141 | 428101 | 17040.6 | 5379.61 |
77 | 430027 | 430319 | 434298 | -3978.67 | -291.827 |
78 | 433442 | 431860 | 440407 | -8547.13 | 1582.38 |
79 | 439938 | 441272 | 446482 | -5209.47 | -1334.15 |
80 | 450200 | 451101 | 452686 | -1585.68 | -900.738 |
81 | 459279 | 458101 | 458829 | -727.112 | 1177.57 |
82 | 465090 | 466838 | 464639 | 2199.21 | -1748.21 |
83 | 478567 | 477179 | 470435 | 6744.01 | 1387.66 |
84 | 475726 | 475960 | 476429 | -469.135 | -234.032 |
85 | 480634 | 479813 | 482594 | -2781.18 | 821.471 |
86 | 486952 | 488175 | 488824 | -648.498 | -1223.17 |
87 | 491912 | 492736 | 494773 | -2036.9 | -824.188 |
88 | 517281 | 517875 | 500835 | 17040.6 | -594.14 |
89 | 502379 | 503017 | 506996 | -3978.67 | -638.243 |
90 | 504942 | 504316 | 512863 | -8547.13 | 625.796 |
91 | 516387 | 513419 | 518629 | -5209.47 | 2967.8 |
92 | 523270 | 522767 | 524352 | -1585.68 | 503.304 |
93 | 528995 | 529236 | 529963 | -727.112 | -240.721 |
94 | 540850 | 537676 | 535476 | 2199.21 | 3174.46 |
95 | 550679 | 547525 | 540781 | 6744.01 | 3153.74 |
96 | 544432 | 545544 | 546013 | -469.135 | -1111.99 |
97 | 550296 | 548312 | 551094 | -2781.18 | 1983.51 |
98 | 554659 | 555512 | 556160 | -648.498 | -852.585 |
99 | 558856 | 559250 | 561287 | -2036.9 | -394.021 |
100 | 582661 | 583209 | 566168 | 17040.6 | -547.974 |
101 | 564317 | 566958 | 570936 | -3978.67 | -2640.53 |
102 | 568569 | 567242 | 575789 | -8547.13 | 1327.25 |
103 | 574693 | 575448 | 580657 | -5209.47 | -754.613 |
104 | 586558 | 583906 | 585491 | -1585.68 | 2652.18 |
105 | 588751 | 589636 | 590364 | -727.112 | -885.471 |
106 | 598250 | 597676 | 595477 | 2199.21 | 573.626 |
107 | 607706 | 607277 | 600533 | 6744.01 | 428.535 |
108 | 603869 | 604715 | 605184 | -469.135 | -845.824 |
109 | 607696 | 607099 | 609880 | -2781.18 | 596.887 |
110 | 613285 | 613948 | 614596 | -648.498 | -662.918 |
111 | 617160 | 617200 | 619236 | -2036.9 | -39.521 |
112 | 647083 | 640888 | 623848 | 17040.6 | 6194.57 |
113 | 621246 | 624322 | 628300 | -3978.67 | -3075.7 |
114 | 623252 | 624154 | 632701 | -8547.13 | -901.579 |
115 | 632722 | 631775 | 636984 | -5209.47 | 947.179 |
116 | 641716 | 639492 | 641078 | -1585.68 | 2223.68 |
117 | 644953 | 644397 | 645124 | -727.112 | 555.779 |
118 | 652723 | 651427 | 649228 | 2199.21 | 1295.75 |
119 | 660093 | 660143 | 653399 | 6744.01 | -50.0905 |
120 | 657090 | 657160 | 657629 | -469.135 | -69.9488 |
121 | 657281 | 659042 | 661823 | -2781.18 | -1760.61 |
122 | 661949 | 665259 | 665908 | -648.498 | -3310 |
123 | 665608 | 667903 | 669940 | -2036.9 | -2294.77 |
124 | 697124 | 690936 | 673896 | 17040.6 | 6187.57 |
125 | 671310 | 673868 | 677846 | -3978.67 | -2557.58 |
126 | 674708 | 673278 | 681825 | -8547.13 | 1430.25 |
127 | 681915 | 680606 | 685816 | -5209.47 | 1308.89 |
128 | 690556 | 689865 | 691450 | -1585.68 | 691.346 |
129 | 692885 | 697991 | 698718 | -727.112 | -5106.35 |
130 | 699740 | 708202 | 706003 | 2199.21 | -8461.87 |
131 | 707885 | 720169 | 713425 | 6744.01 | -12284.3 |
132 | 704785 | 720442 | 720911 | -469.135 | -15657.1 |
133 | 705363 | 725464 | 728245 | -2781.18 | -20101.3 |
134 | 749101 | 734990 | 735639 | -648.498 | 14110.8 |
135 | 752891 | 741145 | 743182 | -2036.9 | 11745.7 |
136 | 784662 | 767590 | 750550 | 17040.6 | 17071.9 |
137 | 761914 | 753797 | 757776 | -3978.67 | 8116.8 |
138 | 763768 | 756412 | 764959 | -8547.13 | 7355.96 |
139 | 768877 | 766815 | 772025 | -5209.47 | 2061.72 |
140 | 781031 | 775827 | 777413 | -1585.68 | 5203.55 |
141 | 783454 | 780468 | 781195 | -727.112 | 2986.24 |
142 | 785988 | 787161 | 784962 | 2199.21 | -1173.5 |
143 | 795068 | 795413 | 788669 | 6744.01 | -344.715 |
144 | 790001 | 791850 | 792319 | -469.135 | -1849.2 |
145 | 789721 | 793469 | 796250 | -2781.18 | -3747.61 |
146 | 794064 | 799398 | 800047 | -648.498 | -5334.17 |
147 | 798690 | 801553 | 803590 | -2036.9 | -2863.19 |
148 | 829281 | 824561 | 807521 | 17040.6 | 4719.53 |
149 | 806249 | 807642 | 811621 | -3978.67 | -1393.08 |
150 | 807048 | 807094 | 815641 | -8547.13 | -46.121 |
151 | 819928 | 814378 | 819588 | -5209.47 | 5549.72 |
152 | 821105 | 821831 | 823417 | -1585.68 | -726.446 |
153 | 828422 | 826294 | 827021 | -727.112 | 2127.65 |
154 | 835360 | 832399 | 830200 | 2199.21 | 2960.79 |
155 | 844092 | 840011 | 833267 | 6744.01 | 4081.24 |
156 | 837469 | 835984 | 836454 | -469.135 | 1484.63 |
157 | 836969 | 836412 | 839193 | -2781.18 | 557.221 |
158 | 838721 | 841298 | 841946 | -648.498 | -2576.71 |
159 | 840537 | 842895 | 844932 | -2036.9 | -2358.06 |
160 | 863719 | 864898 | 847858 | 17040.6 | -1179.1 |
161 | 845413 | 846899 | 850877 | -3978.67 | -1485.83 |
162 | 844366 | 845384 | 853931 | -8547.13 | -1017.75 |
163 | 848357 | 852143 | 857352 | -5209.47 | -3785.86 |
164 | 858754 | 859749 | 861335 | -1585.68 | -995.404 |
165 | 862431 | 864883 | 865610 | -727.112 | -2452.22 |
166 | 871565 | 872061 | 869862 | 2199.21 | -495.957 |
167 | 880366 | 880693 | 873949 | 6744.01 | -326.84 |
168 | 874476 | 877477 | 877946 | -469.135 | -3000.87 |
169 | 882077 | 879089 | 881871 | -2781.18 | 2987.51 |
170 | 889199 | 884828 | 885476 | -648.498 | 4371.29 |
171 | 892665 | 887014 | 889051 | -2036.9 | 5650.98 |
172 | 913625 | 909969 | 892928 | 17040.6 | 3656.07 |
173 | 893597 | 892704 | 896683 | -3978.67 | 892.548 |
174 | 892114 | 891888 | 900435 | -8547.13 | 225.796 |
175 | 894801 | 898687 | 903896 | -5209.47 | -3885.7 |
176 | 898843 | 904949 | 906535 | -1585.68 | -6106.15 |
177 | 908135 | 907890 | 908618 | -727.112 | 244.612 |
178 | 918920 | 912774 | 910575 | 2199.21 | 6146.21 |
179 | 923125 | 918940 | 912196 | 6744.01 | 4185.41 |
180 | 921770 | 912877 | 913346 | -469.135 | 8892.88 |
181 | 917843 | 912245 | 915026 | -2781.18 | 5597.68 |
182 | 916761 | 916683 | 917332 | -648.498 | 77.7067 |
183 | 915087 | 917425 | 919462 | -2036.9 | -2337.69 |
184 | 938173 | 938200 | 921160 | 17040.6 | -27.2238 |
185 | 907953 | 918808 | 922787 | -3978.67 | -10855.3 |
186 | 905374 | 916103 | 924650 | -8547.13 | -10728.7 |
187 | 921867 | 921535 | 926744 | -5209.47 | 332.304 |
188 | 927104 | NA | NA | -1585.68 | NA |
189 | 930989 | NA | NA | -727.112 | NA |
190 | 936820 | NA | NA | 2199.21 | NA |
191 | 944281 | NA | NA | 6744.01 | NA |
192 | 945322 | NA | NA | -469.135 | NA |
193 | 944555 | NA | NA | -2781.18 | NA |