| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 1931 | 0 | 194 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 338881 | 337443.285640689 | -2477.22674337919 | 342795.94110269 | -1437.71435931051 |
| 2 | 339105 | 336882.129591356 | -1695.29879714015 | 343023.169205785 | -2222.87040864443 |
| 3 | 342435 | 344760.401837369 | -3140.79914624854 | 343250.397308879 | 2325.40183736919 |
| 4 | 354980 | 351022.085696566 | 15492.0458975935 | 343445.86840584 | -3957.91430343379 |
| 5 | 339890 | 341308.208574268 | -5169.54807706862 | 343641.339502801 | 1418.20857426757 |
| 6 | 339890 | 344898.37985657 | -8948.69476772027 | 343830.31491115 | 5008.37985657022 |
| 7 | 340471 | 342293.176949205 | -5370.46726870449 | 344019.290319499 | 1822.17694920546 |
| 8 | 343833 | 344610.412894921 | -1175.45210174111 | 344231.03920682 | 777.412894920853 |
| 9 | 346109 | 347476.651343804 | 298.560562054312 | 344442.788094141 | 1367.6513438042 |
| 10 | 345455 | 342925.540646174 | 3358.46547865176 | 344625.993875174 | -2529.45935382578 |
| 11 | 350419 | 348003.17981034 | 8025.62053345363 | 344809.199656207 | -2415.82018966024 |
| 12 | 344660 | 343350.678645567 | 802.794093948994 | 345166.527260484 | -1309.32135443256 |
| 13 | 341499 | 339951.371878619 | -2477.22674337919 | 345523.85486476 | -1547.62812138128 |
| 14 | 342376 | 340269.858514159 | -1695.29879714015 | 346177.440282981 | -2106.14148584078 |
| 15 | 344148 | 344605.773445047 | -3140.79914624854 | 346831.025701201 | 457.773445047205 |
| 16 | 359079 | 354891.996750588 | 15492.0458975935 | 347773.957351818 | -4187.00324941153 |
| 17 | 344090 | 344632.659074634 | -5169.54807706862 | 348716.889002435 | 542.659074633964 |
| 18 | 342681 | 344355.775950036 | -8948.69476772027 | 349954.918817684 | 1674.77595003624 |
| 19 | 348552 | 351281.518635771 | -5370.46726870449 | 351192.948632933 | 2729.51863577118 |
| 20 | 349867 | 348117.813653159 | -1175.45210174111 | 352791.638448582 | -1749.18634684093 |
| 21 | 353247 | 351805.111173715 | 298.560562054312 | 354390.328264231 | -1441.88882628508 |
| 22 | 356048 | 352406.4682839 | 3358.46547865176 | 356331.066237448 | -3641.53171610011 |
| 23 | 363887 | 361476.57525588 | 8025.62053345363 | 358271.804210666 | -2410.42474411969 |
| 24 | 358905 | 356761.772183561 | 802.794093948994 | 360245.43372249 | -2143.227816439 |
| 25 | 359647 | 359552.163509065 | -2477.22674337919 | 362219.063234314 | -94.8364909347729 |
| 26 | 361488 | 360619.023855598 | -1695.29879714015 | 364052.274941542 | -868.976144401939 |
| 27 | 363229 | 363713.312497478 | -3140.79914624854 | 365885.48664877 | 484.312497478386 |
| 28 | 393301 | 403714.974939194 | 15492.0458975935 | 367394.979163212 | 10413.974939194 |
| 29 | 366190 | 368645.076399414 | -5169.54807706862 | 368904.471677655 | 2455.07639941393 |
| 30 | 363811 | 366582.909839042 | -8948.69476772027 | 369987.784928678 | 2771.90983904229 |
| 31 | 366190 | 366679.369089003 | -5370.46726870449 | 371071.098179701 | 489.369089003361 |
| 32 | 372656 | 374761.729125107 | -1175.45210174111 | 371725.722976634 | 2105.72912510694 |
| 33 | 371781 | 370883.091664378 | 298.560562054312 | 372380.347773567 | -897.908335621527 |
| 34 | 374306 | 372481.168414241 | 3358.46547865176 | 372772.366107107 | -1824.83158575906 |
| 35 | 377689 | 374187.995025899 | 8025.62053345363 | 373164.384440647 | -3501.00497410109 |
| 36 | 373240 | 372122.670057355 | 802.794093948994 | 373554.535848696 | -1117.32994264469 |
| 37 | 373456 | 375444.539486635 | -2477.22674337919 | 373944.687256744 | 1988.53948663524 |
| 38 | 372610 | 372762.52029495 | -1695.29879714015 | 374152.77850219 | 152.520294950227 |
| 39 | 372209 | 373197.929398613 | -3140.79914624854 | 374360.869747636 | 988.929398612643 |
| 40 | 390212 | 390998.742579452 | 15492.0458975935 | 373933.211522955 | 786.742579451529 |
| 41 | 373113 | 377889.994778795 | -5169.54807706862 | 373505.553298274 | 4776.9947787947 |
| 42 | 370518 | 378013.723775191 | -8948.69476772027 | 371970.970992529 | 7495.723775191 |
| 43 | 370469 | 375872.07858192 | -5370.46726870449 | 370436.388686785 | 5403.07858191995 |
| 44 | 372493 | 379227.870387992 | -1175.45210174111 | 366933.581713749 | 6734.87038799201 |
| 45 | 369536 | 375342.664697232 | 298.560562054312 | 363430.774740714 | 5806.66469723207 |
| 46 | 368835 | 376144.449281707 | 3358.46547865176 | 358167.085239641 | 7309.44928170746 |
| 47 | 366859 | 372788.983727978 | 8025.62053345363 | 352903.395738568 | 5929.98372797837 |
| 48 | 356044 | 364008.973978948 | 802.794093948994 | 347276.231927103 | 7964.97397894796 |
| 49 | 346106 | 353040.158627741 | -2477.22674337919 | 341649.068115638 | 6934.15862774121 |
| 50 | 333829 | 332689.25227953 | -1695.29879714015 | 336664.04651761 | -1139.7477204696 |
| 51 | 317388 | 306237.774226667 | -3140.79914624854 | 331679.024919581 | -11150.2257733329 |
| 52 | 285871 | 228051.273902651 | 15492.0458975935 | 328198.680199756 | -57819.7260973491 |
| 53 | 339729 | 359909.212597139 | -5169.54807706862 | 324718.33547993 | 20180.2125971389 |
| 54 | 308216 | 301484.68617319 | -8948.69476772027 | 323896.00859453 | -6731.3138268097 |
| 55 | 309137 | 300570.785559574 | -5370.46726870449 | 323073.68170913 | -8566.21444042563 |
| 56 | 311245 | 298168.393300883 | -1175.45210174111 | 325497.058800859 | -13076.6066991175 |
| 57 | 319568 | 310917.003545359 | 298.560562054312 | 327920.435892587 | -8650.99645464134 |
| 58 | 329201 | 322634.152446673 | 3358.46547865176 | 332409.382074675 | -6566.84755332704 |
| 59 | 339880 | 334836.051209783 | 8025.62053345363 | 336898.328256764 | -5043.94879021717 |
| 60 | 342305 | 342158.398697098 | 802.794093948994 | 341648.807208953 | -146.601302902272 |
| 61 | 346975 | 350027.940582236 | -2477.22674337919 | 346399.286161143 | 3052.94058223622 |
| 62 | 355294 | 360770.024225724 | -1695.29879714015 | 351513.274571416 | 5476.02422572387 |
| 63 | 360766 | 368045.536164559 | -3140.79914624854 | 356627.26298169 | 7279.53616455902 |
| 64 | 392946 | 408696.455910013 | 15492.0458975935 | 361703.498192393 | 15750.4559100135 |
| 65 | 352108 | 342605.814673972 | -5169.54807706862 | 366779.733403096 | -9502.18532602786 |
| 66 | 358071 | 353489.863978451 | -8948.69476772027 | 371600.830789269 | -4581.13602154859 |
| 67 | 365429 | 359806.539093263 | -5370.46726870449 | 376421.928175441 | -5622.46090673673 |
| 68 | 378731 | 377345.168425775 | -1175.45210174111 | 381292.283675966 | -1385.83157422452 |
| 69 | 384120 | 381778.800261456 | 298.560562054312 | 386162.63917649 | -2341.1997385443 |
| 70 | 391390 | 387736.391793855 | 3358.46547865176 | 391685.142727493 | -3653.60820614494 |
| 71 | 403547 | 401860.73318805 | 8025.62053345363 | 397207.646278496 | -1686.26681195002 |
| 72 | 404124 | 404046.431551963 | 802.794093948994 | 403398.774354088 | -77.5684480370255 |
| 73 | 406439 | 405765.3243137 | -2477.22674337919 | 409589.90242968 | -673.675686300499 |
| 74 | 412232 | 410312.572469618 | -1695.29879714015 | 415846.726327522 | -1919.42753038229 |
| 75 | 419221 | 419479.248920883 | -3140.79914624854 | 422103.550225365 | 258.248920883401 |
| 76 | 450521 | 457275.272658075 | 15492.0458975935 | 428274.681444332 | 6754.27265807474 |
| 77 | 430027 | 430777.73541377 | -5169.54807706862 | 434445.812663298 | 750.735413770366 |
| 78 | 433442 | 435308.011350632 | -8948.69476772027 | 440524.683417088 | 1866.01135063224 |
| 79 | 439938 | 438642.913097827 | -5370.46726870449 | 446603.554170878 | -1295.08690217329 |
| 80 | 450200 | 448999.638109333 | -1175.45210174111 | 452575.813992408 | -1200.36189066671 |
| 81 | 459279 | 459711.365624008 | 298.560562054312 | 458548.073813938 | 432.365624007827 |
| 82 | 465090 | 462341.323243388 | 3358.46547865176 | 464480.211277961 | -2748.67675661243 |
| 83 | 478567 | 478696.030724563 | 8025.62053345363 | 470412.348741984 | 129.030724562821 |
| 84 | 475726 | 474158.62926871 | 802.794093948994 | 476490.576637341 | -1567.3707312902 |
| 85 | 480634 | 481176.42221068 | -2477.22674337919 | 482568.804532699 | 542.422210680379 |
| 86 | 486952 | 486881.842651368 | -1695.29879714015 | 488717.456145772 | -70.1573486317066 |
| 87 | 491912 | 492098.691387404 | -3140.79914624854 | 494866.107758845 | 186.691387403698 |
| 88 | 517281 | 518139.693990447 | 15492.0458975935 | 500930.26011196 | 858.693990446569 |
| 89 | 502379 | 502933.135611994 | -5169.54807706862 | 506994.412465075 | 554.135611993668 |
| 90 | 504942 | 505970.860930021 | -8948.69476772027 | 512861.8338377 | 1028.86093002063 |
| 91 | 516387 | 519415.21205838 | -5370.46726870449 | 518729.255210324 | 3028.21205838025 |
| 92 | 523270 | 523349.776275008 | -1175.45210174111 | 524365.675826733 | 79.7762750078691 |
| 93 | 528995 | 527689.342994803 | 298.560562054312 | 530002.096443142 | -1305.65700519655 |
| 94 | 540850 | 542951.954555263 | 3358.46547865176 | 535389.579966086 | 2101.95455526258 |
| 95 | 550679 | 552555.315977517 | 8025.62053345363 | 540777.063489029 | 1876.3159775174 |
| 96 | 544432 | 542100.189470284 | 802.794093948994 | 545961.016435767 | -2331.81052971631 |
| 97 | 550296 | 551924.257360874 | -2477.22674337919 | 551144.969382506 | 1628.25736087363 |
| 98 | 554659 | 554831.303269523 | -1695.29879714015 | 556181.995527617 | 172.303269523196 |
| 99 | 558856 | 559633.77747352 | -3140.79914624854 | 561219.021672728 | 777.777473520138 |
| 100 | 582661 | 583704.229356474 | 15492.0458975935 | 566125.724745933 | 1043.22935647378 |
| 101 | 564317 | 562771.120257932 | -5169.54807706862 | 571032.427819137 | -1545.87974206835 |
| 102 | 568569 | 570235.342291661 | -8948.69476772027 | 575851.352476059 | 1666.34229166107 |
| 103 | 574693 | 574086.190135723 | -5370.46726870449 | 580670.277132981 | -606.809864276904 |
| 104 | 586558 | 588751.648494182 | -1175.45210174111 | 585539.803607559 | 2193.64849418181 |
| 105 | 588751 | 586794.109355808 | 298.560562054312 | 590409.330082137 | -1956.89064419165 |
| 106 | 598250 | 597808.298857954 | 3358.46547865176 | 595333.235663394 | -441.701142045902 |
| 107 | 607706 | 607129.238221896 | 8025.62053345363 | 600257.141244651 | -576.761778104468 |
| 108 | 603869 | 601838.863833128 | 802.794093948994 | 605096.342072923 | -2030.13616687187 |
| 109 | 607696 | 607933.683842184 | -2477.22674337919 | 609935.542901195 | 237.683842184255 |
| 110 | 613285 | 613617.910959404 | -1695.29879714015 | 614647.387837736 | 332.910959404428 |
| 111 | 617160 | 618101.566371972 | -3140.79914624854 | 619359.232774276 | 941.566371972091 |
| 112 | 647083 | 654762.023810295 | 15492.0458975935 | 623911.930292111 | 7679.02381029504 |
| 113 | 621246 | 619196.920267122 | -5169.54807706862 | 628464.627809947 | -2049.0797328779 |
| 114 | 623252 | 622714.772847128 | -8948.69476772027 | 632737.921920592 | -537.227152871899 |
| 115 | 632722 | 633803.251237467 | -5370.46726870449 | 637011.216031238 | 1081.2512374667 |
| 116 | 641716 | 643537.469639495 | -1175.45210174111 | 641069.982462246 | 1821.46963949502 |
| 117 | 644953 | 644478.690544691 | 298.560562054312 | 645128.748893254 | -474.309455308714 |
| 118 | 652723 | 652874.840389322 | 3358.46547865176 | 649212.694132027 | 151.840389321675 |
| 119 | 660093 | 658863.740095748 | 8025.62053345363 | 653296.639370798 | -1229.25990425213 |
| 120 | 657090 | 655897.593482176 | 802.794093948994 | 657479.612423875 | -1192.40651782416 |
| 121 | 657281 | 655376.641266427 | -2477.22674337919 | 661662.585476952 | -1904.35873357276 |
| 122 | 661949 | 659794.544036991 | -1695.29879714015 | 665798.754760149 | -2154.45596300857 |
| 123 | 665608 | 664421.875102903 | -3140.79914624854 | 669934.924043346 | -1186.12489709712 |
| 124 | 697124 | 704758.214848688 | 15492.0458975935 | 673997.739253718 | 7634.21484868834 |
| 125 | 671310 | 669728.993612978 | -5169.54807706862 | 678060.554464091 | -1581.00638702197 |
| 126 | 674708 | 676010.104575202 | -8948.69476772027 | 682354.590192518 | 1302.10457520222 |
| 127 | 681915 | 682551.841347759 | -5370.46726870449 | 686648.625920946 | 636.841347758891 |
| 128 | 690556 | 690017.891703406 | -1175.45210174111 | 692269.560398335 | -538.108296593768 |
| 129 | 692885 | 687580.944562222 | 298.560562054312 | 697890.494875724 | -5304.05543777847 |
| 130 | 699740 | 691131.110469291 | 3358.46547865176 | 704990.424052057 | -8608.8895307089 |
| 131 | 707885 | 695654.026238156 | 8025.62053345363 | 712090.35322839 | -12230.9737618435 |
| 132 | 704785 | 688811.979033585 | 802.794093948994 | 719955.226872466 | -15973.0209664146 |
| 133 | 705363 | 685383.126226838 | -2477.22674337919 | 727820.100516541 | -19979.873773162 |
| 134 | 749101 | 764055.953852102 | -1695.29879714015 | 735841.344945038 | 14954.9538521023 |
| 135 | 752891 | 765060.209772714 | -3140.79914624854 | 743862.589373535 | 12169.2097727139 |
| 136 | 784662 | 802291.58812791 | 15492.0458975935 | 751540.365974497 | 17629.5881279098 |
| 137 | 761914 | 769779.40550161 | -5169.54807706862 | 759218.142575459 | 7865.40550160978 |
| 138 | 763768 | 770868.916849095 | -8948.69476772027 | 765615.777918625 | 7100.91684909514 |
| 139 | 768877 | 771111.054006913 | -5370.46726870449 | 772013.413261791 | 2234.05400691298 |
| 140 | 781031 | 786652.291816532 | -1175.45210174111 | 776585.160285209 | 5621.29181653215 |
| 141 | 783454 | 785452.532129319 | 298.560562054312 | 781156.907308626 | 1998.53212931927 |
| 142 | 785988 | 783826.634625928 | 3358.46547865176 | 784790.89989542 | -2161.36537407152 |
| 143 | 795068 | 793685.486984333 | 8025.62053345363 | 788424.892482213 | -1382.51301566663 |
| 144 | 790001 | 787046.954181898 | 802.794093948994 | 792152.251724153 | -2954.04581810196 |
| 145 | 789721 | 786039.615777286 | -2477.22674337919 | 795879.610966093 | -3681.38422271376 |
| 146 | 794064 | 790061.599706459 | -1695.29879714015 | 799761.699090682 | -4002.40029354137 |
| 147 | 798690 | 796877.011930979 | -3140.79914624854 | 803643.78721527 | -1812.98806902149 |
| 148 | 829281 | 835370.243165314 | 15492.0458975935 | 807699.710937093 | 6089.24316531362 |
| 149 | 806249 | 805911.913418153 | -5169.54807706862 | 811755.634658916 | -337.086581847165 |
| 150 | 807048 | 807276.921822235 | -8948.69476772027 | 815767.772945486 | 228.921822234639 |
| 151 | 819928 | 825446.556036649 | -5370.46726870449 | 819779.911232056 | 5518.55603664892 |
| 152 | 821105 | 819979.618084407 | -1175.45210174111 | 823405.834017334 | -1125.38191559259 |
| 153 | 828422 | 829513.682635334 | 298.560562054312 | 827031.756802612 | 1091.68263533385 |
| 154 | 835360 | 837151.900208841 | 3358.46547865176 | 830209.634312507 | 1791.90020884096 |
| 155 | 844092 | 846770.867644144 | 8025.62053345363 | 833387.511822403 | 2678.86764414376 |
| 156 | 837469 | 837830.538958968 | 802.794093948994 | 836304.666947083 | 361.538958967547 |
| 157 | 836969 | 837193.404671615 | -2477.22674337919 | 839221.822071764 | 224.404671614873 |
| 158 | 838721 | 837091.577227154 | -1695.29879714015 | 842045.721569986 | -1629.42277284595 |
| 159 | 840537 | 839345.17807804 | -3140.79914624854 | 844869.621068208 | -1191.82192195952 |
| 160 | 863719 | 864127.439712126 | 15492.0458975935 | 847818.51439028 | 408.439712126274 |
| 161 | 845413 | 845228.140364716 | -5169.54807706862 | 850767.407712353 | -184.859635283938 |
| 162 | 844366 | 843583.030465595 | -8948.69476772027 | 854097.664302125 | -782.969534404576 |
| 163 | 848357 | 844656.546376807 | -5370.46726870449 | 857427.920891897 | -3700.45362319285 |
| 164 | 858754 | 857341.798237488 | -1175.45210174111 | 861341.653864253 | -1412.20176251198 |
| 165 | 862431 | 859308.052601337 | 298.560562054312 | 865255.386836609 | -3122.94739866327 |
| 166 | 871565 | 870279.560570633 | 3358.46547865176 | 869491.973950715 | -1285.43942936719 |
| 167 | 880366 | 878977.818401725 | 8025.62053345363 | 873728.561064822 | -1388.18159827543 |
| 168 | 874476 | 870289.517590025 | 802.794093948994 | 877859.688316026 | -4186.48240997549 |
| 169 | 882077 | 884640.411176148 | -2477.22674337919 | 881990.815567231 | 2563.4111761481 |
| 170 | 889199 | 894267.496258552 | -1695.29879714015 | 885825.802538588 | 5068.49625855219 |
| 171 | 892665 | 898810.009636304 | -3140.79914624854 | 889660.789509945 | 6145.00963630364 |
| 172 | 913625 | 918482.385641906 | 15492.0458975935 | 893275.5684605 | 4857.38564190618 |
| 173 | 893597 | 895473.200666013 | -5169.54807706862 | 896890.347411056 | 1876.20066601271 |
| 174 | 892114 | 893043.04668021 | -8948.69476772027 | 900133.648087511 | 929.046680209693 |
| 175 | 894801 | 891595.518504739 | -5370.46726870449 | 903376.948763965 | -3205.48149526084 |
| 176 | 898843 | 892921.081108786 | -1175.45210174111 | 905940.370992956 | -5921.91889121442 |
| 177 | 908135 | 907467.646216 | 298.560562054312 | 908503.793221946 | -667.353784000152 |
| 178 | 918920 | 924022.832340018 | 3358.46547865176 | 910458.702181331 | 5102.83234001754 |
| 179 | 923125 | 925810.768325831 | 8025.62053345363 | 912413.611140715 | 2685.76832583104 |
| 180 | 921770 | 928622.317523393 | 802.794093948994 | 914114.888382658 | 6852.31752339285 |
| 181 | 917843 | 922347.061118778 | -2477.22674337919 | 915816.165624601 | 4504.06111877831 |
| 182 | 916761 | 917731.99257499 | -1695.29879714015 | 917485.30622215 | 970.992574990029 |
| 183 | 915087 | 914160.352326549 | -3140.79914624854 | 919154.446819699 | -926.647673450876 |
| 184 | 938173 | 939841.404492733 | 15492.0458975935 | 921012.549609673 | 1668.4044927333 |
| 185 | 907953 | 898204.895677422 | -5169.54807706862 | 922870.652399647 | -9748.10432257841 |
| 186 | 905374 | 894564.322471496 | -8948.69476772027 | 925132.372296224 | -10809.6775285038 |
| 187 | 921867 | 921710.375075903 | -5370.46726870449 | 927394.092192801 | -156.624924096861 |
| 188 | 927104 | 925670.118708028 | -1175.45210174111 | 929713.333393713 | -1433.88129197212 |
| 189 | 930989 | 929646.864843321 | 298.560562054312 | 932032.574594625 | -1342.13515667943 |
| 190 | 936820 | 935817.679040147 | 3358.46547865176 | 934463.855481201 | -1002.32095985278 |
| 191 | 944281 | 943641.24309877 | 8025.62053345363 | 936895.136367777 | -639.75690123043 |
| 192 | 945322 | 950375.597499756 | 802.794093948994 | 939465.608406295 | 5053.59749975638 |
| 193 | 944555 | 949551.146298567 | -2477.22674337919 | 942036.080444812 | 4996.14629856683 |
