| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.114796863298257 |
| beta | 0.182276928575137 |
| gamma | 0.552028524618862 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 9737 | 9769.78069418618 | -32.7806941861818 |
| 14 | 9035 | 9093.31591227103 | -58.3159122710331 |
| 15 | 9133 | 9215.67915722104 | -82.6791572210368 |
| 16 | 9487 | 9566.47569619328 | -79.4756961932799 |
| 17 | 8700 | 8753.67194271874 | -53.6719427187381 |
| 18 | 9627 | 9659.47888223125 | -32.4788822312457 |
| 19 | 8947 | 9350.82964678487 | -403.829646784869 |
| 20 | 9283 | 9688.29629327536 | -405.296293275362 |
| 21 | 8829 | 9055.06877602586 | -226.068776025861 |
| 22 | 9947 | 9559.30462729403 | 387.695372705974 |
| 23 | 9628 | 9450.02965530042 | 177.970344699575 |
| 24 | 9318 | 8795.73144048545 | 522.268559514547 |
| 25 | 9605 | 9305.11634736975 | 299.883652630251 |
| 26 | 8640 | 8683.0267379677 | -43.0267379677043 |
| 27 | 9214 | 8790.39426331927 | 423.605736680733 |
| 28 | 9567 | 9199.17940147508 | 367.820598524924 |
| 29 | 8547 | 8492.39551650147 | 54.6044834985296 |
| 30 | 9185 | 9421.14866186548 | -236.14866186548 |
| 31 | 9470 | 8937.607423781 | 532.392576219005 |
| 32 | 9123 | 9416.30780766799 | -293.307807667994 |
| 33 | 9278 | 8926.70135324997 | 351.298646750027 |
| 34 | 10170 | 9858.85165211439 | 311.148347885612 |
| 35 | 9434 | 9690.76166400194 | -256.761664001935 |
| 36 | 9655 | 9191.43644314758 | 463.563556852416 |
| 37 | 9429 | 9633.91207251752 | -204.912072517522 |
| 38 | 8739 | 8805.93614546096 | -66.9361454609625 |
| 39 | 9552 | 9174.25034309644 | 377.749656903561 |
| 40 | 9687 | 9587.13501396037 | 99.864986039629 |
| 41 | 9019 | 8702.36240768842 | 316.637592311577 |
| 42 | 9672 | 9569.24247389957 | 102.757526100426 |
| 43 | 9206 | 9533.56534036741 | -327.565340367411 |
| 44 | 9069 | 9529.10504389932 | -460.105043899324 |
| 45 | 9788 | 9346.48317977296 | 441.516820227038 |
| 46 | 10312 | 10312.1941513574 | -0.194151357416558 |
| 47 | 10105 | 9829.08633628827 | 275.913663711728 |
| 48 | 9863 | 9759.78481102365 | 103.215188976354 |
| 49 | 9656 | 9850.20625084769 | -194.206250847692 |
| 50 | 9295 | 9079.62754159286 | 215.372458407144 |
| 51 | 9946 | 9740.26702857129 | 205.732971428706 |
| 52 | 9701 | 10023.4477783762 | -322.447778376161 |
| 53 | 9049 | 9175.04657764439 | -126.046577644394 |
| 54 | 10190 | 9906.03808870955 | 283.961911290446 |
| 55 | 9706 | 9673.32466077427 | 32.6753392257342 |
| 56 | 9765 | 9651.81359426895 | 113.186405731052 |
| 57 | 9893 | 10009.7694133085 | -116.769413308479 |
| 58 | 9994 | 10733.3832933037 | -739.383293303727 |
| 59 | 10433 | 10283.3685552977 | 149.631444702296 |
| 60 | 10073 | 10101.6100228502 | -28.61002285022 |
| 61 | 10112 | 10018.9463439206 | 93.0536560794408 |
| 62 | 9266 | 9460.26384707428 | -194.263847074282 |
| 63 | 9820 | 10070.9014032279 | -250.901403227925 |
| 64 | 10097 | 10019.9231308056 | 77.0768691943904 |
| 65 | 9115 | 9285.0604147138 | -170.0604147138 |
| 66 | 10411 | 10212.247197839 | 198.752802160956 |
| 67 | 9678 | 9823.76969802744 | -145.76969802744 |
| 68 | 10408 | 9800.50024374482 | 607.499756255182 |
| 69 | 10153 | 10095.6073300513 | 57.3926699486983 |
| 70 | 10368 | 10531.7503168496 | -163.750316849628 |
| 71 | 10581 | 10587.9446430433 | -6.94464304330722 |
| 72 | 10597 | 10296.1614075419 | 300.838592458134 |
| 73 | 10680 | 10317.9752466026 | 362.024753397398 |
| 74 | 9738 | 9641.77879042952 | 96.2212095704836 |
| 75 | 9556 | 10297.3020308051 | -741.30203080506 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 76 | 10363.8533840296 | 10016.4065350005 | 10711.3002330587 |
| 77 | 9480.82132824729 | 9126.12587856959 | 9835.51677792499 |
| 78 | 10656.2340501095 | 10286.1890039608 | 11026.2790962582 |
| 79 | 10065.601195526 | 9684.83604942378 | 10446.3663416282 |
| 80 | 10448.0277219286 | 10047.2370886207 | 10848.8183552365 |
| 81 | 10400.7775178304 | 9980.75076141529 | 10820.8042742455 |
| 82 | 10726.7959501908 | 10279.0268031933 | 11174.5650971883 |
| 83 | 10882.2255549649 | 10405.5277085753 | 11358.9234013545 |
| 84 | 10736.8662356812 | 10235.1281847289 | 11238.6042866336 |
| 85 | 10746.9752793547 | 10214.5636849092 | 11279.3868738003 |
| 86 | 9869.05669412186 | 9332.34795433439 | 10405.7654339093 |
| 87 | 10089.7332209743 | 9629.77161408455 | 10549.6948278641 |
