Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 1954 | NA | NA | -686.832 | NA |
2 | 2302 | NA | NA | -582.937 | NA |
3 | 3054 | NA | NA | -55.9158 | NA |
4 | 2414 | NA | NA | -365.853 | NA |
5 | 2226 | NA | NA | -252.905 | NA |
6 | 2725 | NA | NA | -196.312 | NA |
7 | 2589 | 2826.33 | 2858.83 | -32.4991 | -237.334 |
8 | 3470 | 3559.78 | 2869.25 | 690.532 | -89.7821 |
9 | 2400 | 2588.18 | 2870.67 | -282.489 | -188.178 |
10 | 3180 | 2928.45 | 2883.83 | 44.6155 | 251.551 |
11 | 4009 | 3787.76 | 2920.29 | 867.47 | 221.239 |
12 | 3924 | 3788.63 | 2935.5 | 853.126 | 135.374 |
13 | 2072 | 2268.04 | 2954.88 | -686.832 | -196.043 |
14 | 2434 | 2422.36 | 3005.29 | -582.937 | 11.645 |
15 | 2956 | 3002.67 | 3058.58 | -55.9158 | -46.6675 |
16 | 2828 | 2713.77 | 3079.62 | -365.853 | 114.228 |
17 | 2687 | 2813.68 | 3066.58 | -252.905 | -126.678 |
18 | 2629 | 2865.65 | 3061.96 | -196.312 | -236.647 |
19 | 3150 | 3051.71 | 3084.21 | -32.4991 | 98.2908 |
20 | 4119 | 3795.37 | 3104.83 | 690.532 | 323.635 |
21 | 3030 | 2831.34 | 3113.83 | -282.489 | 198.655 |
22 | 3055 | 3164.24 | 3119.62 | 44.6155 | -109.24 |
23 | 3821 | 3988.43 | 3120.96 | 867.47 | -167.428 |
24 | 4001 | 3992.21 | 3139.08 | 853.126 | 8.7908 |
25 | 2529 | 2472.92 | 3159.75 | -686.832 | 56.0825 |
26 | 2472 | 2553.9 | 3136.83 | -582.937 | -81.8967 |
27 | 3134 | 3043.08 | 3099 | -55.9158 | 90.9158 |
28 | 2789 | 2724.61 | 3090.46 | -365.853 | 64.395 |
29 | 2758 | 2836.8 | 3089.71 | -252.905 | -78.803 |
30 | 2993 | 2887.11 | 3083.42 | -196.312 | 105.895 |
31 | 3282 | 3035.5 | 3068 | -32.4991 | 246.499 |
32 | 3437 | 3746.95 | 3056.42 | 690.532 | -309.949 |
33 | 2804 | 2771.01 | 3053.5 | -282.489 | 32.9887 |
34 | 3076 | 3084.91 | 3040.29 | 44.6155 | -8.90712 |
35 | 3782 | 3897.09 | 3029.62 | 867.47 | -115.095 |
36 | 3889 | 3901.75 | 3048.62 | 853.126 | -12.7509 |
37 | 2271 | 2361.88 | 3048.71 | -686.832 | -90.8759 |
38 | 2452 | 2460.19 | 3043.12 | -582.937 | -8.18837 |
39 | 3084 | 2992.92 | 3048.83 | -55.9158 | 91.0825 |
40 | 2522 | 2666.44 | 3032.29 | -365.853 | -144.438 |
41 | 2769 | 2773.72 | 3026.63 | -252.905 | -4.71962 |
42 | 3438 | 2822.73 | 3019.04 | -196.312 | 615.27 |
43 | 2839 | 2980.17 | 3012.67 | -32.4991 | -141.168 |
44 | 3746 | 3703.62 | 3013.08 | 690.532 | 42.3845 |
45 | 2632 | 2709.18 | 2991.67 | -282.489 | -77.178 |
46 | 2851 | 3018.12 | 2973.5 | 44.6155 | -167.115 |
47 | 3871 | 3843.43 | 2975.96 | 867.47 | 27.572 |
48 | 3618 | 3783.13 | 2930 | 853.126 | -165.126 |
49 | 2389 | 2191.88 | 2878.71 | -686.832 | 197.124 |
50 | 2344 | 2299.27 | 2882.21 | -582.937 | 44.7283 |
51 | 2678 | 2847.04 | 2902.96 | -55.9158 | -169.043 |
52 | 2492 | 2559.9 | 2925.75 | -365.853 | -67.8967 |
53 | 2858 | 2681.51 | 2934.42 | -252.905 | 176.489 |
54 | 2246 | 2764.23 | 2960.54 | -196.312 | -518.23 |
55 | 2800 | NA | NA | -32.4991 | NA |
56 | 3869 | NA | NA | 690.532 | NA |
57 | 3007 | NA | NA | -282.489 | NA |
58 | 3023 | NA | NA | 44.6155 | NA |
59 | 3907 | NA | NA | 867.47 | NA |
60 | 4209 | NA | NA | 853.126 | NA |