Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1441 | 0 | 145 |
Trend | 11 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 7 | 1 | 1 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 112 | 97.9963210105338 | 21.6344958652476 | 104.369183124219 | -14.0036789894662 |
2 | 118 | 108.685662389947 | 16.0746664006249 | 111.239671209428 | -9.31433761005276 |
3 | 132 | 138.624894146113 | 7.26494655924982 | 118.110159294637 | 6.62489414611316 |
4 | 129 | 148.596863539029 | -14.5861974727373 | 123.989333933709 | 19.5968635390286 |
5 | 121 | 143.610441353461 | -31.478949926242 | 129.868508572781 | 22.6104413534615 |
6 | 135 | 136.577191392436 | 1.09101302177308 | 132.331795585791 | 1.57719139243622 |
7 | 148 | 139.570421535952 | 21.6344958652476 | 134.795082598801 | -8.42957846404849 |
8 | 148 | 147.565966415004 | 16.0746664006249 | 132.359367184372 | -0.434033584996456 |
9 | 136 | 134.811401670808 | 7.26494655924982 | 129.923651769942 | -1.18859832919202 |
10 | 119 | 126.391441169695 | -14.5861974727373 | 126.194756303042 | 7.39144116969544 |
11 | 104 | 117.0130890901 | -31.478949926242 | 122.465860836142 | 13.0130890901003 |
12 | 118 | 112.766656948536 | 1.09101302177308 | 122.142330029691 | -5.23334305146444 |
13 | 115 | 86.5467049115114 | 21.6344958652476 | 121.818799223241 | -28.4532950884886 |
14 | 126 | 110.013930500344 | 16.0746664006249 | 125.911403099031 | -15.9860694996557 |
15 | 141 | 144.73104646593 | 7.26494655924982 | 130.004006974821 | 3.73104646592964 |
16 | 135 | 147.569402139375 | -14.5861974727373 | 137.016795333362 | 12.5694021393752 |
17 | 125 | 137.449366234338 | -31.478949926242 | 144.029583691904 | 12.4493662343382 |
18 | 149 | 149.696084301223 | 1.09101302177308 | 147.212902677004 | 0.696084301223067 |
19 | 170 | 167.969282472649 | 21.6344958652476 | 150.396221662104 | -2.03071752735147 |
20 | 170 | 174.723291283415 | 16.0746664006249 | 149.20204231596 | 4.72329128341491 |
21 | 158 | 160.727190470934 | 7.26494655924982 | 148.007862969816 | 2.72719047093369 |
22 | 133 | 135.259939760525 | -14.5861974727373 | 145.326257712212 | 2.2599397605253 |
23 | 114 | 116.834297471634 | -31.478949926242 | 142.644652454608 | 2.83429747163436 |
24 | 140 | 134.437417027594 | 1.09101302177308 | 144.471569950633 | -5.56258297240581 |
25 | 145 | 122.067016688095 | 21.6344958652476 | 146.298487446658 | -22.9329833119054 |
26 | 150 | 130.225305356414 | 16.0746664006249 | 153.700028242961 | -19.774694643586 |
27 | 178 | 187.633484401486 | 7.26494655924982 | 161.101569039264 | 9.63348440148579 |
28 | 163 | 171.711722549594 | -14.5861974727373 | 168.874474923144 | 8.71172254959373 |
29 | 172 | 198.831569119219 | -31.478949926242 | 176.647380807023 | 26.8315691192191 |
30 | 178 | 175.755932024001 | 1.09101302177308 | 179.153054954226 | -2.24406797599889 |
31 | 199 | 194.706775033324 | 21.6344958652476 | 181.658729101429 | -4.29322496667632 |
32 | 199 | 202.612973260207 | 16.0746664006249 | 179.312360339168 | 3.61297326020738 |
33 | 184 | 183.769061863843 | 7.26494655924982 | 176.965991576907 | -0.23093813615651 |
34 | 162 | 164.798599088013 | -14.5861974727373 | 173.787598384725 | 2.79859908801259 |
35 | 146 | 152.869744733699 | -31.478949926242 | 170.609205192543 | 6.86974473369912 |
36 | 166 | 159.830706492748 | 1.09101302177308 | 171.078280485479 | -6.16929350725243 |
37 | 171 | 148.818148356337 | 21.6344958652476 | 171.547355778416 | -22.1818516436634 |
38 | 180 | 166.257591865601 | 16.0746664006249 | 177.667741733774 | -13.7424081343993 |
39 | 193 | 194.946925751617 | 7.26494655924982 | 183.788127689133 | 1.94692575161719 |
40 | 181 | 183.719088429253 | -14.5861974727373 | 192.867109043484 | 2.7190884292533 |
41 | 183 | 195.532859528407 | -31.478949926242 | 201.946090397835 | 12.5328595284069 |
42 | 218 | 228.512619329848 | 1.09101302177308 | 206.396367648379 | 10.512619329848 |
43 | 230 | 227.51885923583 | 21.6344958652476 | 210.846644898923 | -2.48114076417025 |
44 | 242 | 258.55947759904 | 16.0746664006249 | 209.365856000335 | 16.5594775990403 |
45 | 209 | 202.849986339003 | 7.26494655924982 | 207.885067101747 | -6.15001366099662 |
46 | 191 | 193.546919350521 | -14.5861974727373 | 203.039278122216 | 2.54691935052122 |
47 | 172 | 177.285460783556 | -31.478949926242 | 198.193489142685 | 5.28546078355649 |
48 | 194 | 187.114316448581 | 1.09101302177308 | 199.794670529646 | -6.88568355141913 |
49 | 196 | 168.969652218146 | 21.6344958652476 | 201.395851916607 | -27.0303477818542 |
50 | 196 | 165.879490300195 | 16.0746664006249 | 210.04584329918 | -30.1205096998052 |
51 | 236 | 246.039218758996 | 7.26494655924982 | 218.695834681754 | 10.0392187589962 |
52 | 235 | 255.730027163725 | -14.5861974727373 | 228.856170309012 | 20.7300271637251 |
53 | 229 | 250.462443989972 | -31.478949926242 | 239.01650593627 | 21.4624439899715 |
54 | 243 | 243.569488044679 | 1.09101302177308 | 241.339498933548 | 0.56948804467936 |
55 | 264 | 262.703012203928 | 21.6344958652476 | 243.662491930825 | -1.29698779607227 |
56 | 272 | 290.668145781763 | 16.0746664006249 | 237.257187817613 | 18.6681457817625 |
57 | 237 | 235.88316973635 | 7.26494655924982 | 230.8518837044 | -1.11683026365023 |
58 | 211 | 215.298993788377 | -14.5861974727373 | 221.28720368436 | 4.29899378837743 |
59 | 180 | 179.756426261923 | -31.478949926242 | 211.722523664319 | -0.243573738077487 |
60 | 201 | 192.416553684133 | 1.09101302177308 | 208.492433294094 | -8.58344631586706 |
61 | 204 | 181.103161210884 | 21.6344958652476 | 205.262342923869 | -22.8968387891161 |
62 | 188 | 146.833716682607 | 16.0746664006249 | 213.091616916768 | -41.1662833173925 |
63 | 235 | 241.814162531083 | 7.26494655924982 | 220.920890909667 | 6.81416253108347 |
64 | 227 | 233.626480996669 | -14.5861974727373 | 234.959716476068 | 6.6264809966695 |
65 | 234 | 250.480407883773 | -31.478949926242 | 248.998542042469 | 16.480407883773 |
66 | 264 | 271.205259628753 | 1.09101302177308 | 255.703727349474 | 7.20525962875334 |
67 | 302 | 319.956591478274 | 21.6344958652476 | 262.408912656478 | 17.9565914782743 |
68 | 293 | 311.314332676985 | 16.0746664006249 | 258.61100092239 | 18.3143326769851 |
69 | 259 | 255.921964252448 | 7.26494655924982 | 254.813089188302 | -3.0780357475517 |
70 | 229 | 225.753372456442 | -14.5861974727373 | 246.832825016296 | -3.24662754355828 |
71 | 203 | 198.626389081953 | -31.478949926242 | 238.852560844289 | -4.37361091804743 |
72 | 229 | 218.438602532071 | 1.09101302177308 | 238.470384446156 | -10.5613974679288 |
73 | 242 | 224.27729608673 | 21.6344958652476 | 238.088208048022 | -17.7227039132696 |
74 | 233 | 200.937972009969 | 16.0746664006249 | 248.987361589406 | -32.062027990031 |
75 | 267 | 266.84853830996 | 7.26494655924982 | 259.88651513079 | -0.151461690039923 |
76 | 269 | 275.50011984157 | -14.5861974727373 | 277.086077631167 | 6.50011984156993 |
77 | 270 | 277.193309794697 | -31.478949926242 | 294.285640131545 | 7.19330979469726 |
78 | 315 | 325.765142598474 | 1.09101302177308 | 303.143844379752 | 10.7651425984745 |
79 | 364 | 394.363455506792 | 21.6344958652476 | 312.00204862796 | 30.3634555067923 |
80 | 347 | 369.847117154276 | 16.0746664006249 | 308.078216445099 | 22.8471171542762 |
81 | 312 | 312.580669178513 | 7.26494655924982 | 304.154384262238 | 0.580669178512551 |
82 | 274 | 268.287600929188 | -14.5861974727373 | 294.298596543549 | -5.71239907081156 |
83 | 237 | 221.036141101382 | -31.478949926242 | 284.44280882486 | -15.9638588986183 |
84 | 278 | 271.505836192071 | 1.09101302177308 | 283.403150786156 | -6.49416380792928 |
85 | 284 | 264.0020113873 | 21.6344958652476 | 282.363492747452 | -19.9979886126997 |
86 | 277 | 243.358127688871 | 16.0746664006249 | 294.567205910504 | -33.6418723111286 |
87 | 317 | 319.964134367195 | 7.26494655924982 | 306.770919073555 | 2.96413436719473 |
88 | 313 | 315.115865914128 | -14.5861974727373 | 325.470331558609 | 2.11586591412811 |
89 | 318 | 323.309205882579 | -31.478949926242 | 344.169744043663 | 5.30920588257885 |
90 | 374 | 394.273090502175 | 1.09101302177308 | 352.635896476052 | 20.273090502175 |
91 | 413 | 443.263455226312 | 21.6344958652476 | 361.102048908441 | 30.2634552263117 |
92 | 405 | 439.700973642797 | 16.0746664006249 | 354.224359956578 | 34.7009736427968 |
93 | 355 | 355.388382436034 | 7.26494655924982 | 347.346671004716 | 0.388382436034306 |
94 | 306 | 293.157534864858 | -14.5861974727373 | 333.42866260788 | -12.8424651351424 |
95 | 271 | 253.968295715198 | -31.478949926242 | 319.510654211044 | -17.0317042848018 |
96 | 306 | 294.147167904024 | 1.09101302177308 | 316.761819074203 | -11.8528320959757 |
97 | 315 | 294.352520197391 | 21.6344958652476 | 314.012983937361 | -20.6474798026088 |
98 | 301 | 258.346701354948 | 16.0746664006249 | 327.578632244427 | -42.6532986450524 |
99 | 356 | 363.590772889256 | 7.26494655924982 | 341.144280551494 | 7.59077288925647 |
100 | 348 | 346.906475476647 | -14.5861974727373 | 363.679721996091 | -1.09352452335344 |
101 | 355 | 355.263786485554 | -31.478949926242 | 386.215163440688 | 0.263786485554078 |
102 | 422 | 445.496061564046 | 1.09101302177308 | 397.412925414181 | 23.4960615640459 |
103 | 465 | 499.754816747078 | 21.6344958652476 | 408.610687387674 | 34.7548167470782 |
104 | 467 | 517.068871328227 | 16.0746664006249 | 400.856462271148 | 50.0688713282275 |
105 | 404 | 407.632816286129 | 7.26494655924982 | 393.102237154621 | 3.63281628612924 |
106 | 347 | 334.244329310639 | -14.5861974727373 | 374.341868162099 | -12.7556706893612 |
107 | 305 | 285.897450756666 | -31.478949926242 | 355.581499169576 | -19.1025492433343 |
108 | 336 | 324.877357115285 | 1.09101302177308 | 346.031629862942 | -11.1226428847152 |
109 | 340 | 321.883743578445 | 21.6344958652476 | 336.481760556308 | -18.1162564215555 |
110 | 318 | 274.431106638814 | 16.0746664006249 | 345.494226960561 | -43.5688933611856 |
111 | 362 | 362.228360075937 | 7.26494655924982 | 354.506693364813 | 0.228360075936678 |
112 | 348 | 333.631268294081 | -14.5861974727373 | 376.954929178656 | -14.3687317059191 |
113 | 363 | 358.075784933743 | -31.478949926242 | 399.403164992499 | -4.92421506625743 |
114 | 435 | 457.179439473818 | 1.09101302177308 | 411.729547504409 | 22.1794394738184 |
115 | 491 | 536.309574118435 | 21.6344958652476 | 424.055930016318 | 45.3095741184349 |
116 | 505 | 578.070725485231 | 16.0746664006249 | 415.854608114144 | 73.0707254852314 |
117 | 404 | 393.08176722878 | 7.26494655924982 | 407.65328621197 | -10.9182327712197 |
118 | 359 | 344.740816842668 | -14.5861974727373 | 387.845380630069 | -14.259183157332 |
119 | 310 | 283.441474878073 | -31.478949926242 | 368.037475048169 | -26.5585251219269 |
120 | 337 | 310.273564027852 | 1.09101302177308 | 362.635422950375 | -26.7264359721481 |
121 | 360 | 341.132133282171 | 21.6344958652476 | 357.233370852581 | -18.8678667178286 |
122 | 342 | 294.525729732869 | 16.0746664006249 | 373.399603866506 | -47.4742702671314 |
123 | 406 | 415.169216560318 | 7.26494655924982 | 389.565836880432 | 9.16921656031826 |
124 | 396 | 388.817550000768 | -14.5861974727373 | 417.76864747197 | -7.18244999923218 |
125 | 420 | 425.507491862735 | -31.478949926242 | 445.971458063507 | 5.50749186273475 |
126 | 472 | 482.122895510629 | 1.09101302177308 | 460.786091467597 | 10.1228955106295 |
127 | 548 | 598.764779263065 | 21.6344958652476 | 475.600724871688 | 50.7647792630647 |
128 | 559 | 633.366177081459 | 16.0746664006249 | 468.559156517916 | 74.3661770814587 |
129 | 463 | 457.217465276605 | 7.26494655924982 | 461.517588164145 | -5.78253472339509 |
130 | 407 | 386.329784392953 | -14.5861974727373 | 442.256413079784 | -20.6702156070469 |
131 | 362 | 332.483711930819 | -31.478949926242 | 422.995237995423 | -29.5162880691813 |
132 | 405 | 393.584160316823 | 1.09101302177308 | 415.324826661403 | -11.4158396831765 |
133 | 417 | 404.711088807369 | 21.6344958652476 | 407.654415327384 | -12.2889111926311 |
134 | 391 | 342.141843503524 | 16.0746664006249 | 423.783490095851 | -48.8581564964756 |
135 | 419 | 390.822488576432 | 7.26494655924982 | 439.912564864318 | -28.1775114235677 |
136 | 461 | 467.1777028557 | -14.5861974727373 | 469.408494617038 | 6.17770285569969 |
137 | 472 | 476.574525556485 | -31.478949926242 | 498.904424369757 | 4.5745255564845 |
138 | 535 | 553.754082380661 | 1.09101302177308 | 515.154904597566 | 18.7540823806606 |
139 | 622 | 690.960119309377 | 21.6344958652476 | 531.405384825375 | 68.9601193093772 |
140 | 606 | 680.906073844627 | 16.0746664006249 | 515.019259754748 | 74.9060738446267 |
141 | 508 | 510.101918756629 | 7.26494655924982 | 498.633134684122 | 2.10191875662855 |
142 | 461 | 457.488951052101 | -14.5861974727373 | 479.097246420636 | -3.51104894789853 |
143 | 390 | 351.917591769092 | -31.478949926242 | 459.56135815715 | -38.0824082309082 |
144 | 432 | 426.277636043231 | 1.09101302177308 | 436.631350934996 | -5.72236395676902 |