| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 9700 | 9700 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 9081 | 9420.75534855199 | -4.57309005414925 | -334.809656133766 | -1.94834233353035 |
| 3 | 9084 | 9148.23681304996 | -22.2228324194573 | -61.4764080168714 | -1.35941202912031 |
| 4 | 9743 | 9343.34042237475 | -8.81343040478239 | 396.803719095776 | 1.35792559118875 |
| 5 | 8587 | 9095.71794577328 | -19.3897705437256 | -504.932085873077 | -1.70068213258547 |
| 6 | 9731 | 9271.80935357071 | -13.6789053189743 | 455.876241551857 | 1.44995449824689 |
| 7 | 9563 | 9434.34157101725 | -10.0335119070046 | 125.613538466011 | 1.31903979241334 |
| 8 | 9998 | 9698.05277455607 | -5.32867042515834 | 295.196383339666 | 2.05149723799353 |
| 9 | 9437 | 9674.89359265038 | -5.61978426565983 | -237.584207961196 | -0.133510804104988 |
| 10 | 10038 | 9807.960002383 | -3.34211104374617 | 227.636926357699 | 1.03724835423323 |
| 11 | 9918 | 9889.11187295499 | -1.93643006689646 | 27.4257592995891 | 0.631428495803008 |
| 12 | 9252 | 9667.92206288852 | -5.59561438263755 | -412.129455298054 | -1.63791153123622 |
| 13 | 9737 | 9552.09673292144 | -3.60291303249015 | 186.867331298579 | -0.867997288966891 |
| 14 | 9035 | 9409.6045308197 | -2.67799038622164 | -372.146323972933 | -1.07958715017294 |
| 15 | 9133 | 9311.8674637109 | -4.16388138199647 | -177.363932784747 | -0.6726683722269 |
| 16 | 9487 | 9154.70496438778 | -8.33649044199379 | 334.583963876599 | -1.05065569779451 |
| 17 | 8700 | 9193.58274363402 | -6.97662342798474 | -494.306224323897 | 0.333376762510389 |
| 18 | 9627 | 9253.45665240867 | -5.30611167093077 | 372.477532026236 | 0.487313610465123 |
| 19 | 8947 | 9171.22219856989 | -6.84882860641563 | -222.964132266305 | -0.570818059094276 |
| 20 | 9283 | 9097.54352347646 | -7.92757697731067 | 186.562692239169 | -0.499540958550639 |
| 21 | 8829 | 9104.99860546162 | -7.71999509924839 | -276.254518045126 | 0.115256926625467 |
| 22 | 9947 | 9330.40069558411 | -5.08062386483179 | 612.713319368563 | 1.74690713405446 |
| 23 | 9628 | 9424.00699823351 | -4.2336892260828 | 202.346011438165 | 0.739031113053178 |
| 24 | 9318 | 9518.23324934119 | -3.76366410957429 | -201.880863482011 | 0.7382399880221 |
| 25 | 9605 | 9459.67948873172 | -3.82804163094699 | 146.242487498528 | -0.412981271781821 |
| 26 | 8640 | 9244.05590108533 | -4.56140678988308 | -600.523068786789 | -1.58335183799335 |
| 27 | 9214 | 9214.62764831041 | -4.81013763273581 | -0.22515935018059 | -0.181374415632695 |
| 28 | 9567 | 9224.51717058538 | -4.57394589305237 | 342.251052549569 | 0.105410581675466 |
| 29 | 8547 | 9155.49409583326 | -5.80533754699979 | -607.480765171361 | -0.46355025092837 |
| 30 | 9185 | 8982.9437561199 | -8.98964452579239 | 204.714442181488 | -1.21612599593983 |
| 31 | 9470 | 9195.94977937513 | -5.17610189679198 | 270.453401315822 | 1.64058374074186 |
| 32 | 9123 | 9183.67779650025 | -5.2791774802775 | -60.561492393887 | -0.0528642176675717 |
| 33 | 9278 | 9382.19716370664 | -2.87322832073637 | -107.558997854042 | 1.52367746099457 |
| 34 | 10170 | 9524.09425203613 | -1.54031564780128 | 643.510338439346 | 1.08334430820871 |
| 35 | 9434 | 9459.82994469404 | -1.9669842794927 | -24.7905173912511 | -0.469403201143593 |
| 36 | 9655 | 9554.21052078832 | -1.4917129194757 | 99.1913630748823 | 0.721116780711331 |
| 37 | 9429 | 9426.440204917 | -2.04138555861924 | 4.6521079656469 | -0.943904509669429 |
| 38 | 8739 | 9354.04525919485 | -2.44735856468092 | -613.887819499368 | -0.522575332519961 |
| 39 | 9552 | 9400.49139347728 | -2.02040768316172 | 150.714845172622 | 0.359345888005635 |
| 40 | 9687 | 9364.4698354374 | -2.42462995986503 | 323.075417816691 | -0.247865995620457 |
| 41 | 9019 | 9439.24094949365 | -1.3410766139186 | -421.474088615306 | 0.562504783072611 |
| 42 | 9672 | 9526.31259608928 | -0.0428002528425941 | 144.268145783405 | 0.648149669107271 |
| 43 | 9206 | 9354.37081022107 | -2.4455498595861 | -145.586898822481 | -1.27010286256063 |
| 44 | 9069 | 9291.78891478252 | -3.18980847698942 | -221.807051628344 | -0.447039881234846 |
| 45 | 9788 | 9527.26866330024 | -0.715850576423168 | 256.812943299528 | 1.78023393246572 |
| 46 | 10312 | 9624.42016437485 | 0.100211470240847 | 685.968105301338 | 0.730999497915097 |
| 47 | 10105 | 9836.11998038803 | 1.50198135202239 | 265.390069156292 | 1.58105540804935 |
| 48 | 9863 | 9824.44228430115 | 1.42878010730025 | 38.7751318297001 | -0.0984370525435768 |
| 49 | 9656 | 9747.28651317558 | 1.00264192344492 | -89.9925765903169 | -0.585804217448706 |
| 50 | 9295 | 9801.81345733772 | 1.34093348364258 | -507.690452077037 | 0.397304413484031 |
| 51 | 9946 | 9816.20288749432 | 1.44481250339541 | 129.584849916699 | 0.0963131193449886 |
| 52 | 9701 | 9677.00381169591 | 0.0715148368080913 | 26.2692338677064 | -1.03365616798114 |
| 53 | 9049 | 9569.03854557257 | -1.13197880359327 | -518.297126868695 | -0.793457167449151 |
| 54 | 10190 | 9686.25385828471 | 0.255674060646229 | 501.834845757328 | 0.871658921327052 |
| 55 | 9706 | 9795.08410156763 | 1.49973165828775 | -90.8459645319912 | 0.803260153597851 |
| 56 | 9765 | 9964.84995753557 | 3.26812001201982 | -202.594702366161 | 1.24994535825273 |
| 57 | 9893 | 9928.37955837887 | 2.90361450815234 | -34.7286819282486 | -0.295991666012637 |
| 58 | 9994 | 9736.87346512086 | 1.39319797853729 | 260.319105141993 | -1.45005711655378 |
| 59 | 10433 | 9841.16895698433 | 2.07215315380453 | 590.138997072426 | 0.767852769841204 |
| 60 | 10073 | 9924.92239245375 | 2.55432679567888 | 146.734459291319 | 0.609239136706893 |
| 61 | 10112 | 10052.7993802873 | 3.28504223935974 | 57.1429537393578 | 0.933304756870176 |
| 62 | 9266 | 9964.62360809379 | 2.70214316368767 | -697.12671581134 | -0.679264140205079 |
| 63 | 9820 | 9805.68390166276 | 1.51499737223014 | 16.9504547895107 | -1.19658314756813 |
| 64 | 10097 | 9863.91322081197 | 1.99311293280302 | 232.165913083476 | 0.418810387330148 |
| 65 | 9115 | 9841.34228057075 | 1.76460062796137 | -725.944114781722 | -0.181294601987163 |
| 66 | 10411 | 9901.66168165606 | 2.33422209816352 | 508.388405775682 | 0.432782826087989 |
| 67 | 9678 | 9895.09611809772 | 2.2485731162224 | -216.951356335166 | -0.0659480734311708 |
| 68 | 10408 | 10131.5181975542 | 4.36915097090551 | 272.660375807678 | 1.73978727386636 |
| 69 | 10153 | 10180.0044874449 | 4.73067642711336 | -27.7264850760512 | 0.328414258657286 |
| 70 | 10368 | 10200.9384737923 | 4.84832577837536 | 166.795820249956 | 0.120758991815425 |
| 71 | 10581 | 10156.2673868467 | 4.5279059047316 | 425.545495861981 | -0.369206053880769 |
| 72 | 10597 | 10266.9784821143 | 5.16440960309164 | 328.278390516174 | 0.791435108005612 |
| 73 | 10680 | 10388.5759024032 | 5.85385733423934 | 289.514681065728 | 0.866900055495605 |
| 74 | 9738 | 10404.3990842246 | 5.91603110056213 | -666.562241209605 | 0.0740972194248406 |
| 75 | 9556 | 10104.9951589431 | 3.8332477035943 | -544.011075258887 | -2.26486245203599 |
