Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.859090117482483 |
beta | 0.0739570283331473 |
gamma | 1 |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
13 | 299.5 | 239.394497863248 | 60.105502136752 |
14 | 347.4 | 339.492687410728 | 7.90731258927207 |
15 | 338.3 | 339.929491887076 | -1.62949188707591 |
16 | 327.7 | 329.223957559414 | -1.52395755941427 |
17 | 351.6 | 353.166427606572 | -1.56642760657212 |
18 | 396.6 | 400.389554566408 | -3.78955456640767 |
19 | 438.8 | 384.599542925414 | 54.2004570745862 |
20 | 395.6 | 427.763510672175 | -32.1635106721746 |
21 | 363.5 | 393.902014378474 | -30.4020143784744 |
22 | 378.8 | 345.076353958644 | 33.7236460413558 |
23 | 357 | 410.295571899322 | -53.2955718993219 |
24 | 369 | 383.104598762055 | -14.1045987620546 |
25 | 464.8 | 456.976349628361 | 7.82365037163873 |
26 | 479.1 | 502.592157461936 | -23.4921574619364 |
27 | 431.3 | 470.502849795591 | -39.2028497955905 |
28 | 366.5 | 420.938726552774 | -54.4387265527742 |
29 | 326.3 | 389.46011810615 | -63.1601181061498 |
30 | 355.1 | 369.585513312266 | -14.4855133122662 |
31 | 331.6 | 338.228558771718 | -6.62855877171762 |
32 | 261.3 | 298.551050153372 | -37.251050153372 |
33 | 249 | 241.829537110876 | 7.17046288912383 |
34 | 205.5 | 217.967581386782 | -12.4675813867821 |
35 | 235.6 | 211.957331684653 | 23.6426683153473 |
36 | 240.9 | 241.988791886558 | -1.08879188655763 |
37 | 264.9 | 316.562325993441 | -51.6623259934408 |
38 | 253.8 | 289.312251522452 | -35.5122515224519 |
39 | 232.3 | 226.569741231584 | 5.73025876841558 |
40 | 193.8 | 198.202113954522 | -4.40211395452158 |
41 | 177 | 196.401440515672 | -19.401440515672 |
42 | 213.2 | 211.679362402665 | 1.52063759733463 |
43 | 207.2 | 186.898365671663 | 20.3016343283371 |
44 | 180.6 | 159.470447421817 | 21.1295525781834 |
45 | 188.6 | 156.300958206136 | 32.2990417938635 |
46 | 175.4 | 149.994479718497 | 25.4055202815026 |
47 | 199 | 182.750182367115 | 16.2498176328848 |
48 | 179.6 | 203.617154073353 | -24.0171540733529 |
49 | 225.8 | 250.581620945881 | -24.781620945881 |
50 | 234 | 249.622858322216 | -15.6228583222158 |
51 | 200.2 | 211.964952702826 | -11.7649527028261 |
52 | 183.6 | 168.214385528146 | 15.3856144718541 |
53 | 178.2 | 183.63160372395 | -5.43160372394988 |
54 | 203.2 | 217.078589038287 | -13.8785890382874 |
55 | 208.5 | 183.955882611516 | 24.5441173884841 |
56 | 191.8 | 162.800036528638 | 28.999963471362 |
57 | 172.8 | 170.976618453967 | 1.82338154603298 |
58 | 148 | 138.591929629815 | 9.40807037018453 |
59 | 159.4 | 156.37233566996 | 3.02766433003956 |
60 | 154.5 | 159.424275934004 | -4.92427593400402 |
61 | 213.2 | 223.114609211199 | -9.91460921119921 |
62 | 196.4 | 237.594180801579 | -41.1941808015787 |
63 | 182.8 | 178.262799760343 | 4.5372002396569 |
64 | 176.4 | 153.129781835665 | 23.2702181643353 |
65 | 153.6 | 173.674935132272 | -20.0749351322718 |
66 | 173.2 | 193.709042121921 | -20.5090421219207 |
67 | 171 | 160.240373884836 | 10.7596261151641 |
68 | 151.2 | 126.930528161061 | 24.2694718389391 |
69 | 161.9 | 125.973435002348 | 35.9265649976524 |
70 | 157.2 | 124.881675573477 | 32.318324426523 |
71 | 201.7 | 163.827076326696 | 37.8729236733041 |
72 | 236.4 | 200.289731456614 | 36.1102685433862 |
73 | 356.1 | 305.73241363316 | 50.3675863668398 |
74 | 398.3 | 378.625462123893 | 19.674537876107 |
75 | 403.7 | 392.93037829364 | 10.7696217063604 |
76 | 384.6 | 391.087800000895 | -6.48780000089471 |
77 | 365.8 | 393.366236037197 | -27.5662360371974 |
78 | 368.1 | 419.833367569817 | -51.7333675698166 |
79 | 367.9 | 374.892290362544 | -6.99229036254417 |
80 | 347 | 338.05377411387 | 8.9462258861297 |
81 | 343.3 | 334.419812173408 | 8.88018782659191 |
82 | 292.9 | 316.710509488026 | -23.8105094880263 |
83 | 311.5 | 311.77886280597 | -0.278862805969766 |
84 | 300.9 | 316.353298389015 | -15.4532983890151 |
85 | 366.9 | 377.367075471285 | -10.4670754712852 |
86 | 356.9 | 387.667386022294 | -30.7673860222942 |
87 | 329.7 | 348.173160300294 | -18.4731603002941 |
88 | 316.2 | 307.708500690068 | 8.49149930993161 |
89 | 269 | 309.768910811575 | -40.7689108115746 |
90 | 289.3 | 310.533091409828 | -21.2330914098276 |
91 | 266.2 | 289.081542105649 | -22.881542105649 |
92 | 253.6 | 230.811667742216 | 22.7883322577844 |
93 | 233.8 | 229.912532395194 | 3.88746760480572 |
94 | 228.4 | 193.842889774912 | 34.5571102250879 |
95 | 253.6 | 236.613859544015 | 16.986140455985 |
96 | 260.1 | 249.222935445949 | 10.8770645540507 |
97 | 306.6 | 330.573069195612 | -23.9730691956122 |
98 | 309.2 | 322.565480154259 | -13.3654801542592 |
99 | 309.5 | 297.014561387111 | 12.4854386128889 |
100 | 271 | 286.173816735988 | -15.1738167359881 |
101 | 279.9 | 258.686817021174 | 21.2131829788265 |
102 | 317.9 | 317.114578730617 | 0.78542126938305 |
103 | 298.4 | 317.408182699632 | -19.0081826996322 |
104 | 246.7 | 272.208856180457 | -25.508856180457 |
105 | 227.3 | 227.393813157566 | -0.093813157565819 |
106 | 209.1 | 192.211641881434 | 16.8883581185663 |
107 | 259.9 | 216.191135150436 | 43.7088648495642 |
108 | 266 | 251.457955826307 | 14.5420441736933 |
109 | 320.6 | 331.840111835214 | -11.2401118352141 |
110 | 308.5 | 337.869195516842 | -29.3691955168418 |
111 | 282.2 | 302.798685634964 | -20.5986856349645 |
112 | 262.7 | 258.122602326413 | 4.57739767358652 |
113 | 263.5 | 252.470239788893 | 11.0297602111074 |
114 | 313.1 | 298.363314923536 | 14.7366850764638 |
115 | 284.3 | 307.831866174957 | -23.5318661749574 |
116 | 252.6 | 257.521531948132 | -4.92153194813207 |
117 | 250.3 | 234.97337077231 | 15.3266292276898 |
118 | 246.5 | 217.410738648687 | 29.0892613513131 |
119 | 312.7 | 258.405409058459 | 54.2945909415409 |
120 | 333.2 | 302.083228497516 | 31.1167715024839 |
121 | 446.4 | 397.551495514001 | 48.8485044859989 |
122 | 511.6 | 460.945211166546 | 50.6547888334541 |
123 | 515.5 | 509.240413523036 | 6.25958647696393 |
124 | 506.4 | 506.274072424471 | 0.125927575528863 |
125 | 483.2 | 512.512377188381 | -29.3123771883814 |
126 | 522.3 | 536.512774692708 | -14.2127746927076 |
127 | 509.8 | 526.121899968407 | -16.3218999684067 |
128 | 460.7 | 495.489232971886 | -34.7892329718856 |
129 | 405.8 | 459.098800682661 | -53.2988006826609 |
130 | 375 | 389.12347213967 | -14.1234721396697 |
131 | 378.5 | 398.404078113026 | -19.9040781130258 |
132 | 406.8 | 372.216189998892 | 34.583810001108 |
133 | 467.8 | 470.525432412902 | -2.72543241290151 |
134 | 469.8 | 483.954123473323 | -14.1541234733231 |
135 | 429.8 | 460.28633560603 | -30.4863356060296 |
136 | 355.8 | 412.522391646799 | -56.7223916467988 |
137 | 332.7 | 349.797567198552 | -17.0975671985524 |
138 | 378 | 371.218195699013 | 6.78180430098689 |
139 | 360.5 | 364.699191314941 | -4.19919131494066 |
140 | 334.7 | 328.78185080916 | 5.9181491908401 |
141 | 319.5 | 314.243978390449 | 5.25602160955128 |
142 | 323.1 | 293.302465786621 | 29.797534213379 |
143 | 363.6 | 335.500939767822 | 28.0990602321783 |
144 | 352.1 | 357.280180836401 | -5.18018083640141 |
145 | 411.9 | 412.695121167561 | -0.795121167561206 |
146 | 388.6 | 422.818142247436 | -34.2181422474355 |
147 | 416.4 | 374.983835736864 | 41.4161642631363 |
148 | 360.7 | 385.233730369834 | -24.5337303698336 |
149 | 338 | 357.730557989377 | -19.7305579893768 |
150 | 417.2 | 382.071922416264 | 35.1280775837355 |
151 | 388.4 | 401.976465130282 | -13.5764651302825 |
152 | 371.1 | 362.4519171334 | 8.64808286659962 |
153 | 331.5 | 353.362534337187 | -21.8625343371872 |
154 | 353.7 | 314.055413027337 | 39.6445869726626 |
155 | 396.7 | 366.573233905241 | 30.1267660947594 |
156 | 447 | 387.63308786344 | 59.3669121365601 |
157 | 533.5 | 505.446748995561 | 28.0532510044386 |
158 | 565.4 | 543.805443437533 | 21.5945565624673 |
159 | 542.3 | 566.284953845626 | -23.9849538456258 |
160 | 488.7 | 518.609150799527 | -29.9091507995273 |
161 | 467.1 | 494.376039391523 | -27.2760393915233 |
162 | 531.3 | 526.697088456642 | 4.60291154335778 |
163 | 496.1 | 518.307181163578 | -22.2071811635775 |
164 | 444 | 478.74373959271 | -34.7437395927096 |
165 | 403.4 | 429.564702208678 | -26.1647022086784 |
166 | 386.3 | 396.442329515062 | -10.1423295150618 |
167 | 394.1 | 402.898035530584 | -8.79803553058372 |
168 | 404.1 | 390.215574175986 | 13.8844258240144 |
169 | 462.1 | 457.230884054156 | 4.86911594584421 |
170 | 448.1 | 465.976809417772 | -17.8768094177719 |
171 | 432.3 | 436.830999113481 | -4.53099911348147 |
172 | 386.3 | 394.975883254901 | -8.67588325490073 |
173 | 395.2 | 380.646930027719 | 14.5530699722806 |
174 | 421.9 | 447.344493179193 | -25.4444931791932 |
175 | 382.9 | 401.403746337687 | -18.5037463376871 |
176 | 384.2 | 355.531060486612 | 28.668939513388 |
177 | 345.5 | 358.342768894614 | -12.8427688946145 |
178 | 323.4 | 336.073935863106 | -12.6739358631065 |
179 | 372.6 | 337.534428429921 | 35.0655715700792 |
180 | 376 | 365.508088925717 | 10.4919110742829 |
181 | 462.7 | 427.900178185247 | 34.7998218147528 |
182 | 487 | 460.61742294148 | 26.3825770585196 |
183 | 444.2 | 475.650295578874 | -31.4502955788744 |
184 | 399.3 | 412.650010123333 | -13.3500101233332 |
185 | 394.9 | 399.846762703051 | -4.94676270305087 |
186 | 455.4 | 445.185236787097 | 10.2147632129033 |
187 | 414 | 434.151738608324 | -20.1517386083236 |
188 | 375.5 | 396.700384154189 | -21.2003841541886 |
189 | 347 | 350.841962139089 | -3.84196213908945 |
190 | 339.4 | 336.922819170633 | 2.47718082936734 |
191 | 385.8 | 359.682488023116 | 26.1175119768845 |
192 | 378.8 | 377.493798924131 | 1.30620107586861 |
193 | 451.8 | 435.823650940648 | 15.976349059352 |
194 | 446.1 | 450.391690398526 | -4.29169039852593 |
195 | 422.5 | 428.182394150983 | -5.68239415098287 |
196 | 383.1 | 388.765764693681 | -5.66576469368067 |
197 | 352.8 | 383.132498938431 | -30.3324989384314 |
198 | 445.3 | 406.570266636765 | 38.7297333632353 |
199 | 367.5 | 415.337997290173 | -47.8379972901729 |
200 | 355.1 | 351.778059801717 | 3.32194019828319 |
201 | 326.2 | 328.814714534784 | -2.61471453478356 |
202 | 319.8 | 316.300508680232 | 3.4994913197678 |
203 | 331.8 | 342.794735054682 | -10.9947350546822 |
204 | 340.9 | 322.394312257661 | 18.5056877423388 |
205 | 394.1 | 395.827214314609 | -1.72721431460906 |
206 | 417.2 | 389.465493350584 | 27.7345066494158 |
207 | 369.9 | 393.743594079107 | -23.8435940791065 |
208 | 349.2 | 336.743286493262 | 12.4567135067383 |
209 | 321.4 | 342.370587319678 | -20.9705873196783 |
210 | 405.7 | 383.344959186712 | 22.355040813288 |
211 | 342.9 | 364.569053506187 | -21.6690535061871 |
212 | 316.5 | 331.084150283862 | -14.5841502838621 |
213 | 284.2 | 291.148261888223 | -6.94826188822259 |
214 | 270.9 | 274.744300734959 | -3.84430073495855 |
215 | 288.8 | 291.392175220458 | -2.59217522045793 |
216 | 278.8 | 281.406079633968 | -2.60607963396836 |
217 | 324.4 | 331.54857308869 | -7.14857308869011 |
218 | 310.9 | 322.033931876074 | -11.1339318760741 |
219 | 299 | 280.536209452007 | 18.4637905479934 |
220 | 273 | 262.56839385805 | 10.4316061419495 |
221 | 279.3 | 259.188605093528 | 20.1113949064718 |
222 | 359.2 | 341.614182874109 | 17.5858171258907 |
223 | 305 | 312.287709889242 | -7.28770988924248 |
224 | 282.1 | 292.819794800887 | -10.7197948008871 |
225 | 250.3 | 258.189017955906 | -7.88901795590607 |
226 | 246.5 | 242.263779527069 | 4.23622047293088 |
227 | 257.9 | 267.392926941993 | -9.49292694199272 |
228 | 266.5 | 252.401000184439 | 14.0989998155615 |
229 | 315.9 | 318.240445580058 | -2.34044558005814 |
230 | 318.4 | 314.586196246011 | 3.8138037539893 |
231 | 295.4 | 293.341606487196 | 2.05839351280383 |
232 | 266.4 | 262.347002142977 | 4.05299785702323 |
233 | 245.8 | 256.644862137132 | -10.844862137132 |
234 | 362.8 | 311.946987675597 | 50.853012324403 |
235 | 324.9 | 309.635404948446 | 15.2645950515535 |
236 | 294.2 | 312.431512532644 | -18.2315125326439 |
237 | 289.5 | 274.64229006871 | 14.8577099312905 |
238 | 295.2 | 284.308249577866 | 10.8917504221344 |
239 | 290.3 | 317.984531433333 | -27.6845314333331 |
240 | 272 | 294.296902373421 | -22.2969023734211 |
241 | 307.4 | 327.848256250714 | -20.4482562507143 |
242 | 328.7 | 309.650215588424 | 19.0497844115758 |
243 | 292.9 | 302.360636400324 | -9.46063640032435 |
244 | 249.1 | 262.132621337371 | -13.0326213373706 |
245 | 230.4 | 238.949005941196 | -8.5490059411961 |
246 | 361.5 | 304.359054953146 | 57.1409450468537 |
247 | 321.7 | 302.275857787835 | 19.4241422121649 |
248 | 277.2 | 304.030983001413 | -26.8309830014134 |
249 | 260.7 | 263.075789422741 | -2.37578942274075 |
250 | 251 | 255.841984245482 | -4.84198424548197 |
251 | 257.6 | 268.030343313088 | -10.4303433130876 |
252 | 241.8 | 258.485597270857 | -16.685597270857 |
253 | 287.5 | 296.035389246711 | -8.53538924671096 |
254 | 292.3 | 293.311460964114 | -1.01146096411446 |
255 | 274.7 | 263.169679564316 | 11.5303204356844 |
256 | 254.2 | 240.204751811043 | 13.9952481889568 |
257 | 230 | 242.32282547309 | -12.3228254730903 |
258 | 339 | 314.957941966682 | 24.0420580333183 |
259 | 318.2 | 278.232940400304 | 39.9670595996962 |
260 | 287 | 291.531480962159 | -4.53148096215887 |
261 | 295.8 | 275.009365595216 | 20.7906344047843 |
262 | 284 | 290.631809056493 | -6.63180905649301 |
263 | 271 | 303.683088525287 | -32.6830885252873 |
264 | 262.7 | 275.913953207461 | -13.2139532074609 |
265 | 340.6 | 319.589369984936 | 21.0106300150645 |
266 | 379.4 | 347.180284108725 | 32.2197158912746 |
267 | 373.3 | 353.337660495235 | 19.9623395047646 |
268 | 355.2 | 344.482985562463 | 10.7170144375368 |
269 | 338.4 | 346.387055178612 | -7.98705517861242 |
270 | 466.9 | 434.457407813916 | 32.4425921860839 |
271 | 451 | 414.3131937429 | 36.6868062570998 |
272 | 422 | 425.434985112462 | -3.43498511246219 |
273 | 429.2 | 420.404229643797 | 8.79577035620258 |
274 | 425.9 | 428.077042793037 | -2.17704279303666 |
275 | 460.7 | 447.786654269441 | 12.9133457305589 |
276 | 463.6 | 471.331531394195 | -7.73153139419452 |
277 | 541.4 | 534.286927176565 | 7.11307282343535 |
278 | 544.2 | 560.382569088626 | -16.1825690886265 |
279 | 517.5 | 529.020070591109 | -11.5200705911088 |
280 | 469.4 | 495.605387268522 | -26.2053872685225 |
281 | 439.4 | 464.597282316282 | -25.1972823162824 |
282 | 549 | 543.929055135559 | 5.07094486444112 |
283 | 533 | 499.478722234198 | 33.5212777658019 |
284 | 506.1 | 500.636899395091 | 5.46310060490879 |
285 | 484 | 503.948599258845 | -19.9485992588453 |
286 | 457 | 482.529699094871 | -25.5296990948714 |
287 | 481.5 | 479.968398984436 | 1.53160101556426 |
288 | 469.5 | 485.767856568266 | -16.2678565682657 |
289 | 544.7 | 537.880761423362 | 6.81923857663776 |
290 | 541.2 | 554.821948326006 | -13.6219483260058 |
291 | 521.5 | 520.85949815513 | 0.640501844870414 |
292 | 469.7 | 491.138419523215 | -21.4384195232149 |
293 | 434.4 | 459.986377618668 | -25.5863776186683 |
294 | 542.6 | 538.843009599213 | 3.75699040078678 |
295 | 517.3 | 492.783356139126 | 24.5166438608738 |
296 | 485.7 | 477.190502334387 | 8.50949766561251 |
297 | 465.8 | 474.670562774213 | -8.87056277421254 |
298 | 447 | 457.818104143249 | -10.8181041432489 |
299 | 426.6 | 468.47914872837 | -41.8791487283704 |
300 | 411.6 | 428.489160341765 | -16.8891603417648 |
301 | 467.5 | 477.294453731161 | -9.79445373116096 |
302 | 484.5 | 469.999997676918 | 14.5000023230824 |
303 | 451.2 | 456.91068802228 | -5.71068802227978 |
304 | 417.4 | 412.922829551121 | 4.47717044887889 |
305 | 379.9 | 399.397295919912 | -19.4972959199116 |
306 | 484.7 | 483.953812065883 | 0.746187934116961 |
307 | 455 | 434.375598405022 | 20.6244015949785 |
308 | 420.8 | 409.078846218908 | 11.7211537810923 |
309 | 416.5 | 402.968494974463 | 13.531505025537 |
310 | 376.3 | 402.609844364403 | -26.3098443644027 |
311 | 405.6 | 392.123841300831 | 13.4761586991695 |
312 | 405.8 | 403.265989317788 | 2.5340106822116 |
313 | 500.8 | 471.046919554068 | 29.7530804459316 |
314 | 514 | 504.953038855604 | 9.04696114439605 |
315 | 475.5 | 487.787076964132 | -12.2870769641323 |
316 | 430.1 | 442.623129418833 | -12.5231294188334 |
317 | 414.4 | 413.072491832807 | 1.3275081671926 |
318 | 538 | 521.652942786601 | 16.3470572133986 |
319 | 526 | 492.550575949782 | 33.4494240502176 |
320 | 488.5 | 482.104223106596 | 6.39577689340354 |
321 | 520.2 | 476.422742659767 | 43.7772573402327 |
322 | 504.4 | 503.104318792678 | 1.29568120732159 |
323 | 568.5 | 530.364568479637 | 38.1354315203625 |
324 | 610.6 | 571.140520262849 | 39.4594797371509 |
325 | 818 | 686.816402393339 | 131.183597606661 |
326 | 830.9 | 823.724454383408 | 7.17554561659188 |
327 | 835.9 | 820.607373932424 | 15.2926260675756 |
328 | 782 | 819.518684587184 | -37.518684587184 |
329 | 762.3 | 789.273262897894 | -26.9732628978936 |
330 | 856.9 | 892.686051835608 | -35.7860518356083 |
331 | 820.9 | 834.923070258566 | -14.0230702585663 |
332 | 769.6 | 790.581771362801 | -20.9817713628011 |
333 | 752.2 | 775.6088075684 | -23.4088075684001 |
334 | 724.4 | 743.277586017262 | -18.8775860172617 |
335 | 723.1 | 761.808702989748 | -38.7087029897482 |
336 | 719.5 | 735.283276729283 | -15.7832767292828 |
337 | 817.4 | 811.44368432831 | 5.95631567168994 |
338 | 803.3 | 810.358043321419 | -7.0580433214194 |
339 | 752.5 | 782.314249740825 | -29.8142497408249 |
340 | 689 | 718.324599906683 | -29.3245999066827 |
341 | 630.4 | 680.416753181557 | -50.0167531815574 |
342 | 765.5 | 745.139376464854 | 20.3606235351459 |
343 | 757.7 | 724.593467430952 | 33.1065325690481 |
344 | 732.2 | 708.670009000194 | 23.5299909998065 |
345 | 702.6 | 723.33256946829 | -20.7325694682895 |
346 | 683.3 | 685.846910809715 | -2.54691080971486 |
347 | 709.5 | 708.558670126916 | 0.941329873084214 |
348 | 702.2 | 714.791330063755 | -12.5913300637546 |
349 | 784.8 | 792.424749328078 | -7.62474932807822 |
350 | 810.9 | 772.642533036564 | 38.2574669634361 |
351 | 755.6 | 778.006062406021 | -22.4060624060206 |
352 | 656.8 | 718.604184623484 | -61.8041846234844 |
353 | 615.1 | 645.968578939629 | -30.8685789396293 |
354 | 745.3 | 734.365531198387 | 10.9344688016126 |
355 | 694.1 | 704.226286331973 | -10.1262863319729 |
356 | 675.7 | 643.774237418526 | 31.9257625814743 |
357 | 643.7 | 653.907648081523 | -10.2076480815227 |
358 | 622.1 | 623.190251191343 | -1.09025119134321 |
359 | 634.6 | 642.901356733183 | -8.30135673318296 |
360 | 588 | 633.956006137392 | -45.9560061373918 |
361 | 689.7 | 676.175328143586 | 13.5246718564142 |
362 | 673.9 | 674.920698593875 | -1.02069859387518 |
363 | 647.9 | 629.390155815983 | 18.5098441840165 |
364 | 568.8 | 593.584269672518 | -24.7842696725185 |
365 | 545.7 | 553.460453189694 | -7.76045318969386 |
366 | 632.6 | 665.417236164465 | -32.8172361644653 |
367 | 643.8 | 589.761273628414 | 54.0387263715857 |
368 | 593.1 | 589.472682854518 | 3.62731714548238 |
369 | 579.7 | 566.674582306805 | 13.0254176931948 |
370 | 546 | 555.993761806185 | -9.99376180618549 |
371 | 562.9 | 565.266689948438 | -2.36668994843762 |
372 | 572.5 | 554.717760847417 | 17.7822391525827 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
373 | 662.72897232512 | 615.085067232266 | 710.372877417973 |
374 | 649.600121689987 | 584.77571700078 | 714.424526379194 |
375 | 609.557625618189 | 529.496678783946 | 689.618572452432 |
376 | 552.432638033117 | 458.034949763829 | 646.830326302406 |
377 | 538.25734516118 | 429.979761908165 | 646.534928414194 |
378 | 656.101153149277 | 534.169138380343 | 778.03316791821 |
379 | 625.712929861724 | 490.216089728413 | 761.209769995036 |
380 | 573.29925892293 | 424.241236728053 | 722.357281117806 |
381 | 549.881308357329 | 387.208496636217 | 712.554120078442 |
382 | 525.111327701875 | 348.73057668874 | 701.492078715009 |
383 | 545.023966161358 | 354.814088634464 | 735.233843688251 |
384 | 540.477228178301 | 336.296781563547 | 744.657674793055 |