Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 247832 | NA | NA | 1.04689 | NA |
2 | 246909 | NA | NA | 1.00798 | NA |
3 | 245973 | NA | NA | 0.995612 | NA |
4 | 244036 | NA | NA | 1.01031 | NA |
5 | 263198 | NA | NA | 1.07083 | NA |
6 | 262184 | NA | NA | 1.0547 | NA |
7 | 247832 | 243449 | 246297 | 0.988435 | 1.018 |
8 | 238290 | 231802 | 246096 | 0.941915 | 1.02799 |
9 | 239213 | 243933 | 245896 | 0.992016 | 0.980651 |
10 | 239213 | 219236 | 245537 | 0.892882 | 1.09112 |
11 | 240240 | 240046 | 245298 | 0.978589 | 1.00081 |
12 | 242086 | 250369 | 245498 | 1.01984 | 0.966915 |
13 | 244959 | 257805 | 246258 | 1.04689 | 0.950173 |
14 | 244959 | 249189 | 247216 | 1.00798 | 0.983026 |
15 | 243113 | 247123 | 248212 | 0.995612 | 0.983775 |
16 | 238290 | 251616 | 249050 | 1.01031 | 0.947037 |
17 | 263198 | 267330 | 249648 | 1.07083 | 0.984543 |
18 | 266994 | 264062 | 250365 | 1.0547 | 1.01111 |
19 | 261261 | 248141 | 251045 | 0.988435 | 1.05287 |
20 | 247832 | 236877 | 251484 | 0.941915 | 1.04625 |
21 | 253578 | 249832 | 251843 | 0.992016 | 1.01499 |
22 | 244959 | 225221 | 252240 | 0.892882 | 1.08764 |
23 | 248846 | 246994 | 252398 | 0.978589 | 1.0075 |
24 | 250705 | 257528 | 252518 | 1.01984 | 0.973505 |
25 | 252642 | 264608 | 252757 | 1.04689 | 0.954777 |
26 | 247832 | 255137 | 253116 | 1.00798 | 0.971369 |
27 | 248846 | 252720 | 253834 | 0.995612 | 0.984669 |
28 | 242086 | 257257 | 254633 | 1.01031 | 0.941028 |
29 | 263198 | 273693 | 255590 | 1.07083 | 0.961653 |
30 | 269867 | 270793 | 256747 | 1.0547 | 0.996582 |
31 | 264134 | 254846 | 257827 | 0.988435 | 1.03645 |
32 | 253578 | 243680 | 258707 | 0.941915 | 1.04062 |
33 | 265057 | 257709 | 259783 | 0.992016 | 1.02851 |
34 | 252642 | 233523 | 261539 | 0.892882 | 1.08187 |
35 | 264134 | 257737 | 263376 | 0.978589 | 1.02482 |
36 | 263198 | 269861 | 264611 | 1.01984 | 0.97531 |
37 | 266071 | 277434 | 265008 | 1.04689 | 0.959044 |
38 | 255515 | 267243 | 265127 | 1.00798 | 0.956113 |
39 | 266994 | 264163 | 265327 | 0.995612 | 1.01072 |
40 | 266071 | 268143 | 265408 | 1.01031 | 0.992272 |
41 | 283296 | 284165 | 265369 | 1.07083 | 0.996942 |
42 | 279409 | 279926 | 265407 | 1.0547 | 0.998151 |
43 | 264134 | 262533 | 265605 | 0.988435 | 1.0061 |
44 | 256438 | 250479 | 265925 | 0.941915 | 1.02379 |
45 | 266994 | 263921 | 266046 | 0.992016 | 1.01164 |
46 | 252642 | 237544 | 266042 | 0.892882 | 1.06356 |
47 | 263198 | 260226 | 265919 | 0.978589 | 1.01142 |
48 | 265057 | 270586 | 265321 | 1.01984 | 0.979568 |
49 | 268944 | 277095 | 264684 | 1.04689 | 0.970586 |
50 | 260338 | 266116 | 264009 | 1.00798 | 0.978288 |
51 | 265057 | 262021 | 263176 | 0.995612 | 1.01159 |
52 | 267930 | 264360 | 261663 | 1.01031 | 1.0135 |
53 | 278486 | 278020 | 259630 | 1.07083 | 1.00168 |
54 | 269867 | 272193 | 258075 | 1.0547 | 0.991455 |
55 | 258388 | 254026 | 256998 | 0.988435 | 1.01717 |
56 | 245973 | 241092 | 255960 | 0.941915 | 1.02024 |
57 | 257465 | 252534 | 254566 | 0.992016 | 1.01953 |
58 | 225875 | 225771 | 252856 | 0.892882 | 1.00046 |
59 | 241163 | 245493 | 250864 | 0.978589 | 0.982362 |
60 | 249769 | 253607 | 248673 | 1.01984 | 0.984868 |
61 | 258388 | 257953 | 246400 | 1.04689 | 1.00169 |
62 | 245973 | 246115 | 244167 | 1.00798 | 0.999422 |
63 | 245973 | 240790 | 241851 | 0.995612 | 1.02152 |
64 | 245973 | 241923 | 239455 | 1.01031 | 1.01674 |
65 | 252642 | 254065 | 237260 | 1.07083 | 0.9944 |
66 | 243113 | 248135 | 235265 | 1.0547 | 0.979759 |
67 | 230607 | 230378 | 233074 | 0.988435 | 1.00099 |
68 | 220142 | 217282 | 230681 | 0.941915 | 1.01316 |
69 | 227734 | 226581 | 228405 | 0.992016 | 1.00509 |
70 | 198094 | 201834 | 226047 | 0.892882 | 0.981472 |
71 | 216255 | 218904 | 223694 | 0.978589 | 0.987898 |
72 | 226811 | 225975 | 221578 | 1.01984 | 1.0037 |
73 | 228748 | 229838 | 219545 | 1.04689 | 0.995256 |
74 | 218192 | 219247 | 217511 | 1.00798 | 0.995187 |
75 | 219115 | 214928 | 215875 | 0.995612 | 1.01948 |
76 | 216255 | 216571 | 214362 | 1.01031 | 0.99854 |
77 | 225875 | 227884 | 212811 | 1.07083 | 0.991184 |
78 | 219115 | 223023 | 211456 | 1.0547 | 0.982475 |
79 | 205790 | 207588 | 210017 | 0.988435 | 0.991339 |
80 | 196157 | 196313 | 208419 | 0.941915 | 0.999205 |
81 | 212446 | 204581 | 206228 | 0.992016 | 1.03844 |
82 | 177073 | 181791 | 203600 | 0.892882 | 0.974048 |
83 | 200044 | 196783 | 201088 | 0.978589 | 1.01657 |
84 | 210509 | 202434 | 198496 | 1.01984 | 1.03989 |
85 | 210509 | 204757 | 195587 | 1.04689 | 1.02809 |
86 | 198094 | 193892 | 192357 | 1.00798 | 1.02167 |
87 | 186615 | 188059 | 188888 | 0.995612 | 0.992321 |
88 | 185692 | 187369 | 185458 | 1.01031 | 0.991048 |
89 | 196157 | 195346 | 182425 | 1.07083 | 1.00415 |
90 | 186615 | 189669 | 179832 | 1.0547 | 0.983897 |
91 | 168467 | 175585 | 177640 | 0.988435 | 0.95946 |
92 | 155961 | 165519 | 175726 | 0.941915 | 0.942256 |
93 | 169390 | 172424 | 173812 | 0.992016 | 0.982401 |
94 | 137813 | 153805 | 172257 | 0.892882 | 0.896023 |
95 | 166517 | 167202 | 170860 | 0.978589 | 0.995904 |
96 | 181792 | 172825 | 169463 | 1.01984 | 1.05188 |
97 | 186615 | 175776 | 167904 | 1.04689 | 1.06166 |
98 | 176059 | 167194 | 165870 | 1.00798 | 1.05303 |
99 | 162721 | 162921 | 163639 | 0.995612 | 0.998772 |
100 | 172263 | 163029 | 161366 | 1.01031 | 1.05664 |
101 | 176059 | 170531 | 159251 | 1.07083 | 1.03242 |
102 | 173186 | 165566 | 156979 | 1.0547 | 1.04602 |
103 | 144469 | 152879 | 154668 | 0.988435 | 0.94499 |
104 | 131144 | 143506 | 152356 | 0.941915 | 0.913857 |
105 | 140673 | 148685 | 149882 | 0.992016 | 0.946113 |
106 | 111969 | 131546 | 147327 | 0.892882 | 0.851181 |
107 | 141609 | 141596 | 144694 | 0.978589 | 1.00009 |
108 | 152165 | 144680 | 141865 | 1.01984 | 1.05174 |
109 | 160771 | 145350 | 138840 | 1.04689 | 1.1061 |
110 | 146419 | 136934 | 135849 | 1.00798 | 1.06927 |
111 | 132990 | 132391 | 132974 | 0.995612 | 1.00453 |
112 | 140673 | 131401 | 130061 | 1.01031 | 1.07056 |
113 | 144469 | 136239 | 127228 | 1.07083 | 1.06041 |
114 | 136877 | 131876 | 125036 | 1.0547 | 1.03792 |
115 | 108173 | NA | NA | 0.988435 | NA |
116 | 95667 | NA | NA | 0.941915 | NA |
117 | 107146 | NA | NA | 0.992016 | NA |
118 | 75569 | NA | NA | 0.892882 | NA |
119 | 110019 | NA | NA | 0.978589 | NA |
120 | 131144 | NA | NA | 1.01984 | NA |