Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 59400 | NA | NA | 7477.99 | NA |
2 | 57200 | NA | NA | -10523 | NA |
3 | 60500 | NA | NA | -12052.7 | NA |
4 | 48400 | NA | NA | -23006.9 | NA |
5 | 62700 | NA | NA | -5928.26 | NA |
6 | 61600 | NA | NA | -7870.44 | NA |
7 | 66000 | 72653 | 64166.7 | 8486.33 | -6652.99 |
8 | 68200 | 69914.5 | 64120.8 | 5793.62 | -1714.45 |
9 | 75900 | 61761.8 | 63708.3 | -1946.48 | 14138.2 |
10 | 66000 | 74738.4 | 63433.3 | 11305.1 | -8738.41 |
11 | 62700 | 66242.1 | 63204.2 | 3037.89 | -3542.06 |
12 | 78100 | 87927 | 62700 | 25227 | -9826.95 |
13 | 66000 | 69765.5 | 62287.5 | 7477.99 | -3765.49 |
14 | 49500 | 51489.5 | 62012.5 | -10523 | -1989.45 |
15 | 58300 | 49134.8 | 61187.5 | -12052.7 | 9165.23 |
16 | 44000 | 37905.6 | 60912.5 | -23006.9 | 6094.4 |
17 | 61600 | 55534.2 | 61462.5 | -5928.26 | 6065.76 |
18 | 50600 | 54142.1 | 62012.5 | -7870.44 | -3542.06 |
19 | 67100 | 70498.8 | 62012.5 | 8486.33 | -3398.83 |
20 | 60500 | 67622.8 | 61829.2 | 5793.62 | -7122.79 |
21 | 63800 | 59836.8 | 61783.3 | -1946.48 | 3963.15 |
22 | 71500 | 72859.2 | 61554.2 | 11305.1 | -1359.24 |
23 | 70400 | 64317.1 | 61279.2 | 3037.89 | 6082.94 |
24 | 83600 | 86139.5 | 60912.5 | 25227 | -2539.45 |
25 | 60500 | 68023.8 | 60545.8 | 7477.99 | -7523.83 |
26 | 50600 | 49885.3 | 60408.3 | -10523 | 714.714 |
27 | 56100 | 47943.1 | 59995.8 | -12052.7 | 8156.9 |
28 | 40700 | 36805.6 | 59812.5 | -23006.9 | 3894.4 |
29 | 58300 | 54067.6 | 59995.8 | -5928.26 | 4232.42 |
30 | 45100 | 51896.2 | 59766.7 | -7870.44 | -6796.22 |
31 | 63800 | 68023.8 | 59537.5 | 8486.33 | -4223.83 |
32 | 60500 | 65468.6 | 59675 | 5793.62 | -4968.62 |
33 | 53900 | 57636.8 | 59583.3 | -1946.48 | -3736.85 |
34 | 77000 | 70613.4 | 59308.3 | 11305.1 | 6386.59 |
35 | 69300 | 62162.9 | 59125 | 3037.89 | 7137.11 |
36 | 79200 | 84306.1 | 59079.2 | 25227 | -5106.12 |
37 | 59400 | 66786.3 | 59308.3 | 7477.99 | -7386.33 |
38 | 55000 | 49014.5 | 59537.5 | -10523 | 5985.55 |
39 | 49500 | 47668.1 | 59720.8 | -12052.7 | 1831.9 |
40 | 40700 | 36622.3 | 59629.2 | -23006.9 | 4077.73 |
41 | 53900 | 53517.6 | 59445.8 | -5928.26 | 382.422 |
42 | 48400 | 51896.2 | 59766.7 | -7870.44 | -3496.22 |
43 | 66000 | 69078 | 60591.7 | 8486.33 | -3077.99 |
44 | 63800 | 66339.5 | 60545.8 | 5793.62 | -2539.45 |
45 | 55000 | 57820.2 | 59766.7 | -1946.48 | -2820.18 |
46 | 73700 | 70888.4 | 59583.3 | 11305.1 | 2811.59 |
47 | 68200 | 62575.4 | 59537.5 | 3037.89 | 5624.61 |
48 | 88000 | 84718.6 | 59491.7 | 25227 | 3281.38 |
49 | 70400 | 67153 | 59675 | 7477.99 | 3247.01 |
50 | 42900 | 49197.8 | 59720.8 | -10523 | -6297.79 |
51 | 42900 | 47668.1 | 59720.8 | -12052.7 | -4768.1 |
52 | 42900 | 36622.3 | 59629.2 | -23006.9 | 6277.73 |
53 | 50600 | 53425.9 | 59354.2 | -5928.26 | -2825.91 |
54 | 50600 | 51575.4 | 59445.8 | -7870.44 | -975.391 |
55 | 68200 | 68298.8 | 59812.5 | 8486.33 | -98.8281 |
56 | 62700 | 65743.6 | 59950 | 5793.62 | -3043.62 |
57 | 56100 | 58095.2 | 60041.7 | -1946.48 | -1995.18 |
58 | 70400 | 71209.2 | 59904.2 | 11305.1 | -809.245 |
59 | 64900 | 62758.7 | 59720.8 | 3037.89 | 2141.28 |
60 | 93500 | 85360.3 | 60133.3 | 25227 | 8139.71 |
61 | 73700 | 68253 | 60775 | 7477.99 | 5447.01 |
62 | 42900 | 50985.3 | 61508.3 | -10523 | -8085.29 |
63 | 45100 | 50051.4 | 62104.2 | -12052.7 | -4951.43 |
64 | 37400 | 39188.9 | 62195.8 | -23006.9 | -1788.93 |
65 | 51700 | 56084.2 | 62012.5 | -5928.26 | -4384.24 |
66 | 59400 | 53775.4 | 61645.8 | -7870.44 | 5624.61 |
67 | 74800 | 69628 | 61141.7 | 8486.33 | 5172.01 |
68 | 73700 | 67118.6 | 61325 | 5793.62 | 6581.38 |
69 | 59400 | 59974.3 | 61920.8 | -1946.48 | -574.349 |
70 | 69300 | 73317.6 | 62012.5 | 11305.1 | -4017.58 |
71 | 61600 | 65096.2 | 62058.3 | 3037.89 | -3496.22 |
72 | 88000 | 87606.1 | 62379.2 | 25227 | 393.88 |
73 | 67100 | 70132.2 | 62654.2 | 7477.99 | -3032.16 |
74 | 53900 | 52085.3 | 62608.3 | -10523 | 1814.71 |
75 | 48400 | 50188.9 | 62241.7 | -12052.7 | -1788.93 |
76 | 36300 | 39234.8 | 62241.7 | -23006.9 | -2934.77 |
77 | 53900 | 56496.7 | 62425 | -5928.26 | -2596.74 |
78 | 64900 | 54600.4 | 62470.8 | -7870.44 | 10299.6 |
79 | 75900 | 71461.3 | 62975 | 8486.33 | 4438.67 |
80 | 71500 | 69181.1 | 63387.5 | 5793.62 | 2318.88 |
81 | 52800 | 61578.5 | 63525 | -1946.48 | -8778.52 |
82 | 75900 | 74830.1 | 63525 | 11305.1 | 1069.92 |
83 | 59400 | 66471.2 | 63433.3 | 3037.89 | -7071.22 |
84 | 91300 | 88110.3 | 62883.3 | 25227 | 3189.71 |
85 | 75900 | 69903 | 62425 | 7477.99 | 5997.01 |
86 | 55000 | 52268.6 | 62791.7 | -10523 | 2731.38 |
87 | 50600 | 51288.9 | 63341.7 | -12052.7 | -688.932 |
88 | 34100 | 40655.6 | 63662.5 | -23006.9 | -6555.6 |
89 | 53900 | 57688.4 | 63616.7 | -5928.26 | -3788.41 |
90 | 51700 | 55562.9 | 63433.3 | -7870.44 | -3862.89 |
91 | 78100 | 71828 | 63341.7 | 8486.33 | 6272.01 |
92 | 78100 | 69181.1 | 63387.5 | 5793.62 | 8918.88 |
93 | 59400 | 61166 | 63112.5 | -1946.48 | -1766.02 |
94 | 77000 | 73913.4 | 62608.3 | 11305.1 | 3086.59 |
95 | 57200 | 65646.2 | 62608.3 | 3037.89 | -8446.22 |
96 | 89100 | 88202 | 62975 | 25227 | 898.047 |
97 | 75900 | 70453 | 62975 | 7477.99 | 5447.01 |
98 | 56100 | 52543.6 | 63066.7 | -10523 | 3556.38 |
99 | 42900 | 51426.4 | 63479.2 | -12052.7 | -8526.43 |
100 | 29700 | 40334.8 | 63341.7 | -23006.9 | -10634.8 |
101 | 58300 | 56955.1 | 62883.3 | -5928.26 | 1344.92 |
102 | 56100 | 54921.2 | 62791.7 | -7870.44 | 1178.78 |
103 | 73700 | NA | NA | 8486.33 | NA |
104 | 84700 | NA | NA | 5793.62 | NA |
105 | 62700 | NA | NA | -1946.48 | NA |
106 | 70400 | NA | NA | 11305.1 | NA |
107 | 52800 | NA | NA | 3037.89 | NA |
108 | 91300 | NA | NA | 25227 | NA |