Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 1053000 | NA | NA | 1.12138 | NA |
2 | 1014000 | NA | NA | 0.827644 | NA |
3 | 1072500 | NA | NA | 0.804041 | NA |
4 | 858000 | NA | NA | 0.626062 | NA |
5 | 1111500 | NA | NA | 0.903227 | NA |
6 | 1092000 | NA | NA | 0.870354 | NA |
7 | 1170000 | 1293890 | 1137500 | 1.13749 | 0.904248 |
8 | 1209000 | 1242260 | 1136690 | 1.09287 | 0.97323 |
9 | 1345500 | 1092310 | 1129380 | 0.967182 | 1.23179 |
10 | 1170000 | 1332870 | 1124500 | 1.1853 | 0.877808 |
11 | 1111500 | 1178200 | 1120440 | 1.05155 | 0.943391 |
12 | 1384500 | 1570440 | 1111500 | 1.4129 | 0.8816 |
13 | 1170000 | 1238220 | 1104190 | 1.12138 | 0.944909 |
14 | 877500 | 909840 | 1099310 | 0.827644 | 0.964456 |
15 | 1033500 | 872134 | 1084690 | 0.804041 | 1.18502 |
16 | 780000 | 676030 | 1079810 | 0.626062 | 1.1538 |
17 | 1092000 | 984122 | 1089560 | 0.903227 | 1.10962 |
18 | 897000 | 956791 | 1099310 | 0.870354 | 0.937509 |
19 | 1189500 | 1250450 | 1099310 | 1.13749 | 0.951254 |
20 | 1072500 | 1197860 | 1096060 | 1.09287 | 0.895349 |
21 | 1131000 | 1059310 | 1095250 | 0.967182 | 1.06768 |
22 | 1267500 | 1293380 | 1091190 | 1.1853 | 0.979991 |
23 | 1248000 | 1142310 | 1086310 | 1.05155 | 1.09252 |
24 | 1482000 | 1525670 | 1079810 | 1.4129 | 0.971377 |
25 | 1072500 | 1203590 | 1073310 | 1.12138 | 0.891082 |
26 | 897000 | 886303 | 1070880 | 0.827644 | 1.01207 |
27 | 994500 | 855148 | 1063560 | 0.804041 | 1.16296 |
28 | 721500 | 663822 | 1060310 | 0.626062 | 1.08689 |
29 | 1033500 | 960638 | 1063560 | 0.903227 | 1.07585 |
30 | 799500 | 922140 | 1059500 | 0.870354 | 0.867005 |
31 | 1131000 | 1200550 | 1055440 | 1.13749 | 0.94207 |
32 | 1072500 | 1156120 | 1057880 | 1.09287 | 0.927669 |
33 | 955500 | 1021590 | 1056250 | 0.967182 | 0.93531 |
34 | 1365000 | 1246190 | 1051380 | 1.1853 | 1.09534 |
35 | 1228500 | 1102160 | 1048120 | 1.05155 | 1.11463 |
36 | 1404000 | 1479750 | 1047310 | 1.4129 | 0.948809 |
37 | 1053000 | 1178990 | 1051380 | 1.12138 | 0.893136 |
38 | 975000 | 873527 | 1055440 | 0.827644 | 1.11617 |
39 | 877500 | 851229 | 1058690 | 0.804041 | 1.03086 |
40 | 721500 | 661787 | 1057060 | 0.626062 | 1.09023 |
41 | 955500 | 951831 | 1053810 | 0.903227 | 1.00385 |
42 | 858000 | 922140 | 1059500 | 0.870354 | 0.930445 |
43 | 1170000 | 1221800 | 1074120 | 1.13749 | 0.9576 |
44 | 1131000 | 1172990 | 1073310 | 1.09287 | 0.964199 |
45 | 975000 | 1024730 | 1059500 | 0.967182 | 0.95147 |
46 | 1306500 | 1251970 | 1056250 | 1.1853 | 1.04356 |
47 | 1209000 | 1109850 | 1055440 | 1.05155 | 1.08934 |
48 | 1560000 | 1490080 | 1054620 | 1.4129 | 1.04692 |
49 | 1248000 | 1186280 | 1057880 | 1.12138 | 1.05203 |
50 | 760500 | 876216 | 1058690 | 0.827644 | 0.867936 |
51 | 760500 | 851229 | 1058690 | 0.804041 | 0.893414 |
52 | 760500 | 661787 | 1057060 | 0.626062 | 1.14916 |
53 | 897000 | 950364 | 1052190 | 0.903227 | 0.943849 |
54 | 897000 | 917190 | 1053810 | 0.870354 | 0.977987 |
55 | 1209000 | 1206090 | 1060310 | 1.13749 | 1.00241 |
56 | 1111500 | 1161450 | 1062750 | 1.09287 | 0.956993 |
57 | 994500 | 1029440 | 1064380 | 0.967182 | 0.966055 |
58 | 1248000 | 1258710 | 1061940 | 1.1853 | 0.991491 |
59 | 1150500 | 1113260 | 1058690 | 1.05155 | 1.03345 |
60 | 1657500 | 1506150 | 1066000 | 1.4129 | 1.10049 |
61 | 1306500 | 1208150 | 1077380 | 1.12138 | 1.08141 |
62 | 760500 | 902442 | 1090380 | 0.827644 | 0.842713 |
63 | 799500 | 885199 | 1100940 | 0.804041 | 0.903186 |
64 | 663000 | 690273 | 1102560 | 0.626062 | 0.96049 |
65 | 916500 | 992928 | 1099310 | 0.903227 | 0.923027 |
66 | 1053000 | 951134 | 1092810 | 0.870354 | 1.1071 |
67 | 1326000 | 1232890 | 1083880 | 1.13749 | 1.07552 |
68 | 1306500 | 1188090 | 1087120 | 1.09287 | 1.09966 |
69 | 1053000 | 1061660 | 1097690 | 0.967182 | 0.991839 |
70 | 1228500 | 1303010 | 1099310 | 1.1853 | 0.942817 |
71 | 1092000 | 1156840 | 1100120 | 1.05155 | 0.943954 |
72 | 1560000 | 1562400 | 1105810 | 1.4129 | 0.998461 |
73 | 1189500 | 1245500 | 1110690 | 1.12138 | 0.955035 |
74 | 955500 | 918582 | 1109880 | 0.827644 | 1.04019 |
75 | 858000 | 887159 | 1103380 | 0.804041 | 0.967132 |
76 | 643500 | 690781 | 1103380 | 0.626062 | 0.931554 |
77 | 955500 | 999533 | 1106620 | 0.903227 | 0.955946 |
78 | 1150500 | 963862 | 1107440 | 0.870354 | 1.19364 |
79 | 1345500 | 1269860 | 1116380 | 1.13749 | 1.05956 |
80 | 1267500 | 1228050 | 1123690 | 1.09287 | 1.03213 |
81 | 936000 | 1089170 | 1126120 | 0.967182 | 0.859371 |
82 | 1345500 | 1334790 | 1126120 | 1.1853 | 1.00802 |
83 | 1053000 | 1182470 | 1124500 | 1.05155 | 0.89051 |
84 | 1618500 | 1575030 | 1114750 | 1.4129 | 1.0276 |
85 | 1345500 | 1240950 | 1106620 | 1.12138 | 1.08425 |
86 | 975000 | 921271 | 1113120 | 0.827644 | 1.05832 |
87 | 897000 | 902838 | 1122880 | 0.804041 | 0.993534 |
88 | 604500 | 706550 | 1128560 | 0.626062 | 0.855565 |
89 | 955500 | 1018610 | 1127750 | 0.903227 | 0.93804 |
90 | 916500 | 978713 | 1124500 | 0.870354 | 0.936434 |
91 | 1384500 | 1277260 | 1122880 | 1.13749 | 1.08396 |
92 | 1384500 | 1228050 | 1123690 | 1.09287 | 1.1274 |
93 | 1053000 | 1082100 | 1118810 | 0.967182 | 0.973112 |
94 | 1365000 | 1315530 | 1109880 | 1.1853 | 1.0376 |
95 | 1014000 | 1167090 | 1109880 | 1.05155 | 0.868828 |
96 | 1579500 | 1577330 | 1116380 | 1.4129 | 1.00138 |
97 | 1345500 | 1251880 | 1116380 | 1.12138 | 1.07478 |
98 | 994500 | 925306 | 1118000 | 0.827644 | 1.07478 |
99 | 760500 | 904798 | 1125310 | 0.804041 | 0.840519 |
100 | 526500 | 702990 | 1122880 | 0.626062 | 0.748944 |
101 | 1033500 | 1006870 | 1114750 | 0.903227 | 1.02645 |
102 | 994500 | 968813 | 1113120 | 0.870354 | 1.02651 |
103 | 1306500 | NA | NA | 1.13749 | NA |
104 | 1501500 | NA | NA | 1.09287 | NA |
105 | 1111500 | NA | NA | 0.967182 | NA |
106 | 1248000 | NA | NA | 1.1853 | NA |
107 | 936000 | NA | NA | 1.05155 | NA |
108 | 1618500 | NA | NA | 1.4129 | NA |