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Type 'q()' to quit R. > x <- array(list(588261,1,596397,1,576612,0,538141,0,491481,0,469740,0,474427,0,507632,0,541047,0,570046,0,588251,0,596872,0,588676,0,549738,0,472907,0,429496,0,402790,0,419304,0,459425,0,500845,0,516761,0,557423,0,595042,0,589496,0,535029,0),dim=c(2,25),dimnames=list(c('y','x'),1:25)) > y <- array(NA,dim=c(2,25),dimnames=list(c('y','x'),1:25)) > for (i in 1:dim(x)[1]) + { + for (j in 1:dim(x)[2]) + { + y[i,j] <- as.numeric(x[i,j]) + } + } > par3 = 'Linear Trend' > par2 = 'Do not include Seasonal Dummies' > par1 = '1' > #'GNU S' R Code compiled by R2WASP v. 1.0.44 () > #Author: Prof. Dr. P. Wessa > #To cite this work: AUTHOR(S), (YEAR), YOUR SOFTWARE TITLE (vNUMBER) in Free Statistics Software (v$_version), Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.wessa.net/rwasp_YOURPAGE.wasp/ > #Source of accompanying publication: Office for Research, Development, and Education > #Technical description: Write here your technical program description (don't use hard returns!) > library(lattice) > par1 <- as.numeric(par1) > x <- t(y) > k <- length(x[1,]) > n <- length(x[,1]) > x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1]) > mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1]) > colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1] > x <- x1 > if (par3 == 'First Differences'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep=''))) + for (i in 1:n-1) { + for (j in 1:k) { + x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j] + } + } + x <- x2 + } > if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep =''))) + for (i in 1:11){ + x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1 + } + x <- cbind(x, x2) + } > if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep =''))) + for (i in 1:3){ + x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1 + } + x <- cbind(x, x2) + } > k <- length(x[1,]) > if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){ + x <- cbind(x, c(1:n)) + colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't' + } > x y x t 1 588261 1 1 2 596397 1 2 3 576612 0 3 4 538141 0 4 5 491481 0 5 6 469740 0 6 7 474427 0 7 8 507632 0 8 9 541047 0 9 10 570046 0 10 11 588251 0 11 12 596872 0 12 13 588676 0 13 14 549738 0 14 15 472907 0 15 16 429496 0 16 17 402790 0 17 18 419304 0 18 19 459425 0 19 20 500845 0 20 21 516761 0 21 22 557423 0 22 23 595042 0 23 24 589496 0 24 25 535029 0 25 > k <- length(x[1,]) > df <- as.data.frame(x) > (mylm <- lm(df)) Call: lm(formula = df) Coefficients: (Intercept) x t 521435.3 70995.4 -67.8 > (mysum <- summary(mylm)) Call: lm(formula = df) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -117493 -46534 4102 49289 76250 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|) (Intercept) 521435.3 29114.0 17.910 1.32e-14 *** x 70995.4 49950.3 1.421 0.169 t -67.8 1879.2 -0.036 0.972 --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 59800 on 22 degrees of freedom Multiple R-Squared: 0.1078, Adjusted R-squared: 0.02666 F-statistic: 1.329 on 2 and 22 DF, p-value: 0.2853 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/1gw6l1195648326.ps",horizontal=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index') > points(x[,1]-mysum$resid) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/2sqir1195648326.ps",horizontal=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/36ewg1195648326.ps",horizontal=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/48rp81195648327.ps",horizontal=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals') > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/5e7cb1195648327.ps",horizontal=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > (myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid)) Time Series: Start = 1 End = 25 Frequency = 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 -4101.900 4101.900 55380.064 16976.865 -29615.335 -51288.534 7 8 9 10 11 12 -46533.734 -13260.933 20221.867 49288.668 67561.468 76250.269 13 14 15 16 17 18 68122.069 29251.870 -47511.330 -90854.529 -117492.729 -100910.928 19 20 21 22 23 24 -60722.128 -19234.327 -3250.527 37479.274 75166.074 69687.875 25 15288.675 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/6xiha1195648327.ps",horizontal=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror) > dum Time Series: Start = 0 End = 25 Frequency = 1 lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror 0 -4101.900 NA 1 4101.900 -4101.900 2 55380.064 4101.900 3 16976.865 55380.064 4 -29615.335 16976.865 5 -51288.534 -29615.335 6 -46533.734 -51288.534 7 -13260.933 -46533.734 8 20221.867 -13260.933 9 49288.668 20221.867 10 67561.468 49288.668 11 76250.269 67561.468 12 68122.069 76250.269 13 29251.870 68122.069 14 -47511.330 29251.870 15 -90854.529 -47511.330 16 -117492.729 -90854.529 17 -100910.928 -117492.729 18 -60722.128 -100910.928 19 -19234.327 -60722.128 20 -3250.527 -19234.327 21 37479.274 -3250.527 22 75166.074 37479.274 23 69687.875 75166.074 24 15288.675 69687.875 25 NA 15288.675 > dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),] > dum1 lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror [1,] 4101.900 -4101.900 [2,] 55380.064 4101.900 [3,] 16976.865 55380.064 [4,] -29615.335 16976.865 [5,] -51288.534 -29615.335 [6,] -46533.734 -51288.534 [7,] -13260.933 -46533.734 [8,] 20221.867 -13260.933 [9,] 49288.668 20221.867 [10,] 67561.468 49288.668 [11,] 76250.269 67561.468 [12,] 68122.069 76250.269 [13,] 29251.870 68122.069 [14,] -47511.330 29251.870 [15,] -90854.529 -47511.330 [16,] -117492.729 -90854.529 [17,] -100910.928 -117492.729 [18,] -60722.128 -100910.928 [19,] -19234.327 -60722.128 [20,] -3250.527 -19234.327 [21,] 37479.274 -3250.527 [22,] 75166.074 37479.274 [23,] 69687.875 75166.074 [24,] 15288.675 69687.875 > z <- as.data.frame(dum1) > z lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror 1 4101.900 -4101.900 2 55380.064 4101.900 3 16976.865 55380.064 4 -29615.335 16976.865 5 -51288.534 -29615.335 6 -46533.734 -51288.534 7 -13260.933 -46533.734 8 20221.867 -13260.933 9 49288.668 20221.867 10 67561.468 49288.668 11 76250.269 67561.468 12 68122.069 76250.269 13 29251.870 68122.069 14 -47511.330 29251.870 15 -90854.529 -47511.330 16 -117492.729 -90854.529 17 -100910.928 -117492.729 18 -60722.128 -100910.928 19 -19234.327 -60722.128 20 -3250.527 -19234.327 21 37479.274 -3250.527 22 75166.074 37479.274 23 69687.875 75166.074 24 15288.675 69687.875 > plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals') > lines(lowess(z)) > abline(lm(z)) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/7sp2w1195648327.ps",horizontal=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/8ux931195648327.ps",horizontal=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/99lv21195648327.ps",horizontal=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0)) > plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics') > par(opar) > dev.off() null device 1 > load(file='/var/www/html/rcomp/createtable') > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > myeq <- colnames(x)[1] > myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='') > for (i in 1:k){ + if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '') + myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ') + if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') { + myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='') + if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='') + } + } > myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]') > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, myeq) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/10mnms1195648327.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > for (i in 1:k){ + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1]) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6)) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/11ivyf1195648327.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared)) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3])) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror)) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/12cr9r1195648328.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation
Forecast', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals
Prediction Error', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > for (i in 1:n) { + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,x[i]) + a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i]) + a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i]) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/13uypl1195648328.tab") > > system("convert tmp/1gw6l1195648326.ps tmp/1gw6l1195648326.png") > system("convert tmp/2sqir1195648326.ps tmp/2sqir1195648326.png") > system("convert tmp/36ewg1195648326.ps tmp/36ewg1195648326.png") > system("convert tmp/48rp81195648327.ps tmp/48rp81195648327.png") > system("convert tmp/5e7cb1195648327.ps tmp/5e7cb1195648327.png") > system("convert tmp/6xiha1195648327.ps tmp/6xiha1195648327.png") > system("convert tmp/7sp2w1195648327.ps tmp/7sp2w1195648327.png") > system("convert tmp/8ux931195648327.ps tmp/8ux931195648327.png") > system("convert tmp/99lv21195648327.ps tmp/99lv21195648327.png") > > > proc.time() user system elapsed 2.196 1.405 2.741