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Type 'q()' to quit R. > x <- array(list(0,98.1,0,101.1,0,111.1,0,93.3,0,100,0,108,0,70.4,0,75.4,1,105.5,1,112.3,1,102.5,1,93.5,1,86.7,1,95.2,1,103.8,1,97,1,95.5,1,101,1,67.5,1,64,1,106.7,1,100.6,1,101.2,1,93.1,1,84.2,1,85.8,1,91.8,1,92.4,1,80.3,1,79.7,1,62.5,1,57.1,1,100.8,1,100.7,1,86.2,1,83.2),dim=c(2,36),dimnames=list(c('Dummy','Cons'),1:36)) > y <- array(NA,dim=c(2,36),dimnames=list(c('Dummy','Cons'),1:36)) > for (i in 1:dim(x)[1]) + { + for (j in 1:dim(x)[2]) + { + y[i,j] <- as.numeric(x[i,j]) + } + } > par3 = 'No Linear Trend' > par2 = 'Do not include Seasonal Dummies' > par1 = '2' > #'GNU S' R Code compiled by R2WASP v. 1.0.44 () > #Author: Prof. Dr. P. Wessa > #To cite this work: AUTHOR(S), (YEAR), YOUR SOFTWARE TITLE (vNUMBER) in Free Statistics Software (v$_version), Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.wessa.net/rwasp_YOURPAGE.wasp/ > #Source of accompanying publication: Office for Research, Development, and Education > #Technical description: Write here your technical program description (don't use hard returns!) > library(lattice) > library(lmtest) Loading required package: zoo Attaching package: 'zoo' The following object(s) are masked from package:base : as.Date.numeric > n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test > par1 <- as.numeric(par1) > x <- t(y) > k <- length(x[1,]) > n <- length(x[,1]) > x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1]) > mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1]) > colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1] > x <- x1 > if (par3 == 'First Differences'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep=''))) + for (i in 1:n-1) { + for (j in 1:k) { + x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j] + } + } + x <- x2 + } > if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep =''))) + for (i in 1:11){ + x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1 + } + x <- cbind(x, x2) + } > if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep =''))) + for (i in 1:3){ + x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1 + } + x <- cbind(x, x2) + } > k <- length(x[1,]) > if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){ + x <- cbind(x, c(1:n)) + colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't' + } > x Cons Dummy 1 98.1 0 2 101.1 0 3 111.1 0 4 93.3 0 5 100.0 0 6 108.0 0 7 70.4 0 8 75.4 0 9 105.5 1 10 112.3 1 11 102.5 1 12 93.5 1 13 86.7 1 14 95.2 1 15 103.8 1 16 97.0 1 17 95.5 1 18 101.0 1 19 67.5 1 20 64.0 1 21 106.7 1 22 100.6 1 23 101.2 1 24 93.1 1 25 84.2 1 26 85.8 1 27 91.8 1 28 92.4 1 29 80.3 1 30 79.7 1 31 62.5 1 32 57.1 1 33 100.8 1 34 100.7 1 35 86.2 1 36 83.2 1 > k <- length(x[1,]) > df <- as.data.frame(x) > (mylm <- lm(df)) Call: lm(formula = df) Coefficients: (Intercept) Dummy 94.675 -4.289 > (mysum <- summary(mylm)) Call: lm(formula = df) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -33.286 -6.436 3.270 10.464 21.914 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|) (Intercept) 94.675 5.044 18.77 <2e-16 *** Dummy -4.289 5.720 -0.75 0.458 --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 14.27 on 34 degrees of freedom Multiple R-squared: 0.01627, Adjusted R-squared: -0.01266 F-statistic: 0.5623 on 1 and 34 DF, p-value: 0.4585 > if (n > n25) { + kp3 <- k + 3 + nmkm3 <- n - k - 3 + gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3)) + numgqtests <- 0 + numsignificant1 <- 0 + numsignificant5 <- 0 + numsignificant10 <- 0 + for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { + j <- 0 + numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1 + for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) { + j <- j + 1 + gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value + } + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1 + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1 + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1 + } + gqarr + } [,1] [,2] [,3] [1,] 0.14843956 0.2968791 0.8515604 [2,] 0.10894277 0.2178855 0.8910572 [3,] 0.59650402 0.8069920 0.4034960 [4,] 0.65771085 0.6845783 0.3422892 [5,] 0.56191705 0.8761659 0.4380830 [6,] 0.52038181 0.9592364 0.4796182 [7,] 0.44348103 0.8869621 0.5565190 [8,] 0.39227955 0.7845591 0.6077204 [9,] 0.37312393 0.7462479 0.6268761 [10,] 0.28928608 0.5785722 0.7107139 [11,] 0.24463312 0.4892662 0.7553669 [12,] 0.18359781 0.3671956 0.8164022 [13,] 0.13342778 0.2668556 0.8665722 [14,] 0.10522923 0.2104585 0.8947708 [15,] 0.28313351 0.5662670 0.7168665 [16,] 0.52967520 0.9406496 0.4703248 [17,] 0.56589825 0.8682035 0.4341018 [18,] 0.53404725 0.9319055 0.4659527 [19,] 0.52476240 0.9504752 0.4752376 [20,] 0.44676359 0.8935272 0.5532364 [21,] 0.35836069 0.7167214 0.6416393 [22,] 0.26933986 0.5386797 0.7306601 [23,] 0.20104641 0.4020928 0.7989536 [24,] 0.14884791 0.2976958 0.8511521 [25,] 0.09719103 0.1943821 0.9028090 [26,] 0.05728823 0.1145765 0.9427118 [27,] 0.10439199 0.2087840 0.8956080 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/1js8t1230060973.ps",horizontal=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index') > points(x[,1]-mysum$resid) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/2cne61230060973.ps",horizontal=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/3mxw31230060974.ps",horizontal=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/4genb1230060974.ps",horizontal=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals') > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/5of8v1230060974.ps",horizontal=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot') > qqline(mysum$resid) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > (myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid)) Time Series: Start = 1 End = 36 Frequency = 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 3.425000 6.425000 16.425000 -1.375000 5.325000 13.325000 -24.275000 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 -19.275000 15.114286 21.914286 12.114286 3.114286 -3.685714 4.814286 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 13.414286 6.614286 5.114286 10.614286 -22.885714 -26.385714 16.314286 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 10.214286 10.814286 2.714286 -6.185714 -4.585714 1.414286 2.014286 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 -10.085714 -10.685714 -27.885714 -33.285714 10.414286 10.314286 -4.185714 36 -7.185714 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/6emde1230060974.ps",horizontal=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror) > dum Time Series: Start = 0 End = 36 Frequency = 1 lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror 0 3.425000 NA 1 6.425000 3.425000 2 16.425000 6.425000 3 -1.375000 16.425000 4 5.325000 -1.375000 5 13.325000 5.325000 6 -24.275000 13.325000 7 -19.275000 -24.275000 8 15.114286 -19.275000 9 21.914286 15.114286 10 12.114286 21.914286 11 3.114286 12.114286 12 -3.685714 3.114286 13 4.814286 -3.685714 14 13.414286 4.814286 15 6.614286 13.414286 16 5.114286 6.614286 17 10.614286 5.114286 18 -22.885714 10.614286 19 -26.385714 -22.885714 20 16.314286 -26.385714 21 10.214286 16.314286 22 10.814286 10.214286 23 2.714286 10.814286 24 -6.185714 2.714286 25 -4.585714 -6.185714 26 1.414286 -4.585714 27 2.014286 1.414286 28 -10.085714 2.014286 29 -10.685714 -10.085714 30 -27.885714 -10.685714 31 -33.285714 -27.885714 32 10.414286 -33.285714 33 10.314286 10.414286 34 -4.185714 10.314286 35 -7.185714 -4.185714 36 NA -7.185714 > dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),] > dum1 lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror [1,] 6.425000 3.425000 [2,] 16.425000 6.425000 [3,] -1.375000 16.425000 [4,] 5.325000 -1.375000 [5,] 13.325000 5.325000 [6,] -24.275000 13.325000 [7,] -19.275000 -24.275000 [8,] 15.114286 -19.275000 [9,] 21.914286 15.114286 [10,] 12.114286 21.914286 [11,] 3.114286 12.114286 [12,] -3.685714 3.114286 [13,] 4.814286 -3.685714 [14,] 13.414286 4.814286 [15,] 6.614286 13.414286 [16,] 5.114286 6.614286 [17,] 10.614286 5.114286 [18,] -22.885714 10.614286 [19,] -26.385714 -22.885714 [20,] 16.314286 -26.385714 [21,] 10.214286 16.314286 [22,] 10.814286 10.214286 [23,] 2.714286 10.814286 [24,] -6.185714 2.714286 [25,] -4.585714 -6.185714 [26,] 1.414286 -4.585714 [27,] 2.014286 1.414286 [28,] -10.085714 2.014286 [29,] -10.685714 -10.085714 [30,] -27.885714 -10.685714 [31,] -33.285714 -27.885714 [32,] 10.414286 -33.285714 [33,] 10.314286 10.414286 [34,] -4.185714 10.314286 [35,] -7.185714 -4.185714 > z <- as.data.frame(dum1) > z lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror 1 6.425000 3.425000 2 16.425000 6.425000 3 -1.375000 16.425000 4 5.325000 -1.375000 5 13.325000 5.325000 6 -24.275000 13.325000 7 -19.275000 -24.275000 8 15.114286 -19.275000 9 21.914286 15.114286 10 12.114286 21.914286 11 3.114286 12.114286 12 -3.685714 3.114286 13 4.814286 -3.685714 14 13.414286 4.814286 15 6.614286 13.414286 16 5.114286 6.614286 17 10.614286 5.114286 18 -22.885714 10.614286 19 -26.385714 -22.885714 20 16.314286 -26.385714 21 10.214286 16.314286 22 10.814286 10.214286 23 2.714286 10.814286 24 -6.185714 2.714286 25 -4.585714 -6.185714 26 1.414286 -4.585714 27 2.014286 1.414286 28 -10.085714 2.014286 29 -10.685714 -10.085714 30 -27.885714 -10.685714 31 -33.285714 -27.885714 32 10.414286 -33.285714 33 10.314286 10.414286 34 -4.185714 10.314286 35 -7.185714 -4.185714 > plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals') > lines(lowess(z)) > abline(lm(z)) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/76zo51230060974.ps",horizontal=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/8x5yv1230060974.ps",horizontal=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/96ro91230060974.ps",horizontal=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0)) > plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics') > par(opar) > dev.off() null device 1 > if (n > n25) { + postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/105s5j1230060974.ps",horizontal=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) + plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint') + grid() + dev.off() + } null device 1 > > #Note: the /var/www/html/rcomp/createtable file can be downloaded at http://www.wessa.net/cretab > load(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/createtable") > > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > myeq <- colnames(x)[1] > myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='') > for (i in 1:k){ + if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '') + myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ') + if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') { + myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='') + if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='') + } + } > myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]') > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, myeq) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/11y9p61230060974.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > for (i in 1:k){ + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1]) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6)) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/12gz5z1230060974.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared)) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3])) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror)) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/13is231230060974.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation
Forecast', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals
Prediction Error', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > for (i in 1:n) { + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,x[i]) + a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i]) + a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i]) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/14zycn1230060974.tab") > if (n > n25) { + a<-table.start() + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1]) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2]) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3]) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } + a<-table.end(a) + table.save(a,file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/150xtm1230060974.tab") + a<-table.start() + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.end(a) + table.save(a,file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/16b0151230060974.tab") + } > > system("convert tmp/1js8t1230060973.ps tmp/1js8t1230060973.png") > system("convert tmp/2cne61230060973.ps tmp/2cne61230060973.png") > system("convert tmp/3mxw31230060974.ps tmp/3mxw31230060974.png") > system("convert tmp/4genb1230060974.ps tmp/4genb1230060974.png") > system("convert tmp/5of8v1230060974.ps tmp/5of8v1230060974.png") > system("convert tmp/6emde1230060974.ps tmp/6emde1230060974.png") > system("convert tmp/76zo51230060974.ps tmp/76zo51230060974.png") > system("convert tmp/8x5yv1230060974.ps tmp/8x5yv1230060974.png") > system("convert tmp/96ro91230060974.ps tmp/96ro91230060974.png") > system("convert tmp/105s5j1230060974.ps tmp/105s5j1230060974.png") > > > proc.time() user system elapsed 2.316 1.586 3.020