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*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Module: /rwasp_multipleregression.wasp (opens new window with default values)
Title produced by software: Multiple Regression
Date of computation: Sat, 21 Nov 2009 03:59:25 -0700
 
Cite this page as follows:
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/21/t12588012139ln8uzti3v87hag.htm/, Retrieved Sat, 21 Nov 2009 12:00:25 +0100
 
BibTeX entries for LaTeX users:
@Manual{KEY,
    author = {{YOUR NAME}},
    publisher = {Office for Research Development and Education},
    title = {Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/21/t12588012139ln8uzti3v87hag.htm/},
    year = {2009},
}
@Manual{R,
    title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
    author = {{R Development Core Team}},
    organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
    address = {Vienna, Austria},
    year = {2009},
    note = {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0},
    url = {http://www.R-project.org},
}
 
Original text written by user:
 
IsPrivate?
No (this computation is public)
 
User-defined keywords:
 
Dataseries X:
» Textbox « » Textfile « » CSV «
114 1 113.8 1 113.6 1 113.7 1 114.2 1 114.8 0 115.2 1 115.3 1 114.9 1 115.1 0 116 0 116 0 116 0 115.9 1 115.6 1 116.6 1 116.9 0 117.9 1 117.9 1 117.7 0 117.4 1 117.3 0 119 1 119.1 0 119 0 118.5 0 117 1 117.5 1 118.2 1 118.2 1 118.3 0 118.2 1 117.9 1 117.8 0 118.6 0 118.9 0 120.8 1 121.8 1 121.3 0 121.9 1 122 1 121.9 0 122 1 122.2 0 123 1 123.1 0 124.9 1 125.4 0 124.7 0 124.4 1 124 0 125 1 125.1 0 125.4 0 125.7 1 126.4 1 125.7 1 125.4 0 126.4 1 126.2 0
 
Output produced by software:

Enter (or paste) a matrix (table) containing all data (time) series. Every column represents a different variable and must be delimited by a space or Tab. Every row represents a period in time (or category) and must be delimited by hard returns. The easiest way to enter data is to copy and paste a block of spreadsheet cells. Please, do not use commas or spaces to seperate groups of digits!


Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time3 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135


Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
CPItot[t] = + 121.12 -1.02727272727274CPIlandbouw[t] -1.80909090909093M1[t] -1.41818181818181M2[t] -2.20363636363636M3[t] -1.15272727272726M4[t] -1.22363636363636M5[t] -1.0690909090909M6[t] -0.47818181818181M7[t] -0.543636363636355M8[t] -0.31272727272726M9[t] -1.38M10[t] + 0.476363636363643M11[t] + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)121.121.93791962.500
CPIlandbouw-1.027272727272741.460761-0.70320.4853720.242686
M1-1.809090909090932.802226-0.64560.5216840.260842
M2-1.418181818181812.97938-0.4760.636280.31814
M3-2.203636363636362.877366-0.76590.4475940.223797
M4-1.152727272727263.105621-0.37120.7121760.356088
M5-1.223636363636362.877366-0.42530.6725860.336293
M6-1.06909090909092.802226-0.38150.7045410.35227
M7-0.478181818181812.97938-0.16050.8731770.436589
M8-0.5436363636363552.877366-0.18890.8509570.425478
M9-0.312727272727263.105621-0.10070.9202190.46011
M10-1.382.740631-0.50350.6169410.308471
M110.4763636363636432.8773660.16560.8692170.434608


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.226426138076746
R-squared0.0512687960043497
Adjusted R-squared-0.190960447569008
F-TEST (value)0.211654031726451
F-TEST (DF numerator)12
F-TEST (DF denominator)47
p-value0.997170235499864
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation4.33331835537758
Sum Squared Residuals882.549454545456


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
1114118.283636363636-4.28363636363644
2113.8118.674545454545-4.87454545454545
3113.6117.889090909091-4.2890909090909
4113.7118.94-5.24
5114.2118.869090909091-4.6690909090909
6114.8120.050909090909-5.25090909090911
7115.2119.614545454545-4.41454545454545
8115.3119.549090909091-4.24909090909091
9114.9119.78-4.88
10115.1119.74-4.64000000000001
11116121.596363636364-5.59636363636364
12116121.12-5.12
13116119.310909090909-3.31090909090908
14115.9118.674545454545-2.77454545454545
15115.6117.889090909091-2.28909090909091
16116.6118.94-2.34000000000001
17116.9119.896363636364-2.99636363636364
18117.9119.023636363636-1.12363636363636
19117.9119.614545454545-1.71454545454545
20117.7120.576363636364-2.87636363636364
21117.4119.78-2.38
22117.3119.74-2.44000000000000
23119120.569090909091-1.56909090909091
24119.1121.12-2.02000000000000
25119119.310909090909-0.310909090909073
26118.5119.701818181818-1.20181818181819
27117117.889090909091-0.889090909090904
28117.5118.94-1.44000000000000
29118.2118.869090909091-0.669090909090905
30118.2119.023636363636-0.82363636363636
31118.3120.641818181818-2.34181818181819
32118.2119.549090909091-1.34909090909090
33117.9119.78-1.88
34117.8119.74-1.94000000000000
35118.6121.596363636364-2.99636363636365
36118.9121.12-2.21999999999999
37120.8118.2836363636362.51636363636366
38121.8118.6745454545453.12545454545455
39121.3118.9163636363642.38363636363636
40121.9118.942.96000000000000
41122118.8690909090913.13090909090909
42121.9120.0509090909091.84909090909091
43122119.6145454545452.38545454545455
44122.2120.5763636363641.62363636363636
45123119.783.22000000000000
46123.1119.743.35999999999999
47124.9120.5690909090914.3309090909091
48125.4121.124.28000000000001
49124.7119.3109090909095.38909090909093
50124.4118.6745454545455.72545454545455
51124118.9163636363645.08363636363636
52125118.946.06
53125.1119.8963636363645.20363636363635
54125.4120.0509090909095.34909090909091
55125.7119.6145454545456.08545454545455
56126.4119.5490909090916.8509090909091
57125.7119.785.92
58125.4119.745.66000000000001
59126.4120.5690909090915.8309090909091
60126.2121.125.08000000000001


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
160.1005475876147220.2010951752294450.899452412385278
170.03806639312564330.07613278625128670.961933606874357
180.06662916859491990.1332583371898400.93337083140508
190.04667890410282670.09335780820565330.953321095897173
200.02610950340035480.05221900680070960.973890496599645
210.01862832650250680.03725665300501360.981371673497493
220.01256224958010140.02512449916020280.987437750419899
230.01312558323367830.02625116646735650.986874416766322
240.01157290775561590.02314581551123170.988427092244384
250.01460417533937950.02920835067875910.98539582466062
260.01332684693914130.02665369387828250.986673153060859
270.01160611675497920.02321223350995850.98839388324502
280.01149595829168850.0229919165833770.988504041708312
290.01393514671292580.02787029342585170.986064853287074
300.01646945388622240.03293890777244490.983530546113778
310.01223073074075370.02446146148150740.987769269259246
320.01728432154936170.03456864309872340.982715678450638
330.02527955399568100.05055910799136190.97472044600432
340.04246347598070130.08492695196140250.957536524019299
350.0867074177689690.1734148355379380.913292582231031
360.2590914496897260.5181828993794530.740908550310273
370.3897406351012650.7794812702025310.610259364898735
380.4984235783018690.9968471566037380.501576421698131
390.5590235913919720.8819528172160550.440976408608028
400.6258811295855520.7482377408288970.374118870414448
410.8117358107039980.3765283785920030.188264189296002
420.8467543108177580.3064913783644840.153245689182242
430.9078079539509980.1843840920980050.0921920460490023
440.8094402527193860.3811194945612290.190559747280614


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level00OK
5% type I error level120.413793103448276NOK
10% type I error level170.586206896551724NOK
 
Charts produced by software:
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/21/t12588012139ln8uzti3v87hag/10a4fl1258801160.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/21/t12588012139ln8uzti3v87hag/10a4fl1258801160.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/21/t12588012139ln8uzti3v87hag/1hx9a1258801160.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/21/t12588012139ln8uzti3v87hag/1hx9a1258801160.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/21/t12588012139ln8uzti3v87hag/2c3pk1258801160.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/21/t12588012139ln8uzti3v87hag/2c3pk1258801160.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/21/t12588012139ln8uzti3v87hag/3974z1258801160.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/21/t12588012139ln8uzti3v87hag/3974z1258801160.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/21/t12588012139ln8uzti3v87hag/4fphy1258801160.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/21/t12588012139ln8uzti3v87hag/4fphy1258801160.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/21/t12588012139ln8uzti3v87hag/5vw711258801160.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/21/t12588012139ln8uzti3v87hag/5vw711258801160.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/21/t12588012139ln8uzti3v87hag/636s01258801160.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/21/t12588012139ln8uzti3v87hag/636s01258801160.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/21/t12588012139ln8uzti3v87hag/7h5fm1258801160.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/21/t12588012139ln8uzti3v87hag/7h5fm1258801160.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/21/t12588012139ln8uzti3v87hag/8cpqg1258801160.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/21/t12588012139ln8uzti3v87hag/8cpqg1258801160.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/21/t12588012139ln8uzti3v87hag/9wcwi1258801160.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/21/t12588012139ln8uzti3v87hag/9wcwi1258801160.ps (open in new window)


 
Parameters (Session):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Include Monthly Dummies ; par3 = No Linear Trend ;
 
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Include Monthly Dummies ; par3 = No Linear Trend ;
 
R code (references can be found in the software module):
library(lattice)
library(lmtest)
n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
x <- t(y)
k <- length(x[1,])
n <- length(x[,1])
x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1])
mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1])
colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1]
x <- x1
if (par3 == 'First Differences'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep='')))
for (i in 1:n-1) {
for (j in 1:k) {
x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j]
}
}
x <- x2
}
if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:11){
x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:3){
x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
k <- length(x[1,])
if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){
x <- cbind(x, c(1:n))
colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't'
}
x
k <- length(x[1,])
df <- as.data.frame(x)
(mylm <- lm(df))
(mysum <- summary(mylm))
if (n > n25) {
kp3 <- k + 3
nmkm3 <- n - k - 3
gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3))
numgqtests <- 0
numsignificant1 <- 0
numsignificant5 <- 0
numsignificant10 <- 0
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
j <- 0
numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1
for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) {
j <- j + 1
gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value
}
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1
}
gqarr
}
bitmap(file='test0.png')
plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index')
points(x[,1]-mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals')
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test4.png')
qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot')
qqline(mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
(myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid))
bitmap(file='test5.png')
dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror)
dum
dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),]
dum1
z <- as.data.frame(dum1)
z
plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals')
lines(lowess(z))
abline(lm(z))
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test6.png')
acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test7.png')
pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test8.png')
opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0))
plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics')
par(opar)
dev.off()
if (n > n25) {
bitmap(file='test9.png')
plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint')
grid()
dev.off()
}
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
myeq <- colnames(x)[1]
myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='')
for (i in 1:k){
if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '')
myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') {
myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='')
}
}
myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]')
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, myeq)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT<br />H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:k){
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1])
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6))
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3]))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable3.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation<br />Forecast', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals<br />Prediction Error', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:n) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i])
a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable4.tab')
if (n > n25) {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable5.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable6.tab')
}
 





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