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*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Module: /rwasp_multipleregression.wasp (opens new window with default values)
Title produced by software: Multiple Regression
Date of computation: Sat, 11 Dec 2010 16:27:00 +0000
 
Cite this page as follows:
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/11/t1292084764yfxyyom9ml5kf3n.htm/, Retrieved Sat, 11 Dec 2010 17:26:14 +0100
 
BibTeX entries for LaTeX users:
@Manual{KEY,
    author = {{YOUR NAME}},
    publisher = {Office for Research Development and Education},
    title = {Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/11/t1292084764yfxyyom9ml5kf3n.htm/},
    year = {2010},
}
@Manual{R,
    title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
    author = {{R Development Core Team}},
    organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
    address = {Vienna, Austria},
    year = {2010},
    note = {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0},
    url = {http://www.R-project.org},
}
 
Original text written by user:
 
IsPrivate?
No (this computation is public)
 
User-defined keywords:
 
Dataseries X:
» Textbox « » Textfile « » CSV «
2 4,5 1 7 42 3 1 3 1,8 69 2.547 4.603 624 3 5 4 0,7 27 11 180 180 4 4 4 3,9 19 0,023 0,3 35 1 1 1 1 30,4 160 169 392 4 5 4 3,6 28 3 26 63 1 2 1 1,4 50 52 440 230 1 1 1 1,5 7 0,425 6 112 5 4 4 0,7 30 465 423 281 5 5 5 2,1 3,5 0,075 1 42 1 1 1 0 50 3 25 28 2 2 2 4,1 6 0,785 4 42 2 2 2 1,2 10,4 0,2 5 120 2 2 2 0,5 20 28 115 148 5 5 5 3,4 3,9 0,12 1 16 3 1 2 1,5 41 85 325 310 1 3 1 3,4 9 0,101 4 28 5 1 3 0,8 7,6 1 6 68 5 3 4 0,8 46 521 655 336 5 5 5 1,4 2,6 0,005 0,14 21,5 5 2 4 2 24 0,01 0,25 50 1 1 1 1,9 100 62 1.320 267 1 1 1 1,3 3,2 0,023 0,4 19 4 1 3 2 2 0,048 0,33 30 4 1 3 5,6 5 2 6 12 2 1 1 3,1 6,5 4 11 120 2 1 1 1,8 12 0,48 16 140 2 2 2 0,9 20,2 10 115 170 4 4 4 1,8 13 2 11 17 2 1 2 1,9 27 192 180 115 4 4 4 0,9 18 3 12 31 5 5 5 2,6 4,7 0,28 2 21 3 1 3 2,4 9,8 4 50 52 1 1 1 1,2 29 7 179 164 2 3 2 0,9 7 0,75 12 225 2 2 2 0,5 6 4 21 225 3 2 3 0,6 20 56 175 151 5 5 5 2,3 4,5 0,9 3 60 2 1 2 0,5 7,5 2 12 200 3 1 3 2,6 2,3 0,104 3 46 3 2 2 0,6 24 4 58 210 4 3 4 6,6 3 4 4 etc...
 
Output produced by software:

Enter (or paste) a matrix (table) containing all data (time) series. Every column represents a different variable and must be delimited by a space or Tab. Every row represents a period in time (or category) and must be delimited by hard returns. The easiest way to enter data is to copy and paste a block of spreadsheet cells. Please, do not use commas or spaces to seperate groups of digits!


Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time13 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135


Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
PS[t] = + 3.58737153871768 -0.0094560197051181L[t] + 0.00508884300409277Wb[t] -0.00390837673295982Wbr[t] -0.000786575888854624Tg[t] + 0.810406161455018P[t] + 0.327261431599046S[t] -1.66026239739375D[t] + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)3.587371538717680.4678057.668500
L-0.00945601970511810.011399-0.82950.4125870.206293
Wb0.005088843004092770.0027561.84620.0735790.03679
Wbr-0.003908376732959820.002151-1.81740.077980.03899
Tg-0.0007865758888546240.002026-0.38820.7002880.350144
P0.8104061614550180.3738082.1680.0372520.018626
S0.3272614315990460.2258621.44890.1565140.078257
D-1.660262397393750.463823-3.57950.0010610.00053


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.731211507658874
R-squared0.534670268932763
Adjusted R-squared0.438867089007155
F-TEST (value)5.58092402932702
F-TEST (DF numerator)7
F-TEST (DF denominator)34
p-value0.000242790446010499
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation1.04033754608211
Sum Squared Residuals36.7982751327971


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
121.267206192368990.732793807631013
21.8-0.1344700977658541.93447009776585
30.70.4525655904391780.247434409560822
43.92.856526734240041.04347326575996
511.38215221827602-0.382152218276021
63.62.991364067191210.60863593280879
71.40.955997368396030.444002631603971
81.52.13182234320539-0.631822343205394
90.71.18275773995869-0.482757739958694
102.12.99511776457053-0.895117764570533
1101.96491393058276-1.96491393058276
124.12.440770859302081.65922914069792
131.22.33092610337855-1.13092610337855
140.50.3618881711906290.138111828809371
153.42.972565253250180.427434746749823
161.52.25009348125726-0.750093481257256
173.42.863628749388150.53637125061185
180.81.83642272362023-1.03642272362023
190.80.3664315569723190.433568443027681
201.41.61085685824459-0.210856858244591
2122.79757726125923-0.797577261259228
221.92.21950821050824-0.319508210508243
231.32.12881991170684-0.828819911706844
2422.13191560802199-0.131915608021995
255.63.805191312251591.79480868774841
263.13.696692889041-0.596692889041002
271.82.25849768605185-0.458497686051852
280.90.7736879279608180.126312072039182
291.82.04580599410783-0.245805994107826
301.91.424773606955510.475226393044487
310.90.7481713179893980.151828682010602
322.61.297710998795761.30228900120424
332.42.75614233041578-0.356142330415776
341.21.80224281024561-0.602242810245615
350.92.25592632856774-1.35592632856774
360.51.39688946150080-0.896889461500795
370.60.2675134436610740.332486556338926
382.32.118028684939760.181971315060242
390.51.10010610215389-0.60010610215389
402.63.28346086475779-0.683460864757789
410.60.5712750016822910.0287249983177086
426.63.840524639358222.75947536064177


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
110.8894151923564130.2211696152871750.110584807643587
120.9083101455154710.1833797089690580.091689854484529
130.9446634718210040.1106730563579920.0553365281789958
140.9006214733071660.1987570533856690.0993785266928344
150.8720159117490530.2559681765018940.127984088250947
160.8166090692275830.3667818615448330.183390930772417
170.7494669751696710.5010660496606580.250533024830329
180.7446485628252930.5107028743494130.255351437174706
190.679354200032760.641291599934480.32064579996724
200.5970033723979630.8059932552040730.402996627602037
210.5693729883444530.8612540233110950.430627011655547
220.456858336204630.913716672409260.54314166379537
230.5281853118566850.943629376286630.471814688143315
240.5828188139483540.8343623721032910.417181186051646
250.6804878988284630.6390242023430750.319512101171537
260.6492434570168030.7015130859663940.350756542983197
270.5523997845858840.8952004308282310.447600215414116
280.4348843354693860.8697686709387730.565115664530614
290.3769636357139930.7539272714279860.623036364286007
300.4245850175922880.8491700351845760.575414982407712
310.2909074267167650.581814853433530.709092573283235


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level00OK
5% type I error level00OK
10% type I error level00OK
 
Charts produced by software:
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/11/t1292084764yfxyyom9ml5kf3n/10mtcr1292084805.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/11/t1292084764yfxyyom9ml5kf3n/10mtcr1292084805.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/11/t1292084764yfxyyom9ml5kf3n/1faff1292084805.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/11/t1292084764yfxyyom9ml5kf3n/1faff1292084805.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/11/t1292084764yfxyyom9ml5kf3n/2pjxi1292084805.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/11/t1292084764yfxyyom9ml5kf3n/2pjxi1292084805.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/11/t1292084764yfxyyom9ml5kf3n/3pjxi1292084805.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/11/t1292084764yfxyyom9ml5kf3n/3pjxi1292084805.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/11/t1292084764yfxyyom9ml5kf3n/4pjxi1292084805.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/11/t1292084764yfxyyom9ml5kf3n/4pjxi1292084805.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/11/t1292084764yfxyyom9ml5kf3n/50tel1292084805.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/11/t1292084764yfxyyom9ml5kf3n/50tel1292084805.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/11/t1292084764yfxyyom9ml5kf3n/60tel1292084805.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/11/t1292084764yfxyyom9ml5kf3n/60tel1292084805.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/11/t1292084764yfxyyom9ml5kf3n/7t2d61292084805.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/11/t1292084764yfxyyom9ml5kf3n/7t2d61292084805.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/11/t1292084764yfxyyom9ml5kf3n/8t2d61292084805.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/11/t1292084764yfxyyom9ml5kf3n/8t2d61292084805.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/11/t1292084764yfxyyom9ml5kf3n/9mtcr1292084805.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/11/t1292084764yfxyyom9ml5kf3n/9mtcr1292084805.ps (open in new window)


 
Parameters (Session):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Do not include Seasonal Dummies ; par3 = No Linear Trend ;
 
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Do not include Seasonal Dummies ; par3 = No Linear Trend ;
 
R code (references can be found in the software module):
library(lattice)
library(lmtest)
n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
x <- t(y)
k <- length(x[1,])
n <- length(x[,1])
x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1])
mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1])
colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1]
x <- x1
if (par3 == 'First Differences'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep='')))
for (i in 1:n-1) {
for (j in 1:k) {
x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j]
}
}
x <- x2
}
if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:11){
x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:3){
x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
k <- length(x[1,])
if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){
x <- cbind(x, c(1:n))
colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't'
}
x
k <- length(x[1,])
df <- as.data.frame(x)
(mylm <- lm(df))
(mysum <- summary(mylm))
if (n > n25) {
kp3 <- k + 3
nmkm3 <- n - k - 3
gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3))
numgqtests <- 0
numsignificant1 <- 0
numsignificant5 <- 0
numsignificant10 <- 0
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
j <- 0
numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1
for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) {
j <- j + 1
gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value
}
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1
}
gqarr
}
bitmap(file='test0.png')
plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index')
points(x[,1]-mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals')
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test4.png')
qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot')
qqline(mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
(myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid))
bitmap(file='test5.png')
dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror)
dum
dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),]
dum1
z <- as.data.frame(dum1)
z
plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals')
lines(lowess(z))
abline(lm(z))
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test6.png')
acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test7.png')
pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test8.png')
opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0))
plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics')
par(opar)
dev.off()
if (n > n25) {
bitmap(file='test9.png')
plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint')
grid()
dev.off()
}
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
myeq <- colnames(x)[1]
myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='')
for (i in 1:k){
if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '')
myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') {
myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='')
}
}
myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]')
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, myeq)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT<br />H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:k){
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1])
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6))
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3]))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable3.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation<br />Forecast', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals<br />Prediction Error', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:n) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i])
a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable4.tab')
if (n > n25) {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable5.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable6.tab')
}
 





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