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Workshop 10 (3)

*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Module: /rwasp_regression_trees1.wasp (opens new window with default values)
Title produced by software: Recursive Partitioning (Regression Trees)
Date of computation: Sun, 12 Dec 2010 12:43:36 +0000
 
Cite this page as follows:
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/12/t12921577364bchd4mekhen891.htm/, Retrieved Sun, 12 Dec 2010 13:42:16 +0100
 
BibTeX entries for LaTeX users:
@Manual{KEY,
    author = {{YOUR NAME}},
    publisher = {Office for Research Development and Education},
    title = {Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/12/t12921577364bchd4mekhen891.htm/},
    year = {2010},
}
@Manual{R,
    title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
    author = {{R Development Core Team}},
    organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
    address = {Vienna, Austria},
    year = {2010},
    note = {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0},
    url = {http://www.R-project.org},
}
 
Original text written by user:
 
IsPrivate?
No (this computation is public)
 
User-defined keywords:
 
Dataseries X:
» Textbox « » Textfile « » CSV «
13 15 42 14 13 12 18 51 8 13 15 11 42 12 16 12 16 46 7 12 10 12 41 10 11 12 17 49 7 12 15 15 47 16 18 9 19 33 11 11 12 16 33 14 14 11 18 47 6 9 11 10 42 16 14 11 14 32 11 12 15 18 53 16 11 7 18 41 12 12 11 14 41 7 13 11 14 33 13 11 10 12 37 11 12 14 16 43 15 16 10 15 45 7 9 6 13 33 9 11 11 16 49 7 13 15 14 42 14 15 11 9 43 15 10 12 9 37 7 11 14 17 43 15 13 15 13 42 17 16 9 15 43 15 15 13 17 46 14 14 13 16 33 14 14 16 12 42 8 14 13 11 40 8 8 12 16 44 14 13 14 17 42 14 15 11 17 52 8 13 9 16 44 11 11 16 13 45 16 15 12 12 46 10 15 10 12 36 8 9 13 16 45 14 13 16 14 49 16 16 14 12 43 13 13 15 12 43 5 11 5 14 37 8 12 8 8 32 10 12 11 15 45 8 12 16 14 45 13 14 17 11 45 15 14 9 13 45 6 8 9 14 31 12 13 13 15 33 16 16 10 16 44 5 13 6 10 49 15 11 12 11 44 12 14 8 12 41 8 13 14 14 44 13 13 12 15 38 14 13 11 16 33 12 12 16 9 47 16 16 8 11 37 10 15 15 15 48 15 15 7 15 40 8 12 16 13 50 16 14 14 17 54 19 12 16 17 43 14 15 9 15 54 6 12 14 13 44 13 13 11 15 47 15 etc...
 
Output produced by software:

Enter (or paste) a matrix (table) containing all data (time) series. Every column represents a different variable and must be delimited by a space or Tab. Every row represents a period in time (or category) and must be delimited by hard returns. The easiest way to enter data is to copy and paste a block of spreadsheet cells. Please, do not use commas or spaces to seperate groups of digits!


Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time4 seconds
R Server'RServer@AstonUniversity' @ vre.aston.ac.uk
R Framework
error message
The field 'Names of X columns' contains a hard return which cannot be interpreted.
Please, resubmit your request without hard returns in the 'Names of X columns'.


Goodness of Fit
Correlation0.6467
R-squared0.4182
RMSE2.233


Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals
#ActualsForecastsResiduals
11312.37837837837840.621621621621621
21211.06666666666670.933333333333334
31514.25490196078430.745098039215685
4129.305555555555562.69444444444444
5109.305555555555560.694444444444445
6129.305555555555562.69444444444444
71514.25490196078430.745098039215685
899.30555555555556-0.305555555555555
91214.2549019607843-2.25490196078431
10119.305555555555561.69444444444444
111114.2549019607843-3.25490196078431
12119.305555555555561.69444444444444
131512.37837837837842.62162162162162
14712.3783783783784-5.37837837837838
151111.0666666666667-0.0666666666666664
161112.3783783783784-1.37837837837838
17109.305555555555560.694444444444445
181414.2549019607843-0.254901960784315
19109.305555555555560.694444444444445
2069.30555555555556-3.30555555555556
211111.0666666666667-0.0666666666666664
221514.25490196078430.745098039215685
231112.3783783783784-1.37837837837838
24129.305555555555562.69444444444444
251412.37837837837841.62162162162162
261514.25490196078430.745098039215685
27914.2549019607843-5.25490196078431
281314.2549019607843-1.25490196078431
291314.2549019607843-1.25490196078431
301611.06666666666674.93333333333333
31139.305555555555563.69444444444444
321212.3783783783784-0.378378378378379
331414.2549019607843-0.254901960784315
341111.0666666666667-0.0666666666666664
3599.30555555555556-0.305555555555555
361614.25490196078431.74509803921569
371211.06666666666670.933333333333334
38109.305555555555560.694444444444445
391312.37837837837840.621621621621621
401614.25490196078431.74509803921569
411412.37837837837841.62162162162162
42159.305555555555565.69444444444444
4359.30555555555556-4.30555555555556
4489.30555555555556-1.30555555555556
45119.305555555555561.69444444444444
461614.25490196078431.74509803921569
471714.25490196078432.74509803921569
4899.30555555555556-0.305555555555555
49912.3783783783784-3.37837837837838
501314.2549019607843-1.25490196078431
511011.0666666666667-1.06666666666667
52612.3783783783784-6.37837837837838
531214.2549019607843-2.25490196078431
54811.0666666666667-3.06666666666667
551412.37837837837841.62162162162162
561212.3783783783784-0.378378378378379
571112.3783783783784-1.37837837837838
581614.25490196078431.74509803921569
59811.0666666666667-3.06666666666667
601514.25490196078430.745098039215685
6179.30555555555556-2.30555555555556
621614.25490196078431.74509803921569
631412.37837837837841.62162162162162
641614.25490196078431.74509803921569
6599.30555555555556-0.305555555555555
661412.37837837837841.62162162162162
671112.3783783783784-1.37837837837838
68139.305555555555563.69444444444444
691512.37837837837842.62162162162162
7059.30555555555556-4.30555555555556
711512.37837837837842.62162162162162
721312.37837837837840.621621621621621
731111.0666666666667-0.0666666666666664
741114.2549019607843-3.25490196078431
751212.3783783783784-0.378378378378379
761212.3783783783784-0.378378378378379
771212.3783783783784-0.378378378378379
781212.3783783783784-0.378378378378379
791411.06666666666672.93333333333333
8069.30555555555556-3.30555555555556
8179.30555555555556-2.30555555555556
821412.37837837837841.62162162162162
831414.2549019607843-0.254901960784315
84109.305555555555560.694444444444445
85139.305555555555563.69444444444444
861212.3783783783784-0.378378378378379
8799.30555555555556-0.305555555555555
881211.06666666666670.933333333333334
891614.25490196078431.74509803921569
90109.305555555555560.694444444444445
911411.06666666666672.93333333333333
921014.2549019607843-4.25490196078431
931614.25490196078431.74509803921569
941512.37837837837842.62162162162162
95129.305555555555562.69444444444444
96109.305555555555560.694444444444445
97811.0666666666667-3.06666666666667
9889.30555555555556-1.30555555555556
991114.2549019607843-3.25490196078431
1001311.06666666666671.93333333333333
1011614.25490196078431.74509803921569
1021414.2549019607843-0.254901960784315
1031111.0666666666667-0.0666666666666664
10449.30555555555556-5.30555555555556
1051411.06666666666672.93333333333333
106911.0666666666667-2.06666666666667
1071414.2549019607843-0.254901960784315
108811.0666666666667-3.06666666666667
109811.0666666666667-3.06666666666667
1101114.2549019607843-3.25490196078431
1111212.3783783783784-0.378378378378379
1121111.0666666666667-0.0666666666666664
1131414.2549019607843-0.254901960784315
1141514.25490196078430.745098039215685
1151614.25490196078431.74509803921569
1161614.25490196078431.74509803921569
1171414.2549019607843-0.254901960784315
1181412.37837837837841.62162162162162
1191212.3783783783784-0.378378378378379
1201412.37837837837841.62162162162162
12189.30555555555556-1.30555555555556
1221314.2549019607843-1.25490196078431
1231614.25490196078431.74509803921569
1241211.06666666666670.933333333333334
1251614.25490196078431.74509803921569
1261212.3783783783784-0.378378378378379
1271111.0666666666667-0.0666666666666664
12849.30555555555556-5.30555555555556
1291614.25490196078431.74509803921569
1301512.37837837837842.62162162162162
1311011.0666666666667-1.06666666666667
1321311.06666666666671.93333333333333
1331514.25490196078430.745098039215685
1341211.06666666666670.933333333333334
1351414.2549019607843-0.254901960784315
136712.3783783783784-5.37837837837838
1371914.25490196078434.74509803921569
1381214.2549019607843-2.25490196078431
1391212.3783783783784-0.378378378378379
1401314.2549019607843-1.25490196078431
1411514.25490196078430.745098039215685
14289.30555555555556-1.30555555555556
1431211.06666666666670.933333333333334
1441011.0666666666667-1.06666666666667
145811.0666666666667-3.06666666666667
1461014.2549019607843-4.25490196078431
1471514.25490196078430.745098039215685
1481614.25490196078431.74509803921569
1491312.37837837837840.621621621621621
1501614.25490196078431.74509803921569
15199.30555555555556-0.305555555555555
1521414.2549019607843-0.254901960784315
1531412.37837837837841.62162162162162
1541211.06666666666670.933333333333334
 
Charts produced by software:
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/12/t12921577364bchd4mekhen891/2cex11292157810.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/12/t12921577364bchd4mekhen891/2cex11292157810.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/12/t12921577364bchd4mekhen891/3cex11292157810.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/12/t12921577364bchd4mekhen891/3cex11292157810.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/12/t12921577364bchd4mekhen891/4m5e41292157810.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/12/t12921577364bchd4mekhen891/4m5e41292157810.ps (open in new window)


 
Parameters (Session):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = none ; par3 = 3 ; par4 = no ;
 
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = none ; par3 = 3 ; par4 = no ;
 
R code (references can be found in the software module):
library(party)
library(Hmisc)
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
par3 <- as.numeric(par3)
x <- data.frame(t(y))
is.data.frame(x)
x <- x[!is.na(x[,par1]),]
k <- length(x[1,])
n <- length(x[,1])
colnames(x)[par1]
x[,par1]
if (par2 == 'kmeans') {
cl <- kmeans(x[,par1], par3)
print(cl)
clm <- matrix(cbind(cl$centers,1:par3),ncol=2)
clm <- clm[sort.list(clm[,1]),]
for (i in 1:par3) {
cl$cluster[cl$cluster==clm[i,2]] <- paste('C',i,sep='')
}
cl$cluster <- as.factor(cl$cluster)
print(cl$cluster)
x[,par1] <- cl$cluster
}
if (par2 == 'quantiles') {
x[,par1] <- cut2(x[,par1],g=par3)
}
if (par2 == 'hclust') {
hc <- hclust(dist(x[,par1])^2, 'cen')
print(hc)
memb <- cutree(hc, k = par3)
dum <- c(mean(x[memb==1,par1]))
for (i in 2:par3) {
dum <- c(dum, mean(x[memb==i,par1]))
}
hcm <- matrix(cbind(dum,1:par3),ncol=2)
hcm <- hcm[sort.list(hcm[,1]),]
for (i in 1:par3) {
memb[memb==hcm[i,2]] <- paste('C',i,sep='')
}
memb <- as.factor(memb)
print(memb)
x[,par1] <- memb
}
if (par2=='equal') {
ed <- cut(as.numeric(x[,par1]),par3,labels=paste('C',1:par3,sep=''))
x[,par1] <- as.factor(ed)
}
table(x[,par1])
colnames(x)
colnames(x)[par1]
x[,par1]
if (par2 == 'none') {
m <- ctree(as.formula(paste(colnames(x)[par1],' ~ .',sep='')),data = x)
}
load(file='createtable')
if (par2 != 'none') {
m <- ctree(as.formula(paste('as.factor(',colnames(x)[par1],') ~ .',sep='')),data = x)
if (par4=='yes') {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'10-Fold Cross Validation',3+2*par3,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Prediction (training)',par3+1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Prediction (testing)',par3+1,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Actual',1,TRUE)
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,paste('C',jjj,sep=''),1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'CV',1,TRUE)
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,paste('C',jjj,sep=''),1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'CV',1,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:10) {
ind <- sample(2, nrow(x), replace=T, prob=c(0.9,0.1))
m.ct <- ctree(as.formula(paste('as.factor(',colnames(x)[par1],') ~ .',sep='')),data =x[ind==1,])
if (i==1) {
m.ct.i.pred <- predict(m.ct, newdata=x[ind==1,])
m.ct.i.actu <- x[ind==1,par1]
m.ct.x.pred <- predict(m.ct, newdata=x[ind==2,])
m.ct.x.actu <- x[ind==2,par1]
} else {
m.ct.i.pred <- c(m.ct.i.pred,predict(m.ct, newdata=x[ind==1,]))
m.ct.i.actu <- c(m.ct.i.actu,x[ind==1,par1])
m.ct.x.pred <- c(m.ct.x.pred,predict(m.ct, newdata=x[ind==2,]))
m.ct.x.actu <- c(m.ct.x.actu,x[ind==2,par1])
}
}
print(m.ct.i.tab <- table(m.ct.i.actu,m.ct.i.pred))
numer <- 0
for (i in 1:par3) {
print(m.ct.i.tab[i,i] / sum(m.ct.i.tab[i,]))
numer <- numer + m.ct.i.tab[i,i]
}
print(m.ct.i.cp <- numer / sum(m.ct.i.tab))
print(m.ct.x.tab <- table(m.ct.x.actu,m.ct.x.pred))
numer <- 0
for (i in 1:par3) {
print(m.ct.x.tab[i,i] / sum(m.ct.x.tab[i,]))
numer <- numer + m.ct.x.tab[i,i]
}
print(m.ct.x.cp <- numer / sum(m.ct.x.tab))
for (i in 1:par3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,paste('C',i,sep=''),1,TRUE)
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,m.ct.i.tab[i,jjj])
a<-table.element(a,round(m.ct.i.tab[i,i]/sum(m.ct.i.tab[i,]),4))
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,m.ct.x.tab[i,jjj])
a<-table.element(a,round(m.ct.x.tab[i,i]/sum(m.ct.x.tab[i,]),4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Overall',1,TRUE)
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,'-')
a<-table.element(a,round(m.ct.i.cp,4))
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,'-')
a<-table.element(a,round(m.ct.x.cp,4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable3.tab')
}
}
m
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(m)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test1a.png')
plot(x[,par1] ~ as.factor(where(m)),main='Response by Terminal Node',xlab='Terminal Node',ylab='Response')
dev.off()
if (par2 == 'none') {
forec <- predict(m)
result <- as.data.frame(cbind(x[,par1],forec,x[,par1]-forec))
colnames(result) <- c('Actuals','Forecasts','Residuals')
print(result)
}
if (par2 != 'none') {
print(cbind(as.factor(x[,par1]),predict(m)))
myt <- table(as.factor(x[,par1]),predict(m))
print(myt)
}
bitmap(file='test2.png')
if(par2=='none') {
op <- par(mfrow=c(2,2))
plot(density(result$Actuals),main='Kernel Density Plot of Actuals')
plot(density(result$Residuals),main='Kernel Density Plot of Residuals')
plot(result$Forecasts,result$Actuals,main='Actuals versus Predictions',xlab='Predictions',ylab='Actuals')
plot(density(result$Forecasts),main='Kernel Density Plot of Predictions')
par(op)
}
if(par2!='none') {
plot(myt,main='Confusion Matrix',xlab='Actual',ylab='Predicted')
}
dev.off()
if (par2 == 'none') {
detcoef <- cor(result$Forecasts,result$Actuals)
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Goodness of Fit',2,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Correlation',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,round(detcoef,4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,round(detcoef*detcoef,4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'RMSE',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,round(sqrt(mean((result$Residuals)^2)),4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'#',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Actuals',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Forecasts',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Residuals',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:length(result$Actuals)) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,result$Actuals[i])
a<-table.element(a,result$Forecasts[i])
a<-table.element(a,result$Residuals[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')
}
if (par2 != 'none') {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Confusion Matrix (predicted in columns / actuals in rows)',par3+1,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'',1,TRUE)
for (i in 1:par3) {
a<-table.element(a,paste('C',i,sep=''),1,TRUE)
}
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:par3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,paste('C',i,sep=''),1,TRUE)
for (j in 1:par3) {
a<-table.element(a,myt[i,j])
}
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')
}
 





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As a general rule, we do not log on-line behavior of individuals (other than normal logging of webserver 'hits'). However, in cases of abuse, hacking, unauthorized access, Denial of Service attacks, illegal copying, hotlinking, non-compliance with international webstandards (such as robots.txt), or any other harmful behavior, our system engineers are empowered to log, track, identify, publish, and ban misbehaving individuals - even if this leads to ban entire blocks of IP addresses, or disclosing user's identity.


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