Home » date » 2010 » Dec » 14 »

WS 10 - Recursive Partitionin

*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Module: /rwasp_regression_trees1.wasp (opens new window with default values)
Title produced by software: Recursive Partitioning (Regression Trees)
Date of computation: Tue, 14 Dec 2010 08:57:51 +0000
 
Cite this page as follows:
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292316962omo77gjztkqrcrd.htm/, Retrieved Tue, 14 Dec 2010 09:56:02 +0100
 
BibTeX entries for LaTeX users:
@Manual{KEY,
    author = {{YOUR NAME}},
    publisher = {Office for Research Development and Education},
    title = {Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292316962omo77gjztkqrcrd.htm/},
    year = {2010},
}
@Manual{R,
    title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
    author = {{R Development Core Team}},
    organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
    address = {Vienna, Austria},
    year = {2010},
    note = {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0},
    url = {http://www.R-project.org},
}
 
Original text written by user:
 
IsPrivate?
No (this computation is public)
 
User-defined keywords:
 
Dataseries X:
» Textbox « » Textfile « » CSV «
100.44 1576.23 29.29 710.45 100.88 1546.37 28.99 720 101.42 1545.05 28.91 720 99.97 1552.34 29.29 720 100.56 1594.3 30.96 754.78 99.51 1605.78 30.57 802.73 98.96 1673.21 30.59 845.24 100.85 1612.94 31.39 893.91 100.66 1566.34 31.28 931.43 100.22 1530.17 31.1 940 100.30 1582.54 31.7 947.73 100.73 1702.16 32.57 960 101.46 1701.93 32.49 996.96 101.35 1811.15 32.46 1000 101.14 1924.2 32.3 1000 101.68 2034.25 32.97 1000 101.47 2011.13 32.9 1013.04 100.59 2013.04 32.93 1095.24 101.18 2151.67 33.72 1159.09 100.87 1902.09 33.33 1200 99.79 1944.01 33.44 1200 100.74 1916.67 33.89 1282.61 99.34 1967.31 34.34 1513.64 100.07 2119.88 33.56 1669.05 103.68 2216.38 32.67 1700 103.52 2522.83 32.57 1700 104.68 2647.64 33.23 1700 103.75 2631.23 32.85 1665.91 103.70 2693.41 32.61 1650 102.98 3021.76 32.57 1650 106.30 2953.67 32.98 1619.57 107.21 2796.8 31.33 1599.05 106.83 2672.05 29.8 1572.73 105.60 2251.23 28.06 1470 104.30 2046.08 25.47 1268 104.43 2420.04 24.65 1217.39 104.36 2608.89 23.94 etc...
 
Output produced by software:

Enter (or paste) a matrix (table) containing all data (time) series. Every column represents a different variable and must be delimited by a space or Tab. Every row represents a period in time (or category) and must be delimited by hard returns. The easiest way to enter data is to copy and paste a block of spreadsheet cells. Please, do not use commas or spaces to seperate groups of digits!


Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time4 seconds
R Server'Sir Ronald Aylmer Fisher' @ 193.190.124.24


Goodness of Fit
Correlation0.6612
R-squared0.4372
RMSE3.2822


Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals
#ActualsForecastsResiduals
1100.44100.852307692308-0.412307692307692
2100.88100.8523076923080.0276923076923055
3101.42100.8523076923080.567692307692312
499.97100.852307692308-0.882307692307691
5100.56100.852307692308-0.292307692307688
699.51100.852307692308-1.34230769230768
798.96100.852307692308-1.89230769230770
8100.85100.852307692308-0.00230769230769567
9100.66100.852307692308-0.192307692307693
10100.22100.852307692308-0.632307692307691
11100.3100.852307692308-0.552307692307693
12100.73100.852307692308-0.122307692307686
13101.46100.8523076923080.607692307692304
14101.35100.8523076923080.497692307692304
15101.14100.8523076923080.287692307692311
16101.68100.8523076923080.827692307692317
17101.47100.8523076923080.617692307692309
18100.59100.852307692308-0.262307692307687
19101.18100.8523076923080.327692307692317
20100.87100.8523076923080.0176923076923146
2199.79100.852307692308-1.06230769230768
22100.74100.852307692308-0.112307692307695
2399.34100.852307692308-1.51230769230769
24100.07100.852307692308-0.782307692307697
25103.68100.8523076923082.82769230769232
26103.52106.66-3.14
27104.68106.66-1.97999999999999
28103.75106.66-2.91000000000000
29103.7106.66-2.95999999999999
30102.98106.66-3.67999999999999
31106.3106.66-0.359999999999999
32107.21106.660.549999999999997
33106.83106.660.170000000000002
34105.6106.66-1.06000000000000
35104.3100.8523076923083.44769230769231
36104.43106.66-2.22999999999999
37104.36106.66-2.30000000000000
38106.21106.66-0.450000000000003
39107.34106.660.680000000000007
40106.92106.660.260000000000005
41104.8106.66-1.86
42103.85106.66-2.81
43103.39106.66-3.27000000000000
44103.38106.66-3.28
45103.93106.66-2.72999999999999
46104.41106.66-2.25
47104.47106.66-2.19000000000000
48103.84106.66-2.81999999999999
49103.65106.66-3.00999999999999
50103.17106.66-3.48999999999999
51103.4106.66-3.25999999999999
52112.72106.666.06
53114.77106.668.11
54116.18106.669.52000000000001
55116.93106.6610.27
56115.19106.668.53
57114.55106.667.89
 
Charts produced by software:
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292316962omo77gjztkqrcrd/2wctm1292317064.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292316962omo77gjztkqrcrd/2wctm1292317064.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292316962omo77gjztkqrcrd/3wctm1292317064.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292316962omo77gjztkqrcrd/3wctm1292317064.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292316962omo77gjztkqrcrd/4o3s71292317064.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292316962omo77gjztkqrcrd/4o3s71292317064.ps (open in new window)


 
Parameters (Session):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = none ; par3 = 0 ; par4 = no ;
 
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = none ; par3 = 0 ; par4 = no ;
 
R code (references can be found in the software module):
library(party)
library(Hmisc)
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
par3 <- as.numeric(par3)
x <- data.frame(t(y))
is.data.frame(x)
x <- x[!is.na(x[,par1]),]
k <- length(x[1,])
n <- length(x[,1])
colnames(x)[par1]
x[,par1]
if (par2 == 'kmeans') {
cl <- kmeans(x[,par1], par3)
print(cl)
clm <- matrix(cbind(cl$centers,1:par3),ncol=2)
clm <- clm[sort.list(clm[,1]),]
for (i in 1:par3) {
cl$cluster[cl$cluster==clm[i,2]] <- paste('C',i,sep='')
}
cl$cluster <- as.factor(cl$cluster)
print(cl$cluster)
x[,par1] <- cl$cluster
}
if (par2 == 'quantiles') {
x[,par1] <- cut2(x[,par1],g=par3)
}
if (par2 == 'hclust') {
hc <- hclust(dist(x[,par1])^2, 'cen')
print(hc)
memb <- cutree(hc, k = par3)
dum <- c(mean(x[memb==1,par1]))
for (i in 2:par3) {
dum <- c(dum, mean(x[memb==i,par1]))
}
hcm <- matrix(cbind(dum,1:par3),ncol=2)
hcm <- hcm[sort.list(hcm[,1]),]
for (i in 1:par3) {
memb[memb==hcm[i,2]] <- paste('C',i,sep='')
}
memb <- as.factor(memb)
print(memb)
x[,par1] <- memb
}
if (par2=='equal') {
ed <- cut(as.numeric(x[,par1]),par3,labels=paste('C',1:par3,sep=''))
x[,par1] <- as.factor(ed)
}
table(x[,par1])
colnames(x)
colnames(x)[par1]
x[,par1]
if (par2 == 'none') {
m <- ctree(as.formula(paste(colnames(x)[par1],' ~ .',sep='')),data = x)
}
load(file='createtable')
if (par2 != 'none') {
m <- ctree(as.formula(paste('as.factor(',colnames(x)[par1],') ~ .',sep='')),data = x)
if (par4=='yes') {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'10-Fold Cross Validation',3+2*par3,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Prediction (training)',par3+1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Prediction (testing)',par3+1,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Actual',1,TRUE)
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,paste('C',jjj,sep=''),1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'CV',1,TRUE)
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,paste('C',jjj,sep=''),1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'CV',1,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:10) {
ind <- sample(2, nrow(x), replace=T, prob=c(0.9,0.1))
m.ct <- ctree(as.formula(paste('as.factor(',colnames(x)[par1],') ~ .',sep='')),data =x[ind==1,])
if (i==1) {
m.ct.i.pred <- predict(m.ct, newdata=x[ind==1,])
m.ct.i.actu <- x[ind==1,par1]
m.ct.x.pred <- predict(m.ct, newdata=x[ind==2,])
m.ct.x.actu <- x[ind==2,par1]
} else {
m.ct.i.pred <- c(m.ct.i.pred,predict(m.ct, newdata=x[ind==1,]))
m.ct.i.actu <- c(m.ct.i.actu,x[ind==1,par1])
m.ct.x.pred <- c(m.ct.x.pred,predict(m.ct, newdata=x[ind==2,]))
m.ct.x.actu <- c(m.ct.x.actu,x[ind==2,par1])
}
}
print(m.ct.i.tab <- table(m.ct.i.actu,m.ct.i.pred))
numer <- 0
for (i in 1:par3) {
print(m.ct.i.tab[i,i] / sum(m.ct.i.tab[i,]))
numer <- numer + m.ct.i.tab[i,i]
}
print(m.ct.i.cp <- numer / sum(m.ct.i.tab))
print(m.ct.x.tab <- table(m.ct.x.actu,m.ct.x.pred))
numer <- 0
for (i in 1:par3) {
print(m.ct.x.tab[i,i] / sum(m.ct.x.tab[i,]))
numer <- numer + m.ct.x.tab[i,i]
}
print(m.ct.x.cp <- numer / sum(m.ct.x.tab))
for (i in 1:par3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,paste('C',i,sep=''),1,TRUE)
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,m.ct.i.tab[i,jjj])
a<-table.element(a,round(m.ct.i.tab[i,i]/sum(m.ct.i.tab[i,]),4))
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,m.ct.x.tab[i,jjj])
a<-table.element(a,round(m.ct.x.tab[i,i]/sum(m.ct.x.tab[i,]),4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Overall',1,TRUE)
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,'-')
a<-table.element(a,round(m.ct.i.cp,4))
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,'-')
a<-table.element(a,round(m.ct.x.cp,4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable3.tab')
}
}
m
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(m)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test1a.png')
plot(x[,par1] ~ as.factor(where(m)),main='Response by Terminal Node',xlab='Terminal Node',ylab='Response')
dev.off()
if (par2 == 'none') {
forec <- predict(m)
result <- as.data.frame(cbind(x[,par1],forec,x[,par1]-forec))
colnames(result) <- c('Actuals','Forecasts','Residuals')
print(result)
}
if (par2 != 'none') {
print(cbind(as.factor(x[,par1]),predict(m)))
myt <- table(as.factor(x[,par1]),predict(m))
print(myt)
}
bitmap(file='test2.png')
if(par2=='none') {
op <- par(mfrow=c(2,2))
plot(density(result$Actuals),main='Kernel Density Plot of Actuals')
plot(density(result$Residuals),main='Kernel Density Plot of Residuals')
plot(result$Forecasts,result$Actuals,main='Actuals versus Predictions',xlab='Predictions',ylab='Actuals')
plot(density(result$Forecasts),main='Kernel Density Plot of Predictions')
par(op)
}
if(par2!='none') {
plot(myt,main='Confusion Matrix',xlab='Actual',ylab='Predicted')
}
dev.off()
if (par2 == 'none') {
detcoef <- cor(result$Forecasts,result$Actuals)
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Goodness of Fit',2,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Correlation',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,round(detcoef,4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,round(detcoef*detcoef,4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'RMSE',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,round(sqrt(mean((result$Residuals)^2)),4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'#',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Actuals',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Forecasts',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Residuals',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:length(result$Actuals)) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,result$Actuals[i])
a<-table.element(a,result$Forecasts[i])
a<-table.element(a,result$Residuals[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')
}
if (par2 != 'none') {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Confusion Matrix (predicted in columns / actuals in rows)',par3+1,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'',1,TRUE)
for (i in 1:par3) {
a<-table.element(a,paste('C',i,sep=''),1,TRUE)
}
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:par3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,paste('C',i,sep=''),1,TRUE)
for (j in 1:par3) {
a<-table.element(a,myt[i,j])
}
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')
}
 





Copyright

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0 License.

Software written by Ed van Stee & Patrick Wessa


Disclaimer

Information provided on this web site is provided "AS IS" without warranty of any kind, either express or implied, including, without limitation, warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, and noninfringement. We use reasonable efforts to include accurate and timely information and periodically update the information, and software without notice. However, we make no warranties or representations as to the accuracy or completeness of such information (or software), and we assume no liability or responsibility for errors or omissions in the content of this web site, or any software bugs in online applications. Your use of this web site is AT YOUR OWN RISK. Under no circumstances and under no legal theory shall we be liable to you or any other person for any direct, indirect, special, incidental, exemplary, or consequential damages arising from your access to, or use of, this web site.


Privacy Policy

We may request personal information to be submitted to our servers in order to be able to:

  • personalize online software applications according to your needs
  • enforce strict security rules with respect to the data that you upload (e.g. statistical data)
  • manage user sessions of online applications
  • alert you about important changes or upgrades in resources or applications

We NEVER allow other companies to directly offer registered users information about their products and services. Banner references and hyperlinks of third parties NEVER contain any personal data of the visitor.

We do NOT sell, nor transmit by any means, personal information, nor statistical data series uploaded by you to third parties.

We carefully protect your data from loss, misuse, alteration, and destruction. However, at any time, and under any circumstance you are solely responsible for managing your passwords, and keeping them secret.

We store a unique ANONYMOUS USER ID in the form of a small 'Cookie' on your computer. This allows us to track your progress when using this website which is necessary to create state-dependent features. The cookie is used for NO OTHER PURPOSE. At any time you may opt to disallow cookies from this website - this will not affect other features of this website.

We examine cookies that are used by third-parties (banner and online ads) very closely: abuse from third-parties automatically results in termination of the advertising contract without refund. We have very good reason to believe that the cookies that are produced by third parties (banner ads) do NOT cause any privacy or security risk.

FreeStatistics.org is safe. There is no need to download any software to use the applications and services contained in this website. Hence, your system's security is not compromised by their use, and your personal data - other than data you submit in the account application form, and the user-agent information that is transmitted by your browser - is never transmitted to our servers.

As a general rule, we do not log on-line behavior of individuals (other than normal logging of webserver 'hits'). However, in cases of abuse, hacking, unauthorized access, Denial of Service attacks, illegal copying, hotlinking, non-compliance with international webstandards (such as robots.txt), or any other harmful behavior, our system engineers are empowered to log, track, identify, publish, and ban misbehaving individuals - even if this leads to ban entire blocks of IP addresses, or disclosing user's identity.


FreeStatistics.org is powered by