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*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Module: /rwasp_regression_trees1.wasp (opens new window with default values)
Title produced by software: Recursive Partitioning (Regression Trees)
Date of computation: Tue, 21 Dec 2010 18:18:28 +0000
 
Cite this page as follows:
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292955415aogqnmnty5l5kgk.htm/, Retrieved Tue, 21 Dec 2010 19:16:56 +0100
 
BibTeX entries for LaTeX users:
@Manual{KEY,
    author = {{YOUR NAME}},
    publisher = {Office for Research Development and Education},
    title = {Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292955415aogqnmnty5l5kgk.htm/},
    year = {2010},
}
@Manual{R,
    title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
    author = {{R Development Core Team}},
    organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
    address = {Vienna, Austria},
    year = {2010},
    note = {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0},
    url = {http://www.R-project.org},
}
 
Original text written by user:
 
IsPrivate?
No (this computation is public)
 
User-defined keywords:
 
Dataseries X:
» Textbox « » Textfile « » CSV «
235.1 9700 280.7 9081 264.6 9084 240.7 9743 201.4 8587 240.8 9731 241.1 9563 223.8 9998 206.1 9437 174.7 10038 203.3 9918 220.5 9252 299.5 9737 347.4 9035 338.3 9133 327.7 9487 351.6 8700 396.6 9627 438.8 8947 395.6 9283 363.5 8829 378.8 9947 357 9628 369 9318 464.8 9605 479.1 8640 431.3 9214 366.5 9567 326.3 8547 355.1 9185 331.6 9470 261.3 9123 249 9278 205.5 10170 235.6 9434 240.9 9655 264.9 9429 253.8 8739 232.3 9552 193.8 9687 177 9019 213.2 9672 207.2 9206 180.6 9069 188.6 9788 175.4 10312 199 10105 179.6 9863 225.8 9656 234 9295 200.2 9946 183.6 9701 178.2 9049 203.2 10190 208.5 9706 191.8 9765 172.8 9893 148 9994 159.4 10433 154.5 10073 213.2 10112 196.4 9266 182.8 9820 176.4 10097 153.6 9115 173.2 10411 171 9678 151.2 10408 161.9 10153 157.2 10368 201.7 10581 236.4 10597 356.1 10680 398.3 9738 403.7 9556
 
Output produced by software:

Enter (or paste) a matrix (table) containing all data (time) series. Every column represents a different variable and must be delimited by a space or Tab. Every row represents a period in time (or category) and must be delimited by hard returns. The easiest way to enter data is to copy and paste a block of spreadsheet cells. Please, do not use commas or spaces to seperate groups of digits!


Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time3 seconds
R Server'RServer@AstonUniversity' @ vre.aston.ac.uk


Goodness of Fit
Correlation0.5105
R-squared0.2606
RMSE74.51


Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals
#ActualsForecastsResiduals
1235.1211.0524.05
2280.7299.518918918919-18.8189189189189
3264.6299.518918918919-34.9189189189189
4240.7211.0529.65
5201.4299.518918918919-98.118918918919
6240.8211.0529.75
7241.1299.518918918919-58.4189189189189
8223.8211.0512.75
9206.1299.518918918919-93.418918918919
10174.7211.05-36.35
11203.3211.05-7.75
12220.5299.518918918919-79.018918918919
13299.5211.0588.45
14347.4299.51891891891947.881081081081
15338.3299.51891891891938.7810810810811
16327.7299.51891891891928.1810810810811
17351.6299.51891891891952.0810810810811
18396.6299.51891891891997.081081081081
19438.8299.518918918919139.281081081081
20395.6299.51891891891996.081081081081
21363.5299.51891891891963.9810810810811
22378.8211.05167.75
23357299.51891891891957.4810810810811
24369299.51891891891969.4810810810811
25464.8299.518918918919165.281081081081
26479.1299.518918918919179.581081081081
27431.3299.518918918919131.781081081081
28366.5299.51891891891966.9810810810811
29326.3299.51891891891926.7810810810811
30355.1299.51891891891955.5810810810811
31331.6299.51891891891932.0810810810811
32261.3299.518918918919-38.2189189189189
33249299.518918918919-50.5189189189189
34205.5211.05-5.55000000000001
35235.6299.518918918919-63.918918918919
36240.9211.0529.85
37264.9299.518918918919-34.618918918919
38253.8299.518918918919-45.7189189189189
39232.3299.518918918919-67.2189189189189
40193.8211.05-17.25
41177299.518918918919-122.518918918919
42213.2211.052.14999999999998
43207.2299.518918918919-92.318918918919
44180.6299.518918918919-118.918918918919
45188.6211.05-22.45
46175.4211.05-35.65
47199211.05-12.05
48179.6211.05-31.45
49225.8211.0514.75
50234299.518918918919-65.5189189189189
51200.2211.05-10.85
52183.6211.05-27.45
53178.2299.518918918919-121.318918918919
54203.2211.05-7.85000000000002
55208.5211.05-2.55000000000001
56191.8211.05-19.25
57172.8211.05-38.25
58148211.05-63.05
59159.4211.05-51.65
60154.5211.05-56.55
61213.2211.052.14999999999998
62196.4299.518918918919-103.118918918919
63182.8211.05-28.25
64176.4211.05-34.65
65153.6299.518918918919-145.918918918919
66173.2211.05-37.85
67171211.05-40.05
68151.2211.05-59.85
69161.9211.05-49.15
70157.2211.05-53.85
71201.7211.05-9.35000000000002
72236.4211.0525.35
73356.1211.05145.05
74398.3211.05187.25
75403.7299.518918918919104.181081081081
 
Charts produced by software:
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292955415aogqnmnty5l5kgk/25a5f1292955502.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292955415aogqnmnty5l5kgk/25a5f1292955502.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292955415aogqnmnty5l5kgk/35a5f1292955502.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292955415aogqnmnty5l5kgk/35a5f1292955502.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292955415aogqnmnty5l5kgk/4yj401292955502.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292955415aogqnmnty5l5kgk/4yj401292955502.ps (open in new window)


 
Parameters (Session):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = none ; par3 = 2 ; par4 = no ;
 
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = none ; par3 = 2 ; par4 = no ;
 
R code (references can be found in the software module):
library(party)
library(Hmisc)
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
par3 <- as.numeric(par3)
x <- data.frame(t(y))
is.data.frame(x)
x <- x[!is.na(x[,par1]),]
k <- length(x[1,])
n <- length(x[,1])
colnames(x)[par1]
x[,par1]
if (par2 == 'kmeans') {
cl <- kmeans(x[,par1], par3)
print(cl)
clm <- matrix(cbind(cl$centers,1:par3),ncol=2)
clm <- clm[sort.list(clm[,1]),]
for (i in 1:par3) {
cl$cluster[cl$cluster==clm[i,2]] <- paste('C',i,sep='')
}
cl$cluster <- as.factor(cl$cluster)
print(cl$cluster)
x[,par1] <- cl$cluster
}
if (par2 == 'quantiles') {
x[,par1] <- cut2(x[,par1],g=par3)
}
if (par2 == 'hclust') {
hc <- hclust(dist(x[,par1])^2, 'cen')
print(hc)
memb <- cutree(hc, k = par3)
dum <- c(mean(x[memb==1,par1]))
for (i in 2:par3) {
dum <- c(dum, mean(x[memb==i,par1]))
}
hcm <- matrix(cbind(dum,1:par3),ncol=2)
hcm <- hcm[sort.list(hcm[,1]),]
for (i in 1:par3) {
memb[memb==hcm[i,2]] <- paste('C',i,sep='')
}
memb <- as.factor(memb)
print(memb)
x[,par1] <- memb
}
if (par2=='equal') {
ed <- cut(as.numeric(x[,par1]),par3,labels=paste('C',1:par3,sep=''))
x[,par1] <- as.factor(ed)
}
table(x[,par1])
colnames(x)
colnames(x)[par1]
x[,par1]
if (par2 == 'none') {
m <- ctree(as.formula(paste(colnames(x)[par1],' ~ .',sep='')),data = x)
}
load(file='createtable')
if (par2 != 'none') {
m <- ctree(as.formula(paste('as.factor(',colnames(x)[par1],') ~ .',sep='')),data = x)
if (par4=='yes') {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'10-Fold Cross Validation',3+2*par3,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Prediction (training)',par3+1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Prediction (testing)',par3+1,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Actual',1,TRUE)
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,paste('C',jjj,sep=''),1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'CV',1,TRUE)
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,paste('C',jjj,sep=''),1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'CV',1,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:10) {
ind <- sample(2, nrow(x), replace=T, prob=c(0.9,0.1))
m.ct <- ctree(as.formula(paste('as.factor(',colnames(x)[par1],') ~ .',sep='')),data =x[ind==1,])
if (i==1) {
m.ct.i.pred <- predict(m.ct, newdata=x[ind==1,])
m.ct.i.actu <- x[ind==1,par1]
m.ct.x.pred <- predict(m.ct, newdata=x[ind==2,])
m.ct.x.actu <- x[ind==2,par1]
} else {
m.ct.i.pred <- c(m.ct.i.pred,predict(m.ct, newdata=x[ind==1,]))
m.ct.i.actu <- c(m.ct.i.actu,x[ind==1,par1])
m.ct.x.pred <- c(m.ct.x.pred,predict(m.ct, newdata=x[ind==2,]))
m.ct.x.actu <- c(m.ct.x.actu,x[ind==2,par1])
}
}
print(m.ct.i.tab <- table(m.ct.i.actu,m.ct.i.pred))
numer <- 0
for (i in 1:par3) {
print(m.ct.i.tab[i,i] / sum(m.ct.i.tab[i,]))
numer <- numer + m.ct.i.tab[i,i]
}
print(m.ct.i.cp <- numer / sum(m.ct.i.tab))
print(m.ct.x.tab <- table(m.ct.x.actu,m.ct.x.pred))
numer <- 0
for (i in 1:par3) {
print(m.ct.x.tab[i,i] / sum(m.ct.x.tab[i,]))
numer <- numer + m.ct.x.tab[i,i]
}
print(m.ct.x.cp <- numer / sum(m.ct.x.tab))
for (i in 1:par3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,paste('C',i,sep=''),1,TRUE)
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,m.ct.i.tab[i,jjj])
a<-table.element(a,round(m.ct.i.tab[i,i]/sum(m.ct.i.tab[i,]),4))
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,m.ct.x.tab[i,jjj])
a<-table.element(a,round(m.ct.x.tab[i,i]/sum(m.ct.x.tab[i,]),4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Overall',1,TRUE)
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,'-')
a<-table.element(a,round(m.ct.i.cp,4))
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,'-')
a<-table.element(a,round(m.ct.x.cp,4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable3.tab')
}
}
m
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(m)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test1a.png')
plot(x[,par1] ~ as.factor(where(m)),main='Response by Terminal Node',xlab='Terminal Node',ylab='Response')
dev.off()
if (par2 == 'none') {
forec <- predict(m)
result <- as.data.frame(cbind(x[,par1],forec,x[,par1]-forec))
colnames(result) <- c('Actuals','Forecasts','Residuals')
print(result)
}
if (par2 != 'none') {
print(cbind(as.factor(x[,par1]),predict(m)))
myt <- table(as.factor(x[,par1]),predict(m))
print(myt)
}
bitmap(file='test2.png')
if(par2=='none') {
op <- par(mfrow=c(2,2))
plot(density(result$Actuals),main='Kernel Density Plot of Actuals')
plot(density(result$Residuals),main='Kernel Density Plot of Residuals')
plot(result$Forecasts,result$Actuals,main='Actuals versus Predictions',xlab='Predictions',ylab='Actuals')
plot(density(result$Forecasts),main='Kernel Density Plot of Predictions')
par(op)
}
if(par2!='none') {
plot(myt,main='Confusion Matrix',xlab='Actual',ylab='Predicted')
}
dev.off()
if (par2 == 'none') {
detcoef <- cor(result$Forecasts,result$Actuals)
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Goodness of Fit',2,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Correlation',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,round(detcoef,4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,round(detcoef*detcoef,4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'RMSE',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,round(sqrt(mean((result$Residuals)^2)),4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'#',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Actuals',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Forecasts',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Residuals',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:length(result$Actuals)) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,result$Actuals[i])
a<-table.element(a,result$Forecasts[i])
a<-table.element(a,result$Residuals[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')
}
if (par2 != 'none') {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Confusion Matrix (predicted in columns / actuals in rows)',par3+1,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'',1,TRUE)
for (i in 1:par3) {
a<-table.element(a,paste('C',i,sep=''),1,TRUE)
}
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:par3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,paste('C',i,sep=''),1,TRUE)
for (j in 1:par3) {
a<-table.element(a,myt[i,j])
}
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')
}
 





Copyright

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0 License.

Software written by Ed van Stee & Patrick Wessa


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