R version 2.9.0 (2009-04-17) Copyright (C) 2009 The R Foundation for Statistical Computing ISBN 3-900051-07-0 R is free software and comes with ABSOLUTELY NO WARRANTY. You are welcome to redistribute it under certain conditions. Type 'license()' or 'licence()' for distribution details. R is a collaborative project with many contributors. Type 'contributors()' for more information and 'citation()' on how to cite R or R packages in publications. Type 'demo()' for some demos, 'help()' for on-line help, or 'help.start()' for an HTML browser interface to help. Type 'q()' to quit R. > x <- array(list(580 + ,0 + ,590 + ,593 + ,597 + ,595 + ,574 + ,0 + ,580 + ,590 + ,593 + ,597 + ,573 + ,0 + ,574 + ,580 + ,590 + ,593 + ,573 + ,0 + ,573 + ,574 + ,580 + ,590 + ,620 + ,0 + ,573 + ,573 + ,574 + ,580 + ,626 + ,0 + ,620 + ,573 + ,573 + ,574 + ,620 + ,0 + ,626 + ,620 + ,573 + ,573 + ,588 + ,0 + ,620 + ,626 + ,620 + ,573 + ,566 + ,0 + ,588 + ,620 + ,626 + ,620 + ,557 + ,0 + ,566 + ,588 + ,620 + ,626 + ,561 + ,0 + ,557 + ,566 + ,588 + ,620 + ,549 + ,0 + ,561 + ,557 + ,566 + ,588 + ,532 + ,0 + ,549 + ,561 + ,557 + ,566 + ,526 + ,0 + ,532 + ,549 + ,561 + ,557 + ,511 + ,0 + ,526 + ,532 + ,549 + ,561 + ,499 + ,0 + ,511 + ,526 + ,532 + ,549 + ,555 + ,0 + ,499 + ,511 + ,526 + ,532 + ,565 + ,0 + ,555 + ,499 + ,511 + ,526 + ,542 + ,0 + ,565 + ,555 + ,499 + ,511 + ,527 + ,0 + ,542 + ,565 + ,555 + ,499 + ,510 + ,0 + ,527 + ,542 + ,565 + ,555 + ,514 + ,0 + ,510 + ,527 + ,542 + ,565 + ,517 + ,0 + ,514 + ,510 + ,527 + ,542 + ,508 + ,0 + ,517 + ,514 + ,510 + ,527 + ,493 + ,0 + ,508 + ,517 + ,514 + ,510 + ,490 + ,0 + ,493 + ,508 + ,517 + ,514 + ,469 + ,0 + ,490 + ,493 + ,508 + ,517 + ,478 + ,0 + ,469 + ,490 + ,493 + ,508 + ,528 + ,0 + ,478 + ,469 + ,490 + ,493 + ,534 + ,0 + ,528 + ,478 + ,469 + ,490 + ,518 + ,0 + ,534 + ,528 + ,478 + ,469 + ,506 + ,0 + ,518 + ,534 + ,528 + ,478 + ,502 + ,1 + ,506 + ,518 + ,534 + ,528 + ,516 + ,1 + ,502 + ,506 + ,518 + ,534 + ,528 + ,1 + ,516 + ,502 + ,506 + ,518 + ,533 + ,1 + ,528 + ,516 + ,502 + ,506 + ,536 + ,1 + ,533 + ,528 + ,516 + ,502 + ,537 + ,1 + ,536 + ,533 + ,528 + ,516 + ,524 + ,1 + ,537 + ,536 + ,533 + ,528 + ,536 + ,1 + ,524 + ,537 + ,536 + ,533 + ,587 + ,1 + ,536 + ,524 + ,537 + ,536 + ,597 + ,1 + ,587 + ,536 + ,524 + ,537 + ,581 + ,1 + ,597 + ,587 + ,536 + ,524 + ,564 + ,1 + ,581 + ,597 + ,587 + ,536 + ,558 + ,1 + ,564 + ,581 + ,597 + ,587 + ,575 + ,1 + ,558 + ,564 + ,581 + ,597 + ,580 + ,1 + ,575 + ,558 + ,564 + ,581 + ,575 + ,1 + ,580 + ,575 + ,558 + ,564 + ,563 + ,1 + ,575 + ,580 + ,575 + ,558 + ,552 + ,1 + ,563 + ,575 + ,580 + ,575 + ,537 + ,1 + ,552 + ,563 + ,575 + ,580 + ,545 + ,1 + ,537 + ,552 + ,563 + ,575 + ,601 + ,1 + ,545 + ,537 + ,552 + ,563 + ,604 + ,1 + ,601 + ,545 + ,537 + ,552 + ,586 + ,1 + ,604 + ,601 + ,545 + ,537 + ,564 + ,1 + ,586 + ,604 + ,601 + ,545 + ,549 + ,1 + ,564 + ,586 + ,604 + ,601) + ,dim=c(6 + ,57) + ,dimnames=list(c('werkloosheid' + ,'X' + ,'Y1' + ,'Y2' + ,'Y3' + ,'Y4') + ,1:57)) > y <- array(NA,dim=c(6,57),dimnames=list(c('werkloosheid','X','Y1','Y2','Y3','Y4'),1:57)) > for (i in 1:dim(x)[1]) + { + for (j in 1:dim(x)[2]) + { + y[i,j] <- as.numeric(x[i,j]) + } + } > par20 = '' > par19 = '' > par18 = '' > par17 = '' > par16 = '' > par15 = '' > par14 = '' > par13 = '' > par12 = '' > par11 = '' > par10 = '' > par9 = '' > par8 = '' > par7 = '' > par6 = '' > par5 = '' > par4 = '' > par3 = 'Linear Trend' > par2 = 'Include Monthly Dummies' > par1 = '1' > ylab = '' > xlab = '' > main = '' > #'GNU S' R Code compiled by R2WASP v. 1.0.44 () > #Author: Prof. Dr. P. Wessa > #To cite this work: AUTHOR(S), (YEAR), YOUR SOFTWARE TITLE (vNUMBER) in Free Statistics Software (v$_version), Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.wessa.net/rwasp_YOURPAGE.wasp/ > #Source of accompanying publication: Office for Research, Development, and Education > #Technical description: Write here your technical program description (don't use hard returns!) > library(lattice) > library(lmtest) Loading required package: zoo Attaching package: 'zoo' The following object(s) are masked from package:base : as.Date.numeric > n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test > par1 <- as.numeric(par1) > x <- t(y) > k <- length(x[1,]) > n <- length(x[,1]) > x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1]) > mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1]) > colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1] > x <- x1 > if (par3 == 'First Differences'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep=''))) + for (i in 1:n-1) { + for (j in 1:k) { + x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j] + } + } + x <- x2 + } > if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep =''))) + for (i in 1:11){ + x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1 + } + x <- cbind(x, x2) + } > if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep =''))) + for (i in 1:3){ + x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1 + } + x <- cbind(x, x2) + } > k <- length(x[1,]) > if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){ + x <- cbind(x, c(1:n)) + colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't' + } > x werkloosheid X Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7 M8 M9 M10 M11 t 1 580 0 590 593 597 595 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 574 0 580 590 593 597 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 573 0 574 580 590 593 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 573 0 573 574 580 590 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 5 620 0 573 573 574 580 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 6 626 0 620 573 573 574 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 6 7 620 0 626 620 573 573 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 7 8 588 0 620 626 620 573 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 8 9 566 0 588 620 626 620 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 9 10 557 0 566 588 620 626 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 10 11 561 0 557 566 588 620 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 11 12 549 0 561 557 566 588 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 13 532 0 549 561 557 566 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 14 526 0 532 549 561 557 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 15 511 0 526 532 549 561 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 16 499 0 511 526 532 549 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16 17 555 0 499 511 526 532 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 18 565 0 555 499 511 526 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 18 19 542 0 565 555 499 511 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 19 20 527 0 542 565 555 499 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 20 21 510 0 527 542 565 555 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 21 22 514 0 510 527 542 565 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 22 23 517 0 514 510 527 542 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 23 24 508 0 517 514 510 527 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 24 25 493 0 508 517 514 510 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25 26 490 0 493 508 517 514 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 26 27 469 0 490 493 508 517 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 27 28 478 0 469 490 493 508 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 28 29 528 0 478 469 490 493 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 29 30 534 0 528 478 469 490 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 30 31 518 0 534 528 478 469 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 31 32 506 0 518 534 528 478 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 32 33 502 1 506 518 534 528 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 33 34 516 1 502 506 518 534 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 34 35 528 1 516 502 506 518 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 35 36 533 1 528 516 502 506 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 36 37 536 1 533 528 516 502 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 37 38 537 1 536 533 528 516 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 38 39 524 1 537 536 533 528 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 39 40 536 1 524 537 536 533 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 40 41 587 1 536 524 537 536 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 41 42 597 1 587 536 524 537 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 42 43 581 1 597 587 536 524 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 43 44 564 1 581 597 587 536 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 44 45 558 1 564 581 597 587 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 45 46 575 1 558 564 581 597 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 46 47 580 1 575 558 564 581 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 47 48 575 1 580 575 558 564 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 48 49 563 1 575 580 575 558 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 49 50 552 1 563 575 580 575 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 51 537 1 552 563 575 580 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 51 52 545 1 537 552 563 575 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 52 53 601 1 545 537 552 563 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 53 54 604 1 601 545 537 552 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 54 55 586 1 604 601 545 537 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 55 56 564 1 586 604 601 545 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 56 57 549 1 564 586 604 601 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 57 > k <- length(x[1,]) > df <- as.data.frame(x) > (mylm <- lm(df)) Call: lm(formula = df) Coefficients: (Intercept) X Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 54.68887 15.46720 0.86718 0.01824 0.09016 -0.07925 M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 -6.32635 -1.98379 -9.38552 6.24483 55.50250 18.44939 M7 M8 M9 M10 M11 t -5.37931 -15.49761 -10.28966 9.22863 10.64635 -0.32660 > (mysum <- summary(mylm)) Call: lm(formula = df) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -13.886 -2.560 -0.281 2.383 14.139 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|) (Intercept) 54.68887 19.80139 2.762 0.00872 ** X 15.46720 5.11726 3.023 0.00441 ** Y1 0.86718 0.16356 5.302 4.81e-06 *** Y2 0.01824 0.21021 0.087 0.93132 Y3 0.09016 0.20935 0.431 0.66909 Y4 -0.07925 0.14488 -0.547 0.58750 M1 -6.32635 5.17270 -1.223 0.22866 M2 -1.98379 5.65065 -0.351 0.72742 M3 -9.38552 5.22151 -1.797 0.08001 . M4 6.24483 5.40775 1.155 0.25520 M5 55.50250 5.17684 10.721 3.43e-13 *** M6 18.44939 8.62436 2.139 0.03873 * M7 -5.37931 8.72921 -0.616 0.54132 M8 -15.49761 10.86999 -1.426 0.16190 M9 -10.28966 7.22770 -1.424 0.16250 M10 9.22863 6.58594 1.401 0.16904 M11 10.64635 5.25900 2.024 0.04982 * t -0.32660 0.13114 -2.490 0.01712 * --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 6.123 on 39 degrees of freedom Multiple R-squared: 0.9801, Adjusted R-squared: 0.9714 F-statistic: 113 on 17 and 39 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16 > if (n > n25) { + kp3 <- k + 3 + nmkm3 <- n - k - 3 + gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3)) + numgqtests <- 0 + numsignificant1 <- 0 + numsignificant5 <- 0 + numsignificant10 <- 0 + for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { + j <- 0 + numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1 + for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) { + j <- j + 1 + gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value + } + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1 + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1 + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1 + } + gqarr + } [,1] [,2] [,3] [1,] 0.9584374 0.083125191 0.041562596 [2,] 0.9951336 0.009732797 0.004866398 [3,] 0.9894391 0.021121822 0.010560911 [4,] 0.9793880 0.041224002 0.020612001 [5,] 0.9776003 0.044799310 0.022399655 [6,] 0.9761109 0.047778245 0.023889122 [7,] 0.9763636 0.047272703 0.023636351 [8,] 0.9840582 0.031883572 0.015941786 [9,] 0.9716751 0.056649827 0.028324913 [10,] 0.9543197 0.091360628 0.045680314 [11,] 0.9231514 0.153697109 0.076848555 [12,] 0.9018115 0.196376939 0.098188469 [13,] 0.8387500 0.322499932 0.161249966 [14,] 0.9207956 0.158408800 0.079204400 [15,] 0.8432594 0.313481109 0.156740555 [16,] 0.7061217 0.587756691 0.293878345 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/1jrot1293188268.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index') > points(x[,1]-mysum$resid) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/2cinw1293188268.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/3cinw1293188268.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/4cinw1293188268.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals') > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/5cinw1293188268.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot') > qqline(mysum$resid) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > (myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid)) Time Series: Start = 1 End = 57 Frequency = 1 1 2 3 4 5 2.842349350 2.072049913 14.139303278 0.475961764 -1.688430960 6 7 8 9 10 0.548343306 12.564236120 -8.134583329 -3.972871100 -11.486567506 11 12 13 14 15 2.037669505 -2.846532190 -3.792409519 0.078679366 -0.281004510 16 17 18 19 20 -13.885931602 3.056413967 2.969569145 -5.674994520 3.532938830 21 22 23 24 25 -1.384841612 1.305226466 -0.415015714 -0.772631393 -3.077620433 26 27 28 29 30 3.124802991 -6.222622361 6.378277128 -0.892780194 0.619228419 31 32 33 34 35 0.184000663 8.599786732 -1.629261420 -1.215378768 -2.560230743 36 37 38 39 40 2.160857697 5.679864652 -0.001215589 -5.694561901 2.382596805 41 42 43 44 45 -5.570022900 -1.384163240 -4.942831324 -1.452393830 5.840295945 46 47 48 49 50 11.396719807 0.937576952 1.458305886 -1.652184049 -5.274316682 51 52 53 54 55 -1.941114506 4.649095905 5.094820087 -2.752977630 -2.130410939 56 57 -2.545748403 1.146678188 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/65amz1293188268.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror) > dum Time Series: Start = 0 End = 57 Frequency = 1 lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror 0 2.842349350 NA 1 2.072049913 2.842349350 2 14.139303278 2.072049913 3 0.475961764 14.139303278 4 -1.688430960 0.475961764 5 0.548343306 -1.688430960 6 12.564236120 0.548343306 7 -8.134583329 12.564236120 8 -3.972871100 -8.134583329 9 -11.486567506 -3.972871100 10 2.037669505 -11.486567506 11 -2.846532190 2.037669505 12 -3.792409519 -2.846532190 13 0.078679366 -3.792409519 14 -0.281004510 0.078679366 15 -13.885931602 -0.281004510 16 3.056413967 -13.885931602 17 2.969569145 3.056413967 18 -5.674994520 2.969569145 19 3.532938830 -5.674994520 20 -1.384841612 3.532938830 21 1.305226466 -1.384841612 22 -0.415015714 1.305226466 23 -0.772631393 -0.415015714 24 -3.077620433 -0.772631393 25 3.124802991 -3.077620433 26 -6.222622361 3.124802991 27 6.378277128 -6.222622361 28 -0.892780194 6.378277128 29 0.619228419 -0.892780194 30 0.184000663 0.619228419 31 8.599786732 0.184000663 32 -1.629261420 8.599786732 33 -1.215378768 -1.629261420 34 -2.560230743 -1.215378768 35 2.160857697 -2.560230743 36 5.679864652 2.160857697 37 -0.001215589 5.679864652 38 -5.694561901 -0.001215589 39 2.382596805 -5.694561901 40 -5.570022900 2.382596805 41 -1.384163240 -5.570022900 42 -4.942831324 -1.384163240 43 -1.452393830 -4.942831324 44 5.840295945 -1.452393830 45 11.396719807 5.840295945 46 0.937576952 11.396719807 47 1.458305886 0.937576952 48 -1.652184049 1.458305886 49 -5.274316682 -1.652184049 50 -1.941114506 -5.274316682 51 4.649095905 -1.941114506 52 5.094820087 4.649095905 53 -2.752977630 5.094820087 54 -2.130410939 -2.752977630 55 -2.545748403 -2.130410939 56 1.146678188 -2.545748403 57 NA 1.146678188 > dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),] > dum1 lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror [1,] 2.072049913 2.842349350 [2,] 14.139303278 2.072049913 [3,] 0.475961764 14.139303278 [4,] -1.688430960 0.475961764 [5,] 0.548343306 -1.688430960 [6,] 12.564236120 0.548343306 [7,] -8.134583329 12.564236120 [8,] -3.972871100 -8.134583329 [9,] -11.486567506 -3.972871100 [10,] 2.037669505 -11.486567506 [11,] -2.846532190 2.037669505 [12,] -3.792409519 -2.846532190 [13,] 0.078679366 -3.792409519 [14,] -0.281004510 0.078679366 [15,] -13.885931602 -0.281004510 [16,] 3.056413967 -13.885931602 [17,] 2.969569145 3.056413967 [18,] -5.674994520 2.969569145 [19,] 3.532938830 -5.674994520 [20,] -1.384841612 3.532938830 [21,] 1.305226466 -1.384841612 [22,] -0.415015714 1.305226466 [23,] -0.772631393 -0.415015714 [24,] -3.077620433 -0.772631393 [25,] 3.124802991 -3.077620433 [26,] -6.222622361 3.124802991 [27,] 6.378277128 -6.222622361 [28,] -0.892780194 6.378277128 [29,] 0.619228419 -0.892780194 [30,] 0.184000663 0.619228419 [31,] 8.599786732 0.184000663 [32,] -1.629261420 8.599786732 [33,] -1.215378768 -1.629261420 [34,] -2.560230743 -1.215378768 [35,] 2.160857697 -2.560230743 [36,] 5.679864652 2.160857697 [37,] -0.001215589 5.679864652 [38,] -5.694561901 -0.001215589 [39,] 2.382596805 -5.694561901 [40,] -5.570022900 2.382596805 [41,] -1.384163240 -5.570022900 [42,] -4.942831324 -1.384163240 [43,] -1.452393830 -4.942831324 [44,] 5.840295945 -1.452393830 [45,] 11.396719807 5.840295945 [46,] 0.937576952 11.396719807 [47,] 1.458305886 0.937576952 [48,] -1.652184049 1.458305886 [49,] -5.274316682 -1.652184049 [50,] -1.941114506 -5.274316682 [51,] 4.649095905 -1.941114506 [52,] 5.094820087 4.649095905 [53,] -2.752977630 5.094820087 [54,] -2.130410939 -2.752977630 [55,] -2.545748403 -2.130410939 [56,] 1.146678188 -2.545748403 > z <- as.data.frame(dum1) > z lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror 1 2.072049913 2.842349350 2 14.139303278 2.072049913 3 0.475961764 14.139303278 4 -1.688430960 0.475961764 5 0.548343306 -1.688430960 6 12.564236120 0.548343306 7 -8.134583329 12.564236120 8 -3.972871100 -8.134583329 9 -11.486567506 -3.972871100 10 2.037669505 -11.486567506 11 -2.846532190 2.037669505 12 -3.792409519 -2.846532190 13 0.078679366 -3.792409519 14 -0.281004510 0.078679366 15 -13.885931602 -0.281004510 16 3.056413967 -13.885931602 17 2.969569145 3.056413967 18 -5.674994520 2.969569145 19 3.532938830 -5.674994520 20 -1.384841612 3.532938830 21 1.305226466 -1.384841612 22 -0.415015714 1.305226466 23 -0.772631393 -0.415015714 24 -3.077620433 -0.772631393 25 3.124802991 -3.077620433 26 -6.222622361 3.124802991 27 6.378277128 -6.222622361 28 -0.892780194 6.378277128 29 0.619228419 -0.892780194 30 0.184000663 0.619228419 31 8.599786732 0.184000663 32 -1.629261420 8.599786732 33 -1.215378768 -1.629261420 34 -2.560230743 -1.215378768 35 2.160857697 -2.560230743 36 5.679864652 2.160857697 37 -0.001215589 5.679864652 38 -5.694561901 -0.001215589 39 2.382596805 -5.694561901 40 -5.570022900 2.382596805 41 -1.384163240 -5.570022900 42 -4.942831324 -1.384163240 43 -1.452393830 -4.942831324 44 5.840295945 -1.452393830 45 11.396719807 5.840295945 46 0.937576952 11.396719807 47 1.458305886 0.937576952 48 -1.652184049 1.458305886 49 -5.274316682 -1.652184049 50 -1.941114506 -5.274316682 51 4.649095905 -1.941114506 52 5.094820087 4.649095905 53 -2.752977630 5.094820087 54 -2.130410939 -2.752977630 55 -2.545748403 -2.130410939 56 1.146678188 -2.545748403 > plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals') > lines(lowess(z)) > abline(lm(z)) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/7g1m21293188268.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/8g1m21293188268.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/9g1m21293188268.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0)) > plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics') > par(opar) > dev.off() null device 1 > if (n > n25) { + postscript(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/10qal51293188268.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) + plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint') + grid() + dev.off() + } null device 1 > > #Note: the /var/www/html/rcomp/createtable file can be downloaded at http://www.wessa.net/cretab > load(file="/var/www/html/rcomp/createtable") > > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > myeq <- colnames(x)[1] > myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='') > for (i in 1:k){ + if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '') + myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ') + if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') { + myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='') + if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='') + } + } > myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]') > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, myeq) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/11cbjb1293188268.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > for (i in 1:k){ + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1]) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6)) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/12xt0z1293188268.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared)) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3])) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror)) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/13b3g71293188268.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation
Forecast', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals
Prediction Error', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > for (i in 1:n) { + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,x[i]) + a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i]) + a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i]) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/144cfs1293188268.tab") > if (n > n25) { + a<-table.start() + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1]) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2]) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3]) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } + a<-table.end(a) + table.save(a,file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/15inyt1293188269.tab") + a<-table.start() + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.end(a) + table.save(a,file="/var/www/html/rcomp/tmp/16eeek1293188269.tab") + } > > try(system("convert tmp/1jrot1293188268.ps tmp/1jrot1293188268.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/2cinw1293188268.ps tmp/2cinw1293188268.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/3cinw1293188268.ps tmp/3cinw1293188268.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/4cinw1293188268.ps tmp/4cinw1293188268.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/5cinw1293188268.ps tmp/5cinw1293188268.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/65amz1293188268.ps tmp/65amz1293188268.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/7g1m21293188268.ps tmp/7g1m21293188268.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/8g1m21293188268.ps tmp/8g1m21293188268.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/9g1m21293188268.ps tmp/9g1m21293188268.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/10qal51293188268.ps tmp/10qal51293188268.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > > > proc.time() user system elapsed 2.450 1.668 8.521