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W3_Mini_1

*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Module: /rwasp_multipleregression.wasp (opens new window with default values)
Title produced by software: Multiple Regression
Date of computation: Wed, 24 Nov 2010 18:22:43 +0000
 
Cite this page as follows:
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Nov/24/t1290622874v4x8es3flznovts.htm/, Retrieved Wed, 24 Nov 2010 19:21:16 +0100
 
BibTeX entries for LaTeX users:
@Manual{KEY,
    author = {{YOUR NAME}},
    publisher = {Office for Research Development and Education},
    title = {Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Nov/24/t1290622874v4x8es3flznovts.htm/},
    year = {2010},
}
@Manual{R,
    title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
    author = {{R Development Core Team}},
    organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
    address = {Vienna, Austria},
    year = {2010},
    note = {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0},
    url = {http://www.R-project.org},
}
 
Original text written by user:
 
IsPrivate?
No (this computation is public)
 
User-defined keywords:
 
Dataseries X:
» Textbox « » Textfile « » CSV «
563668 276444 586111 289742 604378 303725 600991 298305 544686 266795 537034 259497 551531 266148 563250 271037 574761 276239 580112 279681 575093 277509 557560 271115 564478 275902 580523 287224 596594 300713 586570 293860 536214 264221 523597 256167 536535 262572 536322 263276 532638 264291 528222 263903 516141 260376 501866 255603 506174 261076 517945 270976 533590 285257 528379 280445 477580 250741 469357 243803 490243 253158 492622 255542 507561 262522 516922 268381 514258 267153 509846 266424 527070 276427 541657 286994 564591 303598 555362 296806 498662 263290 511038 264981 525919 272566 531673 276475 548854 284678 560576 291542 557274 291413 565742 295916 587625 309119 619916 327616
 
Output produced by software:

Enter (or paste) a matrix (table) containing all data (time) series. Every column represents a different variable and must be delimited by a space or Tab. Every row represents a period in time (or category) and must be delimited by hard returns. The easiest way to enter data is to copy and paste a block of spreadsheet cells. Please, do not use commas or spaces to seperate groups of digits!


Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time7 seconds
R Server'RServer@AstonUniversity' @ vre.aston.ac.uk
R Framework
error message
The field 'Names of X columns' contains a hard return which cannot be interpreted.
Please, resubmit your request without hard returns in the 'Names of X columns'.


Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
Totaal[t] = + 58274.0716935709 + 1.85595409215134`vrouwen `[t] -1074.75162536165t + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)58274.071693570922760.0814642.56040.013730.006865
`vrouwen `1.855954092151340.08351822.222100
t-1074.7516253616598.715181-10.887400


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.959318170134875
R-squared0.920291351550926
Adjusted R-squared0.916899494170114
F-TEST (value)271.323716839386
F-TEST (DF numerator)2
F-TEST (DF denominator)47
p-value0
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation9907.2855273743
Sum Squared Residuals4613252406.48324


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
1563668570266.693118893-6598.69311889312
2586111593872.41901096-7761.41901095998
3604378618749.47345615-14371.4734561504
4600991607615.450651329-6624.45065132856
5544686548059.585582278-3373.5855822783
6537034533440.0809923963593.9190076038
7551531544709.2800339336821.71996606691
8563250552708.28796509910541.7120349007
9574761561288.20952710913472.7904728911
10580112566601.65188693213510.3481130678
11575093561495.76797341813597.2320265822
12557560548554.045882849005.95411715947
13564478556363.7464966078114.25350339268
14580523576302.1071025834220.8928974169
15596594600262.320226251-3668.32022625083
16586570586468.715207376101.284792623924
17536214530385.3402447415828.65975525903
18523597514362.7343611929234.26563880754
19536535525175.3686960611359.6313039399
20536322525407.20875157310914.791248427
21532638526216.2505297456421.74947025503
22528222524421.3887166293800.6112833714
23516141516800.687008249-659.687008249191
24501866506867.466501049-5001.46650104921
25506174515950.351622032-9776.35162203183
26517945533249.545508968-15304.5455089684
27533590558679.67427362-25089.67427362
28528379548674.071556826-20295.0715568261
29477580492470.059578201-14890.0595782012
30469357478518.698461494-9161.69846149355
31490243494806.397368208-4563.39736820765
32492622498156.240298535-5534.24029853479
33507561510036.04823639-2475.04823638946
34516922519835.331636943-2913.33163694249
35514258516481.468386419-2223.468386419
36509846514053.726227879-4207.72622787903
37527070531544.083386307-4474.08338630719
38541657550081.198652709-8424.19865270872
39564591579822.708773428-15231.7087734279
40555362566142.316954174-10780.3169541743
41498662502863.407976268-4201.4079762685
42511038504927.0747207356110.92527926525
43525919517929.7348843417989.26511565901
44531673524109.9078051997563.09219480108
45548854538259.54759775510594.4524022453
46560576549924.0648609210651.9351390802
47557274548609.8951576718664.10484232937
48565742555892.5048092669849.49519073355
49587625579321.9150625798303.08493742112
50619916612576.746279747339.25372025949


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
60.03557079523168730.07114159046337450.964429204768313
70.0203877706267670.04077554125353410.979612229373233
80.01497125612132090.02994251224264170.98502874387868
90.009205454426920680.01841090885384140.99079454557308
100.003386526623241170.006773053246482340.99661347337676
110.001432240596605580.002864481193211170.998567759403394
120.004830295151300930.009660590302601850.9951697048487
130.007734814742434340.01546962948486870.992265185257566
140.01011425024364360.02022850048728710.989885749756356
150.014020524283910.02804104856781990.98597947571609
160.01088976313042160.02177952626084330.989110236869578
170.02226696236022850.04453392472045710.977733037639771
180.03051771197013110.06103542394026210.969482288029869
190.03948579064955330.07897158129910650.960514209350447
200.07558227488845530.1511645497769110.924417725111545
210.188106819201870.376213638403740.81189318079813
220.5041242869282360.9917514261435280.495875713071764
230.8785169716276680.2429660567446630.121483028372332
240.9864075836847180.0271848326305640.013592416315282
250.9983914186332310.003217162733537390.0016085813667687
260.9995971225023210.000805754995357420.00040287749767871
270.999756363516690.0004872729666216890.000243636483310844
280.9996403981260310.0007192037479373940.000359601873968697
290.9996768883873960.0006462232252089740.000323111612604487
300.9994417340750110.001116531849977360.00055826592498868
310.998965152141260.002069695717478820.00103484785873941
320.9978172129895630.004365574020873030.00218278701043652
330.9978546542926030.004290691414793260.00214534570739663
340.9985299143376920.002940171324615530.00147008566230776
350.999167825141930.001664349716137970.000832174858068985
360.9987652207208590.002469558558282820.00123477927914141
370.9990570704022450.001885859195510190.000942929597755093
380.99857506239980.002849875200401260.00142493760020063
390.9958763307728920.008247338454215230.00412366922710761
400.9889809636203410.02203807275931730.0110190363796587
410.999785480006320.0004290399873617760.000214519993680888
420.9995948249342250.0008103501315492870.000405175065774644
430.9982999470571440.003400105885711810.00170005294285591
440.9990973945398740.001805210920252430.000902605460126216


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level220.564102564102564NOK
5% type I error level320.82051282051282NOK
10% type I error level350.897435897435897NOK
 
Charts produced by software:
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Nov/24/t1290622874v4x8es3flznovts/10iuoo1290622953.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Nov/24/t1290622874v4x8es3flznovts/10iuoo1290622953.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Nov/24/t1290622874v4x8es3flznovts/1bb9c1290622953.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Nov/24/t1290622874v4x8es3flznovts/1bb9c1290622953.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Nov/24/t1290622874v4x8es3flznovts/2bb9c1290622953.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Nov/24/t1290622874v4x8es3flznovts/2bb9c1290622953.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Nov/24/t1290622874v4x8es3flznovts/3bb9c1290622953.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Nov/24/t1290622874v4x8es3flznovts/3bb9c1290622953.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Nov/24/t1290622874v4x8es3flznovts/4m28x1290622953.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Nov/24/t1290622874v4x8es3flznovts/4m28x1290622953.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Nov/24/t1290622874v4x8es3flznovts/5m28x1290622953.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Nov/24/t1290622874v4x8es3flznovts/5m28x1290622953.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Nov/24/t1290622874v4x8es3flznovts/6m28x1290622953.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Nov/24/t1290622874v4x8es3flznovts/6m28x1290622953.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Nov/24/t1290622874v4x8es3flznovts/7xbp01290622953.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Nov/24/t1290622874v4x8es3flznovts/7xbp01290622953.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Nov/24/t1290622874v4x8es3flznovts/8qlp31290622953.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Nov/24/t1290622874v4x8es3flznovts/8qlp31290622953.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Nov/24/t1290622874v4x8es3flznovts/9qlp31290622953.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Nov/24/t1290622874v4x8es3flznovts/9qlp31290622953.ps (open in new window)


 
Parameters (Session):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Do not include Seasonal Dummies ; par3 = Linear Trend ;
 
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Do not include Seasonal Dummies ; par3 = Linear Trend ;
 
R code (references can be found in the software module):
library(lattice)
library(lmtest)
n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
x <- t(y)
k <- length(x[1,])
n <- length(x[,1])
x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1])
mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1])
colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1]
x <- x1
if (par3 == 'First Differences'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep='')))
for (i in 1:n-1) {
for (j in 1:k) {
x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j]
}
}
x <- x2
}
if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:11){
x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:3){
x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
k <- length(x[1,])
if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){
x <- cbind(x, c(1:n))
colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't'
}
x
k <- length(x[1,])
df <- as.data.frame(x)
(mylm <- lm(df))
(mysum <- summary(mylm))
if (n > n25) {
kp3 <- k + 3
nmkm3 <- n - k - 3
gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3))
numgqtests <- 0
numsignificant1 <- 0
numsignificant5 <- 0
numsignificant10 <- 0
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
j <- 0
numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1
for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) {
j <- j + 1
gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value
}
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1
}
gqarr
}
bitmap(file='test0.png')
plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index')
points(x[,1]-mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals')
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test4.png')
qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot')
qqline(mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
(myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid))
bitmap(file='test5.png')
dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror)
dum
dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),]
dum1
z <- as.data.frame(dum1)
z
plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals')
lines(lowess(z))
abline(lm(z))
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test6.png')
acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test7.png')
pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test8.png')
opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0))
plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics')
par(opar)
dev.off()
if (n > n25) {
bitmap(file='test9.png')
plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint')
grid()
dev.off()
}
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
myeq <- colnames(x)[1]
myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='')
for (i in 1:k){
if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '')
myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') {
myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='')
}
}
myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]')
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, myeq)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT<br />H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:k){
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1])
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6))
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3]))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable3.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation<br />Forecast', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals<br />Prediction Error', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:n) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i])
a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable4.tab')
if (n > n25) {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable5.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable6.tab')
}
 





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Software written by Ed van Stee & Patrick Wessa


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