R version 2.12.0 (2010-10-15) Copyright (C) 2010 The R Foundation for Statistical Computing ISBN 3-900051-07-0 Platform: i486-pc-linux-gnu (32-bit) R is free software and comes with ABSOLUTELY NO WARRANTY. You are welcome to redistribute it under certain conditions. Type 'license()' or 'licence()' for distribution details. R is a collaborative project with many contributors. Type 'contributors()' for more information and 'citation()' on how to cite R or R packages in publications. Type 'demo()' for some demos, 'help()' for on-line help, or 'help.start()' for an HTML browser interface to help. 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+ ,49363 + ,54 + ,54 + ,18 + ,1212 + ,99373 + ,63 + ,397 + ,92 + ,1 + ,12 + ,18 + ,72 + ,62 + ,28394 + ,6700 + ,24552 + ,25 + ,24 + ,19 + ,1143 + ,86230 + ,44 + ,467 + ,42 + ,0 + ,21 + ,17 + ,61 + ,54 + ,18632 + ,5788 + ,31493 + ,25 + ,24 + ,25 + ,435 + ,30837 + ,19 + ,178 + ,10 + ,0 + ,8 + ,4 + ,15 + ,4 + ,2325 + ,593 + ,3439 + ,8 + ,8 + ,23 + ,532 + ,31706 + ,13 + ,175 + ,24 + ,0 + ,26 + ,10 + ,32 + ,25 + ,25139 + ,4506 + ,19555 + ,26 + ,26 + ,24 + ,882 + ,89806 + ,42 + ,299 + ,64 + ,0 + ,27 + ,16 + ,62 + ,40 + ,27975 + ,6382 + ,21228 + ,20 + ,19 + ,21 + ,830 + ,64175 + ,42 + ,260 + ,48 + ,0 + ,37 + ,18 + ,72 + ,59 + ,21792 + ,6928 + ,28893 + ,46 + ,47 + ,21 + ,652 + ,59382 + ,49 + ,227 + ,49 + ,0 + ,29 + ,12 + ,41 + ,24 + ,26263 + ,1514 + ,21425 + ,47 + ,47 + ,22 + ,707 + ,119308 + ,30 + ,239 + ,48 + ,0 + ,32 + ,16 + ,61 + ,58 + ,23686 + ,9238 + ,50276 + ,37 + ,37 + ,21 + ,954 + ,76702 + ,49 + ,333 + ,62 + ,0 + ,35 + ,21 + ,67 + ,42 + ,49303 + ,8204 + ,37643 + ,51 + ,51 + ,18 + ,285 + ,19764 + ,12 + ,75 + ,19 + ,1 + ,10 + ,2 + ,8 + ,4 + ,5752 + ,2416 + ,9927 + ,10 + ,10 + ,13 + ,733 + ,84105 + ,20 + ,261 + ,45 + ,0 + ,17 + ,17 + ,66 + ,63 + ,20055 + ,5432 + ,27184 + ,34 + ,34 + ,22 + ,642 + ,64187 + ,27 + ,238 + ,36 + ,0 + ,10 + ,16 + ,61 + ,54 + ,20154 + ,5576 + ,18475 + ,12 + ,11 + ,23 + ,894 + ,72535 + ,14 + ,329 + ,44 + ,0 + ,17 + ,16 + ,64 + ,39 + ,19540 + ,6095 + ,35873 + ,27 + ,21 + ,15) + ,dim=c(16 + ,173) + ,dimnames=list(c('pageviews' + ,'time_in_rfc' + ,'logins' + ,'compendium_views_info' + ,'compendium_views_pr' + ,'shared_compendiums' + ,'blogged_computations' + ,'compendiums_reviewed' + ,'feedback_messages_p1' + ,'feedback_messages_p120' + ,'totsize' + ,'totrevisions' + ,'totseconds' + ,'tothyperlinks' + ,'totblogs' + ,'I1') + ,1:173)) > y <- array(NA,dim=c(16,173),dimnames=list(c('pageviews','time_in_rfc','logins','compendium_views_info','compendium_views_pr','shared_compendiums','blogged_computations','compendiums_reviewed','feedback_messages_p1','feedback_messages_p120','totsize','totrevisions','totseconds','tothyperlinks','totblogs','I1'),1:173)) > for (i in 1:dim(x)[1]) + { + for (j in 1:dim(x)[2]) + { + y[i,j] <- as.numeric(x[i,j]) + } + } > par3 = 'No Linear Trend' > par2 = 'Do not include Seasonal Dummies' > par1 = '10' > #'GNU S' R Code compiled by R2WASP v. 1.0.44 () > #Author: Prof. Dr. P. Wessa > #To cite this work: AUTHOR(S), (YEAR), YOUR SOFTWARE TITLE (vNUMBER) in Free Statistics Software (v$_version), Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.wessa.net/rwasp_YOURPAGE.wasp/ > #Source of accompanying publication: Office for Research, Development, and Education > #Technical description: Write here your technical program description (don't use hard returns!) > library(lattice) > library(lmtest) Loading required package: zoo > n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test > par1 <- as.numeric(par1) > x <- t(y) > k <- length(x[1,]) > n <- length(x[,1]) > x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1]) > mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1]) > colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1] > x <- x1 > if (par3 == 'First Differences'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep=''))) + for (i in 1:n-1) { + for (j in 1:k) { + x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j] + } + } + x <- x2 + } > if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep =''))) + for (i in 1:11){ + x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1 + } + x <- cbind(x, x2) + } > if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep =''))) + for (i in 1:3){ + x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1 + } + x <- cbind(x, x2) + } > k <- length(x[1,]) > if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){ + x <- cbind(x, c(1:n)) + colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't' + } > x feedback_messages_p120 pageviews time_in_rfc logins compendium_views_info 1 94 1418 210907 56 396 2 103 869 120982 56 297 3 93 1530 176508 54 559 4 91 3201 385534 92 1562 5 93 1583 149061 44 656 6 60 1439 165446 33 511 7 123 1764 237213 84 655 8 90 1373 133131 55 525 9 168 4041 324799 154 1436 10 115 1706 230964 53 612 11 71 2152 236785 119 865 12 66 1036 135473 41 385 13 117 1929 215147 58 639 14 108 2242 344297 75 963 15 84 1220 153935 33 398 16 120 2515 174724 92 966 17 114 2147 174415 100 801 18 94 2352 225548 112 892 19 120 1638 223632 73 513 20 81 1222 124817 40 469 21 133 1677 210767 60 643 22 122 1579 170266 62 535 23 124 2452 294424 77 992 24 126 2662 325107 99 937 25 0 186 7176 17 70 26 37 865 106408 30 260 27 38 1793 96560 76 503 28 120 2527 265769 146 927 29 95 1324 149112 56 537 30 77 2702 175824 107 910 31 90 1383 152871 58 532 32 80 1179 111665 34 345 33 110 4308 362301 119 1635 34 138 1831 183167 66 557 35 100 1438 168809 66 452 36 7 496 24188 24 218 37 140 2253 329267 259 764 38 96 2352 218946 41 866 39 164 2144 244052 68 574 40 78 4691 341570 168 1276 41 49 1112 103597 43 379 42 124 1973 256462 105 798 43 62 2474 235800 94 921 44 99 1226 196553 57 503 45 70 1389 174184 53 382 46 104 1496 143246 103 464 47 116 2269 187559 121 717 48 91 1833 187681 62 690 49 67 893 73566 32 385 50 72 1403 167488 45 619 51 120 1425 143756 46 479 52 105 1840 243199 75 752 53 104 1502 182999 88 430 54 98 1420 152299 53 537 55 111 2970 346485 90 1000 56 71 1644 193339 78 465 57 69 1654 122774 45 711 58 107 1054 130585 46 299 59 73 937 112611 41 248 60 107 3004 286468 144 1162 61 129 2547 148446 91 905 62 118 1626 182079 63 512 63 73 1468 140344 53 472 64 119 2445 220516 62 905 65 104 1964 243060 63 786 66 107 1381 162765 32 489 67 90 1659 232138 62 617 68 197 2888 265318 117 925 69 36 1290 85574 34 351 70 85 2845 310839 92 1144 71 139 1982 225060 93 669 72 106 1904 232317 54 707 73 50 1391 144966 144 458 74 63 1559 164709 109 572 75 63 2146 220801 75 720 76 69 874 99466 50 273 77 41 1590 92661 61 508 78 56 1590 133328 55 506 79 25 1210 61361 77 451 80 93 1281 100750 72 407 81 44 1105 102010 53 370 82 87 1272 101523 42 316 83 110 1944 243511 71 603 84 0 391 22938 10 154 85 83 1605 152474 65 577 86 80 1988 99923 66 617 87 98 1386 132487 41 411 88 82 2395 317394 86 975 89 0 387 21054 16 146 90 60 1742 209641 42 705 91 28 620 22648 19 184 92 9 449 31414 19 200 93 33 800 46698 45 274 94 59 1684 131698 65 502 95 115 2699 244749 95 964 96 120 1204 128423 64 369 97 66 1138 97839 38 417 98 152 2158 272458 65 822 99 139 1111 172494 52 389 100 38 1421 108043 62 466 101 144 2833 328107 65 1255 102 160 2922 351067 95 1024 103 114 1002 158015 29 400 104 119 2186 229242 247 719 105 101 1035 84207 29 356 106 56 1417 120445 118 457 107 133 3261 324598 110 1402 108 83 1587 131069 67 600 109 116 1424 204271 42 480 110 50 946 116048 64 230 111 61 1926 250047 81 651 112 97 3352 299775 95 1367 113 98 1641 195838 67 564 114 78 2035 173260 63 716 115 117 2312 254488 83 747 116 55 961 92499 32 319 117 132 1900 224330 83 612 118 44 1254 135781 31 433 119 21 1335 74408 67 434 120 50 1597 81240 66 503 121 73 1645 181633 70 564 122 86 2429 271856 103 824 123 48 872 95227 34 239 124 48 1018 98146 40 459 125 68 1314 59194 31 288 126 87 1335 139942 42 498 127 43 1403 118612 46 454 128 67 910 72880 33 376 129 46 616 65475 18 225 130 56 771 71965 35 252 131 60 1376 135131 66 481 132 65 1232 108446 60 389 133 60 1544 181528 54 609 134 54 1230 134019 53 422 135 52 1255 121848 39 339 136 61 721 81872 45 245 137 61 1109 58981 36 384 138 81 740 53515 28 212 139 40 728 56375 30 229 140 40 689 65490 22 224 141 68 995 76302 31 333 142 79 1613 104011 55 384 143 47 2048 98104 54 636 144 41 301 30989 14 93 145 29 1803 135458 81 581 146 60 861 63123 43 304 147 79 1451 74914 30 407 148 47 628 31774 23 170 149 40 1161 81437 38 312 150 42 979 65745 53 340 151 49 675 56653 45 168 152 57 1241 158399 39 443 153 40 1049 73624 24 367 154 33 1081 91899 35 335 155 77 1688 139526 151 364 156 45 617 51567 30 206 157 45 1656 102538 57 490 158 50 705 86678 40 238 159 71 1597 150580 77 530 160 67 982 99611 35 291 161 62 1212 99373 63 397 162 54 1143 86230 44 467 163 4 435 30837 19 178 164 25 532 31706 13 175 165 40 882 89806 42 299 166 59 830 64175 42 260 167 24 652 59382 49 227 168 58 707 119308 30 239 169 42 954 76702 49 333 170 4 285 19764 12 75 171 63 733 84105 20 261 172 54 642 64187 27 238 173 39 894 72535 14 329 compendium_views_pr shared_compendiums blogged_computations 1 81 3 79 2 55 4 58 3 50 12 60 4 63 0 121 5 66 5 43 6 57 0 69 7 74 0 78 8 52 7 44 9 108 0 158 10 43 4 102 11 75 3 77 12 32 0 82 13 85 0 101 14 86 1 80 15 56 5 50 16 135 0 123 17 63 0 73 18 81 5 81 19 52 0 105 20 44 0 47 21 39 3 94 22 73 4 44 23 59 2 107 24 64 0 84 25 1 0 0 26 32 1 33 27 129 0 42 28 37 2 96 29 65 6 56 30 107 0 57 31 74 5 59 32 54 4 39 33 715 2 76 34 66 0 91 35 32 0 76 36 20 0 8 37 71 8 79 38 112 1 76 39 66 5 101 40 190 1 94 41 66 1 27 42 56 0 123 43 127 8 105 44 50 2 41 45 52 0 72 46 42 5 67 47 76 8 75 48 67 2 114 49 39 6 22 50 77 2 69 51 57 0 105 52 34 3 88 53 39 6 73 54 63 0 62 55 106 0 118 56 47 2 100 57 162 0 24 58 57 5 67 59 36 0 46 60 263 1 57 61 63 1 135 62 63 2 124 63 77 6 33 64 79 1 98 65 110 4 58 66 56 2 68 67 43 0 131 68 111 10 110 69 71 0 37 70 62 9 130 71 56 7 93 72 74 0 118 73 60 0 39 74 53 0 81 75 105 1 51 76 32 0 28 77 133 1 40 78 79 0 56 79 51 0 27 80 67 0 83 81 66 3 28 82 76 0 59 83 65 0 133 84 9 0 12 85 45 0 106 86 115 0 44 87 97 0 71 88 53 1 116 89 2 0 4 90 52 5 62 91 44 0 12 92 22 0 18 93 35 0 14 94 74 0 60 95 144 2 98 96 89 8 32 97 42 2 25 98 99 0 100 99 52 0 46 100 29 1 45 101 125 3 129 102 95 3 136 103 40 0 59 104 128 4 63 105 73 11 14 106 72 0 36 107 128 0 113 108 61 4 47 109 73 0 92 110 45 0 50 111 58 0 41 112 97 9 91 113 50 1 111 114 37 3 41 115 50 10 120 116 57 0 25 117 52 1 131 118 98 2 45 119 61 4 29 120 89 0 58 121 48 2 47 122 91 1 109 123 70 0 37 124 37 0 15 125 247 6 7 126 46 0 54 127 72 2 54 128 41 0 14 129 24 2 16 130 33 1 32 131 87 0 38 132 90 1 22 133 69 0 32 134 51 0 32 135 45 0 37 136 25 0 32 137 38 7 0 138 52 2 5 139 74 7 10 140 38 3 27 141 26 0 29 142 67 6 25 143 132 2 55 144 35 0 5 145 118 3 43 146 43 1 34 147 64 0 35 148 48 1 0 149 64 0 37 150 75 0 26 151 39 0 38 152 42 0 23 153 93 0 30 154 60 0 18 155 71 0 28 156 27 2 21 157 79 1 50 158 44 0 12 159 124 0 27 160 81 0 41 161 92 1 12 162 42 0 21 163 10 0 8 164 24 0 26 165 64 0 27 166 48 0 37 167 49 0 29 168 48 0 32 169 62 0 35 170 19 1 10 171 45 0 17 172 36 0 10 173 44 0 17 compendiums_reviewed feedback_messages_p1 totsize totrevisions totseconds 1 30 115 112285 24188 146283 2 28 109 84786 18273 98364 3 38 146 83123 14130 86146 4 25 96 119182 33251 195663 5 26 100 116174 27101 95757 6 25 93 57635 16373 85584 7 38 140 66198 19716 143983 8 30 99 57793 9028 59238 9 47 181 97668 29498 151511 10 30 116 133824 27563 136368 11 31 116 101481 18293 112642 12 23 88 99645 22530 94728 13 36 135 99052 35082 121527 14 30 108 67654 16116 127766 15 25 89 65553 15849 98958 16 34 129 69112 26569 85646 17 31 118 82753 24785 98579 18 31 118 85323 17569 130767 19 33 125 72654 23825 131741 20 25 95 30727 7869 53907 21 35 135 117478 37791 146761 22 42 154 74007 9605 82036 23 33 127 101494 34461 171975 24 36 136 79215 24919 159676 25 0 0 1423 603 1929 26 14 46 31081 12558 58391 27 17 54 22996 7784 31580 28 32 124 83122 28522 136815 29 35 128 60578 14459 69107 30 20 80 39992 14526 50495 31 28 97 79892 22240 108016 32 28 104 49810 11802 46341 33 34 125 100708 11912 79336 34 39 149 82875 18220 93176 35 28 118 72260 21884 127969 36 4 12 5950 2694 15049 37 39 144 115762 15808 155135 38 29 108 80670 25239 102996 39 44 166 143558 29801 160604 40 21 80 117105 18450 158051 41 16 60 23789 7132 44547 42 35 127 105195 35940 174141 43 23 84 149193 46230 184301 44 29 111 95260 30546 129847 45 25 98 55183 19746 117286 46 27 105 106671 15977 71180 47 36 135 73511 22583 109377 48 28 107 92945 17274 85298 49 23 88 22618 3007 23824 50 28 104 83737 21113 82981 51 34 132 69094 17401 73815 52 28 108 95536 23567 132190 53 34 129 225920 13065 128754 54 33 122 61370 14587 67808 55 38 147 106117 24021 131722 56 35 87 84651 20537 106175 57 24 90 15986 4527 25157 58 29 109 95364 30495 76669 59 20 78 26706 7117 57283 60 29 111 89691 17719 105805 61 37 141 126846 33473 72413 62 33 124 102860 21115 96971 63 25 93 51715 7236 71299 64 32 124 55801 13790 77494 65 29 112 111813 32902 120336 66 28 108 120293 25131 93913 67 31 117 161647 35947 181248 68 52 199 115929 29848 146123 69 21 78 24266 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8702 40557 142 22 88 63339 15340 94238 143 17 66 25568 8030 44197 144 17 68 4154 1278 4103 145 12 48 19474 4236 44144 146 17 68 39067 7196 27640 147 23 90 65892 6371 28990 148 17 66 4143 1574 4694 149 14 54 28579 9620 42648 150 21 77 38084 8645 25836 151 18 68 27717 8987 22779 152 18 72 32928 5544 40820 153 17 64 19499 6909 32378 154 15 59 36874 6745 39613 155 21 84 48259 16724 60865 156 14 56 28207 7025 20107 157 15 58 45833 9078 48231 158 15 59 29156 4605 39725 159 22 83 45588 9653 62991 160 21 81 45097 8914 49363 161 18 72 28394 6700 24552 162 17 61 18632 5788 31493 163 4 15 2325 593 3439 164 10 32 25139 4506 19555 165 16 62 27975 6382 21228 166 18 72 21792 6928 28893 167 12 41 26263 1514 21425 168 16 61 23686 9238 50276 169 21 67 49303 8204 37643 170 2 8 5752 2416 9927 171 17 66 20055 5432 27184 172 16 61 20154 5576 18475 173 16 64 19540 6095 35873 tothyperlinks totblogs I1 1 144 145 11 2 103 101 15 3 98 98 19 4 150 144 23 5 84 84 16 6 80 79 21 7 130 127 24 8 60 60 15 9 140 133 17 10 151 150 19 11 91 91 19 12 138 132 25 13 124 124 19 14 119 118 28 15 73 70 24 16 123 119 26 17 90 89 15 18 116 112 21 19 113 108 26 20 56 52 16 21 119 116 16 22 129 123 20 23 175 162 24 24 96 92 10 25 0 0 19 26 41 41 25 27 47 47 22 28 126 120 15 29 80 79 21 30 70 65 22 31 73 70 27 32 57 55 26 33 68 67 26 34 127 127 22 35 102 99 20 36 7 7 22 37 148 141 21 38 112 109 22 39 137 133 20 40 135 123 21 41 26 26 20 42 181 166 25 43 190 179 18 44 107 108 22 45 94 90 25 46 116 114 21 47 106 103 20 48 143 142 20 49 26 25 18 50 113 113 8 51 120 118 22 52 134 129 26 53 54 51 18 54 78 76 20 55 121 118 24 56 145 141 17 57 27 27 20 58 91 91 23 59 48 48 20 60 68 63 22 61 150 144 20 62 181 168 19 63 65 64 15 64 97 97 20 65 121 117 22 66 99 100 13 67 188 187 20 68 138 127 17 69 40 37 14 70 254 245 22 71 87 87 24 72 178 177 22 73 51 49 23 74 176 177 17 75 66 60 23 76 56 55 25 77 39 39 16 78 66 64 18 79 27 26 20 80 58 58 18 81 26 26 24 82 77 76 23 83 130 129 24 84 11 11 23 85 101 101 23 86 36 36 13 87 120 89 20 88 195 193 18 89 4 4 21 90 89 84 17 91 24 23 20 92 39 39 19 93 14 14 18 94 78 78 19 95 106 101 22 96 37 36 22 97 77 75 15 98 132 131 17 99 144 131 19 100 40 39 20 101 153 144 22 102 220 211 21 103 79 78 19 104 95 90 21 105 12 12 18 106 63 57 16 107 134 133 20 108 69 69 21 109 119 119 15 110 63 61 20 111 55 49 23 112 103 101 15 113 197 196 18 114 16 15 22 115 140 136 16 116 21 21 17 117 167 163 24 118 32 29 13 119 36 35 23 120 13 13 5 121 96 96 19 122 151 151 24 123 23 23 19 124 21 14 20 125 20 20 22 126 82 72 15 127 90 87 19 128 25 21 25 129 60 56 21 130 85 82 19 131 41 38 17 132 26 25 15 133 49 47 21 134 46 45 24 135 41 41 22 136 23 23 19 137 14 14 20 138 16 16 21 139 21 21 19 140 32 27 22 141 35 33 14 142 42 42 25 143 68 68 11 144 6 6 16 145 68 67 19 146 84 77 17 147 30 30 20 148 0 0 22 149 36 36 20 150 50 48 22 151 30 29 15 152 30 28 23 153 33 33 20 154 37 33 17 155 83 80 20 156 30 30 25 157 51 51 22 158 19 18 16 159 41 39 25 160 54 54 18 161 25 24 19 162 25 24 25 163 8 8 23 164 26 26 24 165 20 19 21 166 46 47 21 167 47 47 22 168 37 37 21 169 51 51 18 170 10 10 13 171 34 34 22 172 12 11 23 173 27 21 15 > k <- length(x[1,]) > df <- as.data.frame(x) > (mylm <- lm(df)) Call: lm(formula = df) Coefficients: (Intercept) pageviews time_in_rfc -7.879e+00 2.867e-03 9.160e-05 logins compendium_views_info compendium_views_pr -4.793e-03 -1.235e-02 -5.299e-03 shared_compendiums blogged_computations compendiums_reviewed 3.097e-01 1.940e-02 -5.950e-01 feedback_messages_p1 totsize totrevisions 9.134e-01 5.293e-05 8.592e-04 totseconds tothyperlinks totblogs -1.227e-04 4.661e-01 -5.667e-01 I1 1.021e-01 > (mysum <- summary(mylm)) Call: lm(formula = df) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -45.584 -5.363 1.967 7.551 20.864 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|) (Intercept) -7.879e+00 5.587e+00 -1.410 0.1604 pageviews 2.867e-03 5.239e-03 0.547 0.5850 time_in_rfc 9.160e-05 4.174e-05 2.194 0.0297 * logins -4.793e-03 3.665e-02 -0.131 0.8961 compendium_views_info -1.235e-02 1.240e-02 -0.996 0.3208 compendium_views_pr -5.299e-03 2.090e-02 -0.254 0.8002 shared_compendiums 3.097e-01 3.968e-01 0.780 0.4363 blogged_computations 1.940e-02 7.306e-02 0.265 0.7910 compendiums_reviewed -5.950e-01 6.713e-01 -0.886 0.3768 feedback_messages_p1 9.134e-01 1.740e-01 5.249 4.88e-07 *** totsize 5.293e-05 4.140e-05 1.279 0.2029 totrevisions 8.592e-04 2.141e-04 4.013 9.25e-05 *** totseconds -1.226e-04 6.266e-05 -1.957 0.0521 . tothyperlinks 4.661e-01 2.612e-01 1.784 0.0763 . totblogs -5.667e-01 2.735e-01 -2.072 0.0399 * I1 1.021e-01 2.443e-01 0.418 0.6766 --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 11.67 on 157 degrees of freedom Multiple R-squared: 0.9078, Adjusted R-squared: 0.899 F-statistic: 103 on 15 and 157 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16 > if (n > n25) { + kp3 <- k + 3 + nmkm3 <- n - k - 3 + gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3)) + numgqtests <- 0 + numsignificant1 <- 0 + numsignificant5 <- 0 + numsignificant10 <- 0 + for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { + j <- 0 + numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1 + for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) { + j <- j + 1 + gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value + } + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1 + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1 + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1 + } + gqarr + } [,1] [,2] [,3] [1,] 0.9984691 0.0030618776 1.530939e-03 [2,] 0.9960040 0.0079920209 3.996010e-03 [3,] 0.9912666 0.0174667663 8.733383e-03 [4,] 0.9858428 0.0283144922 1.415725e-02 [5,] 0.9871681 0.0256637514 1.283188e-02 [6,] 0.9793483 0.0413034027 2.065170e-02 [7,] 0.9670286 0.0659428515 3.297143e-02 [8,] 0.9530937 0.0938125335 4.690627e-02 [9,] 0.9359782 0.1280436104 6.402181e-02 [10,] 0.9085932 0.1828135671 9.140678e-02 [11,] 0.8888682 0.2222635074 1.111318e-01 [12,] 0.8679555 0.2640889907 1.320445e-01 [13,] 0.8286980 0.3426040288 1.713020e-01 [14,] 0.7796803 0.4406394016 2.203197e-01 [15,] 0.7246108 0.5507783604 2.753892e-01 [16,] 0.7889673 0.4220653492 2.110327e-01 [17,] 0.7365241 0.5269518591 2.634759e-01 [18,] 0.6798117 0.6403765539 3.201883e-01 [19,] 0.6876907 0.6246185132 3.123093e-01 [20,] 0.6273666 0.7452668202 3.726334e-01 [21,] 0.6594016 0.6811967048 3.405984e-01 [22,] 0.6277966 0.7444067782 3.722034e-01 [23,] 0.5699007 0.8601985999 4.300993e-01 [24,] 0.5646190 0.8707620759 4.353810e-01 [25,] 0.6759524 0.6480951417 3.240476e-01 [26,] 0.6209701 0.7580598609 3.790299e-01 [27,] 0.6628886 0.6742227288 3.371114e-01 [28,] 0.6824030 0.6351939638 3.175970e-01 [29,] 0.6497314 0.7005372054 3.502686e-01 [30,] 0.5977832 0.8044336657 4.022168e-01 [31,] 0.5473544 0.9052912046 4.526456e-01 [32,] 0.5802334 0.8395332165 4.197666e-01 [33,] 0.5654028 0.8691944685 4.345972e-01 [34,] 0.5490399 0.9019202261 4.509601e-01 [35,] 0.5944496 0.8111007927 4.055504e-01 [36,] 0.5665516 0.8668967690 4.334484e-01 [37,] 0.7386602 0.5226795466 2.613398e-01 [38,] 0.7243992 0.5512016528 2.756008e-01 [39,] 0.6811211 0.6377577372 3.188789e-01 [40,] 0.6503625 0.6992749502 3.496375e-01 [41,] 0.6547206 0.6905587416 3.452794e-01 [42,] 0.6083646 0.7832707628 3.916354e-01 [43,] 0.5584529 0.8830941321 4.415471e-01 [44,] 0.5540209 0.8919582096 4.459791e-01 [45,] 0.5082918 0.9834164465 4.917082e-01 [46,] 0.5818455 0.8363089166 4.181545e-01 [47,] 0.5584727 0.8830545994 4.415273e-01 [48,] 0.5585315 0.8829369518 4.414685e-01 [49,] 0.5700926 0.8598148566 4.299074e-01 [50,] 0.7340694 0.5318611801 2.659306e-01 [51,] 0.8747541 0.2504918348 1.252459e-01 [52,] 0.8655844 0.2688311416 1.344156e-01 [53,] 0.8504990 0.2990020864 1.495010e-01 [54,] 0.8240130 0.3519740053 1.759870e-01 [55,] 0.9950680 0.0098639781 4.931989e-03 [56,] 0.9998656 0.0002688047 1.344023e-04 [57,] 0.9997981 0.0004037487 2.018743e-04 [58,] 0.9999060 0.0001880917 9.404586e-05 [59,] 0.9999281 0.0001437633 7.188166e-05 [60,] 0.9999411 0.0001178343 5.891715e-05 [61,] 0.9999055 0.0001889876 9.449382e-05 [62,] 0.9998501 0.0002998324 1.499162e-04 [63,] 0.9997718 0.0004563774 2.281887e-04 [64,] 0.9997155 0.0005690932 2.845466e-04 [65,] 0.9998509 0.0002981876 1.490938e-04 [66,] 0.9997993 0.0004013663 2.006832e-04 [67,] 0.9999357 0.0001286750 6.433751e-05 [68,] 0.9998964 0.0002071369 1.035685e-04 [69,] 0.9999291 0.0001417851 7.089254e-05 [70,] 0.9999109 0.0001782327 8.911637e-05 [71,] 0.9998676 0.0002648735 1.324367e-04 [72,] 0.9998531 0.0002937758 1.468879e-04 [73,] 0.9997750 0.0004499670 2.249835e-04 [74,] 0.9996625 0.0006749429 3.374715e-04 [75,] 0.9994955 0.0010090973 5.045486e-04 [76,] 0.9992803 0.0014393623 7.196811e-04 [77,] 0.9995381 0.0009237094 4.618547e-04 [78,] 0.9992981 0.0014037512 7.018756e-04 [79,] 0.9990787 0.0018426467 9.213234e-04 [80,] 0.9991887 0.0016225613 8.112807e-04 [81,] 0.9990720 0.0018559007 9.279503e-04 [82,] 0.9986146 0.0027707502 1.385375e-03 [83,] 0.9979697 0.0040606560 2.030328e-03 [84,] 0.9974630 0.0050740358 2.537018e-03 [85,] 0.9982083 0.0035833120 1.791656e-03 [86,] 0.9986822 0.0026356352 1.317818e-03 [87,] 0.9988492 0.0023016047 1.150802e-03 [88,] 0.9983842 0.0032316236 1.615812e-03 [89,] 0.9985262 0.0029475219 1.473761e-03 [90,] 0.9980411 0.0039178149 1.958907e-03 [91,] 0.9972764 0.0054472638 2.723632e-03 [92,] 0.9962069 0.0075861849 3.793092e-03 [93,] 0.9963868 0.0072264838 3.613242e-03 [94,] 0.9950682 0.0098635113 4.931756e-03 [95,] 0.9928855 0.0142290439 7.114522e-03 [96,] 0.9974265 0.0051469145 2.573457e-03 [97,] 0.9981940 0.0036119244 1.805962e-03 [98,] 0.9971975 0.0056049435 2.802472e-03 [99,] 0.9968065 0.0063869072 3.193454e-03 [100,] 0.9966725 0.0066550834 3.327542e-03 [101,] 0.9950669 0.0098661926 4.933096e-03 [102,] 0.9956997 0.0086005266 4.300263e-03 [103,] 0.9965937 0.0068125188 3.406259e-03 [104,] 0.9991935 0.0016130300 8.065150e-04 [105,] 0.9998091 0.0003817676 1.908838e-04 [106,] 0.9997109 0.0005781086 2.890543e-04 [107,] 0.9999120 0.0001760451 8.802255e-05 [108,] 0.9998515 0.0002970635 1.485317e-04 [109,] 0.9997467 0.0005065651 2.532826e-04 [110,] 0.9995612 0.0008776520 4.388260e-04 [111,] 0.9992473 0.0015054255 7.527128e-04 [112,] 0.9988536 0.0022927627 1.146381e-03 [113,] 0.9992655 0.0014689162 7.344581e-04 [114,] 0.9987960 0.0024080047 1.204002e-03 [115,] 0.9979113 0.0041774014 2.088701e-03 [116,] 0.9965020 0.0069960288 3.498014e-03 [117,] 0.9942170 0.0115659891 5.782995e-03 [118,] 0.9905489 0.0189022590 9.451129e-03 [119,] 0.9939884 0.0120231485 6.011574e-03 [120,] 0.9933816 0.0132367412 6.618371e-03 [121,] 0.9902284 0.0195431838 9.771592e-03 [122,] 0.9848255 0.0303490471 1.517452e-02 [123,] 0.9775973 0.0448054804 2.240274e-02 [124,] 0.9727139 0.0545722549 2.728613e-02 [125,] 0.9601608 0.0796784545 3.983923e-02 [126,] 0.9514620 0.0970759493 4.853797e-02 [127,] 0.9247863 0.1504274301 7.521372e-02 [128,] 0.9872620 0.0254759172 1.273796e-02 [129,] 0.9847034 0.0305932413 1.529662e-02 [130,] 0.9921275 0.0157450187 7.872509e-03 [131,] 0.9914818 0.0170364850 8.518243e-03 [132,] 0.9804850 0.0390299038 1.951495e-02 [133,] 0.9573064 0.0853872375 4.269362e-02 [134,] 0.9484267 0.1031465585 5.157328e-02 [135,] 0.9780064 0.0439871398 2.199357e-02 [136,] 0.9335834 0.1328332747 6.641664e-02 > postscript(file="/var/www/rcomp/tmp/1fcxv1323886663.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index') > points(x[,1]-mysum$resid) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/rcomp/tmp/21ki81323886663.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/rcomp/tmp/3mdpg1323886663.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/rcomp/tmp/47ina1323886663.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals') > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/rcomp/tmp/5oojm1323886663.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot') > qqline(mysum$resid) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > (myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid)) Time Series: Start = 1 End = 173 Frequency = 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 -0.4229791 15.8416112 -25.9316695 -2.2382307 2.2234962 -17.3240185 7 8 9 10 11 12 12.3416369 14.1262485 9.6136572 12.1954461 -27.3193162 -9.7470869 13 14 15 16 17 18 -5.5322152 14.7545020 8.9580626 9.2375635 13.0719850 -2.3107247 19 20 21 22 23 24 10.8042915 7.3064724 7.9135984 4.7071370 5.6533106 4.7731893 25 26 27 28 29 30 5.3425564 -2.1610984 -2.4194269 7.5510973 -8.1829612 4.6269752 31 32 33 34 35 36 5.3161857 -6.4972222 -1.3581843 18.6559533 1.3528734 3.0926733 37 38 39 40 41 42 18.0740482 -0.6109699 18.1567438 -2.0219702 1.9702839 7.8919189 43 44 45 46 47 48 -27.8368788 0.2863538 -13.7103965 15.9738859 1.2517039 4.1804783 49 50 51 52 53 54 1.0663984 -13.3513672 13.8253173 9.4319971 -9.6229637 -0.7196012 55 56 57 58 59 60 -24.0559851 3.1039989 1.3778799 3.9166336 13.3732075 5.6811960 61 62 63 64 65 66 1.2790960 12.0563349 1.9671898 17.5500522 -4.6012926 11.3315184 67 68 69 70 71 72 -11.8652031 20.8644334 -24.6790229 -7.2113706 -8.6088152 4.7189273 73 74 75 76 77 78 -45.5837898 -34.6152234 -3.9290846 -9.2499846 10.0575427 -11.7186364 79 80 81 82 83 84 -1.4855299 0.6411326 3.1124444 9.7787770 -21.2505463 6.2251354 85 86 87 88 89 90 -19.9239710 -0.3800142 -18.7167625 -5.8622823 5.3884950 -12.6087078 91 92 93 94 95 96 2.2023994 -3.6089716 -3.2775309 -1.7172641 10.7617862 0.2956124 97 98 99 100 101 102 -2.0597583 12.8516423 2.9283864 -3.0849460 0.4205243 1.9289700 103 104 105 106 107 108 16.1839550 10.7168927 9.0442878 3.2905991 4.8983752 -1.4707883 109 110 111 112 113 114 6.9494102 -8.0933118 -9.6685233 -7.2089684 4.6609798 7.8790030 115 116 117 118 119 120 -20.1702395 -0.6716036 8.6407176 4.1535527 -1.0338674 -1.1048438 121 122 123 124 125 126 -14.5280922 -27.9073366 -36.0687187 -10.5802275 5.9119548 9.8753049 127 128 129 130 131 132 5.9751116 4.5426461 5.4358963 12.4060886 7.6663574 5.7487685 133 134 135 136 137 138 6.6394507 -0.2976578 0.6581000 8.2896694 -9.9912722 12.9312497 139 140 141 142 143 144 2.3645409 -8.6285296 9.1701386 5.1528514 -0.1350861 -7.3616827 145 146 147 148 149 150 -5.8961357 8.7384547 7.7346610 -1.0914437 -3.2143068 -17.0661220 151 152 153 154 155 156 -5.3634109 -4.7725564 -7.3766781 -14.4992957 3.2294772 0.7718764 157 158 159 160 161 162 -1.2752312 5.1663362 2.2903289 4.4465447 3.1559221 8.1932391 163 164 165 166 167 168 -3.0812693 4.3779633 -11.3377468 6.0019950 -0.5849330 8.0079622 169 170 171 172 173 -6.3371028 2.2306961 12.9105870 5.7259546 -11.3199127 > postscript(file="/var/www/rcomp/tmp/6hwvv1323886663.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror) > dum Time Series: Start = 0 End = 173 Frequency = 1 lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror 0 -0.4229791 NA 1 15.8416112 -0.4229791 2 -25.9316695 15.8416112 3 -2.2382307 -25.9316695 4 2.2234962 -2.2382307 5 -17.3240185 2.2234962 6 12.3416369 -17.3240185 7 14.1262485 12.3416369 8 9.6136572 14.1262485 9 12.1954461 9.6136572 10 -27.3193162 12.1954461 11 -9.7470869 -27.3193162 12 -5.5322152 -9.7470869 13 14.7545020 -5.5322152 14 8.9580626 14.7545020 15 9.2375635 8.9580626 16 13.0719850 9.2375635 17 -2.3107247 13.0719850 18 10.8042915 -2.3107247 19 7.3064724 10.8042915 20 7.9135984 7.3064724 21 4.7071370 7.9135984 22 5.6533106 4.7071370 23 4.7731893 5.6533106 24 5.3425564 4.7731893 25 -2.1610984 5.3425564 26 -2.4194269 -2.1610984 27 7.5510973 -2.4194269 28 -8.1829612 7.5510973 29 4.6269752 -8.1829612 30 5.3161857 4.6269752 31 -6.4972222 5.3161857 32 -1.3581843 -6.4972222 33 18.6559533 -1.3581843 34 1.3528734 18.6559533 35 3.0926733 1.3528734 36 18.0740482 3.0926733 37 -0.6109699 18.0740482 38 18.1567438 -0.6109699 39 -2.0219702 18.1567438 40 1.9702839 -2.0219702 41 7.8919189 1.9702839 42 -27.8368788 7.8919189 43 0.2863538 -27.8368788 44 -13.7103965 0.2863538 45 15.9738859 -13.7103965 46 1.2517039 15.9738859 47 4.1804783 1.2517039 48 1.0663984 4.1804783 49 -13.3513672 1.0663984 50 13.8253173 -13.3513672 51 9.4319971 13.8253173 52 -9.6229637 9.4319971 53 -0.7196012 -9.6229637 54 -24.0559851 -0.7196012 55 3.1039989 -24.0559851 56 1.3778799 3.1039989 57 3.9166336 1.3778799 58 13.3732075 3.9166336 59 5.6811960 13.3732075 60 1.2790960 5.6811960 61 12.0563349 1.2790960 62 1.9671898 12.0563349 63 17.5500522 1.9671898 64 -4.6012926 17.5500522 65 11.3315184 -4.6012926 66 -11.8652031 11.3315184 67 20.8644334 -11.8652031 68 -24.6790229 20.8644334 69 -7.2113706 -24.6790229 70 -8.6088152 -7.2113706 71 4.7189273 -8.6088152 72 -45.5837898 4.7189273 73 -34.6152234 -45.5837898 74 -3.9290846 -34.6152234 75 -9.2499846 -3.9290846 76 10.0575427 -9.2499846 77 -11.7186364 10.0575427 78 -1.4855299 -11.7186364 79 0.6411326 -1.4855299 80 3.1124444 0.6411326 81 9.7787770 3.1124444 82 -21.2505463 9.7787770 83 6.2251354 -21.2505463 84 -19.9239710 6.2251354 85 -0.3800142 -19.9239710 86 -18.7167625 -0.3800142 87 -5.8622823 -18.7167625 88 5.3884950 -5.8622823 89 -12.6087078 5.3884950 90 2.2023994 -12.6087078 91 -3.6089716 2.2023994 92 -3.2775309 -3.6089716 93 -1.7172641 -3.2775309 94 10.7617862 -1.7172641 95 0.2956124 10.7617862 96 -2.0597583 0.2956124 97 12.8516423 -2.0597583 98 2.9283864 12.8516423 99 -3.0849460 2.9283864 100 0.4205243 -3.0849460 101 1.9289700 0.4205243 102 16.1839550 1.9289700 103 10.7168927 16.1839550 104 9.0442878 10.7168927 105 3.2905991 9.0442878 106 4.8983752 3.2905991 107 -1.4707883 4.8983752 108 6.9494102 -1.4707883 109 -8.0933118 6.9494102 110 -9.6685233 -8.0933118 111 -7.2089684 -9.6685233 112 4.6609798 -7.2089684 113 7.8790030 4.6609798 114 -20.1702395 7.8790030 115 -0.6716036 -20.1702395 116 8.6407176 -0.6716036 117 4.1535527 8.6407176 118 -1.0338674 4.1535527 119 -1.1048438 -1.0338674 120 -14.5280922 -1.1048438 121 -27.9073366 -14.5280922 122 -36.0687187 -27.9073366 123 -10.5802275 -36.0687187 124 5.9119548 -10.5802275 125 9.8753049 5.9119548 126 5.9751116 9.8753049 127 4.5426461 5.9751116 128 5.4358963 4.5426461 129 12.4060886 5.4358963 130 7.6663574 12.4060886 131 5.7487685 7.6663574 132 6.6394507 5.7487685 133 -0.2976578 6.6394507 134 0.6581000 -0.2976578 135 8.2896694 0.6581000 136 -9.9912722 8.2896694 137 12.9312497 -9.9912722 138 2.3645409 12.9312497 139 -8.6285296 2.3645409 140 9.1701386 -8.6285296 141 5.1528514 9.1701386 142 -0.1350861 5.1528514 143 -7.3616827 -0.1350861 144 -5.8961357 -7.3616827 145 8.7384547 -5.8961357 146 7.7346610 8.7384547 147 -1.0914437 7.7346610 148 -3.2143068 -1.0914437 149 -17.0661220 -3.2143068 150 -5.3634109 -17.0661220 151 -4.7725564 -5.3634109 152 -7.3766781 -4.7725564 153 -14.4992957 -7.3766781 154 3.2294772 -14.4992957 155 0.7718764 3.2294772 156 -1.2752312 0.7718764 157 5.1663362 -1.2752312 158 2.2903289 5.1663362 159 4.4465447 2.2903289 160 3.1559221 4.4465447 161 8.1932391 3.1559221 162 -3.0812693 8.1932391 163 4.3779633 -3.0812693 164 -11.3377468 4.3779633 165 6.0019950 -11.3377468 166 -0.5849330 6.0019950 167 8.0079622 -0.5849330 168 -6.3371028 8.0079622 169 2.2306961 -6.3371028 170 12.9105870 2.2306961 171 5.7259546 12.9105870 172 -11.3199127 5.7259546 173 NA -11.3199127 > dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),] > dum1 lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror [1,] 15.8416112 -0.4229791 [2,] -25.9316695 15.8416112 [3,] -2.2382307 -25.9316695 [4,] 2.2234962 -2.2382307 [5,] -17.3240185 2.2234962 [6,] 12.3416369 -17.3240185 [7,] 14.1262485 12.3416369 [8,] 9.6136572 14.1262485 [9,] 12.1954461 9.6136572 [10,] -27.3193162 12.1954461 [11,] -9.7470869 -27.3193162 [12,] -5.5322152 -9.7470869 [13,] 14.7545020 -5.5322152 [14,] 8.9580626 14.7545020 [15,] 9.2375635 8.9580626 [16,] 13.0719850 9.2375635 [17,] -2.3107247 13.0719850 [18,] 10.8042915 -2.3107247 [19,] 7.3064724 10.8042915 [20,] 7.9135984 7.3064724 [21,] 4.7071370 7.9135984 [22,] 5.6533106 4.7071370 [23,] 4.7731893 5.6533106 [24,] 5.3425564 4.7731893 [25,] -2.1610984 5.3425564 [26,] -2.4194269 -2.1610984 [27,] 7.5510973 -2.4194269 [28,] -8.1829612 7.5510973 [29,] 4.6269752 -8.1829612 [30,] 5.3161857 4.6269752 [31,] -6.4972222 5.3161857 [32,] -1.3581843 -6.4972222 [33,] 18.6559533 -1.3581843 [34,] 1.3528734 18.6559533 [35,] 3.0926733 1.3528734 [36,] 18.0740482 3.0926733 [37,] -0.6109699 18.0740482 [38,] 18.1567438 -0.6109699 [39,] -2.0219702 18.1567438 [40,] 1.9702839 -2.0219702 [41,] 7.8919189 1.9702839 [42,] -27.8368788 7.8919189 [43,] 0.2863538 -27.8368788 [44,] -13.7103965 0.2863538 [45,] 15.9738859 -13.7103965 [46,] 1.2517039 15.9738859 [47,] 4.1804783 1.2517039 [48,] 1.0663984 4.1804783 [49,] -13.3513672 1.0663984 [50,] 13.8253173 -13.3513672 [51,] 9.4319971 13.8253173 [52,] -9.6229637 9.4319971 [53,] -0.7196012 -9.6229637 [54,] -24.0559851 -0.7196012 [55,] 3.1039989 -24.0559851 [56,] 1.3778799 3.1039989 [57,] 3.9166336 1.3778799 [58,] 13.3732075 3.9166336 [59,] 5.6811960 13.3732075 [60,] 1.2790960 5.6811960 [61,] 12.0563349 1.2790960 [62,] 1.9671898 12.0563349 [63,] 17.5500522 1.9671898 [64,] -4.6012926 17.5500522 [65,] 11.3315184 -4.6012926 [66,] -11.8652031 11.3315184 [67,] 20.8644334 -11.8652031 [68,] -24.6790229 20.8644334 [69,] -7.2113706 -24.6790229 [70,] -8.6088152 -7.2113706 [71,] 4.7189273 -8.6088152 [72,] -45.5837898 4.7189273 [73,] -34.6152234 -45.5837898 [74,] -3.9290846 -34.6152234 [75,] -9.2499846 -3.9290846 [76,] 10.0575427 -9.2499846 [77,] -11.7186364 10.0575427 [78,] -1.4855299 -11.7186364 [79,] 0.6411326 -1.4855299 [80,] 3.1124444 0.6411326 [81,] 9.7787770 3.1124444 [82,] -21.2505463 9.7787770 [83,] 6.2251354 -21.2505463 [84,] -19.9239710 6.2251354 [85,] -0.3800142 -19.9239710 [86,] -18.7167625 -0.3800142 [87,] -5.8622823 -18.7167625 [88,] 5.3884950 -5.8622823 [89,] -12.6087078 5.3884950 [90,] 2.2023994 -12.6087078 [91,] -3.6089716 2.2023994 [92,] -3.2775309 -3.6089716 [93,] -1.7172641 -3.2775309 [94,] 10.7617862 -1.7172641 [95,] 0.2956124 10.7617862 [96,] -2.0597583 0.2956124 [97,] 12.8516423 -2.0597583 [98,] 2.9283864 12.8516423 [99,] -3.0849460 2.9283864 [100,] 0.4205243 -3.0849460 [101,] 1.9289700 0.4205243 [102,] 16.1839550 1.9289700 [103,] 10.7168927 16.1839550 [104,] 9.0442878 10.7168927 [105,] 3.2905991 9.0442878 [106,] 4.8983752 3.2905991 [107,] -1.4707883 4.8983752 [108,] 6.9494102 -1.4707883 [109,] -8.0933118 6.9494102 [110,] -9.6685233 -8.0933118 [111,] -7.2089684 -9.6685233 [112,] 4.6609798 -7.2089684 [113,] 7.8790030 4.6609798 [114,] -20.1702395 7.8790030 [115,] -0.6716036 -20.1702395 [116,] 8.6407176 -0.6716036 [117,] 4.1535527 8.6407176 [118,] -1.0338674 4.1535527 [119,] -1.1048438 -1.0338674 [120,] -14.5280922 -1.1048438 [121,] -27.9073366 -14.5280922 [122,] -36.0687187 -27.9073366 [123,] -10.5802275 -36.0687187 [124,] 5.9119548 -10.5802275 [125,] 9.8753049 5.9119548 [126,] 5.9751116 9.8753049 [127,] 4.5426461 5.9751116 [128,] 5.4358963 4.5426461 [129,] 12.4060886 5.4358963 [130,] 7.6663574 12.4060886 [131,] 5.7487685 7.6663574 [132,] 6.6394507 5.7487685 [133,] -0.2976578 6.6394507 [134,] 0.6581000 -0.2976578 [135,] 8.2896694 0.6581000 [136,] -9.9912722 8.2896694 [137,] 12.9312497 -9.9912722 [138,] 2.3645409 12.9312497 [139,] -8.6285296 2.3645409 [140,] 9.1701386 -8.6285296 [141,] 5.1528514 9.1701386 [142,] -0.1350861 5.1528514 [143,] -7.3616827 -0.1350861 [144,] -5.8961357 -7.3616827 [145,] 8.7384547 -5.8961357 [146,] 7.7346610 8.7384547 [147,] -1.0914437 7.7346610 [148,] -3.2143068 -1.0914437 [149,] -17.0661220 -3.2143068 [150,] -5.3634109 -17.0661220 [151,] -4.7725564 -5.3634109 [152,] -7.3766781 -4.7725564 [153,] -14.4992957 -7.3766781 [154,] 3.2294772 -14.4992957 [155,] 0.7718764 3.2294772 [156,] -1.2752312 0.7718764 [157,] 5.1663362 -1.2752312 [158,] 2.2903289 5.1663362 [159,] 4.4465447 2.2903289 [160,] 3.1559221 4.4465447 [161,] 8.1932391 3.1559221 [162,] -3.0812693 8.1932391 [163,] 4.3779633 -3.0812693 [164,] -11.3377468 4.3779633 [165,] 6.0019950 -11.3377468 [166,] -0.5849330 6.0019950 [167,] 8.0079622 -0.5849330 [168,] -6.3371028 8.0079622 [169,] 2.2306961 -6.3371028 [170,] 12.9105870 2.2306961 [171,] 5.7259546 12.9105870 [172,] -11.3199127 5.7259546 > z <- as.data.frame(dum1) > z lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror 1 15.8416112 -0.4229791 2 -25.9316695 15.8416112 3 -2.2382307 -25.9316695 4 2.2234962 -2.2382307 5 -17.3240185 2.2234962 6 12.3416369 -17.3240185 7 14.1262485 12.3416369 8 9.6136572 14.1262485 9 12.1954461 9.6136572 10 -27.3193162 12.1954461 11 -9.7470869 -27.3193162 12 -5.5322152 -9.7470869 13 14.7545020 -5.5322152 14 8.9580626 14.7545020 15 9.2375635 8.9580626 16 13.0719850 9.2375635 17 -2.3107247 13.0719850 18 10.8042915 -2.3107247 19 7.3064724 10.8042915 20 7.9135984 7.3064724 21 4.7071370 7.9135984 22 5.6533106 4.7071370 23 4.7731893 5.6533106 24 5.3425564 4.7731893 25 -2.1610984 5.3425564 26 -2.4194269 -2.1610984 27 7.5510973 -2.4194269 28 -8.1829612 7.5510973 29 4.6269752 -8.1829612 30 5.3161857 4.6269752 31 -6.4972222 5.3161857 32 -1.3581843 -6.4972222 33 18.6559533 -1.3581843 34 1.3528734 18.6559533 35 3.0926733 1.3528734 36 18.0740482 3.0926733 37 -0.6109699 18.0740482 38 18.1567438 -0.6109699 39 -2.0219702 18.1567438 40 1.9702839 -2.0219702 41 7.8919189 1.9702839 42 -27.8368788 7.8919189 43 0.2863538 -27.8368788 44 -13.7103965 0.2863538 45 15.9738859 -13.7103965 46 1.2517039 15.9738859 47 4.1804783 1.2517039 48 1.0663984 4.1804783 49 -13.3513672 1.0663984 50 13.8253173 -13.3513672 51 9.4319971 13.8253173 52 -9.6229637 9.4319971 53 -0.7196012 -9.6229637 54 -24.0559851 -0.7196012 55 3.1039989 -24.0559851 56 1.3778799 3.1039989 57 3.9166336 1.3778799 58 13.3732075 3.9166336 59 5.6811960 13.3732075 60 1.2790960 5.6811960 61 12.0563349 1.2790960 62 1.9671898 12.0563349 63 17.5500522 1.9671898 64 -4.6012926 17.5500522 65 11.3315184 -4.6012926 66 -11.8652031 11.3315184 67 20.8644334 -11.8652031 68 -24.6790229 20.8644334 69 -7.2113706 -24.6790229 70 -8.6088152 -7.2113706 71 4.7189273 -8.6088152 72 -45.5837898 4.7189273 73 -34.6152234 -45.5837898 74 -3.9290846 -34.6152234 75 -9.2499846 -3.9290846 76 10.0575427 -9.2499846 77 -11.7186364 10.0575427 78 -1.4855299 -11.7186364 79 0.6411326 -1.4855299 80 3.1124444 0.6411326 81 9.7787770 3.1124444 82 -21.2505463 9.7787770 83 6.2251354 -21.2505463 84 -19.9239710 6.2251354 85 -0.3800142 -19.9239710 86 -18.7167625 -0.3800142 87 -5.8622823 -18.7167625 88 5.3884950 -5.8622823 89 -12.6087078 5.3884950 90 2.2023994 -12.6087078 91 -3.6089716 2.2023994 92 -3.2775309 -3.6089716 93 -1.7172641 -3.2775309 94 10.7617862 -1.7172641 95 0.2956124 10.7617862 96 -2.0597583 0.2956124 97 12.8516423 -2.0597583 98 2.9283864 12.8516423 99 -3.0849460 2.9283864 100 0.4205243 -3.0849460 101 1.9289700 0.4205243 102 16.1839550 1.9289700 103 10.7168927 16.1839550 104 9.0442878 10.7168927 105 3.2905991 9.0442878 106 4.8983752 3.2905991 107 -1.4707883 4.8983752 108 6.9494102 -1.4707883 109 -8.0933118 6.9494102 110 -9.6685233 -8.0933118 111 -7.2089684 -9.6685233 112 4.6609798 -7.2089684 113 7.8790030 4.6609798 114 -20.1702395 7.8790030 115 -0.6716036 -20.1702395 116 8.6407176 -0.6716036 117 4.1535527 8.6407176 118 -1.0338674 4.1535527 119 -1.1048438 -1.0338674 120 -14.5280922 -1.1048438 121 -27.9073366 -14.5280922 122 -36.0687187 -27.9073366 123 -10.5802275 -36.0687187 124 5.9119548 -10.5802275 125 9.8753049 5.9119548 126 5.9751116 9.8753049 127 4.5426461 5.9751116 128 5.4358963 4.5426461 129 12.4060886 5.4358963 130 7.6663574 12.4060886 131 5.7487685 7.6663574 132 6.6394507 5.7487685 133 -0.2976578 6.6394507 134 0.6581000 -0.2976578 135 8.2896694 0.6581000 136 -9.9912722 8.2896694 137 12.9312497 -9.9912722 138 2.3645409 12.9312497 139 -8.6285296 2.3645409 140 9.1701386 -8.6285296 141 5.1528514 9.1701386 142 -0.1350861 5.1528514 143 -7.3616827 -0.1350861 144 -5.8961357 -7.3616827 145 8.7384547 -5.8961357 146 7.7346610 8.7384547 147 -1.0914437 7.7346610 148 -3.2143068 -1.0914437 149 -17.0661220 -3.2143068 150 -5.3634109 -17.0661220 151 -4.7725564 -5.3634109 152 -7.3766781 -4.7725564 153 -14.4992957 -7.3766781 154 3.2294772 -14.4992957 155 0.7718764 3.2294772 156 -1.2752312 0.7718764 157 5.1663362 -1.2752312 158 2.2903289 5.1663362 159 4.4465447 2.2903289 160 3.1559221 4.4465447 161 8.1932391 3.1559221 162 -3.0812693 8.1932391 163 4.3779633 -3.0812693 164 -11.3377468 4.3779633 165 6.0019950 -11.3377468 166 -0.5849330 6.0019950 167 8.0079622 -0.5849330 168 -6.3371028 8.0079622 169 2.2306961 -6.3371028 170 12.9105870 2.2306961 171 5.7259546 12.9105870 172 -11.3199127 5.7259546 > plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals') > lines(lowess(z)) > abline(lm(z)) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/rcomp/tmp/7qc7x1323886663.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/rcomp/tmp/8t6781323886663.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/www/rcomp/tmp/9j44k1323886663.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0)) > plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics') > par(opar) > dev.off() null device 1 > if (n > n25) { + postscript(file="/var/www/rcomp/tmp/10pmtc1323886663.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) + plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint') + grid() + dev.off() + } null device 1 > > #Note: the /var/www/rcomp/createtable file can be downloaded at http://www.wessa.net/cretab > load(file="/var/www/rcomp/createtable") > > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > myeq <- colnames(x)[1] > myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='') > for (i in 1:k){ + if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '') + myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ') + if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') { + myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='') + if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='') + } + } > myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]') > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, myeq) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/www/rcomp/tmp/110js81323886663.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > for (i in 1:k){ + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1]) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6)) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/www/rcomp/tmp/122giq1323886663.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared)) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3])) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror)) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/www/rcomp/tmp/1341dm1323886663.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation
Forecast', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals
Prediction Error', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > for (i in 1:n) { + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,x[i]) + a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i]) + a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i]) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/www/rcomp/tmp/14x8io1323886663.tab") > if (n > n25) { + a<-table.start() + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1]) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2]) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3]) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } + a<-table.end(a) + table.save(a,file="/var/www/rcomp/tmp/15kqld1323886663.tab") + a<-table.start() + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.end(a) + table.save(a,file="/var/www/rcomp/tmp/16wsmg1323886663.tab") + } > > try(system("convert tmp/1fcxv1323886663.ps tmp/1fcxv1323886663.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/21ki81323886663.ps tmp/21ki81323886663.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/3mdpg1323886663.ps tmp/3mdpg1323886663.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/47ina1323886663.ps tmp/47ina1323886663.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/5oojm1323886663.ps tmp/5oojm1323886663.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/6hwvv1323886663.ps tmp/6hwvv1323886663.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/7qc7x1323886663.ps tmp/7qc7x1323886663.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/8t6781323886663.ps tmp/8t6781323886663.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/9j44k1323886663.ps tmp/9j44k1323886663.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/10pmtc1323886663.ps tmp/10pmtc1323886663.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > > > proc.time() user system elapsed 6.120 0.240 6.337