R version 2.13.0 (2011-04-13) Copyright (C) 2011 The R Foundation for Statistical Computing ISBN 3-900051-07-0 Platform: i486-pc-linux-gnu (32-bit) R is free software and comes with ABSOLUTELY NO WARRANTY. You are welcome to redistribute it under certain conditions. Type 'license()' or 'licence()' for distribution details. R is a collaborative project with many contributors. Type 'contributors()' for more information and 'citation()' on how to cite R or R packages in publications. Type 'demo()' for some demos, 'help()' for on-line help, or 'help.start()' for an HTML browser interface to help. Type 'q()' to quit R. > x <- array(list(1418 + ,56 + ,396 + ,81 + ,30 + ,115 + ,94 + ,24188 + ,146283 + ,144 + ,145 + ,2 + ,2172 + ,89 + ,967 + ,125 + ,30 + ,116 + ,103 + ,32287 + ,96933 + ,135 + ,132 + ,4 + ,1583 + ,44 + ,656 + ,66 + ,26 + ,100 + ,93 + ,27101 + ,95757 + ,84 + ,84 + ,0 + ,1764 + ,84 + ,655 + ,74 + ,38 + ,140 + ,123 + ,19716 + ,143983 + ,130 + ,127 + ,0 + ,1495 + ,88 + ,465 + ,49 + ,44 + ,166 + ,148 + ,17753 + ,75851 + ,82 + ,78 + ,-4 + ,1373 + ,55 + ,525 + ,52 + ,30 + ,99 + ,90 + ,9028 + ,59238 + ,60 + ,60 + ,4 + ,2187 + ,60 + ,885 + ,88 + ,40 + ,139 + ,124 + ,18653 + ,93163 + ,131 + ,131 + ,4 + ,4041 + ,154 + ,1436 + ,108 + ,47 + ,181 + ,168 + ,29498 + ,151511 + ,140 + ,133 + ,0 + ,1706 + ,53 + ,612 + ,43 + ,30 + ,116 + ,115 + ,27563 + ,136368 + ,151 + ,150 + ,-1 + ,2152 + ,119 + ,865 + ,75 + ,31 + ,116 + ,71 + ,18293 + ,112642 + ,91 + ,91 + ,0 + ,2242 + ,75 + ,963 + ,86 + ,30 + ,108 + ,108 + ,16116 + ,127766 + ,119 + ,118 + ,1 + ,2515 + ,92 + ,966 + ,135 + ,34 + ,129 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+ ,1 + ,733 + ,20 + ,261 + ,45 + ,17 + ,66 + ,63 + ,5432 + ,27184 + ,34 + ,34 + ,0) + ,dim=c(12 + ,85) + ,dimnames=list(c('pageviews' + ,'logins' + ,'comp_views' + ,'comp_views_pr' + ,'comp_reviewed' + ,'FB_p1' + ,'feedback_p120' + ,'revisions' + ,'seconds' + ,'hyperlinks' + ,'blogs' + ,'testscores') + ,1:85)) > y <- array(NA,dim=c(12,85),dimnames=list(c('pageviews','logins','comp_views','comp_views_pr','comp_reviewed','FB_p1','feedback_p120','revisions','seconds','hyperlinks','blogs','testscores'),1:85)) > for (i in 1:dim(x)[1]) + { + for (j in 1:dim(x)[2]) + { + y[i,j] <- as.numeric(x[i,j]) + } + } > par3 = 'Linear Trend' > par2 = 'Do not include Seasonal Dummies' > par1 = '12' > #'GNU S' R Code compiled by R2WASP v. 1.0.44 () > #Author: Prof. Dr. P. Wessa > #To cite this work: AUTHOR(S), (YEAR), YOUR SOFTWARE TITLE (vNUMBER) in Free Statistics Software (v$_version), Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.wessa.net/rwasp_YOURPAGE.wasp/ > #Source of accompanying publication: Office for Research, Development, and Education > #Technical description: Write here your technical program description (don't use hard returns!) > library(lattice) > library(lmtest) Loading required package: zoo > n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test > par1 <- as.numeric(par1) > x <- t(y) > k <- length(x[1,]) > n <- length(x[,1]) > x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1]) > mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1]) > colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1] > x <- x1 > if (par3 == 'First Differences'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep=''))) + for (i in 1:n-1) { + for (j in 1:k) { + x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j] + } + } + x <- x2 + } > if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep =''))) + for (i in 1:11){ + x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1 + } + x <- cbind(x, x2) + } > if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep =''))) + for (i in 1:3){ + x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1 + } + x <- cbind(x, x2) + } > k <- length(x[1,]) > if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){ + x <- cbind(x, c(1:n)) + colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't' + } > x testscores pageviews logins comp_views comp_views_pr comp_reviewed FB_p1 1 2 1418 56 396 81 30 115 2 4 2172 89 967 125 30 116 3 0 1583 44 656 66 26 100 4 0 1764 84 655 74 38 140 5 -4 1495 88 465 49 44 166 6 4 1373 55 525 52 30 99 7 4 2187 60 885 88 40 139 8 0 4041 154 1436 108 47 181 9 -1 1706 53 612 43 30 116 10 0 2152 119 865 75 31 116 11 1 2242 75 963 86 30 108 12 0 2515 92 966 135 34 129 13 3 2147 100 801 63 31 118 14 -1 1638 73 513 52 33 125 15 4 2452 77 992 59 33 127 16 3 2662 99 937 64 36 136 17 1 865 30 260 32 14 46 18 0 1793 76 503 129 17 54 19 -2 2527 146 927 37 32 124 20 -3 2747 67 1269 31 30 115 21 -4 1324 56 537 65 35 128 22 2 1383 58 532 74 28 97 23 2 4308 119 1635 715 34 125 24 -4 1831 66 557 66 39 149 25 3 3373 89 1178 106 39 149 26 2 2352 41 866 112 29 108 27 2 2144 68 574 66 44 166 28 0 4691 168 1276 190 21 80 29 5 2694 132 825 165 28 107 30 -2 1769 71 663 61 28 107 31 0 3148 112 1069 53 38 146 32 -2 1954 70 711 38 32 123 33 -3 1226 57 503 50 29 111 34 2 1496 103 464 42 27 105 35 2 1943 52 657 53 40 155 36 2 1762 62 577 50 40 155 37 0 1403 45 619 77 28 104 38 4 1425 46 479 57 34 132 39 4 1857 63 817 73 33 127 40 2 1420 53 537 63 33 122 41 2 1644 78 465 47 35 87 42 -4 1054 46 299 57 29 109 43 3 937 41 248 36 20 78 44 3 2547 91 905 63 37 141 45 2 1626 63 512 63 33 124 46 -1 1964 63 786 110 29 112 47 -3 1381 32 489 56 28 108 48 0 1290 34 351 71 21 78 49 1 1982 93 669 56 41 158 50 -3 1590 55 506 79 20 78 51 3 1281 72 407 67 30 119 52 0 1272 42 316 76 22 88 53 0 1944 71 603 65 42 155 54 0 1605 65 577 45 32 123 55 3 1386 41 411 97 36 136 56 -3 2395 86 975 53 31 117 57 0 2699 95 964 144 33 124 58 -4 1606 49 537 60 40 151 59 2 1204 64 369 89 38 145 60 -1 1138 38 417 42 24 87 61 3 1111 52 389 52 43 165 62 2 2186 247 719 128 31 120 63 5 3604 139 1277 142 40 150 64 2 3261 110 1402 128 37 136 65 -2 1641 67 564 50 31 116 66 0 2312 83 747 50 39 150 67 3 2201 70 861 46 32 118 68 -2 961 32 319 57 18 71 69 0 1900 83 612 52 39 144 70 6 1645 70 564 48 30 110 71 -3 2429 103 824 91 37 147 72 3 872 34 239 70 32 111 73 0 1018 40 459 37 17 68 74 -2 1403 46 454 72 12 48 75 1 616 18 225 24 13 51 76 0 1232 60 389 90 17 68 77 2 1255 39 339 45 17 64 78 2 995 31 333 26 20 76 79 -3 2048 54 636 132 17 66 80 -2 301 14 93 35 17 68 81 1 628 23 170 48 17 66 82 -4 1597 77 530 124 22 83 83 0 717 19 201 35 15 55 84 1 652 49 227 49 12 41 85 0 733 20 261 45 17 66 feedback_p120 revisions seconds hyperlinks blogs t 1 94 24188 146283 144 145 1 2 103 32287 96933 135 132 2 3 93 27101 95757 84 84 3 4 123 19716 143983 130 127 4 5 148 17753 75851 82 78 5 6 90 9028 59238 60 60 6 7 124 18653 93163 131 131 7 8 168 29498 151511 140 133 8 9 115 27563 136368 151 150 9 10 71 18293 112642 91 91 10 11 108 16116 127766 119 118 11 12 120 26569 85646 123 119 12 13 114 24785 98579 90 89 13 14 120 23825 131741 113 108 14 15 124 34461 171975 175 162 15 16 126 24919 159676 96 92 16 17 37 12558 58391 41 41 17 18 38 7784 31580 47 47 18 19 120 28522 136815 126 120 19 20 93 22265 120642 105 105 20 21 95 14459 69107 80 79 21 22 90 22240 108016 73 70 22 23 110 11912 79336 68 67 23 24 138 18220 93176 127 127 24 25 133 19199 161632 154 152 25 26 96 25239 102996 112 109 26 27 164 29801 160604 137 133 27 28 78 18450 158051 135 123 28 29 102 34861 162647 230 230 29 30 99 16688 60622 71 68 30 31 129 24683 179566 147 147 31 32 114 21436 96144 105 101 32 33 99 30546 129847 107 108 33 34 104 15977 71180 116 114 34 35 138 14251 86767 89 88 35 36 151 16851 93487 84 83 36 37 72 21113 82981 113 113 37 38 120 17401 73815 120 118 38 39 115 23958 94552 110 110 39 40 98 14587 67808 78 76 40 41 71 20537 106175 145 141 41 42 107 30495 76669 91 91 42 43 73 7117 57283 48 48 43 44 129 33473 72413 150 144 44 45 118 21115 96971 181 168 45 46 104 32902 120336 121 117 46 47 107 25131 93913 99 100 47 48 36 6943 32036 40 37 48 49 139 31808 102255 87 87 49 50 56 17014 63506 66 64 50 51 93 6440 68370 58 58 51 52 87 18647 50517 77 76 52 53 110 20556 103950 130 129 53 54 83 22392 84396 101 101 54 55 98 8388 55515 120 89 55 56 82 22120 209056 195 193 56 57 115 20923 142775 106 101 57 58 140 20237 68847 83 82 58 59 120 3769 20112 37 36 59 60 66 12252 61023 77 75 60 61 139 21721 112494 144 131 61 62 119 17939 78876 95 90 62 63 141 23436 170745 169 166 63 64 133 34538 122037 134 133 64 65 98 25515 112283 197 196 65 66 117 29402 120691 140 136 66 67 105 28732 122422 125 123 67 68 55 5250 25899 21 21 68 69 132 28608 139296 167 163 69 70 73 14817 89455 96 96 70 71 86 16714 147866 151 151 71 72 48 1669 14336 23 23 72 73 48 7768 30059 21 14 73 74 43 7936 41907 90 87 74 75 46 7294 35885 60 56 75 76 65 13275 55764 26 25 76 77 52 5401 35619 41 41 77 78 68 8702 40557 35 33 78 79 47 8030 44197 68 68 79 80 41 1278 4103 6 6 80 81 47 1574 4694 0 0 81 82 71 9653 62991 41 39 82 83 30 7067 24261 38 37 83 84 24 1514 21425 47 47 84 85 63 5432 27184 34 34 85 > k <- length(x[1,]) > df <- as.data.frame(x) > (mylm <- lm(df)) Call: lm(formula = df) Coefficients: (Intercept) pageviews logins comp_views comp_views_pr -4.992e-01 -6.989e-04 3.966e-03 2.248e-03 1.338e-03 comp_reviewed FB_p1 feedback_p120 revisions seconds 2.827e-01 -8.931e-02 2.626e-02 -6.293e-05 -7.276e-06 hyperlinks blogs t 7.820e-02 -6.573e-02 -1.027e-03 > (mysum <- summary(mylm)) Call: lm(formula = df) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -5.0275 -1.4329 0.1254 1.5802 5.9229 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|) (Intercept) -4.992e-01 1.473e+00 -0.339 0.7356 pageviews -6.989e-04 1.359e-03 -0.514 0.6086 logins 3.966e-03 1.150e-02 0.345 0.7312 comp_views 2.248e-03 3.119e-03 0.721 0.4735 comp_views_pr 1.338e-03 4.867e-03 0.275 0.7841 comp_reviewed 2.827e-01 1.760e-01 1.607 0.1125 FB_p1 -8.931e-02 5.231e-02 -1.707 0.0921 . feedback_p120 2.626e-02 2.450e-02 1.072 0.2874 revisions -6.294e-05 5.914e-05 -1.064 0.2908 seconds -7.276e-06 1.398e-05 -0.520 0.6044 hyperlinks 7.820e-02 6.604e-02 1.184 0.2403 blogs -6.573e-02 6.855e-02 -0.959 0.3409 t -1.027e-03 1.373e-02 -0.075 0.9406 --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 2.5 on 72 degrees of freedom Multiple R-squared: 0.1163, Adjusted R-squared: -0.03101 F-statistic: 0.7895 on 12 and 72 DF, p-value: 0.6595 > if (n > n25) { + kp3 <- k + 3 + nmkm3 <- n - k - 3 + gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3)) + numgqtests <- 0 + numsignificant1 <- 0 + numsignificant5 <- 0 + numsignificant10 <- 0 + for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { + j <- 0 + numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1 + for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) { + j <- j + 1 + gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value + } + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1 + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1 + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1 + } + gqarr + } [,1] [,2] [,3] [1,] 0.4104710 0.82094199 0.58952900 [2,] 0.2591182 0.51823637 0.74088182 [3,] 0.1712565 0.34251298 0.82874351 [4,] 0.2842779 0.56855576 0.71572212 [5,] 0.1958271 0.39165418 0.80417291 [6,] 0.1498205 0.29964099 0.85017951 [7,] 0.1848937 0.36978737 0.81510631 [8,] 0.1212848 0.24256962 0.87871519 [9,] 0.1778364 0.35567279 0.82216361 [10,] 0.3346574 0.66931472 0.66534264 [11,] 0.2634991 0.52699811 0.73650095 [12,] 0.2030079 0.40601583 0.79699208 [13,] 0.2046242 0.40924834 0.79537583 [14,] 0.2711821 0.54236426 0.72881787 [15,] 0.3361104 0.67222080 0.66388960 [16,] 0.2730262 0.54605232 0.72697384 [17,] 0.3020825 0.60416498 0.69791751 [18,] 0.3653476 0.73069522 0.63465239 [19,] 0.5977904 0.80441929 0.40220964 [20,] 0.7766487 0.44670260 0.22335130 [21,] 0.8006698 0.39866047 0.19933023 [22,] 0.7484114 0.50317715 0.25158857 [23,] 0.8082212 0.38355763 0.19177881 [24,] 0.8429082 0.31418356 0.15709178 [25,] 0.8110573 0.37788531 0.18894266 [26,] 0.8511163 0.29776740 0.14888370 [27,] 0.8737593 0.25248133 0.12624066 [28,] 0.8657799 0.26844024 0.13422012 [29,] 0.8454504 0.30909926 0.15454963 [30,] 0.8067161 0.38656771 0.19328385 [31,] 0.8014292 0.39714153 0.19857077 [32,] 0.7918368 0.41632636 0.20816318 [33,] 0.7385515 0.52289698 0.26144849 [34,] 0.7075676 0.58486478 0.29243239 [35,] 0.6770789 0.64584214 0.32292107 [36,] 0.7280016 0.54399671 0.27199835 [37,] 0.7710994 0.45780128 0.22890064 [38,] 0.7094730 0.58105394 0.29052697 [39,] 0.6875160 0.62496806 0.31248403 [40,] 0.6559654 0.68806916 0.34403458 [41,] 0.7333065 0.53338700 0.26669350 [42,] 0.6596979 0.68060424 0.34030212 [43,] 0.8488113 0.30237747 0.15118874 [44,] 0.7947120 0.41057605 0.20528803 [45,] 0.8579452 0.28410959 0.14205479 [46,] 0.9380503 0.12389945 0.06194972 [47,] 0.8991996 0.20160088 0.10080044 [48,] 0.9160337 0.16793257 0.08396628 [49,] 0.8711340 0.25773204 0.12886602 [50,] 0.8099762 0.38004751 0.19002376 [51,] 0.7088795 0.58224109 0.29112054 [52,] 0.6558070 0.68838604 0.34419302 [53,] 0.9566915 0.08661703 0.04330851 [54,] 0.8826906 0.23461880 0.11730940 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/1d1vt1323948800.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index') > points(x[,1]-mysum$resid) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/2xfvn1323948800.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/3bjcw1323948800.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/47fsf1323948801.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals') > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/5j13r1323948801.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot') > qqline(mysum$resid) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > (myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid)) Time Series: Start = 1 End = 85 Frequency = 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 2.44780471 3.35556193 0.36420517 -1.16811221 -5.02752877 2.24489211 7 8 9 10 11 12 1.75712662 -1.43286236 -1.30607050 0.06408498 -0.77770223 -1.19178258 13 14 15 16 17 18 2.60141697 -1.45085766 2.75383321 2.72120667 1.25745084 -0.68167448 19 20 21 22 23 24 -2.72633061 -3.40347651 -4.67877301 1.42513464 -0.49420037 -4.90044315 25 26 27 28 29 30 1.86050912 1.58023922 1.52902163 -0.98395600 4.28361814 -2.63805327 31 32 33 34 35 36 -0.25167521 -2.60814662 -2.32032124 1.03044109 1.40218827 1.35440691 37 38 39 40 41 42 -0.15045457 3.22828702 3.46986205 1.33102302 -1.72293529 -3.58350116 43 44 45 46 47 48 3.09092710 1.95811973 -0.23443871 -0.99752879 -2.77278991 0.48898883 49 50 51 52 53 54 1.51748409 -2.37988526 3.04041502 0.33298894 -0.36835727 0.58368062 55 56 57 58 59 60 0.10069982 -3.49147144 -0.86233198 -4.62604531 1.11079018 -1.41314696 61 62 63 64 65 66 1.65247455 0.34116780 3.26865914 0.60291422 -2.96514574 0.12541054 67 68 69 70 71 72 2.57473274 -1.61481434 -1.03974801 5.92288861 -2.45849653 2.94529157 73 74 75 76 77 78 0.03777315 -2.49368899 0.77795667 0.61671653 2.11036747 1.99079627 79 80 81 82 83 84 -2.97579835 -1.29403035 1.47096008 -4.21153533 0.47665468 0.57485285 85 -0.07791443 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/6xojt1323948801.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror) > dum Time Series: Start = 0 End = 85 Frequency = 1 lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror 0 2.44780471 NA 1 3.35556193 2.44780471 2 0.36420517 3.35556193 3 -1.16811221 0.36420517 4 -5.02752877 -1.16811221 5 2.24489211 -5.02752877 6 1.75712662 2.24489211 7 -1.43286236 1.75712662 8 -1.30607050 -1.43286236 9 0.06408498 -1.30607050 10 -0.77770223 0.06408498 11 -1.19178258 -0.77770223 12 2.60141697 -1.19178258 13 -1.45085766 2.60141697 14 2.75383321 -1.45085766 15 2.72120667 2.75383321 16 1.25745084 2.72120667 17 -0.68167448 1.25745084 18 -2.72633061 -0.68167448 19 -3.40347651 -2.72633061 20 -4.67877301 -3.40347651 21 1.42513464 -4.67877301 22 -0.49420037 1.42513464 23 -4.90044315 -0.49420037 24 1.86050912 -4.90044315 25 1.58023922 1.86050912 26 1.52902163 1.58023922 27 -0.98395600 1.52902163 28 4.28361814 -0.98395600 29 -2.63805327 4.28361814 30 -0.25167521 -2.63805327 31 -2.60814662 -0.25167521 32 -2.32032124 -2.60814662 33 1.03044109 -2.32032124 34 1.40218827 1.03044109 35 1.35440691 1.40218827 36 -0.15045457 1.35440691 37 3.22828702 -0.15045457 38 3.46986205 3.22828702 39 1.33102302 3.46986205 40 -1.72293529 1.33102302 41 -3.58350116 -1.72293529 42 3.09092710 -3.58350116 43 1.95811973 3.09092710 44 -0.23443871 1.95811973 45 -0.99752879 -0.23443871 46 -2.77278991 -0.99752879 47 0.48898883 -2.77278991 48 1.51748409 0.48898883 49 -2.37988526 1.51748409 50 3.04041502 -2.37988526 51 0.33298894 3.04041502 52 -0.36835727 0.33298894 53 0.58368062 -0.36835727 54 0.10069982 0.58368062 55 -3.49147144 0.10069982 56 -0.86233198 -3.49147144 57 -4.62604531 -0.86233198 58 1.11079018 -4.62604531 59 -1.41314696 1.11079018 60 1.65247455 -1.41314696 61 0.34116780 1.65247455 62 3.26865914 0.34116780 63 0.60291422 3.26865914 64 -2.96514574 0.60291422 65 0.12541054 -2.96514574 66 2.57473274 0.12541054 67 -1.61481434 2.57473274 68 -1.03974801 -1.61481434 69 5.92288861 -1.03974801 70 -2.45849653 5.92288861 71 2.94529157 -2.45849653 72 0.03777315 2.94529157 73 -2.49368899 0.03777315 74 0.77795667 -2.49368899 75 0.61671653 0.77795667 76 2.11036747 0.61671653 77 1.99079627 2.11036747 78 -2.97579835 1.99079627 79 -1.29403035 -2.97579835 80 1.47096008 -1.29403035 81 -4.21153533 1.47096008 82 0.47665468 -4.21153533 83 0.57485285 0.47665468 84 -0.07791443 0.57485285 85 NA -0.07791443 > dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),] > dum1 lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror [1,] 3.35556193 2.44780471 [2,] 0.36420517 3.35556193 [3,] -1.16811221 0.36420517 [4,] -5.02752877 -1.16811221 [5,] 2.24489211 -5.02752877 [6,] 1.75712662 2.24489211 [7,] -1.43286236 1.75712662 [8,] -1.30607050 -1.43286236 [9,] 0.06408498 -1.30607050 [10,] -0.77770223 0.06408498 [11,] -1.19178258 -0.77770223 [12,] 2.60141697 -1.19178258 [13,] -1.45085766 2.60141697 [14,] 2.75383321 -1.45085766 [15,] 2.72120667 2.75383321 [16,] 1.25745084 2.72120667 [17,] -0.68167448 1.25745084 [18,] -2.72633061 -0.68167448 [19,] -3.40347651 -2.72633061 [20,] -4.67877301 -3.40347651 [21,] 1.42513464 -4.67877301 [22,] -0.49420037 1.42513464 [23,] -4.90044315 -0.49420037 [24,] 1.86050912 -4.90044315 [25,] 1.58023922 1.86050912 [26,] 1.52902163 1.58023922 [27,] -0.98395600 1.52902163 [28,] 4.28361814 -0.98395600 [29,] -2.63805327 4.28361814 [30,] -0.25167521 -2.63805327 [31,] -2.60814662 -0.25167521 [32,] -2.32032124 -2.60814662 [33,] 1.03044109 -2.32032124 [34,] 1.40218827 1.03044109 [35,] 1.35440691 1.40218827 [36,] -0.15045457 1.35440691 [37,] 3.22828702 -0.15045457 [38,] 3.46986205 3.22828702 [39,] 1.33102302 3.46986205 [40,] -1.72293529 1.33102302 [41,] -3.58350116 -1.72293529 [42,] 3.09092710 -3.58350116 [43,] 1.95811973 3.09092710 [44,] -0.23443871 1.95811973 [45,] -0.99752879 -0.23443871 [46,] -2.77278991 -0.99752879 [47,] 0.48898883 -2.77278991 [48,] 1.51748409 0.48898883 [49,] -2.37988526 1.51748409 [50,] 3.04041502 -2.37988526 [51,] 0.33298894 3.04041502 [52,] -0.36835727 0.33298894 [53,] 0.58368062 -0.36835727 [54,] 0.10069982 0.58368062 [55,] -3.49147144 0.10069982 [56,] -0.86233198 -3.49147144 [57,] -4.62604531 -0.86233198 [58,] 1.11079018 -4.62604531 [59,] -1.41314696 1.11079018 [60,] 1.65247455 -1.41314696 [61,] 0.34116780 1.65247455 [62,] 3.26865914 0.34116780 [63,] 0.60291422 3.26865914 [64,] -2.96514574 0.60291422 [65,] 0.12541054 -2.96514574 [66,] 2.57473274 0.12541054 [67,] -1.61481434 2.57473274 [68,] -1.03974801 -1.61481434 [69,] 5.92288861 -1.03974801 [70,] -2.45849653 5.92288861 [71,] 2.94529157 -2.45849653 [72,] 0.03777315 2.94529157 [73,] -2.49368899 0.03777315 [74,] 0.77795667 -2.49368899 [75,] 0.61671653 0.77795667 [76,] 2.11036747 0.61671653 [77,] 1.99079627 2.11036747 [78,] -2.97579835 1.99079627 [79,] -1.29403035 -2.97579835 [80,] 1.47096008 -1.29403035 [81,] -4.21153533 1.47096008 [82,] 0.47665468 -4.21153533 [83,] 0.57485285 0.47665468 [84,] -0.07791443 0.57485285 > z <- as.data.frame(dum1) > z lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror 1 3.35556193 2.44780471 2 0.36420517 3.35556193 3 -1.16811221 0.36420517 4 -5.02752877 -1.16811221 5 2.24489211 -5.02752877 6 1.75712662 2.24489211 7 -1.43286236 1.75712662 8 -1.30607050 -1.43286236 9 0.06408498 -1.30607050 10 -0.77770223 0.06408498 11 -1.19178258 -0.77770223 12 2.60141697 -1.19178258 13 -1.45085766 2.60141697 14 2.75383321 -1.45085766 15 2.72120667 2.75383321 16 1.25745084 2.72120667 17 -0.68167448 1.25745084 18 -2.72633061 -0.68167448 19 -3.40347651 -2.72633061 20 -4.67877301 -3.40347651 21 1.42513464 -4.67877301 22 -0.49420037 1.42513464 23 -4.90044315 -0.49420037 24 1.86050912 -4.90044315 25 1.58023922 1.86050912 26 1.52902163 1.58023922 27 -0.98395600 1.52902163 28 4.28361814 -0.98395600 29 -2.63805327 4.28361814 30 -0.25167521 -2.63805327 31 -2.60814662 -0.25167521 32 -2.32032124 -2.60814662 33 1.03044109 -2.32032124 34 1.40218827 1.03044109 35 1.35440691 1.40218827 36 -0.15045457 1.35440691 37 3.22828702 -0.15045457 38 3.46986205 3.22828702 39 1.33102302 3.46986205 40 -1.72293529 1.33102302 41 -3.58350116 -1.72293529 42 3.09092710 -3.58350116 43 1.95811973 3.09092710 44 -0.23443871 1.95811973 45 -0.99752879 -0.23443871 46 -2.77278991 -0.99752879 47 0.48898883 -2.77278991 48 1.51748409 0.48898883 49 -2.37988526 1.51748409 50 3.04041502 -2.37988526 51 0.33298894 3.04041502 52 -0.36835727 0.33298894 53 0.58368062 -0.36835727 54 0.10069982 0.58368062 55 -3.49147144 0.10069982 56 -0.86233198 -3.49147144 57 -4.62604531 -0.86233198 58 1.11079018 -4.62604531 59 -1.41314696 1.11079018 60 1.65247455 -1.41314696 61 0.34116780 1.65247455 62 3.26865914 0.34116780 63 0.60291422 3.26865914 64 -2.96514574 0.60291422 65 0.12541054 -2.96514574 66 2.57473274 0.12541054 67 -1.61481434 2.57473274 68 -1.03974801 -1.61481434 69 5.92288861 -1.03974801 70 -2.45849653 5.92288861 71 2.94529157 -2.45849653 72 0.03777315 2.94529157 73 -2.49368899 0.03777315 74 0.77795667 -2.49368899 75 0.61671653 0.77795667 76 2.11036747 0.61671653 77 1.99079627 2.11036747 78 -2.97579835 1.99079627 79 -1.29403035 -2.97579835 80 1.47096008 -1.29403035 81 -4.21153533 1.47096008 82 0.47665468 -4.21153533 83 0.57485285 0.47665468 84 -0.07791443 0.57485285 > plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals') > lines(lowess(z)) > abline(lm(z)) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/7mfla1323948801.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/8hqov1323948801.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/9skpp1323948801.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0)) > plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics') > par(opar) > dev.off() null device 1 > if (n > n25) { + postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/10zlda1323948801.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) + plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint') + grid() + dev.off() + } null device 1 > > #Note: the /var/wessaorg/rcomp/createtable file can be downloaded at http://www.wessa.net/cretab > load(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/createtable") > > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > myeq <- colnames(x)[1] > myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='') > for (i in 1:k){ + if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '') + myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ') + if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') { + myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='') + if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='') + } + } > myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]') > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, myeq) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/114q6b1323948801.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > for (i in 1:k){ + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1]) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6)) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/125zrp1323948801.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared)) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3])) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror)) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/130uhy1323948801.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation
Forecast', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals
Prediction Error', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > for (i in 1:n) { + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,x[i]) + a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i]) + a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i]) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/14j0r51323948801.tab") > if (n > n25) { + a<-table.start() + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1]) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2]) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3]) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } + a<-table.end(a) + table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/15gdgy1323948801.tab") + a<-table.start() + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.end(a) + table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/1634uv1323948801.tab") + } > > try(system("convert tmp/1d1vt1323948800.ps tmp/1d1vt1323948800.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/2xfvn1323948800.ps tmp/2xfvn1323948800.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/3bjcw1323948800.ps tmp/3bjcw1323948800.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/47fsf1323948801.ps tmp/47fsf1323948801.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/5j13r1323948801.ps tmp/5j13r1323948801.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/6xojt1323948801.ps tmp/6xojt1323948801.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/7mfla1323948801.ps tmp/7mfla1323948801.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/8hqov1323948801.ps tmp/8hqov1323948801.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/9skpp1323948801.ps tmp/9skpp1323948801.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/10zlda1323948801.ps tmp/10zlda1323948801.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > > > proc.time() user system elapsed 3.733 0.685 4.614