R version 2.13.0 (2011-04-13) Copyright (C) 2011 The R Foundation for Statistical Computing ISBN 3-900051-07-0 Platform: i486-pc-linux-gnu (32-bit) R is free software and comes with ABSOLUTELY NO WARRANTY. You are welcome to redistribute it under certain conditions. Type 'license()' or 'licence()' for distribution details. R is a collaborative project with many contributors. Type 'contributors()' for more information and 'citation()' on how to cite R or R packages in publications. Type 'demo()' for some demos, 'help()' for on-line help, or 'help.start()' for an HTML browser interface to help. Type 'q()' to quit R. > x <- array(list(210907 + ,1418 + ,30 + ,94 + ,120982 + ,869 + ,28 + ,103 + ,176508 + ,1530 + ,38 + ,93 + ,179321 + ,2172 + ,30 + ,103 + ,123185 + ,901 + ,22 + ,51 + ,52746 + ,463 + ,26 + ,70 + ,385534 + ,3201 + ,25 + ,91 + ,33170 + ,371 + ,18 + ,22 + ,101645 + ,1192 + ,11 + ,38 + ,149061 + ,1583 + ,26 + ,93 + ,165446 + ,1439 + ,25 + ,60 + ,237213 + ,1764 + ,38 + ,123 + ,173326 + ,1495 + ,44 + ,148 + ,133131 + ,1373 + ,30 + ,90 + ,258873 + ,2187 + ,40 + ,124 + ,180083 + ,1491 + ,34 + ,70 + ,324799 + ,4041 + ,47 + ,168 + ,230964 + ,1706 + ,30 + ,115 + ,236785 + ,2152 + ,31 + ,71 + ,135473 + ,1036 + ,23 + ,66 + ,202925 + ,1882 + ,36 + ,134 + ,215147 + ,1929 + ,36 + ,117 + ,344297 + ,2242 + ,30 + ,108 + ,153935 + ,1220 + ,25 + ,84 + ,132943 + ,1289 + ,39 + ,156 + ,174724 + ,2515 + ,34 + ,120 + ,174415 + ,2147 + ,31 + ,114 + ,225548 + ,2352 + ,31 + ,94 + ,223632 + ,1638 + ,33 + ,120 + ,124817 + ,1222 + ,25 + ,81 + ,221698 + ,1812 + ,33 + ,110 + ,210767 + ,1677 + ,35 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+ ,21 + ,42 + ,56653 + ,675 + ,18 + ,49 + ,158399 + ,1241 + ,18 + ,57 + ,46455 + ,676 + ,17 + ,12 + ,73624 + ,1049 + ,17 + ,40 + ,38395 + ,620 + ,16 + ,43 + ,91899 + ,1081 + ,15 + ,33 + ,139526 + ,1688 + ,21 + ,77 + ,52164 + ,736 + ,16 + ,43 + ,51567 + ,617 + ,14 + ,45 + ,70551 + ,812 + ,15 + ,47 + ,84856 + ,1051 + ,17 + ,43 + ,102538 + ,1656 + ,15 + ,45 + ,86678 + ,705 + ,15 + ,50 + ,85709 + ,945 + ,10 + ,35 + ,34662 + ,554 + ,6 + ,7 + ,150580 + ,1597 + ,22 + ,71 + ,99611 + ,982 + ,21 + ,67 + ,19349 + ,222 + ,1 + ,0 + ,99373 + ,1212 + ,18 + ,62 + ,86230 + ,1143 + ,17 + ,54 + ,30837 + ,435 + ,4 + ,4 + ,31706 + ,532 + ,10 + ,25 + ,89806 + ,882 + ,16 + ,40 + ,62088 + ,608 + ,16 + ,38 + ,40151 + ,459 + ,9 + ,19 + ,27634 + ,578 + ,16 + ,17 + ,76990 + ,826 + ,17 + ,67 + ,37460 + ,509 + ,7 + ,14 + ,54157 + ,717 + ,15 + ,30 + ,49862 + ,637 + ,14 + ,54 + ,84337 + ,857 + ,14 + ,35 + ,64175 + ,830 + ,18 + ,59 + ,59382 + ,652 + ,12 + ,24 + ,119308 + ,707 + ,16 + ,58 + ,76702 + ,954 + ,21 + ,42 + ,103425 + ,1461 + ,19 + ,46 + ,70344 + ,672 + ,16 + ,61 + ,43410 + ,778 + ,1 + ,3 + ,104838 + ,1141 + ,16 + ,52 + ,62215 + ,680 + ,10 + ,25 + ,69304 + ,1090 + ,19 + ,40 + ,53117 + ,616 + ,12 + ,32 + ,19764 + ,285 + ,2 + ,4 + ,86680 + ,1145 + ,14 + ,49 + ,84105 + ,733 + ,17 + ,63 + ,77945 + ,888 + ,19 + ,67 + ,89113 + ,849 + ,14 + ,32 + ,91005 + ,1182 + ,11 + ,23 + ,40248 + ,528 + ,4 + ,7 + ,64187 + ,642 + ,16 + ,54 + ,50857 + ,947 + ,20 + ,37 + ,56613 + ,819 + ,12 + ,35 + ,62792 + ,757 + ,15 + ,51 + ,72535 + ,894 + ,16 + ,39) + ,dim=c(4 + ,289) + ,dimnames=list(c('time_in_rfc' + ,'pageviews' + ,'compendiums_reviewed' + ,'feedback_messages_p120 ') + ,1:289)) > y <- array(NA,dim=c(4,289),dimnames=list(c('time_in_rfc','pageviews','compendiums_reviewed','feedback_messages_p120 '),1:289)) > for (i in 1:dim(x)[1]) + { + for (j in 1:dim(x)[2]) + { + y[i,j] <- as.numeric(x[i,j]) + } + } > par3 = 'No Linear Trend' > par2 = 'Do not include Seasonal Dummies' > par1 = '1' > #'GNU S' R Code compiled by R2WASP v. 1.0.44 () > #Author: Prof. Dr. P. Wessa > #To cite this work: AUTHOR(S), (YEAR), YOUR SOFTWARE TITLE (vNUMBER) in Free Statistics Software (v$_version), Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.wessa.net/rwasp_YOURPAGE.wasp/ > #Source of accompanying publication: Office for Research, Development, and Education > #Technical description: Write here your technical program description (don't use hard returns!) > library(lattice) > library(lmtest) Loading required package: zoo > n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test > par1 <- as.numeric(par1) > x <- t(y) > k <- length(x[1,]) > n <- length(x[,1]) > x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1]) > mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1]) > colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1] > x <- x1 > if (par3 == 'First Differences'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep=''))) + for (i in 1:n-1) { + for (j in 1:k) { + x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j] + } + } + x <- x2 + } > if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep =''))) + for (i in 1:11){ + x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1 + } + x <- cbind(x, x2) + } > if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep =''))) + for (i in 1:3){ + x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1 + } + x <- cbind(x, x2) + } > k <- length(x[1,]) > if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){ + x <- cbind(x, c(1:n)) + colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't' + } > x time_in_rfc pageviews compendiums_reviewed feedback_messages_p120\r 1 210907 1418 30 94 2 120982 869 28 103 3 176508 1530 38 93 4 179321 2172 30 103 5 123185 901 22 51 6 52746 463 26 70 7 385534 3201 25 91 8 33170 371 18 22 9 101645 1192 11 38 10 149061 1583 26 93 11 165446 1439 25 60 12 237213 1764 38 123 13 173326 1495 44 148 14 133131 1373 30 90 15 258873 2187 40 124 16 180083 1491 34 70 17 324799 4041 47 168 18 230964 1706 30 115 19 236785 2152 31 71 20 135473 1036 23 66 21 202925 1882 36 134 22 215147 1929 36 117 23 344297 2242 30 108 24 153935 1220 25 84 25 132943 1289 39 156 26 174724 2515 34 120 27 174415 2147 31 114 28 225548 2352 31 94 29 223632 1638 33 120 30 124817 1222 25 81 31 221698 1812 33 110 32 210767 1677 35 133 33 170266 1579 42 122 34 260561 1731 43 158 35 84853 807 30 109 36 294424 2452 33 124 37 101011 829 13 39 38 215641 1940 32 92 39 325107 2662 36 126 40 7176 186 0 0 41 167542 1499 28 70 42 106408 865 14 37 43 96560 1793 17 38 44 265769 2527 32 120 45 269651 2747 30 93 46 149112 1324 35 95 47 175824 2702 20 77 48 152871 1383 28 90 49 111665 1179 28 80 50 116408 2099 39 31 51 362301 4308 34 110 52 78800 918 26 66 53 183167 1831 39 138 54 277965 3373 39 133 55 150629 1713 33 113 56 168809 1438 28 100 57 24188 496 4 7 58 329267 2253 39 140 59 65029 744 18 61 60 101097 1161 14 41 61 218946 2352 29 96 62 244052 2144 44 164 63 341570 4691 21 78 64 103597 1112 16 49 65 233328 2694 28 102 66 256462 1973 35 124 67 206161 1769 28 99 68 311473 3148 38 129 69 235800 2474 23 62 70 177939 2084 36 73 71 207176 1954 32 114 72 196553 1226 29 99 73 174184 1389 25 70 74 143246 1496 27 104 75 187559 2269 36 116 76 187681 1833 28 91 77 119016 1268 23 74 78 182192 1943 40 138 79 73566 893 23 67 80 194979 1762 40 151 81 167488 1403 28 72 82 143756 1425 34 120 83 275541 1857 33 115 84 243199 1840 28 105 85 182999 1502 34 104 86 135649 1441 30 108 87 152299 1420 33 98 88 120221 1416 22 69 89 346485 2970 38 111 90 145790 1317 26 99 91 193339 1644 35 71 92 80953 870 8 27 93 122774 1654 24 69 94 130585 1054 29 107 95 112611 937 20 73 96 286468 3004 29 107 97 241066 2008 45 93 98 148446 2547 37 129 99 204713 1885 33 69 100 182079 1626 33 118 101 140344 1468 25 73 102 220516 2445 32 119 103 243060 1964 29 104 104 162765 1381 28 107 105 182613 1369 28 99 106 232138 1659 31 90 107 265318 2888 52 197 108 85574 1290 21 36 109 310839 2845 24 85 110 225060 1982 41 139 111 232317 1904 33 106 112 144966 1391 32 50 113 43287 602 19 64 114 155754 1743 20 31 115 164709 1559 31 63 116 201940 2014 31 92 117 235454 2143 32 106 118 220801 2146 18 63 119 99466 874 23 69 120 92661 1590 17 41 121 133328 1590 20 56 122 61361 1210 12 25 123 125930 2072 17 65 124 100750 1281 30 93 125 224549 1401 31 114 126 82316 834 10 38 127 102010 1105 13 44 128 101523 1272 22 87 129 243511 1944 42 110 130 22938 391 1 0 131 41566 761 9 27 132 152474 1605 32 83 133 61857 530 11 30 134 99923 1988 25 80 135 132487 1386 36 98 136 317394 2395 31 82 137 21054 387 0 0 138 209641 1742 24 60 139 22648 620 13 28 140 31414 449 8 9 141 46698 800 13 33 142 131698 1684 19 59 143 91735 1050 18 49 144 244749 2699 33 115 145 184510 1606 40 140 146 79863 1502 22 49 147 128423 1204 38 120 148 97839 1138 24 66 149 38214 568 8 21 150 151101 1459 35 124 151 272458 2158 43 152 152 172494 1111 43 139 153 108043 1421 14 38 154 328107 2833 41 144 155 250579 1955 38 120 156 351067 2922 45 160 157 158015 1002 31 114 158 98866 1060 13 39 159 85439 956 28 78 160 229242 2186 31 119 161 351619 3604 40 141 162 84207 1035 30 101 163 120445 1417 16 56 164 324598 3261 37 133 165 131069 1587 30 83 166 204271 1424 35 116 167 165543 1701 32 90 168 141722 1249 27 36 169 116048 946 20 50 170 250047 1926 18 61 171 299775 3352 31 97 172 195838 1641 31 98 173 173260 2035 21 78 174 254488 2312 39 117 175 104389 1369 41 148 176 136084 1577 13 41 177 199476 2201 32 105 178 92499 961 18 55 179 224330 1900 39 132 180 135781 1254 14 44 181 74408 1335 7 21 182 81240 1597 17 50 183 14688 207 0 0 184 181633 1645 30 73 185 271856 2429 37 86 186 7199 151 0 0 187 46660 474 5 13 188 17547 141 1 4 189 133368 1639 16 57 190 95227 872 32 48 191 152601 1318 24 46 192 98146 1018 17 48 193 79619 1383 11 32 194 59194 1314 24 68 195 139942 1335 22 87 196 118612 1403 12 43 197 72880 910 19 67 198 65475 616 13 46 199 99643 1407 17 46 200 71965 771 15 56 201 77272 766 16 48 202 49289 473 24 44 203 135131 1376 15 60 204 108446 1232 17 65 205 89746 1521 18 55 206 44296 572 20 38 207 77648 1059 16 52 208 181528 1544 16 60 209 134019 1230 18 54 210 124064 1206 22 86 211 92630 1205 8 24 212 121848 1255 17 52 213 52915 613 18 49 214 81872 721 16 61 215 58981 1109 23 61 216 53515 740 22 81 217 60812 1126 13 43 218 56375 728 13 40 219 65490 689 16 40 220 80949 592 16 56 221 76302 995 20 68 222 104011 1613 22 79 223 98104 2048 17 47 224 67989 705 18 57 225 30989 301 17 41 226 135458 1803 12 29 227 73504 799 7 3 228 63123 861 17 60 229 61254 1186 14 30 230 74914 1451 23 79 231 31774 628 17 47 232 81437 1161 14 40 233 87186 1463 15 48 234 50090 742 17 36 235 65745 979 21 42 236 56653 675 18 49 237 158399 1241 18 57 238 46455 676 17 12 239 73624 1049 17 40 240 38395 620 16 43 241 91899 1081 15 33 242 139526 1688 21 77 243 52164 736 16 43 244 51567 617 14 45 245 70551 812 15 47 246 84856 1051 17 43 247 102538 1656 15 45 248 86678 705 15 50 249 85709 945 10 35 250 34662 554 6 7 251 150580 1597 22 71 252 99611 982 21 67 253 19349 222 1 0 254 99373 1212 18 62 255 86230 1143 17 54 256 30837 435 4 4 257 31706 532 10 25 258 89806 882 16 40 259 62088 608 16 38 260 40151 459 9 19 261 27634 578 16 17 262 76990 826 17 67 263 37460 509 7 14 264 54157 717 15 30 265 49862 637 14 54 266 84337 857 14 35 267 64175 830 18 59 268 59382 652 12 24 269 119308 707 16 58 270 76702 954 21 42 271 103425 1461 19 46 272 70344 672 16 61 273 43410 778 1 3 274 104838 1141 16 52 275 62215 680 10 25 276 69304 1090 19 40 277 53117 616 12 32 278 19764 285 2 4 279 86680 1145 14 49 280 84105 733 17 63 281 77945 888 19 67 282 89113 849 14 32 283 91005 1182 11 23 284 40248 528 4 7 285 64187 642 16 54 286 50857 947 20 37 287 56613 819 12 35 288 62792 757 15 51 289 72535 894 16 39 > k <- length(x[1,]) > df <- as.data.frame(x) > (mylm <- lm(df)) Call: lm(formula = df) Coefficients: (Intercept) pageviews -21842.66 75.48 compendiums_reviewed `feedback_messages_p120\r` 942.87 432.05 > (mysum <- summary(mylm)) Call: lm(formula = df) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -112577 -18639 464 17921 121968 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|) (Intercept) -21842.658 4809.304 -4.542 8.24e-06 *** pageviews 75.479 3.491 21.621 < 2e-16 *** compendiums_reviewed 942.873 453.784 2.078 0.038623 * `feedback_messages_p120\r` 432.053 124.294 3.476 0.000588 *** --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 31880 on 285 degrees of freedom Multiple R-squared: 0.8517, Adjusted R-squared: 0.8501 F-statistic: 545.5 on 3 and 285 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16 > if (n > n25) { + kp3 <- k + 3 + nmkm3 <- n - k - 3 + gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3)) + numgqtests <- 0 + numsignificant1 <- 0 + numsignificant5 <- 0 + numsignificant10 <- 0 + for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { + j <- 0 + numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1 + for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) { + j <- j + 1 + gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value + } + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1 + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1 + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1 + } + gqarr + } [,1] [,2] [,3] [1,] 0.9432163 1.135674e-01 5.678370e-02 [2,] 0.9140125 1.719750e-01 8.598748e-02 [3,] 0.8905583 2.188834e-01 1.094417e-01 [4,] 0.8674840 2.650319e-01 1.325160e-01 [5,] 0.8022305 3.955390e-01 1.977695e-01 [6,] 0.7616187 4.767626e-01 2.383813e-01 [7,] 0.7071880 5.856240e-01 2.928120e-01 [8,] 0.6738852 6.522296e-01 3.261148e-01 [9,] 0.5912754 8.174493e-01 4.087246e-01 [10,] 0.5078435 9.843130e-01 4.921565e-01 [11,] 0.9357810 1.284380e-01 6.421899e-02 [12,] 0.9479903 1.040194e-01 5.200971e-02 [13,] 0.9313405 1.373189e-01 6.865947e-02 [14,] 0.9085058 1.829884e-01 9.149422e-02 [15,] 0.8776130 2.447741e-01 1.223870e-01 [16,] 0.8407787 3.184426e-01 1.592213e-01 [17,] 0.9894412 2.111756e-02 1.055878e-02 [18,] 0.9847385 3.052293e-02 1.526147e-02 [19,] 0.9832212 3.355755e-02 1.677878e-02 [20,] 0.9979042 4.191565e-03 2.095783e-03 [21,] 0.9986304 2.739150e-03 1.369575e-03 [22,] 0.9980365 3.927098e-03 1.963549e-03 [23,] 0.9982819 3.436151e-03 1.718076e-03 [24,] 0.9976428 4.714300e-03 2.357150e-03 [25,] 0.9970966 5.806865e-03 2.903433e-03 [26,] 0.9962436 7.512783e-03 3.756392e-03 [27,] 0.9947475 1.050500e-02 5.252501e-03 [28,] 0.9970938 5.812409e-03 2.906205e-03 [29,] 0.9968573 6.285344e-03 3.142672e-03 [30,] 0.9971148 5.770326e-03 2.885163e-03 [31,] 0.9960806 7.838786e-03 3.919393e-03 [32,] 0.9946422 1.071567e-02 5.357834e-03 [33,] 0.9962103 7.579366e-03 3.789683e-03 [34,] 0.9954278 9.144450e-03 4.572225e-03 [35,] 0.9937714 1.245719e-02 6.228593e-03 [36,] 0.9920586 1.588283e-02 7.941416e-03 [37,] 0.9977728 4.454394e-03 2.227197e-03 [38,] 0.9969043 6.191379e-03 3.095689e-03 [39,] 0.9957862 8.427576e-03 4.213788e-03 [40,] 0.9942574 1.148521e-02 5.742607e-03 [41,] 0.9982887 3.422559e-03 1.711279e-03 [42,] 0.9975995 4.801063e-03 2.400532e-03 [43,] 0.9971595 5.681001e-03 2.840500e-03 [44,] 0.9988970 2.206087e-03 1.103043e-03 [45,] 0.9986241 2.751890e-03 1.375945e-03 [46,] 0.9984164 3.167147e-03 1.583573e-03 [47,] 0.9983339 3.332214e-03 1.666107e-03 [48,] 0.9987533 2.493313e-03 1.246656e-03 [49,] 0.9988893 2.221380e-03 1.110690e-03 [50,] 0.9984707 3.058565e-03 1.529282e-03 [51,] 0.9980983 3.803322e-03 1.901661e-03 [52,] 0.9996486 7.027859e-04 3.513930e-04 [53,] 0.9995742 8.516791e-04 4.258396e-04 [54,] 0.9994025 1.195087e-03 5.975436e-04 [55,] 0.9991742 1.651555e-03 8.257777e-04 [56,] 0.9988808 2.238460e-03 1.119230e-03 [57,] 0.9990960 1.808011e-03 9.040056e-04 [58,] 0.9987554 2.489197e-03 1.244598e-03 [59,] 0.9984682 3.063641e-03 1.531821e-03 [60,] 0.9986705 2.659036e-03 1.329518e-03 [61,] 0.9984000 3.199967e-03 1.599984e-03 [62,] 0.9978518 4.296307e-03 2.148153e-03 [63,] 0.9974688 5.062471e-03 2.531236e-03 [64,] 0.9969219 6.156134e-03 3.078067e-03 [65,] 0.9959231 8.153837e-03 4.076918e-03 [66,] 0.9972350 5.529998e-03 2.764999e-03 [67,] 0.9972680 5.464046e-03 2.732023e-03 [68,] 0.9969681 6.063878e-03 3.031939e-03 [69,] 0.9976774 4.645109e-03 2.322554e-03 [70,] 0.9969125 6.174904e-03 3.087452e-03 [71,] 0.9961473 7.705450e-03 3.852725e-03 [72,] 0.9966506 6.698871e-03 3.349435e-03 [73,] 0.9963932 7.213642e-03 3.606821e-03 [74,] 0.9957738 8.452317e-03 4.226159e-03 [75,] 0.9952402 9.519690e-03 4.759845e-03 [76,] 0.9949078 1.018437e-02 5.092187e-03 [77,] 0.9984261 3.147794e-03 1.573897e-03 [78,] 0.9989770 2.045992e-03 1.022996e-03 [79,] 0.9986953 2.609473e-03 1.304737e-03 [80,] 0.9986351 2.729877e-03 1.364938e-03 [81,] 0.9982006 3.598716e-03 1.799358e-03 [82,] 0.9978509 4.298196e-03 2.149098e-03 [83,] 0.9990319 1.936160e-03 9.680799e-04 [84,] 0.9987245 2.551099e-03 1.275549e-03 [85,] 0.9986374 2.725188e-03 1.362594e-03 [86,] 0.9982653 3.469473e-03 1.734736e-03 [87,] 0.9983486 3.302826e-03 1.651413e-03 [88,] 0.9978594 4.281197e-03 2.140598e-03 [89,] 0.9972944 5.411251e-03 2.705625e-03 [90,] 0.9965080 6.983992e-03 3.491996e-03 [91,] 0.9964622 7.075604e-03 3.537802e-03 [92,] 0.9998622 2.756191e-04 1.378095e-04 [93,] 0.9998359 3.281824e-04 1.640912e-04 [94,] 0.9997731 4.537984e-04 2.268992e-04 [95,] 0.9996912 6.175165e-04 3.087582e-04 [96,] 0.9996430 7.139435e-04 3.569717e-04 [97,] 0.9997244 5.512358e-04 2.756179e-04 [98,] 0.9996313 7.373650e-04 3.686825e-04 [99,] 0.9996271 7.457962e-04 3.728981e-04 [100,] 0.9998335 3.330745e-04 1.665373e-04 [101,] 0.9999252 1.496240e-04 7.481198e-05 [102,] 0.9999215 1.570113e-04 7.850567e-05 [103,] 0.9999621 7.570642e-05 3.785321e-05 [104,] 0.9999461 1.078754e-04 5.393771e-05 [105,] 0.9999486 1.027228e-04 5.136141e-05 [106,] 0.9999293 1.414903e-04 7.074517e-05 [107,] 0.9999271 1.458712e-04 7.293558e-05 [108,] 0.9999014 1.972464e-04 9.862322e-05 [109,] 0.9998691 2.618896e-04 1.309448e-04 [110,] 0.9998190 3.619118e-04 1.809559e-04 [111,] 0.9997810 4.379883e-04 2.189941e-04 [112,] 0.9997904 4.191394e-04 2.095697e-04 [113,] 0.9997167 5.665094e-04 2.832547e-04 [114,] 0.9997838 4.324461e-04 2.162230e-04 [115,] 0.9997150 5.699409e-04 2.849704e-04 [116,] 0.9997336 5.328102e-04 2.664051e-04 [117,] 0.9998617 2.765280e-04 1.382640e-04 [118,] 0.9998932 2.136974e-04 1.068487e-04 [119,] 0.9999637 7.263542e-05 3.631771e-05 [120,] 0.9999519 9.621708e-05 4.810854e-05 [121,] 0.9999337 1.325616e-04 6.628081e-05 [122,] 0.9999336 1.327918e-04 6.639592e-05 [123,] 0.9999383 1.233014e-04 6.165070e-05 [124,] 0.9999171 1.657021e-04 8.285105e-05 [125,] 0.9998957 2.086242e-04 1.043121e-04 [126,] 0.9998618 2.764903e-04 1.382452e-04 [127,] 0.9998314 3.372005e-04 1.686003e-04 [128,] 0.9999841 3.173169e-05 1.586585e-05 [129,] 0.9999818 3.648569e-05 1.824284e-05 [130,] 0.9999993 1.319452e-06 6.597258e-07 [131,] 0.9999990 1.900922e-06 9.504612e-07 [132,] 0.9999996 8.149524e-07 4.074762e-07 [133,] 0.9999996 8.772456e-07 4.386228e-07 [134,] 0.9999993 1.305033e-06 6.525164e-07 [135,] 0.9999992 1.684367e-06 8.421835e-07 [136,] 0.9999989 2.251732e-06 1.125866e-06 [137,] 0.9999983 3.376542e-06 1.688271e-06 [138,] 0.9999977 4.533738e-06 2.266869e-06 [139,] 0.9999967 6.511590e-06 3.255795e-06 [140,] 0.9999986 2.830838e-06 1.415419e-06 [141,] 0.9999984 3.254361e-06 1.627180e-06 [142,] 0.9999978 4.365386e-06 2.182693e-06 [143,] 0.9999967 6.529741e-06 3.264870e-06 [144,] 0.9999960 7.995523e-06 3.997762e-06 [145,] 0.9999958 8.347112e-06 4.173556e-06 [146,] 0.9999945 1.098654e-05 5.493272e-06 [147,] 0.9999921 1.584347e-05 7.921735e-06 [148,] 0.9999940 1.195361e-05 5.976804e-06 [149,] 0.9999962 7.672063e-06 3.836032e-06 [150,] 0.9999983 3.368913e-06 1.684457e-06 [151,] 0.9999987 2.681428e-06 1.340714e-06 [152,] 0.9999981 3.844450e-06 1.922225e-06 [153,] 0.9999976 4.890153e-06 2.445077e-06 [154,] 0.9999967 6.521819e-06 3.260910e-06 [155,] 0.9999957 8.645793e-06 4.322897e-06 [156,] 0.9999964 7.226821e-06 3.613410e-06 [157,] 0.9999946 1.080396e-05 5.401982e-06 [158,] 0.9999937 1.266189e-05 6.330945e-06 [159,] 0.9999928 1.436849e-05 7.184244e-06 [160,] 0.9999965 6.924215e-06 3.462107e-06 [161,] 0.9999949 1.020613e-05 5.103063e-06 [162,] 0.9999951 9.733898e-06 4.866949e-06 [163,] 0.9999952 9.544765e-06 4.772383e-06 [164,] 0.9999999 2.203371e-07 1.101686e-07 [165,] 0.9999999 2.813805e-07 1.406902e-07 [166,] 0.9999999 1.869915e-07 9.349575e-08 [167,] 0.9999999 2.908898e-07 1.454449e-07 [168,] 0.9999999 1.563725e-07 7.818625e-08 [169,] 1.0000000 2.828281e-08 1.414140e-08 [170,] 1.0000000 3.949099e-08 1.974549e-08 [171,] 1.0000000 6.073081e-08 3.036540e-08 [172,] 1.0000000 9.839960e-08 4.919980e-08 [173,] 1.0000000 6.932033e-08 3.466017e-08 [174,] 1.0000000 4.674219e-08 2.337109e-08 [175,] 1.0000000 6.156538e-08 3.078269e-08 [176,] 1.0000000 2.342992e-08 1.171496e-08 [177,] 1.0000000 3.781130e-08 1.890565e-08 [178,] 1.0000000 2.191773e-08 1.095886e-08 [179,] 1.0000000 2.021141e-10 1.010571e-10 [180,] 1.0000000 3.461239e-10 1.730619e-10 [181,] 1.0000000 5.906064e-10 2.953032e-10 [182,] 1.0000000 1.032816e-09 5.164080e-10 [183,] 1.0000000 1.733168e-09 8.665838e-10 [184,] 1.0000000 1.394811e-09 6.974053e-10 [185,] 1.0000000 6.855693e-11 3.427846e-11 [186,] 1.0000000 9.885015e-11 4.942507e-11 [187,] 1.0000000 1.131038e-10 5.655188e-11 [188,] 1.0000000 1.983696e-11 9.918478e-12 [189,] 1.0000000 2.632993e-11 1.316497e-11 [190,] 1.0000000 4.605430e-11 2.302715e-11 [191,] 1.0000000 7.299190e-11 3.649595e-11 [192,] 1.0000000 1.406225e-10 7.031126e-11 [193,] 1.0000000 2.521732e-10 1.260866e-10 [194,] 1.0000000 4.788483e-10 2.394241e-10 [195,] 1.0000000 8.418260e-10 4.209130e-10 [196,] 1.0000000 1.313097e-09 6.565484e-10 [197,] 1.0000000 1.597032e-09 7.985158e-10 [198,] 1.0000000 2.948418e-09 1.474209e-09 [199,] 1.0000000 2.584978e-09 1.292489e-09 [200,] 1.0000000 4.728550e-09 2.364275e-09 [201,] 1.0000000 7.726847e-09 3.863424e-09 [202,] 1.0000000 3.108475e-10 1.554238e-10 [203,] 1.0000000 1.004374e-10 5.021869e-11 [204,] 1.0000000 1.433711e-10 7.168554e-11 [205,] 1.0000000 2.737943e-10 1.368971e-10 [206,] 1.0000000 2.229161e-10 1.114581e-10 [207,] 1.0000000 4.378942e-10 2.189471e-10 [208,] 1.0000000 7.701686e-10 3.850843e-10 [209,] 1.0000000 5.175912e-10 2.587956e-10 [210,] 1.0000000 4.190959e-10 2.095479e-10 [211,] 1.0000000 3.509389e-10 1.754695e-10 [212,] 1.0000000 6.736773e-10 3.368386e-10 [213,] 1.0000000 1.306322e-09 6.531609e-10 [214,] 1.0000000 1.746791e-09 8.733956e-10 [215,] 1.0000000 2.854944e-09 1.427472e-09 [216,] 1.0000000 2.450305e-09 1.225152e-09 [217,] 1.0000000 3.078302e-10 1.539151e-10 [218,] 1.0000000 6.552669e-10 3.276335e-10 [219,] 1.0000000 1.379307e-09 6.896536e-10 [220,] 1.0000000 2.369481e-09 1.184741e-09 [221,] 1.0000000 2.244624e-09 1.122312e-09 [222,] 1.0000000 3.015931e-09 1.507966e-09 [223,] 1.0000000 3.171340e-09 1.585670e-09 [224,] 1.0000000 1.126028e-10 5.630139e-11 [225,] 1.0000000 6.318172e-11 3.159086e-11 [226,] 1.0000000 1.292334e-10 6.461672e-11 [227,] 1.0000000 6.992384e-11 3.496192e-11 [228,] 1.0000000 1.434446e-10 7.172229e-11 [229,] 1.0000000 2.814709e-10 1.407354e-10 [230,] 1.0000000 6.023871e-10 3.011936e-10 [231,] 1.0000000 2.571822e-12 1.285911e-12 [232,] 1.0000000 5.857481e-12 2.928741e-12 [233,] 1.0000000 1.389182e-11 6.945910e-12 [234,] 1.0000000 1.379824e-11 6.899121e-12 [235,] 1.0000000 2.402501e-11 1.201250e-11 [236,] 1.0000000 6.292968e-11 3.146484e-11 [237,] 1.0000000 1.072092e-10 5.360461e-11 [238,] 1.0000000 2.140650e-10 1.070325e-10 [239,] 1.0000000 5.469708e-10 2.734854e-10 [240,] 1.0000000 1.405077e-09 7.025383e-10 [241,] 1.0000000 1.348712e-09 6.743562e-10 [242,] 1.0000000 1.678310e-09 8.391548e-10 [243,] 1.0000000 3.853328e-09 1.926664e-09 [244,] 1.0000000 9.850219e-09 4.925110e-09 [245,] 1.0000000 1.039896e-08 5.199482e-09 [246,] 1.0000000 2.270705e-08 1.135353e-08 [247,] 1.0000000 5.679153e-08 2.839577e-08 [248,] 0.9999999 1.380203e-07 6.901015e-08 [249,] 0.9999999 2.828156e-07 1.414078e-07 [250,] 0.9999997 6.925093e-07 3.462546e-07 [251,] 0.9999994 1.102865e-06 5.514323e-07 [252,] 0.9999994 1.295177e-06 6.475886e-07 [253,] 0.9999987 2.687445e-06 1.343722e-06 [254,] 0.9999968 6.436391e-06 3.218196e-06 [255,] 0.9999936 1.273857e-05 6.369283e-06 [256,] 0.9999869 2.621695e-05 1.310847e-05 [257,] 0.9999702 5.965168e-05 2.982584e-05 [258,] 0.9999329 1.341139e-04 6.705694e-05 [259,] 0.9999282 1.435878e-04 7.179388e-05 [260,] 0.9998965 2.070935e-04 1.035468e-04 [261,] 0.9998708 2.584748e-04 1.292374e-04 [262,] 0.9997463 5.074770e-04 2.537385e-04 [263,] 0.9999966 6.895884e-06 3.447942e-06 [264,] 0.9999913 1.737932e-05 8.689662e-06 [265,] 0.9999737 5.255675e-05 2.627837e-05 [266,] 0.9999212 1.576749e-04 7.883746e-05 [267,] 0.9998920 2.159269e-04 1.079634e-04 [268,] 0.9997654 4.691591e-04 2.345796e-04 [269,] 0.9994389 1.122172e-03 5.610858e-04 [270,] 0.9986376 2.724869e-03 1.362435e-03 [271,] 0.9961985 7.603028e-03 3.801514e-03 [272,] 0.9913161 1.736775e-02 8.683876e-03 [273,] 0.9823533 3.529347e-02 1.764673e-02 [274,] 0.9671196 6.576087e-02 3.288044e-02 [275,] 0.9194361 1.611279e-01 8.056393e-02 [276,] 0.9707085 5.858297e-02 2.929148e-02 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/14t0o1324667356.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index') > points(x[,1]-mysum$resid) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/2zb781324667356.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/3r5au1324667356.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/492vx1324667356.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals') > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/5rurv1324667356.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot') > qqline(mysum$resid) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > (myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid)) Time Series: Start = 1 End = 289 Frequency = 1 1 2 3 4 5 56821.45221 6331.61737 6857.88475 -35564.08533 34243.28758 6 7 8 9 10 -15116.47117 102880.16958 533.11303 6727.23573 -13275.01291 11 12 13 14 15 29179.56350 36939.24317 -23102.50769 -15829.78730 24353.88509 16 17 18 19 20 27085.27189 -75268.36671 46067.42858 36292.31241 28917.97380 21 22 23 24 25 -9122.09774 6897.29575 121968.12972 23829.16352 -46678.91837 26 27 28 29 30 -77166.72854 -44278.56962 22.32266 38879.10594 -4143.63539 31 32 33 34 35 28132.31353 15567.99518 -19383.60862 42941.82526 -29595.75787 36 37 38 39 40 46503.10144 31174.26229 21133.84572 57642.81429 14979.58987 41 42 43 44 45 19597.68198 33775.25568 -49377.80063 14858.27212 15686.09905 46 47 48 49 50 -3024.95529 -58402.77023 5041.17108 -16446.61192 -70345.17842 51 52 53 54 55 -20602.79670 -21677.14111 -29587.50807 -49017.64684 -36760.43806 56 57 58 59 60 12507.30435 1797.27845 83796.30676 -12611.56665 4394.30111 61 62 63 64 65 -5558.03622 -8275.13540 -44159.15093 5250.59480 -18639.25077 66 67 68 69 70 42809.72880 25307.85435 4144.18210 22434.58362 -22999.59842 71 72 73 74 75 2106.97703 55742.00230 37370.97717 -18218.80783 -45921.46401 76 77 78 79 80 5453.63075 -8506.54543 -39959.01399 -22627.60203 -19127.02837 81 82 83 84 85 25925.54675 -25862.77019 76418.50010 54394.53760 14481.20453 86 87 88 89 90 -26221.30273 -6494.33776 -15369.27865 60368.37222 939.04645 91 92 93 94 95 27418.07974 17920.63174 -32665.99453 -700.05713 13332.63095 96 97 98 99 100 7999.16417 28736.87478 -112577.14902 23351.52714 -904.04186 101 102 103 104 105 -3728.01166 -23773.40835 44385.33829 7741.22886 31951.39869 106 107 108 109 110 60647.38499 -64966.14281 -25305.32173 58590.83517 -1409.61600 111 112 113 114 115 33535.47008 10042.96373 -25874.60072 13785.89249 12431.70040 116 117 118 119 120 2790.28351 19575.89583 36474.96453 3842.39045 -39250.75069 121 122 123 124 125 -7893.16525 -30241.56907 -52731.83214 -42562.89092 62162.66058 126 127 128 129 130 15362.54142 9180.83200 -30975.27557 31496.24242 14325.54990 131 132 133 134 135 -14182.04593 -12859.25945 20362.66513 -86422.38987 -26568.67698 136 137 138 139 140 93807.36690 13686.33884 51447.34216 -26661.07347 7935.18505 141 142 143 144 145 -18357.53311 -16971.46349 -3817.46282 -17926.70075 -13068.74375 146 147 148 149 150 -53577.40192 -28286.43593 -17357.74351 568.56535 -23755.13671 151 152 153 154 155 25201.66930 9880.72482 -6988.04390 35244.60871 37184.93956 156 157 158 159 160 40802.64910 25744.72607 11593.64543 -24976.72007 5444.49011 161 162 163 164 165 2801.43930 -43994.51465 -3946.82833 7954.73257 -31019.89296 166 167 168 169 170 35513.04692 -10060.60066 28280.07059 26027.53878 83190.41980 171 172 173 174 175 -2525.69702 22249.58098 -11997.29647 14501.27155 -79700.55073 176 177 178 179 180 8924.96849 -20347.82516 1071.83817 8959.76815 30762.60824 181 182 183 184 185 -20186.84744 -55088.57916 20906.53379 19486.86249 38317.63289 186 187 188 189 190 17644.35000 22394.62226 26076.05336 -8212.18838 341.59839 191 192 193 194 195 32459.12030 6383.78716 -27122.90907 -70151.12890 2688.55620 196 197 198 199 200 4665.05790 -20825.24868 8690.88909 -20616.38384 -2724.61072 201 202 203 204 205 5473.33359 -6209.13639 13048.46671 -6813.58901 -43949.32392 206 207 208 209 210 -12310.73200 -17994.18439 45822.14458 22720.07753 -3020.61781 211 212 213 214 215 5608.37216 10469.08538 -9653.20062 7853.19414 -50923.71835 216 217 218 219 220 -36236.20396 -33170.17114 -6270.42570 2959.62939 18827.23188 221 222 223 224 225 -25193.87829 -50769.14362 -70969.38660 -4979.67933 -3630.49903 226 227 228 229 230 -2631.74532 27142.77487 -21973.66694 -32583.08809 -68581.44165 231 232 233 234 235 -30119.40416 -14833.64595 -36278.55893 -15655.41199 -24252.71363 236 237 238 239 240 -10594.89000 44973.65125 -3939.53666 -17021.63402 -20223.48803 241 242 243 244 245 3748.15999 -19108.07881 -15210.03589 -5803.41033 -3344.76757 246 247 248 249 250 -7236.75056 -34197.82027 19562.31173 11673.54667 6007.75752 251 252 253 254 255 463.94166 -1414.47366 23492.47738 -14023.72648 -17559.38808 256 257 258 259 260 14346.64778 -6836.15441 12708.20924 6535.52299 10653.99356 261 262 263 264 265 -16580.99948 -8489.27738 8235.06220 -5223.37584 -12906.46399 266 267 268 269 270 13172.19244 -19092.64281 10328.68823 47642.05701 -11408.74210 271 272 273 274 275 -22795.98932 23.65832 4291.07193 3006.54902 12501.97418 276 277 278 279 280 -26322.01431 3324.50372 16481.22390 -12271.46062 7373.46844 281 282 283 284 285 -14099.71374 19848.18214 3322.81841 15441.95490 -844.60529 286 287 288 289 -33622.25189 -9797.86385 -8680.64197 -5036.48415 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/6rtfg1324667356.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror) > dum Time Series: Start = 0 End = 289 Frequency = 1 lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror 0 56821.45221 NA 1 6331.61737 56821.45221 2 6857.88475 6331.61737 3 -35564.08533 6857.88475 4 34243.28758 -35564.08533 5 -15116.47117 34243.28758 6 102880.16958 -15116.47117 7 533.11303 102880.16958 8 6727.23573 533.11303 9 -13275.01291 6727.23573 10 29179.56350 -13275.01291 11 36939.24317 29179.56350 12 -23102.50769 36939.24317 13 -15829.78730 -23102.50769 14 24353.88509 -15829.78730 15 27085.27189 24353.88509 16 -75268.36671 27085.27189 17 46067.42858 -75268.36671 18 36292.31241 46067.42858 19 28917.97380 36292.31241 20 -9122.09774 28917.97380 21 6897.29575 -9122.09774 22 121968.12972 6897.29575 23 23829.16352 121968.12972 24 -46678.91837 23829.16352 25 -77166.72854 -46678.91837 26 -44278.56962 -77166.72854 27 22.32266 -44278.56962 28 38879.10594 22.32266 29 -4143.63539 38879.10594 30 28132.31353 -4143.63539 31 15567.99518 28132.31353 32 -19383.60862 15567.99518 33 42941.82526 -19383.60862 34 -29595.75787 42941.82526 35 46503.10144 -29595.75787 36 31174.26229 46503.10144 37 21133.84572 31174.26229 38 57642.81429 21133.84572 39 14979.58987 57642.81429 40 19597.68198 14979.58987 41 33775.25568 19597.68198 42 -49377.80063 33775.25568 43 14858.27212 -49377.80063 44 15686.09905 14858.27212 45 -3024.95529 15686.09905 46 -58402.77023 -3024.95529 47 5041.17108 -58402.77023 48 -16446.61192 5041.17108 49 -70345.17842 -16446.61192 50 -20602.79670 -70345.17842 51 -21677.14111 -20602.79670 52 -29587.50807 -21677.14111 53 -49017.64684 -29587.50807 54 -36760.43806 -49017.64684 55 12507.30435 -36760.43806 56 1797.27845 12507.30435 57 83796.30676 1797.27845 58 -12611.56665 83796.30676 59 4394.30111 -12611.56665 60 -5558.03622 4394.30111 61 -8275.13540 -5558.03622 62 -44159.15093 -8275.13540 63 5250.59480 -44159.15093 64 -18639.25077 5250.59480 65 42809.72880 -18639.25077 66 25307.85435 42809.72880 67 4144.18210 25307.85435 68 22434.58362 4144.18210 69 -22999.59842 22434.58362 70 2106.97703 -22999.59842 71 55742.00230 2106.97703 72 37370.97717 55742.00230 73 -18218.80783 37370.97717 74 -45921.46401 -18218.80783 75 5453.63075 -45921.46401 76 -8506.54543 5453.63075 77 -39959.01399 -8506.54543 78 -22627.60203 -39959.01399 79 -19127.02837 -22627.60203 80 25925.54675 -19127.02837 81 -25862.77019 25925.54675 82 76418.50010 -25862.77019 83 54394.53760 76418.50010 84 14481.20453 54394.53760 85 -26221.30273 14481.20453 86 -6494.33776 -26221.30273 87 -15369.27865 -6494.33776 88 60368.37222 -15369.27865 89 939.04645 60368.37222 90 27418.07974 939.04645 91 17920.63174 27418.07974 92 -32665.99453 17920.63174 93 -700.05713 -32665.99453 94 13332.63095 -700.05713 95 7999.16417 13332.63095 96 28736.87478 7999.16417 97 -112577.14902 28736.87478 98 23351.52714 -112577.14902 99 -904.04186 23351.52714 100 -3728.01166 -904.04186 101 -23773.40835 -3728.01166 102 44385.33829 -23773.40835 103 7741.22886 44385.33829 104 31951.39869 7741.22886 105 60647.38499 31951.39869 106 -64966.14281 60647.38499 107 -25305.32173 -64966.14281 108 58590.83517 -25305.32173 109 -1409.61600 58590.83517 110 33535.47008 -1409.61600 111 10042.96373 33535.47008 112 -25874.60072 10042.96373 113 13785.89249 -25874.60072 114 12431.70040 13785.89249 115 2790.28351 12431.70040 116 19575.89583 2790.28351 117 36474.96453 19575.89583 118 3842.39045 36474.96453 119 -39250.75069 3842.39045 120 -7893.16525 -39250.75069 121 -30241.56907 -7893.16525 122 -52731.83214 -30241.56907 123 -42562.89092 -52731.83214 124 62162.66058 -42562.89092 125 15362.54142 62162.66058 126 9180.83200 15362.54142 127 -30975.27557 9180.83200 128 31496.24242 -30975.27557 129 14325.54990 31496.24242 130 -14182.04593 14325.54990 131 -12859.25945 -14182.04593 132 20362.66513 -12859.25945 133 -86422.38987 20362.66513 134 -26568.67698 -86422.38987 135 93807.36690 -26568.67698 136 13686.33884 93807.36690 137 51447.34216 13686.33884 138 -26661.07347 51447.34216 139 7935.18505 -26661.07347 140 -18357.53311 7935.18505 141 -16971.46349 -18357.53311 142 -3817.46282 -16971.46349 143 -17926.70075 -3817.46282 144 -13068.74375 -17926.70075 145 -53577.40192 -13068.74375 146 -28286.43593 -53577.40192 147 -17357.74351 -28286.43593 148 568.56535 -17357.74351 149 -23755.13671 568.56535 150 25201.66930 -23755.13671 151 9880.72482 25201.66930 152 -6988.04390 9880.72482 153 35244.60871 -6988.04390 154 37184.93956 35244.60871 155 40802.64910 37184.93956 156 25744.72607 40802.64910 157 11593.64543 25744.72607 158 -24976.72007 11593.64543 159 5444.49011 -24976.72007 160 2801.43930 5444.49011 161 -43994.51465 2801.43930 162 -3946.82833 -43994.51465 163 7954.73257 -3946.82833 164 -31019.89296 7954.73257 165 35513.04692 -31019.89296 166 -10060.60066 35513.04692 167 28280.07059 -10060.60066 168 26027.53878 28280.07059 169 83190.41980 26027.53878 170 -2525.69702 83190.41980 171 22249.58098 -2525.69702 172 -11997.29647 22249.58098 173 14501.27155 -11997.29647 174 -79700.55073 14501.27155 175 8924.96849 -79700.55073 176 -20347.82516 8924.96849 177 1071.83817 -20347.82516 178 8959.76815 1071.83817 179 30762.60824 8959.76815 180 -20186.84744 30762.60824 181 -55088.57916 -20186.84744 182 20906.53379 -55088.57916 183 19486.86249 20906.53379 184 38317.63289 19486.86249 185 17644.35000 38317.63289 186 22394.62226 17644.35000 187 26076.05336 22394.62226 188 -8212.18838 26076.05336 189 341.59839 -8212.18838 190 32459.12030 341.59839 191 6383.78716 32459.12030 192 -27122.90907 6383.78716 193 -70151.12890 -27122.90907 194 2688.55620 -70151.12890 195 4665.05790 2688.55620 196 -20825.24868 4665.05790 197 8690.88909 -20825.24868 198 -20616.38384 8690.88909 199 -2724.61072 -20616.38384 200 5473.33359 -2724.61072 201 -6209.13639 5473.33359 202 13048.46671 -6209.13639 203 -6813.58901 13048.46671 204 -43949.32392 -6813.58901 205 -12310.73200 -43949.32392 206 -17994.18439 -12310.73200 207 45822.14458 -17994.18439 208 22720.07753 45822.14458 209 -3020.61781 22720.07753 210 5608.37216 -3020.61781 211 10469.08538 5608.37216 212 -9653.20062 10469.08538 213 7853.19414 -9653.20062 214 -50923.71835 7853.19414 215 -36236.20396 -50923.71835 216 -33170.17114 -36236.20396 217 -6270.42570 -33170.17114 218 2959.62939 -6270.42570 219 18827.23188 2959.62939 220 -25193.87829 18827.23188 221 -50769.14362 -25193.87829 222 -70969.38660 -50769.14362 223 -4979.67933 -70969.38660 224 -3630.49903 -4979.67933 225 -2631.74532 -3630.49903 226 27142.77487 -2631.74532 227 -21973.66694 27142.77487 228 -32583.08809 -21973.66694 229 -68581.44165 -32583.08809 230 -30119.40416 -68581.44165 231 -14833.64595 -30119.40416 232 -36278.55893 -14833.64595 233 -15655.41199 -36278.55893 234 -24252.71363 -15655.41199 235 -10594.89000 -24252.71363 236 44973.65125 -10594.89000 237 -3939.53666 44973.65125 238 -17021.63402 -3939.53666 239 -20223.48803 -17021.63402 240 3748.15999 -20223.48803 241 -19108.07881 3748.15999 242 -15210.03589 -19108.07881 243 -5803.41033 -15210.03589 244 -3344.76757 -5803.41033 245 -7236.75056 -3344.76757 246 -34197.82027 -7236.75056 247 19562.31173 -34197.82027 248 11673.54667 19562.31173 249 6007.75752 11673.54667 250 463.94166 6007.75752 251 -1414.47366 463.94166 252 23492.47738 -1414.47366 253 -14023.72648 23492.47738 254 -17559.38808 -14023.72648 255 14346.64778 -17559.38808 256 -6836.15441 14346.64778 257 12708.20924 -6836.15441 258 6535.52299 12708.20924 259 10653.99356 6535.52299 260 -16580.99948 10653.99356 261 -8489.27738 -16580.99948 262 8235.06220 -8489.27738 263 -5223.37584 8235.06220 264 -12906.46399 -5223.37584 265 13172.19244 -12906.46399 266 -19092.64281 13172.19244 267 10328.68823 -19092.64281 268 47642.05701 10328.68823 269 -11408.74210 47642.05701 270 -22795.98932 -11408.74210 271 23.65832 -22795.98932 272 4291.07193 23.65832 273 3006.54902 4291.07193 274 12501.97418 3006.54902 275 -26322.01431 12501.97418 276 3324.50372 -26322.01431 277 16481.22390 3324.50372 278 -12271.46062 16481.22390 279 7373.46844 -12271.46062 280 -14099.71374 7373.46844 281 19848.18214 -14099.71374 282 3322.81841 19848.18214 283 15441.95490 3322.81841 284 -844.60529 15441.95490 285 -33622.25189 -844.60529 286 -9797.86385 -33622.25189 287 -8680.64197 -9797.86385 288 -5036.48415 -8680.64197 289 NA -5036.48415 > dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),] > dum1 lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror [1,] 6331.61737 56821.45221 [2,] 6857.88475 6331.61737 [3,] -35564.08533 6857.88475 [4,] 34243.28758 -35564.08533 [5,] -15116.47117 34243.28758 [6,] 102880.16958 -15116.47117 [7,] 533.11303 102880.16958 [8,] 6727.23573 533.11303 [9,] -13275.01291 6727.23573 [10,] 29179.56350 -13275.01291 [11,] 36939.24317 29179.56350 [12,] -23102.50769 36939.24317 [13,] -15829.78730 -23102.50769 [14,] 24353.88509 -15829.78730 [15,] 27085.27189 24353.88509 [16,] -75268.36671 27085.27189 [17,] 46067.42858 -75268.36671 [18,] 36292.31241 46067.42858 [19,] 28917.97380 36292.31241 [20,] -9122.09774 28917.97380 [21,] 6897.29575 -9122.09774 [22,] 121968.12972 6897.29575 [23,] 23829.16352 121968.12972 [24,] -46678.91837 23829.16352 [25,] -77166.72854 -46678.91837 [26,] -44278.56962 -77166.72854 [27,] 22.32266 -44278.56962 [28,] 38879.10594 22.32266 [29,] -4143.63539 38879.10594 [30,] 28132.31353 -4143.63539 [31,] 15567.99518 28132.31353 [32,] -19383.60862 15567.99518 [33,] 42941.82526 -19383.60862 [34,] -29595.75787 42941.82526 [35,] 46503.10144 -29595.75787 [36,] 31174.26229 46503.10144 [37,] 21133.84572 31174.26229 [38,] 57642.81429 21133.84572 [39,] 14979.58987 57642.81429 [40,] 19597.68198 14979.58987 [41,] 33775.25568 19597.68198 [42,] -49377.80063 33775.25568 [43,] 14858.27212 -49377.80063 [44,] 15686.09905 14858.27212 [45,] -3024.95529 15686.09905 [46,] -58402.77023 -3024.95529 [47,] 5041.17108 -58402.77023 [48,] -16446.61192 5041.17108 [49,] -70345.17842 -16446.61192 [50,] -20602.79670 -70345.17842 [51,] -21677.14111 -20602.79670 [52,] -29587.50807 -21677.14111 [53,] -49017.64684 -29587.50807 [54,] -36760.43806 -49017.64684 [55,] 12507.30435 -36760.43806 [56,] 1797.27845 12507.30435 [57,] 83796.30676 1797.27845 [58,] -12611.56665 83796.30676 [59,] 4394.30111 -12611.56665 [60,] -5558.03622 4394.30111 [61,] -8275.13540 -5558.03622 [62,] -44159.15093 -8275.13540 [63,] 5250.59480 -44159.15093 [64,] -18639.25077 5250.59480 [65,] 42809.72880 -18639.25077 [66,] 25307.85435 42809.72880 [67,] 4144.18210 25307.85435 [68,] 22434.58362 4144.18210 [69,] -22999.59842 22434.58362 [70,] 2106.97703 -22999.59842 [71,] 55742.00230 2106.97703 [72,] 37370.97717 55742.00230 [73,] -18218.80783 37370.97717 [74,] -45921.46401 -18218.80783 [75,] 5453.63075 -45921.46401 [76,] -8506.54543 5453.63075 [77,] -39959.01399 -8506.54543 [78,] -22627.60203 -39959.01399 [79,] -19127.02837 -22627.60203 [80,] 25925.54675 -19127.02837 [81,] -25862.77019 25925.54675 [82,] 76418.50010 -25862.77019 [83,] 54394.53760 76418.50010 [84,] 14481.20453 54394.53760 [85,] -26221.30273 14481.20453 [86,] -6494.33776 -26221.30273 [87,] -15369.27865 -6494.33776 [88,] 60368.37222 -15369.27865 [89,] 939.04645 60368.37222 [90,] 27418.07974 939.04645 [91,] 17920.63174 27418.07974 [92,] -32665.99453 17920.63174 [93,] -700.05713 -32665.99453 [94,] 13332.63095 -700.05713 [95,] 7999.16417 13332.63095 [96,] 28736.87478 7999.16417 [97,] -112577.14902 28736.87478 [98,] 23351.52714 -112577.14902 [99,] -904.04186 23351.52714 [100,] -3728.01166 -904.04186 [101,] -23773.40835 -3728.01166 [102,] 44385.33829 -23773.40835 [103,] 7741.22886 44385.33829 [104,] 31951.39869 7741.22886 [105,] 60647.38499 31951.39869 [106,] -64966.14281 60647.38499 [107,] -25305.32173 -64966.14281 [108,] 58590.83517 -25305.32173 [109,] -1409.61600 58590.83517 [110,] 33535.47008 -1409.61600 [111,] 10042.96373 33535.47008 [112,] -25874.60072 10042.96373 [113,] 13785.89249 -25874.60072 [114,] 12431.70040 13785.89249 [115,] 2790.28351 12431.70040 [116,] 19575.89583 2790.28351 [117,] 36474.96453 19575.89583 [118,] 3842.39045 36474.96453 [119,] -39250.75069 3842.39045 [120,] -7893.16525 -39250.75069 [121,] -30241.56907 -7893.16525 [122,] -52731.83214 -30241.56907 [123,] -42562.89092 -52731.83214 [124,] 62162.66058 -42562.89092 [125,] 15362.54142 62162.66058 [126,] 9180.83200 15362.54142 [127,] -30975.27557 9180.83200 [128,] 31496.24242 -30975.27557 [129,] 14325.54990 31496.24242 [130,] -14182.04593 14325.54990 [131,] -12859.25945 -14182.04593 [132,] 20362.66513 -12859.25945 [133,] -86422.38987 20362.66513 [134,] -26568.67698 -86422.38987 [135,] 93807.36690 -26568.67698 [136,] 13686.33884 93807.36690 [137,] 51447.34216 13686.33884 [138,] -26661.07347 51447.34216 [139,] 7935.18505 -26661.07347 [140,] -18357.53311 7935.18505 [141,] -16971.46349 -18357.53311 [142,] -3817.46282 -16971.46349 [143,] -17926.70075 -3817.46282 [144,] -13068.74375 -17926.70075 [145,] -53577.40192 -13068.74375 [146,] -28286.43593 -53577.40192 [147,] -17357.74351 -28286.43593 [148,] 568.56535 -17357.74351 [149,] -23755.13671 568.56535 [150,] 25201.66930 -23755.13671 [151,] 9880.72482 25201.66930 [152,] -6988.04390 9880.72482 [153,] 35244.60871 -6988.04390 [154,] 37184.93956 35244.60871 [155,] 40802.64910 37184.93956 [156,] 25744.72607 40802.64910 [157,] 11593.64543 25744.72607 [158,] -24976.72007 11593.64543 [159,] 5444.49011 -24976.72007 [160,] 2801.43930 5444.49011 [161,] -43994.51465 2801.43930 [162,] -3946.82833 -43994.51465 [163,] 7954.73257 -3946.82833 [164,] -31019.89296 7954.73257 [165,] 35513.04692 -31019.89296 [166,] -10060.60066 35513.04692 [167,] 28280.07059 -10060.60066 [168,] 26027.53878 28280.07059 [169,] 83190.41980 26027.53878 [170,] -2525.69702 83190.41980 [171,] 22249.58098 -2525.69702 [172,] -11997.29647 22249.58098 [173,] 14501.27155 -11997.29647 [174,] -79700.55073 14501.27155 [175,] 8924.96849 -79700.55073 [176,] -20347.82516 8924.96849 [177,] 1071.83817 -20347.82516 [178,] 8959.76815 1071.83817 [179,] 30762.60824 8959.76815 [180,] -20186.84744 30762.60824 [181,] -55088.57916 -20186.84744 [182,] 20906.53379 -55088.57916 [183,] 19486.86249 20906.53379 [184,] 38317.63289 19486.86249 [185,] 17644.35000 38317.63289 [186,] 22394.62226 17644.35000 [187,] 26076.05336 22394.62226 [188,] -8212.18838 26076.05336 [189,] 341.59839 -8212.18838 [190,] 32459.12030 341.59839 [191,] 6383.78716 32459.12030 [192,] -27122.90907 6383.78716 [193,] -70151.12890 -27122.90907 [194,] 2688.55620 -70151.12890 [195,] 4665.05790 2688.55620 [196,] -20825.24868 4665.05790 [197,] 8690.88909 -20825.24868 [198,] -20616.38384 8690.88909 [199,] -2724.61072 -20616.38384 [200,] 5473.33359 -2724.61072 [201,] -6209.13639 5473.33359 [202,] 13048.46671 -6209.13639 [203,] -6813.58901 13048.46671 [204,] -43949.32392 -6813.58901 [205,] -12310.73200 -43949.32392 [206,] -17994.18439 -12310.73200 [207,] 45822.14458 -17994.18439 [208,] 22720.07753 45822.14458 [209,] -3020.61781 22720.07753 [210,] 5608.37216 -3020.61781 [211,] 10469.08538 5608.37216 [212,] -9653.20062 10469.08538 [213,] 7853.19414 -9653.20062 [214,] -50923.71835 7853.19414 [215,] -36236.20396 -50923.71835 [216,] -33170.17114 -36236.20396 [217,] -6270.42570 -33170.17114 [218,] 2959.62939 -6270.42570 [219,] 18827.23188 2959.62939 [220,] -25193.87829 18827.23188 [221,] -50769.14362 -25193.87829 [222,] -70969.38660 -50769.14362 [223,] -4979.67933 -70969.38660 [224,] -3630.49903 -4979.67933 [225,] -2631.74532 -3630.49903 [226,] 27142.77487 -2631.74532 [227,] -21973.66694 27142.77487 [228,] -32583.08809 -21973.66694 [229,] -68581.44165 -32583.08809 [230,] -30119.40416 -68581.44165 [231,] -14833.64595 -30119.40416 [232,] -36278.55893 -14833.64595 [233,] -15655.41199 -36278.55893 [234,] -24252.71363 -15655.41199 [235,] -10594.89000 -24252.71363 [236,] 44973.65125 -10594.89000 [237,] -3939.53666 44973.65125 [238,] -17021.63402 -3939.53666 [239,] -20223.48803 -17021.63402 [240,] 3748.15999 -20223.48803 [241,] -19108.07881 3748.15999 [242,] -15210.03589 -19108.07881 [243,] -5803.41033 -15210.03589 [244,] -3344.76757 -5803.41033 [245,] -7236.75056 -3344.76757 [246,] -34197.82027 -7236.75056 [247,] 19562.31173 -34197.82027 [248,] 11673.54667 19562.31173 [249,] 6007.75752 11673.54667 [250,] 463.94166 6007.75752 [251,] -1414.47366 463.94166 [252,] 23492.47738 -1414.47366 [253,] -14023.72648 23492.47738 [254,] -17559.38808 -14023.72648 [255,] 14346.64778 -17559.38808 [256,] -6836.15441 14346.64778 [257,] 12708.20924 -6836.15441 [258,] 6535.52299 12708.20924 [259,] 10653.99356 6535.52299 [260,] -16580.99948 10653.99356 [261,] -8489.27738 -16580.99948 [262,] 8235.06220 -8489.27738 [263,] -5223.37584 8235.06220 [264,] -12906.46399 -5223.37584 [265,] 13172.19244 -12906.46399 [266,] -19092.64281 13172.19244 [267,] 10328.68823 -19092.64281 [268,] 47642.05701 10328.68823 [269,] -11408.74210 47642.05701 [270,] -22795.98932 -11408.74210 [271,] 23.65832 -22795.98932 [272,] 4291.07193 23.65832 [273,] 3006.54902 4291.07193 [274,] 12501.97418 3006.54902 [275,] -26322.01431 12501.97418 [276,] 3324.50372 -26322.01431 [277,] 16481.22390 3324.50372 [278,] -12271.46062 16481.22390 [279,] 7373.46844 -12271.46062 [280,] -14099.71374 7373.46844 [281,] 19848.18214 -14099.71374 [282,] 3322.81841 19848.18214 [283,] 15441.95490 3322.81841 [284,] -844.60529 15441.95490 [285,] -33622.25189 -844.60529 [286,] -9797.86385 -33622.25189 [287,] -8680.64197 -9797.86385 [288,] -5036.48415 -8680.64197 > z <- as.data.frame(dum1) > z lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror 1 6331.61737 56821.45221 2 6857.88475 6331.61737 3 -35564.08533 6857.88475 4 34243.28758 -35564.08533 5 -15116.47117 34243.28758 6 102880.16958 -15116.47117 7 533.11303 102880.16958 8 6727.23573 533.11303 9 -13275.01291 6727.23573 10 29179.56350 -13275.01291 11 36939.24317 29179.56350 12 -23102.50769 36939.24317 13 -15829.78730 -23102.50769 14 24353.88509 -15829.78730 15 27085.27189 24353.88509 16 -75268.36671 27085.27189 17 46067.42858 -75268.36671 18 36292.31241 46067.42858 19 28917.97380 36292.31241 20 -9122.09774 28917.97380 21 6897.29575 -9122.09774 22 121968.12972 6897.29575 23 23829.16352 121968.12972 24 -46678.91837 23829.16352 25 -77166.72854 -46678.91837 26 -44278.56962 -77166.72854 27 22.32266 -44278.56962 28 38879.10594 22.32266 29 -4143.63539 38879.10594 30 28132.31353 -4143.63539 31 15567.99518 28132.31353 32 -19383.60862 15567.99518 33 42941.82526 -19383.60862 34 -29595.75787 42941.82526 35 46503.10144 -29595.75787 36 31174.26229 46503.10144 37 21133.84572 31174.26229 38 57642.81429 21133.84572 39 14979.58987 57642.81429 40 19597.68198 14979.58987 41 33775.25568 19597.68198 42 -49377.80063 33775.25568 43 14858.27212 -49377.80063 44 15686.09905 14858.27212 45 -3024.95529 15686.09905 46 -58402.77023 -3024.95529 47 5041.17108 -58402.77023 48 -16446.61192 5041.17108 49 -70345.17842 -16446.61192 50 -20602.79670 -70345.17842 51 -21677.14111 -20602.79670 52 -29587.50807 -21677.14111 53 -49017.64684 -29587.50807 54 -36760.43806 -49017.64684 55 12507.30435 -36760.43806 56 1797.27845 12507.30435 57 83796.30676 1797.27845 58 -12611.56665 83796.30676 59 4394.30111 -12611.56665 60 -5558.03622 4394.30111 61 -8275.13540 -5558.03622 62 -44159.15093 -8275.13540 63 5250.59480 -44159.15093 64 -18639.25077 5250.59480 65 42809.72880 -18639.25077 66 25307.85435 42809.72880 67 4144.18210 25307.85435 68 22434.58362 4144.18210 69 -22999.59842 22434.58362 70 2106.97703 -22999.59842 71 55742.00230 2106.97703 72 37370.97717 55742.00230 73 -18218.80783 37370.97717 74 -45921.46401 -18218.80783 75 5453.63075 -45921.46401 76 -8506.54543 5453.63075 77 -39959.01399 -8506.54543 78 -22627.60203 -39959.01399 79 -19127.02837 -22627.60203 80 25925.54675 -19127.02837 81 -25862.77019 25925.54675 82 76418.50010 -25862.77019 83 54394.53760 76418.50010 84 14481.20453 54394.53760 85 -26221.30273 14481.20453 86 -6494.33776 -26221.30273 87 -15369.27865 -6494.33776 88 60368.37222 -15369.27865 89 939.04645 60368.37222 90 27418.07974 939.04645 91 17920.63174 27418.07974 92 -32665.99453 17920.63174 93 -700.05713 -32665.99453 94 13332.63095 -700.05713 95 7999.16417 13332.63095 96 28736.87478 7999.16417 97 -112577.14902 28736.87478 98 23351.52714 -112577.14902 99 -904.04186 23351.52714 100 -3728.01166 -904.04186 101 -23773.40835 -3728.01166 102 44385.33829 -23773.40835 103 7741.22886 44385.33829 104 31951.39869 7741.22886 105 60647.38499 31951.39869 106 -64966.14281 60647.38499 107 -25305.32173 -64966.14281 108 58590.83517 -25305.32173 109 -1409.61600 58590.83517 110 33535.47008 -1409.61600 111 10042.96373 33535.47008 112 -25874.60072 10042.96373 113 13785.89249 -25874.60072 114 12431.70040 13785.89249 115 2790.28351 12431.70040 116 19575.89583 2790.28351 117 36474.96453 19575.89583 118 3842.39045 36474.96453 119 -39250.75069 3842.39045 120 -7893.16525 -39250.75069 121 -30241.56907 -7893.16525 122 -52731.83214 -30241.56907 123 -42562.89092 -52731.83214 124 62162.66058 -42562.89092 125 15362.54142 62162.66058 126 9180.83200 15362.54142 127 -30975.27557 9180.83200 128 31496.24242 -30975.27557 129 14325.54990 31496.24242 130 -14182.04593 14325.54990 131 -12859.25945 -14182.04593 132 20362.66513 -12859.25945 133 -86422.38987 20362.66513 134 -26568.67698 -86422.38987 135 93807.36690 -26568.67698 136 13686.33884 93807.36690 137 51447.34216 13686.33884 138 -26661.07347 51447.34216 139 7935.18505 -26661.07347 140 -18357.53311 7935.18505 141 -16971.46349 -18357.53311 142 -3817.46282 -16971.46349 143 -17926.70075 -3817.46282 144 -13068.74375 -17926.70075 145 -53577.40192 -13068.74375 146 -28286.43593 -53577.40192 147 -17357.74351 -28286.43593 148 568.56535 -17357.74351 149 -23755.13671 568.56535 150 25201.66930 -23755.13671 151 9880.72482 25201.66930 152 -6988.04390 9880.72482 153 35244.60871 -6988.04390 154 37184.93956 35244.60871 155 40802.64910 37184.93956 156 25744.72607 40802.64910 157 11593.64543 25744.72607 158 -24976.72007 11593.64543 159 5444.49011 -24976.72007 160 2801.43930 5444.49011 161 -43994.51465 2801.43930 162 -3946.82833 -43994.51465 163 7954.73257 -3946.82833 164 -31019.89296 7954.73257 165 35513.04692 -31019.89296 166 -10060.60066 35513.04692 167 28280.07059 -10060.60066 168 26027.53878 28280.07059 169 83190.41980 26027.53878 170 -2525.69702 83190.41980 171 22249.58098 -2525.69702 172 -11997.29647 22249.58098 173 14501.27155 -11997.29647 174 -79700.55073 14501.27155 175 8924.96849 -79700.55073 176 -20347.82516 8924.96849 177 1071.83817 -20347.82516 178 8959.76815 1071.83817 179 30762.60824 8959.76815 180 -20186.84744 30762.60824 181 -55088.57916 -20186.84744 182 20906.53379 -55088.57916 183 19486.86249 20906.53379 184 38317.63289 19486.86249 185 17644.35000 38317.63289 186 22394.62226 17644.35000 187 26076.05336 22394.62226 188 -8212.18838 26076.05336 189 341.59839 -8212.18838 190 32459.12030 341.59839 191 6383.78716 32459.12030 192 -27122.90907 6383.78716 193 -70151.12890 -27122.90907 194 2688.55620 -70151.12890 195 4665.05790 2688.55620 196 -20825.24868 4665.05790 197 8690.88909 -20825.24868 198 -20616.38384 8690.88909 199 -2724.61072 -20616.38384 200 5473.33359 -2724.61072 201 -6209.13639 5473.33359 202 13048.46671 -6209.13639 203 -6813.58901 13048.46671 204 -43949.32392 -6813.58901 205 -12310.73200 -43949.32392 206 -17994.18439 -12310.73200 207 45822.14458 -17994.18439 208 22720.07753 45822.14458 209 -3020.61781 22720.07753 210 5608.37216 -3020.61781 211 10469.08538 5608.37216 212 -9653.20062 10469.08538 213 7853.19414 -9653.20062 214 -50923.71835 7853.19414 215 -36236.20396 -50923.71835 216 -33170.17114 -36236.20396 217 -6270.42570 -33170.17114 218 2959.62939 -6270.42570 219 18827.23188 2959.62939 220 -25193.87829 18827.23188 221 -50769.14362 -25193.87829 222 -70969.38660 -50769.14362 223 -4979.67933 -70969.38660 224 -3630.49903 -4979.67933 225 -2631.74532 -3630.49903 226 27142.77487 -2631.74532 227 -21973.66694 27142.77487 228 -32583.08809 -21973.66694 229 -68581.44165 -32583.08809 230 -30119.40416 -68581.44165 231 -14833.64595 -30119.40416 232 -36278.55893 -14833.64595 233 -15655.41199 -36278.55893 234 -24252.71363 -15655.41199 235 -10594.89000 -24252.71363 236 44973.65125 -10594.89000 237 -3939.53666 44973.65125 238 -17021.63402 -3939.53666 239 -20223.48803 -17021.63402 240 3748.15999 -20223.48803 241 -19108.07881 3748.15999 242 -15210.03589 -19108.07881 243 -5803.41033 -15210.03589 244 -3344.76757 -5803.41033 245 -7236.75056 -3344.76757 246 -34197.82027 -7236.75056 247 19562.31173 -34197.82027 248 11673.54667 19562.31173 249 6007.75752 11673.54667 250 463.94166 6007.75752 251 -1414.47366 463.94166 252 23492.47738 -1414.47366 253 -14023.72648 23492.47738 254 -17559.38808 -14023.72648 255 14346.64778 -17559.38808 256 -6836.15441 14346.64778 257 12708.20924 -6836.15441 258 6535.52299 12708.20924 259 10653.99356 6535.52299 260 -16580.99948 10653.99356 261 -8489.27738 -16580.99948 262 8235.06220 -8489.27738 263 -5223.37584 8235.06220 264 -12906.46399 -5223.37584 265 13172.19244 -12906.46399 266 -19092.64281 13172.19244 267 10328.68823 -19092.64281 268 47642.05701 10328.68823 269 -11408.74210 47642.05701 270 -22795.98932 -11408.74210 271 23.65832 -22795.98932 272 4291.07193 23.65832 273 3006.54902 4291.07193 274 12501.97418 3006.54902 275 -26322.01431 12501.97418 276 3324.50372 -26322.01431 277 16481.22390 3324.50372 278 -12271.46062 16481.22390 279 7373.46844 -12271.46062 280 -14099.71374 7373.46844 281 19848.18214 -14099.71374 282 3322.81841 19848.18214 283 15441.95490 3322.81841 284 -844.60529 15441.95490 285 -33622.25189 -844.60529 286 -9797.86385 -33622.25189 287 -8680.64197 -9797.86385 288 -5036.48415 -8680.64197 > plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals') > lines(lowess(z)) > abline(lm(z)) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/7d1031324667356.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/8f69j1324667356.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/9098z1324667356.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0)) > plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics') > par(opar) > dev.off() null device 1 > if (n > n25) { + postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/10lf8c1324667356.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) + plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint') + grid() + dev.off() + } null device 1 > > #Note: the /var/wessaorg/rcomp/createtable file can be downloaded at http://www.wessa.net/cretab > load(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/createtable") > > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > myeq <- colnames(x)[1] > myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='') > for (i in 1:k){ + if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '') + myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ') + if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') { + myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='') + if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='') + } + } > myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]') > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, myeq) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/11kj6t1324667356.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > for (i in 1:k){ + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1]) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6)) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/12l2qd1324667356.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared)) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3])) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror)) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/13wi8o1324667356.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation
Forecast', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals
Prediction Error', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > for (i in 1:n) { + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,x[i]) + a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i]) + a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i]) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/14cn5q1324667356.tab") > if (n > n25) { + a<-table.start() + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1]) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2]) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3]) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } + a<-table.end(a) + table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/15p6t41324667356.tab") + a<-table.start() + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.end(a) + table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/16d3nd1324667356.tab") + } > > try(system("convert tmp/14t0o1324667356.ps tmp/14t0o1324667356.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/2zb781324667356.ps tmp/2zb781324667356.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/3r5au1324667356.ps tmp/3r5au1324667356.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/492vx1324667356.ps tmp/492vx1324667356.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/5rurv1324667356.ps tmp/5rurv1324667356.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/6rtfg1324667356.ps tmp/6rtfg1324667356.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/7d1031324667356.ps tmp/7d1031324667356.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/8f69j1324667356.ps tmp/8f69j1324667356.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/9098z1324667356.ps tmp/9098z1324667356.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/10lf8c1324667356.ps tmp/10lf8c1324667356.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > > > proc.time() user system elapsed 7.911 0.872 8.987