R version 2.13.0 (2011-04-13) Copyright (C) 2011 The R Foundation for Statistical Computing ISBN 3-900051-07-0 Platform: i486-pc-linux-gnu (32-bit) R is free software and comes with ABSOLUTELY NO WARRANTY. You are welcome to redistribute it under certain conditions. Type 'license()' or 'licence()' for distribution details. R is a collaborative project with many contributors. Type 'contributors()' for more information and 'citation()' on how to cite R or R packages in publications. Type 'demo()' for some demos, 'help()' for on-line help, or 'help.start()' for an HTML browser interface to help. Type 'q()' to quit R. > x <- array(list(146283 + ,112285 + ,94 + ,79 + ,98364 + ,84786 + ,103 + ,58 + ,86146 + ,83123 + ,93 + ,60 + ,96933 + ,101193 + ,103 + ,108 + ,79234 + ,38361 + ,51 + ,49 + ,42551 + ,68504 + ,70 + ,0 + ,195663 + ,119182 + ,91 + ,121 + ,6853 + ,22807 + ,22 + ,1 + ,21529 + ,17140 + ,38 + ,20 + ,95757 + ,116174 + ,93 + ,43 + ,85584 + ,57635 + ,60 + ,69 + ,143983 + ,66198 + ,123 + ,78 + ,75851 + ,71701 + ,148 + ,86 + ,59238 + ,57793 + ,90 + ,44 + ,93163 + ,80444 + ,124 + ,104 + ,96037 + ,53855 + ,70 + ,63 + ,151511 + ,97668 + ,168 + ,158 + ,136368 + ,133824 + ,115 + ,102 + ,112642 + ,101481 + ,71 + ,77 + ,94728 + ,99645 + ,66 + ,82 + ,105499 + ,114789 + ,134 + ,115 + ,121527 + ,99052 + ,117 + ,101 + ,127766 + ,67654 + ,108 + ,80 + ,98958 + ,65553 + ,84 + ,50 + ,77900 + ,97500 + ,156 + ,83 + ,85646 + ,69112 + ,120 + ,123 + ,98579 + ,82753 + ,114 + ,73 + ,130767 + ,85323 + ,94 + ,81 + ,131741 + ,72654 + ,120 + ,105 + ,53907 + ,30727 + ,81 + ,47 + ,178812 + ,77873 + ,110 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,29 + ,43 + ,32868 + ,35130 + ,3 + ,23 + ,27640 + ,39067 + ,60 + ,34 + ,14063 + ,13310 + ,30 + ,36 + ,28990 + ,65892 + ,79 + ,35 + ,4694 + ,4143 + ,47 + ,0 + ,42648 + ,28579 + ,40 + ,37 + ,64329 + ,51776 + ,48 + ,28 + ,21928 + ,21152 + ,36 + ,16 + ,25836 + ,38084 + ,42 + ,26 + ,22779 + ,27717 + ,49 + ,38 + ,40820 + ,32928 + ,57 + ,23 + ,27530 + ,11342 + ,12 + ,22 + ,32378 + ,19499 + ,40 + ,30 + ,10824 + ,16380 + ,43 + ,16 + ,39613 + ,36874 + ,33 + ,18 + ,60865 + ,48259 + ,77 + ,28 + ,19787 + ,16734 + ,43 + ,32 + ,20107 + ,28207 + ,45 + ,21 + ,36605 + ,30143 + ,47 + ,23 + ,40961 + ,41369 + ,43 + ,29 + ,48231 + ,45833 + ,45 + ,50 + ,39725 + ,29156 + ,50 + ,12 + ,21455 + ,35944 + ,35 + ,21 + ,23430 + ,36278 + ,7 + ,18 + ,62991 + ,45588 + ,71 + ,27 + ,49363 + ,45097 + ,67 + ,41 + ,9604 + ,3895 + ,0 + ,13 + ,24552 + ,28394 + ,62 + ,12 + ,31493 + ,18632 + ,54 + ,21 + ,3439 + ,2325 + ,4 + ,8 + ,19555 + ,25139 + ,25 + ,26 + ,21228 + ,27975 + ,40 + ,27 + ,23177 + ,14483 + ,38 + ,13 + ,22094 + ,13127 + ,19 + ,16 + ,2342 + ,5839 + ,17 + ,2 + ,38798 + ,24069 + ,67 + ,42 + ,3255 + ,3738 + ,14 + ,5 + ,24261 + ,18625 + ,30 + ,37 + ,18511 + ,36341 + ,54 + ,17 + ,40798 + ,24548 + ,35 + ,38 + ,28893 + ,21792 + ,59 + ,37 + ,21425 + ,26263 + ,24 + ,29 + ,50276 + ,23686 + ,58 + ,32 + ,37643 + ,49303 + ,42 + ,35 + ,30377 + ,25659 + ,46 + ,17 + ,27126 + ,28904 + ,61 + ,20 + ,13 + ,2781 + ,3 + ,7 + ,42097 + ,29236 + ,52 + ,46 + ,24451 + ,19546 + ,25 + ,24 + ,14335 + ,22818 + ,40 + ,40 + ,5084 + ,32689 + ,32 + ,3 + ,9927 + ,5752 + ,4 + ,10 + ,43527 + ,22197 + ,49 + ,37 + ,27184 + ,20055 + ,63 + ,17 + ,21610 + ,25272 + ,67 + ,28 + ,20484 + ,82206 + ,32 + ,19 + ,20156 + ,32073 + ,23 + ,29 + ,6012 + ,5444 + ,7 + ,8 + ,18475 + ,20154 + ,54 + ,10 + ,12645 + ,36944 + ,37 + ,15 + ,11017 + ,8019 + ,35 + ,15 + ,37623 + ,30884 + ,51 + ,28 + ,35873 + ,19540 + ,39 + ,17) + ,dim=c(4 + ,289) + ,dimnames=list(c('Tot._Sec' + ,'Tot._Size' + ,'#Feedback>p120' + ,'#Blogged_comp.') + ,1:289)) > y <- array(NA,dim=c(4,289),dimnames=list(c('Tot._Sec','Tot._Size','#Feedback>p120','#Blogged_comp.'),1:289)) > for (i in 1:dim(x)[1]) + { + for (j in 1:dim(x)[2]) + { + y[i,j] <- as.numeric(x[i,j]) + } + } > par3 = 'No Linear Trend' > par2 = 'Do not include Seasonal Dummies' > par1 = '2' > #'GNU S' R Code compiled by R2WASP v. 1.0.44 () > #Author: Prof. Dr. P. Wessa > #To cite this work: AUTHOR(S), (YEAR), YOUR SOFTWARE TITLE (vNUMBER) in Free Statistics Software (v$_version), Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.wessa.net/rwasp_YOURPAGE.wasp/ > #Source of accompanying publication: Office for Research, Development, and Education > #Technical description: Write here your technical program description (don't use hard returns!) > library(lattice) > library(lmtest) Loading required package: zoo > n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test > par1 <- as.numeric(par1) > x <- t(y) > k <- length(x[1,]) > n <- length(x[,1]) > x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1]) > mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1]) > colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1] > x <- x1 > if (par3 == 'First Differences'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep=''))) + for (i in 1:n-1) { + for (j in 1:k) { + x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j] + } + } + x <- x2 + } > if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep =''))) + for (i in 1:11){ + x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1 + } + x <- cbind(x, x2) + } > if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep =''))) + for (i in 1:3){ + x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1 + } + x <- cbind(x, x2) + } > k <- length(x[1,]) > if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){ + x <- cbind(x, c(1:n)) + colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't' + } > x Tot._Size Tot._Sec #Feedback>p120 #Blogged_comp. 1 112285 146283 94 79 2 84786 98364 103 58 3 83123 86146 93 60 4 101193 96933 103 108 5 38361 79234 51 49 6 68504 42551 70 0 7 119182 195663 91 121 8 22807 6853 22 1 9 17140 21529 38 20 10 116174 95757 93 43 11 57635 85584 60 69 12 66198 143983 123 78 13 71701 75851 148 86 14 57793 59238 90 44 15 80444 93163 124 104 16 53855 96037 70 63 17 97668 151511 168 158 18 133824 136368 115 102 19 101481 112642 71 77 20 99645 94728 66 82 21 114789 105499 134 115 22 99052 121527 117 101 23 67654 127766 108 80 24 65553 98958 84 50 25 97500 77900 156 83 26 69112 85646 120 123 27 82753 98579 114 73 28 85323 130767 94 81 29 72654 131741 120 105 30 30727 53907 81 47 31 77873 178812 110 105 32 117478 146761 133 94 33 74007 82036 122 44 34 90183 163253 158 114 35 61542 27032 109 38 36 101494 171975 124 107 37 27570 65990 39 30 38 55813 86572 92 71 39 79215 159676 126 84 40 1423 1929 0 0 41 55461 85371 70 59 42 31081 58391 37 33 43 22996 31580 38 42 44 83122 136815 120 96 45 70106 120642 93 106 46 60578 69107 95 56 47 39992 50495 77 57 48 79892 108016 90 59 49 49810 46341 80 39 50 71570 78348 31 34 51 100708 79336 110 76 52 33032 56968 66 20 53 82875 93176 138 91 54 139077 161632 133 115 55 71595 87850 113 85 56 72260 127969 100 76 57 5950 15049 7 8 58 115762 155135 140 79 59 32551 25109 61 21 60 31701 45824 41 30 61 80670 102996 96 76 62 143558 160604 164 101 63 117105 158051 78 94 64 23789 44547 49 27 65 120733 162647 102 92 66 105195 174141 124 123 67 73107 60622 99 75 68 132068 179566 129 128 69 149193 184301 62 105 70 46821 75661 73 55 71 87011 96144 114 56 72 95260 129847 99 41 73 55183 117286 70 72 74 106671 71180 104 67 75 73511 109377 116 75 76 92945 85298 91 114 77 78664 73631 74 118 78 70054 86767 138 77 79 22618 23824 67 22 80 74011 93487 151 66 81 83737 82981 72 69 82 69094 73815 120 105 83 93133 94552 115 116 84 95536 132190 105 88 85 225920 128754 104 73 86 62133 66363 108 99 87 61370 67808 98 62 88 43836 61724 69 53 89 106117 131722 111 118 90 38692 68580 99 30 91 84651 106175 71 100 92 56622 55792 27 49 93 15986 25157 69 24 94 95364 76669 107 67 95 26706 57283 73 46 96 89691 105805 107 57 97 67267 129484 93 75 98 126846 72413 129 135 99 41140 87831 69 68 100 102860 96971 118 124 101 51715 71299 73 33 102 55801 77494 119 98 103 111813 120336 104 58 104 120293 93913 107 68 105 138599 136048 99 81 106 161647 181248 90 131 107 115929 146123 197 110 108 24266 32036 36 37 109 162901 186646 85 130 110 109825 102255 139 93 111 129838 168237 106 118 112 37510 64219 50 39 113 43750 19630 64 13 114 40652 76825 31 74 115 87771 115338 63 81 116 85872 109427 92 109 117 89275 118168 106 151 118 44418 84845 63 51 119 192565 153197 69 28 120 35232 29877 41 40 121 40909 63506 56 56 122 13294 22445 25 27 123 32387 47695 65 37 124 140867 68370 93 83 125 120662 146304 114 54 126 21233 38233 38 27 127 44332 42071 44 28 128 61056 50517 87 59 129 101338 103950 110 133 130 1168 5841 0 12 131 13497 2341 27 0 132 65567 84396 83 106 133 25162 24610 30 23 134 32334 35753 80 44 135 40735 55515 98 71 136 91413 209056 82 116 137 855 6622 0 4 138 97068 115814 60 62 139 44339 11609 28 12 140 14116 13155 9 18 141 10288 18274 33 14 142 65622 72875 59 60 143 16563 10112 49 7 144 76643 142775 115 98 145 110681 68847 140 64 146 29011 17659 49 29 147 92696 20112 120 32 148 94785 61023 66 25 149 8773 13983 21 16 150 83209 65176 124 48 151 93815 132432 152 100 152 86687 112494 139 46 153 34553 45109 38 45 154 105547 170875 144 129 155 103487 180759 120 130 156 213688 214921 160 136 157 71220 100226 114 59 158 23517 32043 39 25 159 56926 54454 78 32 160 91721 78876 119 63 161 115168 170745 141 95 162 111194 6940 101 14 163 51009 49025 56 36 164 135777 122037 133 113 165 51513 53782 83 47 166 74163 127748 116 92 167 51633 86839 90 70 168 75345 44830 36 19 169 33416 77395 50 50 170 83305 89324 61 41 171 98952 103300 97 91 172 102372 112283 98 111 173 37238 10901 78 41 174 103772 120691 117 120 175 123969 58106 148 135 176 27142 57140 41 27 177 135400 122422 105 87 178 21399 25899 55 25 179 130115 139296 132 131 180 24874 52678 44 45 181 34988 23853 21 29 182 45549 17306 50 58 183 6023 7953 0 4 184 64466 89455 73 47 185 54990 147866 86 109 186 1644 4245 0 7 187 6179 21509 13 12 188 3926 7670 4 0 189 32755 66675 57 37 190 34777 14336 48 37 191 73224 53608 46 46 192 27114 30059 48 15 193 20760 29668 32 42 194 37636 22097 68 7 195 65461 96841 87 54 196 30080 41907 43 54 197 24094 27080 67 14 198 69008 35885 46 16 199 54968 41247 46 33 200 46090 28313 56 32 201 27507 36845 48 21 202 10672 16548 44 15 203 34029 36134 60 38 204 46300 55764 65 22 205 24760 28910 55 28 206 18779 13339 38 10 207 21280 25319 52 31 208 40662 66956 60 32 209 28987 47487 54 32 210 22827 52785 86 43 211 18513 44683 24 27 212 30594 35619 52 37 213 24006 21920 49 20 214 27913 45608 61 32 215 42744 7721 61 0 216 12934 20634 81 5 217 22574 29788 43 26 218 41385 31931 40 10 219 18653 37754 40 27 220 18472 32505 56 11 221 30976 40557 68 29 222 63339 94238 79 25 223 25568 44197 47 55 224 33747 43228 57 23 225 4154 4103 41 5 226 19474 44144 29 43 227 35130 32868 3 23 228 39067 27640 60 34 229 13310 14063 30 36 230 65892 28990 79 35 231 4143 4694 47 0 232 28579 42648 40 37 233 51776 64329 48 28 234 21152 21928 36 16 235 38084 25836 42 26 236 27717 22779 49 38 237 32928 40820 57 23 238 11342 27530 12 22 239 19499 32378 40 30 240 16380 10824 43 16 241 36874 39613 33 18 242 48259 60865 77 28 243 16734 19787 43 32 244 28207 20107 45 21 245 30143 36605 47 23 246 41369 40961 43 29 247 45833 48231 45 50 248 29156 39725 50 12 249 35944 21455 35 21 250 36278 23430 7 18 251 45588 62991 71 27 252 45097 49363 67 41 253 3895 9604 0 13 254 28394 24552 62 12 255 18632 31493 54 21 256 2325 3439 4 8 257 25139 19555 25 26 258 27975 21228 40 27 259 14483 23177 38 13 260 13127 22094 19 16 261 5839 2342 17 2 262 24069 38798 67 42 263 3738 3255 14 5 264 18625 24261 30 37 265 36341 18511 54 17 266 24548 40798 35 38 267 21792 28893 59 37 268 26263 21425 24 29 269 23686 50276 58 32 270 49303 37643 42 35 271 25659 30377 46 17 272 28904 27126 61 20 273 2781 13 3 7 274 29236 42097 52 46 275 19546 24451 25 24 276 22818 14335 40 40 277 32689 5084 32 3 278 5752 9927 4 10 279 22197 43527 49 37 280 20055 27184 63 17 281 25272 21610 67 28 282 82206 20484 32 19 283 32073 20156 23 29 284 5444 6012 7 8 285 20154 18475 54 10 286 36944 12645 37 15 287 8019 11017 35 15 288 30884 37623 51 28 289 19540 35873 39 17 > k <- length(x[1,]) > df <- as.data.frame(x) > (mylm <- lm(df)) Call: lm(formula = df) Coefficients: (Intercept) Tot._Sec `#Feedback>p120` `#Blogged_comp.` 1409.9189 0.4382 303.6250 93.0656 > (mysum <- summary(mylm)) Call: lm(formula = df) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -47467 -11282 -3829 9156 129722 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|) (Intercept) 1.410e+03 2.629e+03 0.536 0.592 Tot._Sec 4.382e-01 4.869e-02 9.000 < 2e-16 *** `#Feedback>p120` 3.036e+02 5.277e+01 5.754 2.25e-08 *** `#Blogged_comp.` 9.307e+01 6.880e+01 1.353 0.177 --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 21280 on 285 degrees of freedom Multiple R-squared: 0.7257, Adjusted R-squared: 0.7228 F-statistic: 251.3 on 3 and 285 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16 > if (n > n25) { + kp3 <- k + 3 + nmkm3 <- n - k - 3 + gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3)) + numgqtests <- 0 + numsignificant1 <- 0 + numsignificant5 <- 0 + numsignificant10 <- 0 + for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { + j <- 0 + numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1 + for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) { + j <- j + 1 + gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value + } + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1 + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1 + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1 + } + gqarr + } [,1] [,2] [,3] [1,] 0.24605984 4.921197e-01 7.539402e-01 [2,] 0.17985943 3.597189e-01 8.201406e-01 [3,] 0.12375929 2.475186e-01 8.762407e-01 [4,] 0.17311716 3.462343e-01 8.268828e-01 [5,] 0.10155929 2.031186e-01 8.984407e-01 [6,] 0.72065688 5.586862e-01 2.793431e-01 [7,] 0.70189383 5.962123e-01 2.981062e-01 [8,] 0.62056976 7.588605e-01 3.794302e-01 [9,] 0.53236988 9.352602e-01 4.676301e-01 [10,] 0.49703408 9.940682e-01 5.029659e-01 [11,] 0.45248685 9.049737e-01 5.475131e-01 [12,] 0.60037567 7.992487e-01 3.996243e-01 [13,] 0.60312150 7.937570e-01 3.968785e-01 [14,] 0.64922219 7.015556e-01 3.507778e-01 [15,] 0.65684506 6.863099e-01 3.431549e-01 [16,] 0.59076393 8.184721e-01 4.092361e-01 [17,] 0.64295344 7.140931e-01 3.570466e-01 [18,] 0.59807178 8.038564e-01 4.019282e-01 [19,] 0.55376301 8.924740e-01 4.462370e-01 [20,] 0.51875306 9.624939e-01 4.812469e-01 [21,] 0.45646910 9.129382e-01 5.435309e-01 [22,] 0.40458578 8.091716e-01 5.954142e-01 [23,] 0.44171474 8.834295e-01 5.582853e-01 [24,] 0.47682536 9.536507e-01 5.231746e-01 [25,] 0.57816001 8.436800e-01 4.218400e-01 [26,] 0.54289904 9.142019e-01 4.571010e-01 [27,] 0.48840110 9.768022e-01 5.115989e-01 [28,] 0.52280254 9.543949e-01 4.771975e-01 [29,] 0.47405417 9.481083e-01 5.259458e-01 [30,] 0.43379319 8.675864e-01 5.662068e-01 [31,] 0.44835008 8.967002e-01 5.516499e-01 [32,] 0.42778038 8.555608e-01 5.722196e-01 [33,] 0.45162287 9.032457e-01 5.483771e-01 [34,] 0.43104024 8.620805e-01 5.689598e-01 [35,] 0.38957623 7.791525e-01 6.104238e-01 [36,] 0.35945262 7.189052e-01 6.405474e-01 [37,] 0.33009237 6.601847e-01 6.699076e-01 [38,] 0.30698807 6.139761e-01 6.930119e-01 [39,] 0.28472904 5.694581e-01 7.152710e-01 [40,] 0.24621544 4.924309e-01 7.537846e-01 [41,] 0.22328853 4.465771e-01 7.767115e-01 [42,] 0.19169502 3.833900e-01 8.083050e-01 [43,] 0.16091654 3.218331e-01 8.390835e-01 [44,] 0.17341095 3.468219e-01 8.265890e-01 [45,] 0.20148508 4.029702e-01 7.985149e-01 [46,] 0.19237265 3.847453e-01 8.076274e-01 [47,] 0.16463791 3.292758e-01 8.353621e-01 [48,] 0.19817159 3.963432e-01 8.018284e-01 [49,] 0.17175325 3.435065e-01 8.282467e-01 [50,] 0.16140563 3.228113e-01 8.385944e-01 [51,] 0.14291036 2.858207e-01 8.570896e-01 [52,] 0.12436381 2.487276e-01 8.756362e-01 [53,] 0.10386607 2.077321e-01 8.961339e-01 [54,] 0.08696884 1.739377e-01 9.130312e-01 [55,] 0.07182738 1.436548e-01 9.281726e-01 [56,] 0.07678636 1.535727e-01 9.232136e-01 [57,] 0.08316447 1.663289e-01 9.168355e-01 [58,] 0.07639874 1.527975e-01 9.236013e-01 [59,] 0.07195557 1.439111e-01 9.280444e-01 [60,] 0.06539093 1.307819e-01 9.346091e-01 [61,] 0.05645365 1.129073e-01 9.435464e-01 [62,] 0.04978454 9.956908e-02 9.502155e-01 [63,] 0.10174142 2.034828e-01 8.982586e-01 [64,] 0.09220959 1.844192e-01 9.077904e-01 [65,] 0.07878730 1.575746e-01 9.212127e-01 [66,] 0.06590470 1.318094e-01 9.340953e-01 [67,] 0.07133034 1.426607e-01 9.286697e-01 [68,] 0.11598957 2.319791e-01 8.840104e-01 [69,] 0.10775117 2.155023e-01 8.922488e-01 [70,] 0.10507521 2.101504e-01 8.949248e-01 [71,] 0.09335700 1.867140e-01 9.066430e-01 [72,] 0.08624867 1.724973e-01 9.137513e-01 [73,] 0.07645423 1.529085e-01 9.235458e-01 [74,] 0.07138210 1.427642e-01 9.286179e-01 [75,] 0.06872930 1.374586e-01 9.312707e-01 [76,] 0.05915222 1.183044e-01 9.408478e-01 [77,] 0.04981871 9.963741e-02 9.501813e-01 [78,] 0.04116438 8.232875e-02 9.588356e-01 [79,] 0.96416059 7.167882e-02 3.583941e-02 [80,] 0.95806574 8.386853e-02 4.193426e-02 [81,] 0.94983960 1.003208e-01 5.016040e-02 [82,] 0.94240317 1.151937e-01 5.759683e-02 [83,] 0.93183332 1.363334e-01 6.816668e-02 [84,] 0.93557006 1.288599e-01 6.442994e-02 [85,] 0.92407193 1.518561e-01 7.592807e-02 [86,] 0.91806191 1.638762e-01 8.193809e-02 [87,] 0.91552574 1.689485e-01 8.447426e-02 [88,] 0.91754466 1.649107e-01 8.245534e-02 [89,] 0.92399669 1.520066e-01 7.600331e-02 [90,] 0.91180987 1.763803e-01 8.819013e-02 [91,] 0.91858832 1.628234e-01 8.141168e-02 [92,] 0.94939424 1.012115e-01 5.060576e-02 [93,] 0.95415817 9.168366e-02 4.584183e-02 [94,] 0.94736037 1.052793e-01 5.263963e-02 [95,] 0.93823908 1.235218e-01 6.176092e-02 [96,] 0.94208946 1.158211e-01 5.791054e-02 [97,] 0.94272333 1.145533e-01 5.727667e-02 [98,] 0.96255736 7.488528e-02 3.744264e-02 [99,] 0.97661929 4.676142e-02 2.338071e-02 [100,] 0.98579483 2.841034e-02 1.420517e-02 [101,] 0.98574931 2.850139e-02 1.425069e-02 [102,] 0.98265902 3.468195e-02 1.734098e-02 [103,] 0.99012710 1.974580e-02 9.872898e-03 [104,] 0.98873338 2.253324e-02 1.126662e-02 [105,] 0.98674834 2.650331e-02 1.325166e-02 [106,] 0.98443406 3.113188e-02 1.556594e-02 [107,] 0.98244950 3.510101e-02 1.755050e-02 [108,] 0.98009881 3.980238e-02 1.990119e-02 [109,] 0.97663412 4.673175e-02 2.336588e-02 [110,] 0.97162793 5.674415e-02 2.837207e-02 [111,] 0.96749478 6.501044e-02 3.250522e-02 [112,] 0.96564118 6.871764e-02 3.435882e-02 [113,] 0.99991970 1.605955e-04 8.029776e-05 [114,] 0.99988883 2.223305e-04 1.111653e-04 [115,] 0.99985717 2.856624e-04 1.428312e-04 [116,] 0.99981108 3.778491e-04 1.889245e-04 [117,] 0.99977132 4.573597e-04 2.286799e-04 [118,] 0.99999546 9.088063e-06 4.544032e-06 [119,] 0.99999539 9.219415e-06 4.609707e-06 [120,] 0.99999381 1.238102e-05 6.190508e-06 [121,] 0.99999162 1.676246e-05 8.381229e-06 [122,] 0.99998808 2.383636e-05 1.191818e-05 [123,] 0.99998342 3.316689e-05 1.658344e-05 [124,] 0.99997642 4.715631e-05 2.357816e-05 [125,] 0.99996639 6.721408e-05 3.360704e-05 [126,] 0.99995534 8.931778e-05 4.465889e-05 [127,] 0.99993702 1.259661e-04 6.298306e-05 [128,] 0.99992815 1.436957e-04 7.184784e-05 [129,] 0.99994043 1.191315e-04 5.956575e-05 [130,] 0.99996366 7.267322e-05 3.633661e-05 [131,] 0.99994890 1.022044e-04 5.110221e-05 [132,] 0.99996154 7.691919e-05 3.845960e-05 [133,] 0.99997213 5.574870e-05 2.787435e-05 [134,] 0.99996086 7.827983e-05 3.913991e-05 [135,] 0.99994904 1.019289e-04 5.096445e-05 [136,] 0.99993419 1.316215e-04 6.581077e-05 [137,] 0.99991065 1.787070e-04 8.935352e-05 [138,] 0.99993691 1.261865e-04 6.309323e-05 [139,] 0.99994979 1.004237e-04 5.021187e-05 [140,] 0.99992907 1.418574e-04 7.092872e-05 [141,] 0.99996823 6.353725e-05 3.176863e-05 [142,] 0.99999345 1.310911e-05 6.554553e-06 [143,] 0.99999073 1.854494e-05 9.272469e-06 [144,] 0.99998733 2.533677e-05 1.266839e-05 [145,] 0.99998851 2.298292e-05 1.149146e-05 [146,] 0.99998454 3.091931e-05 1.545965e-05 [147,] 0.99997765 4.470877e-05 2.235439e-05 [148,] 0.99998335 3.329815e-05 1.664907e-05 [149,] 0.99998657 2.686111e-05 1.343055e-05 [150,] 0.99999955 8.944771e-07 4.472386e-07 [151,] 0.99999942 1.165408e-06 5.827042e-07 [152,] 0.99999913 1.742610e-06 8.713050e-07 [153,] 0.99999870 2.596769e-06 1.298384e-06 [154,] 0.99999829 3.429945e-06 1.714972e-06 [155,] 0.99999754 4.910925e-06 2.455463e-06 [156,] 0.99999999 1.511753e-08 7.558766e-09 [157,] 0.99999999 2.253013e-08 1.126507e-08 [158,] 0.99999999 1.074222e-08 5.371111e-09 [159,] 0.99999999 1.792851e-08 8.964255e-09 [160,] 0.99999999 1.346775e-08 6.733876e-09 [161,] 0.99999999 1.189401e-08 5.947007e-09 [162,] 1.00000000 8.640325e-10 4.320163e-10 [163,] 1.00000000 8.168138e-10 4.084069e-10 [164,] 1.00000000 4.248542e-10 2.124271e-10 [165,] 1.00000000 5.330347e-10 2.665174e-10 [166,] 1.00000000 7.922641e-10 3.961321e-10 [167,] 1.00000000 1.387686e-09 6.938430e-10 [168,] 1.00000000 2.423869e-09 1.211934e-09 [169,] 1.00000000 8.397965e-10 4.198983e-10 [170,] 1.00000000 1.192275e-09 5.961373e-10 [171,] 1.00000000 2.115887e-11 1.057943e-11 [172,] 1.00000000 3.366540e-11 1.683270e-11 [173,] 1.00000000 5.315246e-12 2.657623e-12 [174,] 1.00000000 7.247157e-12 3.623578e-12 [175,] 1.00000000 9.543028e-12 4.771514e-12 [176,] 1.00000000 8.540862e-12 4.270431e-12 [177,] 1.00000000 1.572289e-11 7.861444e-12 [178,] 1.00000000 2.419588e-11 1.209794e-11 [179,] 1.00000000 6.809980e-12 3.404990e-12 [180,] 1.00000000 1.191005e-11 5.955025e-12 [181,] 1.00000000 1.627845e-11 8.139225e-12 [182,] 1.00000000 2.786151e-11 1.393075e-11 [183,] 1.00000000 3.445554e-11 1.722777e-11 [184,] 1.00000000 4.868825e-11 2.434413e-11 [185,] 1.00000000 6.241126e-12 3.120563e-12 [186,] 1.00000000 1.225107e-11 6.125537e-12 [187,] 1.00000000 2.265250e-11 1.132625e-11 [188,] 1.00000000 3.715930e-11 1.857965e-11 [189,] 1.00000000 6.856047e-11 3.428024e-11 [190,] 1.00000000 1.289101e-10 6.445506e-11 [191,] 1.00000000 2.209428e-10 1.104714e-10 [192,] 1.00000000 1.234317e-11 6.171583e-12 [193,] 1.00000000 6.851666e-12 3.425833e-12 [194,] 1.00000000 6.427802e-12 3.213901e-12 [195,] 1.00000000 1.269905e-11 6.349525e-12 [196,] 1.00000000 1.803405e-11 9.017025e-12 [197,] 1.00000000 3.592775e-11 1.796387e-11 [198,] 1.00000000 6.587701e-11 3.293851e-11 [199,] 1.00000000 1.246303e-10 6.231516e-11 [200,] 1.00000000 2.469486e-10 1.234743e-10 [201,] 1.00000000 4.410952e-10 2.205476e-10 [202,] 1.00000000 8.186974e-10 4.093487e-10 [203,] 1.00000000 1.389021e-09 6.945104e-10 [204,] 1.00000000 8.095025e-10 4.047513e-10 [205,] 1.00000000 1.138147e-09 5.690733e-10 [206,] 1.00000000 2.200415e-09 1.100208e-09 [207,] 1.00000000 4.233477e-09 2.116739e-09 [208,] 1.00000000 6.410305e-09 3.205153e-09 [209,] 1.00000000 3.588304e-09 1.794152e-09 [210,] 1.00000000 3.666880e-09 1.833440e-09 [211,] 1.00000000 6.655501e-09 3.327751e-09 [212,] 1.00000000 7.876483e-09 3.938241e-09 [213,] 0.99999999 1.068951e-08 5.344755e-09 [214,] 0.99999999 1.445782e-08 7.228910e-09 [215,] 0.99999999 2.501442e-08 1.250721e-08 [216,] 0.99999998 4.683962e-08 2.341981e-08 [217,] 0.99999997 6.414299e-08 3.207150e-08 [218,] 0.99999994 1.200823e-07 6.004117e-08 [219,] 0.99999992 1.625735e-07 8.128676e-08 [220,] 0.99999990 1.972619e-07 9.863093e-08 [221,] 0.99999988 2.418665e-07 1.209332e-07 [222,] 0.99999979 4.101216e-07 2.050608e-07 [223,] 0.99999967 6.566981e-07 3.283490e-07 [224,] 0.99999994 1.257291e-07 6.286455e-08 [225,] 0.99999992 1.697182e-07 8.485912e-08 [226,] 0.99999985 3.088014e-07 1.544007e-07 [227,] 0.99999976 4.790615e-07 2.395307e-07 [228,] 0.99999955 9.077745e-07 4.538872e-07 [229,] 0.99999938 1.232255e-06 6.161277e-07 [230,] 0.99999884 2.321462e-06 1.160731e-06 [231,] 0.99999785 4.307407e-06 2.153703e-06 [232,] 0.99999697 6.056617e-06 3.028308e-06 [233,] 0.99999545 9.102034e-06 4.551017e-06 [234,] 0.99999189 1.621918e-05 8.109591e-06 [235,] 0.99998680 2.639918e-05 1.319959e-05 [236,] 0.99997756 4.487151e-05 2.243576e-05 [237,] 0.99996598 6.803002e-05 3.401501e-05 [238,] 0.99994178 1.164328e-04 5.821638e-05 [239,] 0.99989915 2.017015e-04 1.008507e-04 [240,] 0.99985452 2.909672e-04 1.454836e-04 [241,] 0.99979077 4.184676e-04 2.092338e-04 [242,] 0.99964827 7.034575e-04 3.517287e-04 [243,] 0.99955883 8.823379e-04 4.411689e-04 [244,] 0.99961264 7.747260e-04 3.873630e-04 [245,] 0.99941725 1.165491e-03 5.827457e-04 [246,] 0.99915521 1.689570e-03 8.447850e-04 [247,] 0.99874204 2.515925e-03 1.257963e-03 [248,] 0.99796304 4.073930e-03 2.036965e-03 [249,] 0.99710222 5.795567e-03 2.897783e-03 [250,] 0.99602537 7.949268e-03 3.974634e-03 [251,] 0.99385429 1.229143e-02 6.145714e-03 [252,] 0.99061078 1.877844e-02 9.389219e-03 [253,] 0.98682581 2.634838e-02 1.317419e-02 [254,] 0.98113758 3.772483e-02 1.886242e-02 [255,] 0.97510599 4.978802e-02 2.489401e-02 [256,] 0.96736847 6.526305e-02 3.263153e-02 [257,] 0.96051816 7.896369e-02 3.948184e-02 [258,] 0.94586586 1.082683e-01 5.413414e-02 [259,] 0.92973637 1.405273e-01 7.026363e-02 [260,] 0.90392187 1.921563e-01 9.607813e-02 [261,] 0.87880547 2.423891e-01 1.211945e-01 [262,] 0.83680479 3.263904e-01 1.631952e-01 [263,] 0.80165846 3.966831e-01 1.983415e-01 [264,] 0.79761676 4.047665e-01 2.023832e-01 [265,] 0.73549814 5.290037e-01 2.645019e-01 [266,] 0.66299313 6.740137e-01 3.370069e-01 [267,] 0.61975110 7.604978e-01 3.802489e-01 [268,] 0.53383484 9.323303e-01 4.661652e-01 [269,] 0.44802647 8.960529e-01 5.519735e-01 [270,] 0.37207259 7.441452e-01 6.279274e-01 [271,] 0.31429597 6.285919e-01 6.857040e-01 [272,] 0.26819980 5.363996e-01 7.318002e-01 [273,] 0.22774037 4.554807e-01 7.722596e-01 [274,] 0.15080412 3.016082e-01 8.491959e-01 [275,] 0.10292040 2.058408e-01 8.970796e-01 [276,] 0.81987376 3.602525e-01 1.801262e-01 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/10tkf1324667123.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index') > points(x[,1]-mysum$resid) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/218cl1324667123.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/3ytph1324667123.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/4u68f1324667123.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals') > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/502ky1324667123.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot') > qqline(mysum$resid) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > (myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid)) Time Series: Start = 1 End = 289 Frequency = 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 10884.1044 3603.9246 10144.7069 15984.6799 -17812.6318 27195.4016 7 8 9 10 11 12 -6854.0213 11621.4286 -7102.5231 40566.4892 -5915.0008 -42907.1457 13 14 15 16 17 18 -15885.3280 -994.8658 -9116.2511 -16753.1362 -35844.1234 28251.0094 19 20 21 22 23 24 21990.3694 29056.6938 15763.4092 -532.1701 -29976.9629 -9375.9533 25 26 27 28 29 30 6866.0409 -17708.2099 -3259.1425 -9465.2513 -32688.8612 -23271.5084 31 32 33 34 35 36 -45059.1044 2630.2956 -4486.4570 -41343.0788 11655.6242 -22879.1605 37 38 39 40 41 42 -17388.6517 -18072.0531 -38235.7471 -832.1650 -10101.2636 -10219.8810 43 44 45 46 47 48 -7698.0961 -23606.5882 -22268.7094 -5169.1598 -12227.5993 -1665.3131 49 50 51 52 53 54 174.8986 23253.0782 24063.0271 -15240.6268 -9731.8456 15758.7685 55 56 57 58 59 60 -10529.0885 -22658.6507 -4923.9647 -3484.4018 -336.6429 -5028.5970 61 62 63 64 65 66 -2091.5224 12580.7577 14009.6386 -14530.8468 8522.9013 -21616.3038 67 68 69 70 71 72 8095.0378 896.1257 38429.7361 -15025.1646 3647.9363 3079.3700 73 74 75 76 77 78 -25573.5781 36259.1500 -18025.9736 15919.9921 11540.5823 -18441.6427 79 80 81 82 83 84 -11621.3994 -20352.6055 17684.0771 -10866.9417 4579.9577 -3867.1134 85 86 87 88 89 90 129722.0759 -10360.7428 -5277.2346 -10502.6416 2305.2372 -25619.0355 91 92 93 94 95 96 5853.5610 18007.1460 -19630.8724 21636.1139 -26249.7327 4127.0049 97 98 99 100 101 102 -26097.0501 41974.7924 -26034.1473 11591.6047 -6172.3883 -24816.9159 103 104 105 106 107 108 20699.6447 38916.1008 39978.6036 41300.2892 -19560.1975 -5555.3276 109 110 111 112 113 114 41800.1932 12750.1770 11544.2796 -10850.1032 13096.7857 -10720.1985 115 116 117 118 119 120 9155.7785 -1564.1107 -10150.7316 -18043.8821 100471.5085 4559.3777 121 122 123 124 125 126 -10542.5467 -8054.2280 -13100.8883 73537.2576 15506.0410 -10980.3133 127 128 129 130 131 132 8522.1424 5604.3794 8602.9682 -3918.1054 2863.4297 -7889.2463 133 134 135 136 137 138 1719.2529 -13126.9967 -21363.2981 -37293.5909 -3828.7983 20923.3263 139 140 141 142 143 144 28223.9810 2534.0394 -10451.7341 8782.0230 -4806.8639 -31365.1372 145 146 147 148 149 150 30640.1157 2286.7618 43060.3364 44270.2322 -6629.1415 11123.7179 151 152 153 154 155 156 -21081.3156 -10500.2500 -2348.4077 -26464.1072 -25661.1269 56867.4295 157 158 159 160 161 162 -14210.9044 -6101.4832 4994.6665 13754.8161 -12711.0399 74774.0774 163 164 165 166 167 168 7764.0253 29994.5717 -3037.9861 -27005.8627 -21668.7311 41592.7986 169 170 171 172 173 174 -21741.2624 20418.4227 14357.6630 11676.5706 3553.0585 2785.9014 175 176 177 178 179 180 39597.9346 -14266.8266 40370.0784 -10385.3158 15398.4964 -17165.7299 181 182 183 184 185 186 14051.1859 15976.9125 755.9863 -2679.8724 -47467.4984 -2277.4450 187 188 189 190 191 192 -9719.6093 -2059.2471 -18620.5133 9067.9290 30076.4486 -3437.1070 193 194 195 196 197 198 -7274.5489 5245.6929 -9823.4671 -7774.0758 -10827.5837 36418.2504 199 200 201 202 203 204 18446.6235 12292.8377 -6575.9787 -12744.3791 -4968.0487 -1327.5661 205 206 207 208 209 210 -8622.8676 -944.1868 -9897.6907 -11282.1887 -12604.5441 -31825.7352 211 212 213 214 215 216 -12275.8133 -5655.3211 -3747.7262 -14980.5822 19429.7791 -22576.2464 217 218 219 220 221 222 -7363.9567 12907.9511 -13957.6759 -15207.6293 -11550.5218 -5676.9874 223 224 225 226 227 228 -14597.0699 -6051.6276 -11967.7188 -14085.8092 16266.6519 4164.1005 229 230 231 232 233 234 -6721.1322 24535.6185 -13594.1046 -7106.7764 4998.6684 -2285.8440 235 236 237 238 239 240 10181.3492 -2088.3014 -5815.4941 -7821.9118 -11035.2258 -4317.6867 241 242 243 244 245 246 6411.7157 -5805.6076 -9380.1283 2369.1257 -3717.3220 6256.0799 247 248 249 250 251 252 4972.8964 -5958.5924 12551.7116 20801.0069 -7493.3591 -2101.2821 253 254 255 256 257 258 -2933.0361 -3715.6126 -14927.5983 -2550.8389 5150.1730 2605.6596 259 260 261 262 263 264 -9830.1821 -5221.9561 -1944.8893 -18592.9933 -3814.2677 -5967.7406 265 266 267 268 269 270 8842.0954 -8902.0869 -13635.5087 5479.2078 -20342.1237 15389.1873 271 272 273 274 275 276 -4610.3288 -4774.3831 -196.9493 -10689.4305 -2402.0171 -740.8292 277 278 279 280 281 282 19056.1846 -2152.8712 -16606.5605 -13976.8508 -8555.6659 60336.1890 283 284 285 286 287 288 12148.8812 -1470.1469 -6677.6713 17363.2062 -10241.1893 -5102.2155 289 -11012.1818 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/6lnqh1324667123.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror) > dum Time Series: Start = 0 End = 289 Frequency = 1 lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror 0 10884.1044 NA 1 3603.9246 10884.1044 2 10144.7069 3603.9246 3 15984.6799 10144.7069 4 -17812.6318 15984.6799 5 27195.4016 -17812.6318 6 -6854.0213 27195.4016 7 11621.4286 -6854.0213 8 -7102.5231 11621.4286 9 40566.4892 -7102.5231 10 -5915.0008 40566.4892 11 -42907.1457 -5915.0008 12 -15885.3280 -42907.1457 13 -994.8658 -15885.3280 14 -9116.2511 -994.8658 15 -16753.1362 -9116.2511 16 -35844.1234 -16753.1362 17 28251.0094 -35844.1234 18 21990.3694 28251.0094 19 29056.6938 21990.3694 20 15763.4092 29056.6938 21 -532.1701 15763.4092 22 -29976.9629 -532.1701 23 -9375.9533 -29976.9629 24 6866.0409 -9375.9533 25 -17708.2099 6866.0409 26 -3259.1425 -17708.2099 27 -9465.2513 -3259.1425 28 -32688.8612 -9465.2513 29 -23271.5084 -32688.8612 30 -45059.1044 -23271.5084 31 2630.2956 -45059.1044 32 -4486.4570 2630.2956 33 -41343.0788 -4486.4570 34 11655.6242 -41343.0788 35 -22879.1605 11655.6242 36 -17388.6517 -22879.1605 37 -18072.0531 -17388.6517 38 -38235.7471 -18072.0531 39 -832.1650 -38235.7471 40 -10101.2636 -832.1650 41 -10219.8810 -10101.2636 42 -7698.0961 -10219.8810 43 -23606.5882 -7698.0961 44 -22268.7094 -23606.5882 45 -5169.1598 -22268.7094 46 -12227.5993 -5169.1598 47 -1665.3131 -12227.5993 48 174.8986 -1665.3131 49 23253.0782 174.8986 50 24063.0271 23253.0782 51 -15240.6268 24063.0271 52 -9731.8456 -15240.6268 53 15758.7685 -9731.8456 54 -10529.0885 15758.7685 55 -22658.6507 -10529.0885 56 -4923.9647 -22658.6507 57 -3484.4018 -4923.9647 58 -336.6429 -3484.4018 59 -5028.5970 -336.6429 60 -2091.5224 -5028.5970 61 12580.7577 -2091.5224 62 14009.6386 12580.7577 63 -14530.8468 14009.6386 64 8522.9013 -14530.8468 65 -21616.3038 8522.9013 66 8095.0378 -21616.3038 67 896.1257 8095.0378 68 38429.7361 896.1257 69 -15025.1646 38429.7361 70 3647.9363 -15025.1646 71 3079.3700 3647.9363 72 -25573.5781 3079.3700 73 36259.1500 -25573.5781 74 -18025.9736 36259.1500 75 15919.9921 -18025.9736 76 11540.5823 15919.9921 77 -18441.6427 11540.5823 78 -11621.3994 -18441.6427 79 -20352.6055 -11621.3994 80 17684.0771 -20352.6055 81 -10866.9417 17684.0771 82 4579.9577 -10866.9417 83 -3867.1134 4579.9577 84 129722.0759 -3867.1134 85 -10360.7428 129722.0759 86 -5277.2346 -10360.7428 87 -10502.6416 -5277.2346 88 2305.2372 -10502.6416 89 -25619.0355 2305.2372 90 5853.5610 -25619.0355 91 18007.1460 5853.5610 92 -19630.8724 18007.1460 93 21636.1139 -19630.8724 94 -26249.7327 21636.1139 95 4127.0049 -26249.7327 96 -26097.0501 4127.0049 97 41974.7924 -26097.0501 98 -26034.1473 41974.7924 99 11591.6047 -26034.1473 100 -6172.3883 11591.6047 101 -24816.9159 -6172.3883 102 20699.6447 -24816.9159 103 38916.1008 20699.6447 104 39978.6036 38916.1008 105 41300.2892 39978.6036 106 -19560.1975 41300.2892 107 -5555.3276 -19560.1975 108 41800.1932 -5555.3276 109 12750.1770 41800.1932 110 11544.2796 12750.1770 111 -10850.1032 11544.2796 112 13096.7857 -10850.1032 113 -10720.1985 13096.7857 114 9155.7785 -10720.1985 115 -1564.1107 9155.7785 116 -10150.7316 -1564.1107 117 -18043.8821 -10150.7316 118 100471.5085 -18043.8821 119 4559.3777 100471.5085 120 -10542.5467 4559.3777 121 -8054.2280 -10542.5467 122 -13100.8883 -8054.2280 123 73537.2576 -13100.8883 124 15506.0410 73537.2576 125 -10980.3133 15506.0410 126 8522.1424 -10980.3133 127 5604.3794 8522.1424 128 8602.9682 5604.3794 129 -3918.1054 8602.9682 130 2863.4297 -3918.1054 131 -7889.2463 2863.4297 132 1719.2529 -7889.2463 133 -13126.9967 1719.2529 134 -21363.2981 -13126.9967 135 -37293.5909 -21363.2981 136 -3828.7983 -37293.5909 137 20923.3263 -3828.7983 138 28223.9810 20923.3263 139 2534.0394 28223.9810 140 -10451.7341 2534.0394 141 8782.0230 -10451.7341 142 -4806.8639 8782.0230 143 -31365.1372 -4806.8639 144 30640.1157 -31365.1372 145 2286.7618 30640.1157 146 43060.3364 2286.7618 147 44270.2322 43060.3364 148 -6629.1415 44270.2322 149 11123.7179 -6629.1415 150 -21081.3156 11123.7179 151 -10500.2500 -21081.3156 152 -2348.4077 -10500.2500 153 -26464.1072 -2348.4077 154 -25661.1269 -26464.1072 155 56867.4295 -25661.1269 156 -14210.9044 56867.4295 157 -6101.4832 -14210.9044 158 4994.6665 -6101.4832 159 13754.8161 4994.6665 160 -12711.0399 13754.8161 161 74774.0774 -12711.0399 162 7764.0253 74774.0774 163 29994.5717 7764.0253 164 -3037.9861 29994.5717 165 -27005.8627 -3037.9861 166 -21668.7311 -27005.8627 167 41592.7986 -21668.7311 168 -21741.2624 41592.7986 169 20418.4227 -21741.2624 170 14357.6630 20418.4227 171 11676.5706 14357.6630 172 3553.0585 11676.5706 173 2785.9014 3553.0585 174 39597.9346 2785.9014 175 -14266.8266 39597.9346 176 40370.0784 -14266.8266 177 -10385.3158 40370.0784 178 15398.4964 -10385.3158 179 -17165.7299 15398.4964 180 14051.1859 -17165.7299 181 15976.9125 14051.1859 182 755.9863 15976.9125 183 -2679.8724 755.9863 184 -47467.4984 -2679.8724 185 -2277.4450 -47467.4984 186 -9719.6093 -2277.4450 187 -2059.2471 -9719.6093 188 -18620.5133 -2059.2471 189 9067.9290 -18620.5133 190 30076.4486 9067.9290 191 -3437.1070 30076.4486 192 -7274.5489 -3437.1070 193 5245.6929 -7274.5489 194 -9823.4671 5245.6929 195 -7774.0758 -9823.4671 196 -10827.5837 -7774.0758 197 36418.2504 -10827.5837 198 18446.6235 36418.2504 199 12292.8377 18446.6235 200 -6575.9787 12292.8377 201 -12744.3791 -6575.9787 202 -4968.0487 -12744.3791 203 -1327.5661 -4968.0487 204 -8622.8676 -1327.5661 205 -944.1868 -8622.8676 206 -9897.6907 -944.1868 207 -11282.1887 -9897.6907 208 -12604.5441 -11282.1887 209 -31825.7352 -12604.5441 210 -12275.8133 -31825.7352 211 -5655.3211 -12275.8133 212 -3747.7262 -5655.3211 213 -14980.5822 -3747.7262 214 19429.7791 -14980.5822 215 -22576.2464 19429.7791 216 -7363.9567 -22576.2464 217 12907.9511 -7363.9567 218 -13957.6759 12907.9511 219 -15207.6293 -13957.6759 220 -11550.5218 -15207.6293 221 -5676.9874 -11550.5218 222 -14597.0699 -5676.9874 223 -6051.6276 -14597.0699 224 -11967.7188 -6051.6276 225 -14085.8092 -11967.7188 226 16266.6519 -14085.8092 227 4164.1005 16266.6519 228 -6721.1322 4164.1005 229 24535.6185 -6721.1322 230 -13594.1046 24535.6185 231 -7106.7764 -13594.1046 232 4998.6684 -7106.7764 233 -2285.8440 4998.6684 234 10181.3492 -2285.8440 235 -2088.3014 10181.3492 236 -5815.4941 -2088.3014 237 -7821.9118 -5815.4941 238 -11035.2258 -7821.9118 239 -4317.6867 -11035.2258 240 6411.7157 -4317.6867 241 -5805.6076 6411.7157 242 -9380.1283 -5805.6076 243 2369.1257 -9380.1283 244 -3717.3220 2369.1257 245 6256.0799 -3717.3220 246 4972.8964 6256.0799 247 -5958.5924 4972.8964 248 12551.7116 -5958.5924 249 20801.0069 12551.7116 250 -7493.3591 20801.0069 251 -2101.2821 -7493.3591 252 -2933.0361 -2101.2821 253 -3715.6126 -2933.0361 254 -14927.5983 -3715.6126 255 -2550.8389 -14927.5983 256 5150.1730 -2550.8389 257 2605.6596 5150.1730 258 -9830.1821 2605.6596 259 -5221.9561 -9830.1821 260 -1944.8893 -5221.9561 261 -18592.9933 -1944.8893 262 -3814.2677 -18592.9933 263 -5967.7406 -3814.2677 264 8842.0954 -5967.7406 265 -8902.0869 8842.0954 266 -13635.5087 -8902.0869 267 5479.2078 -13635.5087 268 -20342.1237 5479.2078 269 15389.1873 -20342.1237 270 -4610.3288 15389.1873 271 -4774.3831 -4610.3288 272 -196.9493 -4774.3831 273 -10689.4305 -196.9493 274 -2402.0171 -10689.4305 275 -740.8292 -2402.0171 276 19056.1846 -740.8292 277 -2152.8712 19056.1846 278 -16606.5605 -2152.8712 279 -13976.8508 -16606.5605 280 -8555.6659 -13976.8508 281 60336.1890 -8555.6659 282 12148.8812 60336.1890 283 -1470.1469 12148.8812 284 -6677.6713 -1470.1469 285 17363.2062 -6677.6713 286 -10241.1893 17363.2062 287 -5102.2155 -10241.1893 288 -11012.1818 -5102.2155 289 NA -11012.1818 > dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),] > dum1 lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror [1,] 3603.9246 10884.1044 [2,] 10144.7069 3603.9246 [3,] 15984.6799 10144.7069 [4,] -17812.6318 15984.6799 [5,] 27195.4016 -17812.6318 [6,] -6854.0213 27195.4016 [7,] 11621.4286 -6854.0213 [8,] -7102.5231 11621.4286 [9,] 40566.4892 -7102.5231 [10,] -5915.0008 40566.4892 [11,] -42907.1457 -5915.0008 [12,] -15885.3280 -42907.1457 [13,] -994.8658 -15885.3280 [14,] -9116.2511 -994.8658 [15,] -16753.1362 -9116.2511 [16,] -35844.1234 -16753.1362 [17,] 28251.0094 -35844.1234 [18,] 21990.3694 28251.0094 [19,] 29056.6938 21990.3694 [20,] 15763.4092 29056.6938 [21,] -532.1701 15763.4092 [22,] -29976.9629 -532.1701 [23,] -9375.9533 -29976.9629 [24,] 6866.0409 -9375.9533 [25,] -17708.2099 6866.0409 [26,] -3259.1425 -17708.2099 [27,] -9465.2513 -3259.1425 [28,] -32688.8612 -9465.2513 [29,] -23271.5084 -32688.8612 [30,] -45059.1044 -23271.5084 [31,] 2630.2956 -45059.1044 [32,] -4486.4570 2630.2956 [33,] -41343.0788 -4486.4570 [34,] 11655.6242 -41343.0788 [35,] -22879.1605 11655.6242 [36,] -17388.6517 -22879.1605 [37,] -18072.0531 -17388.6517 [38,] -38235.7471 -18072.0531 [39,] -832.1650 -38235.7471 [40,] -10101.2636 -832.1650 [41,] -10219.8810 -10101.2636 [42,] -7698.0961 -10219.8810 [43,] -23606.5882 -7698.0961 [44,] -22268.7094 -23606.5882 [45,] -5169.1598 -22268.7094 [46,] -12227.5993 -5169.1598 [47,] -1665.3131 -12227.5993 [48,] 174.8986 -1665.3131 [49,] 23253.0782 174.8986 [50,] 24063.0271 23253.0782 [51,] -15240.6268 24063.0271 [52,] -9731.8456 -15240.6268 [53,] 15758.7685 -9731.8456 [54,] -10529.0885 15758.7685 [55,] -22658.6507 -10529.0885 [56,] -4923.9647 -22658.6507 [57,] -3484.4018 -4923.9647 [58,] -336.6429 -3484.4018 [59,] -5028.5970 -336.6429 [60,] -2091.5224 -5028.5970 [61,] 12580.7577 -2091.5224 [62,] 14009.6386 12580.7577 [63,] -14530.8468 14009.6386 [64,] 8522.9013 -14530.8468 [65,] -21616.3038 8522.9013 [66,] 8095.0378 -21616.3038 [67,] 896.1257 8095.0378 [68,] 38429.7361 896.1257 [69,] -15025.1646 38429.7361 [70,] 3647.9363 -15025.1646 [71,] 3079.3700 3647.9363 [72,] -25573.5781 3079.3700 [73,] 36259.1500 -25573.5781 [74,] -18025.9736 36259.1500 [75,] 15919.9921 -18025.9736 [76,] 11540.5823 15919.9921 [77,] -18441.6427 11540.5823 [78,] -11621.3994 -18441.6427 [79,] -20352.6055 -11621.3994 [80,] 17684.0771 -20352.6055 [81,] -10866.9417 17684.0771 [82,] 4579.9577 -10866.9417 [83,] -3867.1134 4579.9577 [84,] 129722.0759 -3867.1134 [85,] -10360.7428 129722.0759 [86,] -5277.2346 -10360.7428 [87,] -10502.6416 -5277.2346 [88,] 2305.2372 -10502.6416 [89,] -25619.0355 2305.2372 [90,] 5853.5610 -25619.0355 [91,] 18007.1460 5853.5610 [92,] -19630.8724 18007.1460 [93,] 21636.1139 -19630.8724 [94,] -26249.7327 21636.1139 [95,] 4127.0049 -26249.7327 [96,] -26097.0501 4127.0049 [97,] 41974.7924 -26097.0501 [98,] -26034.1473 41974.7924 [99,] 11591.6047 -26034.1473 [100,] -6172.3883 11591.6047 [101,] -24816.9159 -6172.3883 [102,] 20699.6447 -24816.9159 [103,] 38916.1008 20699.6447 [104,] 39978.6036 38916.1008 [105,] 41300.2892 39978.6036 [106,] -19560.1975 41300.2892 [107,] -5555.3276 -19560.1975 [108,] 41800.1932 -5555.3276 [109,] 12750.1770 41800.1932 [110,] 11544.2796 12750.1770 [111,] -10850.1032 11544.2796 [112,] 13096.7857 -10850.1032 [113,] -10720.1985 13096.7857 [114,] 9155.7785 -10720.1985 [115,] -1564.1107 9155.7785 [116,] -10150.7316 -1564.1107 [117,] -18043.8821 -10150.7316 [118,] 100471.5085 -18043.8821 [119,] 4559.3777 100471.5085 [120,] -10542.5467 4559.3777 [121,] -8054.2280 -10542.5467 [122,] -13100.8883 -8054.2280 [123,] 73537.2576 -13100.8883 [124,] 15506.0410 73537.2576 [125,] -10980.3133 15506.0410 [126,] 8522.1424 -10980.3133 [127,] 5604.3794 8522.1424 [128,] 8602.9682 5604.3794 [129,] -3918.1054 8602.9682 [130,] 2863.4297 -3918.1054 [131,] -7889.2463 2863.4297 [132,] 1719.2529 -7889.2463 [133,] -13126.9967 1719.2529 [134,] -21363.2981 -13126.9967 [135,] -37293.5909 -21363.2981 [136,] -3828.7983 -37293.5909 [137,] 20923.3263 -3828.7983 [138,] 28223.9810 20923.3263 [139,] 2534.0394 28223.9810 [140,] -10451.7341 2534.0394 [141,] 8782.0230 -10451.7341 [142,] -4806.8639 8782.0230 [143,] -31365.1372 -4806.8639 [144,] 30640.1157 -31365.1372 [145,] 2286.7618 30640.1157 [146,] 43060.3364 2286.7618 [147,] 44270.2322 43060.3364 [148,] -6629.1415 44270.2322 [149,] 11123.7179 -6629.1415 [150,] -21081.3156 11123.7179 [151,] -10500.2500 -21081.3156 [152,] -2348.4077 -10500.2500 [153,] -26464.1072 -2348.4077 [154,] -25661.1269 -26464.1072 [155,] 56867.4295 -25661.1269 [156,] -14210.9044 56867.4295 [157,] -6101.4832 -14210.9044 [158,] 4994.6665 -6101.4832 [159,] 13754.8161 4994.6665 [160,] -12711.0399 13754.8161 [161,] 74774.0774 -12711.0399 [162,] 7764.0253 74774.0774 [163,] 29994.5717 7764.0253 [164,] -3037.9861 29994.5717 [165,] -27005.8627 -3037.9861 [166,] -21668.7311 -27005.8627 [167,] 41592.7986 -21668.7311 [168,] -21741.2624 41592.7986 [169,] 20418.4227 -21741.2624 [170,] 14357.6630 20418.4227 [171,] 11676.5706 14357.6630 [172,] 3553.0585 11676.5706 [173,] 2785.9014 3553.0585 [174,] 39597.9346 2785.9014 [175,] -14266.8266 39597.9346 [176,] 40370.0784 -14266.8266 [177,] -10385.3158 40370.0784 [178,] 15398.4964 -10385.3158 [179,] -17165.7299 15398.4964 [180,] 14051.1859 -17165.7299 [181,] 15976.9125 14051.1859 [182,] 755.9863 15976.9125 [183,] -2679.8724 755.9863 [184,] -47467.4984 -2679.8724 [185,] -2277.4450 -47467.4984 [186,] -9719.6093 -2277.4450 [187,] -2059.2471 -9719.6093 [188,] -18620.5133 -2059.2471 [189,] 9067.9290 -18620.5133 [190,] 30076.4486 9067.9290 [191,] -3437.1070 30076.4486 [192,] -7274.5489 -3437.1070 [193,] 5245.6929 -7274.5489 [194,] -9823.4671 5245.6929 [195,] -7774.0758 -9823.4671 [196,] -10827.5837 -7774.0758 [197,] 36418.2504 -10827.5837 [198,] 18446.6235 36418.2504 [199,] 12292.8377 18446.6235 [200,] -6575.9787 12292.8377 [201,] -12744.3791 -6575.9787 [202,] -4968.0487 -12744.3791 [203,] -1327.5661 -4968.0487 [204,] -8622.8676 -1327.5661 [205,] -944.1868 -8622.8676 [206,] -9897.6907 -944.1868 [207,] -11282.1887 -9897.6907 [208,] -12604.5441 -11282.1887 [209,] -31825.7352 -12604.5441 [210,] -12275.8133 -31825.7352 [211,] -5655.3211 -12275.8133 [212,] -3747.7262 -5655.3211 [213,] -14980.5822 -3747.7262 [214,] 19429.7791 -14980.5822 [215,] -22576.2464 19429.7791 [216,] -7363.9567 -22576.2464 [217,] 12907.9511 -7363.9567 [218,] -13957.6759 12907.9511 [219,] -15207.6293 -13957.6759 [220,] -11550.5218 -15207.6293 [221,] -5676.9874 -11550.5218 [222,] -14597.0699 -5676.9874 [223,] -6051.6276 -14597.0699 [224,] -11967.7188 -6051.6276 [225,] -14085.8092 -11967.7188 [226,] 16266.6519 -14085.8092 [227,] 4164.1005 16266.6519 [228,] -6721.1322 4164.1005 [229,] 24535.6185 -6721.1322 [230,] -13594.1046 24535.6185 [231,] -7106.7764 -13594.1046 [232,] 4998.6684 -7106.7764 [233,] -2285.8440 4998.6684 [234,] 10181.3492 -2285.8440 [235,] -2088.3014 10181.3492 [236,] -5815.4941 -2088.3014 [237,] -7821.9118 -5815.4941 [238,] -11035.2258 -7821.9118 [239,] -4317.6867 -11035.2258 [240,] 6411.7157 -4317.6867 [241,] -5805.6076 6411.7157 [242,] -9380.1283 -5805.6076 [243,] 2369.1257 -9380.1283 [244,] -3717.3220 2369.1257 [245,] 6256.0799 -3717.3220 [246,] 4972.8964 6256.0799 [247,] -5958.5924 4972.8964 [248,] 12551.7116 -5958.5924 [249,] 20801.0069 12551.7116 [250,] -7493.3591 20801.0069 [251,] -2101.2821 -7493.3591 [252,] -2933.0361 -2101.2821 [253,] -3715.6126 -2933.0361 [254,] -14927.5983 -3715.6126 [255,] -2550.8389 -14927.5983 [256,] 5150.1730 -2550.8389 [257,] 2605.6596 5150.1730 [258,] -9830.1821 2605.6596 [259,] -5221.9561 -9830.1821 [260,] -1944.8893 -5221.9561 [261,] -18592.9933 -1944.8893 [262,] -3814.2677 -18592.9933 [263,] -5967.7406 -3814.2677 [264,] 8842.0954 -5967.7406 [265,] -8902.0869 8842.0954 [266,] -13635.5087 -8902.0869 [267,] 5479.2078 -13635.5087 [268,] -20342.1237 5479.2078 [269,] 15389.1873 -20342.1237 [270,] -4610.3288 15389.1873 [271,] -4774.3831 -4610.3288 [272,] -196.9493 -4774.3831 [273,] -10689.4305 -196.9493 [274,] -2402.0171 -10689.4305 [275,] -740.8292 -2402.0171 [276,] 19056.1846 -740.8292 [277,] -2152.8712 19056.1846 [278,] -16606.5605 -2152.8712 [279,] -13976.8508 -16606.5605 [280,] -8555.6659 -13976.8508 [281,] 60336.1890 -8555.6659 [282,] 12148.8812 60336.1890 [283,] -1470.1469 12148.8812 [284,] -6677.6713 -1470.1469 [285,] 17363.2062 -6677.6713 [286,] -10241.1893 17363.2062 [287,] -5102.2155 -10241.1893 [288,] -11012.1818 -5102.2155 > z <- as.data.frame(dum1) > z lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror 1 3603.9246 10884.1044 2 10144.7069 3603.9246 3 15984.6799 10144.7069 4 -17812.6318 15984.6799 5 27195.4016 -17812.6318 6 -6854.0213 27195.4016 7 11621.4286 -6854.0213 8 -7102.5231 11621.4286 9 40566.4892 -7102.5231 10 -5915.0008 40566.4892 11 -42907.1457 -5915.0008 12 -15885.3280 -42907.1457 13 -994.8658 -15885.3280 14 -9116.2511 -994.8658 15 -16753.1362 -9116.2511 16 -35844.1234 -16753.1362 17 28251.0094 -35844.1234 18 21990.3694 28251.0094 19 29056.6938 21990.3694 20 15763.4092 29056.6938 21 -532.1701 15763.4092 22 -29976.9629 -532.1701 23 -9375.9533 -29976.9629 24 6866.0409 -9375.9533 25 -17708.2099 6866.0409 26 -3259.1425 -17708.2099 27 -9465.2513 -3259.1425 28 -32688.8612 -9465.2513 29 -23271.5084 -32688.8612 30 -45059.1044 -23271.5084 31 2630.2956 -45059.1044 32 -4486.4570 2630.2956 33 -41343.0788 -4486.4570 34 11655.6242 -41343.0788 35 -22879.1605 11655.6242 36 -17388.6517 -22879.1605 37 -18072.0531 -17388.6517 38 -38235.7471 -18072.0531 39 -832.1650 -38235.7471 40 -10101.2636 -832.1650 41 -10219.8810 -10101.2636 42 -7698.0961 -10219.8810 43 -23606.5882 -7698.0961 44 -22268.7094 -23606.5882 45 -5169.1598 -22268.7094 46 -12227.5993 -5169.1598 47 -1665.3131 -12227.5993 48 174.8986 -1665.3131 49 23253.0782 174.8986 50 24063.0271 23253.0782 51 -15240.6268 24063.0271 52 -9731.8456 -15240.6268 53 15758.7685 -9731.8456 54 -10529.0885 15758.7685 55 -22658.6507 -10529.0885 56 -4923.9647 -22658.6507 57 -3484.4018 -4923.9647 58 -336.6429 -3484.4018 59 -5028.5970 -336.6429 60 -2091.5224 -5028.5970 61 12580.7577 -2091.5224 62 14009.6386 12580.7577 63 -14530.8468 14009.6386 64 8522.9013 -14530.8468 65 -21616.3038 8522.9013 66 8095.0378 -21616.3038 67 896.1257 8095.0378 68 38429.7361 896.1257 69 -15025.1646 38429.7361 70 3647.9363 -15025.1646 71 3079.3700 3647.9363 72 -25573.5781 3079.3700 73 36259.1500 -25573.5781 74 -18025.9736 36259.1500 75 15919.9921 -18025.9736 76 11540.5823 15919.9921 77 -18441.6427 11540.5823 78 -11621.3994 -18441.6427 79 -20352.6055 -11621.3994 80 17684.0771 -20352.6055 81 -10866.9417 17684.0771 82 4579.9577 -10866.9417 83 -3867.1134 4579.9577 84 129722.0759 -3867.1134 85 -10360.7428 129722.0759 86 -5277.2346 -10360.7428 87 -10502.6416 -5277.2346 88 2305.2372 -10502.6416 89 -25619.0355 2305.2372 90 5853.5610 -25619.0355 91 18007.1460 5853.5610 92 -19630.8724 18007.1460 93 21636.1139 -19630.8724 94 -26249.7327 21636.1139 95 4127.0049 -26249.7327 96 -26097.0501 4127.0049 97 41974.7924 -26097.0501 98 -26034.1473 41974.7924 99 11591.6047 -26034.1473 100 -6172.3883 11591.6047 101 -24816.9159 -6172.3883 102 20699.6447 -24816.9159 103 38916.1008 20699.6447 104 39978.6036 38916.1008 105 41300.2892 39978.6036 106 -19560.1975 41300.2892 107 -5555.3276 -19560.1975 108 41800.1932 -5555.3276 109 12750.1770 41800.1932 110 11544.2796 12750.1770 111 -10850.1032 11544.2796 112 13096.7857 -10850.1032 113 -10720.1985 13096.7857 114 9155.7785 -10720.1985 115 -1564.1107 9155.7785 116 -10150.7316 -1564.1107 117 -18043.8821 -10150.7316 118 100471.5085 -18043.8821 119 4559.3777 100471.5085 120 -10542.5467 4559.3777 121 -8054.2280 -10542.5467 122 -13100.8883 -8054.2280 123 73537.2576 -13100.8883 124 15506.0410 73537.2576 125 -10980.3133 15506.0410 126 8522.1424 -10980.3133 127 5604.3794 8522.1424 128 8602.9682 5604.3794 129 -3918.1054 8602.9682 130 2863.4297 -3918.1054 131 -7889.2463 2863.4297 132 1719.2529 -7889.2463 133 -13126.9967 1719.2529 134 -21363.2981 -13126.9967 135 -37293.5909 -21363.2981 136 -3828.7983 -37293.5909 137 20923.3263 -3828.7983 138 28223.9810 20923.3263 139 2534.0394 28223.9810 140 -10451.7341 2534.0394 141 8782.0230 -10451.7341 142 -4806.8639 8782.0230 143 -31365.1372 -4806.8639 144 30640.1157 -31365.1372 145 2286.7618 30640.1157 146 43060.3364 2286.7618 147 44270.2322 43060.3364 148 -6629.1415 44270.2322 149 11123.7179 -6629.1415 150 -21081.3156 11123.7179 151 -10500.2500 -21081.3156 152 -2348.4077 -10500.2500 153 -26464.1072 -2348.4077 154 -25661.1269 -26464.1072 155 56867.4295 -25661.1269 156 -14210.9044 56867.4295 157 -6101.4832 -14210.9044 158 4994.6665 -6101.4832 159 13754.8161 4994.6665 160 -12711.0399 13754.8161 161 74774.0774 -12711.0399 162 7764.0253 74774.0774 163 29994.5717 7764.0253 164 -3037.9861 29994.5717 165 -27005.8627 -3037.9861 166 -21668.7311 -27005.8627 167 41592.7986 -21668.7311 168 -21741.2624 41592.7986 169 20418.4227 -21741.2624 170 14357.6630 20418.4227 171 11676.5706 14357.6630 172 3553.0585 11676.5706 173 2785.9014 3553.0585 174 39597.9346 2785.9014 175 -14266.8266 39597.9346 176 40370.0784 -14266.8266 177 -10385.3158 40370.0784 178 15398.4964 -10385.3158 179 -17165.7299 15398.4964 180 14051.1859 -17165.7299 181 15976.9125 14051.1859 182 755.9863 15976.9125 183 -2679.8724 755.9863 184 -47467.4984 -2679.8724 185 -2277.4450 -47467.4984 186 -9719.6093 -2277.4450 187 -2059.2471 -9719.6093 188 -18620.5133 -2059.2471 189 9067.9290 -18620.5133 190 30076.4486 9067.9290 191 -3437.1070 30076.4486 192 -7274.5489 -3437.1070 193 5245.6929 -7274.5489 194 -9823.4671 5245.6929 195 -7774.0758 -9823.4671 196 -10827.5837 -7774.0758 197 36418.2504 -10827.5837 198 18446.6235 36418.2504 199 12292.8377 18446.6235 200 -6575.9787 12292.8377 201 -12744.3791 -6575.9787 202 -4968.0487 -12744.3791 203 -1327.5661 -4968.0487 204 -8622.8676 -1327.5661 205 -944.1868 -8622.8676 206 -9897.6907 -944.1868 207 -11282.1887 -9897.6907 208 -12604.5441 -11282.1887 209 -31825.7352 -12604.5441 210 -12275.8133 -31825.7352 211 -5655.3211 -12275.8133 212 -3747.7262 -5655.3211 213 -14980.5822 -3747.7262 214 19429.7791 -14980.5822 215 -22576.2464 19429.7791 216 -7363.9567 -22576.2464 217 12907.9511 -7363.9567 218 -13957.6759 12907.9511 219 -15207.6293 -13957.6759 220 -11550.5218 -15207.6293 221 -5676.9874 -11550.5218 222 -14597.0699 -5676.9874 223 -6051.6276 -14597.0699 224 -11967.7188 -6051.6276 225 -14085.8092 -11967.7188 226 16266.6519 -14085.8092 227 4164.1005 16266.6519 228 -6721.1322 4164.1005 229 24535.6185 -6721.1322 230 -13594.1046 24535.6185 231 -7106.7764 -13594.1046 232 4998.6684 -7106.7764 233 -2285.8440 4998.6684 234 10181.3492 -2285.8440 235 -2088.3014 10181.3492 236 -5815.4941 -2088.3014 237 -7821.9118 -5815.4941 238 -11035.2258 -7821.9118 239 -4317.6867 -11035.2258 240 6411.7157 -4317.6867 241 -5805.6076 6411.7157 242 -9380.1283 -5805.6076 243 2369.1257 -9380.1283 244 -3717.3220 2369.1257 245 6256.0799 -3717.3220 246 4972.8964 6256.0799 247 -5958.5924 4972.8964 248 12551.7116 -5958.5924 249 20801.0069 12551.7116 250 -7493.3591 20801.0069 251 -2101.2821 -7493.3591 252 -2933.0361 -2101.2821 253 -3715.6126 -2933.0361 254 -14927.5983 -3715.6126 255 -2550.8389 -14927.5983 256 5150.1730 -2550.8389 257 2605.6596 5150.1730 258 -9830.1821 2605.6596 259 -5221.9561 -9830.1821 260 -1944.8893 -5221.9561 261 -18592.9933 -1944.8893 262 -3814.2677 -18592.9933 263 -5967.7406 -3814.2677 264 8842.0954 -5967.7406 265 -8902.0869 8842.0954 266 -13635.5087 -8902.0869 267 5479.2078 -13635.5087 268 -20342.1237 5479.2078 269 15389.1873 -20342.1237 270 -4610.3288 15389.1873 271 -4774.3831 -4610.3288 272 -196.9493 -4774.3831 273 -10689.4305 -196.9493 274 -2402.0171 -10689.4305 275 -740.8292 -2402.0171 276 19056.1846 -740.8292 277 -2152.8712 19056.1846 278 -16606.5605 -2152.8712 279 -13976.8508 -16606.5605 280 -8555.6659 -13976.8508 281 60336.1890 -8555.6659 282 12148.8812 60336.1890 283 -1470.1469 12148.8812 284 -6677.6713 -1470.1469 285 17363.2062 -6677.6713 286 -10241.1893 17363.2062 287 -5102.2155 -10241.1893 288 -11012.1818 -5102.2155 > plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals') > lines(lowess(z)) > abline(lm(z)) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/7v47d1324667123.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/88t081324667123.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/9mkoo1324667123.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0)) > plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics') > par(opar) > dev.off() null device 1 > if (n > n25) { + postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/10t0ar1324667123.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) + plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint') + grid() + dev.off() + } null device 1 > > #Note: the /var/wessaorg/rcomp/createtable file can be downloaded at http://www.wessa.net/cretab > load(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/createtable") > > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > myeq <- colnames(x)[1] > myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='') > for (i in 1:k){ + if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '') + myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ') + if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') { + myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='') + if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='') + } + } > myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]') > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, myeq) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/11uz9o1324667123.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > for (i in 1:k){ + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1]) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6)) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/126h371324667123.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared)) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3])) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror)) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/13ko551324667123.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation
Forecast', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals
Prediction Error', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > for (i in 1:n) { + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,x[i]) + a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i]) + a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i]) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/14bwm71324667123.tab") > if (n > n25) { + a<-table.start() + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1]) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2]) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3]) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } + a<-table.end(a) + table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/150tl81324667123.tab") + a<-table.start() + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.end(a) + table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/16nmh91324667123.tab") + } > > try(system("convert tmp/10tkf1324667123.ps tmp/10tkf1324667123.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/218cl1324667123.ps tmp/218cl1324667123.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/3ytph1324667123.ps tmp/3ytph1324667123.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/4u68f1324667123.ps tmp/4u68f1324667123.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/502ky1324667123.ps tmp/502ky1324667123.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/6lnqh1324667123.ps tmp/6lnqh1324667123.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/7v47d1324667123.ps tmp/7v47d1324667123.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/88t081324667123.ps tmp/88t081324667123.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/9mkoo1324667123.ps tmp/9mkoo1324667123.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/10t0ar1324667123.ps tmp/10t0ar1324667123.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > > > proc.time() user system elapsed 7.996 0.889 8.903