R version 2.13.0 (2011-04-13) Copyright (C) 2011 The R Foundation for Statistical Computing ISBN 3-900051-07-0 Platform: i486-pc-linux-gnu (32-bit) R is free software and comes with ABSOLUTELY NO WARRANTY. You are welcome to redistribute it under certain conditions. Type 'license()' or 'licence()' for distribution details. R is a collaborative project with many contributors. Type 'contributors()' for more information and 'citation()' on how to cite R or R packages in publications. Type 'demo()' for some demos, 'help()' for on-line help, or 'help.start()' for an HTML browser interface to help. Type 'q()' to quit R. > x <- array(list(170588 + ,46 + ,95556 + ,21387 + ,114468 + ,127 + ,128 + ,86621 + ,48 + ,54565 + ,12341 + ,88594 + ,90 + ,89 + ,113337 + ,37 + ,63016 + ,11397 + ,74151 + ,68 + ,68 + ,152510 + ,75 + ,79774 + ,25533 + ,77921 + ,111 + ,108 + ,86206 + ,31 + ,31258 + ,6630 + ,53212 + ,51 + ,51 + ,37257 + ,18 + ,52491 + ,7745 + ,34956 + ,33 + ,33 + ,306055 + ,79 + ,91256 + ,25304 + ,149703 + ,123 + ,119 + ,32750 + ,16 + ,22807 + ,1271 + ,6853 + ,5 + ,5 + ,116502 + ,38 + ,77411 + ,18035 + ,58907 + ,63 + ,63 + ,130539 + ,24 + ,48821 + ,13284 + ,67067 + ,66 + ,66 + ,161876 + ,65 + ,52295 + ,15628 + ,110563 + ,99 + ,98 + ,128274 + ,74 + ,63262 + ,13990 + ,58126 + ,72 + ,71 + ,102350 + ,43 + ,50466 + ,8532 + ,57113 + ,55 + ,55 + ,193024 + ,42 + ,62932 + ,13953 + ,77993 + ,116 + ,116 + ,141574 + ,55 + ,38439 + ,7210 + ,68091 + ,71 + ,71 + ,253559 + ,121 + ,70817 + ,22436 + ,124676 + ,125 + ,120 + ,181110 + ,42 + ,105965 + ,20238 + ,109522 + ,123 + ,122 + ,198432 + ,102 + 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,'CW#characters' + ,'CW#revisions' + ,'CW#seconds' + ,'CWIncludedHyperlinks' + ,'CWIncludedBlogs') + ,1:164)) > y <- array(NA,dim=c(7,164),dimnames=list(c('TimeRFCSEC','#Logins','CW#characters','CW#revisions','CW#seconds','CWIncludedHyperlinks','CWIncludedBlogs'),1:164)) > for (i in 1:dim(x)[1]) + { + for (j in 1:dim(x)[2]) + { + y[i,j] <- as.numeric(x[i,j]) + } + } > par3 = 'No Linear Trend' > par2 = 'Do not include Seasonal Dummies' > par1 = '3' > library(lattice) > library(lmtest) Loading required package: zoo > n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test > par1 <- as.numeric(par1) > x <- t(y) > k <- length(x[1,]) > n <- length(x[,1]) > x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1]) > mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1]) > colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1] > x <- x1 > if (par3 == 'First Differences'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep=''))) + for (i in 1:n-1) { + for (j in 1:k) { + x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j] + } + } + x <- x2 + } > if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep =''))) + for (i in 1:11){ + x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1 + } + x <- cbind(x, x2) + } > if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep =''))) + for (i in 1:3){ + x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1 + } + x <- cbind(x, x2) + } > k <- length(x[1,]) > if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){ + x <- cbind(x, c(1:n)) + colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't' + } > x CW#characters TimeRFCSEC #Logins CW#revisions CW#seconds 1 95556 170588 46 21387 114468 2 54565 86621 48 12341 88594 3 63016 113337 37 11397 74151 4 79774 152510 75 25533 77921 5 31258 86206 31 6630 53212 6 52491 37257 18 7745 34956 7 91256 306055 79 25304 149703 8 22807 32750 16 1271 6853 9 77411 116502 38 18035 58907 10 48821 130539 24 13284 67067 11 52295 161876 65 15628 110563 12 63262 128274 74 13990 58126 13 50466 102350 43 8532 57113 14 62932 193024 42 13953 77993 15 38439 141574 55 7210 68091 16 70817 253559 121 22436 124676 17 105965 181110 42 20238 109522 18 73795 198432 102 10244 75865 19 82043 113853 36 17390 79746 20 74349 159940 50 9917 77844 21 82204 166822 48 29625 98681 22 55709 286675 56 13193 105531 23 37137 91657 19 6815 51428 24 70780 108278 32 11807 65703 25 55027 146342 77 21472 72562 26 56699 145142 90 19589 81728 27 65911 161740 81 12266 95580 28 56316 160905 55 18391 98278 29 26982 106888 34 6711 46629 30 54628 188150 38 9004 115189 31 96750 189401 53 34301 124865 32 53009 129484 48 8061 59392 33 64664 204030 63 19463 127818 34 36990 62731 25 2053 17821 35 85224 243625 56 29618 154076 36 37048 167255 37 3963 64881 37 59635 264528 83 17609 136506 38 42051 122024 50 11738 66524 39 26998 80964 26 11082 45988 40 63717 209795 108 22648 107445 41 55071 224205 55 16538 102772 42 40001 115971 41 10149 46657 43 54506 138191 49 19787 97563 44 35838 81106 31 7740 36663 45 50838 93125 49 5873 55369 46 86997 305756 96 11694 77921 47 33032 78800 42 7935 56968 48 61704 158835 55 15093 77519 49 117986 221745 70 14533 129805 50 56733 131108 39 15834 72761 51 55064 128734 53 15699 81278 52 5950 24188 24 2694 15049 53 84607 257662 209 13834 113935 54 32551 65029 17 3597 25109 55 31701 98066 58 5296 45824 56 71170 173587 27 21637 89644 57 101773 180042 58 18081 109011 58 101653 197266 114 29016 134245 59 81493 212060 75 27279 136692 60 55901 141582 51 12889 50741 61 109104 245107 86 21550 149510 62 114425 206879 77 34042 147888 63 36311 145696 62 8190 54987 64 70027 170635 60 16163 74467 65 73713 142064 39 23471 100033 66 40671 114820 35 14220 85505 67 89041 113461 86 12759 62426 68 57231 145285 102 18142 82932 69 68608 150999 49 12416 72002 70 59155 91812 35 14069 65469 71 55827 118807 33 11131 63572 72 22618 69471 28 3007 23824 73 58425 126630 44 12530 73831 74 65724 145908 37 13205 63551 75 56979 98393 33 13025 56756 76 72369 190926 45 18778 81399 77 79194 198797 57 19793 117881 78 202316 106193 58 8238 70711 79 44970 89318 36 11285 50495 80 49319 120362 42 10490 53845 81 36252 98791 30 10457 51390 82 75741 274953 67 17313 104953 83 38417 132798 53 9592 65983 84 64102 135251 59 14282 76839 85 56622 80953 25 7905 55792 86 15430 109237 39 4525 25155 87 72571 96634 36 21179 55291 88 67271 226191 114 13724 84279 89 43460 171286 54 18446 99692 90 99501 117815 70 25961 59633 91 28340 133561 51 6602 63249 92 76013 152193 49 16795 82928 93 37361 112004 42 5463 50000 94 48204 169613 51 11299 69455 95 76168 187483 51 20390 84068 96 85168 130533 27 18558 76195 97 125410 142339 29 26262 114634 98 123328 189764 54 25267 139357 99 83038 201603 92 21091 110044 100 120087 246834 72 32425 155118 101 91939 155947 63 24380 83061 102 103646 182581 41 20460 127122 103 29467 106351 111 6515 45653 104 43750 43287 14 7409 19630 105 34497 127493 45 12300 67229 106 66477 127930 91 27127 86060 107 71181 149006 29 27687 88003 108 74482 187653 64 19255 95815 109 174949 74112 32 15070 85499 110 46765 94006 65 6291 27220 111 90257 176625 42 16577 109882 112 51370 141933 55 13027 72579 113 1168 22938 10 238 5841 114 51360 125927 53 17103 68369 115 25162 61857 25 3913 24610 116 21067 91290 33 5654 30995 117 58233 255100 66 14354 150662 118 855 21054 16 338 6622 119 85903 169093 35 8852 93694 120 14116 31414 19 3988 13155 121 57637 188701 76 15964 111908 122 94137 137544 35 14784 57550 123 62147 77166 46 2667 16356 124 62832 74567 29 7164 40174 125 8773 38214 34 1888 13983 126 63785 90961 25 12367 52316 127 65196 194224 48 20505 99585 128 73087 135261 38 18330 86271 129 72631 244272 50 24993 131012 130 86281 201748 65 11869 130274 131 162365 256402 72 31156 159051 132 56530 139144 23 15234 76506 133 35606 76470 29 6645 49145 134 70111 189502 194 15007 66398 135 92046 280334 114 16597 127546 136 63989 50999 15 317 6802 137 104911 253274 86 27627 99509 138 43448 103239 50 8658 43106 139 60029 168059 33 20493 108303 140 38650 128768 50 8877 64167 141 47261 75746 72 867 8579 142 73586 249232 81 13259 97811 143 83042 152366 54 20613 84365 144 37238 173260 63 2805 10901 145 63958 197197 69 20588 91346 146 78956 67507 39 9812 33660 147 99518 139409 49 20001 93634 148 111436 185366 67 23042 109348 149 0 0 0 0 0 150 6023 14688 10 2065 7953 151 0 98 1 0 0 152 0 455 2 0 0 153 0 0 0 0 0 154 0 0 0 0 0 155 42564 137885 57 10902 63538 156 38885 185288 72 11309 108281 157 0 0 0 0 0 158 0 203 4 0 0 159 1644 7199 5 556 4245 160 6179 46660 20 2089 21509 161 3926 17547 5 2658 7670 162 23238 73567 27 1419 10641 163 0 969 2 0 0 164 49288 105477 33 10699 41243 CWIncludedHyperlinks CWIncludedBlogs 1 127 128 2 90 89 3 68 68 4 111 108 5 51 51 6 33 33 7 123 119 8 5 5 9 63 63 10 66 66 11 99 98 12 72 71 13 55 55 14 116 116 15 71 71 16 125 120 17 123 122 18 74 74 19 116 111 20 117 103 21 98 98 22 101 100 23 43 42 24 103 100 25 107 105 26 77 77 27 87 83 28 99 98 29 46 46 30 96 95 31 92 91 32 96 91 33 96 94 34 15 15 35 147 137 36 56 56 37 81 78 38 69 68 39 34 34 40 98 94 41 82 82 42 64 63 43 61 58 44 45 43 45 37 36 46 64 64 47 21 21 48 104 104 49 126 124 50 104 101 51 87 85 52 7 7 53 130 124 54 21 21 55 35 35 56 97 95 57 103 102 58 210 212 59 151 141 60 57 54 61 117 117 62 152 145 63 52 50 64 83 80 65 87 87 66 80 78 67 88 86 68 83 82 69 120 119 70 76 75 71 70 70 72 26 25 73 66 66 74 89 89 75 100 99 76 98 98 77 109 104 78 51 48 79 82 81 80 65 64 81 46 44 82 104 104 83 36 36 84 123 120 85 59 58 86 27 27 87 84 84 88 61 56 89 46 46 90 125 119 91 58 57 92 152 139 93 52 51 94 85 85 95 95 91 96 78 79 97 144 142 98 149 149 99 101 96 100 205 198 101 61 61 102 145 145 103 28 26 104 49 49 105 68 68 106 142 145 107 82 82 108 105 102 109 52 52 110 56 56 111 81 80 112 100 99 113 11 11 114 87 87 115 31 28 116 67 67 117 150 150 118 4 4 119 75 71 120 39 39 121 88 87 122 67 66 123 24 23 124 58 56 125 16 16 126 49 49 127 109 108 128 124 112 129 115 110 130 128 126 131 159 155 132 75 75 133 30 30 134 83 78 135 135 135 136 8 8 137 115 114 138 60 60 139 99 99 140 98 98 141 36 33 142 93 93 143 158 157 144 16 15 145 100 98 146 49 49 147 89 88 148 153 151 149 0 0 150 5 5 151 0 0 152 0 0 153 0 0 154 0 0 155 80 80 156 122 122 157 0 0 158 0 0 159 6 6 160 13 13 161 3 3 162 18 18 163 0 0 164 49 48 > k <- length(x[1,]) > df <- as.data.frame(x) > (mylm <- lm(df)) Call: lm(formula = df) Coefficients: (Intercept) TimeRFCSEC `#Logins` 1.318e+04 -3.577e-02 6.771e+01 `CW#revisions` `CW#seconds` CWIncludedHyperlinks 1.344e+00 2.767e-01 4.955e+02 CWIncludedBlogs -3.723e+02 > (mysum <- summary(mylm)) Call: lm(formula = df) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -32732 -13185 -4121 7848 150971 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|) (Intercept) 1.318e+04 3.931e+03 3.352 0.00100 ** TimeRFCSEC -3.577e-02 6.146e-02 -0.582 0.56135 `#Logins` 6.771e+01 8.066e+01 0.839 0.40247 `CW#revisions` 1.344e+00 4.235e-01 3.174 0.00181 ** `CW#seconds` 2.767e-01 1.310e-01 2.111 0.03636 * CWIncludedHyperlinks 4.955e+02 7.451e+02 0.665 0.50702 CWIncludedBlogs -3.723e+02 7.604e+02 -0.490 0.62510 --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 22090 on 157 degrees of freedom Multiple R-squared: 0.5812, Adjusted R-squared: 0.5652 F-statistic: 36.32 on 6 and 157 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16 > if (n > n25) { + kp3 <- k + 3 + nmkm3 <- n - k - 3 + gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3)) + numgqtests <- 0 + numsignificant1 <- 0 + numsignificant5 <- 0 + numsignificant10 <- 0 + for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { + j <- 0 + numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1 + for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) { + j <- j + 1 + gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value + } + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1 + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1 + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1 + } + gqarr + } [,1] [,2] [,3] [1,] 7.293457e-02 1.458691e-01 9.270654e-01 [2,] 8.233540e-02 1.646708e-01 9.176646e-01 [3,] 5.387120e-02 1.077424e-01 9.461288e-01 [4,] 2.438159e-02 4.876318e-02 9.756184e-01 [5,] 1.154563e-02 2.309125e-02 9.884544e-01 [6,] 4.686518e-03 9.373037e-03 9.953135e-01 [7,] 1.793916e-03 3.587832e-03 9.982061e-01 [8,] 7.871183e-03 1.574237e-02 9.921288e-01 [9,] 1.082271e-02 2.164543e-02 9.891773e-01 [10,] 1.882726e-02 3.765453e-02 9.811727e-01 [11,] 1.733659e-02 3.467319e-02 9.826634e-01 [12,] 1.194432e-02 2.388864e-02 9.880557e-01 [13,] 8.084313e-03 1.616863e-02 9.919157e-01 [14,] 4.534666e-03 9.069331e-03 9.954653e-01 [15,] 2.396103e-03 4.792206e-03 9.976039e-01 [16,] 4.420032e-03 8.840063e-03 9.955800e-01 [17,] 2.622776e-03 5.245552e-03 9.973772e-01 [18,] 1.548966e-03 3.097932e-03 9.984510e-01 [19,] 1.391630e-03 2.783260e-03 9.986084e-01 [20,] 1.157173e-03 2.314345e-03 9.988428e-01 [21,] 6.457953e-04 1.291591e-03 9.993542e-01 [22,] 3.476066e-04 6.952133e-04 9.996524e-01 [23,] 1.821644e-04 3.643289e-04 9.998178e-01 [24,] 1.094559e-04 2.189117e-04 9.998905e-01 [25,] 7.021327e-05 1.404265e-04 9.999298e-01 [26,] 6.903913e-05 1.380783e-04 9.999310e-01 [27,] 3.477842e-05 6.955684e-05 9.999652e-01 [28,] 1.938761e-05 3.877522e-05 9.999806e-01 [29,] 1.370895e-05 2.741789e-05 9.999863e-01 [30,] 1.491752e-05 2.983504e-05 9.999851e-01 [31,] 9.397259e-06 1.879452e-05 9.999906e-01 [32,] 5.290069e-06 1.058014e-05 9.999947e-01 [33,] 3.299902e-06 6.599804e-06 9.999967e-01 [34,] 1.915671e-06 3.831342e-06 9.999981e-01 [35,] 9.688615e-07 1.937723e-06 9.999990e-01 [36,] 9.089739e-07 1.817948e-06 9.999991e-01 [37,] 7.466552e-06 1.493310e-05 9.999925e-01 [38,] 3.989649e-06 7.979297e-06 9.999960e-01 [39,] 2.170814e-06 4.341628e-06 9.999978e-01 [40,] 5.931460e-05 1.186292e-04 9.999407e-01 [41,] 4.109179e-05 8.218358e-05 9.999589e-01 [42,] 2.582697e-05 5.165394e-05 9.999742e-01 [43,] 2.214379e-05 4.428758e-05 9.999779e-01 [44,] 1.284428e-05 2.568856e-05 9.999872e-01 [45,] 7.301025e-06 1.460205e-05 9.999927e-01 [46,] 4.064592e-06 8.129185e-06 9.999959e-01 [47,] 2.154531e-06 4.309063e-06 9.999978e-01 [48,] 5.478657e-06 1.095731e-05 9.999945e-01 [49,] 4.603539e-06 9.207079e-06 9.999954e-01 [50,] 4.322964e-06 8.645927e-06 9.999957e-01 [51,] 2.443413e-06 4.886825e-06 9.999976e-01 [52,] 3.365597e-06 6.731194e-06 9.999966e-01 [53,] 2.919093e-06 5.838185e-06 9.999971e-01 [54,] 1.835244e-06 3.670488e-06 9.999982e-01 [55,] 1.075276e-06 2.150551e-06 9.999989e-01 [56,] 6.215929e-07 1.243186e-06 9.999994e-01 [57,] 7.533263e-07 1.506653e-06 9.999992e-01 [58,] 1.999106e-06 3.998212e-06 9.999980e-01 [59,] 1.501377e-06 3.002755e-06 9.999985e-01 [60,] 8.620481e-07 1.724096e-06 9.999991e-01 [61,] 4.751845e-07 9.503691e-07 9.999995e-01 [62,] 2.545799e-07 5.091598e-07 9.999997e-01 [63,] 1.405744e-07 2.811489e-07 9.999999e-01 [64,] 7.498365e-08 1.499673e-07 9.999999e-01 [65,] 4.245438e-08 8.490876e-08 1.000000e+00 [66,] 2.212542e-08 4.425083e-08 1.000000e+00 [67,] 1.122535e-08 2.245070e-08 1.000000e+00 [68,] 6.371066e-09 1.274213e-08 1.000000e+00 [69,] 6.635322e-01 6.729355e-01 3.364678e-01 [70,] 6.252928e-01 7.494144e-01 3.747072e-01 [71,] 5.806769e-01 8.386462e-01 4.193231e-01 [72,] 5.477918e-01 9.044163e-01 4.522082e-01 [73,] 5.033988e-01 9.932024e-01 4.966012e-01 [74,] 4.686146e-01 9.372292e-01 5.313854e-01 [75,] 4.249462e-01 8.498924e-01 5.750538e-01 [76,] 3.890829e-01 7.781658e-01 6.109171e-01 [77,] 3.621904e-01 7.243809e-01 6.378096e-01 [78,] 3.273054e-01 6.546109e-01 6.726946e-01 [79,] 2.875260e-01 5.750519e-01 7.124740e-01 [80,] 3.283388e-01 6.566776e-01 6.716612e-01 [81,] 3.113091e-01 6.226183e-01 6.886909e-01 [82,] 2.990122e-01 5.980245e-01 7.009878e-01 [83,] 2.613971e-01 5.227941e-01 7.386029e-01 [84,] 2.261844e-01 4.523689e-01 7.738156e-01 [85,] 1.955962e-01 3.911925e-01 8.044038e-01 [86,] 1.672616e-01 3.345233e-01 8.327384e-01 [87,] 1.590426e-01 3.180852e-01 8.409574e-01 [88,] 1.813511e-01 3.627023e-01 8.186489e-01 [89,] 1.796225e-01 3.592451e-01 8.203775e-01 [90,] 1.580785e-01 3.161570e-01 8.419215e-01 [91,] 1.331057e-01 2.662114e-01 8.668943e-01 [92,] 1.207098e-01 2.414195e-01 8.792902e-01 [93,] 1.083759e-01 2.167518e-01 8.916241e-01 [94,] 1.053106e-01 2.106212e-01 8.946894e-01 [95,] 9.243353e-02 1.848671e-01 9.075665e-01 [96,] 9.187457e-02 1.837491e-01 9.081254e-01 [97,] 9.705571e-02 1.941114e-01 9.029443e-01 [98,] 1.019653e-01 2.039306e-01 8.980347e-01 [99,] 8.503917e-02 1.700783e-01 9.149608e-01 [100,] 9.341182e-01 1.317636e-01 6.588181e-02 [101,] 9.200965e-01 1.598070e-01 7.990351e-02 [102,] 9.162940e-01 1.674120e-01 8.370598e-02 [103,] 8.997906e-01 2.004188e-01 1.002094e-01 [104,] 8.852025e-01 2.295951e-01 1.147975e-01 [105,] 8.717187e-01 2.565627e-01 1.282813e-01 [106,] 8.441916e-01 3.116168e-01 1.558084e-01 [107,] 8.307330e-01 3.385340e-01 1.692670e-01 [108,] 8.376868e-01 3.246264e-01 1.623132e-01 [109,] 8.160883e-01 3.678234e-01 1.839117e-01 [110,] 8.538861e-01 2.922277e-01 1.461139e-01 [111,] 8.340594e-01 3.318813e-01 1.659406e-01 [112,] 8.114985e-01 3.770031e-01 1.885015e-01 [113,] 8.618373e-01 2.763254e-01 1.381627e-01 [114,] 9.145067e-01 1.709866e-01 8.549329e-02 [115,] 9.221382e-01 1.557236e-01 7.786181e-02 [116,] 9.051951e-01 1.896097e-01 9.480486e-02 [117,] 8.936058e-01 2.127885e-01 1.063942e-01 [118,] 8.849924e-01 2.300153e-01 1.150076e-01 [119,] 8.641590e-01 2.716820e-01 1.358410e-01 [120,] 9.564164e-01 8.716722e-02 4.358361e-02 [121,] 9.414601e-01 1.170798e-01 5.853988e-02 [122,] 9.657531e-01 6.849381e-02 3.424690e-02 [123,] 9.513423e-01 9.731545e-02 4.865773e-02 [124,] 9.379311e-01 1.241378e-01 6.206889e-02 [125,] 9.554433e-01 8.911345e-02 4.455673e-02 [126,] 9.390068e-01 1.219863e-01 6.099316e-02 [127,] 9.993305e-01 1.338996e-03 6.694981e-04 [128,] 9.996789e-01 6.422125e-04 3.211062e-04 [129,] 9.996079e-01 7.842123e-04 3.921062e-04 [130,] 9.992078e-01 1.584343e-03 7.921717e-04 [131,] 9.984270e-01 3.146060e-03 1.573030e-03 [132,] 9.977592e-01 4.481645e-03 2.240823e-03 [133,] 9.974969e-01 5.006140e-03 2.503070e-03 [134,] 9.979737e-01 4.052535e-03 2.026268e-03 [135,] 9.993706e-01 1.258812e-03 6.294059e-04 [136,] 9.998838e-01 2.323639e-04 1.161819e-04 [137,] 9.999833e-01 3.331250e-05 1.665625e-05 [138,] 1.000000e+00 6.912932e-11 3.456466e-11 [139,] 1.000000e+00 8.631617e-13 4.315809e-13 [140,] 1.000000e+00 2.526698e-11 1.263349e-11 [141,] 1.000000e+00 3.828531e-12 1.914266e-12 [142,] 1.000000e+00 2.206557e-10 1.103279e-10 [143,] 1.000000e+00 1.345042e-08 6.725208e-09 [144,] 9.999997e-01 5.410415e-07 2.705208e-07 [145,] 9.999913e-01 1.735985e-05 8.679923e-06 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/1t9aq1321876963.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index') > points(x[,1]-mysum$resid) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/287mi1321876963.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/3sh9g1321876963.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/4smry1321876963.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals') > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/5o7421321876963.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot') > qqline(mysum$resid) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > (myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid)) Time Series: Start = 1 End = 164 Frequency = 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 9670.58386 -11326.70730 7172.50220 -3702.35589 -10854.06924 15277.46530 7 8 9 10 11 12 -8399.77867 5495.41379 17522.73922 -5857.38371 -23661.01635 5529.94528 13 14 15 16 17 18 3989.98775 -812.38019 -10677.57830 -23400.08955 23388.03313 16931.09527 19 20 21 22 23 24 8905.69622 9010.89320 -7457.77986 -10753.90056 -3109.30312 11450.78904 25 26 27 28 29 30 -20998.43064 -15813.11542 -2106.94414 -19313.34505 -12264.95644 -10565.26763 31 32 33 34 35 36 -5605.50204 254.70291 -19580.31802 14823.89457 -27307.86954 -2829.84564 37 38 39 40 41 42 -22234.56561 -13205.86557 -16854.85548 -23004.51761 -14579.19239 -6614.60153 43 44 45 46 47 48 -19271.12425 -3375.74510 9528.22661 33092.85530 -9186.95700 -4066.57620 49 50 51 52 53 54 36282.93301 -9742.85256 -12152.60857 -16636.39589 -1874.82724 6177.65891 55 56 57 58 59 60 -6006.37798 -4210.69328 23579.73658 -13463.68203 -25993.75782 4829.10426 61 62 63 64 65 66 14122.29943 -4577.87523 -9227.88212 5216.45188 -6970.85154 -24143.26348 67 68 69 70 71 72 28088.08417 -15587.94342 5744.72606 128.75790 3487.89350 -4180.95188 73 74 75 76 77 78 1394.91076 8960.26091 -819.50759 3135.59850 -5244.43434 150971.08338 79 80 81 82 83 84 -7067.26982 222.57940 -10111.33964 2737.90300 -9184.73711 -4962.64867 85 86 87 88 89 90 10942.51923 -12850.97846 6293.79908 3321.89437 -25292.92745 16764.19305 91 92 93 94 95 96 -17406.06441 -4127.34720 -2611.05932 -7237.88643 2380.17496 19564.81828 97 98 99 100 101 102 29854.11004 22402.43820 -2261.05035 -3504.53534 16803.56236 13683.53155 103 104 105 106 107 108 -13006.19110 9743.30939 -20680.70154 -24942.31148 -10300.88956 -2763.80705 109 110 111 112 113 114 111935.04137 9660.20483 17516.39213 -10740.66593 -15158.94928 -13528.56607 115 116 117 118 119 120 -4502.25799 -15511.56136 -29747.90933 -15433.63500 27852.59559 -13031.64768 121 122 123 124 125 126 -17572.65675 39085.29995 37174.06392 21721.01665 -13719.19152 15031.23163 127 128 129 130 131 132 -13202.98701 -6080.44874 -21069.06119 7406.20634 46518.20599 -4114.46736 133 134 135 136 137 138 -3026.55055 -56.07319 6945.63123 48324.93155 15758.99587 -380.56470 139 140 141 142 143 144 -19081.67669 -15068.23993 22824.96213 7495.83890 767.43567 16860.99029 145 146 147 148 149 150 -12852.20379 37011.17847 23878.42885 19528.57125 -13179.25197 -12900.18742 151 152 153 154 155 156 -13243.45667 -13298.39580 -13179.25197 -13179.25197 -11632.50619 -32731.54255 157 158 159 160 161 162 -13179.25197 -13442.83214 -14277.35564 -17045.74757 -15028.82452 3793.14953 163 164 -13280.00776 5445.23813 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/64cqy1321876963.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror) > dum Time Series: Start = 0 End = 164 Frequency = 1 lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror 0 9670.58386 NA 1 -11326.70730 9670.58386 2 7172.50220 -11326.70730 3 -3702.35589 7172.50220 4 -10854.06924 -3702.35589 5 15277.46530 -10854.06924 6 -8399.77867 15277.46530 7 5495.41379 -8399.77867 8 17522.73922 5495.41379 9 -5857.38371 17522.73922 10 -23661.01635 -5857.38371 11 5529.94528 -23661.01635 12 3989.98775 5529.94528 13 -812.38019 3989.98775 14 -10677.57830 -812.38019 15 -23400.08955 -10677.57830 16 23388.03313 -23400.08955 17 16931.09527 23388.03313 18 8905.69622 16931.09527 19 9010.89320 8905.69622 20 -7457.77986 9010.89320 21 -10753.90056 -7457.77986 22 -3109.30312 -10753.90056 23 11450.78904 -3109.30312 24 -20998.43064 11450.78904 25 -15813.11542 -20998.43064 26 -2106.94414 -15813.11542 27 -19313.34505 -2106.94414 28 -12264.95644 -19313.34505 29 -10565.26763 -12264.95644 30 -5605.50204 -10565.26763 31 254.70291 -5605.50204 32 -19580.31802 254.70291 33 14823.89457 -19580.31802 34 -27307.86954 14823.89457 35 -2829.84564 -27307.86954 36 -22234.56561 -2829.84564 37 -13205.86557 -22234.56561 38 -16854.85548 -13205.86557 39 -23004.51761 -16854.85548 40 -14579.19239 -23004.51761 41 -6614.60153 -14579.19239 42 -19271.12425 -6614.60153 43 -3375.74510 -19271.12425 44 9528.22661 -3375.74510 45 33092.85530 9528.22661 46 -9186.95700 33092.85530 47 -4066.57620 -9186.95700 48 36282.93301 -4066.57620 49 -9742.85256 36282.93301 50 -12152.60857 -9742.85256 51 -16636.39589 -12152.60857 52 -1874.82724 -16636.39589 53 6177.65891 -1874.82724 54 -6006.37798 6177.65891 55 -4210.69328 -6006.37798 56 23579.73658 -4210.69328 57 -13463.68203 23579.73658 58 -25993.75782 -13463.68203 59 4829.10426 -25993.75782 60 14122.29943 4829.10426 61 -4577.87523 14122.29943 62 -9227.88212 -4577.87523 63 5216.45188 -9227.88212 64 -6970.85154 5216.45188 65 -24143.26348 -6970.85154 66 28088.08417 -24143.26348 67 -15587.94342 28088.08417 68 5744.72606 -15587.94342 69 128.75790 5744.72606 70 3487.89350 128.75790 71 -4180.95188 3487.89350 72 1394.91076 -4180.95188 73 8960.26091 1394.91076 74 -819.50759 8960.26091 75 3135.59850 -819.50759 76 -5244.43434 3135.59850 77 150971.08338 -5244.43434 78 -7067.26982 150971.08338 79 222.57940 -7067.26982 80 -10111.33964 222.57940 81 2737.90300 -10111.33964 82 -9184.73711 2737.90300 83 -4962.64867 -9184.73711 84 10942.51923 -4962.64867 85 -12850.97846 10942.51923 86 6293.79908 -12850.97846 87 3321.89437 6293.79908 88 -25292.92745 3321.89437 89 16764.19305 -25292.92745 90 -17406.06441 16764.19305 91 -4127.34720 -17406.06441 92 -2611.05932 -4127.34720 93 -7237.88643 -2611.05932 94 2380.17496 -7237.88643 95 19564.81828 2380.17496 96 29854.11004 19564.81828 97 22402.43820 29854.11004 98 -2261.05035 22402.43820 99 -3504.53534 -2261.05035 100 16803.56236 -3504.53534 101 13683.53155 16803.56236 102 -13006.19110 13683.53155 103 9743.30939 -13006.19110 104 -20680.70154 9743.30939 105 -24942.31148 -20680.70154 106 -10300.88956 -24942.31148 107 -2763.80705 -10300.88956 108 111935.04137 -2763.80705 109 9660.20483 111935.04137 110 17516.39213 9660.20483 111 -10740.66593 17516.39213 112 -15158.94928 -10740.66593 113 -13528.56607 -15158.94928 114 -4502.25799 -13528.56607 115 -15511.56136 -4502.25799 116 -29747.90933 -15511.56136 117 -15433.63500 -29747.90933 118 27852.59559 -15433.63500 119 -13031.64768 27852.59559 120 -17572.65675 -13031.64768 121 39085.29995 -17572.65675 122 37174.06392 39085.29995 123 21721.01665 37174.06392 124 -13719.19152 21721.01665 125 15031.23163 -13719.19152 126 -13202.98701 15031.23163 127 -6080.44874 -13202.98701 128 -21069.06119 -6080.44874 129 7406.20634 -21069.06119 130 46518.20599 7406.20634 131 -4114.46736 46518.20599 132 -3026.55055 -4114.46736 133 -56.07319 -3026.55055 134 6945.63123 -56.07319 135 48324.93155 6945.63123 136 15758.99587 48324.93155 137 -380.56470 15758.99587 138 -19081.67669 -380.56470 139 -15068.23993 -19081.67669 140 22824.96213 -15068.23993 141 7495.83890 22824.96213 142 767.43567 7495.83890 143 16860.99029 767.43567 144 -12852.20379 16860.99029 145 37011.17847 -12852.20379 146 23878.42885 37011.17847 147 19528.57125 23878.42885 148 -13179.25197 19528.57125 149 -12900.18742 -13179.25197 150 -13243.45667 -12900.18742 151 -13298.39580 -13243.45667 152 -13179.25197 -13298.39580 153 -13179.25197 -13179.25197 154 -11632.50619 -13179.25197 155 -32731.54255 -11632.50619 156 -13179.25197 -32731.54255 157 -13442.83214 -13179.25197 158 -14277.35564 -13442.83214 159 -17045.74757 -14277.35564 160 -15028.82452 -17045.74757 161 3793.14953 -15028.82452 162 -13280.00776 3793.14953 163 5445.23813 -13280.00776 164 NA 5445.23813 > dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),] > dum1 lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror [1,] -11326.70730 9670.58386 [2,] 7172.50220 -11326.70730 [3,] -3702.35589 7172.50220 [4,] -10854.06924 -3702.35589 [5,] 15277.46530 -10854.06924 [6,] -8399.77867 15277.46530 [7,] 5495.41379 -8399.77867 [8,] 17522.73922 5495.41379 [9,] -5857.38371 17522.73922 [10,] -23661.01635 -5857.38371 [11,] 5529.94528 -23661.01635 [12,] 3989.98775 5529.94528 [13,] -812.38019 3989.98775 [14,] -10677.57830 -812.38019 [15,] -23400.08955 -10677.57830 [16,] 23388.03313 -23400.08955 [17,] 16931.09527 23388.03313 [18,] 8905.69622 16931.09527 [19,] 9010.89320 8905.69622 [20,] -7457.77986 9010.89320 [21,] -10753.90056 -7457.77986 [22,] -3109.30312 -10753.90056 [23,] 11450.78904 -3109.30312 [24,] -20998.43064 11450.78904 [25,] -15813.11542 -20998.43064 [26,] -2106.94414 -15813.11542 [27,] -19313.34505 -2106.94414 [28,] -12264.95644 -19313.34505 [29,] -10565.26763 -12264.95644 [30,] -5605.50204 -10565.26763 [31,] 254.70291 -5605.50204 [32,] -19580.31802 254.70291 [33,] 14823.89457 -19580.31802 [34,] -27307.86954 14823.89457 [35,] -2829.84564 -27307.86954 [36,] -22234.56561 -2829.84564 [37,] -13205.86557 -22234.56561 [38,] -16854.85548 -13205.86557 [39,] -23004.51761 -16854.85548 [40,] -14579.19239 -23004.51761 [41,] -6614.60153 -14579.19239 [42,] -19271.12425 -6614.60153 [43,] -3375.74510 -19271.12425 [44,] 9528.22661 -3375.74510 [45,] 33092.85530 9528.22661 [46,] -9186.95700 33092.85530 [47,] -4066.57620 -9186.95700 [48,] 36282.93301 -4066.57620 [49,] -9742.85256 36282.93301 [50,] -12152.60857 -9742.85256 [51,] -16636.39589 -12152.60857 [52,] -1874.82724 -16636.39589 [53,] 6177.65891 -1874.82724 [54,] -6006.37798 6177.65891 [55,] -4210.69328 -6006.37798 [56,] 23579.73658 -4210.69328 [57,] -13463.68203 23579.73658 [58,] -25993.75782 -13463.68203 [59,] 4829.10426 -25993.75782 [60,] 14122.29943 4829.10426 [61,] -4577.87523 14122.29943 [62,] -9227.88212 -4577.87523 [63,] 5216.45188 -9227.88212 [64,] -6970.85154 5216.45188 [65,] -24143.26348 -6970.85154 [66,] 28088.08417 -24143.26348 [67,] -15587.94342 28088.08417 [68,] 5744.72606 -15587.94342 [69,] 128.75790 5744.72606 [70,] 3487.89350 128.75790 [71,] -4180.95188 3487.89350 [72,] 1394.91076 -4180.95188 [73,] 8960.26091 1394.91076 [74,] -819.50759 8960.26091 [75,] 3135.59850 -819.50759 [76,] -5244.43434 3135.59850 [77,] 150971.08338 -5244.43434 [78,] -7067.26982 150971.08338 [79,] 222.57940 -7067.26982 [80,] -10111.33964 222.57940 [81,] 2737.90300 -10111.33964 [82,] -9184.73711 2737.90300 [83,] -4962.64867 -9184.73711 [84,] 10942.51923 -4962.64867 [85,] -12850.97846 10942.51923 [86,] 6293.79908 -12850.97846 [87,] 3321.89437 6293.79908 [88,] -25292.92745 3321.89437 [89,] 16764.19305 -25292.92745 [90,] -17406.06441 16764.19305 [91,] -4127.34720 -17406.06441 [92,] -2611.05932 -4127.34720 [93,] -7237.88643 -2611.05932 [94,] 2380.17496 -7237.88643 [95,] 19564.81828 2380.17496 [96,] 29854.11004 19564.81828 [97,] 22402.43820 29854.11004 [98,] -2261.05035 22402.43820 [99,] -3504.53534 -2261.05035 [100,] 16803.56236 -3504.53534 [101,] 13683.53155 16803.56236 [102,] -13006.19110 13683.53155 [103,] 9743.30939 -13006.19110 [104,] -20680.70154 9743.30939 [105,] -24942.31148 -20680.70154 [106,] -10300.88956 -24942.31148 [107,] -2763.80705 -10300.88956 [108,] 111935.04137 -2763.80705 [109,] 9660.20483 111935.04137 [110,] 17516.39213 9660.20483 [111,] -10740.66593 17516.39213 [112,] -15158.94928 -10740.66593 [113,] -13528.56607 -15158.94928 [114,] -4502.25799 -13528.56607 [115,] -15511.56136 -4502.25799 [116,] -29747.90933 -15511.56136 [117,] -15433.63500 -29747.90933 [118,] 27852.59559 -15433.63500 [119,] -13031.64768 27852.59559 [120,] -17572.65675 -13031.64768 [121,] 39085.29995 -17572.65675 [122,] 37174.06392 39085.29995 [123,] 21721.01665 37174.06392 [124,] -13719.19152 21721.01665 [125,] 15031.23163 -13719.19152 [126,] -13202.98701 15031.23163 [127,] -6080.44874 -13202.98701 [128,] -21069.06119 -6080.44874 [129,] 7406.20634 -21069.06119 [130,] 46518.20599 7406.20634 [131,] -4114.46736 46518.20599 [132,] -3026.55055 -4114.46736 [133,] -56.07319 -3026.55055 [134,] 6945.63123 -56.07319 [135,] 48324.93155 6945.63123 [136,] 15758.99587 48324.93155 [137,] -380.56470 15758.99587 [138,] -19081.67669 -380.56470 [139,] -15068.23993 -19081.67669 [140,] 22824.96213 -15068.23993 [141,] 7495.83890 22824.96213 [142,] 767.43567 7495.83890 [143,] 16860.99029 767.43567 [144,] -12852.20379 16860.99029 [145,] 37011.17847 -12852.20379 [146,] 23878.42885 37011.17847 [147,] 19528.57125 23878.42885 [148,] -13179.25197 19528.57125 [149,] -12900.18742 -13179.25197 [150,] -13243.45667 -12900.18742 [151,] -13298.39580 -13243.45667 [152,] -13179.25197 -13298.39580 [153,] -13179.25197 -13179.25197 [154,] -11632.50619 -13179.25197 [155,] -32731.54255 -11632.50619 [156,] -13179.25197 -32731.54255 [157,] -13442.83214 -13179.25197 [158,] -14277.35564 -13442.83214 [159,] -17045.74757 -14277.35564 [160,] -15028.82452 -17045.74757 [161,] 3793.14953 -15028.82452 [162,] -13280.00776 3793.14953 [163,] 5445.23813 -13280.00776 > z <- as.data.frame(dum1) > z lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror 1 -11326.70730 9670.58386 2 7172.50220 -11326.70730 3 -3702.35589 7172.50220 4 -10854.06924 -3702.35589 5 15277.46530 -10854.06924 6 -8399.77867 15277.46530 7 5495.41379 -8399.77867 8 17522.73922 5495.41379 9 -5857.38371 17522.73922 10 -23661.01635 -5857.38371 11 5529.94528 -23661.01635 12 3989.98775 5529.94528 13 -812.38019 3989.98775 14 -10677.57830 -812.38019 15 -23400.08955 -10677.57830 16 23388.03313 -23400.08955 17 16931.09527 23388.03313 18 8905.69622 16931.09527 19 9010.89320 8905.69622 20 -7457.77986 9010.89320 21 -10753.90056 -7457.77986 22 -3109.30312 -10753.90056 23 11450.78904 -3109.30312 24 -20998.43064 11450.78904 25 -15813.11542 -20998.43064 26 -2106.94414 -15813.11542 27 -19313.34505 -2106.94414 28 -12264.95644 -19313.34505 29 -10565.26763 -12264.95644 30 -5605.50204 -10565.26763 31 254.70291 -5605.50204 32 -19580.31802 254.70291 33 14823.89457 -19580.31802 34 -27307.86954 14823.89457 35 -2829.84564 -27307.86954 36 -22234.56561 -2829.84564 37 -13205.86557 -22234.56561 38 -16854.85548 -13205.86557 39 -23004.51761 -16854.85548 40 -14579.19239 -23004.51761 41 -6614.60153 -14579.19239 42 -19271.12425 -6614.60153 43 -3375.74510 -19271.12425 44 9528.22661 -3375.74510 45 33092.85530 9528.22661 46 -9186.95700 33092.85530 47 -4066.57620 -9186.95700 48 36282.93301 -4066.57620 49 -9742.85256 36282.93301 50 -12152.60857 -9742.85256 51 -16636.39589 -12152.60857 52 -1874.82724 -16636.39589 53 6177.65891 -1874.82724 54 -6006.37798 6177.65891 55 -4210.69328 -6006.37798 56 23579.73658 -4210.69328 57 -13463.68203 23579.73658 58 -25993.75782 -13463.68203 59 4829.10426 -25993.75782 60 14122.29943 4829.10426 61 -4577.87523 14122.29943 62 -9227.88212 -4577.87523 63 5216.45188 -9227.88212 64 -6970.85154 5216.45188 65 -24143.26348 -6970.85154 66 28088.08417 -24143.26348 67 -15587.94342 28088.08417 68 5744.72606 -15587.94342 69 128.75790 5744.72606 70 3487.89350 128.75790 71 -4180.95188 3487.89350 72 1394.91076 -4180.95188 73 8960.26091 1394.91076 74 -819.50759 8960.26091 75 3135.59850 -819.50759 76 -5244.43434 3135.59850 77 150971.08338 -5244.43434 78 -7067.26982 150971.08338 79 222.57940 -7067.26982 80 -10111.33964 222.57940 81 2737.90300 -10111.33964 82 -9184.73711 2737.90300 83 -4962.64867 -9184.73711 84 10942.51923 -4962.64867 85 -12850.97846 10942.51923 86 6293.79908 -12850.97846 87 3321.89437 6293.79908 88 -25292.92745 3321.89437 89 16764.19305 -25292.92745 90 -17406.06441 16764.19305 91 -4127.34720 -17406.06441 92 -2611.05932 -4127.34720 93 -7237.88643 -2611.05932 94 2380.17496 -7237.88643 95 19564.81828 2380.17496 96 29854.11004 19564.81828 97 22402.43820 29854.11004 98 -2261.05035 22402.43820 99 -3504.53534 -2261.05035 100 16803.56236 -3504.53534 101 13683.53155 16803.56236 102 -13006.19110 13683.53155 103 9743.30939 -13006.19110 104 -20680.70154 9743.30939 105 -24942.31148 -20680.70154 106 -10300.88956 -24942.31148 107 -2763.80705 -10300.88956 108 111935.04137 -2763.80705 109 9660.20483 111935.04137 110 17516.39213 9660.20483 111 -10740.66593 17516.39213 112 -15158.94928 -10740.66593 113 -13528.56607 -15158.94928 114 -4502.25799 -13528.56607 115 -15511.56136 -4502.25799 116 -29747.90933 -15511.56136 117 -15433.63500 -29747.90933 118 27852.59559 -15433.63500 119 -13031.64768 27852.59559 120 -17572.65675 -13031.64768 121 39085.29995 -17572.65675 122 37174.06392 39085.29995 123 21721.01665 37174.06392 124 -13719.19152 21721.01665 125 15031.23163 -13719.19152 126 -13202.98701 15031.23163 127 -6080.44874 -13202.98701 128 -21069.06119 -6080.44874 129 7406.20634 -21069.06119 130 46518.20599 7406.20634 131 -4114.46736 46518.20599 132 -3026.55055 -4114.46736 133 -56.07319 -3026.55055 134 6945.63123 -56.07319 135 48324.93155 6945.63123 136 15758.99587 48324.93155 137 -380.56470 15758.99587 138 -19081.67669 -380.56470 139 -15068.23993 -19081.67669 140 22824.96213 -15068.23993 141 7495.83890 22824.96213 142 767.43567 7495.83890 143 16860.99029 767.43567 144 -12852.20379 16860.99029 145 37011.17847 -12852.20379 146 23878.42885 37011.17847 147 19528.57125 23878.42885 148 -13179.25197 19528.57125 149 -12900.18742 -13179.25197 150 -13243.45667 -12900.18742 151 -13298.39580 -13243.45667 152 -13179.25197 -13298.39580 153 -13179.25197 -13179.25197 154 -11632.50619 -13179.25197 155 -32731.54255 -11632.50619 156 -13179.25197 -32731.54255 157 -13442.83214 -13179.25197 158 -14277.35564 -13442.83214 159 -17045.74757 -14277.35564 160 -15028.82452 -17045.74757 161 3793.14953 -15028.82452 162 -13280.00776 3793.14953 163 5445.23813 -13280.00776 > plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals') > lines(lowess(z)) > abline(lm(z)) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/7vcbj1321876963.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/86ig01321876963.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/9rqq01321876963.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0)) > plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics') > par(opar) > dev.off() null device 1 > if (n > n25) { + postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/10xdjq1321876963.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) + plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint') + grid() + dev.off() + } null device 1 > > #Note: the /var/wessaorg/rcomp/createtable file can be downloaded at http://www.wessa.net/cretab > load(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/createtable") > > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > myeq <- colnames(x)[1] > myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='') > for (i in 1:k){ + if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '') + myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ') + if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') { + myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='') + if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='') + } + } > myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]') > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, myeq) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/11vs6n1321876963.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > for (i in 1:k){ + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1]) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6)) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/12fym41321876963.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared)) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3])) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror)) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/135r6a1321876963.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation
Forecast', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals
Prediction Error', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > for (i in 1:n) { + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,x[i]) + a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i]) + a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i]) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/144x901321876963.tab") > if (n > n25) { + a<-table.start() + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1]) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2]) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3]) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } + a<-table.end(a) + table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/15akjh1321876963.tab") + a<-table.start() + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.end(a) + table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/1630hv1321876963.tab") + } > > try(system("convert tmp/1t9aq1321876963.ps tmp/1t9aq1321876963.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/287mi1321876963.ps tmp/287mi1321876963.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/3sh9g1321876963.ps tmp/3sh9g1321876963.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/4smry1321876963.ps tmp/4smry1321876963.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/5o7421321876963.ps tmp/5o7421321876963.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/64cqy1321876963.ps tmp/64cqy1321876963.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/7vcbj1321876963.ps tmp/7vcbj1321876963.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/86ig01321876963.ps tmp/86ig01321876963.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/9rqq01321876963.ps tmp/9rqq01321876963.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/10xdjq1321876963.ps tmp/10xdjq1321876963.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > > > proc.time() user system elapsed 5.621 0.594 6.404