R version 2.13.0 (2011-04-13) Copyright (C) 2011 The R Foundation for Statistical Computing ISBN 3-900051-07-0 Platform: i486-pc-linux-gnu (32-bit) R is free software and comes with ABSOLUTELY NO WARRANTY. You are welcome to redistribute it under certain conditions. Type 'license()' or 'licence()' for distribution details. R is a collaborative project with many contributors. Type 'contributors()' for more information and 'citation()' on how to cite R or R packages in publications. Type 'demo()' for some demos, 'help()' for on-line help, or 'help.start()' for an HTML browser interface to help. Type 'q()' to quit R. > x <- array(list(47.38555556 + ,46 + ,26 + ,95556 + ,24.06138889 + ,48 + ,20 + ,54565 + ,31.4825 + ,37 + ,24 + ,63016 + ,42.36388889 + ,75 + ,25 + ,79774 + ,23.94611111 + ,31 + ,15 + ,31258 + ,10.34916667 + ,18 + ,16 + ,52491 + ,85.01527778 + ,79 + ,20 + ,91256 + ,9.097222222 + ,16 + ,18 + ,22807 + ,32.36166667 + ,38 + ,19 + ,77411 + ,36.26083333 + ,24 + ,20 + ,48821 + ,44.96555556 + ,65 + ,30 + ,52295 + ,35.63166667 + ,74 + ,37 + ,63262 + ,28.43055556 + ,43 + ,23 + ,50466 + ,53.61777778 + ,42 + ,36 + ,62932 + ,39.32611111 + ,55 + ,29 + ,38439 + ,70.43305556 + ,121 + ,35 + ,70817 + ,50.30833333 + ,42 + ,24 + ,105965 + ,55.12 + ,102 + ,22 + ,73795 + ,31.62583333 + ,36 + ,19 + ,82043 + ,44.42777778 + ,50 + ,30 + ,74349 + ,46.33944444 + ,48 + ,27 + ,82204 + ,79.63194444 + ,56 + ,26 + ,55709 + ,25.46027778 + ,19 + ,15 + ,37137 + ,30.07722222 + ,32 + ,30 + ,70780 + ,40.65055556 + ,77 + ,28 + ,55027 + ,40.31722222 + ,90 + ,24 + ,56699 + ,44.92777778 + ,81 + ,21 + ,65911 + ,44.69583333 + ,55 + ,27 + ,56316 + ,29.69111111 + ,34 + ,21 + ,26982 + ,52.26388889 + ,38 + ,30 + ,54628 + ,52.61138889 + ,53 + ,30 + ,96750 + ,35.96777778 + ,48 + ,33 + ,53009 + ,56.675 + ,63 + ,30 + ,64664 + ,17.42527778 + ,25 + ,20 + ,36990 + ,67.67361111 + ,56 + ,27 + ,85224 + ,46.45972222 + ,37 + ,25 + ,37048 + ,73.48 + ,83 + ,30 + ,59635 + ,33.89555556 + ,50 + ,20 + ,42051 + ,22.49 + ,26 + ,8 + ,26998 + ,58.27638889 + ,108 + ,24 + ,63717 + ,62.27916667 + ,55 + ,25 + ,55071 + ,32.21416667 + ,41 + ,25 + ,40001 + ,38.38638889 + ,49 + ,21 + ,54506 + ,22.52944444 + ,31 + ,21 + ,35838 + ,25.86805556 + ,49 + ,21 + ,50838 + ,84.93222222 + ,96 + ,26 + ,86997 + ,21.88888889 + ,42 + ,26 + ,33032 + ,44.12083333 + ,55 + ,30 + ,61704 + ,61.59583333 + ,70 + ,34 + ,117986 + ,36.41888889 + ,39 + ,30 + ,56733 + ,35.75944444 + ,53 + ,18 + ,55064 + ,6.718888889 + ,24 + ,4 + ,5950 + ,71.57277778 + ,209 + ,31 + ,84607 + ,18.06361111 + ,17 + ,18 + ,32551 + ,27.24055556 + ,58 + ,14 + ,31701 + ,48.21861111 + ,27 + ,20 + ,71170 + ,50.01166667 + ,58 + ,36 + ,101773 + ,54.79611111 + ,114 + ,24 + ,101653 + ,58.90555556 + ,75 + ,26 + ,81493 + ,39.32833333 + ,51 + ,22 + ,55901 + ,68.08527778 + ,86 + ,31 + ,109104 + ,57.46638889 + ,77 + ,21 + ,114425 + ,40.47111111 + ,62 + ,31 + ,36311 + ,47.39861111 + ,60 + ,26 + ,70027 + ,39.46222222 + ,39 + ,24 + ,73713 + ,31.89444444 + ,35 + ,15 + ,40671 + ,31.51694444 + ,86 + ,19 + ,89041 + ,40.35694444 + ,102 + ,28 + ,57231 + ,41.94416667 + ,49 + ,24 + ,68608 + ,25.50333333 + ,35 + ,18 + ,59155 + ,33.00194444 + ,33 + ,25 + ,55827 + ,19.2975 + ,28 + ,20 + ,22618 + ,35.175 + ,44 + ,25 + ,58425 + ,40.53 + ,37 + ,24 + ,65724 + ,27.33138889 + ,33 + ,23 + ,56979 + ,53.035 + ,45 + ,25 + ,72369 + ,55.22138889 + ,57 + ,20 + ,79194 + ,29.49805556 + ,58 + ,23 + ,202316 + ,24.81055556 + ,36 + ,22 + ,44970 + ,33.43388889 + ,42 + ,25 + ,49319 + ,27.44194444 + ,30 + ,18 + ,36252 + ,76.37583333 + ,67 + ,30 + ,75741 + ,36.88833333 + ,53 + ,22 + ,38417 + ,37.56972222 + ,59 + ,25 + ,64102 + ,22.48694444 + ,25 + ,8 + ,56622 + ,30.34361111 + ,39 + ,21 + ,15430 + ,26.84277778 + ,36 + ,22 + ,72571 + ,62.83083333 + ,114 + ,24 + ,67271 + ,47.57944444 + ,54 + ,30 + ,43460 + ,32.72638889 + ,70 + ,27 + ,99501 + ,37.10027778 + ,51 + ,24 + ,28340 + ,42.27583333 + ,49 + ,25 + ,76013 + ,31.11222222 + ,42 + ,21 + ,37361 + ,47.11472222 + ,51 + ,24 + ,48204 + ,52.07861111 + ,51 + ,24 + ,76168 + ,36.25916667 + ,27 + ,20 + ,85168 + ,39.53861111 + ,29 + ,20 + ,125410 + ,52.71222222 + ,54 + ,24 + ,123328 + ,56.00083333 + ,92 + ,40 + ,83038 + ,68.565 + ,72 + ,22 + ,120087 + ,43.31861111 + ,63 + ,31 + ,91939 + ,50.71694444 + ,41 + ,26 + ,103646 + ,29.54194444 + ,111 + ,20 + ,29467 + ,12.02416667 + ,14 + ,19 + ,43750 + ,35.41472222 + ,45 + ,15 + ,34497 + ,35.53611111 + ,91 + ,21 + ,66477 + ,41.39055556 + ,29 + ,22 + ,71181 + ,52.12583333 + ,64 + ,24 + ,74482 + ,20.58666667 + ,32 + ,19 + ,174949 + ,26.11277778 + ,65 + ,24 + ,46765 + ,49.0625 + ,42 + ,23 + ,90257 + ,39.42583333 + ,55 + ,27 + ,51370 + ,6.371666667 + ,10 + ,1 + ,1168 + ,34.97972222 + ,53 + ,24 + ,51360 + ,17.1825 + ,25 + ,11 + ,25162 + ,25.35833333 + ,33 + ,27 + ,21067 + ,70.86111111 + ,66 + ,22 + ,58233 + ,5.848333333 + ,16 + ,0 + ,855 + ,46.97027778 + ,35 + ,17 + ,85903 + ,8.726111111 + ,19 + ,8 + ,14116 + ,52.41694444 + ,76 + ,24 + ,57637 + ,38.20666667 + ,35 + ,31 + ,94137 + ,21.435 + ,46 + ,24 + ,62147 + ,20.71305556 + ,29 + ,20 + ,62832 + ,10.615 + ,34 + ,8 + ,8773 + ,25.26694444 + ,25 + ,22 + ,63785 + ,53.95111111 + ,48 + ,33 + ,65196 + ,37.5725 + ,38 + ,33 + ,73087 + ,67.85333333 + ,50 + ,31 + ,72631 + ,56.04111111 + ,65 + ,33 + ,86281 + ,71.22277778 + ,72 + ,35 + ,162365 + ,38.65111111 + ,23 + ,21 + ,56530 + ,21.24166667 + ,29 + ,20 + ,35606 + ,52.63944444 + ,194 + ,24 + ,70111 + ,77.87055556 + ,114 + ,29 + ,92046 + ,14.16638889 + ,15 + ,20 + ,63989 + ,70.35388889 + ,86 + ,27 + ,104911 + ,28.6775 + ,50 + ,24 + ,43448 + ,46.68305556 + ,33 + ,26 + ,60029 + ,35.76888889 + ,50 + ,26 + ,38650 + ,21.04055556 + ,72 + ,12 + ,47261 + ,69.23111111 + ,81 + ,21 + ,73586 + ,42.32388889 + ,54 + ,24 + ,83042 + ,48.12777778 + ,63 + ,21 + ,37238 + ,54.77694444 + ,69 + ,30 + ,63958 + ,18.75194444 + ,39 + ,32 + ,78956 + ,38.72472222 + ,49 + ,24 + ,99518 + ,51.49055556 + ,67 + ,29 + ,111436 + ,0 + ,0 + ,0 + ,0 + ,4.08 + ,10 + ,0 + ,6023 + ,0.027222222 + ,1 + ,0 + ,0 + ,0.126388889 + ,2 + ,0 + ,0 + ,0 + ,0 + ,0 + ,0 + ,0 + ,0 + ,0 + ,0 + ,38.30138889 + ,58 + ,20 + ,42564 + ,51.46888889 + ,72 + ,27 + ,38885 + ,0 + ,0 + ,0 + ,0 + ,0.056388889 + ,4 + ,0 + ,0 + ,1.999722222 + ,5 + ,0 + ,1644 + ,12.96111111 + ,20 + ,5 + ,6179 + ,4.874166667 + ,5 + ,1 + ,3926 + ,20.43527778 + ,27 + ,23 + ,23238 + ,0.269166667 + ,2 + ,0 + ,0 + ,29.29916667 + ,33 + ,16 + ,49288) + ,dim=c(4 + ,164) + ,dimnames=list(c('AantalurenRFC' + ,'#logins' + ,'otaal#peer_reviews' + ,'totaal#karakterscompendium') + ,1:164)) > y <- array(NA,dim=c(4,164),dimnames=list(c('AantalurenRFC','#logins','otaal#peer_reviews','totaal#karakterscompendium'),1:164)) > for (i in 1:dim(x)[1]) + { + for (j in 1:dim(x)[2]) + { + y[i,j] <- as.numeric(x[i,j]) + } + } > par3 = 'No Linear Trend' > par2 = 'Do not include Seasonal Dummies' > par1 = '3' > library(lattice) > library(lmtest) Loading required package: zoo > n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test > par1 <- as.numeric(par1) > x <- t(y) > k <- length(x[1,]) > n <- length(x[,1]) > x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1]) > mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1]) > colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1] > x <- x1 > if (par3 == 'First Differences'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep=''))) + for (i in 1:n-1) { + for (j in 1:k) { + x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j] + } + } + x <- x2 + } > if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep =''))) + for (i in 1:11){ + x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1 + } + x <- cbind(x, x2) + } > if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep =''))) + for (i in 1:3){ + x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1 + } + x <- cbind(x, x2) + } > k <- length(x[1,]) > if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){ + x <- cbind(x, c(1:n)) + colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't' + } > x otaal#peer_reviews AantalurenRFC #logins totaal#karakterscompendium 1 26 47.38555556 46 95556 2 20 24.06138889 48 54565 3 24 31.48250000 37 63016 4 25 42.36388889 75 79774 5 15 23.94611111 31 31258 6 16 10.34916667 18 52491 7 20 85.01527778 79 91256 8 18 9.09722222 16 22807 9 19 32.36166667 38 77411 10 20 36.26083333 24 48821 11 30 44.96555556 65 52295 12 37 35.63166667 74 63262 13 23 28.43055556 43 50466 14 36 53.61777778 42 62932 15 29 39.32611111 55 38439 16 35 70.43305556 121 70817 17 24 50.30833333 42 105965 18 22 55.12000000 102 73795 19 19 31.62583333 36 82043 20 30 44.42777778 50 74349 21 27 46.33944444 48 82204 22 26 79.63194444 56 55709 23 15 25.46027778 19 37137 24 30 30.07722222 32 70780 25 28 40.65055556 77 55027 26 24 40.31722222 90 56699 27 21 44.92777778 81 65911 28 27 44.69583333 55 56316 29 21 29.69111111 34 26982 30 30 52.26388889 38 54628 31 30 52.61138889 53 96750 32 33 35.96777778 48 53009 33 30 56.67500000 63 64664 34 20 17.42527778 25 36990 35 27 67.67361111 56 85224 36 25 46.45972222 37 37048 37 30 73.48000000 83 59635 38 20 33.89555556 50 42051 39 8 22.49000000 26 26998 40 24 58.27638889 108 63717 41 25 62.27916667 55 55071 42 25 32.21416667 41 40001 43 21 38.38638889 49 54506 44 21 22.52944444 31 35838 45 21 25.86805556 49 50838 46 26 84.93222222 96 86997 47 26 21.88888889 42 33032 48 30 44.12083333 55 61704 49 34 61.59583333 70 117986 50 30 36.41888889 39 56733 51 18 35.75944444 53 55064 52 4 6.71888889 24 5950 53 31 71.57277778 209 84607 54 18 18.06361111 17 32551 55 14 27.24055556 58 31701 56 20 48.21861111 27 71170 57 36 50.01166667 58 101773 58 24 54.79611111 114 101653 59 26 58.90555556 75 81493 60 22 39.32833333 51 55901 61 31 68.08527778 86 109104 62 21 57.46638889 77 114425 63 31 40.47111111 62 36311 64 26 47.39861111 60 70027 65 24 39.46222222 39 73713 66 15 31.89444444 35 40671 67 19 31.51694444 86 89041 68 28 40.35694444 102 57231 69 24 41.94416667 49 68608 70 18 25.50333333 35 59155 71 25 33.00194444 33 55827 72 20 19.29750000 28 22618 73 25 35.17500000 44 58425 74 24 40.53000000 37 65724 75 23 27.33138889 33 56979 76 25 53.03500000 45 72369 77 20 55.22138889 57 79194 78 23 29.49805556 58 202316 79 22 24.81055556 36 44970 80 25 33.43388889 42 49319 81 18 27.44194444 30 36252 82 30 76.37583333 67 75741 83 22 36.88833333 53 38417 84 25 37.56972222 59 64102 85 8 22.48694444 25 56622 86 21 30.34361111 39 15430 87 22 26.84277778 36 72571 88 24 62.83083333 114 67271 89 30 47.57944444 54 43460 90 27 32.72638889 70 99501 91 24 37.10027778 51 28340 92 25 42.27583333 49 76013 93 21 31.11222222 42 37361 94 24 47.11472222 51 48204 95 24 52.07861111 51 76168 96 20 36.25916667 27 85168 97 20 39.53861111 29 125410 98 24 52.71222222 54 123328 99 40 56.00083333 92 83038 100 22 68.56500000 72 120087 101 31 43.31861111 63 91939 102 26 50.71694444 41 103646 103 20 29.54194444 111 29467 104 19 12.02416667 14 43750 105 15 35.41472222 45 34497 106 21 35.53611111 91 66477 107 22 41.39055556 29 71181 108 24 52.12583333 64 74482 109 19 20.58666667 32 174949 110 24 26.11277778 65 46765 111 23 49.06250000 42 90257 112 27 39.42583333 55 51370 113 1 6.37166667 10 1168 114 24 34.97972222 53 51360 115 11 17.18250000 25 25162 116 27 25.35833333 33 21067 117 22 70.86111111 66 58233 118 0 5.84833333 16 855 119 17 46.97027778 35 85903 120 8 8.72611111 19 14116 121 24 52.41694444 76 57637 122 31 38.20666667 35 94137 123 24 21.43500000 46 62147 124 20 20.71305556 29 62832 125 8 10.61500000 34 8773 126 22 25.26694444 25 63785 127 33 53.95111111 48 65196 128 33 37.57250000 38 73087 129 31 67.85333333 50 72631 130 33 56.04111111 65 86281 131 35 71.22277778 72 162365 132 21 38.65111111 23 56530 133 20 21.24166667 29 35606 134 24 52.63944444 194 70111 135 29 77.87055556 114 92046 136 20 14.16638889 15 63989 137 27 70.35388889 86 104911 138 24 28.67750000 50 43448 139 26 46.68305556 33 60029 140 26 35.76888889 50 38650 141 12 21.04055556 72 47261 142 21 69.23111111 81 73586 143 24 42.32388889 54 83042 144 21 48.12777778 63 37238 145 30 54.77694444 69 63958 146 32 18.75194444 39 78956 147 24 38.72472222 49 99518 148 29 51.49055556 67 111436 149 0 0.00000000 0 0 150 0 4.08000000 10 6023 151 0 0.02722222 1 0 152 0 0.12638889 2 0 153 0 0.00000000 0 0 154 0 0.00000000 0 0 155 20 38.30138889 58 42564 156 27 51.46888889 72 38885 157 0 0.00000000 0 0 158 0 0.05638889 4 0 159 0 1.99972222 5 1644 160 5 12.96111111 20 6179 161 1 4.87416667 5 3926 162 23 20.43527778 27 23238 163 0 0.26916667 2 0 164 16 29.29916667 33 49288 > k <- length(x[1,]) > df <- as.data.frame(x) > (mylm <- lm(df)) Call: lm(formula = df) Coefficients: (Intercept) AantalurenRFC 8.115e+00 2.233e-01 `#logins` `totaal#karakterscompendium` 2.680e-02 6.625e-05 > (mysum <- summary(mylm)) Call: lm(formula = df) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -15.2616 -4.2583 0.1604 4.0911 14.7544 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|) (Intercept) 8.115e+00 1.062e+00 7.643 1.84e-12 *** AantalurenRFC 2.233e-01 3.771e-02 5.921 1.89e-08 *** `#logins` 2.680e-02 2.067e-02 1.297 0.196642 `totaal#karakterscompendium` 6.625e-05 1.743e-05 3.801 0.000205 *** --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 5.819 on 160 degrees of freedom Multiple R-squared: 0.5623, Adjusted R-squared: 0.5541 F-statistic: 68.53 on 3 and 160 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16 > if (n > n25) { + kp3 <- k + 3 + nmkm3 <- n - k - 3 + gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3)) + numgqtests <- 0 + numsignificant1 <- 0 + numsignificant5 <- 0 + numsignificant10 <- 0 + for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { + j <- 0 + numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1 + for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) { + j <- j + 1 + gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value + } + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1 + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1 + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1 + } + gqarr + } [,1] [,2] [,3] [1,] 0.17950674 0.35901348 0.82049326 [2,] 0.13082484 0.26164967 0.86917516 [3,] 0.09815479 0.19630957 0.90184521 [4,] 0.06244460 0.12488920 0.93755540 [5,] 0.20016261 0.40032522 0.79983739 [6,] 0.38698223 0.77396446 0.61301777 [7,] 0.29199361 0.58398721 0.70800639 [8,] 0.78483193 0.43033613 0.21516807 [9,] 0.73920435 0.52159130 0.26079565 [10,] 0.67695287 0.64609427 0.32304713 [11,] 0.60781002 0.78437996 0.39218998 [12,] 0.70484119 0.59031762 0.29515881 [13,] 0.64504125 0.70991750 0.35495875 [14,] 0.64525704 0.70948592 0.35474296 [15,] 0.59065300 0.81869400 0.40934700 [16,] 0.53516354 0.92967292 0.46483646 [17,] 0.51733932 0.96532137 0.48266068 [18,] 0.59333223 0.81333553 0.40666777 [19,] 0.53605185 0.92789629 0.46394815 [20,] 0.50087321 0.99825359 0.49912679 [21,] 0.50126699 0.99746603 0.49873301 [22,] 0.44991301 0.89982603 0.55008699 [23,] 0.39324384 0.78648767 0.60675616 [24,] 0.39321330 0.78642661 0.60678670 [25,] 0.36002484 0.72004967 0.63997516 [26,] 0.47360256 0.94720512 0.52639744 [27,] 0.43058143 0.86116285 0.56941857 [28,] 0.38517283 0.77034566 0.61482717 [29,] 0.33618655 0.67237311 0.66381345 [30,] 0.28865221 0.57730442 0.71134779 [31,] 0.24193673 0.48387347 0.75806327 [32,] 0.21743550 0.43487099 0.78256450 [33,] 0.37584306 0.75168613 0.62415694 [34,] 0.36882426 0.73764852 0.63117574 [35,] 0.32331070 0.64662139 0.67668930 [36,] 0.29882280 0.59764561 0.70117720 [37,] 0.26227935 0.52455870 0.73772065 [38,] 0.22948584 0.45897168 0.77051416 [39,] 0.19587184 0.39174367 0.80412816 [40,] 0.21852137 0.43704274 0.78147863 [41,] 0.23776635 0.47553270 0.76223365 [42,] 0.23939944 0.47879889 0.76060056 [43,] 0.22246497 0.44492994 0.77753503 [44,] 0.25559369 0.51118738 0.74440631 [45,] 0.25301662 0.50603324 0.74698338 [46,] 0.38910132 0.77820264 0.61089868 [47,] 0.36022158 0.72044316 0.63977842 [48,] 0.32497393 0.64994787 0.67502607 [49,] 0.32752620 0.65505241 0.67247380 [50,] 0.31717412 0.63434825 0.68282588 [51,] 0.35644465 0.71288929 0.64355535 [52,] 0.37003465 0.74006931 0.62996535 [53,] 0.33423918 0.66847836 0.66576082 [54,] 0.29395098 0.58790197 0.70604902 [55,] 0.25706657 0.51413313 0.74293343 [56,] 0.33205536 0.66411072 0.66794464 [57,] 0.40078312 0.80156623 0.59921688 [58,] 0.35698169 0.71396339 0.64301831 [59,] 0.31582140 0.63164280 0.68417860 [60,] 0.31348076 0.62696153 0.68651924 [61,] 0.30598980 0.61197960 0.69401020 [62,] 0.28493792 0.56987584 0.71506208 [63,] 0.24746350 0.49492700 0.75253650 [64,] 0.21984327 0.43968654 0.78015673 [65,] 0.20545449 0.41090898 0.79454551 [66,] 0.19319119 0.38638239 0.80680881 [67,] 0.17437557 0.34875114 0.82562443 [68,] 0.14811588 0.29623177 0.85188412 [69,] 0.13334084 0.26668168 0.86665916 [70,] 0.11077135 0.22154270 0.88922865 [71,] 0.12382146 0.24764291 0.87617854 [72,] 0.12174374 0.24348748 0.87825626 [73,] 0.11018017 0.22036034 0.88981983 [74,] 0.10308910 0.20617821 0.89691090 [75,] 0.08799691 0.17599382 0.91200309 [76,] 0.07257426 0.14514852 0.92742574 [77,] 0.05965945 0.11931890 0.94034055 [78,] 0.04955050 0.09910100 0.95044950 [79,] 0.09065624 0.18131247 0.90934376 [80,] 0.08194549 0.16389097 0.91805451 [81,] 0.06819570 0.13639141 0.93180430 [82,] 0.06775836 0.13551673 0.93224164 [83,] 0.07530577 0.15061153 0.92469423 [84,] 0.06507230 0.13014461 0.93492770 [85,] 0.05941116 0.11882233 0.94058884 [86,] 0.04769874 0.09539749 0.95230126 [87,] 0.03995469 0.07990938 0.96004531 [88,] 0.03162971 0.06325942 0.96837029 [89,] 0.02497048 0.04994096 0.97502952 [90,] 0.02012910 0.04025821 0.97987090 [91,] 0.02006909 0.04013817 0.97993091 [92,] 0.01939793 0.03879586 0.98060207 [93,] 0.04973967 0.09947934 0.95026033 [94,] 0.09478642 0.18957284 0.90521358 [95,] 0.09484305 0.18968611 0.90515695 [96,] 0.07900104 0.15800207 0.92099896 [97,] 0.06875622 0.13751243 0.93124378 [98,] 0.06722453 0.13444907 0.93277547 [99,] 0.06545050 0.13090100 0.93454950 [100,] 0.05354839 0.10709679 0.94645161 [101,] 0.04224408 0.08448816 0.95775592 [102,] 0.03413097 0.06826193 0.96586903 [103,] 0.06015248 0.12030497 0.93984752 [104,] 0.06047377 0.12094755 0.93952623 [105,] 0.05551033 0.11102066 0.94448967 [106,] 0.05715279 0.11430559 0.94284721 [107,] 0.09472501 0.18945001 0.90527499 [108,] 0.08464880 0.16929759 0.91535120 [109,] 0.07691295 0.15382589 0.92308705 [110,] 0.19251385 0.38502769 0.80748615 [111,] 0.19721497 0.39442994 0.80278503 [112,] 0.26971479 0.53942957 0.73028521 [113,] 0.36990182 0.73980364 0.63009818 [114,] 0.34605838 0.69211675 0.65394162 [115,] 0.30095532 0.60191063 0.69904468 [116,] 0.29581547 0.59163094 0.70418453 [117,] 0.29848006 0.59696013 0.70151994 [118,] 0.25977575 0.51955149 0.74022425 [119,] 0.24026044 0.48052088 0.75973956 [120,] 0.21105252 0.42210505 0.78894748 [121,] 0.24098102 0.48196203 0.75901898 [122,] 0.36051872 0.72103744 0.63948128 [123,] 0.31614868 0.63229737 0.68385132 [124,] 0.30727224 0.61454447 0.69272776 [125,] 0.36312719 0.72625439 0.63687281 [126,] 0.31048316 0.62096632 0.68951684 [127,] 0.32466645 0.64933290 0.67533355 [128,] 0.28979436 0.57958872 0.71020564 [129,] 0.30710354 0.61420707 0.69289646 [130,] 0.28693621 0.57387242 0.71306379 [131,] 0.38762380 0.77524759 0.61237620 [132,] 0.41532873 0.83065746 0.58467127 [133,] 0.38683592 0.77367184 0.61316408 [134,] 0.48578516 0.97157032 0.51421484 [135,] 0.87991786 0.24016428 0.12008214 [136,] 0.90939739 0.18120522 0.09060261 [137,] 0.87803211 0.24393578 0.12196789 [138,] 0.83896418 0.32207165 0.16103582 [139,] 0.81288513 0.37422975 0.18711487 [140,] 0.98207628 0.03584743 0.01792372 [141,] 0.97026341 0.05947319 0.02973659 [142,] 0.95108570 0.09782860 0.04891430 [143,] 0.93045525 0.13908950 0.06954475 [144,] 0.90800834 0.18398332 0.09199166 [145,] 0.86653483 0.26693034 0.13346517 [146,] 0.80847482 0.38305035 0.19152518 [147,] 0.73059229 0.53881542 0.26940771 [148,] 0.63117908 0.73764184 0.36882092 [149,] 0.52223954 0.95552091 0.47776046 [150,] 0.49668436 0.99336872 0.50331564 [151,] 0.36350087 0.72700175 0.63649913 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/1a0ug1321904390.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index') > points(x[,1]-mysum$resid) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/22stg1321904390.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/3rt3n1321904390.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/4aku51321904390.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals') > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/5ntz71321904390.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot') > qqline(mysum$resid) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > (myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid)) Time Series: Start = 1 End = 164 Frequency = 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 -0.25934473 1.61096283 3.68870594 0.13043673 -1.36374172 1.61422616 7 8 9 10 11 12 -15.26159594 5.91386017 -2.48803780 -0.08958614 6.63783985 14.75443266 13 14 15 16 17 18 4.04084014 10.61740805 8.08302692 3.22325406 -3.49439265 -6.04544784 19 20 21 22 23 24 -2.57698814 5.69885484 1.80519443 -5.08828528 -1.76977438 9.62214706 25 26 27 28 29 30 5.09885441 0.71417521 -3.68448123 3.69965062 3.55626476 5.57703599 31 32 33 34 35 36 2.30703769 12.05530636 3.25726316 4.87343039 -3.37323171 3.06454586 37 38 39 40 41 42 -0.69811445 0.19038408 -7.62239439 -4.24341828 -2.14428960 5.94281481 43 44 45 46 47 48 -0.61074561 4.64919309 2.42763489 -9.41643572 9.68336418 6.47111077 49 50 51 52 53 54 2.43842502 8.94903195 -3.16829007 -6.65269116 -4.30284874 3.23932754 55 56 57 58 59 60 -3.85224289 -4.32074263 8.42082514 -6.14018617 -2.67725215 0.03290824 61 62 63 64 65 66 -1.85101993 -9.59112248 9.78074605 1.05381719 1.14456980 -3.86939943 67 68 69 70 71 72 -4.35607207 4.34850915 0.66057417 -0.66675383 4.93284332 5.32707182 73 74 75 76 77 78 3.98072627 1.48897146 4.12278092 -0.95801757 -7.21993447 -6.65909683 79 80 81 82 83 84 4.40086466 5.02636032 0.55158497 -1.98300273 1.68244046 2.66795137 85 86 87 88 89 90 -9.55741970 4.04186543 2.11857675 -5.65665953 6.93419908 3.10964704 91 92 93 94 95 96 4.35627652 1.09595221 2.33697900 0.80408507 -2.15690162 -2.57748492 97 98 99 100 101 102 -6.02930327 -5.50298982 11.41349770 -11.31059069 5.43290073 -1.40521386 103 104 105 106 107 108 0.36165497 4.92644293 -4.51444028 -1.89274655 -0.85033552 -2.40410246 109 110 111 112 113 114 -6.15947246 5.21407531 -3.17558462 5.20411754 -8.88321712 3.25120375 115 116 117 118 119 120 -3.28878598 10.94243625 -7.56489657 -9.90639592 -8.23237222 -3.50790417 121 122 123 124 125 126 -1.67472889 7.17909329 5.74875103 2.32011712 -3.97768189 3.34726902 127 128 129 130 131 132 7.23221394 10.63481789 1.58166151 4.91315736 -1.70487575 -0.10724600 133 134 135 136 137 138 4.00571963 -5.71271295 -5.65635195 4.08050665 -6.07983444 5.26304637 139 140 141 142 143 144 2.59943466 5.99736875 -5.87371115 -9.61994419 -0.51440973 -2.01722062 145 146 147 148 149 150 3.56709958 13.42191144 -0.66821042 0.20927428 -8.11506538 -9.69310980 151 152 153 154 155 156 -8.14794023 -8.19688053 -8.11506538 -8.11506538 -1.04180650 2.88642464 157 158 159 160 161 162 -8.11506538 -8.23484137 -8.80450053 -6.95458692 -8.59754955 8.05872504 163 164 -8.22876329 -2.80712418 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/6isad1321904390.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror) > dum Time Series: Start = 0 End = 164 Frequency = 1 lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror 0 -0.25934473 NA 1 1.61096283 -0.25934473 2 3.68870594 1.61096283 3 0.13043673 3.68870594 4 -1.36374172 0.13043673 5 1.61422616 -1.36374172 6 -15.26159594 1.61422616 7 5.91386017 -15.26159594 8 -2.48803780 5.91386017 9 -0.08958614 -2.48803780 10 6.63783985 -0.08958614 11 14.75443266 6.63783985 12 4.04084014 14.75443266 13 10.61740805 4.04084014 14 8.08302692 10.61740805 15 3.22325406 8.08302692 16 -3.49439265 3.22325406 17 -6.04544784 -3.49439265 18 -2.57698814 -6.04544784 19 5.69885484 -2.57698814 20 1.80519443 5.69885484 21 -5.08828528 1.80519443 22 -1.76977438 -5.08828528 23 9.62214706 -1.76977438 24 5.09885441 9.62214706 25 0.71417521 5.09885441 26 -3.68448123 0.71417521 27 3.69965062 -3.68448123 28 3.55626476 3.69965062 29 5.57703599 3.55626476 30 2.30703769 5.57703599 31 12.05530636 2.30703769 32 3.25726316 12.05530636 33 4.87343039 3.25726316 34 -3.37323171 4.87343039 35 3.06454586 -3.37323171 36 -0.69811445 3.06454586 37 0.19038408 -0.69811445 38 -7.62239439 0.19038408 39 -4.24341828 -7.62239439 40 -2.14428960 -4.24341828 41 5.94281481 -2.14428960 42 -0.61074561 5.94281481 43 4.64919309 -0.61074561 44 2.42763489 4.64919309 45 -9.41643572 2.42763489 46 9.68336418 -9.41643572 47 6.47111077 9.68336418 48 2.43842502 6.47111077 49 8.94903195 2.43842502 50 -3.16829007 8.94903195 51 -6.65269116 -3.16829007 52 -4.30284874 -6.65269116 53 3.23932754 -4.30284874 54 -3.85224289 3.23932754 55 -4.32074263 -3.85224289 56 8.42082514 -4.32074263 57 -6.14018617 8.42082514 58 -2.67725215 -6.14018617 59 0.03290824 -2.67725215 60 -1.85101993 0.03290824 61 -9.59112248 -1.85101993 62 9.78074605 -9.59112248 63 1.05381719 9.78074605 64 1.14456980 1.05381719 65 -3.86939943 1.14456980 66 -4.35607207 -3.86939943 67 4.34850915 -4.35607207 68 0.66057417 4.34850915 69 -0.66675383 0.66057417 70 4.93284332 -0.66675383 71 5.32707182 4.93284332 72 3.98072627 5.32707182 73 1.48897146 3.98072627 74 4.12278092 1.48897146 75 -0.95801757 4.12278092 76 -7.21993447 -0.95801757 77 -6.65909683 -7.21993447 78 4.40086466 -6.65909683 79 5.02636032 4.40086466 80 0.55158497 5.02636032 81 -1.98300273 0.55158497 82 1.68244046 -1.98300273 83 2.66795137 1.68244046 84 -9.55741970 2.66795137 85 4.04186543 -9.55741970 86 2.11857675 4.04186543 87 -5.65665953 2.11857675 88 6.93419908 -5.65665953 89 3.10964704 6.93419908 90 4.35627652 3.10964704 91 1.09595221 4.35627652 92 2.33697900 1.09595221 93 0.80408507 2.33697900 94 -2.15690162 0.80408507 95 -2.57748492 -2.15690162 96 -6.02930327 -2.57748492 97 -5.50298982 -6.02930327 98 11.41349770 -5.50298982 99 -11.31059069 11.41349770 100 5.43290073 -11.31059069 101 -1.40521386 5.43290073 102 0.36165497 -1.40521386 103 4.92644293 0.36165497 104 -4.51444028 4.92644293 105 -1.89274655 -4.51444028 106 -0.85033552 -1.89274655 107 -2.40410246 -0.85033552 108 -6.15947246 -2.40410246 109 5.21407531 -6.15947246 110 -3.17558462 5.21407531 111 5.20411754 -3.17558462 112 -8.88321712 5.20411754 113 3.25120375 -8.88321712 114 -3.28878598 3.25120375 115 10.94243625 -3.28878598 116 -7.56489657 10.94243625 117 -9.90639592 -7.56489657 118 -8.23237222 -9.90639592 119 -3.50790417 -8.23237222 120 -1.67472889 -3.50790417 121 7.17909329 -1.67472889 122 5.74875103 7.17909329 123 2.32011712 5.74875103 124 -3.97768189 2.32011712 125 3.34726902 -3.97768189 126 7.23221394 3.34726902 127 10.63481789 7.23221394 128 1.58166151 10.63481789 129 4.91315736 1.58166151 130 -1.70487575 4.91315736 131 -0.10724600 -1.70487575 132 4.00571963 -0.10724600 133 -5.71271295 4.00571963 134 -5.65635195 -5.71271295 135 4.08050665 -5.65635195 136 -6.07983444 4.08050665 137 5.26304637 -6.07983444 138 2.59943466 5.26304637 139 5.99736875 2.59943466 140 -5.87371115 5.99736875 141 -9.61994419 -5.87371115 142 -0.51440973 -9.61994419 143 -2.01722062 -0.51440973 144 3.56709958 -2.01722062 145 13.42191144 3.56709958 146 -0.66821042 13.42191144 147 0.20927428 -0.66821042 148 -8.11506538 0.20927428 149 -9.69310980 -8.11506538 150 -8.14794023 -9.69310980 151 -8.19688053 -8.14794023 152 -8.11506538 -8.19688053 153 -8.11506538 -8.11506538 154 -1.04180650 -8.11506538 155 2.88642464 -1.04180650 156 -8.11506538 2.88642464 157 -8.23484137 -8.11506538 158 -8.80450053 -8.23484137 159 -6.95458692 -8.80450053 160 -8.59754955 -6.95458692 161 8.05872504 -8.59754955 162 -8.22876329 8.05872504 163 -2.80712418 -8.22876329 164 NA -2.80712418 > dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),] > dum1 lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror [1,] 1.61096283 -0.25934473 [2,] 3.68870594 1.61096283 [3,] 0.13043673 3.68870594 [4,] -1.36374172 0.13043673 [5,] 1.61422616 -1.36374172 [6,] -15.26159594 1.61422616 [7,] 5.91386017 -15.26159594 [8,] -2.48803780 5.91386017 [9,] -0.08958614 -2.48803780 [10,] 6.63783985 -0.08958614 [11,] 14.75443266 6.63783985 [12,] 4.04084014 14.75443266 [13,] 10.61740805 4.04084014 [14,] 8.08302692 10.61740805 [15,] 3.22325406 8.08302692 [16,] -3.49439265 3.22325406 [17,] -6.04544784 -3.49439265 [18,] -2.57698814 -6.04544784 [19,] 5.69885484 -2.57698814 [20,] 1.80519443 5.69885484 [21,] -5.08828528 1.80519443 [22,] -1.76977438 -5.08828528 [23,] 9.62214706 -1.76977438 [24,] 5.09885441 9.62214706 [25,] 0.71417521 5.09885441 [26,] -3.68448123 0.71417521 [27,] 3.69965062 -3.68448123 [28,] 3.55626476 3.69965062 [29,] 5.57703599 3.55626476 [30,] 2.30703769 5.57703599 [31,] 12.05530636 2.30703769 [32,] 3.25726316 12.05530636 [33,] 4.87343039 3.25726316 [34,] -3.37323171 4.87343039 [35,] 3.06454586 -3.37323171 [36,] -0.69811445 3.06454586 [37,] 0.19038408 -0.69811445 [38,] -7.62239439 0.19038408 [39,] -4.24341828 -7.62239439 [40,] -2.14428960 -4.24341828 [41,] 5.94281481 -2.14428960 [42,] -0.61074561 5.94281481 [43,] 4.64919309 -0.61074561 [44,] 2.42763489 4.64919309 [45,] -9.41643572 2.42763489 [46,] 9.68336418 -9.41643572 [47,] 6.47111077 9.68336418 [48,] 2.43842502 6.47111077 [49,] 8.94903195 2.43842502 [50,] -3.16829007 8.94903195 [51,] -6.65269116 -3.16829007 [52,] -4.30284874 -6.65269116 [53,] 3.23932754 -4.30284874 [54,] -3.85224289 3.23932754 [55,] -4.32074263 -3.85224289 [56,] 8.42082514 -4.32074263 [57,] -6.14018617 8.42082514 [58,] -2.67725215 -6.14018617 [59,] 0.03290824 -2.67725215 [60,] -1.85101993 0.03290824 [61,] -9.59112248 -1.85101993 [62,] 9.78074605 -9.59112248 [63,] 1.05381719 9.78074605 [64,] 1.14456980 1.05381719 [65,] -3.86939943 1.14456980 [66,] -4.35607207 -3.86939943 [67,] 4.34850915 -4.35607207 [68,] 0.66057417 4.34850915 [69,] -0.66675383 0.66057417 [70,] 4.93284332 -0.66675383 [71,] 5.32707182 4.93284332 [72,] 3.98072627 5.32707182 [73,] 1.48897146 3.98072627 [74,] 4.12278092 1.48897146 [75,] -0.95801757 4.12278092 [76,] -7.21993447 -0.95801757 [77,] -6.65909683 -7.21993447 [78,] 4.40086466 -6.65909683 [79,] 5.02636032 4.40086466 [80,] 0.55158497 5.02636032 [81,] -1.98300273 0.55158497 [82,] 1.68244046 -1.98300273 [83,] 2.66795137 1.68244046 [84,] -9.55741970 2.66795137 [85,] 4.04186543 -9.55741970 [86,] 2.11857675 4.04186543 [87,] -5.65665953 2.11857675 [88,] 6.93419908 -5.65665953 [89,] 3.10964704 6.93419908 [90,] 4.35627652 3.10964704 [91,] 1.09595221 4.35627652 [92,] 2.33697900 1.09595221 [93,] 0.80408507 2.33697900 [94,] -2.15690162 0.80408507 [95,] -2.57748492 -2.15690162 [96,] -6.02930327 -2.57748492 [97,] -5.50298982 -6.02930327 [98,] 11.41349770 -5.50298982 [99,] -11.31059069 11.41349770 [100,] 5.43290073 -11.31059069 [101,] -1.40521386 5.43290073 [102,] 0.36165497 -1.40521386 [103,] 4.92644293 0.36165497 [104,] -4.51444028 4.92644293 [105,] -1.89274655 -4.51444028 [106,] -0.85033552 -1.89274655 [107,] -2.40410246 -0.85033552 [108,] -6.15947246 -2.40410246 [109,] 5.21407531 -6.15947246 [110,] -3.17558462 5.21407531 [111,] 5.20411754 -3.17558462 [112,] -8.88321712 5.20411754 [113,] 3.25120375 -8.88321712 [114,] -3.28878598 3.25120375 [115,] 10.94243625 -3.28878598 [116,] -7.56489657 10.94243625 [117,] -9.90639592 -7.56489657 [118,] -8.23237222 -9.90639592 [119,] -3.50790417 -8.23237222 [120,] -1.67472889 -3.50790417 [121,] 7.17909329 -1.67472889 [122,] 5.74875103 7.17909329 [123,] 2.32011712 5.74875103 [124,] -3.97768189 2.32011712 [125,] 3.34726902 -3.97768189 [126,] 7.23221394 3.34726902 [127,] 10.63481789 7.23221394 [128,] 1.58166151 10.63481789 [129,] 4.91315736 1.58166151 [130,] -1.70487575 4.91315736 [131,] -0.10724600 -1.70487575 [132,] 4.00571963 -0.10724600 [133,] -5.71271295 4.00571963 [134,] -5.65635195 -5.71271295 [135,] 4.08050665 -5.65635195 [136,] -6.07983444 4.08050665 [137,] 5.26304637 -6.07983444 [138,] 2.59943466 5.26304637 [139,] 5.99736875 2.59943466 [140,] -5.87371115 5.99736875 [141,] -9.61994419 -5.87371115 [142,] -0.51440973 -9.61994419 [143,] -2.01722062 -0.51440973 [144,] 3.56709958 -2.01722062 [145,] 13.42191144 3.56709958 [146,] -0.66821042 13.42191144 [147,] 0.20927428 -0.66821042 [148,] -8.11506538 0.20927428 [149,] -9.69310980 -8.11506538 [150,] -8.14794023 -9.69310980 [151,] -8.19688053 -8.14794023 [152,] -8.11506538 -8.19688053 [153,] -8.11506538 -8.11506538 [154,] -1.04180650 -8.11506538 [155,] 2.88642464 -1.04180650 [156,] -8.11506538 2.88642464 [157,] -8.23484137 -8.11506538 [158,] -8.80450053 -8.23484137 [159,] -6.95458692 -8.80450053 [160,] -8.59754955 -6.95458692 [161,] 8.05872504 -8.59754955 [162,] -8.22876329 8.05872504 [163,] -2.80712418 -8.22876329 > z <- as.data.frame(dum1) > z lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror 1 1.61096283 -0.25934473 2 3.68870594 1.61096283 3 0.13043673 3.68870594 4 -1.36374172 0.13043673 5 1.61422616 -1.36374172 6 -15.26159594 1.61422616 7 5.91386017 -15.26159594 8 -2.48803780 5.91386017 9 -0.08958614 -2.48803780 10 6.63783985 -0.08958614 11 14.75443266 6.63783985 12 4.04084014 14.75443266 13 10.61740805 4.04084014 14 8.08302692 10.61740805 15 3.22325406 8.08302692 16 -3.49439265 3.22325406 17 -6.04544784 -3.49439265 18 -2.57698814 -6.04544784 19 5.69885484 -2.57698814 20 1.80519443 5.69885484 21 -5.08828528 1.80519443 22 -1.76977438 -5.08828528 23 9.62214706 -1.76977438 24 5.09885441 9.62214706 25 0.71417521 5.09885441 26 -3.68448123 0.71417521 27 3.69965062 -3.68448123 28 3.55626476 3.69965062 29 5.57703599 3.55626476 30 2.30703769 5.57703599 31 12.05530636 2.30703769 32 3.25726316 12.05530636 33 4.87343039 3.25726316 34 -3.37323171 4.87343039 35 3.06454586 -3.37323171 36 -0.69811445 3.06454586 37 0.19038408 -0.69811445 38 -7.62239439 0.19038408 39 -4.24341828 -7.62239439 40 -2.14428960 -4.24341828 41 5.94281481 -2.14428960 42 -0.61074561 5.94281481 43 4.64919309 -0.61074561 44 2.42763489 4.64919309 45 -9.41643572 2.42763489 46 9.68336418 -9.41643572 47 6.47111077 9.68336418 48 2.43842502 6.47111077 49 8.94903195 2.43842502 50 -3.16829007 8.94903195 51 -6.65269116 -3.16829007 52 -4.30284874 -6.65269116 53 3.23932754 -4.30284874 54 -3.85224289 3.23932754 55 -4.32074263 -3.85224289 56 8.42082514 -4.32074263 57 -6.14018617 8.42082514 58 -2.67725215 -6.14018617 59 0.03290824 -2.67725215 60 -1.85101993 0.03290824 61 -9.59112248 -1.85101993 62 9.78074605 -9.59112248 63 1.05381719 9.78074605 64 1.14456980 1.05381719 65 -3.86939943 1.14456980 66 -4.35607207 -3.86939943 67 4.34850915 -4.35607207 68 0.66057417 4.34850915 69 -0.66675383 0.66057417 70 4.93284332 -0.66675383 71 5.32707182 4.93284332 72 3.98072627 5.32707182 73 1.48897146 3.98072627 74 4.12278092 1.48897146 75 -0.95801757 4.12278092 76 -7.21993447 -0.95801757 77 -6.65909683 -7.21993447 78 4.40086466 -6.65909683 79 5.02636032 4.40086466 80 0.55158497 5.02636032 81 -1.98300273 0.55158497 82 1.68244046 -1.98300273 83 2.66795137 1.68244046 84 -9.55741970 2.66795137 85 4.04186543 -9.55741970 86 2.11857675 4.04186543 87 -5.65665953 2.11857675 88 6.93419908 -5.65665953 89 3.10964704 6.93419908 90 4.35627652 3.10964704 91 1.09595221 4.35627652 92 2.33697900 1.09595221 93 0.80408507 2.33697900 94 -2.15690162 0.80408507 95 -2.57748492 -2.15690162 96 -6.02930327 -2.57748492 97 -5.50298982 -6.02930327 98 11.41349770 -5.50298982 99 -11.31059069 11.41349770 100 5.43290073 -11.31059069 101 -1.40521386 5.43290073 102 0.36165497 -1.40521386 103 4.92644293 0.36165497 104 -4.51444028 4.92644293 105 -1.89274655 -4.51444028 106 -0.85033552 -1.89274655 107 -2.40410246 -0.85033552 108 -6.15947246 -2.40410246 109 5.21407531 -6.15947246 110 -3.17558462 5.21407531 111 5.20411754 -3.17558462 112 -8.88321712 5.20411754 113 3.25120375 -8.88321712 114 -3.28878598 3.25120375 115 10.94243625 -3.28878598 116 -7.56489657 10.94243625 117 -9.90639592 -7.56489657 118 -8.23237222 -9.90639592 119 -3.50790417 -8.23237222 120 -1.67472889 -3.50790417 121 7.17909329 -1.67472889 122 5.74875103 7.17909329 123 2.32011712 5.74875103 124 -3.97768189 2.32011712 125 3.34726902 -3.97768189 126 7.23221394 3.34726902 127 10.63481789 7.23221394 128 1.58166151 10.63481789 129 4.91315736 1.58166151 130 -1.70487575 4.91315736 131 -0.10724600 -1.70487575 132 4.00571963 -0.10724600 133 -5.71271295 4.00571963 134 -5.65635195 -5.71271295 135 4.08050665 -5.65635195 136 -6.07983444 4.08050665 137 5.26304637 -6.07983444 138 2.59943466 5.26304637 139 5.99736875 2.59943466 140 -5.87371115 5.99736875 141 -9.61994419 -5.87371115 142 -0.51440973 -9.61994419 143 -2.01722062 -0.51440973 144 3.56709958 -2.01722062 145 13.42191144 3.56709958 146 -0.66821042 13.42191144 147 0.20927428 -0.66821042 148 -8.11506538 0.20927428 149 -9.69310980 -8.11506538 150 -8.14794023 -9.69310980 151 -8.19688053 -8.14794023 152 -8.11506538 -8.19688053 153 -8.11506538 -8.11506538 154 -1.04180650 -8.11506538 155 2.88642464 -1.04180650 156 -8.11506538 2.88642464 157 -8.23484137 -8.11506538 158 -8.80450053 -8.23484137 159 -6.95458692 -8.80450053 160 -8.59754955 -6.95458692 161 8.05872504 -8.59754955 162 -8.22876329 8.05872504 163 -2.80712418 -8.22876329 > plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals') > lines(lowess(z)) > abline(lm(z)) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/7vh7e1321904390.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/8ws671321904390.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/9t1nv1321904390.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0)) > plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics') > par(opar) > dev.off() null device 1 > if (n > n25) { + postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/10tgcl1321904390.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) + plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint') + grid() + dev.off() + } null device 1 > > #Note: the /var/wessaorg/rcomp/createtable file can be downloaded at http://www.wessa.net/cretab > load(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/createtable") > > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > myeq <- colnames(x)[1] > myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='') > for (i in 1:k){ + if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '') + myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ') + if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') { + myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='') + if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='') + } + } > myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]') > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, myeq) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/11af8l1321904390.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > for (i in 1:k){ + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1]) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6)) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/1203ro1321904390.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared)) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3])) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror)) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/13wqwe1321904390.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation
Forecast', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals
Prediction Error', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > for (i in 1:n) { + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,x[i]) + a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i]) + a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i]) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/14j6se1321904390.tab") > if (n > n25) { + a<-table.start() + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1]) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2]) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3]) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } + a<-table.end(a) + table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/15n0tj1321904390.tab") + a<-table.start() + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.end(a) + table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/16s0qm1321904390.tab") + } > > try(system("convert tmp/1a0ug1321904390.ps tmp/1a0ug1321904390.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/22stg1321904390.ps tmp/22stg1321904390.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/3rt3n1321904390.ps tmp/3rt3n1321904390.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/4aku51321904390.ps tmp/4aku51321904390.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/5ntz71321904390.ps tmp/5ntz71321904390.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/6isad1321904390.ps tmp/6isad1321904390.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/7vh7e1321904390.ps tmp/7vh7e1321904390.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/8ws671321904390.ps tmp/8ws671321904390.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/9t1nv1321904390.ps tmp/9t1nv1321904390.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/10tgcl1321904390.ps tmp/10tgcl1321904390.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > > > proc.time() user system elapsed 4.843 0.539 5.415