R version 2.13.0 (2011-04-13) Copyright (C) 2011 The R Foundation for Statistical Computing ISBN 3-900051-07-0 Platform: i486-pc-linux-gnu (32-bit) R is free software and comes with ABSOLUTELY NO WARRANTY. You are welcome to redistribute it under certain conditions. Type 'license()' or 'licence()' for distribution details. R is a collaborative project with many contributors. Type 'contributors()' for more information and 'citation()' on how to cite R or R packages in publications. Type 'demo()' for some demos, 'help()' for on-line help, or 'help.start()' for an HTML browser interface to help. Type 'q()' to quit R. > x <- array(list(13 + ,13 + ,14 + ,13 + ,3 + ,12 + ,12 + ,8 + ,13 + ,5 + ,15 + ,10 + ,12 + ,16 + ,6 + ,12 + ,9 + ,7 + ,12 + ,6 + ,10 + ,10 + ,10 + ,11 + ,5 + ,12 + ,12 + ,7 + ,12 + ,3 + ,15 + ,13 + ,16 + ,18 + ,8 + ,9 + ,12 + ,11 + ,11 + ,4 + ,12 + ,12 + ,14 + ,14 + ,4 + ,11 + ,6 + ,6 + ,9 + ,4 + ,11 + ,5 + ,16 + ,14 + ,6 + ,11 + ,12 + ,11 + ,12 + ,6 + ,15 + ,11 + ,16 + ,11 + ,5 + ,7 + ,14 + ,12 + ,12 + ,4 + ,11 + ,14 + ,7 + ,13 + ,6 + ,11 + ,12 + ,13 + ,11 + ,4 + ,10 + ,12 + ,11 + ,12 + ,6 + ,14 + ,11 + ,15 + ,16 + ,6 + ,10 + ,11 + ,7 + ,9 + ,4 + ,6 + ,7 + ,9 + ,11 + ,4 + ,11 + ,9 + ,7 + ,13 + ,2 + ,15 + ,11 + ,14 + ,15 + ,7 + ,11 + ,11 + ,15 + ,10 + ,5 + ,12 + ,12 + ,7 + ,11 + ,4 + ,14 + ,12 + ,15 + ,13 + ,6 + ,15 + ,11 + ,17 + ,16 + ,6 + ,9 + ,11 + ,15 + ,15 + ,7 + ,13 + ,8 + ,14 + ,14 + ,5 + ,13 + ,9 + ,14 + ,14 + ,6 + ,16 + ,12 + ,8 + ,14 + ,4 + ,13 + ,10 + ,8 + ,8 + ,4 + ,12 + ,10 + ,14 + ,13 + ,7 + ,14 + ,12 + ,14 + ,15 + ,7 + ,11 + ,8 + ,8 + ,13 + ,4 + ,9 + ,12 + ,11 + ,11 + ,4 + ,16 + ,11 + ,16 + ,15 + ,6 + ,12 + ,12 + ,10 + ,15 + ,6 + ,10 + ,7 + ,8 + ,9 + ,5 + ,13 + ,11 + ,14 + ,13 + ,6 + ,16 + ,11 + ,16 + ,16 + ,7 + ,14 + ,12 + ,13 + ,13 + ,6 + ,15 + ,9 + ,5 + ,11 + ,3 + ,5 + ,15 + ,8 + ,12 + ,3 + ,8 + ,11 + ,10 + ,12 + ,4 + ,11 + ,11 + ,8 + ,12 + ,6 + ,16 + ,11 + ,13 + ,14 + ,7 + ,17 + ,11 + ,15 + ,14 + ,5 + ,9 + ,15 + ,6 + ,8 + ,4 + ,9 + ,11 + ,12 + ,13 + ,5 + ,13 + ,12 + ,16 + ,16 + ,6 + ,10 + ,12 + ,5 + ,13 + ,6 + ,6 + ,9 + ,15 + ,11 + ,6 + ,12 + ,12 + ,12 + ,14 + ,5 + ,8 + ,12 + ,8 + ,13 + ,4 + ,14 + ,13 + ,13 + ,13 + ,5 + ,12 + ,11 + ,14 + ,13 + ,5 + ,11 + ,9 + ,12 + ,12 + ,4 + ,16 + ,9 + ,16 + ,16 + ,6 + ,8 + ,11 + ,10 + ,15 + ,2 + ,15 + ,11 + ,15 + ,15 + ,8 + ,7 + ,12 + ,8 + ,12 + ,3 + ,16 + ,12 + ,16 + ,14 + ,6 + ,14 + ,9 + ,19 + ,12 + ,6 + ,16 + ,11 + ,14 + ,15 + ,6 + ,9 + ,9 + ,6 + ,12 + ,5 + ,14 + ,12 + ,13 + ,13 + ,5 + ,11 + ,12 + ,15 + ,12 + ,6 + ,13 + ,12 + ,7 + ,12 + ,5 + ,15 + ,12 + ,13 + ,13 + ,6 + ,5 + ,14 + ,4 + ,5 + ,2 + ,15 + ,11 + ,14 + ,13 + ,5 + ,13 + ,12 + ,13 + ,13 + ,5 + ,11 + ,11 + ,11 + ,14 + ,5 + ,11 + ,6 + ,14 + ,17 + ,6 + ,12 + ,10 + ,12 + ,13 + ,6 + ,12 + ,12 + ,15 + ,13 + ,6 + ,12 + ,13 + ,14 + ,12 + ,5 + ,12 + ,8 + ,13 + ,13 + ,5 + ,14 + ,12 + ,8 + ,14 + ,4 + ,6 + ,12 + ,6 + ,11 + ,2 + ,7 + ,12 + ,7 + ,12 + ,4 + ,14 + ,6 + ,13 + ,12 + ,6 + ,14 + ,11 + ,13 + ,16 + ,6 + ,10 + ,10 + ,11 + ,12 + ,5 + ,13 + ,12 + ,5 + ,12 + ,3 + ,12 + ,13 + ,12 + ,12 + ,6 + ,9 + ,11 + ,8 + ,10 + ,4 + ,12 + ,7 + ,11 + ,15 + ,5 + ,16 + ,11 + ,14 + ,15 + ,8 + ,10 + ,11 + ,9 + ,12 + ,4 + ,14 + ,11 + ,10 + ,16 + ,6 + ,10 + ,11 + ,13 + ,15 + ,6 + ,16 + ,12 + ,16 + ,16 + ,7 + ,15 + ,10 + ,16 + ,13 + ,6 + ,12 + ,11 + ,11 + ,12 + ,5 + ,10 + ,12 + ,8 + ,11 + ,4 + ,8 + ,7 + ,4 + ,13 + ,6 + ,8 + ,13 + ,7 + ,10 + ,3 + ,11 + ,8 + ,14 + ,15 + ,5 + ,13 + ,12 + ,11 + ,13 + ,6 + ,16 + ,11 + ,17 + ,16 + ,7 + ,16 + ,12 + ,15 + ,15 + ,7 + ,14 + ,14 + ,17 + ,18 + ,6 + ,11 + ,10 + ,5 + ,13 + ,3 + ,4 + ,10 + ,4 + ,10 + ,2 + ,14 + ,13 + ,10 + ,16 + ,8 + ,9 + ,10 + ,11 + ,13 + ,3 + ,14 + ,11 + ,15 + ,15 + ,8 + ,8 + ,10 + ,10 + ,14 + ,3 + ,8 + ,7 + ,9 + ,15 + ,4 + ,11 + ,10 + ,12 + ,14 + ,5 + ,12 + ,8 + ,15 + ,13 + ,7 + ,11 + ,12 + ,7 + ,13 + ,6 + ,14 + ,12 + ,13 + ,15 + ,6 + ,15 + ,12 + ,12 + ,16 + ,7 + ,16 + ,11 + ,14 + ,14 + ,6 + ,16 + ,12 + ,14 + ,14 + ,6 + ,11 + ,12 + ,8 + ,16 + ,6 + ,14 + ,12 + ,15 + ,14 + ,6 + ,14 + ,11 + ,12 + ,12 + ,4 + ,12 + ,12 + ,12 + ,13 + ,4 + ,14 + ,11 + ,16 + ,12 + ,5 + ,8 + ,11 + ,9 + ,12 + ,4 + ,13 + ,13 + ,15 + ,14 + ,6 + ,16 + ,12 + ,15 + ,14 + ,6 + ,12 + ,12 + ,6 + ,14 + ,5 + ,16 + ,12 + ,14 + ,16 + ,8 + ,12 + ,12 + ,15 + ,13 + ,6 + ,11 + ,8 + ,10 + ,14 + ,5 + ,4 + ,8 + ,6 + ,4 + ,4 + ,16 + ,12 + ,14 + ,16 + ,8 + ,15 + ,11 + ,12 + ,13 + ,6 + ,10 + ,12 + ,8 + ,16 + ,4 + ,13 + ,13 + ,11 + ,15 + ,6 + ,15 + ,12 + ,13 + ,14 + ,6 + ,12 + ,12 + ,9 + ,13 + ,4 + ,14 + ,11 + ,15 + ,14 + ,6 + ,7 + ,12 + ,13 + ,12 + ,3 + ,19 + ,12 + ,15 + ,15 + ,6 + ,12 + ,10 + ,14 + ,14 + ,5 + ,12 + ,11 + ,16 + ,13 + ,4 + ,13 + ,12 + ,14 + ,14 + ,6 + ,15 + ,12 + ,14 + ,16 + ,4 + ,8 + ,10 + ,10 + ,6 + ,4 + ,12 + ,12 + ,10 + ,13 + ,4 + ,10 + ,13 + ,4 + ,13 + ,6 + ,8 + ,12 + ,8 + ,14 + ,5 + ,10 + ,15 + ,15 + ,15 + ,6 + ,15 + ,11 + ,16 + ,14 + ,6 + ,16 + ,12 + ,12 + ,15 + ,8 + ,13 + ,11 + ,12 + ,13 + ,7 + ,16 + ,12 + ,15 + ,16 + ,7 + ,9 + ,11 + ,9 + ,12 + ,4 + ,14 + ,10 + ,12 + ,15 + ,6 + ,14 + ,11 + ,14 + ,12 + ,6 + ,12 + ,11 + ,11 + ,14 + ,2) + ,dim=c(5 + ,156) + ,dimnames=list(c('Popularity' + ,'FindingFriends' + ,'KnowingPeople' + ,'Liked' + ,'Celebrity') + ,1:156)) > y <- array(NA,dim=c(5,156),dimnames=list(c('Popularity','FindingFriends','KnowingPeople','Liked','Celebrity'),1:156)) > for (i in 1:dim(x)[1]) + { + for (j in 1:dim(x)[2]) + { + y[i,j] <- as.numeric(x[i,j]) + } + } > par3 = 'Linear Trend' > par2 = 'Do not include Seasonal Dummies' > par1 = '1' > library(lattice) > library(lmtest) Loading required package: zoo > n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test > par1 <- as.numeric(par1) > x <- t(y) > k <- length(x[1,]) > n <- length(x[,1]) > x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1]) > mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1]) > colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1] > x <- x1 > if (par3 == 'First Differences'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep=''))) + for (i in 1:n-1) { + for (j in 1:k) { + x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j] + } + } + x <- x2 + } > if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep =''))) + for (i in 1:11){ + x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1 + } + x <- cbind(x, x2) + } > if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep =''))) + for (i in 1:3){ + x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1 + } + x <- cbind(x, x2) + } > k <- length(x[1,]) > if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){ + x <- cbind(x, c(1:n)) + colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't' + } > x Popularity FindingFriends KnowingPeople Liked Celebrity t 1 13 13 14 13 3 1 2 12 12 8 13 5 2 3 15 10 12 16 6 3 4 12 9 7 12 6 4 5 10 10 10 11 5 5 6 12 12 7 12 3 6 7 15 13 16 18 8 7 8 9 12 11 11 4 8 9 12 12 14 14 4 9 10 11 6 6 9 4 10 11 11 5 16 14 6 11 12 11 12 11 12 6 12 13 15 11 16 11 5 13 14 7 14 12 12 4 14 15 11 14 7 13 6 15 16 11 12 13 11 4 16 17 10 12 11 12 6 17 18 14 11 15 16 6 18 19 10 11 7 9 4 19 20 6 7 9 11 4 20 21 11 9 7 13 2 21 22 15 11 14 15 7 22 23 11 11 15 10 5 23 24 12 12 7 11 4 24 25 14 12 15 13 6 25 26 15 11 17 16 6 26 27 9 11 15 15 7 27 28 13 8 14 14 5 28 29 13 9 14 14 6 29 30 16 12 8 14 4 30 31 13 10 8 8 4 31 32 12 10 14 13 7 32 33 14 12 14 15 7 33 34 11 8 8 13 4 34 35 9 12 11 11 4 35 36 16 11 16 15 6 36 37 12 12 10 15 6 37 38 10 7 8 9 5 38 39 13 11 14 13 6 39 40 16 11 16 16 7 40 41 14 12 13 13 6 41 42 15 9 5 11 3 42 43 5 15 8 12 3 43 44 8 11 10 12 4 44 45 11 11 8 12 6 45 46 16 11 13 14 7 46 47 17 11 15 14 5 47 48 9 15 6 8 4 48 49 9 11 12 13 5 49 50 13 12 16 16 6 50 51 10 12 5 13 6 51 52 6 9 15 11 6 52 53 12 12 12 14 5 53 54 8 12 8 13 4 54 55 14 13 13 13 5 55 56 12 11 14 13 5 56 57 11 9 12 12 4 57 58 16 9 16 16 6 58 59 8 11 10 15 2 59 60 15 11 15 15 8 60 61 7 12 8 12 3 61 62 16 12 16 14 6 62 63 14 9 19 12 6 63 64 16 11 14 15 6 64 65 9 9 6 12 5 65 66 14 12 13 13 5 66 67 11 12 15 12 6 67 68 13 12 7 12 5 68 69 15 12 13 13 6 69 70 5 14 4 5 2 70 71 15 11 14 13 5 71 72 13 12 13 13 5 72 73 11 11 11 14 5 73 74 11 6 14 17 6 74 75 12 10 12 13 6 75 76 12 12 15 13 6 76 77 12 13 14 12 5 77 78 12 8 13 13 5 78 79 14 12 8 14 4 79 80 6 12 6 11 2 80 81 7 12 7 12 4 81 82 14 6 13 12 6 82 83 14 11 13 16 6 83 84 10 10 11 12 5 84 85 13 12 5 12 3 85 86 12 13 12 12 6 86 87 9 11 8 10 4 87 88 12 7 11 15 5 88 89 16 11 14 15 8 89 90 10 11 9 12 4 90 91 14 11 10 16 6 91 92 10 11 13 15 6 92 93 16 12 16 16 7 93 94 15 10 16 13 6 94 95 12 11 11 12 5 95 96 10 12 8 11 4 96 97 8 7 4 13 6 97 98 8 13 7 10 3 98 99 11 8 14 15 5 99 100 13 12 11 13 6 100 101 16 11 17 16 7 101 102 16 12 15 15 7 102 103 14 14 17 18 6 103 104 11 10 5 13 3 104 105 4 10 4 10 2 105 106 14 13 10 16 8 106 107 9 10 11 13 3 107 108 14 11 15 15 8 108 109 8 10 10 14 3 109 110 8 7 9 15 4 110 111 11 10 12 14 5 111 112 12 8 15 13 7 112 113 11 12 7 13 6 113 114 14 12 13 15 6 114 115 15 12 12 16 7 115 116 16 11 14 14 6 116 117 16 12 14 14 6 117 118 11 12 8 16 6 118 119 14 12 15 14 6 119 120 14 11 12 12 4 120 121 12 12 12 13 4 121 122 14 11 16 12 5 122 123 8 11 9 12 4 123 124 13 13 15 14 6 124 125 16 12 15 14 6 125 126 12 12 6 14 5 126 127 16 12 14 16 8 127 128 12 12 15 13 6 128 129 11 8 10 14 5 129 130 4 8 6 4 4 130 131 16 12 14 16 8 131 132 15 11 12 13 6 132 133 10 12 8 16 4 133 134 13 13 11 15 6 134 135 15 12 13 14 6 135 136 12 12 9 13 4 136 137 14 11 15 14 6 137 138 7 12 13 12 3 138 139 19 12 15 15 6 139 140 12 10 14 14 5 140 141 12 11 16 13 4 141 142 13 12 14 14 6 142 143 15 12 14 16 4 143 144 8 10 10 6 4 144 145 12 12 10 13 4 145 146 10 13 4 13 6 146 147 8 12 8 14 5 147 148 10 15 15 15 6 148 149 15 11 16 14 6 149 150 16 12 12 15 8 150 151 13 11 12 13 7 151 152 16 12 15 16 7 152 153 9 11 9 12 4 153 154 14 10 12 15 6 154 155 14 11 14 12 6 155 156 12 11 11 14 2 156 > k <- length(x[1,]) > df <- as.data.frame(x) > (mylm <- lm(df)) Call: lm(formula = df) Coefficients: (Intercept) FindingFriends KnowingPeople Liked Celebrity 0.3119003 0.0962539 0.2433703 0.3513806 0.6275918 t -0.0007291 > (mysum <- summary(mylm)) Call: lm(formula = df) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -6.4216 -1.2647 -0.0451 1.3080 6.8876 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|) (Intercept) 0.3119003 1.4303540 0.218 0.827680 FindingFriends 0.0962539 0.0966808 0.996 0.321055 KnowingPeople 0.2433703 0.0616159 3.950 0.000120 *** Liked 0.3513806 0.0976571 3.598 0.000435 *** Celebrity 0.6275918 0.1565552 4.009 9.59e-05 *** t -0.0007291 0.0038239 -0.191 0.849050 --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 2.112 on 150 degrees of freedom Multiple R-squared: 0.4993, Adjusted R-squared: 0.4826 F-statistic: 29.92 on 5 and 150 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16 > if (n > n25) { + kp3 <- k + 3 + nmkm3 <- n - k - 3 + gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3)) + numgqtests <- 0 + numsignificant1 <- 0 + numsignificant5 <- 0 + numsignificant10 <- 0 + for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { + j <- 0 + numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1 + for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) { + j <- j + 1 + gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value + } + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1 + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1 + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1 + } + gqarr + } [,1] [,2] [,3] [1,] 0.02712890 0.054257795 0.972871103 [2,] 0.02373202 0.047464032 0.976267984 [3,] 0.05007465 0.100149297 0.949925352 [4,] 0.03368950 0.067379004 0.966310498 [5,] 0.43771699 0.875433987 0.562283006 [6,] 0.63165630 0.736687391 0.368343695 [7,] 0.56440647 0.871187063 0.435593531 [8,] 0.48985390 0.979707793 0.510146103 [9,] 0.40717496 0.814349923 0.592825039 [10,] 0.37522833 0.750456656 0.624771672 [11,] 0.32342430 0.646848596 0.676575702 [12,] 0.45075502 0.901510041 0.549244980 [13,] 0.45525023 0.910500468 0.544749766 [14,] 0.49806702 0.996134032 0.501932984 [15,] 0.43637159 0.872743172 0.563628414 [16,] 0.45456912 0.909138249 0.545430875 [17,] 0.43035591 0.860711830 0.569644085 [18,] 0.37613780 0.752275607 0.623862197 [19,] 0.60714157 0.785716852 0.392858426 [20,] 0.55821371 0.883572583 0.441786291 [21,] 0.50187753 0.996244948 0.498122474 [22,] 0.68061498 0.638770043 0.319385022 [23,] 0.78487482 0.430250352 0.215125176 [24,] 0.74753187 0.504936261 0.252468131 [25,] 0.69916224 0.601675527 0.300837764 [26,] 0.66353660 0.672926791 0.336463395 [27,] 0.66965711 0.660685782 0.330342891 [28,] 0.67703101 0.645937978 0.322968989 [29,] 0.64419627 0.711607459 0.355803729 [30,] 0.59444512 0.811109765 0.405554882 [31,] 0.54024752 0.919504961 0.459752481 [32,] 0.51092538 0.978149231 0.489074616 [33,] 0.47027673 0.940553450 0.529723275 [34,] 0.73593253 0.528134945 0.264067472 [35,] 0.94989693 0.100206147 0.050103073 [36,] 0.96186376 0.076272473 0.038136236 [37,] 0.95047942 0.099041160 0.049520580 [38,] 0.95612156 0.087756875 0.043878438 [39,] 0.97800504 0.043989917 0.021994958 [40,] 0.97097785 0.058044296 0.029022148 [41,] 0.97986997 0.040260058 0.020130029 [42,] 0.97688207 0.046235862 0.023117931 [43,] 0.97218875 0.055622505 0.027811252 [44,] 0.99731388 0.005372245 0.002686123 [45,] 0.99614619 0.007707614 0.003853807 [46,] 0.99690986 0.006180285 0.003090143 [47,] 0.99678917 0.006421650 0.003210825 [48,] 0.99547463 0.009050747 0.004525373 [49,] 0.99365576 0.012688474 0.006344237 [50,] 0.99296619 0.014067626 0.007033813 [51,] 0.99459144 0.010817112 0.005408556 [52,] 0.99292801 0.014143978 0.007071989 [53,] 0.99379391 0.012412176 0.006206088 [54,] 0.99447990 0.011040208 0.005520104 [55,] 0.99267493 0.014650142 0.007325071 [56,] 0.99319531 0.013609374 0.006804687 [57,] 0.99136243 0.017275150 0.008637575 [58,] 0.99060636 0.018787280 0.009393640 [59,] 0.99051511 0.018969771 0.009484886 [60,] 0.99201231 0.015975378 0.007987689 [61,] 0.99215928 0.015681448 0.007840724 [62,] 0.98947560 0.021048809 0.010524404 [63,] 0.99114658 0.017706837 0.008853418 [64,] 0.98836318 0.023273639 0.011636819 [65,] 0.98539438 0.029211240 0.014605620 [66,] 0.98942341 0.021153181 0.010576591 [67,] 0.98573332 0.028533370 0.014266685 [68,] 0.98327106 0.033457887 0.016728943 [69,] 0.97799249 0.044015021 0.022007510 [70,] 0.97099139 0.058017221 0.029008610 [71,] 0.98176525 0.036469502 0.018234751 [72,] 0.98088621 0.038227570 0.019113785 [73,] 0.98406489 0.031870213 0.015935106 [74,] 0.98500119 0.029997621 0.014998811 [75,] 0.97991939 0.040161212 0.020080606 [76,] 0.97530172 0.049396562 0.024698281 [77,] 0.99358723 0.012825531 0.006412765 [78,] 0.99113511 0.017729780 0.008864890 [79,] 0.98802045 0.023959102 0.011979551 [80,] 0.98435285 0.031294294 0.015647147 [81,] 0.98059439 0.038811214 0.019405607 [82,] 0.97457129 0.050857413 0.025428706 [83,] 0.97010271 0.059794583 0.029897291 [84,] 0.98175415 0.036491701 0.018245851 [85,] 0.97647392 0.047052154 0.023526077 [86,] 0.97368692 0.052626166 0.026313083 [87,] 0.96749354 0.065012915 0.032506458 [88,] 0.95998409 0.080031813 0.040015907 [89,] 0.95623192 0.087536152 0.043768076 [90,] 0.94465329 0.110693413 0.055346706 [91,] 0.93955143 0.120897138 0.060448569 [92,] 0.92718623 0.145627542 0.072813771 [93,] 0.90965443 0.180691137 0.090345568 [94,] 0.89747766 0.205044677 0.102522339 [95,] 0.89906165 0.201876691 0.100938345 [96,] 0.93484838 0.130303250 0.065151625 [97,] 0.93132464 0.137350728 0.068675364 [98,] 0.91254936 0.174901287 0.087450644 [99,] 0.89302465 0.213950697 0.106975348 [100,] 0.88438535 0.231229300 0.115614650 [101,] 0.88043417 0.239131651 0.119565826 [102,] 0.90222930 0.195541397 0.097770699 [103,] 0.89303345 0.213933096 0.106966548 [104,] 0.92797997 0.144040064 0.072020032 [105,] 0.90683113 0.186337731 0.093168865 [106,] 0.88370752 0.232584958 0.116292479 [107,] 0.85636259 0.287274813 0.143637406 [108,] 0.85198435 0.296031308 0.148015654 [109,] 0.85696807 0.286063856 0.143031928 [110,] 0.85091578 0.298168448 0.149084224 [111,] 0.81656806 0.366863875 0.183431937 [112,] 0.86343118 0.273137637 0.136568819 [113,] 0.83689598 0.326208043 0.163104022 [114,] 0.81521855 0.369562895 0.184781447 [115,] 0.80219768 0.395604636 0.197802318 [116,] 0.76151725 0.476965507 0.238482753 [117,] 0.76393298 0.472134045 0.236067022 [118,] 0.75477710 0.490445794 0.245222897 [119,] 0.70116681 0.597666385 0.298833193 [120,] 0.66431114 0.671377714 0.335688857 [121,] 0.67921767 0.641564654 0.320782327 [122,] 0.68097636 0.638047278 0.319023639 [123,] 0.62943368 0.741132631 0.370566315 [124,] 0.60131796 0.797364075 0.398682037 [125,] 0.58856236 0.822875273 0.411437637 [126,] 0.51398052 0.972038967 0.486019483 [127,] 0.47145629 0.942912587 0.528543706 [128,] 0.46145656 0.922913111 0.538543444 [129,] 0.38624746 0.772494921 0.613752539 [130,] 0.45828876 0.916577513 0.541711244 [131,] 0.81906325 0.361873493 0.180936746 [132,] 0.82590539 0.348189221 0.174094611 [133,] 0.78937858 0.421242839 0.210621419 [134,] 0.71974788 0.560504242 0.280252121 [135,] 0.65744065 0.685118700 0.342559350 [136,] 0.54245115 0.915097697 0.457548849 [137,] 0.62075486 0.758490279 0.379245139 [138,] 0.77298859 0.454022813 0.227011407 [139,] 0.63041316 0.739173681 0.369586840 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/15mcq1321989652.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index') > points(x[,1]-mysum$resid) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/27ix31321989652.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/3han11321989652.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/4if7q1321989652.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals') > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/5pvpq1321989652.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot') > qqline(mysum$resid) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > (myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid)) Time Series: Start = 1 End = 156 Frequency = 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 1.579620436 0.881641388 1.419663367 1.139020262 -0.707642946 2.734492197 7 8 9 10 11 12 -1.797608180 -1.513742019 -0.297265714 2.984852141 -2.363954568 -1.117390120 13 14 15 16 17 18 2.741713906 -4.296626408 -0.685610269 0.005349849 -2.113744852 -0.395765566 19 20 21 22 23 24 1.266773859 -3.536983332 2.310400895 0.574309725 -0.656244643 2.471403958 25 26 27 28 29 30 0.567225820 0.123326303 -5.665415287 0.474010052 -0.249106631 5.178266092 31 32 33 34 35 36 4.479786755 -1.619384570 -0.513924582 0.917578530 -1.494057573 1.725367755 37 38 39 40 41 42 -0.909935408 0.794679345 -0.082943252 0.749311494 1.065631238 6.887621013 43 44 45 46 47 48 -4.770664791 -2.499252549 -0.266966614 2.186557927 3.955730100 0.497651742 49 50 51 52 53 54 -2.961320317 -1.712060028 -0.980115986 -6.421566770 -0.406038635 -2.452855986 55 56 57 58 59 60 1.607175931 -0.442957502 0.215992381 1.582534091 -2.287274975 -0.268948358 61 62 63 64 65 66 -2.468780136 1.999449887 0.261591063 2.232521815 -0.945545349 1.711449417 67 68 69 70 71 72 -2.050773293 2.524509841 2.086044738 -0.593989035 2.567978302 0.715823739 73 74 75 76 77 78 -1.051833387 -2.981679437 -0.473702866 -1.395592447 -0.268774534 0.105213648 79 80 81 82 83 84 3.213989718 -1.989215082 -2.838420623 2.024426452 0.138363477 -1.244798628 85 86 87 88 89 90 4.278827991 -0.403064331 -0.278401413 -0.007262632 0.995564476 -0.222345804 91 92 93 94 95 96 0.874306746 -3.503694404 0.691697437 1.566668032 0.666967064 0.280525537 97 98 99 100 101 102 -2.221939756 -0.591927498 -1.825607779 0.595385960 0.550413482 1.293009835 103 104 105 106 107 108 -1.812059534 2.133807167 -2.940359752 -0.562448922 -1.324227353 -1.233953786 109 110 111 112 113 114 -2.430779602 -2.876891053 -1.171245734 -1.611922770 -0.421655223 0.416090878 115 116 117 118 119 120 0.681217736 2.621813238 2.526288394 -1.715522143 0.284376222 3.069414963 121 122 123 124 125 126 0.622509484 1.469800111 -2.198287036 -0.808232407 2.288750543 1.107403957 127 128 129 130 131 132 0.575633979 -1.357681660 -0.478874415 -2.363266042 0.578550194 2.471599291 133 134 135 136 137 138 -1.449402661 -0.178841387 1.782781639 1.363556128 0.393753083 -3.629494410 139 140 141 142 143 144 4.947576657 -0.636843740 -0.240136668 -0.455485266 2.097666195 -0.221809478 145 146 147 148 149 150 1.126747330 -0.763739511 -3.364026478 -4.334623551 1.159131446 1.430523408 151 152 153 154 155 156 -0.142140530 0.978081879 -1.176415428 0.881131095 1.353007600 1.891453579 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/68nl41321989652.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror) > dum Time Series: Start = 0 End = 156 Frequency = 1 lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror 0 1.579620436 NA 1 0.881641388 1.579620436 2 1.419663367 0.881641388 3 1.139020262 1.419663367 4 -0.707642946 1.139020262 5 2.734492197 -0.707642946 6 -1.797608180 2.734492197 7 -1.513742019 -1.797608180 8 -0.297265714 -1.513742019 9 2.984852141 -0.297265714 10 -2.363954568 2.984852141 11 -1.117390120 -2.363954568 12 2.741713906 -1.117390120 13 -4.296626408 2.741713906 14 -0.685610269 -4.296626408 15 0.005349849 -0.685610269 16 -2.113744852 0.005349849 17 -0.395765566 -2.113744852 18 1.266773859 -0.395765566 19 -3.536983332 1.266773859 20 2.310400895 -3.536983332 21 0.574309725 2.310400895 22 -0.656244643 0.574309725 23 2.471403958 -0.656244643 24 0.567225820 2.471403958 25 0.123326303 0.567225820 26 -5.665415287 0.123326303 27 0.474010052 -5.665415287 28 -0.249106631 0.474010052 29 5.178266092 -0.249106631 30 4.479786755 5.178266092 31 -1.619384570 4.479786755 32 -0.513924582 -1.619384570 33 0.917578530 -0.513924582 34 -1.494057573 0.917578530 35 1.725367755 -1.494057573 36 -0.909935408 1.725367755 37 0.794679345 -0.909935408 38 -0.082943252 0.794679345 39 0.749311494 -0.082943252 40 1.065631238 0.749311494 41 6.887621013 1.065631238 42 -4.770664791 6.887621013 43 -2.499252549 -4.770664791 44 -0.266966614 -2.499252549 45 2.186557927 -0.266966614 46 3.955730100 2.186557927 47 0.497651742 3.955730100 48 -2.961320317 0.497651742 49 -1.712060028 -2.961320317 50 -0.980115986 -1.712060028 51 -6.421566770 -0.980115986 52 -0.406038635 -6.421566770 53 -2.452855986 -0.406038635 54 1.607175931 -2.452855986 55 -0.442957502 1.607175931 56 0.215992381 -0.442957502 57 1.582534091 0.215992381 58 -2.287274975 1.582534091 59 -0.268948358 -2.287274975 60 -2.468780136 -0.268948358 61 1.999449887 -2.468780136 62 0.261591063 1.999449887 63 2.232521815 0.261591063 64 -0.945545349 2.232521815 65 1.711449417 -0.945545349 66 -2.050773293 1.711449417 67 2.524509841 -2.050773293 68 2.086044738 2.524509841 69 -0.593989035 2.086044738 70 2.567978302 -0.593989035 71 0.715823739 2.567978302 72 -1.051833387 0.715823739 73 -2.981679437 -1.051833387 74 -0.473702866 -2.981679437 75 -1.395592447 -0.473702866 76 -0.268774534 -1.395592447 77 0.105213648 -0.268774534 78 3.213989718 0.105213648 79 -1.989215082 3.213989718 80 -2.838420623 -1.989215082 81 2.024426452 -2.838420623 82 0.138363477 2.024426452 83 -1.244798628 0.138363477 84 4.278827991 -1.244798628 85 -0.403064331 4.278827991 86 -0.278401413 -0.403064331 87 -0.007262632 -0.278401413 88 0.995564476 -0.007262632 89 -0.222345804 0.995564476 90 0.874306746 -0.222345804 91 -3.503694404 0.874306746 92 0.691697437 -3.503694404 93 1.566668032 0.691697437 94 0.666967064 1.566668032 95 0.280525537 0.666967064 96 -2.221939756 0.280525537 97 -0.591927498 -2.221939756 98 -1.825607779 -0.591927498 99 0.595385960 -1.825607779 100 0.550413482 0.595385960 101 1.293009835 0.550413482 102 -1.812059534 1.293009835 103 2.133807167 -1.812059534 104 -2.940359752 2.133807167 105 -0.562448922 -2.940359752 106 -1.324227353 -0.562448922 107 -1.233953786 -1.324227353 108 -2.430779602 -1.233953786 109 -2.876891053 -2.430779602 110 -1.171245734 -2.876891053 111 -1.611922770 -1.171245734 112 -0.421655223 -1.611922770 113 0.416090878 -0.421655223 114 0.681217736 0.416090878 115 2.621813238 0.681217736 116 2.526288394 2.621813238 117 -1.715522143 2.526288394 118 0.284376222 -1.715522143 119 3.069414963 0.284376222 120 0.622509484 3.069414963 121 1.469800111 0.622509484 122 -2.198287036 1.469800111 123 -0.808232407 -2.198287036 124 2.288750543 -0.808232407 125 1.107403957 2.288750543 126 0.575633979 1.107403957 127 -1.357681660 0.575633979 128 -0.478874415 -1.357681660 129 -2.363266042 -0.478874415 130 0.578550194 -2.363266042 131 2.471599291 0.578550194 132 -1.449402661 2.471599291 133 -0.178841387 -1.449402661 134 1.782781639 -0.178841387 135 1.363556128 1.782781639 136 0.393753083 1.363556128 137 -3.629494410 0.393753083 138 4.947576657 -3.629494410 139 -0.636843740 4.947576657 140 -0.240136668 -0.636843740 141 -0.455485266 -0.240136668 142 2.097666195 -0.455485266 143 -0.221809478 2.097666195 144 1.126747330 -0.221809478 145 -0.763739511 1.126747330 146 -3.364026478 -0.763739511 147 -4.334623551 -3.364026478 148 1.159131446 -4.334623551 149 1.430523408 1.159131446 150 -0.142140530 1.430523408 151 0.978081879 -0.142140530 152 -1.176415428 0.978081879 153 0.881131095 -1.176415428 154 1.353007600 0.881131095 155 1.891453579 1.353007600 156 NA 1.891453579 > dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),] > dum1 lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror [1,] 0.881641388 1.579620436 [2,] 1.419663367 0.881641388 [3,] 1.139020262 1.419663367 [4,] -0.707642946 1.139020262 [5,] 2.734492197 -0.707642946 [6,] -1.797608180 2.734492197 [7,] -1.513742019 -1.797608180 [8,] -0.297265714 -1.513742019 [9,] 2.984852141 -0.297265714 [10,] -2.363954568 2.984852141 [11,] -1.117390120 -2.363954568 [12,] 2.741713906 -1.117390120 [13,] -4.296626408 2.741713906 [14,] -0.685610269 -4.296626408 [15,] 0.005349849 -0.685610269 [16,] -2.113744852 0.005349849 [17,] -0.395765566 -2.113744852 [18,] 1.266773859 -0.395765566 [19,] -3.536983332 1.266773859 [20,] 2.310400895 -3.536983332 [21,] 0.574309725 2.310400895 [22,] -0.656244643 0.574309725 [23,] 2.471403958 -0.656244643 [24,] 0.567225820 2.471403958 [25,] 0.123326303 0.567225820 [26,] -5.665415287 0.123326303 [27,] 0.474010052 -5.665415287 [28,] -0.249106631 0.474010052 [29,] 5.178266092 -0.249106631 [30,] 4.479786755 5.178266092 [31,] -1.619384570 4.479786755 [32,] -0.513924582 -1.619384570 [33,] 0.917578530 -0.513924582 [34,] -1.494057573 0.917578530 [35,] 1.725367755 -1.494057573 [36,] -0.909935408 1.725367755 [37,] 0.794679345 -0.909935408 [38,] -0.082943252 0.794679345 [39,] 0.749311494 -0.082943252 [40,] 1.065631238 0.749311494 [41,] 6.887621013 1.065631238 [42,] -4.770664791 6.887621013 [43,] -2.499252549 -4.770664791 [44,] -0.266966614 -2.499252549 [45,] 2.186557927 -0.266966614 [46,] 3.955730100 2.186557927 [47,] 0.497651742 3.955730100 [48,] -2.961320317 0.497651742 [49,] -1.712060028 -2.961320317 [50,] -0.980115986 -1.712060028 [51,] -6.421566770 -0.980115986 [52,] -0.406038635 -6.421566770 [53,] -2.452855986 -0.406038635 [54,] 1.607175931 -2.452855986 [55,] -0.442957502 1.607175931 [56,] 0.215992381 -0.442957502 [57,] 1.582534091 0.215992381 [58,] -2.287274975 1.582534091 [59,] -0.268948358 -2.287274975 [60,] -2.468780136 -0.268948358 [61,] 1.999449887 -2.468780136 [62,] 0.261591063 1.999449887 [63,] 2.232521815 0.261591063 [64,] -0.945545349 2.232521815 [65,] 1.711449417 -0.945545349 [66,] -2.050773293 1.711449417 [67,] 2.524509841 -2.050773293 [68,] 2.086044738 2.524509841 [69,] -0.593989035 2.086044738 [70,] 2.567978302 -0.593989035 [71,] 0.715823739 2.567978302 [72,] -1.051833387 0.715823739 [73,] -2.981679437 -1.051833387 [74,] -0.473702866 -2.981679437 [75,] -1.395592447 -0.473702866 [76,] -0.268774534 -1.395592447 [77,] 0.105213648 -0.268774534 [78,] 3.213989718 0.105213648 [79,] -1.989215082 3.213989718 [80,] -2.838420623 -1.989215082 [81,] 2.024426452 -2.838420623 [82,] 0.138363477 2.024426452 [83,] -1.244798628 0.138363477 [84,] 4.278827991 -1.244798628 [85,] -0.403064331 4.278827991 [86,] -0.278401413 -0.403064331 [87,] -0.007262632 -0.278401413 [88,] 0.995564476 -0.007262632 [89,] -0.222345804 0.995564476 [90,] 0.874306746 -0.222345804 [91,] -3.503694404 0.874306746 [92,] 0.691697437 -3.503694404 [93,] 1.566668032 0.691697437 [94,] 0.666967064 1.566668032 [95,] 0.280525537 0.666967064 [96,] -2.221939756 0.280525537 [97,] -0.591927498 -2.221939756 [98,] -1.825607779 -0.591927498 [99,] 0.595385960 -1.825607779 [100,] 0.550413482 0.595385960 [101,] 1.293009835 0.550413482 [102,] -1.812059534 1.293009835 [103,] 2.133807167 -1.812059534 [104,] -2.940359752 2.133807167 [105,] -0.562448922 -2.940359752 [106,] -1.324227353 -0.562448922 [107,] -1.233953786 -1.324227353 [108,] -2.430779602 -1.233953786 [109,] -2.876891053 -2.430779602 [110,] -1.171245734 -2.876891053 [111,] -1.611922770 -1.171245734 [112,] -0.421655223 -1.611922770 [113,] 0.416090878 -0.421655223 [114,] 0.681217736 0.416090878 [115,] 2.621813238 0.681217736 [116,] 2.526288394 2.621813238 [117,] -1.715522143 2.526288394 [118,] 0.284376222 -1.715522143 [119,] 3.069414963 0.284376222 [120,] 0.622509484 3.069414963 [121,] 1.469800111 0.622509484 [122,] -2.198287036 1.469800111 [123,] -0.808232407 -2.198287036 [124,] 2.288750543 -0.808232407 [125,] 1.107403957 2.288750543 [126,] 0.575633979 1.107403957 [127,] -1.357681660 0.575633979 [128,] -0.478874415 -1.357681660 [129,] -2.363266042 -0.478874415 [130,] 0.578550194 -2.363266042 [131,] 2.471599291 0.578550194 [132,] -1.449402661 2.471599291 [133,] -0.178841387 -1.449402661 [134,] 1.782781639 -0.178841387 [135,] 1.363556128 1.782781639 [136,] 0.393753083 1.363556128 [137,] -3.629494410 0.393753083 [138,] 4.947576657 -3.629494410 [139,] -0.636843740 4.947576657 [140,] -0.240136668 -0.636843740 [141,] -0.455485266 -0.240136668 [142,] 2.097666195 -0.455485266 [143,] -0.221809478 2.097666195 [144,] 1.126747330 -0.221809478 [145,] -0.763739511 1.126747330 [146,] -3.364026478 -0.763739511 [147,] -4.334623551 -3.364026478 [148,] 1.159131446 -4.334623551 [149,] 1.430523408 1.159131446 [150,] -0.142140530 1.430523408 [151,] 0.978081879 -0.142140530 [152,] -1.176415428 0.978081879 [153,] 0.881131095 -1.176415428 [154,] 1.353007600 0.881131095 [155,] 1.891453579 1.353007600 > z <- as.data.frame(dum1) > z lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror 1 0.881641388 1.579620436 2 1.419663367 0.881641388 3 1.139020262 1.419663367 4 -0.707642946 1.139020262 5 2.734492197 -0.707642946 6 -1.797608180 2.734492197 7 -1.513742019 -1.797608180 8 -0.297265714 -1.513742019 9 2.984852141 -0.297265714 10 -2.363954568 2.984852141 11 -1.117390120 -2.363954568 12 2.741713906 -1.117390120 13 -4.296626408 2.741713906 14 -0.685610269 -4.296626408 15 0.005349849 -0.685610269 16 -2.113744852 0.005349849 17 -0.395765566 -2.113744852 18 1.266773859 -0.395765566 19 -3.536983332 1.266773859 20 2.310400895 -3.536983332 21 0.574309725 2.310400895 22 -0.656244643 0.574309725 23 2.471403958 -0.656244643 24 0.567225820 2.471403958 25 0.123326303 0.567225820 26 -5.665415287 0.123326303 27 0.474010052 -5.665415287 28 -0.249106631 0.474010052 29 5.178266092 -0.249106631 30 4.479786755 5.178266092 31 -1.619384570 4.479786755 32 -0.513924582 -1.619384570 33 0.917578530 -0.513924582 34 -1.494057573 0.917578530 35 1.725367755 -1.494057573 36 -0.909935408 1.725367755 37 0.794679345 -0.909935408 38 -0.082943252 0.794679345 39 0.749311494 -0.082943252 40 1.065631238 0.749311494 41 6.887621013 1.065631238 42 -4.770664791 6.887621013 43 -2.499252549 -4.770664791 44 -0.266966614 -2.499252549 45 2.186557927 -0.266966614 46 3.955730100 2.186557927 47 0.497651742 3.955730100 48 -2.961320317 0.497651742 49 -1.712060028 -2.961320317 50 -0.980115986 -1.712060028 51 -6.421566770 -0.980115986 52 -0.406038635 -6.421566770 53 -2.452855986 -0.406038635 54 1.607175931 -2.452855986 55 -0.442957502 1.607175931 56 0.215992381 -0.442957502 57 1.582534091 0.215992381 58 -2.287274975 1.582534091 59 -0.268948358 -2.287274975 60 -2.468780136 -0.268948358 61 1.999449887 -2.468780136 62 0.261591063 1.999449887 63 2.232521815 0.261591063 64 -0.945545349 2.232521815 65 1.711449417 -0.945545349 66 -2.050773293 1.711449417 67 2.524509841 -2.050773293 68 2.086044738 2.524509841 69 -0.593989035 2.086044738 70 2.567978302 -0.593989035 71 0.715823739 2.567978302 72 -1.051833387 0.715823739 73 -2.981679437 -1.051833387 74 -0.473702866 -2.981679437 75 -1.395592447 -0.473702866 76 -0.268774534 -1.395592447 77 0.105213648 -0.268774534 78 3.213989718 0.105213648 79 -1.989215082 3.213989718 80 -2.838420623 -1.989215082 81 2.024426452 -2.838420623 82 0.138363477 2.024426452 83 -1.244798628 0.138363477 84 4.278827991 -1.244798628 85 -0.403064331 4.278827991 86 -0.278401413 -0.403064331 87 -0.007262632 -0.278401413 88 0.995564476 -0.007262632 89 -0.222345804 0.995564476 90 0.874306746 -0.222345804 91 -3.503694404 0.874306746 92 0.691697437 -3.503694404 93 1.566668032 0.691697437 94 0.666967064 1.566668032 95 0.280525537 0.666967064 96 -2.221939756 0.280525537 97 -0.591927498 -2.221939756 98 -1.825607779 -0.591927498 99 0.595385960 -1.825607779 100 0.550413482 0.595385960 101 1.293009835 0.550413482 102 -1.812059534 1.293009835 103 2.133807167 -1.812059534 104 -2.940359752 2.133807167 105 -0.562448922 -2.940359752 106 -1.324227353 -0.562448922 107 -1.233953786 -1.324227353 108 -2.430779602 -1.233953786 109 -2.876891053 -2.430779602 110 -1.171245734 -2.876891053 111 -1.611922770 -1.171245734 112 -0.421655223 -1.611922770 113 0.416090878 -0.421655223 114 0.681217736 0.416090878 115 2.621813238 0.681217736 116 2.526288394 2.621813238 117 -1.715522143 2.526288394 118 0.284376222 -1.715522143 119 3.069414963 0.284376222 120 0.622509484 3.069414963 121 1.469800111 0.622509484 122 -2.198287036 1.469800111 123 -0.808232407 -2.198287036 124 2.288750543 -0.808232407 125 1.107403957 2.288750543 126 0.575633979 1.107403957 127 -1.357681660 0.575633979 128 -0.478874415 -1.357681660 129 -2.363266042 -0.478874415 130 0.578550194 -2.363266042 131 2.471599291 0.578550194 132 -1.449402661 2.471599291 133 -0.178841387 -1.449402661 134 1.782781639 -0.178841387 135 1.363556128 1.782781639 136 0.393753083 1.363556128 137 -3.629494410 0.393753083 138 4.947576657 -3.629494410 139 -0.636843740 4.947576657 140 -0.240136668 -0.636843740 141 -0.455485266 -0.240136668 142 2.097666195 -0.455485266 143 -0.221809478 2.097666195 144 1.126747330 -0.221809478 145 -0.763739511 1.126747330 146 -3.364026478 -0.763739511 147 -4.334623551 -3.364026478 148 1.159131446 -4.334623551 149 1.430523408 1.159131446 150 -0.142140530 1.430523408 151 0.978081879 -0.142140530 152 -1.176415428 0.978081879 153 0.881131095 -1.176415428 154 1.353007600 0.881131095 155 1.891453579 1.353007600 > plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals') > lines(lowess(z)) > abline(lm(z)) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/7oq061321989652.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/84al91321989652.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/9xyz41321989652.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0)) > plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics') > par(opar) > dev.off() null device 1 > if (n > n25) { + postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/10hx7y1321989652.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) + plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint') + grid() + dev.off() + } null device 1 > > #Note: the /var/wessaorg/rcomp/createtable file can be downloaded at http://www.wessa.net/cretab > load(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/createtable") > > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > myeq <- colnames(x)[1] > myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='') > for (i in 1:k){ + if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '') + myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ') + if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') { + myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='') + if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='') + } + } > myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]') > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, myeq) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/118v0q1321989652.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > for (i in 1:k){ + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1]) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6)) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/12a8gz1321989652.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared)) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3])) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror)) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/1336qc1321989652.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation
Forecast', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals
Prediction Error', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > for (i in 1:n) { + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,x[i]) + a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i]) + a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i]) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/14ubgi1321989652.tab") > if (n > n25) { + a<-table.start() + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1]) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2]) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3]) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } + a<-table.end(a) + table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/152hp61321989652.tab") + a<-table.start() + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.end(a) + table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/16rbgp1321989652.tab") + } > > try(system("convert tmp/15mcq1321989652.ps tmp/15mcq1321989652.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/27ix31321989652.ps tmp/27ix31321989652.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/3han11321989652.ps tmp/3han11321989652.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/4if7q1321989652.ps tmp/4if7q1321989652.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/5pvpq1321989652.ps tmp/5pvpq1321989652.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/68nl41321989652.ps tmp/68nl41321989652.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/7oq061321989652.ps tmp/7oq061321989652.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/84al91321989652.ps tmp/84al91321989652.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/9xyz41321989652.ps tmp/9xyz41321989652.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/10hx7y1321989652.ps tmp/10hx7y1321989652.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > > > proc.time() user system elapsed 5.002 0.493 5.604