R version 2.15.2 (2012-10-26) -- "Trick or Treat" Copyright (C) 2012 The R Foundation for Statistical Computing ISBN 3-900051-07-0 Platform: i686-pc-linux-gnu (32-bit) R is free software and comes with ABSOLUTELY NO WARRANTY. You are welcome to redistribute it under certain conditions. Type 'license()' or 'licence()' for distribution details. R is a collaborative project with many contributors. Type 'contributors()' for more information and 'citation()' on how to cite R or R packages in publications. Type 'demo()' for some demos, 'help()' for on-line help, or 'help.start()' for an HTML browser interface to help. Type 'q()' to quit R. > x <- array(list(1 + ,9 + ,5 + ,-1 + ,6 + ,24 + ,2 + ,11 + ,5 + ,-4 + ,6 + ,29 + ,3 + ,13 + ,9 + ,-6 + ,8 + ,29 + ,4 + ,12 + ,10 + ,-9 + ,4 + ,25 + ,5 + ,13 + ,14 + ,-13 + ,8 + ,16 + ,6 + ,15 + ,19 + ,-13 + ,10 + ,18 + ,7 + ,13 + ,18 + ,-10 + ,9 + ,13 + ,8 + ,16 + ,16 + ,-12 + ,12 + ,22 + ,9 + ,10 + ,8 + ,-9 + ,9 + ,15 + ,10 + ,14 + ,10 + ,-15 + ,11 + ,20 + ,11 + ,14 + ,12 + ,-14 + ,11 + ,19 + ,12 + ,15 + ,13 + ,-18 + ,11 + ,18 + ,1 + ,13 + ,15 + ,-13 + ,11 + ,13 + ,2 + ,8 + ,3 + ,-2 + ,11 + ,17 + ,3 + ,7 + ,2 + ,-1 + ,9 + ,17 + ,4 + ,3 + ,-2 + ,5 + ,8 + ,13 + ,5 + ,3 + ,1 + ,8 + ,6 + ,14 + ,6 + ,4 + ,1 + ,6 + ,7 + ,13 + ,7 + ,4 + ,-1 + ,7 + ,8 + ,17 + ,8 + ,0 + ,-6 + ,15 + ,6 + ,17 + ,9 + ,-4 + ,-13 + ,23 + ,5 + ,15 + ,10 + ,-14 + ,-25 + ,43 + ,2 + ,9 + ,11 + ,-18 + ,-26 + ,60 + ,3 + ,10 + ,12 + ,-8 + ,-9 + ,36 + ,3 + ,9 + ,1 + ,-1 + ,1 + ,28 + ,7 + ,14 + ,2 + ,1 + ,3 + ,23 + ,8 + ,18 + ,3 + ,2 + ,6 + ,23 + ,7 + ,18 + ,4 + ,0 + ,2 + ,22 + ,7 + ,12 + ,5 + ,1 + ,5 + ,22 + ,6 + ,16 + ,6 + ,0 + ,5 + ,24 + ,6 + ,12 + ,7 + ,-1 + ,0 + ,32 + ,7 + ,19 + ,8 + ,-3 + ,-5 + ,27 + ,5 + ,13 + ,9 + ,-3 + ,-4 + ,27 + ,5 + ,12 + ,10 + ,-3 + ,-2 + ,27 + ,5 + ,13 + ,11 + ,-4 + ,-1 + ,29 + ,4 + ,11 + ,12 + ,-8 + ,-8 + ,38 + ,4 + ,10 + ,1 + ,-9 + ,-16 + ,40 + ,4 + ,16 + ,2 + ,-13 + ,-19 + ,45 + ,1 + ,12 + ,3 + ,-18 + ,-28 + ,50 + ,-1 + ,6 + ,4 + ,-11 + ,-11 + ,43 + ,3 + ,8 + ,5 + ,-9 + ,-4 + ,44 + ,4 + ,6 + ,6 + ,-10 + ,-9 + ,44 + ,3 + ,8 + ,7 + ,-13 + ,-12 + ,49 + ,2 + ,8 + ,8 + ,-11 + ,-10 + ,42 + ,1 + ,9 + ,9 + ,-5 + ,-2 + ,36 + ,4 + ,13 + ,10 + ,-15 + ,-13 + ,57 + ,3 + ,8 + ,11 + ,-6 + ,0 + ,42 + ,5 + ,11 + ,12 + ,-6 + ,0 + ,39 + ,6 + ,8 + ,1 + ,-3 + ,4 + ,33 + ,6 + ,10 + ,2 + ,-1 + ,7 + ,32 + ,6 + ,15 + ,3 + ,-3 + ,5 + ,34 + ,6 + ,12 + ,4 + ,-4 + ,2 + ,37 + ,6 + ,13 + ,5 + ,-6 + ,-2 + ,38 + ,5 + ,12 + ,6 + ,0 + ,6 + ,28 + ,6 + ,15 + ,7 + ,-4 + ,-3 + ,31 + ,5 + ,13 + ,8 + ,-2 + ,1 + ,28 + ,6 + ,13 + ,9 + ,-2 + ,0 + ,30 + ,5 + ,16 + ,10 + ,-6 + ,-7 + ,39 + ,7 + 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,5 + ,9 + ,-11 + ,6 + ,57 + ,1 + ,6 + ,10 + ,-12 + ,3 + ,57 + ,3 + ,6 + ,11 + ,-10 + ,10 + ,55 + ,3 + ,3 + ,12 + ,-15 + ,0 + ,65 + ,1 + ,4 + ,1 + ,-15 + ,-2 + ,65 + ,1 + ,7 + ,2 + ,-15 + ,-1 + ,64 + ,0 + ,5 + ,3 + ,-13 + ,2 + ,60 + ,2 + ,6 + ,4 + ,-8 + ,8 + ,43 + ,2 + ,1 + ,5 + ,-13 + ,-6 + ,47 + ,-1 + ,3 + ,6 + ,-9 + ,-4 + ,40 + ,1 + ,6 + ,7 + ,-7 + ,4 + ,31 + ,0 + ,0 + ,8 + ,-4 + ,7 + ,27 + ,1 + ,3 + ,9 + ,-4 + ,3 + ,24 + ,1 + ,4 + ,10 + ,-2 + ,3 + ,23 + ,3 + ,7 + ,11 + ,0 + ,8 + ,17 + ,2 + ,6 + ,12 + ,-2 + ,3 + ,16 + ,0 + ,6 + ,1 + ,-3 + ,-3 + ,15 + ,0 + ,6 + ,2 + ,1 + ,4 + ,8 + ,3 + ,6 + ,3 + ,-2 + ,-5 + ,5 + ,-2 + ,2 + ,4 + ,-1 + ,-1 + ,6 + ,0 + ,2 + ,5 + ,1 + ,5 + ,5 + ,1 + ,2 + ,6 + ,-3 + ,0 + ,12 + ,-1 + ,3 + ,7 + ,-4 + ,-6 + ,8 + ,-2 + ,-1 + ,8 + ,-9 + ,-13 + ,17 + ,-1 + ,-4 + ,9 + ,-9 + ,-15 + ,22 + ,-1 + ,4 + ,10 + ,-7 + ,-8 + ,24 + ,1 + ,5 + ,11 + ,-14 + ,-20 + ,36 + ,-2 + ,3 + ,12 + ,-12 + ,-10 + ,31 + ,-5 + ,-1 + ,1 + ,-16 + ,-22 + ,34 + ,-5 + ,-4 + ,2 + ,-20 + ,-25 + ,47 + ,-6 + ,0 + ,3 + ,-12 + ,-10 + ,33 + ,-4 + ,-1 + ,4 + ,-12 + ,-8 + ,35 + ,-3 + ,-1 + ,5 + ,-10 + ,-9 + ,31 + ,-3 + ,3 + ,6 + ,-10 + ,-5 + ,35 + ,-1 + ,2 + ,7 + ,-13 + ,-7 + ,39 + ,-2 + ,-4 + ,8 + ,-16 + ,-11 + ,46 + ,-3 + ,-3 + ,9 + ,-14 + ,-11 + ,40 + ,-3 + ,-1 + ,10 + ,-17 + ,-16 + ,50 + ,-3 + ,3) + ,dim=c(6 + ,154) + ,dimnames=list(c('maand' + ,'consumentenvertrouwen' + ,'economischesituatie' + ,'werkloosheid' + ,'financielesituatie' + ,'spaarvermogen') + ,1:154)) > y <- array(NA,dim=c(6,154),dimnames=list(c('maand','consumentenvertrouwen','economischesituatie','werkloosheid','financielesituatie','spaarvermogen'),1:154)) > for (i in 1:dim(x)[1]) + { + for (j in 1:dim(x)[2]) + { + y[i,j] <- as.numeric(x[i,j]) + } + } > par3 = 'Linear Trend' > par2 = 'Do not include Seasonal Dummies' > par1 = '2' > library(lattice) > library(lmtest) Loading required package: zoo Attaching package: 'zoo' The following object(s) are masked from 'package:base': as.Date, as.Date.numeric > n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test > par1 <- as.numeric(par1) > x <- t(y) > k <- length(x[1,]) > n <- length(x[,1]) > x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1]) > mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1]) > colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1] > x <- x1 > if (par3 == 'First Differences'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep=''))) + for (i in 1:n-1) { + for (j in 1:k) { + x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j] + } + } + x <- x2 + } > if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep =''))) + for (i in 1:11){ + x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1 + } + x <- cbind(x, x2) + } > if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep =''))) + for (i in 1:3){ + x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1 + } + x <- cbind(x, x2) + } > k <- length(x[1,]) > if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){ + x <- cbind(x, c(1:n)) + colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't' + } > x consumentenvertrouwen maand economischesituatie werkloosheid 1 9 1 5 -1 2 11 2 5 -4 3 13 3 9 -6 4 12 4 10 -9 5 13 5 14 -13 6 15 6 19 -13 7 13 7 18 -10 8 16 8 16 -12 9 10 9 8 -9 10 14 10 10 -15 11 14 11 12 -14 12 15 12 13 -18 13 13 1 15 -13 14 8 2 3 -2 15 7 3 2 -1 16 3 4 -2 5 17 3 5 1 8 18 4 6 1 6 19 4 7 -1 7 20 0 8 -6 15 21 -4 9 -13 23 22 -14 10 -25 43 23 -18 11 -26 60 24 -8 12 -9 36 25 -1 1 1 28 26 1 2 3 23 27 2 3 6 23 28 0 4 2 22 29 1 5 5 22 30 0 6 5 24 31 -1 7 0 32 32 -3 8 -5 27 33 -3 9 -4 27 34 -3 10 -2 27 35 -4 11 -1 29 36 -8 12 -8 38 37 -9 1 -16 40 38 -13 2 -19 45 39 -18 3 -28 50 40 -11 4 -11 43 41 -9 5 -4 44 42 -10 6 -9 44 43 -13 7 -12 49 44 -11 8 -10 42 45 -5 9 -2 36 46 -15 10 -13 57 47 -6 11 0 42 48 -6 12 0 39 49 -3 1 4 33 50 -1 2 7 32 51 -3 3 5 34 52 -4 4 2 37 53 -6 5 -2 38 54 0 6 6 28 55 -4 7 -3 31 56 -2 8 1 28 57 -2 9 0 30 58 -6 10 -7 39 59 -7 11 -6 38 60 -6 12 -4 39 61 -6 1 -4 38 62 -3 2 -2 37 63 -2 3 2 32 64 -5 4 -5 32 65 -11 5 -15 44 66 -11 6 -16 43 67 -11 7 -18 42 68 -10 8 -13 38 69 -14 9 -23 37 70 -8 10 -10 35 71 -9 11 -10 37 72 -5 12 -6 33 73 -1 1 -3 24 74 -2 2 -4 24 75 -5 3 -7 31 76 -4 4 -7 25 77 -6 5 -7 28 78 -2 6 -3 24 79 -2 7 0 25 80 -2 8 -5 16 81 -2 9 -3 17 82 2 10 3 11 83 1 11 2 12 84 -8 12 -7 39 85 -1 1 -1 19 86 1 2 0 14 87 -1 3 -3 15 88 2 4 4 7 89 2 5 2 12 90 1 6 3 12 91 -1 7 0 14 92 -2 8 -10 9 93 -2 9 -10 8 94 -1 10 -9 4 95 -8 11 -22 7 96 -4 12 -16 3 97 -6 1 -18 5 98 -3 2 -14 0 99 -3 3 -12 -2 100 -7 4 -17 6 101 -9 5 -23 11 102 -11 6 -28 9 103 -13 7 -31 17 104 -11 8 -21 21 105 -9 9 -19 21 106 -17 10 -22 41 107 -22 11 -22 57 108 -25 12 -25 65 109 -20 1 -16 68 110 -24 2 -22 73 111 -24 3 -21 71 112 -22 4 -10 71 113 -19 5 -7 70 114 -18 6 -5 69 115 -17 7 -4 65 116 -11 8 7 57 117 -11 9 6 57 118 -12 10 3 57 119 -10 11 10 55 120 -15 12 0 65 121 -15 1 -2 65 122 -15 2 -1 64 123 -13 3 2 60 124 -8 4 8 43 125 -13 5 -6 47 126 -9 6 -4 40 127 -7 7 4 31 128 -4 8 7 27 129 -4 9 3 24 130 -2 10 3 23 131 0 11 8 17 132 -2 12 3 16 133 -3 1 -3 15 134 1 2 4 8 135 -2 3 -5 5 136 -1 4 -1 6 137 1 5 5 5 138 -3 6 0 12 139 -4 7 -6 8 140 -9 8 -13 17 141 -9 9 -15 22 142 -7 10 -8 24 143 -14 11 -20 36 144 -12 12 -10 31 145 -16 1 -22 34 146 -20 2 -25 47 147 -12 3 -10 33 148 -12 4 -8 35 149 -10 5 -9 31 150 -10 6 -5 35 151 -13 7 -7 39 152 -16 8 -11 46 153 -14 9 -11 40 154 -17 10 -16 50 financielesituatie spaarvermogen t 1 6 24 1 2 6 29 2 3 8 29 3 4 4 25 4 5 8 16 5 6 10 18 6 7 9 13 7 8 12 22 8 9 9 15 9 10 11 20 10 11 11 19 11 12 11 18 12 13 11 13 13 14 11 17 14 15 9 17 15 16 8 13 16 17 6 14 17 18 7 13 18 19 8 17 19 20 6 17 20 21 5 15 21 22 2 9 22 23 3 10 23 24 3 9 24 25 7 14 25 26 8 18 26 27 7 18 27 28 7 12 28 29 6 16 29 30 6 12 30 31 7 19 31 32 5 13 32 33 5 12 33 34 5 13 34 35 4 11 35 36 4 10 36 37 4 16 37 38 1 12 38 39 -1 6 39 40 3 8 40 41 4 6 41 42 3 8 42 43 2 8 43 44 1 9 44 45 4 13 45 46 3 8 46 47 5 11 47 48 6 8 48 49 6 10 49 50 6 15 50 51 6 12 51 52 6 13 52 53 5 12 53 54 6 15 54 55 5 13 55 56 6 13 56 57 5 16 57 58 7 14 58 59 4 12 59 60 5 15 60 61 6 14 61 62 6 19 62 63 5 16 63 64 3 16 64 65 2 11 65 66 3 13 66 67 3 12 67 68 2 11 68 69 0 6 69 70 4 9 70 71 4 6 71 72 5 15 72 73 6 17 73 74 6 13 74 75 5 12 75 76 5 13 76 77 3 10 77 78 5 14 78 79 5 13 79 80 5 10 80 81 3 11 81 82 6 12 82 83 6 7 83 84 4 11 84 85 6 9 85 86 5 13 86 87 4 12 87 88 5 5 88 89 5 13 89 90 4 11 90 91 3 8 91 92 2 8 92 93 3 8 93 94 2 8 94 95 -1 0 95 96 0 3 96 97 -2 0 97 98 1 -1 98 99 -2 -1 99 100 -2 -4 100 101 -2 1 101 102 -6 -1 102 103 -4 0 103 104 -2 -1 104 105 0 6 105 106 -5 0 106 107 -4 -3 107 108 -5 -3 108 109 -1 4 109 110 -2 1 110 111 -4 0 111 112 -1 -4 112 113 1 -2 113 114 1 3 114 115 -2 2 115 116 1 5 116 117 1 6 117 118 3 6 118 119 3 3 119 120 1 4 120 121 1 7 121 122 0 5 122 123 2 6 123 124 2 1 124 125 -1 3 125 126 1 6 126 127 0 0 127 128 1 3 128 129 1 4 129 130 3 7 130 131 2 6 131 132 0 6 132 133 0 6 133 134 3 6 134 135 -2 2 135 136 0 2 136 137 1 2 137 138 -1 3 138 139 -2 -1 139 140 -1 -4 140 141 -1 4 141 142 1 5 142 143 -2 3 143 144 -5 -1 144 145 -5 -4 145 146 -6 0 146 147 -4 -1 147 148 -3 -1 148 149 -3 3 149 150 -1 2 150 151 -2 -4 151 152 -3 -3 152 153 -3 -1 153 154 -3 3 154 > k <- length(x[1,]) > df <- as.data.frame(x) > (mylm <- lm(df)) Call: lm(formula = df) Coefficients: (Intercept) maand economischesituatie 0.49104 -0.01247 0.25546 werkloosheid financielesituatie spaarvermogen -0.25040 0.25165 0.23014 t -0.00324 > (mysum <- summary(mylm)) Call: lm(formula = df) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -0.63150 -0.25082 0.04936 0.22723 0.68165 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|) (Intercept) 0.491041 0.175299 2.801 0.00578 ** maand -0.012470 0.007271 -1.715 0.08846 . economischesituatie 0.255458 0.004099 62.327 < 2e-16 *** werkloosheid -0.250395 0.001334 -187.700 < 2e-16 *** financielesituatie 0.251651 0.017577 14.317 < 2e-16 *** spaarvermogen 0.230144 0.007595 30.303 < 2e-16 *** t -0.003240 0.001190 -2.724 0.00723 ** --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 0.3047 on 147 degrees of freedom Multiple R-squared: 0.9988, Adjusted R-squared: 0.9987 F-statistic: 2.005e+04 on 6 and 147 DF, p-value: < 2.2e-16 > if (n > n25) { + kp3 <- k + 3 + nmkm3 <- n - k - 3 + gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3)) + numgqtests <- 0 + numsignificant1 <- 0 + numsignificant5 <- 0 + numsignificant10 <- 0 + for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { + j <- 0 + numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1 + for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) { + j <- j + 1 + gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value + } + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1 + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1 + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1 + } + gqarr + } [,1] [,2] [,3] [1,] 0.57047648 0.85904705 0.42952352 [2,] 0.40287903 0.80575807 0.59712097 [3,] 0.26311897 0.52623794 0.73688103 [4,] 0.16259035 0.32518070 0.83740965 [5,] 0.09684598 0.19369195 0.90315402 [6,] 0.05624197 0.11248394 0.94375803 [7,] 0.03750072 0.07500144 0.96249928 [8,] 0.02079808 0.04159616 0.97920192 [9,] 0.07639964 0.15279928 0.92360036 [10,] 0.05295071 0.10590142 0.94704929 [11,] 0.05350671 0.10701342 0.94649329 [12,] 0.08169932 0.16339865 0.91830068 [13,] 0.08543696 0.17087392 0.91456304 [14,] 0.07875112 0.15750223 0.92124888 [15,] 0.05464828 0.10929656 0.94535172 [16,] 0.05697155 0.11394310 0.94302845 [17,] 0.17860804 0.35721608 0.82139196 [18,] 0.13580400 0.27160800 0.86419600 [19,] 0.13251246 0.26502493 0.86748754 [20,] 0.12501449 0.25002897 0.87498551 [21,] 0.10341299 0.20682599 0.89658701 [22,] 0.15956024 0.31912048 0.84043976 [23,] 0.29018916 0.58037832 0.70981084 [24,] 0.34855920 0.69711840 0.65144080 [25,] 0.39614718 0.79229435 0.60385282 [26,] 0.44708872 0.89417744 0.55291128 [27,] 0.39796036 0.79592072 0.60203964 [28,] 0.39331659 0.78663319 0.60668341 [29,] 0.34478013 0.68956025 0.65521987 [30,] 0.39993595 0.79987189 0.60006405 [31,] 0.40364066 0.80728131 0.59635934 [32,] 0.40059637 0.80119275 0.59940363 [33,] 0.44105564 0.88211129 0.55894436 [34,] 0.46620145 0.93240289 0.53379855 [35,] 0.55242051 0.89515898 0.44757949 [36,] 0.54465632 0.91068736 0.45534368 [37,] 0.57238667 0.85522665 0.42761333 [38,] 0.61741524 0.76516952 0.38258476 [39,] 0.58063266 0.83873468 0.41936734 [40,] 0.54818065 0.90363870 0.45181935 [41,] 0.49841394 0.99682788 0.50158606 [42,] 0.50492073 0.99015854 0.49507927 [43,] 0.45482397 0.90964794 0.54517603 [44,] 0.42891145 0.85782290 0.57108855 [45,] 0.43872302 0.87744604 0.56127698 [46,] 0.40344325 0.80688649 0.59655675 [47,] 0.36073741 0.72147482 0.63926259 [48,] 0.38359616 0.76719231 0.61640384 [49,] 0.40141500 0.80283000 0.59858500 [50,] 0.36180111 0.72360221 0.63819889 [51,] 0.34226235 0.68452470 0.65773765 [52,] 0.38815331 0.77630662 0.61184669 [53,] 0.56042619 0.87914761 0.43957381 [54,] 0.56760499 0.86479003 0.43239501 [55,] 0.57411261 0.85177479 0.42588739 [56,] 0.75596827 0.48806345 0.24403173 [57,] 0.71872856 0.56254288 0.28127144 [58,] 0.78181805 0.43636390 0.21818195 [59,] 0.78468237 0.43063527 0.21531763 [60,] 0.76941099 0.46117802 0.23058901 [61,] 0.74499728 0.51000543 0.25500272 [62,] 0.77129868 0.45740264 0.22870132 [63,] 0.75018665 0.49962671 0.24981335 [64,] 0.72687895 0.54624210 0.27312105 [65,] 0.75345274 0.49309452 0.24654726 [66,] 0.78321638 0.43356724 0.21678362 [67,] 0.78661950 0.42676101 0.21338050 [68,] 0.79774006 0.40451988 0.20225994 [69,] 0.78152380 0.43695240 0.21847620 [70,] 0.74820818 0.50358363 0.25179182 [71,] 0.74634761 0.50730478 0.25365239 [72,] 0.74000216 0.51999569 0.25999784 [73,] 0.74404652 0.51190695 0.25595348 [74,] 0.77562694 0.44874611 0.22437306 [75,] 0.74804945 0.50390111 0.25195055 [76,] 0.75780402 0.48439195 0.24219598 [77,] 0.73139298 0.53721405 0.26860702 [78,] 0.75401842 0.49196316 0.24598158 [79,] 0.75084018 0.49831964 0.24915982 [80,] 0.72056445 0.55887110 0.27943555 [81,] 0.76912796 0.46174407 0.23087204 [82,] 0.75891787 0.48216427 0.24108213 [83,] 0.80962751 0.38074499 0.19037249 [84,] 0.77860538 0.44278923 0.22139462 [85,] 0.74960713 0.50078574 0.25039287 [86,] 0.76862090 0.46275820 0.23137910 [87,] 0.75221195 0.49557611 0.24778805 [88,] 0.75436129 0.49127741 0.24563871 [89,] 0.78376859 0.43246281 0.21623141 [90,] 0.75782555 0.48434889 0.24217445 [91,] 0.72263006 0.55473987 0.27736994 [92,] 0.71297634 0.57404733 0.28702366 [93,] 0.67861786 0.64276428 0.32138214 [94,] 0.63424212 0.73151576 0.36575788 [95,] 0.62504385 0.74991230 0.37495615 [96,] 0.64059243 0.71881514 0.35940757 [97,] 0.59243273 0.81513454 0.40756727 [98,] 0.63328911 0.73342178 0.36671089 [99,] 0.68480313 0.63039374 0.31519687 [100,] 0.68162103 0.63675794 0.31837897 [101,] 0.63873063 0.72253875 0.36126937 [102,] 0.58787062 0.82425876 0.41212938 [103,] 0.71777989 0.56444021 0.28222011 [104,] 0.82187186 0.35625628 0.17812814 [105,] 0.83079034 0.33841931 0.16920966 [106,] 0.83134793 0.33730414 0.16865207 [107,] 0.79544798 0.40910403 0.20455202 [108,] 0.76324778 0.47350444 0.23675222 [109,] 0.85385466 0.29229068 0.14614534 [110,] 0.82796664 0.34406671 0.17203336 [111,] 0.81302420 0.37395159 0.18697580 [112,] 0.76994824 0.46010351 0.23005176 [113,] 0.74232096 0.51535807 0.25767904 [114,] 0.75033086 0.49933829 0.24966914 [115,] 0.70011272 0.59977456 0.29988728 [116,] 0.67378392 0.65243217 0.32621608 [117,] 0.69701203 0.60597595 0.30298797 [118,] 0.74180753 0.51638495 0.25819247 [119,] 0.72029419 0.55941163 0.27970581 [120,] 0.68972057 0.62055886 0.31027943 [121,] 0.86531658 0.26936685 0.13468342 [122,] 0.94067803 0.11864395 0.05932197 [123,] 0.92773544 0.14452912 0.07226456 [124,] 0.91708585 0.16582830 0.08291415 [125,] 0.87957217 0.24085567 0.12042783 [126,] 0.90937429 0.18125142 0.09062571 [127,] 0.90364476 0.19271047 0.09635524 [128,] 0.94935690 0.10128619 0.05064310 [129,] 0.94863123 0.10273754 0.05136877 [130,] 0.93018822 0.13962357 0.06981178 [131,] 0.94146933 0.11706134 0.05853067 [132,] 0.96952880 0.06094241 0.03047120 [133,] 0.98640409 0.02719182 0.01359591 [134,] 0.95929724 0.08140553 0.04070276 [135,] 0.88832999 0.22334003 0.11167001 > postscript(file="/var/fisher/rcomp/tmp/1fe4m1353436558.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index') > points(x[,1]-mysum$resid) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/fisher/rcomp/tmp/2hjhg1353436558.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/fisher/rcomp/tmp/3raau1353436558.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/fisher/rcomp/tmp/4f6xq1353436558.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals') > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/fisher/rcomp/tmp/5zrvp1353436558.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot') > qqline(mysum$resid) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > (myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid)) Time Series: Start = 1 End = 154 Frequency = 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 -0.036369392 0.077436586 0.067222973 0.003467029 0.060455695 -0.164713260 7 8 9 10 11 12 0.260009374 0.459599740 -0.363882600 -0.015479217 -0.030146492 -0.041331197 13 14 15 16 17 18 -0.283478946 -0.368501343 -0.343637005 -0.631498691 -0.357820089 0.135592833 19 20 21 22 23 24 -0.259611582 -0.460149395 0.058865761 0.283788477 0.329878766 0.223463425 25 26 27 28 29 30 0.374475206 -0.544931964 -0.043945514 0.124064012 -0.295524510 0.141550631 31 32 33 34 35 36 0.575054789 0.500243199 0.490638875 -0.234710981 -0.261730763 0.025885136 37 38 39 40 41 42 0.055551387 -0.234862222 0.216109322 -0.330623068 0.355912561 0.440275893 43 44 45 46 47 48 -0.274013906 -0.500478819 0.293669423 -0.219915773 0.525180735 0.228486049 49 50 51 52 53 54 0.110069961 -0.041708009 -0.323860519 -0.020734860 -0.251003250 0.275009572 55 56 57 58 59 60 0.052965345 0.044007245 0.377184840 0.391643264 0.116739415 -0.070153441 61 62 63 64 65 66 -0.475981251 0.627698826 0.311682984 -0.381099497 0.596301406 -0.094863760 67 68 69 70 71 72 0.411510959 -0.369855320 -0.395940044 0.100991482 0.307922880 -0.022724001 73 74 75 76 77 78 0.111482062 0.303225059 0.319869193 -0.396935142 -0.436307431 0.132113794 79 80 81 82 83 84 -0.138011527 -0.408135945 -0.379789488 -0.384293925 0.287987909 -0.053785886 85 86 87 88 89 90 0.228624357 0.067976452 -0.417749985 0.165948504 0.103400106 -0.424409866 91 92 93 94 95 96 -0.199453721 0.370511851 -0.115823875 -0.105501713 -0.421550080 0.117749405 97 98 99 100 101 102 0.189262286 0.406356521 0.165312045 0.151904243 -0.198380742 0.060719199 103 104 105 106 107 108 0.112519114 0.302071539 -0.307441994 0.121659528 -0.417528353 -0.380632867 109 110 111 112 113 114 0.319895519 0.062411087 0.055317791 -0.573387591 0.461964451 -0.434355473 115 116 117 118 119 120 0.309411650 0.066539307 0.107563589 -0.613653513 -0.196508817 0.150890047 121 122 123 124 125 126 -0.162550938 0.059243995 -0.426445506 -0.049481704 -0.161114360 0.397181414 127 128 129 130 131 132 -0.251815763 0.053857860 0.110070994 0.681653430 0.399496961 -0.054596707 133 134 135 136 137 138 0.093830625 -0.186383210 0.556091914 0.297063586 0.277979585 -0.403097066 139 140 141 142 143 144 0.316006390 -0.187740835 -0.250289233 -0.255440347 0.045746637 -0.069572519 145 146 147 148 149 150 0.303614698 -0.328089313 0.077061171 -0.169005361 0.180007311 -0.097691989 151 152 153 154 0.063027530 -0.125157776 -0.072105854 -0.195729667 > postscript(file="/var/fisher/rcomp/tmp/6b37f1353436558.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror) > dum Time Series: Start = 0 End = 154 Frequency = 1 lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror 0 -0.036369392 NA 1 0.077436586 -0.036369392 2 0.067222973 0.077436586 3 0.003467029 0.067222973 4 0.060455695 0.003467029 5 -0.164713260 0.060455695 6 0.260009374 -0.164713260 7 0.459599740 0.260009374 8 -0.363882600 0.459599740 9 -0.015479217 -0.363882600 10 -0.030146492 -0.015479217 11 -0.041331197 -0.030146492 12 -0.283478946 -0.041331197 13 -0.368501343 -0.283478946 14 -0.343637005 -0.368501343 15 -0.631498691 -0.343637005 16 -0.357820089 -0.631498691 17 0.135592833 -0.357820089 18 -0.259611582 0.135592833 19 -0.460149395 -0.259611582 20 0.058865761 -0.460149395 21 0.283788477 0.058865761 22 0.329878766 0.283788477 23 0.223463425 0.329878766 24 0.374475206 0.223463425 25 -0.544931964 0.374475206 26 -0.043945514 -0.544931964 27 0.124064012 -0.043945514 28 -0.295524510 0.124064012 29 0.141550631 -0.295524510 30 0.575054789 0.141550631 31 0.500243199 0.575054789 32 0.490638875 0.500243199 33 -0.234710981 0.490638875 34 -0.261730763 -0.234710981 35 0.025885136 -0.261730763 36 0.055551387 0.025885136 37 -0.234862222 0.055551387 38 0.216109322 -0.234862222 39 -0.330623068 0.216109322 40 0.355912561 -0.330623068 41 0.440275893 0.355912561 42 -0.274013906 0.440275893 43 -0.500478819 -0.274013906 44 0.293669423 -0.500478819 45 -0.219915773 0.293669423 46 0.525180735 -0.219915773 47 0.228486049 0.525180735 48 0.110069961 0.228486049 49 -0.041708009 0.110069961 50 -0.323860519 -0.041708009 51 -0.020734860 -0.323860519 52 -0.251003250 -0.020734860 53 0.275009572 -0.251003250 54 0.052965345 0.275009572 55 0.044007245 0.052965345 56 0.377184840 0.044007245 57 0.391643264 0.377184840 58 0.116739415 0.391643264 59 -0.070153441 0.116739415 60 -0.475981251 -0.070153441 61 0.627698826 -0.475981251 62 0.311682984 0.627698826 63 -0.381099497 0.311682984 64 0.596301406 -0.381099497 65 -0.094863760 0.596301406 66 0.411510959 -0.094863760 67 -0.369855320 0.411510959 68 -0.395940044 -0.369855320 69 0.100991482 -0.395940044 70 0.307922880 0.100991482 71 -0.022724001 0.307922880 72 0.111482062 -0.022724001 73 0.303225059 0.111482062 74 0.319869193 0.303225059 75 -0.396935142 0.319869193 76 -0.436307431 -0.396935142 77 0.132113794 -0.436307431 78 -0.138011527 0.132113794 79 -0.408135945 -0.138011527 80 -0.379789488 -0.408135945 81 -0.384293925 -0.379789488 82 0.287987909 -0.384293925 83 -0.053785886 0.287987909 84 0.228624357 -0.053785886 85 0.067976452 0.228624357 86 -0.417749985 0.067976452 87 0.165948504 -0.417749985 88 0.103400106 0.165948504 89 -0.424409866 0.103400106 90 -0.199453721 -0.424409866 91 0.370511851 -0.199453721 92 -0.115823875 0.370511851 93 -0.105501713 -0.115823875 94 -0.421550080 -0.105501713 95 0.117749405 -0.421550080 96 0.189262286 0.117749405 97 0.406356521 0.189262286 98 0.165312045 0.406356521 99 0.151904243 0.165312045 100 -0.198380742 0.151904243 101 0.060719199 -0.198380742 102 0.112519114 0.060719199 103 0.302071539 0.112519114 104 -0.307441994 0.302071539 105 0.121659528 -0.307441994 106 -0.417528353 0.121659528 107 -0.380632867 -0.417528353 108 0.319895519 -0.380632867 109 0.062411087 0.319895519 110 0.055317791 0.062411087 111 -0.573387591 0.055317791 112 0.461964451 -0.573387591 113 -0.434355473 0.461964451 114 0.309411650 -0.434355473 115 0.066539307 0.309411650 116 0.107563589 0.066539307 117 -0.613653513 0.107563589 118 -0.196508817 -0.613653513 119 0.150890047 -0.196508817 120 -0.162550938 0.150890047 121 0.059243995 -0.162550938 122 -0.426445506 0.059243995 123 -0.049481704 -0.426445506 124 -0.161114360 -0.049481704 125 0.397181414 -0.161114360 126 -0.251815763 0.397181414 127 0.053857860 -0.251815763 128 0.110070994 0.053857860 129 0.681653430 0.110070994 130 0.399496961 0.681653430 131 -0.054596707 0.399496961 132 0.093830625 -0.054596707 133 -0.186383210 0.093830625 134 0.556091914 -0.186383210 135 0.297063586 0.556091914 136 0.277979585 0.297063586 137 -0.403097066 0.277979585 138 0.316006390 -0.403097066 139 -0.187740835 0.316006390 140 -0.250289233 -0.187740835 141 -0.255440347 -0.250289233 142 0.045746637 -0.255440347 143 -0.069572519 0.045746637 144 0.303614698 -0.069572519 145 -0.328089313 0.303614698 146 0.077061171 -0.328089313 147 -0.169005361 0.077061171 148 0.180007311 -0.169005361 149 -0.097691989 0.180007311 150 0.063027530 -0.097691989 151 -0.125157776 0.063027530 152 -0.072105854 -0.125157776 153 -0.195729667 -0.072105854 154 NA -0.195729667 > dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),] > dum1 lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror [1,] 0.077436586 -0.036369392 [2,] 0.067222973 0.077436586 [3,] 0.003467029 0.067222973 [4,] 0.060455695 0.003467029 [5,] -0.164713260 0.060455695 [6,] 0.260009374 -0.164713260 [7,] 0.459599740 0.260009374 [8,] -0.363882600 0.459599740 [9,] -0.015479217 -0.363882600 [10,] -0.030146492 -0.015479217 [11,] -0.041331197 -0.030146492 [12,] -0.283478946 -0.041331197 [13,] -0.368501343 -0.283478946 [14,] -0.343637005 -0.368501343 [15,] -0.631498691 -0.343637005 [16,] -0.357820089 -0.631498691 [17,] 0.135592833 -0.357820089 [18,] -0.259611582 0.135592833 [19,] -0.460149395 -0.259611582 [20,] 0.058865761 -0.460149395 [21,] 0.283788477 0.058865761 [22,] 0.329878766 0.283788477 [23,] 0.223463425 0.329878766 [24,] 0.374475206 0.223463425 [25,] -0.544931964 0.374475206 [26,] -0.043945514 -0.544931964 [27,] 0.124064012 -0.043945514 [28,] -0.295524510 0.124064012 [29,] 0.141550631 -0.295524510 [30,] 0.575054789 0.141550631 [31,] 0.500243199 0.575054789 [32,] 0.490638875 0.500243199 [33,] -0.234710981 0.490638875 [34,] -0.261730763 -0.234710981 [35,] 0.025885136 -0.261730763 [36,] 0.055551387 0.025885136 [37,] -0.234862222 0.055551387 [38,] 0.216109322 -0.234862222 [39,] -0.330623068 0.216109322 [40,] 0.355912561 -0.330623068 [41,] 0.440275893 0.355912561 [42,] -0.274013906 0.440275893 [43,] -0.500478819 -0.274013906 [44,] 0.293669423 -0.500478819 [45,] -0.219915773 0.293669423 [46,] 0.525180735 -0.219915773 [47,] 0.228486049 0.525180735 [48,] 0.110069961 0.228486049 [49,] -0.041708009 0.110069961 [50,] -0.323860519 -0.041708009 [51,] -0.020734860 -0.323860519 [52,] -0.251003250 -0.020734860 [53,] 0.275009572 -0.251003250 [54,] 0.052965345 0.275009572 [55,] 0.044007245 0.052965345 [56,] 0.377184840 0.044007245 [57,] 0.391643264 0.377184840 [58,] 0.116739415 0.391643264 [59,] -0.070153441 0.116739415 [60,] -0.475981251 -0.070153441 [61,] 0.627698826 -0.475981251 [62,] 0.311682984 0.627698826 [63,] -0.381099497 0.311682984 [64,] 0.596301406 -0.381099497 [65,] -0.094863760 0.596301406 [66,] 0.411510959 -0.094863760 [67,] -0.369855320 0.411510959 [68,] -0.395940044 -0.369855320 [69,] 0.100991482 -0.395940044 [70,] 0.307922880 0.100991482 [71,] -0.022724001 0.307922880 [72,] 0.111482062 -0.022724001 [73,] 0.303225059 0.111482062 [74,] 0.319869193 0.303225059 [75,] -0.396935142 0.319869193 [76,] -0.436307431 -0.396935142 [77,] 0.132113794 -0.436307431 [78,] -0.138011527 0.132113794 [79,] -0.408135945 -0.138011527 [80,] -0.379789488 -0.408135945 [81,] -0.384293925 -0.379789488 [82,] 0.287987909 -0.384293925 [83,] -0.053785886 0.287987909 [84,] 0.228624357 -0.053785886 [85,] 0.067976452 0.228624357 [86,] -0.417749985 0.067976452 [87,] 0.165948504 -0.417749985 [88,] 0.103400106 0.165948504 [89,] -0.424409866 0.103400106 [90,] -0.199453721 -0.424409866 [91,] 0.370511851 -0.199453721 [92,] -0.115823875 0.370511851 [93,] -0.105501713 -0.115823875 [94,] -0.421550080 -0.105501713 [95,] 0.117749405 -0.421550080 [96,] 0.189262286 0.117749405 [97,] 0.406356521 0.189262286 [98,] 0.165312045 0.406356521 [99,] 0.151904243 0.165312045 [100,] -0.198380742 0.151904243 [101,] 0.060719199 -0.198380742 [102,] 0.112519114 0.060719199 [103,] 0.302071539 0.112519114 [104,] -0.307441994 0.302071539 [105,] 0.121659528 -0.307441994 [106,] -0.417528353 0.121659528 [107,] -0.380632867 -0.417528353 [108,] 0.319895519 -0.380632867 [109,] 0.062411087 0.319895519 [110,] 0.055317791 0.062411087 [111,] -0.573387591 0.055317791 [112,] 0.461964451 -0.573387591 [113,] -0.434355473 0.461964451 [114,] 0.309411650 -0.434355473 [115,] 0.066539307 0.309411650 [116,] 0.107563589 0.066539307 [117,] -0.613653513 0.107563589 [118,] -0.196508817 -0.613653513 [119,] 0.150890047 -0.196508817 [120,] -0.162550938 0.150890047 [121,] 0.059243995 -0.162550938 [122,] -0.426445506 0.059243995 [123,] -0.049481704 -0.426445506 [124,] -0.161114360 -0.049481704 [125,] 0.397181414 -0.161114360 [126,] -0.251815763 0.397181414 [127,] 0.053857860 -0.251815763 [128,] 0.110070994 0.053857860 [129,] 0.681653430 0.110070994 [130,] 0.399496961 0.681653430 [131,] -0.054596707 0.399496961 [132,] 0.093830625 -0.054596707 [133,] -0.186383210 0.093830625 [134,] 0.556091914 -0.186383210 [135,] 0.297063586 0.556091914 [136,] 0.277979585 0.297063586 [137,] -0.403097066 0.277979585 [138,] 0.316006390 -0.403097066 [139,] -0.187740835 0.316006390 [140,] -0.250289233 -0.187740835 [141,] -0.255440347 -0.250289233 [142,] 0.045746637 -0.255440347 [143,] -0.069572519 0.045746637 [144,] 0.303614698 -0.069572519 [145,] -0.328089313 0.303614698 [146,] 0.077061171 -0.328089313 [147,] -0.169005361 0.077061171 [148,] 0.180007311 -0.169005361 [149,] -0.097691989 0.180007311 [150,] 0.063027530 -0.097691989 [151,] -0.125157776 0.063027530 [152,] -0.072105854 -0.125157776 [153,] -0.195729667 -0.072105854 > z <- as.data.frame(dum1) > z lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror 1 0.077436586 -0.036369392 2 0.067222973 0.077436586 3 0.003467029 0.067222973 4 0.060455695 0.003467029 5 -0.164713260 0.060455695 6 0.260009374 -0.164713260 7 0.459599740 0.260009374 8 -0.363882600 0.459599740 9 -0.015479217 -0.363882600 10 -0.030146492 -0.015479217 11 -0.041331197 -0.030146492 12 -0.283478946 -0.041331197 13 -0.368501343 -0.283478946 14 -0.343637005 -0.368501343 15 -0.631498691 -0.343637005 16 -0.357820089 -0.631498691 17 0.135592833 -0.357820089 18 -0.259611582 0.135592833 19 -0.460149395 -0.259611582 20 0.058865761 -0.460149395 21 0.283788477 0.058865761 22 0.329878766 0.283788477 23 0.223463425 0.329878766 24 0.374475206 0.223463425 25 -0.544931964 0.374475206 26 -0.043945514 -0.544931964 27 0.124064012 -0.043945514 28 -0.295524510 0.124064012 29 0.141550631 -0.295524510 30 0.575054789 0.141550631 31 0.500243199 0.575054789 32 0.490638875 0.500243199 33 -0.234710981 0.490638875 34 -0.261730763 -0.234710981 35 0.025885136 -0.261730763 36 0.055551387 0.025885136 37 -0.234862222 0.055551387 38 0.216109322 -0.234862222 39 -0.330623068 0.216109322 40 0.355912561 -0.330623068 41 0.440275893 0.355912561 42 -0.274013906 0.440275893 43 -0.500478819 -0.274013906 44 0.293669423 -0.500478819 45 -0.219915773 0.293669423 46 0.525180735 -0.219915773 47 0.228486049 0.525180735 48 0.110069961 0.228486049 49 -0.041708009 0.110069961 50 -0.323860519 -0.041708009 51 -0.020734860 -0.323860519 52 -0.251003250 -0.020734860 53 0.275009572 -0.251003250 54 0.052965345 0.275009572 55 0.044007245 0.052965345 56 0.377184840 0.044007245 57 0.391643264 0.377184840 58 0.116739415 0.391643264 59 -0.070153441 0.116739415 60 -0.475981251 -0.070153441 61 0.627698826 -0.475981251 62 0.311682984 0.627698826 63 -0.381099497 0.311682984 64 0.596301406 -0.381099497 65 -0.094863760 0.596301406 66 0.411510959 -0.094863760 67 -0.369855320 0.411510959 68 -0.395940044 -0.369855320 69 0.100991482 -0.395940044 70 0.307922880 0.100991482 71 -0.022724001 0.307922880 72 0.111482062 -0.022724001 73 0.303225059 0.111482062 74 0.319869193 0.303225059 75 -0.396935142 0.319869193 76 -0.436307431 -0.396935142 77 0.132113794 -0.436307431 78 -0.138011527 0.132113794 79 -0.408135945 -0.138011527 80 -0.379789488 -0.408135945 81 -0.384293925 -0.379789488 82 0.287987909 -0.384293925 83 -0.053785886 0.287987909 84 0.228624357 -0.053785886 85 0.067976452 0.228624357 86 -0.417749985 0.067976452 87 0.165948504 -0.417749985 88 0.103400106 0.165948504 89 -0.424409866 0.103400106 90 -0.199453721 -0.424409866 91 0.370511851 -0.199453721 92 -0.115823875 0.370511851 93 -0.105501713 -0.115823875 94 -0.421550080 -0.105501713 95 0.117749405 -0.421550080 96 0.189262286 0.117749405 97 0.406356521 0.189262286 98 0.165312045 0.406356521 99 0.151904243 0.165312045 100 -0.198380742 0.151904243 101 0.060719199 -0.198380742 102 0.112519114 0.060719199 103 0.302071539 0.112519114 104 -0.307441994 0.302071539 105 0.121659528 -0.307441994 106 -0.417528353 0.121659528 107 -0.380632867 -0.417528353 108 0.319895519 -0.380632867 109 0.062411087 0.319895519 110 0.055317791 0.062411087 111 -0.573387591 0.055317791 112 0.461964451 -0.573387591 113 -0.434355473 0.461964451 114 0.309411650 -0.434355473 115 0.066539307 0.309411650 116 0.107563589 0.066539307 117 -0.613653513 0.107563589 118 -0.196508817 -0.613653513 119 0.150890047 -0.196508817 120 -0.162550938 0.150890047 121 0.059243995 -0.162550938 122 -0.426445506 0.059243995 123 -0.049481704 -0.426445506 124 -0.161114360 -0.049481704 125 0.397181414 -0.161114360 126 -0.251815763 0.397181414 127 0.053857860 -0.251815763 128 0.110070994 0.053857860 129 0.681653430 0.110070994 130 0.399496961 0.681653430 131 -0.054596707 0.399496961 132 0.093830625 -0.054596707 133 -0.186383210 0.093830625 134 0.556091914 -0.186383210 135 0.297063586 0.556091914 136 0.277979585 0.297063586 137 -0.403097066 0.277979585 138 0.316006390 -0.403097066 139 -0.187740835 0.316006390 140 -0.250289233 -0.187740835 141 -0.255440347 -0.250289233 142 0.045746637 -0.255440347 143 -0.069572519 0.045746637 144 0.303614698 -0.069572519 145 -0.328089313 0.303614698 146 0.077061171 -0.328089313 147 -0.169005361 0.077061171 148 0.180007311 -0.169005361 149 -0.097691989 0.180007311 150 0.063027530 -0.097691989 151 -0.125157776 0.063027530 152 -0.072105854 -0.125157776 153 -0.195729667 -0.072105854 > plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals') > lines(lowess(z)) > abline(lm(z)) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/fisher/rcomp/tmp/7eboi1353436558.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/fisher/rcomp/tmp/8urnm1353436558.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/fisher/rcomp/tmp/9k3261353436558.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0)) > plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics') > par(opar) > dev.off() null device 1 > if (n > n25) { + postscript(file="/var/fisher/rcomp/tmp/1013t31353436558.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) + plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint') + grid() + dev.off() + } null device 1 > > #Note: the /var/fisher/rcomp/createtable file can be downloaded at http://www.wessa.net/cretab > load(file="/var/fisher/rcomp/createtable") > > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > myeq <- colnames(x)[1] > myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='') > for (i in 1:k){ + if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '') + myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ') + if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') { + myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='') + if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='') + } + } > myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]') > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, myeq) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/fisher/rcomp/tmp/11ky201353436558.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > for (i in 1:k){ + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1]) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6)) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/fisher/rcomp/tmp/12y1af1353436558.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared)) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3])) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror)) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/fisher/rcomp/tmp/13njzx1353436558.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation
Forecast', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals
Prediction Error', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > for (i in 1:n) { + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,x[i]) + a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i]) + a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i]) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/fisher/rcomp/tmp/14notz1353436558.tab") > if (n > n25) { + a<-table.start() + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1]) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2]) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3]) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } + a<-table.end(a) + table.save(a,file="/var/fisher/rcomp/tmp/15hx4b1353436558.tab") + a<-table.start() + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.end(a) + table.save(a,file="/var/fisher/rcomp/tmp/16gq111353436558.tab") + } > > try(system("convert tmp/1fe4m1353436558.ps tmp/1fe4m1353436558.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/2hjhg1353436558.ps tmp/2hjhg1353436558.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/3raau1353436558.ps tmp/3raau1353436558.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/4f6xq1353436558.ps tmp/4f6xq1353436558.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/5zrvp1353436558.ps tmp/5zrvp1353436558.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/6b37f1353436558.ps tmp/6b37f1353436558.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/7eboi1353436558.ps tmp/7eboi1353436558.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/8urnm1353436558.ps tmp/8urnm1353436558.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/9k3261353436558.ps tmp/9k3261353436558.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/1013t31353436558.ps tmp/1013t31353436558.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > > > proc.time() user system elapsed 8.765 1.591 10.381