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Type 'q()' to quit R. > x <- array(list(6703,4533,3945,10,7,13,-12,6706,4542,3972,9,7,12,-12,6709,4582,4041,9,8,12,2,6715,4603,4095,9,7,10,2,6724,4652,4178,7,6,9,13,6743,4706,4236,7,6,8,0,6774,4722,4231,8,7,9,-2,6805,4769,4231,8,8,9,-11,6835,4852,4275,8,8,10,-4,6879,4933,4337,9,8,10,-8,6942,4975,4387,8,7,9,-3,7012,4992,4460,8,7,9,-1,7070,5044,4539,7,7,8,-11,7114,5086,4531,8,8,8,-17,7154,5129,4562,8,8,9,-8),dim=c(7,15),dimnames=list(c('Arbeidsleeftijd','Beroepsbevolking','Werkgelegenheid','Werkzoekenden','WZMannen','WZVrouwen','Consumentenvertrouwen'),1:15)) > y <- array(NA,dim=c(7,15),dimnames=list(c('Arbeidsleeftijd','Beroepsbevolking','Werkgelegenheid','Werkzoekenden','WZMannen','WZVrouwen','Consumentenvertrouwen'),1:15)) > for (i in 1:dim(x)[1]) + { + for (j in 1:dim(x)[2]) + { + y[i,j] <- as.numeric(x[i,j]) + } + } > par3 = 'No Linear Trend' > par2 = 'Do not include Seasonal Dummies' > par1 = '7' > par3 <- 'No Linear Trend' > par2 <- 'Do not include Seasonal Dummies' > par1 <- '7' > #'GNU S' R Code compiled by R2WASP v. 1.0.44 () > #Author: Prof. Dr. P. Wessa > #To cite this work: AUTHOR(S), (YEAR), YOUR SOFTWARE TITLE (vNUMBER) in Free Statistics Software (v$_version), Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.wessa.net/rwasp_YOURPAGE.wasp/ > #Source of accompanying publication: Office for Research, Development, and Education > #Technical description: Write here your technical program description (don't use hard returns!) > library(lattice) > library(lmtest) Loading required package: zoo Attaching package: 'zoo' The following object(s) are masked from 'package:base': as.Date, as.Date.numeric > n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test > par1 <- as.numeric(par1) > x <- t(y) > k <- length(x[1,]) > n <- length(x[,1]) > x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1]) > mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1]) > colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1] > x <- x1 > if (par3 == 'First Differences'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep=''))) + for (i in 1:n-1) { + for (j in 1:k) { + x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j] + } + } + x <- x2 + } > if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep =''))) + for (i in 1:11){ + x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1 + } + x <- cbind(x, x2) + } > if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){ + x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep =''))) + for (i in 1:3){ + x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1 + } + x <- cbind(x, x2) + } > k <- length(x[1,]) > if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){ + x <- cbind(x, c(1:n)) + colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't' + } > x Consumentenvertrouwen Arbeidsleeftijd Beroepsbevolking Werkgelegenheid 1 -12 6703 4533 3945 2 -12 6706 4542 3972 3 2 6709 4582 4041 4 2 6715 4603 4095 5 13 6724 4652 4178 6 0 6743 4706 4236 7 -2 6774 4722 4231 8 -11 6805 4769 4231 9 -4 6835 4852 4275 10 -8 6879 4933 4337 11 -3 6942 4975 4387 12 -1 7012 4992 4460 13 -11 7070 5044 4539 14 -17 7114 5086 4531 15 -8 7154 5129 4562 Werkzoekenden WZMannen WZVrouwen 1 10 7 13 2 9 7 12 3 9 8 12 4 9 7 10 5 7 6 9 6 7 6 8 7 8 7 9 8 8 8 9 9 8 8 10 10 9 8 10 11 8 7 9 12 8 7 9 13 7 7 8 14 8 8 8 15 8 8 9 > k <- length(x[1,]) > df <- as.data.frame(x) > (mylm <- lm(df)) Call: lm(formula = df) Coefficients: (Intercept) Arbeidsleeftijd Beroepsbevolking Werkgelegenheid 286.24146 -0.11432 -0.09146 0.20953 Werkzoekenden WZMannen WZVrouwen -1.04326 -2.57186 6.80724 > (mysum <- summary(mylm)) Call: lm(formula = df) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -7.8687 -3.4370 0.0219 3.9398 6.9853 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|) (Intercept) 286.24146 126.73939 2.259 0.0538 . Arbeidsleeftijd -0.11432 0.04872 -2.347 0.0469 * Beroepsbevolking -0.09146 0.07150 -1.279 0.2367 Werkgelegenheid 0.20953 0.10175 2.059 0.0734 . Werkzoekenden -1.04326 4.35838 -0.239 0.8168 WZMannen -2.57186 3.24571 -0.792 0.4510 WZVrouwen 6.80724 3.74691 1.817 0.1068 --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 Residual standard error: 5.856 on 8 degrees of freedom Multiple R-squared: 0.6606, Adjusted R-squared: 0.406 F-statistic: 2.595 on 6 and 8 DF, p-value: 0.1063 > if (n > n25) { + kp3 <- k + 3 + nmkm3 <- n - k - 3 + gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3)) + numgqtests <- 0 + numsignificant1 <- 0 + numsignificant5 <- 0 + numsignificant10 <- 0 + for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { + j <- 0 + numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1 + for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) { + j <- j + 1 + gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value + } + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1 + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1 + if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1 + } + gqarr + } > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/1jvmg1353441342.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index') > points(x[,1]-mysum$resid) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/2dbir1353441342.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/39c211353441342.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/4i0ya1353441342.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals') > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/5hvu41353441342.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot') > qqline(mysum$resid) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > (myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid)) Time Series: Start = 1 End = 15 Frequency = 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 -4.00587613 -2.73309926 3.38247030 5.71704595 6.98525644 -4.24940255 7 8 9 10 11 12 -3.38652691 -1.97218061 0.02186884 -3.48747143 5.27178362 1.53362555 13 14 15 -7.86866059 0.29411510 4.49705169 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/6s0201353441342.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror) > dum Time Series: Start = 0 End = 15 Frequency = 1 lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror 0 -4.00587613 NA 1 -2.73309926 -4.00587613 2 3.38247030 -2.73309926 3 5.71704595 3.38247030 4 6.98525644 5.71704595 5 -4.24940255 6.98525644 6 -3.38652691 -4.24940255 7 -1.97218061 -3.38652691 8 0.02186884 -1.97218061 9 -3.48747143 0.02186884 10 5.27178362 -3.48747143 11 1.53362555 5.27178362 12 -7.86866059 1.53362555 13 0.29411510 -7.86866059 14 4.49705169 0.29411510 15 NA 4.49705169 > dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),] > dum1 lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror [1,] -2.73309926 -4.00587613 [2,] 3.38247030 -2.73309926 [3,] 5.71704595 3.38247030 [4,] 6.98525644 5.71704595 [5,] -4.24940255 6.98525644 [6,] -3.38652691 -4.24940255 [7,] -1.97218061 -3.38652691 [8,] 0.02186884 -1.97218061 [9,] -3.48747143 0.02186884 [10,] 5.27178362 -3.48747143 [11,] 1.53362555 5.27178362 [12,] -7.86866059 1.53362555 [13,] 0.29411510 -7.86866059 [14,] 4.49705169 0.29411510 > z <- as.data.frame(dum1) > z lag(myerror, k = 1) myerror 1 -2.73309926 -4.00587613 2 3.38247030 -2.73309926 3 5.71704595 3.38247030 4 6.98525644 5.71704595 5 -4.24940255 6.98525644 6 -3.38652691 -4.24940255 7 -1.97218061 -3.38652691 8 0.02186884 -1.97218061 9 -3.48747143 0.02186884 10 5.27178362 -3.48747143 11 1.53362555 5.27178362 12 -7.86866059 1.53362555 13 0.29411510 -7.86866059 14 4.49705169 0.29411510 > plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals') > lines(lowess(z)) > abline(lm(z)) > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/7fhot1353441342.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/863m81353441342.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function') > grid() > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/9jnud1353441342.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0)) > plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics') > par(opar) > dev.off() null device 1 > if (n > n25) { + postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/10h51w1353441342.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) + plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint') + grid() + dev.off() + } > > #Note: the /var/wessaorg/rcomp/createtable file can be downloaded at http://www.wessa.net/cretab > load(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/createtable") > > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > myeq <- colnames(x)[1] > myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='') > for (i in 1:k){ + if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '') + myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ') + if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') { + myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='') + if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='') + } + } > myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]') > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, myeq) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/11lqlc1353441342.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > for (i in 1:k){ + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1]) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6)) + a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6)) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/12zwxi1353441342.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared)) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3])) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror)) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/13xgnn1353441342.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation
Forecast', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals
Prediction Error', 1, TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > for (i in 1:n) { + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,x[i]) + a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i]) + a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i]) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/14h6gp1353441342.tab") > if (n > n25) { + a<-table.start() + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) { + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1]) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2]) + a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3]) + a<-table.row.end(a) + } + a<-table.end(a) + table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/1537hs1353441342.tab") + a<-table.start() + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.row.start(a) + a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10) + a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests) + if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK' + a<-table.element(a,dum) + a<-table.row.end(a) + a<-table.end(a) + table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/16yy001353441342.tab") + } > > try(system("convert tmp/1jvmg1353441342.ps tmp/1jvmg1353441342.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/2dbir1353441342.ps tmp/2dbir1353441342.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/39c211353441342.ps tmp/39c211353441342.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/4i0ya1353441342.ps tmp/4i0ya1353441342.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/5hvu41353441342.ps tmp/5hvu41353441342.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/6s0201353441342.ps tmp/6s0201353441342.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/7fhot1353441342.ps tmp/7fhot1353441342.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/863m81353441342.ps tmp/863m81353441342.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/9jnud1353441342.ps tmp/9jnud1353441342.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/10h51w1353441342.ps tmp/10h51w1353441342.png",intern=TRUE)) convert: unable to open image `tmp/10h51w1353441342.ps': @ error/blob.c/OpenBlob/2587. convert: missing an image filename `tmp/10h51w1353441342.png' @ error/convert.c/ConvertImageCommand/3011. character(0) attr(,"status") [1] 1 Warning message: running command 'convert tmp/10h51w1353441342.ps tmp/10h51w1353441342.png' had status 1 > > > proc.time() user system elapsed 5.107 1.063 7.231