R version 3.0.1 (2013-05-16) -- "Good Sport"
Copyright (C) 2013 The R Foundation for Statistical Computing
Platform: i686-pc-linux-gnu (32-bit)

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> x <- c(42364,42206,42046,41715,44991,44818,42364,40733,40891,40891,41067,41382,41873,41873,41558,40733,44991,45640,44660,42364,43346,41873,42538,42855,43186,42364,42538,41382,44991,46131,45151,43346,45309,43186,45151,44991,45482,43678,45640,45482,48426,47762,45151,43835,45640,43186,44991,45309,45973,44502,45309,45800,47604,46131,44169,42046,44011,38611,41224,42695,44169,42046,42046,42046,43186,41558,39420,37631,38929,33862,36967,38771,39102,37298,37455,36967,38611,37455,35178,33531,36315,30269,34195,35984,35984,33862,31900,31742,33531,31900,28798,26660,28956,23558,28464,31075,31900,30096,27816,29447,30096,29604,24696,22418,24047,19140,24207,26011,27482,25029,22733,24047,24696,23398,18491,16353,18316,12918,18807,22418)
> par3 = 'multiplicative'
> par2 = 'Triple'
> par1 = '12'
> par3 <- 'additive'
> par2 <- 'Triple'
> par1 <- '12'
> par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
> if (par2 == 'Single') K <- 1
> if (par2 == 'Double') K <- 2
> if (par2 == 'Triple') K <- par1
> nx <- length(x)
> nxmK <- nx - K
> x <- ts(x, frequency = par1)
> if (par2 == 'Single') fit <- HoltWinters(x, gamma=F, beta=F)
> if (par2 == 'Double') fit <- HoltWinters(x, gamma=F)
> if (par2 == 'Triple') fit <- HoltWinters(x, seasonal=par3)
> fit
Holt-Winters exponential smoothing with trend and additive seasonal component.

Call:
HoltWinters(x = x, seasonal = par3)

Smoothing parameters:
 alpha: 0.4053415
 beta : 0.06452376
 gamma: 1

Coefficients:
          [,1]
a   19497.8158
b    -425.2604
s1   3214.9637
s2    854.3594
s3  -1230.7089
s4    233.5179
s5   1142.8777
s6    319.6207
s7  -3883.1715
s8  -5222.3578
s9  -2412.5006
s10 -6786.5538
s11  -431.9361
s12  2920.1842
> myresid <- x - fit$fitted[,'xhat']
> postscript(file="/var/fisher/rcomp/tmp/131991376939916.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) 
> op <- par(mfrow=c(2,1))
> plot(fit,ylab='Observed (black) / Fitted (red)',main='Interpolation Fit of Exponential Smoothing')
> plot(myresid,ylab='Residuals',main='Interpolation Prediction Errors')
> par(op)
> dev.off()
null device 
          1 
> postscript(file="/var/fisher/rcomp/tmp/2rl3f1376939916.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) 
> p <- predict(fit, par1, prediction.interval=TRUE)
> np <- length(p[,1])
> plot(fit,p,ylab='Observed (black) / Fitted (red)',main='Extrapolation Fit of Exponential Smoothing')
> dev.off()
null device 
          1 
> postscript(file="/var/fisher/rcomp/tmp/30k3l1376939916.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) 
> op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
> acf(as.numeric(myresid),lag.max = nx/2,main='Residual ACF')
> spectrum(myresid,main='Residals Periodogram')
> cpgram(myresid,main='Residal Cumulative Periodogram')
> qqnorm(myresid,main='Residual Normal QQ Plot')
> qqline(myresid)
> par(op)
> dev.off()
null device 
          1 
> 
> #Note: the /var/fisher/rcomp/createtable file can be downloaded at http://www.wessa.net/cretab
> load(file="/var/fisher/rcomp/createtable")
> 
> a<-table.start()
> a<-table.row.start(a)
> a<-table.element(a,'Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing',2,TRUE)
> a<-table.row.end(a)
> a<-table.row.start(a)
> a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE)
> a<-table.element(a,'Value',header=TRUE)
> a<-table.row.end(a)
> a<-table.row.start(a)
> a<-table.element(a,'alpha',header=TRUE)
> a<-table.element(a,fit$alpha)
> a<-table.row.end(a)
> a<-table.row.start(a)
> a<-table.element(a,'beta',header=TRUE)
> a<-table.element(a,fit$beta)
> a<-table.row.end(a)
> a<-table.row.start(a)
> a<-table.element(a,'gamma',header=TRUE)
> a<-table.element(a,fit$gamma)
> a<-table.row.end(a)
> a<-table.end(a)
> table.save(a,file="/var/fisher/rcomp/tmp/4dovb1376939916.tab") 
> a<-table.start()
> a<-table.row.start(a)
> a<-table.element(a,'Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing',4,TRUE)
> a<-table.row.end(a)
> a<-table.row.start(a)
> a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE)
> a<-table.element(a,'Observed',header=TRUE)
> a<-table.element(a,'Fitted',header=TRUE)
> a<-table.element(a,'Residuals',header=TRUE)
> a<-table.row.end(a)
> for (i in 1:nxmK) {
+ a<-table.row.start(a)
+ a<-table.element(a,i+K,header=TRUE)
+ a<-table.element(a,x[i+K])
+ a<-table.element(a,fit$fitted[i,'xhat'])
+ a<-table.element(a,myresid[i])
+ a<-table.row.end(a)
+ }
> a<-table.end(a)
> table.save(a,file="/var/fisher/rcomp/tmp/5troz1376939916.tab") 
> a<-table.start()
> a<-table.row.start(a)
> a<-table.element(a,'Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing',4,TRUE)
> a<-table.row.end(a)
> a<-table.row.start(a)
> a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE)
> a<-table.element(a,'Forecast',header=TRUE)
> a<-table.element(a,'95% Lower Bound',header=TRUE)
> a<-table.element(a,'95% Upper Bound',header=TRUE)
> a<-table.row.end(a)
> for (i in 1:np) {
+ a<-table.row.start(a)
+ a<-table.element(a,nx+i,header=TRUE)
+ a<-table.element(a,p[i,'fit'])
+ a<-table.element(a,p[i,'lwr'])
+ a<-table.element(a,p[i,'upr'])
+ a<-table.row.end(a)
+ }
> a<-table.end(a)
> table.save(a,file="/var/fisher/rcomp/tmp/6as171376939916.tab") 
> 
> try(system("convert tmp/131991376939916.ps tmp/131991376939916.png",intern=TRUE))
character(0)
> try(system("convert tmp/2rl3f1376939916.ps tmp/2rl3f1376939916.png",intern=TRUE))
character(0)
> try(system("convert tmp/30k3l1376939916.ps tmp/30k3l1376939916.png",intern=TRUE))
character(0)
> 
> 
> proc.time()
   user  system elapsed 
  2.021   0.377   2.380